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VIETNAMNATIONALUNIVERSITY HOCHIMINHCITY
INTERNATIONALUNIVERSITY
SCHOOL OF BUSINESS
DETERMINANTS OF WORKING CAPITAL
REQUIREMENT
THE STUDY FROM COMPANIES LISTED ON
HO CHI MINH STOCK EXCHANGE (HOSE)
In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements of the Degree of
BACHELOR OF ARTS in BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
Students name: NGUYEN NGOC QUYEN (BAIU09104)
Advisor: PHAM THI THU TRA, Ph.D.
HoChiMinh City, Vietnam
2013
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DETERMINANTS OF WORKING CAPITAL
REQUIREMENT
THE STUDY FROM COMPANIES LISTED ON
HO CHI MINH STOCK EXCHANGE (HOSE)
APPROVED BY: Advisor APPROVED BY: Committee,
________________________ ___________________________________
Pham Thi Thu Tra, Ph.D. Pham Thi Thu Tra, Ph.D, Chair.
___________________________________
Duong Thuy Tram Anh, M.S, Secretary.
___________________________________
Ho Diep, Ph.D.
___________________________________
Nguyen Thi Thuy Trang, MBA.
THESIS COMMITTEE
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ACKNOWELEDGEMENTS
First and foremost, I would like to express my sense of sincere
and profound
gratitude to my supervisor, Professor Pham Thi Thu Tra, who has
permitted me to do this
thesis under her supervision. I genuinely feel honored when I
have a valuable chance to
work with the professional, skilled and enthusiastic supervisor.
Furthermore, I have
learned a lot from her insightful guidance, experience and
constructive suggestion
throughout all steps of the thesis. The thesis cannot be
completed comprehensively
without her encouragement and inspiration. Again, with all of my
appreciation, thank
you, my supervisor.
Secondly, it will be my shortcoming if I do not give thanks to
the thesis
committee for their contribution to my proposal that helps me
consolidate the weakness
of this thesis.
Then, I also like to extend my gratefulness to International
University for
sponsoring and assisting for my study.
Last but not least, my heartfelt thanks go to my family who
always love me, take
care of me and provide me the continuous supports, which
motivates me to achieve the
goals in my life. Thank my friends for all the lovely memory
that we shared together and
being by my side when I face the difficulties. Now this is the
time for me to apply my
knowledge that I have accumulated during 4 years at
International University in the
practice.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
ACKNOWELEDGEMENTS
................................................................................................
iii
LIST OF TABLES
.................................................................................................................
vii
LIST OF FIGURES
...............................................................................................................viii
ABBREVIATION
..........................................................................................................
ix
ABSTRACT
..............................................................................................................................
x
CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION
..........................................................................................
1
1.1 Background to the study
.................................................................................1
1.2 The objective of the
study................................................................................4
1.3 Significant of the study
....................................................................................5
1.4 The scope of the study
.....................................................................................5
1.5 The structure of study
.....................................................................................5
CHAPTER II. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK AND LITERATURE REVIEW ....
6
2.1 Working capital
requirement..........................................................................6
2.2 Working capital policy
....................................................................................9
2.3 Determinats of working capital requirement
............................................... 12
2.4 The review of empirical evidence on the determinants of
working capital
requirement
..............................................................................................................
17
2.5 Conceptual framework
..................................................................................
22
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CHAPTER III. METHODOLOGY
....................................................................................
24
3.1 Data
................................................................................................................
24
3.2 Model specification
........................................................................................
24
3.3.1 The model specification
..................................................................
25
3.3.2 Measurement of variables
..............................................................
25
3.3 Estimation
......................................................................................................
26
3.3.1 The pooled OLS
..............................................................................
27
3.3.2 The fixed effects
..............................................................................
27
3.3.3 The random effects
.........................................................................
27
3.3.4 The Ramsey test
..............................................................................
28
3.3.5 The Hausman test
...........................................................................
28
CHAPTER IV. OVERVIEW OF WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENT OF
COMPANIES LISTED ON HOSE
...............................................................................
30
4.1 The working capital requirement of the industry sectors for
the period
from 2007 to 2012
.....................................................................................................
30
4.2 Working capital policy
..................................................................................
33
4.3 The relationship between working capital requirement and
profitability of
the industries
............................................................................................................
35
4.4 The alterations of working capital requirement and sales
growth over 6
years .37
CHAPTER V. ANALYSIS, RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
...................................... 39
5.1 Descriptive statistics
.......................................................................................
39
5.2. Correlation
statistics......................................................................................
41
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5.3. Regression results for separate years
............................................................ 42
5.4. Regression results of pooled OLS, manufacturing industry
and
conservative working capital policy
........................................................................
45
5.5. Fixed effects and random effects results
....................................................... 52
Chapter VI.
CONCLUSION........................................................................................
55
LIST OF
REFERENCES..............................................................................................
58
APPENDICES
...............................................................................................................
61
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LIST OF TABLES
Table Descriptive title Page
Table 1: Summary of dependent varable and independent variables
......................................... 26
Table 2: Descriptive statistics result (means by year)
.................................................................
39
Table 3: Pearson correlation coefficient
....................................................................................
41
Table 4: Regression results for separate year
............................................................................
43
Table 5: Regression results of pooled OLS, manufacturing
industry and conservative working
capital policy
.....................................................................................................................
45
Table 6: The results of fixed effects and random effects
............................................................ 53
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure Descriptive title Page
Figure 1: Cumulative capital requirement
...................................................................................
8
Figure 2: The determinants of working capital requirement of
companies listed on Hose in
Vietnam
............................................................................................................................
22
Figure 3: Working capital requirement of the industry sectors
from 2007 to 2012 .................... 31
Figure 4: Working capital policies of the industry sectors,
2007- 2012 ....................................... 33
Figure 5: The relationship between working capital requirement
and profitability of listed
companies in Hose from 2007 to 2012
..............................................................................
35
Figure 6: The changes of working capital requirement and sales
growth from 2007 to 2012 ..... 37
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ABBREVIATION
ARE Number of days in account receivables
INVT Number of days in inventory
LEV Financial leverage
OLS Ordinary Least Square
OPC Operating cycle
ROA Return on asset
SGR Sales growth
SIZ Size of company
WCR Working capital requirement
RESET Regression Equation Specification Error Test
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ABSTRACT
Over years there are many researches about the impact of working
capital
management on firms profitability. Nonetheless, the factors that
determine working
capital requirement of company have not been investigated
extensively. Consequently,
the study is carried out to examine the determinants influencing
the need of working
capital of 265 companies listed on Ho Chi Minh stock exchange
(Hose) using panel data
for the period from 2007 to 2012.
For the purpose of this study, the quantitative method is used
to test a set of
research hypothesis. The empirical results reveal that most
industries exposed in the
study have run their business with the conservative working
capital policy in accordance
with high demand of working capital. The company size,
profitability and operating cycle
have positive and significant impact on working capital
requirement of Vietnamese
companies. Besides, it is also shown that the more financial
leverage company employs,
the less working capital it requires. Sale growth factor appears
to have no significant
impact on working capital requirement. The moderate effect of
such decisive factors as
size, profitability, operating cycle and leverage illustrates
the context of working capital
need in a transitional economy as Vietnam. The studys findings
offer the basic reference
for future research as well as the implication for managers in
operating business.
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CHAPTER I
INTRODUCTION
The first chapter intends to provide the primary aspects which
are essential to
get general idea about working capital requirement and the
rationale of doing this study.
It includes the research background, research objective,
significant implication, the scope
and the structure of the study.
