Top Banner
Website: www.ncmrwf.gov.in L.S.Rathore L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department India Meteorological Department Government of India Government of India New Delhi New Delhi Application of Weather Application of Weather Forecasting for Managing Forecasting for Managing Agriculture Agriculture
40

01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Mar 21, 2020

Download

Documents

dariahiddleston
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

We

bsi

te:

ww

w.n

cmrw

f.g

ov

.in

L.S.Rathore

L.S.Rathore

India Meteorological Department

India Meteorological Department

Government of India

Government of India

New Delhi

New Delhi

Application of Weather

Application of Weather

Forecasting for Managing

Forecasting for Managing

Agriculture

Agriculture

Page 2: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

ROLE OF WEATHER INFORMATION IN

FARM MANAGEMENT

•Cultivars Selection

•Choosing windows for Sowing/harvesting

operations

•Irrigation scheduling –optimal water use

•Mitigation from adverse weather events such as

frost, low temperature, heavy rainfall –at

critical crop stages

•Fertilizer application

•Pesticide/fungicide spraying schedules

•Feed, Health and Shelter Management for

Livestock [Optimal temperature for dairy/

hatchery etc]

Page 3: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Topics of Presentation

Topics of Presentation

•Components of Weather

Application to Farm

Management

•AAS set up of IM

D and NCMRWF

•Integrated AAS-Vision and Future

Plan: District-level Weather

Forecast cum Agro-Advisories and

Village Level Outreach

Page 4: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Components of Weather Application

to Farm

Management

•Assessment of inform

ation needed by end-users

•Generation of seamless weather forecast

•Tools to Translate Weather Inform

ation into

Farm

Management Advice

•Generate advisories as per User needs

•Dissemination of Agro-Met inform

ation

•Training needs of end-users

Page 5: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Assessment of inform

ation needed

by diverse groups of end-users

•ID

EN

TIF

Y W

EA

TH

ER

SE

NS

ITIV

ITY

–O

F C

RO

PS

/AN

IMA

LS

–O

F F

AR

M O

PE

RA

TIO

NS

–F

OR

IN

PU

T M

AN

AG

EM

EN

T

•M

EC

HA

NIS

M F

OR

BA

CK

FLO

W O

F I

NF

OR

MA

TIO

N

•P

ER

IOD

IC S

UR

VE

Y F

OR

CR

OP

AS

SE

SS

ME

NT

•U

SE

OF

RE

MO

TE

SE

NS

ING

& G

IS T

OO

LS

Page 6: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Generation of seamless weather

forecast

•IM

PR

OV

ED

OB

SE

RV

AT

ION

AL

SY

ST

EM

(Sa

tell

ite

/Ra

da

r/b

uo

ys/

Arg

os)

•D

AT

A/P

RO

DU

CT

SH

AR

ING

•C

OU

PLE

D N

WP

MO

DE

LS O

F F

INE

RE

SO

LUT

ION

•W

IDE

SP

EC

TR

UM

OF

TE

MP

OR

AL

DO

MA

IN

•M

ULT

I-M

OD

EL

EN

SE

MB

LE

Page 7: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

DE

VE

LOP

ME

NT

OF

TO

OLS

TO

IN

TE

GR

AT

E

AG

RO

-ME

TE

OR

OLO

GIC

AL

DA

TA

IN

TO

US

EF

UL

INF

OR

MA

TIO

N

•IM

PR

OV

ED

CR

OP

MO

DE

LS

•C

RO

P M

OD

EL

OU

T P

UT

BA

SE

D E

XP

ER

T

SY

ST

EM

•F

OR

EC

AS

T F

OR

DE

RIV

ED

PR

OD

UC

TS

(SO

IL M

OIS

TU

RE

/TE

MP

ER

AT

UR

E,

ET

, A

RID

ITY

, LE

AF

WE

TN

ES

S

ET

C.)

•IM

PR

OV

ED

P&

D M

OD

ELS

•V

ULN

ER

AB

ILIT

Y &

RIS

K A

SS

ES

SM

EN

T T

OO

LS

Page 8: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

GENERATION OF FARM LEVEL

ADVISORIES

•D

EM

AN

D D

RIV

EN

AD

VIS

OR

Y

•P

ER

SO

NA

LIS

ED

AD

VIS

OR

Y

•C

LUS

TE

R A

PP

RO

AC

H

•C

EN

TR

AL

AG

RO

ME

T-C

LIN

ICS

•V

ILLA

GE

OB

SE

RV

AT

OR

IES

•D

IRE

CT

CO

MM

UN

ICA

TIO

N (C

ELL

PH

ON

E,

TE

LEP

HO

NE

, IN

TE

RN

ET

)

