1 FY 2010 Budget Update FY 2010 Budget Update ACPS School Board ACPS School Board November 17, 2008 November 17, 2008
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FY 2010 Budget UpdateFY 2010 Budget UpdateACPS School BoardACPS School BoardNovember 17, 2008November 17, 2008
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What a challenging and What a challenging and exciting time!exciting time!
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videovideo
James K. Polk Elementary School, Nov. 6, 2008Associated Press Television
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The economy: The economy: recent headlinesrecent headlines
October retails sales fall 0.9%, the October retails sales fall 0.9%, the steepest decline in 40 yearssteepest decline in 40 years
Japan and “Euro zone” are officially in a Japan and “Euro zone” are officially in a recessionrecession
U.S. GDP growth for the fourth quarter U.S. GDP growth for the fourth quarter forecast to fall by 2.9%forecast to fall by 2.9%
National foreclosure rates increased 25%, National foreclosure rates increased 25%, measured in October year over yearmeasured in October year over year
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We are meeting the We are meeting the needs of a large portion needs of a large portion
of our studentsof our students
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84% of graduates 84% of graduates leave TCW planning leave TCW planning
to attend collegeto attend college
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TCWTCW graduates are accepted at graduates are accepted at prestigious universities including:prestigious universities including:
Harvard Harvard Princeton Princeton Brown Brown Cornell Cornell Stanford Stanford UVAUVAYaleYale William & MaryWilliam & Mary
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ACPS students are enrolling in more ACPS students are enrolling in more advanced courses and increasing their advanced courses and increasing their
achievement in those coursesachievement in those courses
Advanced Placement Results2004 - 2005
2005 - 2006
2006 - 2007
Percent of students who completed one or more AP courses
54% 51% 54%
Number of AP exams taken (beginning in June 2005, students in AP courses were required to take the exam)
946 905 1045
Percent of AP exams that earned a qualifying score of 3, 4, or 5 (beginning in June, 2005, students in AP courses were required to take the exam
47% 45% 52%
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There is more work to be doneThere is more work to be done
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Higher Achievement for All…Higher Achievement for All…
……All means allAll means all
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It is in everyone’s interest that It is in everyone’s interest that ACPS be a high performing ACPS be a high performing
school divisionschool division
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At a minimum:At a minimum:
All NCLB subgroups in All NCLB subgroups in Alexandria should exceed Alexandria should exceed
State averages. State averages.
Currently, this is only true for Currently, this is only true for white students.white students.
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Comparison of English AYP Pass Rates in 2007-2008 by Ethnic Subgroups
8075 74
9387
7881
91
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
All Black Hispanic White
Ethnicity
Per
cen
t P
assi
ng
Division
State
Comparison of English AYP Pass Rates in 2007-2008 by NCLB Subgroup
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74 7267
77 79
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Disabilities FRL LEP
NCLB Subgroup
Per
cen
t P
assi
ng
Division
State
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Comparison of Math AYP Pass Rates in 2007-2008 by Ethnic Subgroup
73
66 67
91
84
73 75
88
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
All Black Hispanic White
Ethnicity
Per
cen
t P
assi
ng
Division
State
Comparison of Math AYP Pass Rates in 2007-2008 by NCLB Subgroup
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67 6865
73 75
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Disabilities FRL LEP
NCLB Subgroup
Per
cen
t P
assi
ng
Division
State
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Comparison of Science AYP Pass Rates in 2007-2008 by Ethnic Subgroup
7975
72
9588
79 78
94
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
All Black Hispanic White
Ethnicity
Per
cen
t P
assi
ng
Divison
State
Comparison of Science AYP Pass Rates in 2007-2008 by NCLB Subgroup
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72
6469
7874
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Disabilities FRL LEP
NCLB Subgroup
Per
cen
t P
assi
ng
Division
State
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On-time graduation rates:On-time graduation rates:
Only 76% graduate in four Only 76% graduate in four yearsyears
24% take longer than four 24% take longer than four years to graduate oryears to graduate ordo not graduate at alldo not graduate at all
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Fewer blacks (76%) and Hispanics (57%) Fewer blacks (76%) and Hispanics (57%) graduate on time than whites (87%) graduate on time than whites (87%)
Graduation rates differ for students with Graduation rates differ for students with disabilities (75%), students identified as disabilities (75%), students identified as disadvantaged (70%) and English disadvantaged (70%) and English Language Learners (71%) Language Learners (71%)
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Percent of On-Time ACPS Graduates from the 2004 Cohort
7676
8757
7075
71
0 50 100
Percentage
LEP/ELL
Disabled
Disadvant
Hispanic
White
Black
All
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Student performance goals Student performance goals and rising student and rising student enrollment require enrollment require additional staffing, additional staffing,
materials, and classrooms.materials, and classrooms.
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ACPS Enrollment is IncreasingACPS Enrollment is Increasing
ACPS Enrollment Trends: Actual and Projected
11,22511,225
10,557
10,332
10,521
10,921
10,995
11,23911,274
11,203
11,345
12,625
12,304
12,077
11,821
9,800
10,300
10,800
11,300
11,800
12,300
12,800
FY 2000Sept
FY 2001Sept
FY 2002Sept
FY 2003Sept
FY 2004Sept
FY 2005Sept
FY 2006Sept
FY 2007Sept
FY 2008Sept
FY 2009Sept
FY 2010Prop
FY 2011Proj
FY 2012Proj
FY 2013Proj
FY 2014Proj
Nu
mb
er
of
Stu
de
nts
Actual Projected
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We are preparing a budget We are preparing a budget that advances student that advances student
achievement and quality achievement and quality instruction while respecting instruction while respecting
economic realitieseconomic realities
FY 2010 (2009-2010) BudgetFY 2010 (2009-2010) Budget
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This requires courage, This requires courage, discipline, hard work, and discipline, hard work, and
sacrifice from all.sacrifice from all.
