,
SAIT 20112328 2011
,
Nataliya D. Pankratova (Ed.)
System Analysis andInformation Technologies
International Conference SAIT 2011Kyiv, Ukraine, May 2328,
2011
Proceedings
Institute for Applied System Analysisof National Technical
University of UkraineKyiv Polytechnic Institute
http://sait.kpi.uahttp://iasa.com.ua
UDC [519.7/.8:(004+007)](100)(06) 22.1843+7243
40
Volume editor:Nataliya D. Pankratova, Dr.Sc., Prof.
Editorial board:Petr I. Bidyuk, Dr.Sc., Prof.Nataliya D.
Pankratova, Dr.Sc., Prof.Anatoliy I. Petrenko, Dr.Sc., Prof.Yuriy
P. Zaichenko, Dr.Sc., Prof.Elena L. Oparina
Revising:
Gennadii D. Kiselyov, Ph.D.Mykola A. MurgaNadezhda I.
Nedashkovskaya, Ph.D.Elena L. OparinaLidiya V. SidolakaOleksandr M.
Terentiev, Ph.D.Tetiana V. Zhaivoronska
Design and typesetting:Mykhailo P. Makukha
System analysis and information technologies: International
conference on scienceand technology, SAIT 2011, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011. Proceedings. ESC IASA NTUU KPI, 2011. 548 p.
: - SAIT 2011, , 2328 2011 . / . .: , 2011. 548 . : ., ., .
40 i iii i: i i-i i SAIT 2011, , 2328 2011 . / I I. .: I I,
2011. 548 . : ., ., .
This book of abstracts includes issues connected with the
research and development of complexsystems of various nature in
conditions of uncertainty and multifactor risks, Grid and high
per-formance computing in science and education, intelligent
systems for decision-making, progressiveinformation technologies
for needs of science, industry, economy, and environment. The
prob-lems of sustainable development and global threats estimation,
forecast and foresight in tasks ofplanning and strategic decision
making are investigated.
, , Grid , - , , , , . , , , .
i , i i i i i, i-i i, Grid i i i ii, i- i i, ii i , i, i . i - i
, i i ii ii, i, i.
1535767896629
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6 ESC Institute for Applied System
AnalysisNTUU KPI, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-56-9 (print)ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6
(ebook)www.sait.kpi.ua
http://www.sait.kpi.ua
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International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Table of contents i 4
Table of contents i
Plenary talks i ii 23 I.. i -i i i
i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24i .I. i i i . . . . . . . . .
25 .. . . . . 27 .., .., .., ..
. 30 .. . . . . . . . . . 32 .. , -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 33i .., .. Ii i i
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 .I.
i- ii i i . . . . . 36 .. , . . . . . . . . 38
Section 1. System analysis of complex systems of various nature
1. i 1. i i 39Baranovskyi O.M. Content monitoring as a new trend in
quantitative evaluation of
changes in social processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 41Khomchak M.V. Workload characterization
of bank securities processing application . 42Kozlov K.V., Makukha
M.P. Using situation calculus for automated project planning
43Muttalibova Sh.F., Hasanov A.A., Pashayeva M.M., Kerimova
S.I.Modeling of natural
destructive processes for solving of environmental problems . .
. . . . . . . . . . 44Oganesyan Gayane Analysis of financial
sustainable growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45Orlov O.A.
Countries clustering in the context of cultural dissimilarities
with justi-
fication of fuzzy expert estimations using fuzzy relational data
decompositionclustering algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
Pereverza K.V. Methodology of scenario development for countries
. . . . . . . . . . . 47Zelenskyy S.V. Shared co-investment in the
hierarchical supply chain . . . . . . . . . . 48 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 49 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
.I., I.. i ii ii-
i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 51
.. 52 I.., .. i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 .., .., .. -
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Table of contents i 5
i .I., .., .. -i i ii ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
.. - - - ( ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
.., .. . 57 .. . . . . . 58 .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 59 .., .., .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . 60 .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 ..,
.I., I.. i -
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 .., I.. i iii
i . 63 .. , , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 .. Simulink- ii . . .
65 .., .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 .. -
( ) 67ii .., .. ii i -
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 69 .. . . . . . . . . 70 .., .., .. i -
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 ..
-
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 I.., .. i i
i
ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 73 .., .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 ..
, . . . . . . . . . 75 .., ..
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 76
.. -- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 77
.., .., .I. ii i ii i . . . . 78
.., .., .. - . . . . . . 79
.., i .., .. i i- ii i ii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Table of contents i 6
.., .., .. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 81
.., .., .., .. - - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 82
.. i i i i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 83
.. : i i i . 84 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86
.., .. ii i
ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 .., ..,
..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 89i .. i i-
i -i . . . . . . . . 90 ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 91 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 .., .. :
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 .. i i ii i
i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94i .., .. ii i i
i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
96 .., .. i i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 .. 98 .. . . .
99 ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100ii ..,
.., .. i i -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 ..
i
i-i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 .., ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 .., .I. i ii i
i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 .I. i i
i i i 2030 i -i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 106
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Table of contents i 7
.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107
.., .. ii ii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 108
.., .. i i i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 109
.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110
.., i .I. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 111
.. i i i i iii i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 112
.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
.. . . . . . . . . . . 114 .. 115 .., ..