Page 9: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

EFFECTIVE COMMUNICATION OF

AGROMET INFORMATION

•R

EA

LTIM

E A

SS

IMIL

AT

ION

OF

OB

SE

RV

AT

ION

S

•T

HR

EE

TIE

R D

ISS

EM

INA

TIO

N–

MA

SS

ME

DIA

–U

SE

R G

RO

UP

S

–IN

DIV

IDU

AL

US

ER

•IN

NO

VA

TIV

E T

OO

LS F

OR

EA

SY

UN

DE

RS

TA

ND

ING

OF

U

SE

R

•A

AS

PO

PU

LAR

ISA

TIO

N C

AM

PA

IGN

S

•D

EV

ELO

P P

UB

LIC

-PR

IVA

TE

PA

RT

NE

RS

HIP

FO

R

DIS

SE

MIN

AT

ION

Page 10: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

TRAINING NEEDS OF END

TRAINING NEEDS OF END-- USERS

USERS

•F

AR

M L

EV

EL

DE

MO

NS

TR

AT

ION

•T

RA

ININ

G W

OR

K-S

HO

P

•K

ISA

N G

OS

HT

HI

(EX

PE

RIE

NC

E S

HA

RIN

G)

•T

EA

CH

ING

WE

AT

HE

R S

EN

SIT

IVIT

Y O

F

CR

OP

/AN

IMA

L P

RO

DU

CT

ION

•T

EA

CH

ING

ME

TH

OD

S O

F C

RO

P

PR

OT

EC

TIO

N F

RO

M A

DV

ER

SE

WE

AT

HE

R

Page 11: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Ind

ia M

ete

oro

log

ica

l D

ep

art

me

nt

•M

ile

sto

ne

s 1

93

2,

19

45

, 1

97

6

•2

3 S

tate

Ag

rom

et

Se

rvic

e C

en

tre

in

co

lla

bo

rati

on

wit

h S

DA

•A

gro

-ad

vis

ory

pre

pa

rati

on

-M

on

da

y &

Th

urs

da

y

•C

om

po

site

Ag

ro-a

dv

iso

ry

pre

pa

rati

on

-T

ue

sda

y &

Fri

da

y

•D

isse

min

ati

on

-A

IR,

Do

ord

ars

ha

n,

Pri

nt

me

dia

, W

eb

site

Page 12: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

AA

S o

f N

CM

RW

F

•M

ED

IUM

RA

NG

E Q

UA

NT

ITA

TIV

E F

OR

CA

ST

•M

ULT

I-IN

ST

ITU

TIO

NA

L A

PP

RO

AC

H

(NC

MR

WF

/IM

D/I

CA

R/S

AU

s e

tc./

ME

DIA

/DO

S)

•IM

PR

OV

ED

OB

SE

RV

AT

ION

AL

SY

ST

EM

•U

SE

OF

NW

P

•U

SE

OF

IC

Ts

(In

tern

et,

Sa

tell

ite

)

•U

SE

OF

DE

CIS

ION

SU

PP

OR

T S

YS

TE

M

•C

ON

CE

RT

ED

R&

D E

FF

OR

TS

(IC

AR

/NC

MR

WF

/SA

Us/

IMD

)

•M

ED

IA D

EM

AN

DS

Page 13: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Cu

rre

nt

Sta

tus

Fo

r P

rep

ara

tio

n o

f Lo

cati

on

Sp

eci

fic

We

ath

er

Fo

reca

st A

t IM

D/N

CM

RW

F

DIRECT MODEL

OUTPUT FORECAST

STATISTICAL

INTERPRETATION

OF MODELFORECAST

SYNOPTIC

INTERPRETATION

OFMODELFORECAST

FORECASTERS’

PANEL

FINAL FORECAST

(ACZ Scale)

Page 14: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

NC

MR

WF

FO

RE

CA

ST

PR

OD

UC

TS

N

CM

RW

F F

OR

EC

AS

T P

RO

DU

CT

S

DIS

SE

MIN

AT

ED

TO

AA

S U

NIT

SD

ISS

EM

INA

TE

D T

O A

AS

UN

ITS

�24 HR PRECIPITATION (MM)

�AVERAGE CLOUDINESS (OKTA)

�AVERAGE WIND SPEED (KMPH) AT 10 FT HEIGHT

�PREDOMINANT WIND DIRECTION (DEG.) AT 10 FT HEIGHT

�MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND (DEG. C) AT 4.5 FT HEIGHT

�MINIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND (DEG. C) AT 4.5 FT HEIGHT

Frequency of Forecast:

Twice-a-week

Dissemination

:On Tuesday and Friday

Period covered

:4days/Outlook for week

Page 15: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

AGROMETEOROLOGICAL ADVISORY SERVICE

AGROMETEOROLOGICAL ADVISORY SERVICE

AGROMETEOROLOGICAL ADVISORY SERVICE

AGROMETEOROLOGICAL ADVISORY SERVICE

OF NCMRWF

OF NCMRWF

OF NCMRWF

OF NCMRWF

NCMRWF

NCMRWF

NCMRWF

NCMRWF

INTERNET

INTERNET

INTERNET

INTERNET

FAX/PHONE

FAX/PHONE

FAX/PHONE

FAX/PHONE

AAS UNITS

AAS UNITS

AAS UNITS

AAS UNITS (SAUs / ICAR institutes)

(SAUs / ICAR institutes)

(SAUs / ICAR institutes)

(SAUs / ICAR institutes)

AIRAIRAIRAIR

T.V.

T.V.

T.V.

T.V.

PERSONAL

PERSONAL

PERSONAL

PERSONAL

PRINT

PRINT

PRINT

PRINT

CONTACT

CONTACT

CONTACT

CONTACT

FARMERS

FARMERS

FARMERS

FARMERS

PREPARATION OF LOCATION SPECIFIC FORECAST

PREPARATION OF AGROMET ADVISORY BULLETIN

FARMERS

FARMERS

FARMERS

FARMERS’ ’’’

FEEDBACK

FEEDBACK

FEEDBACK

FEEDBACK

FEEDBACK FROM

FEEDBACK FROM

FEEDBACK FROM

FEEDBACK FROM

FARMERS/

FARMERS/

FARMERS/

FARMERS/

AAS UNIT

AAS UNIT

AAS UNIT

AAS UNIT

Page 16: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Na

tio

na

l C

en

tre

fo

r M

ed

ium

Ra

ng

e

Fo

reca

stin

g•1

07

AA

S u

nit

s w

ith

SA

Us

& I

CA

R

inst

itu

tes

•4

-da

ys

fore

cast

+ w

ee

kly

ou

tlo

ok

p

rep

ara

tio

n-

Tu

esd

ay

& F

rid

ay

•A

gro

me

t A

dv

iso

ry B

oa

rd &

Ag

ro-

ad

vis

ory

-T

ue

sda

y &

Fri

da

y•

Co

mp

osi

te b

ull

eti

n p

rep

ara

tio

n –

Mo

nd

ay

•C

rop

We

ath

er

Mo

de

ls•

Dis

sem

ina

tio

n-

AIR

, D

oo

rda

rsh

an

, P

rin

t m

ed

ia,

We

b•

Fe

ed

ba

ck –

Fa

rme

rs,

Fo

reca

st

Ve

rifi

cati

on

, E

con

om

ic I

mp

act

A

sse

ssm

en

t &

An

nu

al

Re

vie

w M

ee

tin

gs

•A

AS

aw

are

ne

ss &

use

r in

tera

ctio

n

pro

gra

mm

es

Page 17: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Ind

ian

Co

un

cil

of

Ag

ricu

ltu

ral

Re

sea

rch

•2

5 C

en

ters

of

AIC

RP

on

Ag

ro M

ete

oro

log

y

•Lo

cate

d a

t S

AU

s w

ith

AA

S o

f N

CM

RW

F

•R

&D

in

Ag

rom

et

•A

gro

me

t d

ata

ba

nk

&

We

bsi

te

Page 18: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

FORMAT FOR AGROMET ADVISORY BULLETIN

�WEATHER INFORMATION

-Weather summary of preceding week,

-Climatic normal for the week,

-Weather forecast and

-Crop moisture index, Drought severity index etc.

�CROP INFORMATION

-Type, state and phenological stages of the crops

-Information on pest and disease and

-Information on crop stresses

�ADVISORY BULLETIN

-Crop-wise farm management information tailored to weather sensitive agricultural

practices like sowing, irrigation scheduling, p & d control operation, fertilizer use etc.

-Spraying condition for insect, weed and their products

-Wildfire rating forecasts in wildfire prone areas

-Livestock management information for housing, health and nutrition etc.

Page 19: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Sa

lie

nt

Fe

atu

res

of

Ag

rom

et

Ad

vis

ory

S

ali

en

t F

ea

ture

s o

f A

gro

me

t A

dv

iso

ry

Se

rvic

e (

AA

S)

Se

rvic

e (

AA

S)

•AgroMet Field Units (AMFU) in all classified agro-climatic zones.

•Units are opened in State Agricultural Universities and ICAR

Institutes.

•Strong Linkage with AICRP-AgMet of ICAR

•Weather Forecast in quantitative term

s for 4 days with

outlook for a week

•AMFUs translate Wx forecasts into Advisories

•Im

proved Advisory Dissemination & Farm

ers’Feedback

Mechanism

•Units run Crop Weather Models and include output in the day

today advisories.