1.1 Background to the study
The transition of Vietnamese economy to become a market-oriented
economy
has brought a new look for the country and Vietnamese peoples
life. This has been
proved by the notable achievements in the development of
economy, increasing the
standards of living, the enhancement of culture and education
over the past twenty five
years. However, in recent years, with the global crisis, most of
companies in the world as
well as in Vietnam get the difficulties for the expansion.
According to the economic
experts, Vietnamese economy has gradually fallen into the stage
of stagflation - a
circumstance where the inflation rate is high, the growth rate
goes down and the
unemployment rate is still high. That is a major alarm of any
economy and gives a signal
of disturbance of cash flows as well as the shrink of business
growth. Besides that, with
the increase of bad debt expenses, Vietnamese banks have the
policies to tighten the
credit, many companies now try to find the opportunities for
improving cash flow and
avoid the stagnancy of operation. Even though Vietnamese
government has introduced
numerous policies to support the business sector, particularly
the interest rate has
dropped, the Vietnamese companies have not felt excited since
they do not afford to
repay the old loans for getting new ones and the problem of
unsettled inventories still
exists. Additionally, the decrease of interest rate has not yet
helped many companies
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improve their production and business operation due to the lack
of working capital
requirement. As a result, working capital requirement is
considered as an important
element to ensure the survival and growth of any company and the
business may not run
efficiently without the appropriate amount of working
capital.
Furthermore, it cannot be ignored the cruciality of working
capital
requirement during financial decision making because it is a
part of investment in assets
to finance day to day operation and also minimizes the risk of
future financial
shortcoming. When the company does not have enough amount of
working capital for
running business in short-term, it will affect significantly the
businesss value in long-
term. However, in the time of financial decision making, the
managers sometimes do not
pay attention to determine the need of working capital as they
assume that it just regards
to the investment and financing in short period and does not
enhance the return to equity
(Sanger, 2011). If this happens unfavorably, there is the
likelihood of discrepancy
between current assets and current liabilities during operating
business so it will influence
the companys productivity and growth. Seriously, it can lead to
the financial distress or
even the bankruptcy of company.
Traditionally, the corporate finance literature has only
concentrated on the
study of long-term finance such as capital budgeting, capital
structure and dividend
policy. The short-term finance, on the other hand, should be
focused cautiously on how
the current assets and current liabilities are decided because
it affects the companys
performance within a period as well as contributes a main
resource of capital for small
and medium-sized companies and high growth companies. For
instance, a manufacturing
company may invest in excess of a haft of total assets for
current assets while a service
company may retain the investment in current assets at low
level. Although investing in
working capital is very vital, the way how each company decides
an adequate amount of
working capital requirement also influences considerably its
performance. As an
inadequate working capital will disrupt the daily production and
impair the firms sales.
Consequently, the companys working capital position is not only
an internal concern but
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also the indicator of creditors risk. Van Horne and Wachowicz
(2004) stated that the
overload of current assets might have a negative impact on
companys profitability while
the small amount of current assets can cause the stock out
condition and weaken the
liquidity that results in creating obstacles for business
operation.
In practice, the paradigm each company requires different level
of working
capital has become one of the most significant matters in the
field of financial
management. The reason here is that working capital requirement
of company is no
longer valid, in which the managers are getting difficulty in
recognizing the determinants
of working capital requirement to decide an appropriate amount
of working capital.
Generally, each company has to need a minimum amount of source
as the working
capital requirement to finance its operational expenses. If the
level of working capital is
too high, it implies that the company has the idle funds which
are associated with high
opportunity cost. Whereas a small amount of working capital may
result in the risk of
insolvency since the company might not be able to finance its
short-term liabilities. For
instance, there are many studies carried out by the Bureau of
Public Enterprises that
expose the reason for the poor performance of public industry.
As a result, the public
industry has the over capitalization in operating business which
indicates that the public
companies have too large funds for working capital requirement.
This leads to a low level
rate of return and using the resource at a less rate than
optimal. Therefore, each company
should focus on determining the working capital requirement.
During running business, working capital requirement of company
also varies
from company to another and specifically in one firm, it also
changes from time to time.
The differences in production and strategic plans between
companies in the same and
different industries are obvious; therefore, the working capital
requirement is also not
identical for all companies. And basically, working capital
requirement will be relied on
how much and how frequently the company has received the
earning, which expenses the
company must cover and how frequently these expenses will be
paid. Furthermore,
nowadays, many small companies have troubles to meet their
working capital
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requirement with the constraints of their margin and the sales
nature while the large ones
can afford working capital requirement and do not have faced any
barrier. To get an
adequate working capital requirement, this also raises a
straightforward question as to
what factors influence the companys working capital requirement.
Consequently, the
company will be going to the insolvency and bankruptcy if it has
the shortage of
understanding about the influence of working capital requirement
as well as the lack of
transparency about its determinants.
Smith (1973) has figured out that a major failure of company may
be the
result of the inability of manager in scheduling the current
assets and current liabilities
efficiently. In short, researching the determinants of working
capital requirement will
explore the useful aspects that help managers verify the reason
why each company has
different level of working capital requirement so they will have
a proper preparation in
planning the need of working capital and allocate the funds
effectively. Most of studies
tend to examine the relationship between the working capital
management and the
companys profitability or the influence of working capital
policy on the creation of
value. However, there are few studies about the driver factors
determining working
capital requirement among developing countries, especially in
Vietnam. Therefore, this
study is carried out to find out the determinants of working
capital requirement of
companies listed on Ho Chi Minh stock exchange (Hose) in
Vietnam.
1.2 The objective of the study
The conduct of this study intends to figure out the determinants
of working
capital requirement of companies listed on Ho Chi Minh stock
exchange (Hose).
Furthermore, it also investigates the nature of financial and
non financial factors that
decide the requirement of working capital as well as the impact
of particular determinants
on the companys working capital requirement.
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1.3 Significant of the study
The study looks for the factors that determine the companys
working capital
requirement. Since the working capital plays an important role
in making financial
decisions, it should be critical for company to determine an
adequate level of working
capital requirement in running daily operation and maintain the
short-term investment.
Through the findings, the corporate manager will gain better
understanding of the
influence of determinants on working capital requirement.
1.4 The scope of the study
This study is carried out to examine the determinants of working
capital
requirement among Vietnamese companies. However, due to the
limitation of time and
availability of data, the study primarily collects the data from
companies listed on Hose.
Therefore, the results cannot be generalized for all Vietnamese
companies.
1.5 The structure of study
This study is organized as follows. The first section is the
introduction which
consists of the background to the study, the research
objectives, significant of the study,
the scope of the study and structure of the study. Second
section presents the literature
review of working capital requirement and conceptual framework
of the study conducted
in relating to the previous studies. Third section is research
methodology which describes
the sample, measurement of variables and estimation methods.
Next section reports an
overview of working capital requirement of listed companies in
Ho Chi Minh stock
exchange (Hose). Fifth section exposes the data analysis and
discussion of result based on
the data collected. Last section summarizes the main findings of
this study and also
provides the suggestions and conclusion.
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CHAPTER II
THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK AND LITERATURE REVIEW
The second chapter figures out the theoretical framework for the
study about
working capital requirement, working capital policy,
determinants of working capital
requirement as well as the previous researches related to the
study problem. This part is
necessary in any research since it not only helps to comprehend
various concepts but also
contributes to construct the conceptual framework for the
study.