( , - 20072009 ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 116
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
117
.., .., .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 118
.., .., .. ii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 119
.., .. i i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120
.., .., .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121
i .. i ii i i 122i .I. i ii i i 123 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 124 .. -
-2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 .., ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 126 .., .. 127i .. i ii . . . . . . . . . . . 128 .. i
i i ii
i i i ii . . . . . . . 129 .. 130 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 131 .. ii i . . . . . . . . . 132 ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 134
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Table of contents i 8
.., .. - . . . . . . . . . . 135
.. ii i i - i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 136
.., .. i iii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . 137
.., .. . . . . . 138 .., ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 .. ii i i . . . . . . 140
.., .. --
( ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 .. . . 142 .., ..,
.. i i
i .i 20002010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 144i .., -i .. i i i -
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 145 .. QR QH -
, , i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 .. i i i i i -
i ii i i . . . . . . . . . . 147 .., i .. ii-
i i ii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 148
.. i i i i i-i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
149
.. i i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 150
.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 151
.. . . . 152 I.. ii i -
i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 .. KAIRYOKAIZEN-
PCMDM-: 154 .., .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 155i .. ii i i i-
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 156 .., .., .., .. -
- . . . . . . . . . . . . 157
.., .. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
158
.I., .., I.., I.., i ..i i i-i -i i i- i . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 159
.., .., .. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 160
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Table of contents i 9
.. i i i . . . . . . . 161 .. I i i i ,
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . 163i .. ii i, i i-
ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 164 .., .. i i i
i IT-i ii . . . . . 165 ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 166
.. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
168 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169i .., I.., .. i -
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 .. ii i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171
.., .. . . 172 .., .., .. i i i-
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 .. . . .
. . . . . . . . 174 .., .. i i i . 175 .. ii i ii i-
i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . 176 .. i i ii i -
i -i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177 .., ..
. . . . . . . . 178
.., .. ii i i i i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
179
.. , i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180
.. ii , i- i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . 181
.. - ( ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182
Section 2. Intelligent systems for decision-making 2. i 2. Ii i
183Abu-Ein Ashraf Abdel Karim Flows distribution optimization
problem in computer
networks with technology of MPLS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 185Bogomolov I.M., Didkovska M.V. Modeling of
software development processes . . . . 186Cherednichenko O.Yu.,
Riabko O.V., Timchenko K.A., Timchenko M.A. The assess-
ment framework for decision-making based on quality criterion .
. . . . . . . . . 187
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Table of contents i 10
Dobrushkin G.A., Danilov V.Ya. Using ANN & HMM for natural
speech recognition 188Hatamleh Hazem (mohd said) Structure
optimization of MPLS computer networks . 189Matsuki Y., Bidyuk
P.I., Kalnytskyi G.V. Energy security cost as an externality
tolerability of economy of Ukraine against increasing gas import
price . . . . . . 190Sharadqh A.M. Ahmad Analysis of
frequency-territorial planning methods of WIMAX
networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 191Shatovska T.B., Kamenieva I.V.,
Tretyak D.A., Abrosimov S.O. Ontology models
research for data mining repository . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 192Voitenko O.S., Karnaukh N.A. Prediction
of financial stance for European banks . . . 193 .. ii i . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 194 .. 195 .., .., .., ..,
..,
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196
.. i i i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 197
.. i i i i . 198i .. i ii i -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 199 I.., .. ii
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 200 ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201
..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 202 ..,
.., .., ..
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 .., .., .I. i
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204 .. - -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 ..,
.., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 206 ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 207 .., .., .. -
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 208
.. I i i - i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 209
.., .. : . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 210
.., - .. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211
.., .., .. - - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 212
.., .., .. i -i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 213
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Table of contents i 11
I.., .I. i i i- i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 214
.., .. i ii i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
215
.. i i . . . 216i .., .. ii i i i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 217
.. Neo-fuzzy . 218 .., .. -
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 219
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221
.. i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
222
.. - - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 223
.. i 224 .., .. i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225
.., .. i i i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 226 ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 .. -
. . . . . . . . 228 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229i .. i
i i i . . 230 .., .. - -
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231 .., .., ..
-
. . 232 .. i i i
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 233 .I., i .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 234 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 235 .. i i i . 236 .. LSA+TRM -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 237 .., I.., .. i i
i -i i . . . . . . . 238 .., .. ii
i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239
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Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
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Table of contents i 12
.. -- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 240
.., .. - . . 241
I.., .. i - i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . 242
.., .. i i . 243 .. -
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 244 .., i .. - i i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 .., ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 246
.. MPLS 247 .., ,
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 248
.., I.. i ii ii- i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
249
.., .. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250
.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 251
.., .. i ii -i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252
.., .., .. - . . . . . . . . . . 253
.., .. - - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 254
I .. i i i - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 255
Ii .., .. i i i i i ii i i i i i - i . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 256
.., .. 257 .., ..
- . . . . . . . . . . . . 258 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 259 .., .., .., .. -
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260i .., i .., ..
i i . . . . . . . 261 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . 262 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263i .. i i
i i . . . . . . . . . 264
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
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Table of contents i 13
.., .. i i iiii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265
.., .. ii i i i- i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266
.. i i i i -i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
.., .. i i i i ii 268
I.., .. i -i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 269
.I., i .., .., .. ii - i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270
.. i i . . . . . . . . . . . . 271 .. i
i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 272 .., .. 273 ..
Ii i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . 274 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275 .. . .
276 .., .., .. ii i i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277 .., .. . . . . .
. . . . 278i .I. i i i-
i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279
I.., ii .., i .. ii
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280 .., ..
-
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 281 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282 .. i i
i
() i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283 .. i i -
i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284 .., .., .., .. -
, () . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285
I.., i .. i ii- i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 286
i .. i i() i (GRP) . . . . . . 287
i .I. i i i, i i- i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 288
.. ii i . . . . . . . . 289 .., .., .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290
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National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
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Table of contents i 14
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291
.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
292
.., .. i i i -i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 293
.. I i i i ii i ii i . . . . . . 294
.., .., .. . . . . 295
.., .. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 296
.. i i i 297 .. i i i i i
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298 .., .. DE TSK
FOTSK FD FOTSK - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 299
.., - .. - . . . . . . . 300
.., .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 301
.., .., .., .., .. - - - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 302
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
303
.., .. - i i . . . . . . . . . . . 304
i .. I ii i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 305
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 306
.. . . . . . . . . 307
.. 308 .., ..