Page 20: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

•Though IMD/NCMRWF services w

ere useful but dem

and of

the

farm

ing community could not be

fully met due

to

following gaps:

–Non-availability of District specific weather forecast

–Non-availability of Extended Range Weather Forecast

–Non-availability of real-time crop inform

ation.

–Lack of objectivity in Advisories

–Lack of strong outreach/extension m

echanism.

Ga

ps

in E

arl

ier

AA

S S

yst

em

Ga

ps

in E

arl

ier

AA

S S

yst

em

Page 21: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Du

rin

g X

Ith

Fiv

e Y

ea

r P

lan

, M

inis

try

Of

Ea

rth

Sci

en

ces

(Mo

ES

) P

lan

s to

Im

pro

ve

W

ea

the

r B

ase

d A

dv

iso

ry S

erv

ice

fo

r F

arm

ing

Co

mm

un

ity

by

Re

org

an

izin

g

the

Ex

isti

ng

Ag

ro-M

ete

oro

log

ica

l A

dv

iso

ry S

erv

ice

s (A

AS

). I

t w

ill

be

Im

ple

me

nte

d i

n C

lose

Co

lla

bo

rati

on

W

ith

Min

istr

y o

f A

gri

cult

ure

& A

g.

Un

ive

rsit

ies

Page 22: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Re

org

an

iza

tio

n P

lan

fo

r IA

AS

Is A

ime

d t

o I

mp

rov

e i

n:

–W

ea

the

r F

ore

cast

& A

dv

iso

ry C

on

ten

t

–U

se o

f M

od

ern

Te

chn

olo

gy

in

AA

S

–A

dv

iso

ry D

isse

min

ati

on

Me

cha

nis

m

–F

ee

db

ack

Me

cha

nis

m

–li

nk

ag

es

wit

h A

dm

inis

tra

tiv

e A

uth

ori

tie

s

–M

on

ito

rin

g S

yst

em

–M

ech

an

ism

fo

r C

on

tin

uo

us

Up

-gra

da

tio

n

–M

utu

al

Co

lla

bo

rati

on

by

Re

late

d A

ge

nci

es

Page 23: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

•AAS of IM

D and N

CMRWF has been converged and

the services are being provided under single w

indow

system

.

•All the AMFUs of NCMRWF has been transferred to

IMD since 01-04-2007.

Lau

nch

ing

of

Inte

gra

ted

Ag

rom

et

Lau

nch

ing

of

Inte

gra

ted

Ag

rom

et

Ad

vis

ory

Se

rvic

es

Ad

vis

ory

Se

rvic

es

Page 24: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

PHILOSOPHY OF INTEGRATED AAS

•AAS has to be essentially a m

ulti-institutional program.

•As the basic core is weather and climate, IM

D has to play pivotal

role. Integrate AAS at IM

D in a collaborative manner.

•Around m

eteorological nucleus, synthesize the orbits of agro-m

et

data base along with decision support system

to translate w

eather

forecast into advisory----SAUs, ICAR Institutions & others

•The final orbit comprises of Inform

ation dissemination agencies.

These include; K

VK, DAO, ATMA, NGOs etc

•Mass m

edia dissemination agencies (Radio, TV, print media) And

Village level dissemination agencies (DIT

) need to play active role.

Page 25: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Collaborating Agen

cies

•M

inis

try

Of

Ea

rth

Sci

en

ces

–In

dia

Me

teo

rolo

gic

al

De

pa

rtm

en

t

–N

ati

on

al

Ce

ntr

e F

or

Me

diu

m R

an

ge

We

ath

er

Fo

reca

stin

g

–In

dia

n I

nst

itu

te o

f T

rop

ica

l M

ete

oro

log

y

•In

dia

n C

ou

nci

l F

or

Ag

ricu

ltu

ral

Re

sea

rch

•D

ep

art

me

nt

Of

Ag

ricu

ltu

re &

Co

op

era

tio

n

•S

tate

De

pa

rtm

en

ts O

f A

gri

cult

ure

•S

tate

Ag

ricu

ltu

ral

Un

ive

rsit

ies

An

d O

the

r U

niv

ers

itie

s

•M

inis

try

of

Info

rma

tio

n T

ech

no

log

y

•M

inis

try

of

Sci

en

ce &

Te

chn

olo

gy

•M

inis

try

of

Info

rma

tio

n &

Bro

ad

cast

ing

(A

IR &

TV

)

•P

rin

t M

ed

ia

•D

ep

art

me

nt

Of

Sp

ace

•M

in.