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We developed guiding We developed guiding principles for making budget principles for making budget
recommendationsrecommendations
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Seven Guiding PrinciplesSeven Guiding Principles Champion student achievement and instructionChampion student achievement and instruction Respond to enrollment increase and changing Respond to enrollment increase and changing
needs of studentsneeds of students Respect impact of economic downturnRespect impact of economic downturn Identify efficiencies (services/organization)Identify efficiencies (services/organization) Eliminate or modify programs or activities that Eliminate or modify programs or activities that
do not help us reach our goalsdo not help us reach our goals Base determinations on research and dataBase determinations on research and data Strive to place affected employees in other Strive to place affected employees in other
positionspositions
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We apply these principles to We apply these principles to three areas:three areas:
Investment in teaching and learningInvestment in teaching and learning
Identification of efficiencies and Identification of efficiencies and accountability measuresaccountability measures
Employee compensationEmployee compensation
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Investing in teaching and learning while Investing in teaching and learning while responding to changing needs:responding to changing needs:
Maintain small class sizes Maintain small class sizes
Recruit, support, and retain quality staffRecruit, support, and retain quality staffProfessional support system for teachersProfessional support system for teachersPlanning timePlanning timeCollaborative teacher modelCollaborative teacher modelCoaching Coaching
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Investing in teaching and learning while Investing in teaching and learning while responding to changing needs:responding to changing needs:
Higher achievement for each and every Higher achievement for each and every studentstudent
Exemplary instructional models, e.g., full Exemplary instructional models, e.g., full inclusion of students receiving ELL and inclusion of students receiving ELL and special education servicesspecial education services
Data-based and researched-driven programs, Data-based and researched-driven programs, e.g., Intel Science, Primary Years Programe.g., Intel Science, Primary Years Program
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Efficiencies and Accountability Efficiencies and Accountability MeasuresMeasures
Realignment of existing funds and Realignment of existing funds and positions to meet division goals, e.g., positions to meet division goals, e.g., eliminating selected low level courses, eliminating selected low level courses, reducing take home vehicles and cell reducing take home vehicles and cell phonesphones
Establishment of school and department Establishment of school and department benchmarks tied to division goalsbenchmarks tied to division goals
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Employee CompensationEmployee Compensation
Adjust salaries and benefits before Adjust salaries and benefits before eliminating positionseliminating positions
Minimize the impact and share the burden Minimize the impact and share the burden among all employeesamong all employees
Strive to place affected employees in other Strive to place affected employees in other positionspositions
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The Bottom LineThe Bottom Line
Reduction in Revenue:Reduction in Revenue:
City appropriation reduction 1.1 to 1.4%City appropriation reduction 1.1 to 1.4%
Reductions in state sales tax and Reductions in state sales tax and Standards of Quality accounts, partially Standards of Quality accounts, partially offset by increased enrollmentoffset by increased enrollment
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The operating budget will decrease The operating budget will decrease approximately 0.8 to 1.0 %, budget approximately 0.8 to 1.0 %, budget
to budget, compared to last yearto budget, compared to last year
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The average cost per pupil The average cost per pupil will decline approximately will decline approximately
1 to 2% in FY 20101 to 2% in FY 2010
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In FY 2010 the Operating Budget and per In FY 2010 the Operating Budget and per Pupil Cost are Projected to DeclinePupil Cost are Projected to Decline
Increase in Operating Fund ExpendituresFY 2004 Actual to FY 2010 Preliminary
6.7%7.5%
10.6%
2.1%
7.7%
5.4%
-1.0%
7.5%
11.6%
12.7%
6.4%
-6.8%
-1.9%
-0.1%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
FY05 Actual FY06 Actual FY07 Actual FY08 Actual FY09 Final FY09 Estimate FY10 Preliminary
Operating Fund Annual Increase Cost Per Student Annual Increase
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Student Enrollment is Increasing Student Enrollment is Increasing Faster than Operating CostsFaster than Operating Costs
Trends in Total Cost and Total Enrollment
$0.00
$50.00
$100.00
$150.00
$200.00
$250.00
FY06 Actual FY07 Actual FY08 Actual FY09 Final FY09 Estimate FY10 Preliminary
Do
lla
rs i
n M
illi
on
s
9,600
9,800
10,000
10,200
10,400
10,600
10,800
11,000
11,200
11,400
11,600
11,800
Stu
de
nts
Operating Fund Students
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TimelineTimeline
Joint City Council School Board meeting Joint City Council School Board meeting on November 24: Budget, CIP, and on November 24: Budget, CIP, and PreschoolPreschool
City Council releases FY 2010 and CIP City Council releases FY 2010 and CIP budget guidance on November 25budget guidance on November 25
FY 2010 Proposed budget presented to FY 2010 Proposed budget presented to School Board on January 8School Board on January 8
3737Do you believe in us?Do you believe in us?