, - . . . . . . . . . . . . 309
.. i i: i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 311 .. iii i i i i-
ii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312 .. Ii i i
-
i oi ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313
.. i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314 .. ii ii . . .
. . . . . . . 315
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
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Table of contents i 15
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 316
.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 317
i I.., I.. ii i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 318
.., .., .., .., - .. . . . . 319
.., I.. i i i- i i ii . . . . . . . . . 320
.. ii i - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 321
.. 322i .. ii -
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 323 .. ii i i-
i ii i . . . . . . . . 324 .. - 325 ..
. . . . . . . 326 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 327 .. - . . 328 .. .
. 329 .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 330 .., ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 331 ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 332 .., ..
- . . . . . . . 333i .., .., .. i ii
ii i i i . . . . . . 334 .., i .I. i ii335i I.. i i i -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 336 .. i
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 337 .. I i i -2 i-
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 338 .., .. i Data Mining
i
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339
.. . . 340 .., .., .., .., .. -
- - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 341
.., .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 342
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 343
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Table of contents i 16
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 344
.. 345 .. VARSIMAX. , , , -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 346 .., .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 347
.., .., .. . . . . 348
Section 3. Grid-technologies in science and education 3. - i 3.
i-i i i ii 349Gorodetska N.V. Semantic Grid Implementation . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 351Kostyuchenko A.O. Review of
high-precision curvature-compensated bandgap voltage
references designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 352Pospishniy O.S., Stirenko S.G. Using
semantic technologies to improve Grid resource
management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . 353Sergeev A.A. Time series forecasting in
multimodal interface device controlling . . . . 354Shvaichenko O.V.
Methods of designing analog-to-digital converters design trend
review355Shvets O.A. Creation and usage of the remote laboratory
for the studies of AVR family
controllers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 356 .., .., .. i ii -
i i i i i . . . . . . . . 357i .. i . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 358 .., .I. iii i -
ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 359 .. i - i-ii i . . . . 360 .., I .I., .. i i
iii SCP-ECG
i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 361 .., I .I., I .I. ii
i-
i i i i . . . 362 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 363 .., - .. -
Condor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 364i .., .., .. ii i
i i-i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 365
.., .. ii Grid-ii i-
Grid-i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
366 .. SVM KDA 367 .., .. i i . . . . . . . . . 368 .. . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 369 .., .. . 370 .., ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 371 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 372i .., i .., i .. i -
GRID-i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 373
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Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
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Table of contents i 17
.. i i i . . . . . . . . . . . 374 .. i . . . . . . . . . . 375
.., - .. BOINC -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 376
.. i i . . . . . 377 .. -
Grid- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 378 .., .., .. ii i
ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 379 .., .. -
Grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 380 .. Ii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 381 ..,
.., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 382 .., .. GRID-
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383 .., ..
I i 384 .., ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 385 .., ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 386 .. i-i i ,
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 387ii .., .I., i .. i i
I- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 388 .. i-i i ii . . . 389 .. i i i (Distributed
Data Mining) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 390 .., .., .. -
CUDA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
391
.. Grid . . . . . . . . . . . . 392i .., .., .. i i ii
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 393 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 394 .. i ii ii395 .. iii ii . . . . . . . . 396 .. . .
. . . . . 397 .. i-i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 398 .. -
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 399
Section 4. Progressive information technologies 4. i 4. i iii i
401Archvadze N.N., Pkhovelishvili M.G., Shetsiruli L.D. Several
issues of programs synthesis403Bondarenko M.A. Necessity of
creation of virtual laboratory of physical research of
materials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 404Dzuba V.G., Gumeniuk V.V. System of
automatic detection of the drivers state . . . 405Dzuba V.G.,
Kamenkovych S.Yu. Road sign recognition system . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 406
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Table of contents i 18
Megrelishvili R., Besiashvili G., Shengelia S. New one-way
matrix function and thepublic keyexchange . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 407
Shekhovtsov V.A. Towards a reference architecture to support
stakeholder assessmentsof the proposed software quality . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 408
Sloboda K.O. Web-forum audience extension by means of social
networks . . . . . . . 409 .., .., ..
. . . . . . . . . 410i .., .. i-
i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . 411 .. i i ii i subdivision -
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 412 .. 413 ..,
..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 414 .. E-tutoring 21- . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 415 .., .. 416 .. UNL- -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
417 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 418
i .I., .. i Java i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 419
ii .., .., i .. ii -i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 420
.I., .. i -i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 421
.., .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 422
.., .. WEB- . . . . . . . . . 423 .. i ii i
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
424i I.. i i i
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 425 .., .. TDM All-IP -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 426 I.. i i i
i ii - i-ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 427
.., .. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 428
.., .. - - . . . . . . . . 429
.., .. , - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 430
.., .. i cloud-ii 431 .., I.. i i Web-
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 432 .. -
OpenGPSS, GPSS World AnyLogic . . . . . . . . 433
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Table of contents i 19
I.., .. i ii ii i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 434
i .., I.., .., .I. i -i i i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
435
i .., .. i i , i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . 436
ii .., .. i -i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 437
.. i i - i (2504000 ), -i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 438
.. web- i SQL-ii . . . . . . . 439 .. i i
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 440 .I. ci ii i ii
i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 441I .., .. i TDD
. . . . . . . . . . . 442 ..
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 443
.., .. i i - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 444
.., .. i i ii i -i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 445
.. . ROOT . . . . . . 446 .., .. i . 447 .., .. i ii -
i . . . . . 448 .., .. Java -
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 449
.., .. , - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 450
.., .., i .. Iii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 451
i .. ii i i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 452
.I., .. ii . . . . . 453 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 454 ..