2.1 Working capital requirement
The foundation of working capital requirement is defined as the
minimum
amount of resource which a company needs to efficiently wrap the
daily costs and
expenses to run the business (Amarjit Gill, 2011). Since each
company has typical
features, it will require the level of working capital
differently. Accordingly, there is no
optimal level of working capital requirement that is generally
suitable to all business
activities from industry to another or even to companies
operated in the same industry.
Normally, working capital is considered as the means of
existence for any enterprise and
a significant matter throughout financial decision making as it
is an element of the
investment in total assets (Bhunia, 2010).So it is impossible to
run business smoothly
without a proper amount of working capital. And to avoid this
problem, the financial
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managers and executives should have strategic plans to obtain an
adequate working
capital. There are two methods of forecasting the working
capital requirement:
conventional method and operating cycle method (VirendraC.Jani,
2007). The
conventional method emphasizes the liquidity of business and the
compatibleness
between cash inflow and cash outflow. The operating cycle
method, on the other hand, is
more active and has high reliability. With the operating cycle
method, the working capital
is based on the fundamental of operating cycles length. Besides
that, according to The
Institute of Chartered Accounting of India, other methods like
ratio of fixed investment
and ratio of sales would be used to forecast the working capital
requirement. Specifically,
the working capital requirement is estimated as the percentage
of fixed investments by
the ratio of fixed investment method and as the proportion of
sales on the supposition
which the current assets change with changes in sales by ratio
of sales method.
Moreover, the working capital requirement also responds to the
short-term
financial needs for managing business. The lesser need for
financing and less cost of
capital are the results of lesser needs of working capital and
it simultaneously raise the
amount of cash for stockholder (Ganesan, 2007). The study of
Brealey, Mayers and Allen
(2006) stated that the cumulative capital requirement is the
cost of capital which a
company acquires time by time. The cumulative capital
requirement tends to develop
unpredictably in accordance with the unique cycle of business
and is financed by either
short-term liabilities or long-term liabilities. If the
cumulative capital requirement is
covered with the excess of long-term financing, there is the
surplus of cash. However, the
opposite case will result in acquiring the short-term financing
for companys operation.
Therefore, this will indicate two scenarios of company such as
short-term lender or
borrower. The below figure illustrates the cumulative capital
requirement graphically:
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Figure 1: Cumulative capital requirement
(Source: Adapted from the study of Brealey, Mayers and Allen,
2006)
From the figure1, there are three different strategies that are
named A, B and
C. The three lines have upward sloping which demonstrate that
the more company
develops, the more capital it needs. The line A signifies a
situation that the short-term
assets are invested by the surplus of cash kept constantly. The
line B shows a situation
that the company may become the short-term lender in one year
and the short-term
borrower in another year. Finally, the need of permanent
short-term financing is
demonstrated by the line C. In other words, this figure has
specified the way how the
working capital requirement of company has the effect on its
financing decisions. The
company with lots of capital invested in current assets can
utilize more long-term
financing than the company with appropriate matching between the
short-term assets and
short-term liabilities. As a result, it is essential for the
study to find out the determinants
of working capital requirement which will help company have the
precise decisions for
financing working capital.
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2.2 Working capital policy
As determining an adequate working capital requirement, the
working capital
policy is essential in planning working capital precisely.
Besley and Brigham (2008)
stated that working capital policy is referred as the companys
fundamental policy
relating the objective level for every type of current assets
and the way that the current
assets would be financed. Moreover, the working capital policy
can be illustrated as the
helpful guideline to direct business as well as match moderately
between current assets
and current liabilities in the approach which can release the
risk of default. Each
company should control carefully the working capital level in
other to maintain the
availability of cash for short-term financing. Unless the
companys performance is well
in short-term, its value is not be maximized in long-term. With
an inefficient working
capital policy, the companys working capital requirement cannot
be met sufficiently
which causes the failure of company. In addition, Hawawini,
Viallet and Vora (1986)
pointed out that working capital policy depends on industrys
characteristic and changes
from time to time as well as from industry to another or even
from different companies in
the same industry. Since every company has different working
capital requirement, for
instances, manufacturing industry requires a large amount of
working capital whereas
service industry requires less amount of working capital.
From the prior empirical studies (Filbeck and Krueger, 2005;
Yadav, Kamath
and Manjreka, 2009), working capital policy has changed over
time with the variation of
economic cycles. Therefore, companies have a tendency to need a
large amount of
working capital in the high business volatility context and a
small one in the low
volatility context. Furthermore, in the case of more instability
of future cash flow, the
company will need more cash held and short-term investment to
maintain the operational
business. Hence, working capital policy helps manager to decide
the correct level of
working capital and to manage working capital effectively.
Additionally, the liquidity of
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current assets corresponding with the current liabilities is
also dependent on the working
capital policy. With different liquidity positions, the
companies will have distinctive
working capital requirements in production process. According to
Arnold Glen, 2008,
Corporate financial management, 4th edition, working capital
policy is classified into
three types such as conservative policy, aggressive policy and
moderate policy.
Conservative policy
Through the conservative policy, the companys fixed assets and
major parts
of current assets are financed by long-term fund and the company
will hold the excess of
cash and inventory as well as a minimum amount of current
liabilities. As a result, in the
conservative policy, the level of working capital is high. In
2009, the study of
Paramasivan and Subramanian revealed that a company can
establish the financial
strategy which fits the expected life of asset with the source
of funds increased to manage
business successfully under this approach. Although the company
can decrease the risk
by diminishing the current liabilities, it still has the side-
effect on its profitability due to
higher interest rate of long-term debt. Therefore, this policy
is considered as the low risk-
low return strategy. Because it may prevent financial distress
generated by the shortage of
funds to finance short-term liabilities, but it also lessens
companys profit and raises the
cost of financing.
Aggressive policy
Under the aggressive policy, the company will finance all
current assets and
some parts of fixed assets with the short-term debt and also
minimize the investment in
current assets. Since the interest rate of short-term debt is
relatively lower than long-term
debt so it can enhance the higher return by reducing cost.
However, it also exposes the
substantial risk if the short-term interest rate varies
unpredictably or the current cash
inflow is not sufficient to cover the current liabilities
(Weston and Brigham, 1977,
p.716). Besides that, with aggressive approach, the company will
reserve the minimum
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level of inventory in other to decrease the expenses related to
carrying inventory.
Therefore, the company can gain more profit but there is
existence of the risk that is the
stock out situation. More important, its sale will be missed
because of the lack of
inventory, particularly in retail industry. For this approach,
the level of working capital is
low and it results in high return that is corresponded with high
risk.
Moderate policy
The above approaches have own advantages and disadvantages; in
some case,
the company cannot increase the current assets to against the
current liabilities followed
the conservative policy or decrease the current assets to
against the current liabilities
followed the aggressive policy. Obviously, the moderate policy
is not only the
harmonious combination of conservative policy and aggressive
policy but also adjusts the
balance of risk and return. In this policy, the short-term
assets will be financed by short-
term liabilities and the fixed or permanent assets will be
financed by long-term funds.
Within this policy, the companys current assets are matched
effectively with the current
liabilities. As it helps manager determine the reasonable level
of working capital in other
to decrease the default risk and ensure the operational
business. Consequently, the
moderate policy is associated with moderate risk and moderate
return as well as fit with
companies in the high volatility context.
Gardner et al, 1986; Weinraub and Visscher, 1998 concluded that
the more
aggressive policy company uses, the higher risk and return are
in regard to high working
capital. While high availability of cash and inventory under
conservative policy lead to
lower risk and return. As a result, the company will set up the
suitable working capital
policy which is dependent on the business context to find out an
appropriate demand
level of working capital in running the business.
