© OECD/IEA 2012 The Role of EVs in a Clean Energy Future Ms. Maria van der Hoeven Executive Director International Energy Agency Ireland, 11 July 2012 Fully Charged 2012 International Electric Vehicle Summit Dublin
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© OECD/IEA 2012
The Role of EVs in a Clean Energy Future
Ms. Maria van der HoevenExecutive DirectorInternational Energy AgencyIreland, 11 July 2012
Fully Charged 2012 International Electric Vehicle Summit Dublin
ETP 2012 – Choice of 3 Futures
© OECD/IEA 2012
6DSwhere the world is now heading with potentially devastating results
The 6°C Scenario
4DSreflecting pledges by countries to cut emissions and boost energy efficiency
The 4°C Scenario
2DSa vision of a sustainable energy system of reduced Greenhouse Gas (GHG) and CO2 emissions
The 2°C Scenario
A smart, sustainable energy system
© OECD/IEA 2012
A sustainable energy system is a smarter, more unified and integrated energy system
Decarbonising electricity generation in Ireland
Renewables policy emphasis Favourable REFITs extended Wind =10%; 30% 2020 target New REFITs for 2nd gen. biomass
Gas is the dominant fuel Now accounts for 62% of power Will grow in tandem with
growth in variable renewables
Coal and peat are declining Carbon tax disincentive Peat subsidies phased out
Renewables target: 40% generation by 2020
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009
TWh
Oil Natural gas Peat Coal Hydro Biofuels and waste Wind
Electric vehicles need to come of age
© OECD/IEA 2012
More than 90% of light duty vehicles need to be propelled by an electric motor in 2050
Pas
seng
er L
DV
sal
es (
mill
ion)
Translating targets into action
© OECD/IEA 2012
Government targets need to be backed by policy action
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Key global milestones along the way
© OECD/IEA 2012
2011 actual
2015 targets
2020 targets
Worldwide EV/PHEV sales
Near 50,000 1.5 million 7 million
Public charging pointsNear
25,000 3 million 10 million
Battery cost ($/kWh) $600-800Under$500
Under$300
Even the 2015 targets will be challenging
New technology vehicles and low carbon fuels are key
© OECD/IEA 2012
Low carbon vehicles and fuels become increasingly important after 2030, but need a foundation well before then to succeed.
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