1 AIAA Delta Forum AIAA Public Policy A CRISIS IN AERONAUTICS The NASA Landscape Aerospace Sciences Meeting January 8, 2001 Carol A. Cash, Chair Aeronautics.

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AIAA Delta Forum

AIAA Public Policy

A CRISIS IN AERONAUTICSA CRISIS IN AERONAUTICS

The NASA LandscapeThe NASA Landscape

Aerospace Sciences MeetingAerospace Sciences Meeting

January 8, 2001January 8, 2001

Carol A. Cash, ChairCarol A. Cash, Chair

Aeronautics SubcommitteeAeronautics Subcommittee

AIAA Public Policy CommitteeAIAA Public Policy Committee

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Overview

Our topics today:Our topics today:

Historical R&T TrendsHistorical R&T Trends Competitive ForcesCompetitive Forces Technological and Societal ImpactsTechnological and Societal Impacts Cause for OptimismCause for Optimism What Needs to be DoneWhat Needs to be Done

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Historical R&T trends

NASA’s Aeronautics Budget TrendNASA’s Aeronautics Budget Trend

FY ‘00 budget has declined 37% since 1994FY ‘00 budget has declined 37% since 1994

No FY ‘01 data: “aeronautics” has disappeared as No FY ‘01 data: “aeronautics” has disappeared as a line item a line item

$M in FY ‘98 Constant Year Dollars

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Historical R&T trends

Current situationCurrent situation

OMB feels $600M “right” budget historically forOMB feels $600M “right” budget historically for

NASA aeronauticsNASA aeronautics

DOD aeronautics budgets also decliningDOD aeronautics budgets also declining

Commercial needs now drive the aviation businessCommercial needs now drive the aviation business Perception is that aeronautics is a mature industryPerception is that aeronautics is a mature industry

- not “revolutionary” technology- not “revolutionary” technology

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Historical R&T trends

Validation critical for technology insertionValidation critical for technology insertion

Current budgetCurrent budget

cannot supportcannot support

demo programsdemo programs

Industry cannot Industry cannot depend on NASA depend on NASA technology for technology for critical pathcritical path

GE Aircraft Engines PROPRIETARYInfo rma tion on this pa ge is sub ject to t he re striction s specified on th e cover of th is docum ent.

NASA/GE UDFUnducted Fan

Wide-chord compositefan blade evolved

from GE36

NASA/GE QCSEEQuiet, Clean, Short Cycle, Energy Ef ficient

Noise reductiontechnology, compositenacelle and fan blades

NASA/GE E3

Energy Eff icient EngineScaled core featuring

short, durable 10-stageHPC aerodynamics

NASA/GE ECCPEff icient Clean Combustor Program

Ruggedizeddual-dome combustor

Low noise,weight,

durability

BPR = 9.0weight,

durability

P/P = 23:1 Low NOx

GE90 TechnologyDerived from Successful NASA/GE Programs

GE90 … an Example of Productive NASA / GE Technology Transition and Leadership

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Historical R&T trends

Funding limits Technology Readiness LevelsFunding limits Technology Readiness Levels

NASA has NASA has expertise which expertise which Industry needs, but Industry needs, but TRLs are too lowTRLs are too low

NASA and NASA and Industry must Industry must partner to close the partner to close the technology gaptechnology gap

2 71 3 4 8 9

73 4 85 6 9

.

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Competitive forces

Foreign competition increasingForeign competition increasing

Aeronautics major positive factor in trade balance,Aeronautics major positive factor in trade balance,

but U.S. companies are losing groundbut U.S. companies are losing ground

EC investing heavily in aeronautics researchEC investing heavily in aeronautics research

with two full scale engine demonstrationwith two full scale engine demonstration

programs plannedprograms planned

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Technological and societal impacts

NASA goals on-target but . . .NASA goals on-target but . . .

Funding constraints Funding constraints push out milestonespush out milestonesand change scopeand change scope

Technology Technology roadmaps to achieve roadmaps to achieve objectives remain objectives remain unfundedunfunded

Updated Enterprise Goals & Objectives

Reduce intercity &transcontinentaltravel time

ReduceAccident Rates

IncreaseSystemThroughput

ReduceEmissions

ReduceNoise

RevolutionizeAviation

Mobility

AdvanceSpaceTransportation

ReduceCost

Reduce mission& crew loss

ReduceMissionTime

PioneerTechnologyInnovation

TechnologyInnovation

EngineeringInnovation

Commercialize Technology

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Technological and societal impacts

Aero-space R&D bears fruit if:Aero-space R&D bears fruit if:

There is a strong, There is a strong, stable R&D budget stable R&D budget

National core National core competencies are competencies are protectedprotected

Intellectual capital Intellectual capital is nurturedis nurtured

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American In sti tute of Aeronautics and Astronau ticsCongressional Visit Day 2000

Military Superiority

Protect U.S. & AlliesDeterrence

Transportation

MedicalEnergy

ElectronicsManufacturing

CommunicationsMaterials

Information

Leisure

K-12 Outreach

Inspiration

Math & Science Excellence

University Research

Graduate Students

Small BusinessMinority Owned Business

Trade Balance

Jobs

Technology Spinoffs

U.S. Competitiveness

Systems Engineering

Software

Materials Aerodynamics

Electronics & Avionics

Structural & Mechanical Design

Propulsion

Aerospace R&D Bears Fruit ForThe Nation In Many Areas WhileHolding Key Core TechnicalCompetencies In Place.

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Technological and societal impacts

Future challenges require technologyFuture challenges require technology

Transportation in the 21st Century will be driven byTransportation in the 21st Century will be driven by the desire to travel further, get there faster and the desire to travel further, get there faster and explore new frontiers.explore new frontiers.

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Cause for optimism

Agencies must work togetherAgencies must work together

Declining aeronautics research budgets areDeclining aeronautics research budgets are a threat but also an opportunity for leveragea threat but also an opportunity for leverage

NASA, DOD and DOE identifying program synergiesNASA, DOD and DOE identifying program synergies

Requires executive level commitmentRequires executive level commitment and stable budgetsand stable budgets

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Cause for optimism

Professional organizations mobilizeProfessional organizations mobilize

AIAA PPC Subcommittee on AeronauticsAIAA PPC Subcommittee on Aeronautics

Aeronautics Coalition targeting new AdministrationAeronautics Coalition targeting new Administration

AIA successful in championing PresidentialAIA successful in championing Presidential

Commission on AerospaceCommission on Aerospace

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Cause for optimism

Awakening Aeronautics AwarenessAwakening Aeronautics Awareness

“Aeronautics is an R&T-intensive enterprise…the committee is greatly concerned that ongoing reductions in R&T, which seem to be motivated primarily by the desire to reduce expenditures in the near term, are taking place without an adequate understanding of the long-term consequences…In addition, for the United States to succeed in the globalized world aviation market, the nation requires clearly defined national objectives for aeronautics R&T.”

(Committee on Strategic Assessment of U.S. Aeronautics,

National Research Council)

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Cause for optimism

Congress concerned by declining budgetCongress concerned by declining budget Congress remedied deficiencies for noise andCongress remedied deficiencies for noise and

emissions research in ‘00 budgetemissions research in ‘00 budget

‘ ‘ 01 01 Conference Bill restored and increased vitalConference Bill restored and increased vital

programsprograms

NASA NASA Authorization Bill provided additional fundingAuthorization Bill provided additional funding

authorization and supportive language for aeronauticsauthorization and supportive language for aeronautics

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What needs to be done?

The Federal Government must:The Federal Government must:

Recognize the importance of aeronautics to this Nation Recognize the importance of aeronautics to this Nation

Ensure that RT&D is Ensure that RT&D is balancedbalanced

Foster and encourage partnerships with NASA, DOD, Foster and encourage partnerships with NASA, DOD,

DOE, FAA, Industry,DOE, FAA, Industry, and Academiaand Academia

Provide strong, stable budgets for aeronautics researchProvide strong, stable budgets for aeronautics research

Make appropriate investments in research facilitiesMake appropriate investments in research facilities

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What needs to be done?

AIAA Aeronautics Issues for ‘01:AIAA Aeronautics Issues for ‘01:

Develop and implement a National Aviation ResearchDevelop and implement a National Aviation Research

and Technology Planand Technology Plan

Provide for the design and development of a safe andProvide for the design and development of a safe and

efficient air transportation systemefficient air transportation system

Maintain a skilled workforce through increased fundingMaintain a skilled workforce through increased funding

of innovative academic research of innovative academic research

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What needs to be done?

What can What can YOUYOU do to help? do to help?

Contact your legislators to voice your concerns Contact your legislators to voice your concerns

Educate Congress on the importance of aeronauticsEducate Congress on the importance of aeronautics

Create public awareness of the issuesCreate public awareness of the issues

Join us for Congressional Visits Days 3-21 and 3-22Join us for Congressional Visits Days 3-21 and 3-22

Get involved; become part of the solutionGet involved; become part of the solution