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2.3 Determinants of working capital requirement
In recent years, there are many empirical studies conducted to
explore the
working capital subject like Lamberson, M (1995); Moussawi,
Laplante and Kitschnick
(2006); Appuhami,B (2008); Melmet, S. and Eda, O. (2009); Owusu-
Frimpong and
Martins (2010); Babatunde and Laoye (2011); etc. So the working
capital subject is not
only an interesting study for many scholars but also contributes
a major part in managing
business. However, most of studies do not research on
determinants of working capital
requirement that are vital factors for making capital decision
in running day to day
operation. The companys working capital requirement is decided
by multiple factors
which are unique for each company and alter from time to time.
In the study of
Financial management, Paramasivan and Subramanian (2009) and the
study of
Working capital management, Ramamoorthy (1976) reviewed the
preceding studies
that pointed out the determined factors affecting demand of
working capital. Specifically,
it is classified categorized into two groups like internal
factor that needs for own business
concern like nature and size of company, sales growth, financial
leverage, operating
cycle, the companys profitability and external factor that can
not be administered by the
internal management like the level of economic activity.
Nature of business
Generally, each company always has the representative business
nature so the
working capital requirement is also determined differently from
company to company as
well as from industry to industry and depends on the strategy
that owner and manager
have directed for the development of business. Particularly,
trading and financial firms
invest less in fixed asset and require a large amount of working
capital since they must
conduct their business in the way of storing stock in trade,
receivables and liquid cash.
Similarly, the retail stores contain a great amount of inventory
to meet customers need,
manufacturing firms will have to hold more money as working
capital and invest in fixed
asset. On the contrary, the public utilities need less working
capital and more finances in
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fixed asset. In 2006, Pandey stated that the working capital
requirement of public utilities
is normally small because they just provide service and cash
sales rather than making
product so there is no fund related to receivables and
inventory. Therefore, depending
upon the business manner, the working capital requirement can
vary in different ways to
support the business process successfully.
Size of business
The prior studies have researched that size is one of the
factors determining of
working capital. In particular, the study of Padachi (2006)
conducted on small industrial
firms in Mauritania figured out that the large firms as well as
small firms do stress the
working capital. Especially, the working capital takes a
considerable role for operation of
small firms because small firms commonly have to contain a high
amount of current
assets, less liquidity, volatile cash flow and high dependence
on short-term financing.
Moreover, some researcher such as Chiou, Cheng and Wu (2006);
Hill, Kelly and
Highfield (2010) had found that there is existence of the
positive relationship between
size and working capital requirement. In fact, size is gauged in
term of scale of operation.
Under the same kind of business, two firms will have diverse
working capital needs that
are based on scale of operation or the level of business
activity. The greater scale of
operation the company has, the more working capital it requires.
However, in some cases,
small firms still need high level of working capital because of
the obstacles getting long-
term funds, high overhead expenses, the shortage of resource.
For that reason, size of
business will specify the working capital requirement of
company.
Operating cycle
In general, the operating cycle is defined as the length of time
from
companys purchase for raw materials, processing into inventory
to receiving cash from
selling final goods to customer. The length of operating cycle
may be long or short and
depends on the nature of business. In most cases, the companies
always want to keep the
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14
operating cycle as the short as possible for numerous objective
reasons, but in some
industries, the long operating cycle is the natural standard.
For example, the companies
which produce the consumer products such as shampoo, soap,
toothpaste, etc or food
products have the short operating cycle. In contrast, the
companies which produce the
luxury products like car, jewelry normally have the long
operating cycle. Moreover, a
short operating cycle also means faster return on investment for
the companys inventory
while a long operating cycle will make more level of inventory
bound with funds.
Consequently, the requirement of working capital moves in the
positive direction with the
length of operating cycle. The longer operating cycle is, the
more working capital
company demands. And this also implies that the higher inventory
cost company incurs
and the more opportunity cost company loses because of the
unavailability of investment
fund.
The sales growth of business
In most cases, every company has its own sale growth nature
which varies
over time and affects appreciably the firms survival and
development. During a year,
the companys manager will have various oriented strategies to
expand operational
business by investing in current assets and fixed assets so the
capital expenditures also
increase in the regard to the sale growth of business.
Correspondently, the company will
require more working capital and the need of fund also changes
from time to time.
Although there is no explicit regulation that verifies the
specific number of relation
between the increase of sale level and capital needs, the
company should create a
provision of working capital to keep up the expansion of
production and sale growth. For
instance, the technology industry normally requires large amount
of working capital to
support its sale expansion since it belongs to the growth
industry and the investing capital
in technology spends a huge amount of money. To achieve the
success, the rising of sale
capacity is an important aspect in enhancing the companys
profitability. As a result, it
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15
would not be denied that the growth of sale and working capital
requirement move in the
positive direction.
Financial leverage
In business term, financial leverage is the degree to which a
company borrows
money from outside to finance its business. Overall, the
financial leverage helps company
to get fund resource for its growth and spending or even gain
the tax shield associated to
borrowing. However, if company borrows lots of money and cannot
afford to repay debt,
it will lead to the financial distress and the risk of
insolvency. There is no steady relation
between financial leverage and working capital requirement in
the substantial theoretical
framework undertaken. Nonetheless, from the previous empirical
studies (Chiou et al,
2006; Nazir and Afza, 2009; Taleb et al, 2010; Olayinka, 2012),
they concluded that the
leverage is negatively related to the working capital
requirement. Therefore, in this case,
there would be the negative relationship between the financial
leverage and working
capital requirement. Since the companies with high leverage
would be inclined to require
lower level of working capital and employ less amount of current
assets on their
operation as well as focus on the efficient of working capital
management to avoid
binding much capital with inventory and account receivables.
The profitability of company
Another determinant, when it comes up with the profitability,
the working
capital requirement and the profitability of company have the
linear relation. When a
company has more profit which can imply that the company is
running its business in the
favorable direction and has attained the prosperous position in
the market so the company
should expand its capacity of production to create more products
in meeting customers
need. Furthermore, the trade credit to customers is also
enlarged by the plans of
company. As a company needs more funds for investing and
financing, it will result in
higher working capital requirement. Or in another word, the more
profitability company
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16
has, the more working capital it requires. In addition, Shin and
Soenen (1998); Petersen
and Rajan (1997) stated that the negotiation power with the
suppliers has been
consolidated stronger for company with more profitability and
the liquidity problem will
be got better through the competitive advantages of company. On
the other hand, the
study of Deloof (2003) has confirmed that when there are more
resources invested in
working capital for supporting high profitability, the company
may lose the more
opportunity costs of investment in the potential projects.
Despite of inconclusive studies,
from the empirical evidences, the study will expect the positive
relation between the
working capital requirement and the profitability of
company.
The level of economic activity
Most of firms performance usually relies on the change in
demands of
customer for its goods and services. The changes in economic
circumstances will have
the impact on the companys operational business. As a result,
the working capital
requirement is also affected by the level of economic activity
or business fluctuation.
Generally, the level of economic activity will go through two
directions like upswing and
downswing. In the upswing of economy, the firm may experience
the increase of sales
that leads to the increased investment in inventories,
receivables and book debts. In
addition, to ensure the increase of capacity, the firm should
have the additional plans to
invest in fixed assets. Accordingly, it will demand more working
capital to maintain these
activities. The opposite case is the downswing of economy which
will decrease the
volume of sale; in turn, the working capital requirement will be
less due to the shrink of
inventory and short-term borrowing. Besides that, the study of
Pandey (2006) also stated
that the correlation of business fluctuation and working capital
requirement takes the firm
to deal with the production dilemma. For instance, in the boom
period, the increase of
sale will associate with the enlargement of production that is
quite expensive for firm; in
the same way, under recession period, the firm will confront the
same cost of production
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17
as in the ordinary period and also use inefficiently the
physical facilities and labor force
to keep the operational business from day to day.
