1 ICES/PICES Strategic Initiative/Section on Climate Change effects on Marine Ecosystems (SICCME/S-CCME) S-CCME Meeting PICES Annual Meeting October 13,

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ICES/PICES Strategic Initiative/Section ICES/PICES Strategic Initiative/Section on Climate Change effects on Marine on Climate Change effects on Marine

Ecosystems (SICCME/S-CCME)Ecosystems (SICCME/S-CCME)

S-CCME Meeting

PICES Annual Meeting

October 13, 2013

Co-chairs:

Anne Hollowed, Suam Kim (PICES),

Manuel Barange, Brian MacKenzie (ICES)

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SICCME Contributions to Intl. Climate SICCME Contributions to Intl. Climate Impact AssessmentsImpact Assessments

2012

SICCME Marine

Ecosystem Modeling &

Analysis

IPCC Synthesis & Reporting

IPCC Earth System Modeling &

Analysis

ICES JMS 68(6)

2ndECCWOYeosu

3rd ECCWOBrazil

ICES JMS 70(5)

SICCME Synthesis &

Comparative Research

IPCC Earth System Modeling &

Analysis

2015

SICCME Model Update

& Revision

SICCME Synthesis &

Comparative Research

Symposiumvolume

20172013 2014 2016

Symposium

St. PetersburgSpatial WKSHP

UN Millennium Climate Report

Human Dimensions

Regional Synthesis

2018

IPCC Synthesis & Reporting

Workshop

Earth Ecosystems

NorthernHemisphereMarine Ecosystems

TrainingSimulation

Tools and Models

SICCME Marine

Ecosystem Modeling &

Analysis

2019

Ocean Monitoring Program

2021

Synthesis Paper. ICES JMS 70(5)

PICES WK1

Workshop on Global Assessment of the Implications of Climate Change on the Spatial Distribution of Fish and Fisheries

Anne Hollowed1, Myron Peck2, Suam Kim1

May 22nd to 24th 2013, St. Petersburg, Russia

(1) (2)

1) Analytical methods for detecting changes in spatial distribution

2) Skill Assessment and model inter-comparison3) Quantifying uncertainty4) Design specification for database of observations of

distribution of living marine resources5) Risk Assessment6) Communicating outcomes to inform decisions

regarding management of living marine resources under changing climate

6 (Interactive) Sessions, 11 keynote speakers

1-2 keynotes→Breakout group questions→Plenary Summary

Outcomes…

• Key recommendations were produced in each of the six sessions

• Report available at ICES and at PICES websites• Work dovetails well with this year‘s ASC theme

sessions (B…)• Manuscripts from this workshop and from theme

session B will compose a special volume in the ICES Journal of Marine Science

• SICCME moving forward with inter-comparisons (among models within same system and among ecosystems across globe)

IPCC LinkagesSome IPCC chapter authors are active members of the ICES and

PICES community. Working Group I

Chapter 10: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: Jim Overland (USA) Working Group II

Chapter 5: Coastal Systems and Low Lying Areas Jean-Pierre Gattuso (France) Chapter 6: Ocean Systems Hans-O. Pörtner (Germany)

William Cheung (Canada) Chapter 7: Food Production Systems and Food Security Kevren Cochrane

(South Africa) Chapter 28 Polar Regions: Anne Hollowed (USA) Chapter 30 Oceans: Sukgeun Jung (Korea) and Svein Sundby (Norway)

Working Group III Chapter 5 Jake Rice (Canada)

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ICES ASC Theme Sessions 2013ICES ASC Theme Sessions 2013

B. Responses of living marine resources to climate change and variability: learning from the past and projecting the future (co-sponsored by PICES). Convenors William W. L. Cheung, Canada, PICES, Myron A. Peck, Germany, Vincent Saba, USA

D. Physico–chemical aspects of ocean acidification in the ICES area. Convenors: David J. Hydes, UK; Jon Olafsson, Iceland; Alberto Vieria Borges, Belgium

