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1
21
2005.11.17
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12
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ぞ さ
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10
10
2
ぜ
Dr. Gro
Harlem Brundtland
┞
Committee of Inquiry into Human Fertilisation.and
Embryology Mary Warnock
Ⅴ Ⅴ
without compromising the ability of future generations
㊪
↓ ――
―― endanger
↓
minimized さ
㊪
ゝ
3
㎰ よ
↓ ″
enhance both current and future potential
さ さ
″ ├ 19
リ John Locke 1632 1704 ♣
♣
♣ さ
Ⅴ
ぞ
♣ Ⅴ
♣
… 10
4
♣
さ ↓ ″
さ ↓ ″
19 John Stuart
Mill 1806 1873 ″ ├
♣ ♣
19
″ ├ ♣
″ さ
Herman E Daly 1938
1938
1 1972 ┐ゼ
♣
ゼ
ゼ
″
″
㈻
″ ″
5
″
┘
″ ″
㈻ ㈻
↓ ㈻ よ
″ ″ ″
″ ″ ″
″
″
″
ふ ぜ
″ ″
″
″ リ
6
Unconventional Oil oil sand, heavy oil, oil shale
oil sand heavy oil oil shale
oil sand
heavy oil oil shale
さ
┘
20 Unconventional Oil
80
60 70
Ⅴ
Unconventional Gas tight sand gas, coal bed methane, shale gas,
geopressured gas, methane hydrate
methane hydrate ┬
┬ モ methane hydrate
methane hydrate
リ
↓ ″
″ ぜ
″
″
┷ ┘ ″ ″
″
♣ ラ
″ Unconventional Resources Unconventional Oil Unconventional Gas
㌹
っ
7
CO2 CO2 Unconventional Oil
Unconventional Gas
CO2
CO2
CO2 さ
セ
″
↓
″
″ → ㌱
″
″
Peak Oil
㌱ ㊪
Henry Alfred Kissinger 1923
ぜ ″
20 ″ ┘
㌱
┘
″
♣
8
♣
セ
↓ ″
″
40
て
R
reserve P production
ぜ ッ
♣ 1998 58 R/P
79 77
よ
9
ぜ フ
ぜ
㈻ Colin J. Campbell and H. Laherrere “The End of Cheap Oil”