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    The World Road Association

    Development of HDM-4

    Neil Robertson

    PIARC ISOHDM Project Coordinator

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    The World Road Association

    What is HDM-4?

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    Purpose of HDM-4

    The Highway Development and Management

    System is a decision tool to help you

    investigate your road investment choices.

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    Scope of HDM-4

    providing, maintaining and upgrading

    urban and rural roads and highways

    investigating the effect of vehicles,traffic characteristics, road user costs

    investigating the social and

    environmental effects of investments

    investigating long term issues which

    arise over asset life cycles.

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    The World Road Association

    Supporting Road Investment Decisions

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    The World Road Association

    Progress in HDM Technology

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    The HDM PredecessorsHighway Cost Model 1971

    RTIM 1977

    HDM 1979

    RTIM2RTIM2 PC version

    19821985

    HDM-III

    HDM-III PC version

    1987

    1989

    RTIM3 spreadsheet 1995

    HDM-Q 1994

    HDM Manager 1994

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    HDM-III Applications 1986 - 1999

    Analyse and justify road investmentsnew worksmaintaining existing roads

    life cycle economic focus - Benefits and Costsroad assets, demand, work options and costs, user costs

    Types of analysisproject level - high level design, justificationnetwork level strategies & programs

    Primarily decision support to Loan Programs

    In use for more than 10 years

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    ISOHDM and HDM-4

    ISOHDM

    The International Study of HighwayDevelopment and Management Tools

    is developing

    HDM-4

    The Highway Development and ManagementSystem

    - a road investment analysis system with global application.

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    The ISOHDM Study

    Internationally sponsored

    Objectives Update the knowledge and technology

    user friendly use in funding agencies & road authority PMS

    In progress for 7 years technical studies

    software development and testing software release, support and training

    PIARC leading the implementation phase

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    Levels of HDM Technology

    Knowledge Base

    ModelsSoftware

    RUE SEERDWE

    Models

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    HDM-4 Product Releases

    Version 1.0 released February 2000 HDM Series Volumes 1 - 5

    HDM-4 software

    Case studies database English, French & Russian editions

    Version 1.1 update August 2000 major software maintenance release - error fixes

    Version 1.2 update April 2001 major software maintenance and enhancement release

    Spanish edition released

    Version 2.0 - target 2002

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    HDM Series Collection

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    HDM-4

    HDM-4 is based on a well established economic

    analysis framework

    Models derived from large scale field experiments

    conducted world-wide Significant change in scope and software

    technology from HDM III

    International standard tool for road sector planning

    and management

    Provides a common framework for analysis of road

    management options

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    What has Changed from HDM-III ?

    Types of Analysis & Outputs

    Road Deterioration Models

    Road User Effects Models

    Data

    Dimensions

    Road works

    Social and Environmental Effects Models

    Software

    HDM-4 is superceding HDM-III

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    Analysis Tools

    Project Program Strategy

    File Converter

    transfer datato externalsystems

    File Converter

    transfer datato externalsystems

    Model librariescan be used inother systems

    Core DataVehicle Fleets

    Road NetworksRoad Works

    ProjectsProgrammes

    Strategies

    Core DataVehicle Fleets

    Road NetworksRoad Works

    ProjectsProgrammes

    Strategies

    External

    SystemsDatabases,

    PMS, etc.

    HDM-4 System ArchitectureHDM-4 System Architecture

    RDWE : Road Deterioration and Works Effects

    RUE: Road User Effects

    SEE: Safety, Energy and Environmental Effects

    PMS: Pavement Management System

    RDWE : Road Deterioration and Works Effects

    RUE: Road User Effects

    SEE: Safety, Energy and Environmental Effects

    PMS: Pavement Management System

    RUE SEERDWE

    Models

    RoadNetwork

    VehicleFleet

    HDMConfig.

    Data Managers

    RoadWorks

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    The World Road Association

    Implementation in 2001

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    HDM-4 Interest RegistrationsNo. per Country

    6 to 62 (38)

    5 to 6 (7)

    4 to 5 (5)

    3 to 4 (15)

    0 to 3 (40)

    Distribution of Interest in HDM-4

    Registrations (769)

    240

    529

    Developing countries

    Developed countries

    Countries (109)

    64

    45

    Developing countries

    Developed countries

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    Regional Distribution of All Interests

    Western Europe

    22%

    Central / East

    Europe

    10%

    Middle East

    3%

    Africa

    11%

    Central / North

    Asia

    2%South Asia

    6%

    East / South East

    Asia

    8%

    Oceania

    9%

    North America

    12%

    Latin America/Caribbean

    17%

    Distribution of Regional Interests

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    Distribution of Industry Sector Interest

    Gov't administration

    19%

    Gov't agency

    3%

    Funding agency

    4%

    Education/training

    15%

    R & D

    16%

    Consultancy

    32%

    Owner/management

    4%

    Works agency

    3%

    Works contractor

    2%

    Other

    2%

    Distribution of Industry Sector Interests

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    Implementation

    Growth of user information and services HDM-4 Information Centre

    Training and dissemination activities User Group and SIG activities

    ISOHDM / user interactions

    publications

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    PIARC HDM-4 on the Web

    http://hdm4.piarc.org

    A source of: support information for HDM-4 users how to obtain the products training opportunities

    user feedback documents download facilities

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    Training Programs

    promoting T&D Strategies (country / regional) Asia, Latin America, Africa

    promoting growth of local training and support services

    65 training and dissemination events 31 countries Western & Eastern Europe, North Asia, Middle East, South and Central

    Africa, South Asia, South East Asia, Oceania, North and South America

    user information resources

    training materials local customisation data case studies distance learning activities

