Website: www.ncmrwf.gov.in L.S.Rathore L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department India Meteorological Department Government of India Government of India New Delhi New Delhi Application of Weather Application of Weather Forecasting for Managing Forecasting for Managing Agriculture Agriculture
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01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE
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We
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L.S.Rathore
L.S.Rathore
India Meteorological Department
India Meteorological Department
Government of India
Government of India
New Delhi
New Delhi
Application of Weather
Application of Weather
Forecasting for Managing
Forecasting for Managing
Agriculture
Agriculture
ROLE OF WEATHER INFORMATION IN
FARM MANAGEMENT
•Cultivars Selection
•Choosing windows for Sowing/harvesting
operations
•Irrigation scheduling –optimal water use
•Mitigation from adverse weather events such as
frost, low temperature, heavy rainfall –at
critical crop stages
•Fertilizer application
•Pesticide/fungicide spraying schedules
•Feed, Health and Shelter Management for
Livestock [Optimal temperature for dairy/
hatchery etc]
Topics of Presentation
Topics of Presentation
•Components of Weather
Application to Farm
Management
•AAS set up of IM
D and NCMRWF
•Integrated AAS-Vision and Future
Plan: District-level Weather
Forecast cum Agro-Advisories and
Village Level Outreach
Components of Weather Application
to Farm
Management
•Assessment of inform
ation needed by end-users
•Generation of seamless weather forecast
•Tools to Translate Weather Inform
ation into
Farm
Management Advice
•Generate advisories as per User needs
•Dissemination of Agro-Met inform
ation
•Training needs of end-users
Assessment of inform
ation needed
by diverse groups of end-users
•ID
EN
TIF
Y W
EA
TH
ER
SE
NS
ITIV
ITY
–O
F C
RO
PS
/AN
IMA
LS
–O
F F
AR
M O
PE
RA
TIO
NS
–F
OR
IN
PU
T M
AN
AG
EM
EN
T
•M
EC
HA
NIS
M F
OR
BA
CK
FLO
W O
F I
NF
OR
MA
TIO
N
•P
ER
IOD
IC S
UR
VE
Y F
OR
CR
OP
AS
SE
SS
ME
NT
•U
SE
OF
RE
MO
TE
SE
NS
ING
& G
IS T
OO
LS
Generation of seamless weather
forecast
•IM
PR
OV
ED
OB
SE
RV
AT
ION
AL
SY
ST
EM
(Sa
tell
ite
/Ra
da
r/b
uo
ys/
Arg
os)
•D
AT
A/P
RO
DU
CT
SH
AR
ING
•C
OU
PLE
D N
WP
MO
DE
LS O
F F
INE
RE
SO
LUT
ION
•W
IDE
SP
EC
TR
UM
OF
TE
MP
OR
AL
DO
MA
IN
•M
ULT
I-M
OD
EL
EN
SE
MB
LE
DE
VE
LOP
ME
NT
OF
TO
OLS
TO
IN
TE
GR
AT
E
AG
RO
-ME
TE
OR
OLO
GIC
AL
DA
TA
IN
TO
US
EF
UL
INF
OR
MA
TIO
N
•IM
PR
OV
ED
CR
OP
MO
DE
LS
•C
RO
P M
OD
EL
OU
T P
UT
BA
SE
D E
XP
ER
T
SY
ST
EM
•F
OR
EC
AS
T F
OR
DE
RIV
ED
PR
OD
UC
TS
(SO
IL M
OIS
TU
RE
/TE
MP
ER
AT
UR
E,
ET
, A
RID
ITY
, LE
AF
WE
TN
ES
S
ET
C.)