of

Ru

ral

De

ve

lop

me

nt

•M

SS

R F

ou

nd

ati

on

& O

the

r N

GO

s &

PP

Page 26: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

TIE

R 1

Ap

ex

Po

licy

Pla

nn

ing

Bo

dy

Ap

ex

Po

licy

Pla

nn

ing

Bo

dy

TIE

R 2

TIE

R 2

Na

tio

na

l A

gro

Me

t N

ati

on

al A

gro

Me

t

Se

rvic

e H

Q (

Exe

cuti

on

)S

erv

ice

HQ

(E

xecu

tio

n)

TIE

R 3

TIE

R 3

Sta

te A

gro

Me

t C

en

tre

s~2

8S

tate

Ag

ro M

et

Ce

ntr

es~

28

coo

rdin

ati

on

/mo

nit

ori

ng

coo

rdin

ati

on

/mo

nit

ori

ng

TIE

R 4

TIE

R 4

AM

FU

s A

MF

Us

Ag

ro C

lim

ati

c Z

on

e L

ev

el

~ 1

27

Ag

ro C

lim

ati

c Z

on

e L

ev

el

~ 1

27

TIE

R 5

TIE

R 5

Dis

tric

t Le

ve

l E

xte

nsi

on

& T

rain

ing

Dis

tric

t Le

ve

l E

xte

nsi

on

& T

rain

ing

Inp

ut

ma

na

ge

me

nt

as

ad

vis

ory

Inp

ut

ma

na

ge

me

nt

as

ad

vis

ory

Pla

n F

or

Inte

gra

ted

AA

S

Dri

ve

rs o

f In

teg

rati

on

-

Ne

ed

fo

r C

rop

sp

eci

fic

Dis

tric

t Le

ve

l A

dvis

ory

an

d V

illa

ge

Le

ve

l O

utr

ea

ch.

Page 27: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

AS

PE

CT

OF

AU

TO

MA

TIO

N F

OR

AD

VIS

OR

IES

•A

gro

Me

t O

bse

rva

tio

ns

& D

ata

•W

ea

the

r &

Cli

ma

tic

info

rma

tio

n

•M

ech

an

ism

fo

r P

rep

ara

tio

n O

f A

dv

iso

ry

•D

ev

elo

pm

en

t O

f D

SS

AT

Fo

r A

AS

•R

ole

Of

IT

in

Pre

pa

rati

on

Of

Ad

vis

ory

•U

se O

f R

em

ote

Se

nsi

ng

in

AA

S E

tc.

Page 28: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

FO

RE

CA

ST

SY

ST

EM

Ex

isti

ng

E

xis

tin

g

Pro

po

sed

P

rop

ose

d

Ag

roA

gro

-- cli

ma

tic

Zo

ne

sp

eci

fic

clim

ati

c Z

on

e s

pe

cifi

c

we

ath

er

Fo

reca

st (

~1

27

) w

ea

the

r F

ore

cast

(~

12

7)

Dis

tric

t Le

ve

l W

ea

the

r D

istr

ict

Lev

el

We

ath

er

Fo

reca

st (

~6

04

)F

ore

cast

(~

60

4)

Sin

gle

GC

Mo

de

l O

ut

Pu

t S

ing

le G

C M

od

el

Ou

t P

ut

(Re

solu

tio

n 1

50

& 7

5 K

ms)

(Re

solu

tio

n 1

50

& 7

5 K

ms)

Mu

lti

Mu

lti --

Mo

de

l S

up

er

Mo

de

l S

up

er

En

sem

ble

En

sem

ble

(NC

MR

WF

T(N

CM

RW

F T

-- 25

4,U

KM

O,

25

4,U

KM

O,

GF

S,

JMA

)G

FS

, JM

A)

Me

soM

eso

-- sca

le M

od

els

sc

ale

Mo

de

ls

(Re

solu

tio

n ~

30

Km

)(R

eso

luti

on

~3

0 K

m)

Me

soM

eso

-- sca

le m

od

els

sc

ale

mo

de

ls

(Re

solu

tio

n ~

10

km

)(R

eso

luti

on

~1

0 k

m)

