1 CLUSTER ANALYSIS OF EUROPEAN DAILY TEMPERATURE SERIES: AN EXTREME VALUE APPROACH Andrés M. Alonso Departamento de Estadística Universidad Carlos II de Madrid Spain
Dec 16, 2015
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CLUSTER ANALYSIS OF EUROPEAN DAILY
TEMPERATURE SERIES: AN EXTREME VALUE APPROACH
Andrés M. Alonso Departamento de Estadística
Universidad Carlos II de MadridSpain
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JOINT WORK WITH
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OUTLINE OF THE TALK
INTRODUCTORY REMARKS
INTRODUCTORY REMARKS
MAIN PURPOSE
TIME SERIES CLUSTER METHODOLOGY
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TIME SERIES CLUSTER METHODOLOGY
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COMPUTATION OF THE PDF’s
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COMPUTATION OF THE PDF’s
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COMPUTATION OF THE PDF’s
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COMPUTATION OF THE PDF’s
COMPUTATION OF THE PDF’s
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Our parameter of interest will be the quantile xp for a specified exceedance probability p
Assuming that the Generalized Extreme Value corresponds to the annual maximum.
Then, roughly speaking, xp is the return level that is associated with the return period 1/p for small p, in unit of years.
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COMPUTATION OF THE PDF’s
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COMPUTATION OF THE PDF’s
COMPUTATION OF THE PDF’s
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COMPUTATION OF THE PDF’s
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DISSIMILARITY MATRIX
Exploring the European Climate Assessment dataset
Exploring the European Climate Assessment dataset
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TEMPERATURES
RESULTS
RESULTS
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DENDROGRAM FOR 25-YEARS RETURN VALUES (AVERAGE LINKAGE METHODS)
CONCLUSIONS
REFERENCES