1 Energy A 2030 framework for climate and energy policies Marten Westrup European Commission, DG ENER Unit A1.

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1 Energy A 2030 framework for climate and energy policies Marten Westrup European Commission, DG ENER Unit A1 Slide 2 2 2050 Roadmaps 2030 Green Paper Proposals for the 2030 framework for climate and energy policies 2011March 2013By end 2013 The 2030 framework will build on the 2050 Roadmaps - Concrete proposals by the end of 2013 On-going discussions with Member States, EU institutions and stakeholders Slide 3 3 "No Regrets" options from the Energy Roadmap 2050 More Energy Efficiency Higher shares of Renewables Better and smarter Infrastructure Slide 4 4 Increased certainty for Member States and reduced regulatory risks for investors Growth and jobs through demand for efficient and low- carbon technologies Definition of EU ambitions in view of a new international climate change agreement Early agreement on the 2030 framework is essential Slide 5 5 The 2030 policy framework should take into account lesson learnt from the 2020 framework and the economic and political context of today The 2030 framework must ensure progress towards three objectives Slide 6 6 EU emissions reduced by 15.5% 1990 -2010 EU GDP grew >40% EU as a whole on track towards 20% target For half of the MS, existing policies and measures are sufficient to reach their Effort Sharing target domestically GHG emissions are decreasing in the EU compared to other countries Source: European Commission Slide 7 7 The EU is making good progress towards meeting the 2020 RES target - But most Member States are still some distance away Renewable sources accounted for 12.7% of the EU's energy consumption in 2010 Source: Eurostat Slide 8 8 EU energy consumption is going down, but 2020 target likely to be missed with current policies projections Source: European Commission Slide 9 9 Increasing concern about energy import dependency and rising energy prices Stability and costs of renewables support schemes, impacts on the internal energy market, on grid stability and on capital allocation Need for massive investments in energy transmission and distribution infrastructure, e.g. due to renewables expansion Current large surplus of ETS allowances, resulting in a low carbon price and low investment incentives Challenges in meeting 2020 targets - to be considered in the 2030 framework Slide 10 10 Which targets for 2030 would be most effective in driving the objectives of climate and energy policy? At what level should they apply (EU, MS, sectors?), and should they be legally binding? Targets Which are the most appropriate policy instruments to meet potential new targets for the period up to 2030? How can Research and Innovation best support the 2030 framework? Instruments How can EU policies take account of international developments? E.g. Climate negotiations How can internationally competitive and affordable energy prices be ensured? Competitiveness & Security of Supply How can an equitable distribution of efforts be ensured among Member States? How to best consider the different investment capacities of industry sectors and consumer groups? Effort Sharing These are the main issues to be considered for the 2030 framework Slide 11 11 Electricity prices the US is increasing its advantage Source: IEA, Energy Prices and Taxes, 4th quarter 2012 Evolution of end-user electricity prices for industry (2005 = Index 100) Slide 12 12 in part due to the shale gas boom - US wholesale prices for gas are 3-4 times lower than in the EU Source: European Commission Slide 13 13 Retail electricity prices paid by households and industry in 2012 Note: Euro/kWh, first half of 2012, consumption bands DC and IC, all taxes included Source of data: Eurostat Slide 14 14 2006200720082009201020112012201320142015 01/2007 Commission proposal for 2020 climate and energy package 12/ 2008 Heads of State and Government reached agreement on the package 10/2012 Adoption of the Energy Efficiency Directive 11/2010 Commission Communication "Energy 2020 Strategy" 12/2011 Commission Communication "Energy Roadmap 2050" 04/2009 Adoption of the Renewables Directive 03/2013 2030 Green Paper 2015 Global Climate Change Agreement More concrete proposals for the 2030 framework Window of opportunity Building on the past towards the future.! 07/2009 Adoption of the 3 rd package on the Liberalization of electricity and gas market 11/2012 Commission Communication "Internal Energy Market" 03/ 2013 Adoption of the Energy Infrastructure Regulation = EU legislation = Commission Communications= Council Counclusions Slide 15 15 Impact Assessment Jan. Commission proposals for the 2030 framework Feb.Mar.Apr.Jun.Jul.AugSept.Oct.Nov.Dec.May 22-24 April Informal 22 May European Council Adoption of the Green Paper consultation procedure Council meetings Update of reference scenario Concrete steps towards the 2030 framework in 2013 2012 Before end 2013 19- 20 Dec. Energy Council 19-20 Sept Informal Slide 16 16 Thank you for your attention! More information available under: http://ec.europa.eu/energy/green_paper_2030_en.htm