Page 29: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

NCMRWF

T-254Multim

odel Super Ensemble Technique

Step-2

UK M

etNCEP

GFS

JMA

Generation of Multi-model Forecasts

Forecast = w

iFi +d

d= Value-addition

Page 30: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Ad

vis

ory

Se

rvic

e S

yst

em

Ex

isti

ng

E

xis

tin

g

Pro

po

sed

Ex

pa

nsi

on

Pro

po

sed

Ex

pa

nsi

on

Zo

ne

Le

ve

l A

dv

iso

rie

sZ

on

e L

ev

el

Ad

vis

ori

es

Dis

tric

t Le

ve

l A

dv

iso

rie

sD

istr

ict

Lev

el

Ad

vis

ori

es

Su

bje

ctiv

e M

eth

od

olo

gy

to

S

ub

ject

ive

Me

tho

do

log

y t

o

pre

pa

re a

dv

iso

ry b

ull

eti

ns

pre

pa

re a

dv

iso

ry b

ull

eti

ns

De

cisi

on

Su

pp

ort

Sy

ste

m t

oo

ls

De

cisi

on

Su

pp

ort

Sy

ste

m t

oo

ls

Cro

p S

tatu

s in

form

ati

on

C

rop

Sta

tus

info

rma

tio

n ––

fra

gm

en

ted

an

d b

ase

d o

n v

isu

al

fra

gm

en

ted

an

d b

ase

d o

n v

isu

al

est

ima

tee

stim

ate

Use

of

hig

h r

eso

luti

on

re

mo

te

Use

of

hig

h r

eso

luti

on

re

mo

te

sen

sin

g p

rod

uct

s se

nsi

ng

pro

du

cts

Cro

p C

ale

nd

ars

Cro

p C

ale

nd

ars

Use

of

GIS

an

d o

the

r IT

to

ols

fo

r U

se o

f G

IS a

nd

oth

er

IT t

oo

ls f

or

va

lue

ad

dit

ion

v

alu

e a

dd

itio

n

Ge

ne

ric

Ad

vis

ori

es

for

zon

es

Ge

ne

ric

Ad

vis

ori

es

for

zon

es

Cu

sto

miz

ed

pro

du

cts

for

targ

ete

d

Cu

sto

miz

ed

pro

du

cts

for

targ

ete

d

use

r g

rou

ps

use

r g

rou

ps

Page 31: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Simulation

Simulation

Remote Sensing

Remote Sensing

GIS

GIS

Agro met Products

Agro met Products

His

tori

ca

l D

ata

His

tori

ca

l D

ata

His

tori

ca

l D

ata

His

tori

ca

l D

ata

His

tori

ca

l D

ata

His

tori

ca

l D

ata

His

tori

ca

l D

ata

His

tori

ca

l D

ata

Re

al

Tim

e D

ata

R

ea

l T

ime

Da

ta

Re

al

Tim

e D

ata

R

ea

l T

ime

Da

ta

Re

al

Tim

e D

ata

R

ea

l T

ime

Da

ta

Re

al

Tim

e D

ata

R

ea

l T

ime

Da

ta

Fo

rec

as

t D

ata

F

ore

ca

st

Da

ta

Fo

rec

as

t D

ata

F

ore

ca

st

Da

ta

Fo

rec

as

t D

ata

F

ore

ca

st

Da

ta

Fo

rec

as

t D

ata

F

ore

ca

st

Da

ta

Pro

ba

bil

itie

s (

Ra

infa

ll,

Pro

ba

bil

itie

s (

Ra

infa

ll,

Pro

ba

bil

itie

s (

Ra

infa

ll,

Pro

ba

bil

itie

s (

Ra

infa

ll,

Pro

ba

bil

itie

s (

Ra

infa

ll,

Pro

ba

bil

itie

s (

Ra

infa

ll,

Pro

ba

bil

itie

s (

Ra

infa

ll,

Pro

ba

bil

itie

s (

Ra

infa

ll,

Dry

& W

et

Sp

ell

s)

Dry

& W

et

Sp

ell

s)

Dry

& W

et

Sp

ell

s)

Dry

& W

et

Sp

ell

s)

Dry

& W

et

Sp

ell

s)

Dry

& W

et

Sp

ell

s)

Dry

& W

et

Sp

ell

s)

Dry

& W

et

Sp

ell

s)