In summary, these above determinants have demonstrated the major
impacts
on working capital requirement of a firm. From the study, it is
necessary to verify the
determinants affecting working capital requirement. When the
firm wants to run business
successfully, it will be aware of the association between these
determinants and need of
working capital to decide an appropriate amount of working
capital for its daily
operation.
2.4 Review of empirical evidence on the determinants of working
capital
requirement
To understand an important role of working capital in operating
business,
there are some prior empirical studies that have researched the
determinants of working
capital requirement in different countries. Particularly, in
1981, Nunn conducted the
research based on PIMS database to inspect the reason why some
product lines need high
level of working capital requirement while other ones need low
level of working capital
requirement. His study revealed that the recognized factors like
production, sale,
competition position and industry affected the working capital
requirement of the product
line perspective. In another research, Hawawini, Viallet and
Vora (1986) found the
impact of industry on working capital need. Their study was
researched on 1181
American enterprises over the time period of 1960-1979. The
conclusion of all findings
was summarized that the industry practices and sale growth have
a crucial effect on
companys investment in working capital need. Furthermore, they
also suggested that
working capital policies of all firms depend on the industry
performance and the
influence of these policies have been maintained stable over
years.
In the Pakistani circumstance, Nazir, M.S. and Afza, T. (2008)
investigated
204 manufacturing companies from 16 industries listed on Karachi
Stock Exchange
(KSE) during a period 1998-2006 to point out the factors
determining working capital
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18
requirement. They have set working capital requirement as the
dependent variable and
operating cycle of firm, leverage, growth of firm, level of
economic activity, operating
cash flow, firm size, industry, return on asset and Tobins q as
independent variables.
Accordingly, they concluded that the factors like leverage,
operating cycle, return on
asset and Tobinq notably determined the firms working capital
requirement. Then, in
2009, they also used the regression analysis on the panel data
for 132 manufacturing
firms listed on Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) during the period
of 2004-2007. Their
study showed the positive relationships of operating cash flow,
return on asset, Tobins q
and negative relationship of leverage with working capital
requirement. However, they
did not find any statistical relationship between sale growth,
firm size and the level of
economic activity with working capital requirement for the
practice of Pakistani firms.
Furthermore, Amarjit Gill (2011) examined the factors
influencing working
capital requirement on a sample of 166 Canadian firms listed on
Toronto Stock Exchange
for the period of 2008- 2010 by applying the co-relational and
non-experimental research
design. His study indicated that the operating cycle, leverage,
return on asset,
internationalization of firm, Tobins q and firm size had the
impacts on working capital
requirement in Canadian manufacturing industry, whereas the
operating cycle, sales of
growth, firm size, the return on asset influence working capital
requirement in Canadian
service industry. The research offered that the investor should
have a prudent analysis of
firms before making decision about investment in debt and equity
securities since
working capital requirement and working capital management
differ from industry to
industry or even from country to country.
More recently, Suleiman M. Abbadi and Rasha T. Abbadi (2012)
based on a
sample of 11 industrial listed companies for eight years
(2004-2011) in Palestine
Securities Exchange to provide the empirical evidence of the
determinants of working
capital requirement in Palestinian industrial corporations. They
have used the multiple
regression techniques to test two models. The first model
contained all variables,
including the internal factors and external factors that have
effect on working capital of
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19
Palestinian companies, while the second model excluded the
external factors such as
interest rate, the economic growth and just examine the internal
factors such as leverage,
operating cash flow, cash conversion cycle, profitability, firm
size. On the basic of the
results of their study, there were five internal variables that
were found as the significant
determinants of working capital requirement. The two external
variables did not influence
working capital requirement, this specified the limited support
for the straight association
between economic factors and working capital need in
Palestine.
For the Asian emerging market, Asmawi Noor Saarani and
FaridahShahadan
(2012) studied the determining factors of working capital need
using accounting data of
285 Enterprise 50 (E50) firms for a period 2006-2008. The data
were analyzed by the
Structure Equation Modeling (SME) technique of Partial Least
Squares. In general, the
test confirmed the discriminated and convergent validity of
construct for factors loading
and proved the representative developing model satisfactorily.
They concluded that
profitability, non-debt tax shield, tangibility of assets and
debt were the determinate
factors of working capital requirement for Enterprise 50 (E50)
firms in Malaysia.
In one of the African cases, the study of
OlayinkaOlufisayoAkinlo (2012)
estimated the determinants of working capital requirement in
selected quoted companies
in Nigeria. Based on a panel data for 66 firms in Nigeria from
1997 to 2007, the three
estimations like pooled OLS, fixed effects and random effects
were adopted in the study
to test the model specification. After running multiple
regressions, the study found that
the operating cycle, growth of sales and size, economic activity
and permanent of
working capital were the company specific behaviors positively
relating to working
capital requirement but the leverage was negatively relative to
working capital
requirement. Generally, the results of study implied the
application of some insights from
modern finance theory in Nigeria.
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20
2.5 Conceptual framework
Although there are already several earlier researches concerning
determining
factors of working capital demand, the conclusive findings are
different and dependent on
the country context. Hence, it is requisite to carry out the
research on this subject matter,
especially in particular industries in Vietnam. All the above
discussions take me to come
up with the conceptual framework for this study. The theoretical
arguments and the
previous empirical studies have identified a major number of
attributions about
determinants of working capital requirement. Due to the
limitation and the application in
the circumstance of Vietnam, it cannot investigate all the
factors determining working
capital requirement as the prior studies, instead, this study
will focus and research on the
working capital policy, operating cycle, sales growth,
profitability of company, financial
leverage, the nature and size of company as the internal
company-associated factors and
the level of economic activity as the external macroeconomic
factor. In specific, this
study will be hypothesized with the working capital requirement
as the dependent
variable; the independent variables including operating cycle,
sales growth, leverage,
profitability, company size, the nature of business and the
level of economic activity.
Furthermore, the study will highlight the role of working
capital policy in deciding
working capital need and the interrelationship between working
capital requirement and
working capital policy that create more plentiful features for
this study. Firstly, the
operating cycle involves the sum of days in inventory and days
in account receivables so
if the company operates business in the industry which has
longer operating cycle, it will
need more working capital to keep up day to day operation.
Secondly, when the company
has the increase in its sales business over year, this also
proves the companys growth
that is responsive to the accumulation of working capital in
market. Thirdly, the size of
company influences on the overall working capital requirement;
depending on the
industry and size of firm, each company will have different
needs of working capital.
Fourthly, the financial leverage is considered as the financial
debt ratio which determines
the relationship between the external financing and total assets
of firm. Next, if the
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21
company operates with short operating cycle, decrease in sales
growth, small scale of
operation or high leverage, it might follow the aggressive
working capital policy since it
demands a lower amount of working capital requirement and the
company will invest less
in current assets as well as maintain the availability to pay
short-term liability at maturity.
The conservative working capital policy, on the other hand, is
adopted and working
capital requirement is high when the company operates with long
operating cycle,
increasing in sales growth, large scale of operation and less
leverage because it does not
ensure the future cash inflow and the company must put more
investment in liquid assets.