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 455 .., ..,
.., .. -
CUDA - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 456
.., .. WebAllted . . . . . . . . . 457 .. . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 458
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Table of contents i 20
.., .., .. ii -i ii i i - i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 459
.., .. S- - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 460
.., .., .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 461
.. . . . . . . 462 .. i ii i
ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 463 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 464
.., .. Visual Prolog 465 .., .. UML -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 466 .. web-
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 467 .., .. -
4- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 468
.., .. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . 469
.., I .. i i . . 470 .., .. Ii ii i i-
i ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 471 .., .. -
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 472
.., .. - (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 473
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
474
.. i i i i . . . . . . . . . . 475 .., .. ii -
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 476 .., .., .. GPU
UNI-DEM . . . . . . . . . . . . . 477 .. ,
. . . . . . . . . . . 478 .. -
, . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 479
.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 480
.. -SSA i i- i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
481
International conference on System Analysis and Information
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National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Table of contents i 21
.. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 482
.. -i - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 483
.., .., .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 484
.. i i . . . . . . . . . 485 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 486 .., .. i
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 487 .., .. ii -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 488 .., ..
. . . . . . . . . . 489 .., .I. XML-i ii
- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . 490 .., .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . 491 .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
492 .. i i i i-i . . 493 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 494 , .. SAC-
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 495i .. i i MPLS . . . . . . . . . . . . 496 ..
-
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 497i .. -i
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 498i .., i .. i i -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 499 ..
-
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 500 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 501 .. -
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
502 .. ii i . . . . . . . . . . . 503 .. SQL i i . . . . . . . . .
. 504i .., I.. i ii
i Windows . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 505 .., .. -
Java . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 506 .. . . .
. . . . . 507 .I. i i- -
i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 508 .., .., .. -ii
ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 509
International conference on System Analysis and Information
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National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
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Table of contents i 22
.I., .. -i i i i - i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 510
.., i .. i i ii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 511
i .., i .., .. Web-i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 512
.., .., .. ORM- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 513
.., .., .. - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 514
.., .., .. - . . . . . . . . . 515
.., .. i ii i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
516
.. 517 .., .., I.. ii i
ii i -ii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 518
Section 5. Academic programs: partnership of science and
business 5. : i 5. ii : i 519 .., .., .., .. -
SAP 521 .I. i i i Credit Scoring
SAS Enterprise Miner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 522 .., .. -
- SAS Enterprise Miner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
523 ..
- - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 524 .. SAS . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 526 .., i .I., .. -
I . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 528 .. SAS Enterprise Miner i i-
i i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 529
Conference partners i 531NetCracker Technology . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 532EPAM Systems
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 534 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 535SAS / . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 537 .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 539
Authors 540
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
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Plenary talks
System analysis ofcomplex systems of
various nature
Intelligent systems fordecision-making
Grid-technologies inscience and education
Progressive informationtechnologies
Academic programs:partnership of science
and business
Conference partners
Plenary talks
Plenary talks i ii 24
I.. I, , ,
i -i i i i ii
ii i i -ii i i i. i - i -i ii i i -i i i i [1]. i ii -i i i, -i
i i, i i ii, ii . - i-i i i - i , i i i- i. - i i [2,3] ii - - i ii
- i iiii ii i i iii-i i. i i i i i- i i ii, i i -. i i i ii i . i
ii ii-ii i i - i ii i - . ii ii , - i i i, i i i i i i ii, i i i i
i i i i i i i i ii i -i-i - i i - .
i1. .., .. (, ,
). .: , 2005. 743 .2. I.., ii i i i
ii i i i i (i ). Proc. The Information Technology Contribution
to theBuilding of a Safe Regional Environment, AFCEA, Europe
Seminar, Kiev, 2830.05.98,. 4450.
3. I.., i -i - // i i. i: i. 2002. .3. . 1015.
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
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Plenary talks i ii 25
i .I. I I, ,
i i i i i i i i . ii i-
i i i i i i-ii i . i i i i i (), i i i i i i. i ii, i i -ii , i
i. ii i ii ii i , i ii i iii ii. i i i . i, i, ii, i, i , ii i,
iiii i .i.
i ii i i - i i ii. ii i , ii i i i -i i i ii. i i i -i i i i iii
i i i i -. I i , i , i i . , ii i i - i i, i i, i i, i i.
,, i i , ii i i i i -i i. i(i), . I , ii . (), i .
i i , i i i i i i . ii (i i), i i i( ), i i, - i ii ii, i i -. i
i i: (1) ii i i -; (2) ; (3) i i i.
i ii, iii -i, i i (). i ii i i i i.I ii , i i , , i .
ii i i i, i i i. , i, i ii . i i , i i -i . i i
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Plenary talks i ii 26
, i .
i i, ii i i . i -i i. i , i i - = { | 6 6 }, i i . ii , i- i ii
. i i i i ii i -i. i i i i .
ii i, i i i i. i , i i i i ii, i : (1)i ii i; (2) i ii i - i, i;
(3) i i . i .i . ii i i i (-) i i i: (1) i ii (search &
scoring) (2) i i (dependencyanalysis). ii i i i i i:
1. i (). ii i, i, , , i ii ii.
2. i. i i - , i i (). i i ii -i, i i .
3. . I , - i , -i ii i. i i Tetrad II SopLeq. i i i. i i i(Chow
and Liu) 1968 i , i ii i . i - i i i i, i ii . 1992 i 2, - i (). ii
. 1994 i i i (Wong and Xiang) i I-map. ii i (I-map), -i i i . i , ,
i I-map i , , . i i i ii . 1983 i i (Wermuth and Lauritzen) , . i i
. , , < ( ), i. , i ii i , , ii . - (constructor algorithm) 1990
. i
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Plenary talks i ii 27
i i . i - . Ii i ii , , i. i ii, i , i-i. i (hidden variables)
i(latent variables). I , i - i i ii i. , i i i i (missing data), i
i (bound and collapse) i, i - i (expectation maximization, EM).
ii i 1977 i. i i i - ii. i , i i i, ( i ) , i -i ii. i i ii
(expectation of likelihood), i ii ,i i. i ii i, ii i -ii, i .