On

se

t o

f ra

infa

llO

ns

et

of

rain

fall

On

se

t o

f ra

infa

llO

ns

et

of

rain

fall

On

se

t o

f ra

infa

llO

ns

et

of

rain

fall

On

se

t o

f ra

infa

llO

ns

et

of

rain

fall

De

gre

e D

ay

sD

eg

ree

Da

ys

De

gre

e D

ay

sD

eg

ree

Da

ys

De

gre

e D

ay

sD

eg

ree

Da

ys

De

gre

e D

ay

sD

eg

ree

Da

ys

P &

DP

& D

P &

DP

& D

P &

DP

& D

P &

DP

& D

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

Air

te

mp

era

ture

, A

ir t

em

pe

ratu

re,

Air

te

mp

era

ture

, A

ir t

em

pe

ratu

re,

Air

te

mp

era

ture

, A

ir t

em

pe

ratu

re,

Air

te

mp

era

ture

, A

ir t

em

pe

ratu

re,

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

Su

ns

hin

eS

un

sh

ine

Su

ns

hin

eS

un

sh

ine

Su

ns

hin

eS

un

sh

ine

Su

ns

hin

eS

un

sh

ine

Ra

infa

llR

ain

fall

Ra

infa

llR

ain

fall

Ra

infa

llR

ain

fall

Ra

infa

llR

ain

fall

De

gre

e D

ay

sD

eg

ree

Da

ys

De

gre

e D

ay

sD

eg

ree

Da

ys

De

gre

e D

ay

sD

eg

ree

Da

ys

De

gre

e D

ay

sD

eg

ree

Da

ys

Cro

p P

he

no

log

yC

rop

Ph

en

olo

gy

Cro

p P

he

no

log

yC

rop

Ph

en

olo

gy

Cro

p P

he

no

log

yC

rop

Ph

en

olo

gy

Cro

p P

he

no

log

yC

rop

Ph

en

olo

gy

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

/ari

dit

y

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

/ari

dit

y

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

/ari

dit

y

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

/ari

dit

y

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

/ari

dit

y

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

/ari

dit

y

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

/ari

dit

y

Wa

ter

ba

lan

ce

/ari

dit

y

Wa

ter

Re

qu

ire

me

nts

Wa

ter

Re

qu

ire

me

nts

Wa

ter

Re

qu

ire

me

nts

Wa

ter

Re

qu

ire

me

nts

Wa

ter

Re

qu

ire

me

nts

Wa

ter

Re

qu

ire

me

nts

Wa

ter

Re

qu

ire

me

nts

Wa

ter

Re

qu

ire

me

nts

P &

DP

& D

P &

DP

& D

P &

DP

& D

P &

DP

& D

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

So

il m

ois

ture

/te

mp

Air

te

mp

era

ture

Air

te

mp

era

ture

Air

te

mp

era

ture

Air

te

mp

era

ture

Air

te

mp

era

ture

Air

te

mp

era

ture

Air

te

mp

era

ture

Air

te

mp

era

ture

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

Su

ns

hin

eS

un

sh

ine

Su

ns

hin

eS

un

sh

ine

Su

ns

hin

eS

un

sh

ine

Su

ns

hin

eS

un

sh

ine

Ra

infa

llR

ain

fall

Ra

infa

llR

ain

fall

Ra

infa

llR

ain

fall

Ra

infa

llR

ain

fall

Clo

ud

/ S

un

sh

ine

Clo

ud

/ S

un

sh

ine

Clo

ud

/ S

un

sh

ine

Clo

ud

/ S

un

sh

ine

Clo

ud

/ S

un

sh

ine

Clo

ud

/ S

un

sh

ine

Clo

ud

/ S

un

sh

ine

Clo

ud

/ S

un

sh

ine

Te

mp

era

ture

Te

mp

era

ture

Te

mp

era

ture

Te

mp

era

ture

Te

mp

era

ture

Te

mp

era

ture

Te

mp

era

ture

Te

mp

era

ture

Win

d S

pe

ed

& D

ire

cti

on

Win

d S

pe

ed

& D

ire

cti

on

Win

d S

pe

ed

& D

ire

cti

on

Win

d S

pe

ed

& D

ire

cti

on

Win

d S

pe

ed

& D

ire

cti

on

Win

d S

pe

ed

& D

ire

cti

on

Win

d S

pe

ed

& D

ire

cti

on

Win

d S

pe

ed

& D

ire

cti

on

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

Hu

mid

ity

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

ET

So

il M

ois

ture

So

il M

ois

ture

So

il M

ois

ture

So

il M

ois

ture

So

il M

ois

ture

So

il M

ois

ture

So

il M

ois

ture

So

il M

ois

ture

So

il T

em

pe

ratu

reS

oil

Te

mp

era

ture

So

il T

em

pe

ratu

reS

oil

Te

mp

era

ture

So

il T

em

pe

ratu

reS

oil

Te

mp

era

ture

So

il T

em

pe

ratu

reS

oil

Te

mp

era

ture

Le

af

We

tne

ss

Le

af

We

tne

ss

Le

af

We

tne

ss

Le

af

We

tne

ss

Le

af

We

tne

ss

Le

af

We

tne

ss

Le

af

We

tne

ss

Le

af

We

tne

ss