•IM
PR
OV
ED
P&
D M
OD
ELS
•V
ULN
ER
AB
ILIT
Y &
RIS
K A
SS
ES
SM
EN
T T
OO
LS
GENERATION OF FARM LEVEL
ADVISORIES
•D
EM
AN
D D
RIV
EN
AD
VIS
OR
Y
•P
ER
SO
NA
LIS
ED
AD
VIS
OR
Y
•C
LUS
TE
R A
PP
RO
AC
H
•C
EN
TR
AL
AG
RO
ME
T-C
LIN
ICS
•V
ILLA
GE
OB
SE
RV
AT
OR
IES
•D
IRE
CT
CO
MM
UN
ICA
TIO
N (C
ELL
PH
ON
E,
TE
LEP
HO
NE
, IN
TE
RN
ET
)
EFFECTIVE COMMUNICATION OF
AGROMET INFORMATION
•R
EA
LTIM
E A
SS
IMIL
AT
ION
OF
OB
SE
RV
AT
ION
S
•T
HR
EE
TIE
R D
ISS
EM
INA
TIO
N–
MA
SS
ME
DIA
–U
SE
R G
RO
UP
S
–IN
DIV
IDU
AL
US
ER
•IN
NO
VA
TIV
E T
OO
LS F
OR
EA
SY
UN
DE
RS
TA
ND
ING
OF
U
SE
R
•A
AS
PO
PU
LAR
ISA
TIO
N C
AM
PA
IGN
S
•D
EV
ELO
P P
UB
LIC
-PR
IVA
TE
PA
RT
NE
RS
HIP
FO
R
DIS
SE
MIN
AT
ION
TRAINING NEEDS OF END
TRAINING NEEDS OF END-- USERS
USERS
•F
AR
M L
EV
EL
DE
MO
NS
TR
AT
ION
•T
RA
ININ
G W
OR
K-S
HO
P
•K
ISA
N G
OS
HT
HI
(EX
PE
RIE
NC
E S
HA
RIN
G)
•T
EA
CH
ING
WE
AT
HE
R S
EN
SIT
IVIT
Y O
F
CR
OP
/AN
IMA
L P
RO
DU
CT
ION
•T
EA
CH
ING
ME
TH
OD
S O
F C
RO
P
PR
OT
EC
TIO
N F
RO
M A
DV
ER
SE
WE
AT
HE
R
Ind
ia M
ete
oro
log
ica
l D
ep
art
me
nt
•M
ile
sto
ne
s 1
93
2,
19
45
, 1
97
6
•2
3 S
tate
Ag
rom
et
Se
rvic
e C
en
tre
in
co
lla
bo
rati
on
wit
h S
DA
•A
gro
-ad
vis
ory
pre
pa
rati
on
-M
on
da
y &
Th
urs
da
y
•C
om
po
site
Ag
ro-a
dv
iso
ry
pre
pa
rati
on
-T
ue
sda
y &
Fri
da
y
•D
isse
min
ati
on
-A
IR,
Do
ord
ars
ha
n,
Pri
nt
me
dia
, W
eb
site
AA
S o
f N
CM
RW
F
•M
ED
IUM
RA
NG
E Q
UA
NT
ITA
TIV
E F
OR
CA
ST
•M
ULT
I-IN
ST
ITU
TIO
NA
L A
PP
RO
AC
H
(NC
MR
WF
/IM
D/I
CA
R/S
AU
s e
tc./
ME
DIA
/DO
S)
•IM
PR
OV
ED
OB
SE
RV
AT
ION
AL
SY
ST
EM
•U
SE
OF
NW
P
•U
SE
OF
IC
Ts
(In
tern
et,
Sa
tell
ite
)
•U
SE
OF
DE
CIS
ION
SU
PP
OR
T S
YS
TE
M
•C
ON
CE
RT
ED
R&
D E
FF
OR
TS
(IC
AR
/NC
MR
WF
/SA
Us/
IMD
)
•M
ED
IA D
EM
AN
DS
Cu
rre
nt
Sta
tus
Fo
r P
rep
ara
tio
n o
f Lo
cati
on
Sp
eci
fic
We
ath
er
Fo
reca
st A
t IM
D/N
CM
RW
F
DIRECT MODEL
OUTPUT FORECAST
STATISTICAL
INTERPRETATION
OF MODELFORECAST
SYNOPTIC
INTERPRETATION
OFMODELFORECAST
FORECASTERS’
PANEL
FINAL FORECAST
(ACZ Scale)
NC
MR
WF
FO
RE
CA
ST
PR
OD
UC
TS
N
CM
RW
F F
OR
EC
AS
T P
RO
DU
CT
S
DIS
SE
MIN
AT
ED
TO
AA
S U
NIT
SD
ISS
EM
INA
TE
D T
O A
AS
UN
ITS
�24 HR PRECIPITATION (MM)
�AVERAGE CLOUDINESS (OKTA)