.. . ,,
1 -
, - ( ), . , - - 90- . [18] - - , -, -, . [2,3],
= {(, , ),(), ,(),, , , ,}, (, , ) ( ), , , , ; (, , ) ={,
Stat}, Stat , ; , ; ={ , } ( , - ); () , - , ; ; ; . , .
1 - , 2009-1.1-306-077-004 .
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Plenary talks i ii 28
. , , [9].
, - . - , (, , ), , (), - (, ), ( ), () , , ().
: - . , - .
- , , - . -, .
, . ! , , .
- . -, . . , - , , , -, .
,
, - ( ), -: , , , , , , -, , , , , , , , , , . 4 ( ). , - .
[10,11].
, . - , () , , . .
(- -) . , , .
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Plenary talks i ii 29
- -, -. , -, - [1], , , - ( ), - , , - - , , [7,8] . , - - , ,
-,, . .
1. .. .
/ .. , ... : . , 2002. 360 .
2. .. - / .. , .. , .. . /: - , 2005. 288 .
3. .. - : / .. ,.. , .. . /: - , 2006. 332 .
4. .. - /.. , .., ... /: - , 2007. 158 .
5. Gorelova G.V., Verba V.A., Byanov B.J. xperience in cognitive
modeling of complexsystems // Cubernetics and systems 2010,
Proceedings of the 20-th European Meeting onCybernetics and Systems
Research. Pr. In Austria, Vienna, 2010. p. 220223.
6. Gorelova G.V., Zakharova E.N. Gorelova I.S. Cognitive
analysis of the structure andscenario development of socio-economic
system // Proceedings of the XII-th InternationalConference
Cognitive Modeling in Linguistics, CML-2010. September, 714.
2010.Dubrovnik, Croatia. p. 222226.
7. .., .., .. /. .-. . -2009, CASC2009. .: . , 2009. .
152157.
8. .., .., .., .. , , //18- . .: - , 2010. . 152157.
9. / . .., .. ,... .: , 2006. 496 .
10. .., .. : . .: . , 2005. 520 .
11. . : , . .: ,1982. 216 .
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Plenary talks i ii 30
.., .., .., .. , ,
, , -, , ., , , , - , , - . - - - - - :
1) ;
2) - - ;
3) .
, - , - - , - , , , , . , , , , , - , , . . , , , ( , ), , -. ,
, -, , , , , , - - , -. . , -, - - - , , - .
, -
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Plenary talks i ii 31
- , , , -, . , - . - :
- : , , ;
- ;
- ;
- , - ;
- ;
;
(, , , , - , , , );
. ( );
, , .
1. Zgurovsky M.Z., Melnik V.S., Kasyanov P.O. (2010) Evolution
Inclusions and Variation
Inequalities for Earth Data Processing I. Heidelberg, Springer.
doi:10.1007/978-3-642-13837-9.2. Zgurovsky M.Z., Melnik V.S.,
Kasyanov P.O. (2010) Evolution Inclusions and Variation
Inequalities for Earth Data Processing II. Heidelberg, Springer.
doi:10.1007/978-3-642-13878-2.3. Zgurovsky M.Z., Kasyanov P.O.,
Valero J. (2010) Noncoercive evolution inclusions for Sk type
operators. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos.
doi:10.1142/S0218127410027386.4. P.O.Kasyanov, V.S.Melnik, S.
Toscano (2010) Solutions of Cauchy and periodic problems for
evolution inclusions with multi-valued pseudomonotone maps.
Journal of DifferentialEquations.
doi:10.1016/j.jde.2010.05.008.
5. O.V.Kapustyan, P.O.Kasyanov, J. Valero (2011) Pullback
attractors for a class of extremalsolutions of the 3D Navier-Stokes
equations. Journal of Mathematical Analysis andApplications.
doi:10.1016/j.jmaa.2010.07.040.
6. Zadoyanchuk N.V., Kasyanov P.O. (2009) FaedoGalerkin method
for second order evolutioninclusions with -pseudomonotone mappings.
Ukrainian Mathematical Journal.doi:10.1007/s11253-009-0207-z.
7. Zadoyanchuk N.V., Kasyanov P.O. (2010) Analysis and control
of second-orderdifferential-operator inclusions with +-coercive
damping. Cybernetics and Systems
Analysis.doi:10.1007/s10559-010-9208-z.
8. Kasyanov P.O., Melnik V.S., Valero J. (2008) On the method of
approximation forevolutionary inclusions of pseudomonotone type.
Bulletin of the Australian MathematicalSociety.
doi:10.1017/S0004972708000130.
9. Kasyanov P.O. (2010) Differential-operator inclusions and
multivariational inequalities withpseudomonotone mappings
Cybernetics and Systems Analysis. doi:
10.1007/s10559-010-9205-2.
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Plenary talks i ii 32
.. , ,
, , - . .
, , - , , . , - () , .
80- , - , -, -, , -, . , .
: - - () .
[1] . , - .
- - , - , .
, -, , -.
, - .
1. .., ..
// . 2010. 5. . 1117.
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Plenary talks i ii 33
.. , ,
,
, - : , ., , , , , , , .
- , - .
-:
(low income countries) 1.5%1.7% ;
(high income countries) - 4.2%4.8% ;
2.22.8 .
-:
5.4%6.3% - ;
1.8%2.2% ;
, , 0.45%0.65%.
.
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Plenary talks i ii 34
i .., ..i i i ii, i,
Ii i i i
i ii i i i . i i i i MDA (Model Driven Architecture). MDA -i i,
[1]. , - MDA i i ii i , i i [2].
i i - i [3]. i ii, i i, i i,i i, i i .