Le

af

Te

mp

era

ture

L

ea

f T

em

pe

ratu

re

Le

af

Te

mp

era

ture

L

ea

f T

em

pe

ratu

re

Le

af

Te

mp

era

ture

L

ea

f T

em

pe

ratu

re

Le

af

Te

mp

era

ture

L

ea

f T

em

pe

ratu

re

Agro met Advisory

Agro met Advisory

Inte

gra

ted

Ap

pro

ach

to

Pre

pa

re A

dv

iso

ryIn

teg

rate

d A

pp

roa

ch t

o P

rep

are

Ad

vis

ory

Page 32: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

We

ath

er

da

ta

thro

ug

h G

TS

Cro

p P

est

&

Dis

ea

se

Info

rma

tio

n

Cu

sto

mis

ed

GIS

fo

r

ge

ne

rati

on

of

ag

rom

et

pro

du

cts

Re

mo

te S

en

sin

g

Info

rma

tio

n

on

cro

p

con

dit

ion

Th

e w

ork

ing

ste

ps

in t

he

Na

tio

na

l C

en

tre

co

ve

r d

ata

co

lle

ctio

n,

qu

ali

ty c

he

cks,

ru

nn

ing

mo

de

ls a

nd

pro

du

ct g

en

era

tio

n,

wh

ile

de

cen

tra

lise

d o

ffic

es

(AM

FU

s) u

tili

sed

the

pro

du

cts

for

fra

min

g t

he

ad

vis

ori

es.

Me

cha

nis

m f

or

pre

pa

rati

on

of

Ag

rom

et

Pro

du

cts

Page 33: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Dis

sem

ina

tio

n o

f A

dv

iso

rie

sMass Mode of Dissemination

All India radio/Television/Print Media

Outreach at Village level

Web Pages/Internet

DIT/NIC

TCS/TCL/MSSRF/ Kisan Call Centers & NGOs

Interactive Dissemination

KVK (ICAR): Training + interaction

DAO (SDA): Coordinate Farm inputs

NGOs & other intermediary groups

Awareness Program (Kisan Mela, Exhibition etc)

Page 34: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Dis

sem

ina

tio

n C

riti

cali

ty

•T

ime

& F

req

ue

ncy

of

Dis

sem

ina

tio

n

•M

od

e o

f D

isse

min

ati

on

•La

ng

ua

ge

of

Bu

lle

tin

s

•F

req

ue

nt

Inte

ract

ion

& C

on

sta

nt

Fe

ed

ba

ck

Page 35: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

Fe

ed

ba

ck I

ssu

es

& M

ech

an

ism

•Q

ua

lity

of

Fo

reca

st

•Q

ua

lity

& r

ele

va

nce

of

Ad

vis

ori

es

•F

arm

er

sho

uld

co

nta

ct W

ho

m &

Ho

w?

•P

rob

lem

so

lvin

g t

hro

ug

h i

nte

ract

ive

mo

de

•A

nsw

eri

ng

qu

est

ion

s o

f co

mm

on

in

tere

st t

hro

ug

h

bu

lle

tin

s

•A

cce

ssib

ilit

y t

o i

nfo

rma

tio

n v

ia I

CT

•A

cce

ssib

ilit

y t

o E

xp

ert

s &

vid

eo

Co

nfe

ren

cin

g

Page 36: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

IMD/NCMRWF

127 AG.MET. FIELD UNITS

DIS

TR

ICT

AG

RIC

ULT

UR

E

OF

FIC

ES

OF

ST

AT

E

GO

VE

RN

ME

NT

S

PREPARATION OF DISTRICT

WISE MEDIUM RANGE

WEATHER FORECAST

BY STATE MET CENTRE

PREPARATION OF

DISTRICT SPECIFIC

AGRO-ADVISORIES

FOR CONCERNED

AGRO-CLIMATIC

DISSEMINATION OF

DISTRICT LEVEL

AGRO-ADVISORIES

FA

RM

ER

S(T

HR

OU

GH

ME

DIA

, E

XT

EN

SIO

N

SE

RV

ICE

S,

PE

RS

ON

AL

CO

NT

AC

T)

Dis

tric

t-w

ise

Ag

ro-m

et

da

ta

Ag

ro-c

lim

ate

le

ve

l

ag

ro-m

et

da

ta

Fe

ed

ba

ck a

na

lysi

s

Pro

po

sed

Dis

tric

t Le

ve

l A

gro

-Me

t A

dv

iso

ry S

erv

ice

Syst

em

Page 37: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

AAS Network

AAS Network--

Agro

Agro-- climatic Zone level

climatic Zone level

Forecast:

Forecast:127 Stations

127 Stations

Page 38: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

602 Stations

602 Stations

Proposed District

Proposed District --Level

Level

Medium Range Forecast

Medium Range Forecast

Page 39: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE

•FORECAST

–Soil Temperature, Soil Moisture,

Evaporation, Evapo-Transpiration, Fog, Frost,

Degree Days, Aridity etc.

•ADVISORY

–Crop & location Specific Advisories

–Horticultural Crops

–Livestock

–Fishries

–Wasteland and Forest Fires

–Post Harvest and Storage

NE

W P

RO

DU

CT

S

Page 40: 01-L S Rathore - CRIDA 4/S-X/LS Rathore.pdfApplication of Weather Forecasting for Managing Agriculture L.S.Rathore India Meteorological Department Government of India New Delhi ROLE