�AVERAGE WIND SPEED (KMPH) AT 10 FT HEIGHT
�PREDOMINANT WIND DIRECTION (DEG.) AT 10 FT HEIGHT
�MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND (DEG. C) AT 4.5 FT HEIGHT
�MINIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND (DEG. C) AT 4.5 FT HEIGHT
Frequency of Forecast:
Twice-a-week
Dissemination
:On Tuesday and Friday
Period covered
:4days/Outlook for week
AGROMETEOROLOGICAL ADVISORY SERVICE
AGROMETEOROLOGICAL ADVISORY SERVICE
AGROMETEOROLOGICAL ADVISORY SERVICE
AGROMETEOROLOGICAL ADVISORY SERVICE
OF NCMRWF
OF NCMRWF
OF NCMRWF
OF NCMRWF
NCMRWF
NCMRWF
NCMRWF
NCMRWF
INTERNET
INTERNET
INTERNET
INTERNET
FAX/PHONE
FAX/PHONE
FAX/PHONE
FAX/PHONE
AAS UNITS
AAS UNITS
AAS UNITS
AAS UNITS (SAUs / ICAR institutes)
(SAUs / ICAR institutes)
(SAUs / ICAR institutes)
(SAUs / ICAR institutes)
AIRAIRAIRAIR
T.V.
T.V.
T.V.
T.V.
PERSONAL
PERSONAL
PERSONAL
PERSONAL
PRINT
PRINT
PRINT
PRINT
CONTACT
CONTACT
CONTACT
CONTACT
FARMERS
FARMERS
FARMERS
FARMERS
PREPARATION OF LOCATION SPECIFIC FORECAST
PREPARATION OF AGROMET ADVISORY BULLETIN
FARMERS
FARMERS
FARMERS
FARMERS’ ’’’
FEEDBACK
FEEDBACK
FEEDBACK
FEEDBACK
FEEDBACK FROM
FEEDBACK FROM
FEEDBACK FROM
FEEDBACK FROM
FARMERS/
FARMERS/
FARMERS/
FARMERS/
AAS UNIT
AAS UNIT
AAS UNIT
AAS UNIT
Na
tio
na
l C
en
tre
fo
r M
ed
ium
Ra
ng
e
Fo
reca
stin
g•1
07
AA
S u
nit
s w
ith
SA
Us
& I
CA
R
inst
itu
tes
•4
-da
ys
fore
cast
+ w
ee
kly
ou
tlo
ok
p
rep
ara
tio
n-
Tu
esd
ay
& F
rid
ay
•A
gro
me
t A
dv
iso
ry B
oa
rd &
Ag
ro-
ad
vis
ory
-T
ue
sda
y &
Fri
da
y•
Co
mp
osi
te b
ull
eti
n p
rep
ara
tio
n –
Mo
nd
ay
•C
rop
We
ath
er
Mo
de
ls•
Dis
sem
ina
tio
n-
AIR
, D
oo
rda
rsh
an
, P
rin
t m
ed
ia,
We
b•
Fe
ed
ba
ck –
Fa
rme
rs,
Fo
reca
st
Ve
rifi
cati
on
, E
con
om
ic I
mp
act
A
sse
ssm
en
t &
An
nu
al
Re
vie
w M
ee
tin
gs
•A
AS
aw
are
ne
ss &
use
r in
tera
ctio
n
pro
gra
mm
es
Ind
ian
Co
un
cil
of
Ag
ricu
ltu
ral
Re
sea
rch
•2
5 C
en
ters
of
AIC
RP
on
Ag
ro M
ete
oro
log
y
•Lo
cate
d a
t S
AU
s w
ith
AA
S o
f N
CM
RW
F
•R
&D
in
Ag
rom
et
•A
gro
me
t d
ata
ba
nk
&
We
bsi
te
FORMAT FOR AGROMET ADVISORY BULLETIN
�WEATHER INFORMATION
-Weather summary of preceding week,
-Climatic normal for the week,
-Weather forecast and
-Crop moisture index, Drought severity index etc.