-. Ii i i i i i-i i . i ii, i i, i. i i i ii i. i i i ii . i , i
i i i i i. ii i i i . ii i i i, i i ii, i .
i . iiii ii . i i , i i. ii i i . ii, .
i i i i - i i, iiiii i. i i - i , i i , i i. i i i i i i-i, i ,
i i i - i. i ii i, . i, . , , -i i ii , i ii i i .
Md i ScMd ii RlMd:
Md = (ScMd,RlMd)
C i , i , - i, i i. i i i. ii -i .
i i MtdScMd, RlScMd, i i LnRlScMd, i AtScMd, RuScMd, CsScMd,
iOpScMd:
ScMd = (MtdScMd,RlScMd,LnRlScMd,AtScMd,RuScMd,CsScMd,OpCsMd)
ii i i . -
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
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2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Plenary talks i ii 35
i, i ii, ii , ii-i i ii i.
i i-i i i-i,i i i, i, i i. - i .
i i ii i . i, - i , i RBAC , i i.
ii i i . - i i i ii -i i . i i i ii i -i, i , , - i, i , -.
i, i i i i, i iiiii i, i i. i i-i .
i i i -i i , i i i. , i i iii i: ,, iiiii, , i i, ii ii. i i i-
i.
ii i , i, iii-i i, i i. ii i ,ii i i i. i ii i i i i ii. i i , ,
i ii i i .
i -. , i ii , ii . i i i-i i i i , iiii , i i . ii ii , ii ii
.
ii i ii -i i i ii , ii i, i i,ii ii.
i1. S.Mellor. MDA Distilled, Principles of Model Driven
Architecture/ Stephen Mellor,
Kendall Scott, Axel Uhl, Dirk Weise. Addison-Wesley
Professional, 2004. 176 p.2. MDA Nice idea, shame about the. . .
[Electronic resource]. :
http://www.theserverside.com/news/1365166/MDA-Nice-idea-shame-about-the.3.
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International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Plenary talks i ii 36
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International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Plenary talks i ii 37
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International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
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Plenary talks i ii 38
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International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Plenary talks
System analysis ofcomplex systems of
various nature
Intelligent systems fordecision-making
Grid-technologies inscience and education
Progressive informationtechnologies
Academic programs:partnership of science
and business
Conference partners
1System analysis ofcomplex systems ofvarious nature
Section 1System analysis of complex systems of various
nature
1. System analysis methods for complex systems of various nature
in conditions ofuncertainty and risks.
2. Mathematical methods, models and technologies for complex
systems research.3. Technology foresight system methodology in
problems of planning and strategic decisions
making.4. Theory and methods of optimal decision-making.5.
Problem oriented methods of complex systems analysis and designing
in conditions of
uncertainty and risks.6. Nonlinear problems of system
analysis.7. System methodology of sustainable development.
1
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Section 1 1 i 1 41
Baranovskyi O.M.
NTUU KPI, PTI, Kyiv, Ukraine
Content monitoring as a new trend in quantitative evaluation of
changesin social processes
Evaluation of the political activity is determined by political
researchers in the manualmode. Thus only experts analyze the latest
news of the political and public life, drawconclusions about
changes in the political mood of society, determine the
relationship ofvarious events and predict political activity
evolution. The disadvantage of these methods isthat the researcher
political preferences impose their imprint to the obtained results:
somefacts get more positive judgment while others negative. That is
why there is a need forobjective automated procedure as well as the
methodology that will analyze recent news andcalculate causes of
political manifestations and activity. It will also be able to
track theincrease and decrease of intensity of political
activities.
The main problem in creation of automated procedures is in the
lack of stable sources ofdata in volumes that allow applying
advanced methods of information processing, as well ascombining
different data sources into a single knowledge base. One of the
possible solutionsto this problem is, in our opinion, application
of Internet content-analysis. The essence ofthe content-analysis is
in the systematic isolation and fixation of certain text units, the
dataquantification and subsequent results interpretation that allow
us to evaluate and predict thebehavior of existing political
systems.
Observations show that the structure and functioning of the
socio-political systems exhibita system-wide self-similarity, i.
e., a system more or less equally arranged in a wide rangeof
spatial, temporal or quantitative scale, which is due to some
measure of scale symmetry.Therefore, small fragments of the system
may be similar to the whole system. To analyzethe use of
self-similarity we use fractal analysis with the help of Hurst
formula [1,2,3].
Results of our research show that the dynamics of the
socio-political processes has somespecial properties. Periods of
oscillation of values of quantitative indicators are irregular
andthere are single and occasional spikes a sharp change in the
values of quantitative indi-cators at some point in time. We also
observed different patterns of socio-political processes,in
particular periods of more or less regular dynamics followed by
periods of chaotic oscilla-tions. These properties make it
difficult to analyze such processes, in particular, there
aredifficulties in identifying the exact moment of cycles
(recurrence) and their duration, etc. Toanalyze processes with the
above properties we applied wavelet analysis [1,2,4]. As a toolof
wavelet transformation we have chosen the Daubechies wavelets the
most well studiedand computationally convenient.
The processing sequences have identified specific relationships
between types of politicalactivity in this case we revealed the
general threshold of similar reactions of various types
ofactivities to changes in the socio-political life on the deepest
levels of decomposition, as wellas the presence of an inverse
relationship between certain political activities (the
oppositereaction to the changes). The obtained results are only a
first step toward understandingthe nature of the socio-political
processes. The main objectives that we set ourselves at themoment:
the search for the best wavelet base functions, reasoning of their
use and search forthe optimal delay (the segmentation of time
series) for the fractal and multifractal analysisof the intensity
of the socio-political activity.
References
1. Davydov A.A. System approach in sociology: new directions,
theory and methods foranalyzing social systems. M.: KomKniga, 2005,
328 p.
2. Gorbulin V.P., Dodonov O.G., Lande D.V. Information
operations and society secutiry:threats, fighting, simulation:
monograph. K.: Intertehnolohiya, 2009, 164 p.