Then, the nature of business has significant impact on working
capital requirement and a
company with its own behavior needs different level of working
capital. For example, the
manufacturing companies normally have higher level of working
capital requirement than
public utility companies. Finally, when there is the upswing of
economic activity, the
sales will be enhanced that makes the company require more
working capital. Therefore,
the below model can be my summary about the expectation of
deciding factors of
working capital requirement of companies listed on Ho Chi Minh
stock exchange (Hose)
in Vietnam.
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22
+
+
+
+
-
-
+
Figure 2: The expected determinants of working capital
requirement of companies
listed on Hose in Vietnam
Operating cycle
(Sum of inventory days and account receivable days)
Sales growth
(Annual percentage change in
sales)
Firm size
(Natural logarithm of total assets)
Financial leverage
(Total debts/equity)
Working capital requirement
(Current assets current liabilities)
The nature of business
(Industry dummy)
The level of economic activity
(Year dummy)
Profitability
(ROA)
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23
From the above conceptual framework, the study will be
researched with the
following hypotheses:
H1: The size of company will be positively related to working
capital requirement
H2: The financial leverage will be negatively related to working
capital requirement
H3: The profitability will be positively related to working
capital requirement
H4: The operating cycle will be positively related to working
capital requirement
H5: The sales growth will be positively related to working
capital requirement
H6: The nature of business will be related to working capital
requirement
H7: The level of economic activities will be related to working
capital requirement
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24
CHAPTER III
METHODOLOGY
The third chapter begins with the procedure of doing this study,
then the
research data, model specification and variables selected in the
study. Methodology with
different analysis techniques used to find out the significance
of study.
3.1 Data
Data for this study will cover 265 companies listed on Hose in
Vietnam.
However, due to the distinctive traits, there are 16 financial
companies such as banks,
credit union, insurance companies and foreign-owned companies
excluded from this
study. The secondary data used in the study are constructed from
information collected
from companys financial statements during a period 2007-2012.
And the data source is
got from Vietcombank Securities (http://www.vcbs.com.vn). In
addition, the financial
statements of companies listed on Hose have been audited by
reliable audit firms and
approved by State Securities Commission of Vietnam (SSC).
Therefore, it will ensure the
credibility of the data.
3.2 Model specification
The nature of study is to find out the determinants of working
capital
requirement of companies listed on Hose so this study utilizes
the data into a panel data
set which is the combination of the two-dimensional data,
including individual company
dimension (cross section) and the time dimension (time series).
The panel data is a useful
method to research the quantitative data due to several reasons:
firstly, it will help to
http://www.vcbs.com.vn/
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25
remove heterogeneity and minimize bias from the time-invariant
omitted variables or
unobservable individual company-specific effect. Secondly,
because of blending both
time series and cross section observation in panel data, it
results in more informative data
points, the increase of degree of freedom as well as the
decrease of collinearity among
dependent variable and independent variables. Thirdly, the
intricate behavioral effects are
studied efficiently by panel data such as adding the dummy
variables into the model
specification for individual disparities between the cross
section and time variant. In this
case, the panel data will be analyzed quantitatively through the
regression analysis to
estimate the model and show the industry and year effect on
determinants of working
capital requirement.
3.3.1 The model specification
From the conceptual framework, the time - varying independent
variables of
the study include the operating cycle, the sales growth, firm
size, leverage, profitability,
the nature of business and the level of economic activity.
Therefore, the model
specification for this study is:
WCRit = 0 + 1SIZit + 2LEVit + 3ROAit+ 4OPCit +5SGRit +
6INDUSTRYit +
7YEARit +it (1)
3.3.2 Measurement of variables
Equation 1 states that the dependent variable is the working
capital
requirement (WCR) measured as the difference between current
assets and current
liabilities. The independent variables consist of the sales
growth (SGR), operating cycle
(OPC), the firm size (SIZ), the financial leverage (LEV) and
profitability (ROA), the
nature of business (INDUSTRY) and the level of economic activity
(YEAR).
As far as the independent variables and dependent variable are
considered, the
measurements of these variables are illustrated as below
table:
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26
Table 1: Summary dependent variable and independent
variables
Variables Abbreviation Measurement
Working capital requirement WCR
Difference between current assets
and current liabilities
Company size SIZ Natural logarithms of total assets
Sales growth SGR Annual percentage change of sales
Leverage LEV The ratio of total debts to equity
Profitability ROA
The ratio of net income to total
assets
Operating cycle OPC
Sum of days in inventory and days
in account receivables
The number of days in
account receivable ARE
(Accounts Receivable x 365)/ Sales
The number of days in
inventory INVT
(Inventory x 365)/ Cost of Goods
Sold
The nature of business INDUSTRY 1 for manufacturing industry
0 for other industry
The level of economic
activities YEAR
1 for year 2007
0 for other year
3.3 Estimation
In researching the determinants of working capital requirement
of listed
companies in Hose, there are several estimation techniques like
pooled Ordinary Least
Squares (pooled OLS), fixed effects and random effects.
-
27
3.3.1 The pooled OLS
In this approach, the heterogeneity across individuals will be
ignored by the
pooled regression model. It implicitly supposes that the
coefficients are the same for
individuals and there are no existences of individual or group
effect among companies.
So the error terms have the same variance (homoskedasticity) and
do not correlate with
the explanatory variables. Besides, the panel data takes care of
the cross section effects
on companies or even on a set of group of companies.
Consequently, the evaluation from
pooled OLS regression will have the biased and inconsistent
results. In other to adjust
this problem, the pooled OLS should consider the exogeneity
influence on the
orthogonality of variable to error term. And the fixed effects
or random effects may
constitute the precise approach for panel data.
3.3.2 The fixed effects
The fixed effect model examines the individual disparities in
the intercepts by
letting each individual to have its own intercept value. While
the intercept value may
vary across individuals, the term fixed effect indicates that
the slope coefficients are
constant across individuals. Moreover, the individual specific
effect does not change over
time that is the time invariant and there is the correlation
between the error component
and other regressors.
3.3.3 The random effects
In contrast to the fixed effects, the random effects estimates
the error variance
to groups or times and assumes that there is no association
between the individual effect
(heterogeneity) and any regressor. In this approach, the
intercept and slopes of regressors
are identical across individuals and the differences among
individuals or time variance
are presented in the individual explicit error, not in the
intercepts. That is a reason why
the random effect model generally is called the error components
model. Greene (2008:
200-201) stated that the number of parameters estimated will be
decreased by random
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28
effect model but these estimations are not consistent once the
individual specific random
effect correlate with the regressors.
3.3.4. The Ramsey test
The Ramsey Regression Equation Specification Error Test (RESET)
test is a
statistical hypothesis test in econometrics discovered by Ramsey
(1969). It is normally
used to test whether there is existence of non-linear
combination of fitted values which
aids to clarify the response variable. If there is any power in
making clear the response
variables that is created by the non-linear combination, the
model is in the mis - specified
perspective. The null hypothesis of this test is that there is
no omitted variable, if the
Ramsey test rejects the null hypothesis, where the results show
that the significant level is
lower than 5 percent. This implies that there has the omitted
variable.
3.3.5 The Hausman test
Obviously, it is necessary to take care of the nature of
unobservable individual
effect to examine the fixed effects model or random effects
model which is more
appropriate and significant for the study framework. Therefore,
the Hausman test is the
model specified test in econometric proposed by Hausman (1978)
and is utilized by many
researchers to figure out both the theoretical and statistical
basic in choosing between the
fixed effects and random effects. Under Hausman test, the null
hypothesis is that the
individual effects have no correlation with any regressor in the
model. And the alternative
hypothesis, on the other hand, is that the individual effects
have the correlation with any
regressor in the model. Failing to reject the null hypothesis
will result in favor of the
random effects model while the rejection of null hypothesis will
support for the fixed
effects model. In this case, the decision of choosing the proper
econometric framework is
very important for appreciating the relation between dependent
variable and independent
variables. For instance, if there are the correlation of
individual effect and conditioning
regressors, the evaluation of random effects will not adjust the
endogeneity of
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29
conditioning regressors which will give biased and inconsistent
appreciation of
conditioning mean. Whereas the unobservable individual effect is
taken out randomly
from given population and does not correlate with other
conditioning regressor, the fixed
effects will result in consistent, but not efficient
evaluation.