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    Training Achievements

    Courses

    Workshop

    s

    Semina

    rs

    Demo

    nstra

    tions

    Presentat

    ions

    Confe

    renceP

    apers

    User

    Confer

    ences

    WesternEurope

    Central/EastEurope

    MiddleEast

    Africa

    Central/NorthAsia

    SouthA

    sia

    East/South

    EastAsia

    Oceania

    NorthAmerica

    LatinAmerica/Caribbea

    n

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    No.ofEve

    nts

    HDM-4 Training & Dissemination Events

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    Training AchievementsT & D Events by Event Type

    Courses

    50%

    Workshops

    12%

    Seminars

    17%

    User

    Conferences

    2%

    Presentations9%

    Demonstration

    2%

    Conference

    Papers

    8%

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    Regional User Groups

    Must be regionally managed, responding to local needs

    PIARC ISOHDM will provide support

    purpose - according to local needs

    sharing information Regional meetings local practice guides web site data sharing

    local self-help support circles

    coordinating calibration efforts

    assisting integration and transition efforts

    identifying R&D requirements

    coordinating interaction with ISOHDM Secretariat

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    User Support

    First contact user support

    Technical user support

    User community support user group interactions user discussion list (email) user meetings

    General information dissemination HDM-4 web site PIARC disseminationpublications

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    HDM-4 Applications

    Management Function HDM-4 Application

    Planning Strategy Analysis

    Programming Programme Analysis

    Preparation Project Analysis

    Operations --

    Research all

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    Example Applications

    Policy & strategy studies

    Budget effects of minimum network standards

    Allocation for competing needs (eg road classes)

    Road use charging for establishing Road Funds

    Impact of transport policy on energy consumption

    Works programming options

    applying fixed work standards

    economic optimum constrained by budget

    program optimised to a network performance standard

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    Example Applications

    Project preparation analysis

    Selection from design alternatives on life cycle cost maintenance and rehabilitation options widening and geometric improvement options

    pavement upgrading and new construction

    economic justification of project proposal

    Research Studies

    Network implications of new vehiclesNetwork impact of axle load limits

    Effectiveness of alternative road maintenance practices

    Impact of maintenance and rehabilitation standards

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    Policy Formulation

    Road pricing fuel levies

    congestion charges

    weight-distance chargesVehicle regulations

    axle load limits

    energy consumption, vehicle emissions & noise

    Engineering Standards sustainable road network size

    pavement design and maintenance standards

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    HDM-4 Applications

    Road sector policy studies

    Strategic planning of road network development,

    maintenance and funding requirements Optimal allocation of funds to competing needs

    Formulation of national road sector fundingprogrammes

    Economic appraisal of individual road projects

    Research studies

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    Analytical Framework

    Predicts road network performance as afunction of:

    Traffic volumes and loading

    Road pavement strength Maintenance standards

    Quantifies benefits to road users from: Savings in vehicle operating costs (VOC)

    Reduced road user travel times Decrease in number of accidents

    Environmental effects

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    Project Level Outputs

    Road condition indicators

    Road user cost details

    Energy & emissions

    Economic indicators

    Sensitivity analysis results

    Scenario analysis

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    Multi-year programmeRank Road Section km District Work Type Year $m $m

    1 N1-2 20.5 2 Resealing 2000 5.4 5.4

    2 N4-7 23.5 7 Overlay 40mm 2000 10.9 16.3

    3 N2-5 12.5 5 Reconstruct 2000 8.6 24.9

    4 R312-1 30.0 4 Widen 4 lane 2000 31.4 56.3

    5 R458-3 36.2 3 Overlay 60mm 2000 16.3 72.6: : : : : : : :

    1 N4-16 32.1 6 Reconstruct 2001 22.8 22.8

    2 R13-23 22.4 4 Overlay 40mm 2001 9.7 32.5

    3 N521-5 45.2 2 Widen 4 lane 2001 41.3 73.8

    : : : : : : : :1 N1-6 30.2 4 Resealing 2002 8.2 8.2

    2 N7-9 17.8 3 Overlay 60mm 2002 9.2 17.4

    3 F2140-8 56.1 1 Reconstruct 2002 34.9 52.3

    : : : : : : : :

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    Network Condition Forecasts

    Effect of funding levels on network performance

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    Roughness

    FeederRoads$30m/yr

    SecondaryRoads$35m/yr

    TrunkRoads$20m/yr

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    Effect of budget levels

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    Roughness

    100%

    80%

    50%

    AnnualBudget

    Target

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    Optimal budget requirements

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    2000 2001 2002 2003

    US$m/ye

    DevelopmentImprovement

    Periodic

    Routine

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    The World Road Association

    What is HDM-4 capable of?

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    Features of HDM-4

    Road Deterioration &

    Works Effects Models

    for current practice:bituminous concrete

    cement concrete

    granular

    stabilised unpaved

    Road User Effects

    Models

    motorised & non-motorised traffic effects

    wide range of vehicle

    types

    vehicle operating costs time costs

    congestion effects

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    Features of HDM-4

    Safety, Environment &

    Energy Models

    accident costs emission effects

    total energy balance

    Customise to local

    requirements

    calibrate models tolocal experience

    establish local default

    data settings

    define aggregate dataclasses

    localise reports

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    Features of HDM-4

    Assess the worth of

    road investments

    life cycle analysis economic return

    total energy balance

    Spectrum of applications

    broad policy studies

    works programming detailed project studies

    research studies

    Spectrum of extent

    road networks

    single section

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    Features of HDM-4

    User interface

    Familiar and intuitive

    (Win95/98/NT)

    Data management

    functions

    User-definable reports

    and standard templates

    User documents

    overview

    applications software

    technical

    calibration

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    The HDM-4 Products

    HDM-4 software on

    CD ROM

    Case study data sets

    HDM Series documents