06/2006 Preliminary Findings: The Need for a New Pharmacy School Located in the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex Area Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board.

06/2006

Preliminary Findings:

The Need for a New Pharmacy School Located in the Dallas/Fort Worth

Metroplex Area

Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board

Presentation to the Academic Excellence

and Research Committee

June 14, 2006

06/2006

Number of Schools of Pharmacy in the 10 Most-Populous States (2006)

43

23

4 46

41

2

1

6

1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

10 Most-Populous States

Nu

mb

er o

f S

cho

ols

Full or candidate Accredited Status Precandidate Status

06/2006

Pharmacy Schools in Texas

Current: Texas Southern University (Houston) TTUHSC (Amarillo) University of Houston

The University of Texas at Austin

Opening Fall 2006: Texas A&M University System Health Science Center (Kingsville) University of the Incarnate Word (San Antonio)

Current Satellite Programs

Future Satellite Programs

06/2006

Statewide Distribution of Pharmacy Students by

Main Campus and Satellite Campus

Amarillo - 238

Dallas/Fort Worth- 62Lubbock - 35

El Paso - 14

Austin - 416

Edinburg - 11

Houston - 484

San Antonio - 71

Source: Texas State Board of Pharmacy

06/2006

Distribution of Pharmacy Studentsfor

Fourth Year Clerkships(2005-2006)

Source: Texas State Board of Pharmacy

Amarillo - 28

Dallas/Fort Worth- 59Lubbock - 18

El Paso - 8

Austin - 36

Brownsville Areas - 5

Gulf Coast - 203

San Antonio - 35

06/2006

Applications to Pharmacy School

1,599

2,273

1,574

1,448 1,282

1,1431,213

1,379

2,835

2,902

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Academic Year

Nu

mb

er

of

Ap

pli

can

ts

06/2006

First Year Entering Enrollment and PharmD Degrees Conferred

384

270

382

441472

439

422402414411420

352

397435

423

381

354301298327

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

Academic Year

Nu

mb

er

of

Deg

rees C

on

ferr

ed

an

d

Fir

st

Year

En

teri

ng

En

rollm

en

t

Entering Enrollment Degrees Conferred

06/2006

Projected PharmD Graduates (2005-2014)

421

667631617

586

545

430401396

435

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

Academic Year

Nu

mb

er o

f P

roje

cted

Gra

du

ates

06/2006

Note: Degree estimate is based on an attrition rate of 8.97% which is the average actual attrition for Texas pharmacy students since 1999/2000.

Sources: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Institutions.

2,835

573

463 421

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Applications for Fall 2005 Offers of Admission First-Year Entering Students Graduates in Spring 2009(Estimated)

Educational Pipeline to Obtain a PharmD in Texas (2005)

06/2006

Comparison of Regional Population Representation in Texas Pharmacy Schools (2005)

Analysis 1 - Residency Taken from Students' Application

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

HighPlains

NorthwestTX

Metroplex Upper EastTX

SoutheastTX

Gulf Coast Central TX West TX Upper RioGrande

South TX

Region of Texas

Perc

en

tag

e o

f P

ers

on

s

% of Total Students Enrolled in Texas Pharmacy Schools % of Total State Population

06/2006

Average Entering Class Size in First Professional Degree Programs in Accredited Schools of Pharmacy in the 10 Most-

Populous States (Graduating Class of 2009)

240

150 136

116

155

123

201

104

149

182

115118

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

10 Most-Populous States

Avera

ge C

lass S

ize

06/2006

Number of Bachelor's Degrees Conferred per Entering Pharmacy School Seat in the 10 Most-Populous States

193

93

161

112

78

123 128

179

81

131134

0

50

100

150

200

250

10 Most-Populous States

Nu

mb

er

of

Bach

elo

r's D

eg

rees

Co

nfe

rred

per

Seat

Sources: AACP, Institutions, National Center for Education Statistics, AY 2003

06/2006

Estimated Number of Bachelor Degrees per Entering Class Seat

128 120127

136

179

0

50

100

150

200

Average2005

Texas 2005 Texas 2006 Texas 2007 Texas 2008

Academic Year

Nu

mb

er

of

Deg

rees

Sources: AACP, Institutions, National Center for Education Statistics, AY 2003

06/2006

Practicing Pharmacists per 100,000 Population (2006)

• Statewide Average: 76 per 100,00088

65

4655

83 68

73

62*

90

56

83

*50 per 100,000 for the South Texas region excluding Bexar County; 62 per 100,000 including Bexar County.