�CROP INFORMATION
-Type, state and phenological stages of the crops
-Information on pest and disease and
-Information on crop stresses
�ADVISORY BULLETIN
-Crop-wise farm management information tailored to weather sensitive agricultural
practices like sowing, irrigation scheduling, p & d control operation, fertilizer use etc.
-Spraying condition for insect, weed and their products
-Wildfire rating forecasts in wildfire prone areas
-Livestock management information for housing, health and nutrition etc.
Sa
lie
nt
Fe
atu
res
of
Ag
rom
et
Ad
vis
ory
S
ali
en
t F
ea
ture
s o
f A
gro
me
t A
dv
iso
ry
Se
rvic
e (
AA
S)
Se
rvic
e (
AA
S)
•AgroMet Field Units (AMFU) in all classified agro-climatic zones.
•Units are opened in State Agricultural Universities and ICAR
Institutes.
•Strong Linkage with AICRP-AgMet of ICAR
•Weather Forecast in quantitative term
s for 4 days with
outlook for a week
•AMFUs translate Wx forecasts into Advisories
•Im
proved Advisory Dissemination & Farm
ers’Feedback
Mechanism
•Units run Crop Weather Models and include output in the day
today advisories.
•Though IMD/NCMRWF services w
ere useful but dem
and of
the
farm
ing community could not be
fully met due
to
following gaps:
–Non-availability of District specific weather forecast
–Non-availability of Extended Range Weather Forecast
–Non-availability of real-time crop inform
ation.
–Lack of objectivity in Advisories
–Lack of strong outreach/extension m
echanism.
Ga
ps
in E
arl
ier
AA
S S
yst
em
Ga
ps
in E
arl
ier
AA
S S
yst
em
Du
rin
g X
Ith
Fiv
e Y
ea
r P
lan
, M
inis
try
Of
Ea
rth
Sci
en
ces
(Mo
ES
) P
lan
s to
Im
pro
ve
W
ea
the
r B
ase
d A
dv
iso
ry S
erv
ice
fo
r F
arm
ing
Co
mm
un
ity
by
Re
org
an
izin
g
the
Ex
isti
ng
Ag
ro-M
ete
oro
log
ica
l A
dv
iso
ry S
erv
ice
s (A
AS
). I
t w
ill
be
Im
ple
me
nte
d i
n C
lose
Co
lla
bo
rati
on
W
ith
Min
istr
y o
f A
gri
cult
ure
& A
g.
Un
ive
rsit
ies
Re
org
an
iza
tio
n P
lan
fo
r IA
AS
Is A
ime
d t
o I
mp
rov
e i
n:
–W
ea
the
r F
ore
cast
& A
dv
iso
ry C
on
ten
t
–U
se o
f M
od
ern
Te
chn
olo
gy
in
AA
S
–A
dv
iso
ry D
isse
min
ati
on
Me
cha
nis
m
–F
ee
db
ack
Me
cha
nis
m
–li
nk
ag
es
wit
h A
dm
inis
tra
tiv
e A
uth
ori
tie
s
–M
on
ito
rin
g S
yst
em
–M
ech
an
ism
fo
r C
on
tin
uo
us
Up
-gra
da
tio
n
–M
utu
al
Co
lla
bo
rati
on
by
Re
late
d A
ge
nci
es
•AAS of IM
D and N
CMRWF has been converged and
the services are being provided under single w
indow
system
.
•All the AMFUs of NCMRWF has been transferred to
IMD since 01-04-2007.
Lau
nch
ing
of
Inte
gra
ted
Ag
rom
et
Lau
nch
ing
of
Inte
gra
ted
Ag
rom
et
Ad
vis
ory
Se
rvic
es
Ad
vis
ory
Se
rvic
es
PHILOSOPHY OF INTEGRATED AAS
•AAS has to be essentially a m
ulti-institutional program.
•As the basic core is weather and climate, IM
D has to play pivotal
role. Integrate AAS at IM
D in a collaborative manner.
•Around m
eteorological nucleus, synthesize the orbits of agro-m
et
data base along with decision support system
to translate w
eather
forecast into advisory----SAUs, ICAR Institutions & others
•The final orbit comprises of Inform
ation dissemination agencies.
These include; K
VK, DAO, ATMA, NGOs etc
•Mass m
edia dissemination agencies (Radio, TV, print media) And