Data analysis will be assisted by using Stata software so the
data is entered
into Stata and varied types of statistical methods will be used
to produce the results for
quantitative analysis and support the rationale of study
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30
CHAPTER IV
AN OVERVIEW OF WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENT OF COMPANIES
LISTED ON HO CHI MINH STOCK EXCHANGE (HOSE)
The fourth chapter will show the different working capital
requirement among
industries, the working capital policy that an industry has
managed its operation under.
Furthermore, the relationship between profitability and working
capital need, the changes
between sale growth and working capital need are also explored
to describe the general
picture about the business context of Vietnamese listed
companies in Hose in Vietnam
from 2007 to 2012.
4.1 The working capital requirement of the industry sectors for
the period from
2007 to 2012
According to the list of listed companies on Ho Chi Minh stock
exchange
(Hose) by industrial classification 2011, there are actually
fourteen diverse industries
which are based on Hoses standard about industrial
classification. However, to utilize
data effectively, this study has been constructed through the
major industries which have
large samples, including manufacturing; construction; whole sale
and retail trade;
transportation and storage; real estate activities; service and
the industries which have
small samples, including agriculture, forestry and fishing
industry; information and
communication industry; mining and quarrying industry, are
classified into the other
industries. As presented in the previous section, working
capital requirement of each
company is measured by the difference between current assets and
current liabilities. To
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31
decrease the impact of company size, the measure of working
capital requirement was
deflated by total assets. The detailed data (the data in
Appendix 2) about working capital
requirement of the industries during a period 2007-2012 has been
reported by the below
figure to clarify the alteration of working capital requirement
among various industry
sectors
Figure 3: Working capital requirement of the industry sectors
from 2007 to 2012
Overall, during 6 years, there is not existence of abnormal
changes of working
capital requirement within one industry. The working capital
requirement of each
industry is distinct in which real estate activities industry;
manufacturing industry and
other industries required highest working capital whereas the
services industry;
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32
transportation and storage industry required the lowest working
capital. This difference
partially has been given details in the review of related
literature and has also supported
for the reason why each companies with typical nature of
business has different working
capital requirement. Since real estate activities industry,
manufacturing industry and other
industries which consist of agriculture, forestry and fishing
industry; mining and
quarrying industry; information and communication industry have
a greater need for
capital intense assets and longer operating cycle. Especially,
the real estate activities
industry contains more unsold inventory in its stock over years,
it naturally need largest
amount of working capital. On the other hand, the services
industry invests less in current
assets, firstly because of the nature of cash transaction and
secondly because of the
operational sales of service activities. Additionally, the
transportation and storage
industry mostly invests more in fixed assets rather than the
current assets.
Besides, within one industry, working capital requirement has
also changed
over year. Generally, working capital requirements of most
industries in 2007 and 2010
were higher than other years. This may be explained by the facts
that these two years
were the times of starting up and development the business of
many companies or the
companies have incurred the influence of economic crisis during
this period. Therefore,
the companies must require more working capital to support their
enlargement or sustain
their business in the difficult circumstances. In addition,
working capital requirement of
manufacturing industry; whole sale and retail trade industry;
services industry slightly
varied from 2007 to 2012 compared to other industries. Based on
the character of
business, these industries must hold a stable working capital
for the following reasons:
firstly, these industries have the steady demand over year so
they have to maintain their
operation at the constant level to ensure meeting customers
demand; secondly, to rush up
the competition among companies, the guarantee of availability
of goods is very
important especially in whole sale and retail trade
industry.
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33
4.2 Working capital policy
Figure 4: Working capital policies of the industry sectors,
2007- 2012
To correspond with the working capital requirement, each
industry also has
different working capital policy. Weinraub and Visscher (1998)
figured out the issue of
conservative and aggressive working capital policy through ten
different industry groups
in American companies. They concluded that the working capital
policy for each industry
was unique and displayed significant constancy over time study
period. A company may
follow the conservative working capital policy with high level
of current assets as the
percentage of total assets for investing decision or low level
of current liabilities as the
percentage of total liabilities for financing decision.
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34
In this study, working capital policy is classified into 2 main
policy sectors
that are (1) aggressive working capital policy, (2) conservative
working capital policy.
And to get a concrete insight of working capital requirement and
to point out which
working capital policy each industry has operated, the working
capital policy was
analyzed by calculating the ratio of current assets to total
assets. As referred to the review
of related literature, the aggressive working capital policy has
resulted in investing less in
current assets versus fixed assets and in using high amount of
current liabilities which
exposes the liquidity on risk. That also means that the industry
which has the lower ratio
of current assets to total assets and higher ratio of current
liabilities to total liabilities has
run its business with aggressive working capital policy. In
contrast, with the conservative
working capital policy, the industry holds large level of
capital in current assets with the
opportunity cost of a smaller amount of profitability that
results in higher ratio of current
assets to total assets and less level of current liabilities
that results in lower ratio of
current liabilities to total liabilities.
The result shown in figure 4, during period from 2007 to 2012,
most of
industries listed on Hose have operated their business under the
conservative working
capital policy. Because they have had the ratio of current
assets to total assets over
average number 0.5. And there are only two industries such as
transportation and storage
industry; services industry which have had the ratio of current
assets to total assets below
average number 0.5 have operated their business under the
aggressive working capital
policy that are depicted by two depression points in the figure
4. These two industries
also have the lower working capital requirement than different
industries which is
illustrated in figure 3.
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35
4.3 The relationship between working capital requirement and
profitability of
the industries
Figure 5: The relationship between working capital requirement
and profitability
of listed companies in Hose from 2007 to 2012
According to figure 5, there is the existence of relationship
between working
capital requirement and profitability. The industries like real
estate activities industry;
manufacturing industry; other industries have high level of
working capital requirement
in accordance with the conservative working capital policy. And
the industries like
service industry; transportation and storage industry have low
level of working capital
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
Relationship between working capital requirement and
profitability
WCR
ROA
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36
requirement in accordance with the aggressive working capital
policy. As a result, over 6
years, the other industries have the highest profitability which
is measured by return on
asset (ROA). Since the other industries, including the
agriculture, forestry and fishing
industry; mining and quarrying industry; information and
communication industry, have
contributed significantly to Vietnamese economy. As Vietnam is a
developing country in
Southeast Asia, the national economy has been increasing to
become a top agricultural
exporter and attracts many foreign investors. For recent years,
the agriculture, forestry
and fishing industry has played critical role in rising of
national economy;
simultaneously, it is considered as the shelter in the downswing
of economy. In 2012,
the agriculture, forestry and fishing industry kept on being the
bright point in the context
of Vietnamese economy with the production value increased to
3.4%. Moreover,
manufacturing industry; information technology and high-tech
industries have
contributed to a fast growth for economic enlargement. Although
the services industry
required the lowest working capital from 2007 to 2012, it had
the third highest
profitability. In the past six years, the development of
services industry had outweighed
all other industry groups and today accounts for 37 percent of
GDP. Because the services
industry has run its operation under the aggressive policy, as
stated in review of related
literature, the aggressive working capital policy is considered
as the high risk- high return
strategy.