3. Tsvetkov I.V. Fractal analysis and its application to the
analysis of time series.Materials for seminar with faculty,
University of Kent. 04/01/2002.
4. Vityazev V.V. Wavelet time series analysis. St.: Publisher of
St. PetersburgUniversity, 2001. 58 p.
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Section 1 1 i 1 42
Khomchak M.V.
NTUU KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine
Workload characterization of bank securities processing
application
Performance testing and evaluation are an essential
pre-deployment step preceding roll-out and go-live of any
information systems. Performance measurement is a very
complexprocedure comprising evaluation of workload as a critical
challenge. Workload characteriza-tion is the process, which
consists of a description of the workload by means of
quantitativeparameters and functions; the objective is to derive a
model which is able to show, capture,and reproduce the behavior of
the workload and its most important feature [1].
Almeida and Menasce [2] define workload characterization as a
process of partitioning theglobal workload of a computer system
into smaller sets or workload components composed oftransactions or
requests, having similar characteristics, and assigning values that
representtheir typical resource demand and intensity. This paper
focuses on the approach of bankstypical back-office applications
partitioning.
Ron Lee proposed the following levels of workload
characterization [3]:
Characterization level Perspective Components
Functional Users view Series of transactions such as reports,
queries,sorts, and searches, click, etc.
Logical Programmers view Sequences of remote procedure calls,
batchjobs, feeds, etc.
Physical Computers view CPU, memory, I/O utilization
Although above method is tried-and-true it isnt effective enough
when employing in con-ditions of a real business. Author faced with
lost in translation capturing requirement ofbusiness
representatives. Thus, additional workload level has been
introduced. This level,called Business Level, together with
top-down analysis approach allows performance en-gineer collect
very high-level components (equities trade lifecycle stages in our
case) whichare clear business entities and de-couple them down to
functional, logical and physical levelstranslating finally into
requirement to physical infrastructure. As a result, we defined a
spe-cial non-functional requirement form for each of the trade life
cycle stages: inception, capture,validation, instruction
generation, confirmation, agent matching, settlement, accounting
andP&L analysis. Interviewing business representatives,
responsible for each of above activities,weve identified high-level
business components and associated them with performance
re-quirement parameters known for business. For example, interview
with accountant gave usnon-IT perspective on processes called
Positions and Balances where we managed to identifythe following
workload components: end of day balance histories, trade mapping,
settlementmapping and overnight snapshot jobs. Then top-down
approach has been applied and wevetransformed business terminology
into functional blocks of application. Continuing withtop-down
approach finally arrived to clear view on hardware components
requirements.
Such method has been tested and proofed as effective and
efficient in order to meet SupportLevel Agreements confirmed by
business.
References
1. M.Calzarossa, L.Massari, D.Tessera, Workload Characterization
Issues andMethodologies, in Performance Evaluation, New York, NY,
2000, pp. 459481.
2. D.Menasce, V.Almeida, R.Riedi, F. Pelegrinelli, R. Fonseca,
and W.Meira Jr., In Searchof Invariants for E-Business Workloads,
in Proc. Second ACM Conference on ElectronicCommerce, Minneapolis,
MN, October 1720, 2000. doi: 10.1145/352871.352878.
3. R. Lee. (1991) An Introduction to Workload Characterization.
[Online].
Available:http://support.novell.com/techcenter/articles/ana19910503.html.
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Section 1 1 i 1 43
Kozlov K.V., Makukha M.P.
ESC IASA NTUU KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine
Using situation calculus for automated project planning
Planning is an important stage of scenario analysis and plays
key role in solving variousproblems: foresight [1], project
management, public policy development, decision making,synthesis of
complex systems [2], intelligent agent behavior and many
others.
Plan is often considered as a sequence of states, or situations,
connected by actions thatare modelled by transitions between
states. Situations can hold properties, or fluents, thatdescribe
quantitative and qualitative characteristics of the situation.
Actions have precondi-tions, that make action possible in all
situations where preconditions are met. Actions canchange the
current state of the system and have effects. Both effects and
preconditions arestated in terms of fluents. There are several
planning methods: forward planning is uncon-strained by the goal
and results in all plans that are possible from given initial
situation;regression planning (goal-based planning, backwards
planning) searches a plan backwardsstarting from the desired
situation and is not constrained by the initial situation.
Well-known approaches for plans formalization and automated
planning include situationcalculus [3], STRIPS [4] and others. Free
software and programming languages for automatedplanning include
general-purpose instruments like Prolog, Otter (or its successor
Prover9,www.cs.unm.edu/mccune/prover9) and many others; specialized
and commercial softwaretools are developed as well.
In situation calculus, primitive actions, complex actions,
fluents, and objects need to bespecified. Axioms of three types are
used to describe actions:
(, , ) (, ), (1)
(, ) + (, , ) (, (, )), (2)
(, ) (, , ) (, (, )), (3)where is an action, is a situation;
predicate (, ) shows whether is possible in ;
formula (, , ) describes preconditions of ; formulas + (, , )
and (, , ) describe
conditions that make fluent true or false respectively as a
result of action ; is a vectorof parameters. Here (1) is a
precondition axiom, (2) and (3) are positive and negative
effectaxioms respectively. A single precondition axiom is required
for each primitive action.
It is shown how situation calculus can be applied to automated
planning of the housebuilding project. As a result, the set of
possible project plans, satisfying duration and costsconstraints,
were obtained. Each plan is accompanied by its outcomes the set of
fluentsthat are factual in resulting situation.
Computing the set of all possible project realizations may
require significant computa-tional resources. Introducing
quantitative objectives, such as project duration and
projectrealization cost, in addition to indicative goals describing
the desired situation, can signifi-cantly narrow the set of
possible plans. In this case, a Pareto set of feasible project
plans canbe computed, a rational plan can be selected, and
reasoning tree pruning heuristics can beused to speed up automated
reasoning. Both Prolog and Prover9 provide various mechanismsto
incorporate heuristics into the planner program.
