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เทรดหุ้นต่างประเทศผ่านตลาดไทยด้วย
Elliott Wave
1 December 2014
โดย
คุณอต ิอตกิลุ, CMT, CFA, FRM ฝ่ายตราสารอนุพนัธ์ บริษัทหลกัทรัพย์ เมย์แบงก์ กมิเอง็ (ประเทศไทย) จ ากดั (มหาชน)
* ขอ้มูลทั้งหมดในหลกัสูตรน้ีจดัเตรียมเพ่ือเป็นกรณีศึกษา มิไดเ้ป็นค าแนะน าซ้ือขายหลกัทรัพยห์ริอสญัญาซ้ือขายล่วงหนา้
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Wave Cycle 1 รอบคลื่นใหญ่มี 8 คลื่นย่อย
• Motive Wave คอื ชุด Wave 1-2-3-4-5
• Corrective Wave คอื ชุด Wave A-B-C
1
2
3
4
5
A
B
C
Motive Wave Corrective Wave
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Wave Cycle 1 รอบคลื่นใหญ่มี 8 คลื่นย่อย
• Motive Wave คอื ชุด Wave 1-2-3-4-5
• Corrective Wave คอื ชุด Wave A-B-C
1
2
3
4
5
A
B
C
Motive Wave
Corrective Wave
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ชุดคล่ืนใหญ่มีคลื่นย่อยๆ
• Degree ใหญม่ ี 2 คลืน่ยอ่ย
• Degree รองลงมา ม ี 8 คลืน่ยอ่ย
• Degree เล็ก ม ี 34 คลืน่ยอ่ย
=
* Reference: Elliott Wave Principle, Key to market behavior, By Frost and Prechter,1978-2006
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คลื่นย่อยของ Impulse: Wave (1), Wave (3), Wave (5)
• Impulse Wave (1), Wave (3), Wave (5) จะม ี 5 คลืน่ยอ่ย คอื Wave 1-2-3-4-5
1
2
3
4
5 Motive Wave
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อารมณ์ตลาดในคล่ืน Elliott : Motive Wave
* Reference: Elliott Wave Principle, Key to market behavior, By Frost and Prechter,1978-2006
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อารมณ์ตลาดในคล่ืน Elliott : Corrective Wave
* Reference: Elliott Wave Principle, Key to market behavior, By Frost and Prechter,1978-2006
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Stock VS Commodities
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MSCI Emerging Markets (Weekly)
X
A
B
C
A
B
C
X
10
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MSCI Emerging Markets (Daily)
A
a
b
ii
i
v iii
iv
i
c
b
a
11
B c
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MSCI Emerging Markets (Weekly)
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MSCI Emerging Markets (Daily)
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MSCI European Monetary Union Index (Weekly)
1
2
3
4
5
ii
i
v
iii
iv c
b
a
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MSCI European Monetary Union Index (Daily)
3
4
5
c
b
a
ii
i
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MSCI European Monetary Union Index (Weekly)
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MSCI European Monetary Union Index (Daily)
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MSCI Japan Index (Weekly)
1
2
3
ii
i
v
iii
iv
c
b
a
ii
i
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MSCI Japan Index (Daily)
2 c
b
ii
i
19
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MSCI Japan Index (Weekly)
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MSCI Japan Index (Daily)
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S&P 500 Index (Weekly)
1
2
3
4
5
c
b
a
ii
i
v
iii
iv
22
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3
4
5
iv
iii
v
S&P 500 Index (Daily)
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S&P 500 Index (Weekly)
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S&P 500 Index (Daily)
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