The real estate activities industry, in contrast, had the
highest working capital
requirement, it also was the lowest profitability industry
compared to others from 2007 to
2012. In current years, the real estate market is still frozen
and the commercial
transaction has not been yet improved considerably due to the
difficulties of economy as
well as the psychology of customers about reduced sale price.
Furthermore, the real estate
activities industry is in the ever hard state when it has got
the pressure of large inventory,
the interest rate burden and the new rules about real estate
activities industry are tighter
than previous time. Therefore, the real estate activities
industry should have more
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positive changes to overcome the difficulties and improve the
profitability in the near
future.
4.4 The alterations of working capital requirement and sale
growth over 6 years
Figure 6: The changes of working capital requirement and sales
growth from 2007
to 2012
The figure 6 shown as above has pointed out the direction of
changes between
working capital requirement and sales growth for a period from
2007 to 2012. The red
line denoted sales growth of Vietnamese listed companies in Hose
has drastically moved
up and down over time whereas the blue line denoted working
capital requirement has
moved at the reasonable degree over time. This indicates the
obvious difference about
alterations of sales growth and working capital requirement
during 6 years. Through the
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Year
THE CHANGES OF WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENT AND SALES GROWTH
WCR
SGR
Billion VND
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38
figure, it also implies that working capital requirement does
not alter too much across
time periods but there are the obvious changes of working
capital requirement across
industry sectors as presented previous. The probable explanation
for this disparity might
come from the business indicators of company. High deviation in
sales growth also
implied high deviation in demand and the unstable economic
condition that make
company get more obstacles in determining the rational level of
inventory corresponding
with sales volatility. It is hard for all companies to find the
optimal way how to raise
inventory level rapidly in response to increase of sales or to
reduce the inventory level in
response to decrease of sales.
Furthermore, the study of Deloof and Jegers in 1996 researched
over a sample
of Belgian industrial and wholesale companies stated that there
is no relation between the
sale volatility and receivables. Over time, the companies with
high sales volatility
possibly get troubles in predicting dairy liquidity resource and
financing that make
determining working capital requirement become more difficult.
Therefore, in general,
company will not respond to the deviation of sales growth by
changing working capital
requirement severely.
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39
CHAPTER V
ANALYSIS, RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
The fifth chapter states the statistical findings after
analyzing collected data in
Stata software. The descriptive statistics, correlation and
regression analysis are presented
in this part. Then, it expresses to the discussion of findings
and puts forward the final
outcomes about driver factors of working capital
requirement.
5.1 Descriptive statistics
Table 2: Descriptive statistics result (means by year)
WCR SIZ SGR LEV ROA OPC
Total sample
Mean 315.9963 27.3121 0.671 1.7155 0.0845 404.315
Std.dev 877.7419 1.1615 6.9344 2.6716 0.0928 795.982
Means by year
2007 184.7495 26.8229 0.7124 1.6082 0.0861 300.964
2008 174.8095 27.0095 0.4859 1.912 0.0814 375.054
2009 287.0730 27.2671 0.8666 1.7517 0.0954 404.29
2010 388.1641 27.4776 1.3254 1.5092 0.0884 390.004
2011 393.1327 27.6025 0.5815 1.8424 0.0758 473.643
2012 468.0487 27.6517 0.0525 1.6601 0.0786 470.81
The descriptive statistics of the collected dependent variable
and independent
variables have been shown in table 2 for 265 Vietnamese listed
companies in Hose over a
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40
period of 6 years from 2007 to 2012. From table 2, the
statistics present that the mean,
standard deviation of total sample and means by year of all
variables used in this study.
The working capital requirement variable has a mean value of
315.9968 billion VND.
The value of working capital requirement deviates from mean to
both sides by 877.7419.
Moreover, the working capital requirement had highest mean value
in 2012 and lowest
value in 2008. In general, the positive and high value of
working capital requirement has
implied that during a period of 2007-2012, the listed companies
in Hose tended to operate
their business under the moderately slack policy relating with
working capital need.
The size of company is measured by the natural logarithm of
total assets. The
mean value of size is 27.3121 whereas the standard deviation is
1.1615. On average
company size was increasing with the length of time from 2007 to
2012 that had
increased respectively from 26.8229 to 27.6517.
During 6 years, the average values of sales growth have varied
appreciably,
ranging from the minimum value 0.0525 in 2012 to the maximum
value 1.3254 in 2010.
This may probably be caused by the change of Vietnamese real GDP
growth and the
increase in oil price. Since the change of real GDP can reflect
the change of company
production over year and the increased oil price might influence
on customers
consumption.
Furthermore, the leverage which is measured by the ratio of
total debts to
equity has mean value 1.7155. This also indicates that most of
companies listed on Hose
from 2007 to 2012 possibly have operated their business with
high debt. As long as
profitability is concerned, the average profitability measured
by ROA was approximately
8.45 percent with the standard deviation of 0.0928 which was
quite high during this
period. Additionally, both leverage and profitability had a
tendency to be stable over
years.
The operating cycle is considered as the proxy to state the
length of time from
purchase the raw material to receiving money for selling final
products. In this case, the
companies must take an average 404 days from initial process to
collect payment against
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41
sales with the standard deviation of 796 days. From 2007 to
2012, the means value of
operating cycle did not alter notably which shows the steady
credit policy among
companies.
5.2 Correlation statistics
Table 3: Pearson correlation coefficient
SIZ SGR LEV ROA OPC
SIZ 1
SGR 0.0195194 1
LEV 0.1354120 -0.0168812 1
ROA -0.1189578 -0.0195530 -0.3029658 1
OPC 0.1321511 0.0645634 0.0311131 -0.1697503 1
Theoretically, the definite strength and direction of
association between the
different variables are verified by the Pearson correlation
analysis. From the correlation
matrix, it represents the outcome of correlation coefficients
among independent variables
which consist of comprise size, sales growth, leverage,
profitability and operating cycle.
In the bivariate distribution, when independent variables have
the cause and effect
relations, they will have strong correlation which leads to the
multicollinearity between
variables. Since the intention of this study is to find out the
determinants of working
capital requirement of listed companies in Hose; if there is the
existence of
multicollinearity, it will distort the results of regression
analysis. The result from table 3
indicates that the correlation coefficients of independent
variables used in the study are
not sufficiently high to cause the multi-collinear problem among
independent variables.
Therefore, the multiple regression analysis was used later to
investigate the fundamental
consequence between dependent and independent variables.
As examined the table 3, the result has demonstrated that there
are some
correlation coefficients that have higher degree than others.
The correlation matrix also
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42
showed the leverage has correlated negatively with the
profitability of companies
(0.3029658), when the companies operate with more leverage, the
possible
rationalization is that the companies must pay more interest for
their debt that will shrink
the profitability. Although the companies can get the tax shield
with more borrowing,
they have to find the effective solution in avoiding financial
distress rather than focusing
on running business which may make the disruption of operation
and sales lost.
Furthermore, the negative relation between the operating cycle
and profitability of
company (0.1697503) was existed. Since there was the higher
inventory cost and more
opportunity cost in accordance with the longer operating cycle.
As a result, the more
operating cycle company has, the lower profit company has
attained in running operation.
Due to the crisis of economy over recent years, the companies
may not use their
profitability to re-invest in assets for the increasing in scale
of operation or when the
companies have experienced the growth process, they will incur
the hidden costs of
growth which have made the size of companies correlate
negatively with their
profitability (0.1189578). On the other hand, there is positive
relationship between size of