Source: Texas State Board of Pharmacy

06/2006

Pharmacy Practice Patterns ofOut-of-State Graduates

(1996-2005)

4%

2%49%

1%3%

7%

10%

3%

1%

21%

Source: Texas State Board of Pharmacy

06/2006

Practice Location Patterns ofTexas Pharmacy School Graduates

(1993-2005)

4%

1%23%

1%2%

11%

13%

1%

1%

42%

Source: Texas State Board of Pharmacy

06/2006

Pharmacy Patterns of Texas Southern University Graduates

(1996-2005)

0%

0%15%

0%1%

2%

9%

1%

1%

71%

Source: Texas State Board of Pharmacy

06/2006

Pharmacy Practice Patterns of Graduates of

Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center

(2000-2005)

27%

4%36%

5%2%

4%

12%

2%

1%

8%

Source: Texas State Board of Pharmacy

06/2006

Pharmacy Practice Patterns of University of Houston Graduates

(1996-2005)

0%

0%19%

0%1%

4%

8%

1%

2%

64%

Source: Texas State Board of Pharmacy

06/2006

Pharmacy Practice Patterns of The University of Texas at Austin Graduates

(1996-2005)

1%

0%30%

1%3%

28%

23%

1%

1%

12%

Source: Texas State Board of Pharmacy

06/2006

New Licensees in Fiscal Year 2005

Texas Graduates 394Out-of-State 425Foreign 78

Total 897

The net increase (accounting for attrition) was 439 new pharmacists, 416 fewer than the number needed to meet annual statewide projections forpharmacist job openings.

06/2006

Workforce Development Area Expected Growth Rate Annual Job Openings(As Percentage)

South Texas (Laredo Area) 50.0 5West Central (Abilene Area) 50.0 15North Central (Arlington Area) 44.4 60Gulf Coast (Houston Area) 39.7 215Capital Area (Austin Area) 38.5 40Alamo (San Antonio Area) 36.7 85Tarrant County (Fort Worth Area) 33.3 65Upper Rio Grande (El Paso Area) 33.3 25Dallas (Dallas Area) 32.6 110North Texas (Wichita Falls Area) 25.0 10Panhandle (Amarillo Area) 16.7 10

Comparative Data by TWC Workforce Development Area (Selective)Expected Growth Rate in Pharmacy Practice (2002-2012)

06/2006

Occupation Expected Growth Rate Annual Job Openings(As Percentage)

Physician Assistants 52.8 305Respiratory Therapists 46.1 455Occupational Therapists 41.1 340Physical Therapists 38.0 410Pharmacists 37.1 855Registered Nurses 34.6 7,625Internists, General 28.4 140Medical Technologists 25.7 495Family and General Practitioner 24.6 395Dentist 6.0 210

Source: Texas Workforce Commission, 2006

Expected Growth Rate in Pharmacy Practice (2002-2012)Comparative Data by Occupation (Selective)

06/2006

Occupation 2003 2005 2006

Medical Technologists 7.9% 6.7% 5.2%Occupational Therapists 4.1% 11.6% 10.0%Pharmacists 9.2% 9.9% 8.2%Physical Therapists 11.5% 15.2% 10.4%Registered Nurses 9.0% 10.0% 8.6%Respiratory Therapists 7.9% 5.1% 6.6%

* 2004 data are not available

Dallas-Fort Worth Hospital Council Vacancy Rates*

06/2006

Texas Population, Pharmacists, & Graduates

14.2 16.3 17.018.7

20.923.0

25.428.1

696

545435270294365257346

21,38319,484

17,609

15,58813,827

12,50011,544

10,041

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010* 2015*

Pharmacists

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Pharmacy Graduates

Total Population Graduates Pharmacists

* Projections

06/2006

Key Preliminary Findings

• Texas ranks second (with Pa) in the U.S. in its number of pharmacy schools.

• Applications to pharmacy school increased by 134 percent from 2000 to 2005.

• Graduates increased by 61 percent from 2000 to 2005 and are projected to increase by 53 percent from 2005 to 2014 as the new pharmacy schools build capacity.

• Residents of the Metroplex are under-represented in pharmacy education.

06/2006

Key Preliminary Findings (cont).• Texas is a net importer of pharmacists. In 2005,

the net increase in total licensees did not meet the State’s annual projection of pharmacist job openings.

• Texas schools could increase their class size and remain within the norm for schools in states with similarly large population.

• The Metroplex has the third largest number of pharmacists per 100,000 population in the state.

• 49% of new out-of-state graduates and 23% of new Texas graduates practice in the Metroplex.