L. Hydrographic processes, circulation, and water mass formation in the polar and subpolar basins. Convenors: Stephen Dye, UK, Hedinn Valdimarsson, Iceland, Igor Yashayaev, Canada

M. Identifying mechanisms linking physical climate and ecosystem change: Observed indices, hypothesized processes, and "data dreams" for the future (co-sponsored by PICES). Convenors: Emanuele Di Lorenzo, COVE-AP; USA, PICES; Arthur J. Miller, USA, PICES; Marc Hufnagl, Germany, ICES

N. The pelagic fish complexes in the North Atlantic Ocean: Distribution, productivity, and inter-specific competition during changing climate. Convenors: Asta Gudmundsdottir, Iceland; David Miller, the Netherlands; Geir Huse, Norway

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Workshops in PICES Annual Meeting 2013 Workshops in PICES Annual Meeting 2013

(co-sponsored by ICES)(co-sponsored by ICES)Workshop (W1). Comparison of size-based and species based ecosystem models. Co-sponsored by ICES. Co-Convenors: Jeffrey Polovina (USA), Anne Hollowed (USA), Shin-ichi Ito (Japan) , Myron Peck (Germany)

Workshop (W2). Identifying mechanisms linking physical climate and ecosystem change: Observed indices, hypothesized processes, and "data dreams" for the future. Co-sponsored by ICES. Co-Convenors: Jack Barth (USA), Emanuele Di Lorenzo (USA), Marc Hufnagl (Germany), Jacquelynne King (Canada), Arthur Miller (USA), Shoshiro Minobe (Japan), Ryan Rykaczewski (USA) , Kazuaki Tadokoro (Japan)

Effects of Climate Change on the World’s Oceans

3rd International Symposium

March 23-27, 2015Santos, Brazil

Convenors: Luis Valdes (IOC), Manuel Barange (ICES), Jacquelynne King (PICES), Alex Turra (U San Paulo)

bring together experts from different disciplines to exchange observations, results, models and ideas on the impacts of climate change on the world’s oceans two previous symposia each attracted over 400 scientists from over 45 countries, making the effort truly global in scale combine paper Sessions and Workshops to provide a forum for topics on a global-scale and with regional comparisons

Effects of Climate Change on the World’s Oceans

Session and Workshop proposals by Sept 18, 2013: sea level rise, changes in thermo-haline ocean

circulation, acidification, oligotrophy of temperate seas, changes in species abundance, distribution and phenology, loss of biodiversity

PICES’ members of Scientific Steering Committee: Angelica Peña ([email protected]) Shoshiro Minobe ([email protected]) Fangli Qiao ([email protected])

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Physical and biological consequences of exchanges between the Atlantic Subarctic and the Arctic; ICES ASC, Spain, 2014. Conveners: Olafur S. Astthorsson (Iceland), Ken Drinkwater (Norway), and ??? (Canada).

Strategies for ecosystem management in a changing climate. PICES FUTURE Open Science meeting, April 15-18, Hawaii. Co-conveners: Manuel Barange, A. Hollowed, Suam Kim

Climate change and ecosystem-based management of living marine resources: Appraising and Advancing key modelling tools, PICES FUTURE Open Science meeting, April 15-18, Hawaii. Co-conveners: M. Peck (S-CCME, ICES), A. Hollowed (S-CCME, PICES), T. Essington (University of Washington)

Planned theme/topic sessions and workshops in 2014:

Recent Assessments of Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems. PICES 2014 Annual Science Meeting, Korea. Convenors: Anne B. Hollowed (USA), Jake Rice (Canada), Sukgeun Jung (Korea), Hans Pörtner (Germany)

Dynamics of pelagic fish in the North Pacific under climate change; PICES 2014 Annual Science Meeting, Korea, 11 or 12 October. Convenors Gerard DiNardo (ISC), Suam Kim (PICES), and Sei-Ichi Saitoh (PICES)