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S2K+2 will cover the following topics...
S2K+2 Airline Training
CCFP
CCSD/FCA/RMT
SWAP Procedures - CDR, Playbook, Vacape, RAT
Pathfinder
Diversion Recovery
EDCT +-5
Systems 2002 Field Training for Controllers
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Collaborative Convective
Forecast Product
(CCFP)
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CCFP, Foundational for SPO
CCFP is the foundational severe weatherforecasting tool in developing the Strategic
Plan of Operation (SPO).
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All stakeholders have agreed CCFP is thethunderstorm forecast product for SPT planning
CCFP is used during SPT telcons for the
development of the Strategic Plan of Operation(SPO)
CCFP is intended to be used by traffic planners in
developing a strategic plan during thunderstorm
activity
WHAT CCFP IS
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WHAT CCFP IS cont...
CCFP is a tool that can be used by Dispatchers to
supplement weather avoidance planning and pass
on suggested routes to AOC Coordinators for the
SPT.
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CCFP will not meet all thunderstorm forecastingneeds
WHAT CCFP IS NOT
CCFP is not intended to support tactical decisionmaking
Other weather forecasting tools (e.g. NCWF,Convective SIGMETS, ITWS, etc.) should be used in
conjunction with CCFP
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CCFP is not just an ATC/AOC Coordinator Tool.
WHAT CCFP IS NOT
CCFP can be used by Dispatchers in consideringroutings around CCFP forecasted weather.
Based on CCFP forecasts, Dispatchers can giveAOC Coordinators route suggestions on wherethey would like to route aircraft, in a way thatwould maintain operational control and safety of
flight. Make these suggestions to the AOC Coordinator
before the Strategic Planning Team Telcon.
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Collaboration vs. Consensus
CCFP is a Collaboration not a Consensus.
CCFP is not a Consensus where all participants
agree upon the final product before it is issuedCCFP is a Collaboration where all
participants contribute their meteorologicalexpertise and a final decision is made by a
designated authority (AWC is that authority).
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CCFPCollaborative Convective Forecast Product
CCFP
Collaborative Convective Forecast Product
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CCFP Overview Convective weather is the single most disruptive
force affecting the National Airspace System(NAS). These disruptions are the largest cause ofdelays in the system
Mitigation of delays requires collaboration inthunderstorm forecasting used for traffic flowmanagement (TFM) decisions
CCFP seeks to reduce these disruptions by
creating an accurate and reliable convectiveforecast for strategic use through collaboration
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The Goal
The goal of the CCFP is to forecast a level ofthunderstorm activity (25% coverage or higher)that may impact the NAS. It is not intended to
forecast all thunderstorm activity Thunderstorms of less than 25% coverage may
still impact the NAS but are handled as a
tactical issue with input from localmeteorologists
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Maximum Tops (HGHT)Growth (GWTH)
Probability (PROB)
Coverage (CVRG)
CCFP Forecast Format
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Maximum tops within theforecast area are reported in
the following three categories
2531,000 feet
3137,000 feet
37,000+ feet
Note: The heights identified
are the maximum tops forecast
within the area and not the
average.
Maximum Tops
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Growth rate
++ = Fast Positive Growth
+ = Moderate Positive Growth
NC = No Change
- = Negative Growth (area/tops decreasing)
The expansion of the thunderstorms
needs to be considered as expanding in3 dimensions
This is an indicator of how the volumeof denied airspace associated with thedepicted forecast is likely to changewith time
Growth
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Probability is the term
defined as one of three
classes:
70 to 100% High 40 to 69% Medium
1 to 39% Low
This feature is used by
forecasters to give anestimate of how confident
they are a region will
develop and is normally
determined through the
collaborative discussion.
Probability
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Coverage
Solid linesof convection would be
depicted as a purple line
High 75 to 100%and
Med 50 to 74%-areareas where overall
coverage is likely to
exceed 50%.
Low 25 to 49%- is anarea of mostly scattered
thunderstorms that are
predicted to cover 25 to
49% of the area.
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Probability & CoverageLow Probability and
Low Coverage gives us
a higher potential to
transition this airspace.
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Initial Product 60 minutes before final issue time AWC will
post the initial forecast to the chat room for
review 45 minutes before final issue time the chat
room session commences
15 minutes before final issue time AWC closes
the chat room session and develops the finalforecast product based on chat roomparticipation
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Final Product
The final forecast product is posted on the Web
The SPT uses the final forecast product for the
development of a strategic plan
CCFP Ti t bl
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CCFP Timetable(UTC)
CCFP Package Initial Issue
Time
Collaboration
Session
Final Issue
Time
Valid Time
0300 0145 0200-0230 0245 0500, 0700,
0900
0700 0545 0600-0630 0645 0900, 1100,
1300
1100 0945 1000-1030 1045 1300, 1500,
1700
1500 1345 1400-1430 1445 1700, 1900,
2100
1900 1745 1800-1830 1845 2100, 2300,0100
2300 2145 2200-2230 2245 0100, 0300,
0500
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CCFP Web Locations AWC:
http://cdm.aviationweather.noaa.gov/ccfp/index.p
hp3
Forecast Systems Lab:
http://www-ad.fsl.noaa.gov/
ATCSCC:
http://www.fly.faa.gov/
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Command Center Web Site WWW.FLY.FAA.GOV
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CCFPCollaborative Convective Forecast Product
CCFP
Collaborative Convective Forecast Product