Modeling techniques, recommendations, and best design practices,
obtained for automatedplanning in project management, can be
immediately applied in scenario analysis and com-plex systems
synthesis.
References1. .. , .., , : ii,
2005.2. M.Z. Zgurovsky, N.D. Pankratova, System Analysis: Theory
and Applications, Springer, 2007.3. J.McCarthy, P.J.Hayes, Some
Philosophical Problems from the Standpoint of Artificial
Intelligence, B.Meltzer and D.Michie, eds., Edinburgh University
Press, 1969, pp. 463502.4. R.E. Fikes and N.J.Nilsson, STRIPS: A
new approach to the application of theorem proving,
Artificial Intelligence Journal, vol. 2, 1971, pp. 189208.
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
http://www.cs.unm.edu/~mccune/prover9/http://sait.kpi.uahttp://iasa.kpi.uahttp://kpi.uahttp://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf/view
Section 1 1 i 1 44
Muttalibova Sh.F., Hasanov A.A., Pashayeva M.M., Kerimova
S.I.
Azerbaijan National Aerospace Agency, Baku, Azerbaijan
Modeling of natural destructive processes for solving of
environmentalproblems
In ecology for study and forecasting of natural destructive
processes on a large scale,the modeling process is used. Modeling
is the method of investigation of complex objects,phenomena and
processes by means of a simplified simulation (physical,
mathematical, ge-ological and logical). For study and forecasting
of natural destructive phenomena physical,geographical and
mathematical models are commonly used. The importance of this work
isthat, for evaluation and forecasting of natural destructive
processes (as mud-flow), in partic-ular, to identify factors, that
play a main role in the creation of mud-flow processes,
physical,geographical and mathematical modeling was applied.
Figure 1. Grouped objects
As investigating object, the basin riverof Kish of Azerbaijan
Republic was se-lected. With using space images and
GIS-technologies digital electronic maps of geo-logical,
geomorphological, land use, soil andvegetation were created for the
basin riverKish and the risk of mud-flow processes wasassessed on
ball scale [1]. Input informa-tion and results were accumulated in
thedatabase. Grouped together all the objects(fig. 1), which
assessed the risk of 5 bal, se-lected layers were taken as sources
of mud-flow processes.
Using information, collected in thedatabase, a method to
determine the fac-tors, that play a main role in the creationof
mud-flow processes was developed. Themud-flow processes can be
formed in those places, where the state of danger of the
mud-flowreceived a high bal in all layers (soil, vegetation,
geological, geomorphological, land use). Asa result the model
function = (,) has been taken.
Then a mathematical model to determine the factors, which play a
main role in theformation of mud-flow processes, would be as
follows:
(,) = max=1,330
5=1
= max{11 + 22 + 33 + 44 + 55 | = 1, 330}, (1)
11 in land use, 22 in vegetation, 33 in soil, 44 in geological,
and 55 in the geomorphological structure the extreme conditions of
formation of mud-flow processes.After the work programs the
coefficients of systems of equation have the following
estimation:
= max=1,330
{0.011 + 0.022 + 0.02993 + 0.044 + 0.0995}. (2)
In the formula (2) obtained coefficients show, that in the
composition of the mud-flow andfor formation of mud-flow processes
the geological, geomorphological structure and the soilwere playing
the main role. In this work as the input data were used the
information aboutthe basin of river Kish.
This model can be applied to other rivers, but considering, that
the input data mustconform to these rivers. This model can
prognosticate the mud-flow processes.
References
1. Muttalibova Sh.F. Formation conditions of mud-flow and
digital map of sources ofmud-flow / Journal News of NASA of
Azerbaijan, Baku, 2006, v.9, N2, Pp. 3236.
International conference on System Analysis and Information
Technologies SAIT 2011Institute for Applied System Analysis of
National Technical University of Ukraine KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine, May
2328, 2011
ISBN 978-966-2153-57-6, revision 0.9.2 (2011.05.12), available
at http://sait.kpi.ua/books/sait2011.ebook.pdf
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Section 1 1 i 1 45
Oganesyan Gayane
NTUU KPI, Kyiv, Ukraine
Analysis of financial sustainable growth
In recent years, financial instability has become a major
impediment, or one may evencall it a threat to global sustainable
development. The scope of the recent global financialcrisis of
20072009, and its implications in the form of a prolonged recession
in economicdevelopment, especially in developed countries, has
directed the attention of academia andpoliticians alike to finding
better ways to identify the risks and threats to the stability of
thewhole financial system.
The inability of policy-makers to head-off or prevent the recent
crisis in countries aroundthe world may be associated with the
general fragmentation of financial and macroeconomicassessment [1].
For example, in USA, policy-makers didnt contrast the rising risks
in theshadow financial sector with the risks of the economy-wide
trends in credit growth, leverageand house prices, and therefore,
could not understand their nature and possible consequences.In
other words, leading macroeconomic and financial indicators were
analyzed separately.This kind of approach in assessing financial
stability did not encompass the macro-financiallinkages, and
ultimately led to ineffective and untimely policy decisions. In
order to compre-hend these macro-financial linkages and assess the
stability of the whole financial system, aflow-of-funds model may
be used [2].
The modified flow-of-funds model (MFFModel) proposed by me shows
the links betweenthe real and financial sectors of the economy, and
between two aforementioned sectors andthe foreign economy sector.
MFFModel considers the increasingly fast-paced financial
sectordevelopment observed in all economies around the world in
comparison to the slow-pacedreal sector development. It
incorporates also the fact that in recent years the financial
sectorhas begun to play an extractive, rather than supportive role
in the economy, meaning thatthe state of the real economy now
relies on financial sector development.
MFFModel can be used not only to determine macro-financial
linkages in assessing finan-cial stability, but also to determine
financial sustainable growth. The links in this model
arerepresented as circular flows of money pa