国国国国国国国国 国国国国国国国国 Future Demands on the Tanker Industry the Upcoming New Business Environment Tim Wilkins Regional Manager Asia-Pacific Environmental Manager I m a g e C o u r t e s y o f N O R D E N A S 2 nd China Shipbuilding Summit Dalian, 18-20 June 2008
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国际油轮船东协会 国际油轮船东协会 Future Demands on the Tanker Industry the Upcoming New Business Environment Tim Wilkins Regional Manager Asia-Pacific Environmental
INTERTANKO Today members operating ca ships > 80% of the independent oil tanker fleet > 85% of the chemical carrier fleet associate members: in oil and chemical tanker related businesses 15 Committees – 5 Regional Panels Principal Offices – London and Oslo Representative Offices in Asia, US and Brussels Observer Status at IMO, IOPC, OECD and UNCTAD
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国际油轮船东协会
国际油轮船东协会
Future Demands on the Tanker Industry
the Upcoming New Business Environment
Tim WilkinsRegional Manager Asia-Pacific
Environmental Manager
Image C
ourtesy of NO
RD
EN
AS
2nd China Shipbuilding Summit
Dalian, 18-20 June 2008
国际油轮船东协会
Presentation overview
1. Oil market and Tanker fleet overview
2. State of the industry: future demands on the tanker industry, the new business environment
1. Overview2. Environment3. Human element
INTERTANKO Today
290 + members operating ca. 2950 ships> 80% of the independent oil tanker fleet> 85% of the chemical carrier fleet
330 + associate members:in oil and chemical tanker related businesses
15 Committees – 5 Regional PanelsPrincipal Offices – London and OsloRepresentative Offices in Asia, US and BrusselsObserver Status at IMO, IOPC, OECD and UNCTAD
国际油轮船东协会
INTERTANKO – The Voice of the Tanker Industry
MISSION• To provide leadership to the Tanker Industry in serving the world
with safe, environmentally sound and efficient seaborne transportation of oil, gas and chemical products.
VISION FOR THE TANKER INDUSTRY• A responsible, sustainable, respected Tanker Industry, committed
to continuous improvement and constructively influencing its future.
Lead the continuous improvement of the Tanker Industry’s performance in striving to achieve the goals of:• Zero fatalities• Zero pollution• Zero detentions
Tanker fleet, orderbook and phase out - tankers above 25,000 dwt
m d
wt
63 m dwt 155 m dwt
358 m dwt
0
60
120
180
240
300
360
SH - 18% Orders - 43% Fleet - 100%
VLCC
Suezmax
Aframax
Panamax
Handy
23%
36%
41%
45%
48%
Shares of fleet
Share of fleet
国际油轮船东协会
Single Hull Tanker Phase Out - “uncertainty” post 2010m
dw
t
Assumptions :• MARPOL phase out allows for trading until the age of 25 years old, max 2015• The EU alternative does not allow SH trading after 2010.• DB/DS can trade until the age of 25 years old, but here cut off 2015
One litre of fuel on a modern VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) moving one tonne of cargo more than 2,500 kilometres - more
than twice as far as 20 years ago
Air emissions – GHGs
国际油轮船东协会
Vessel Design IndexProposed Index (gram CO2/tonne-mile) =
Fuel Cons (g/kW hr) x (ME power (kW) x (1+K2)) x C/c DWT (tonne) x Max Speed (n mile/hr) x K1
K1 is Coefficient of decreased propulsion efficiency in actual sea conditionsK2 is Coefficient of contribution to CO2 from aux engines and energy
conservation equipment
Issues for consideration• Application to all ship types ?• One or more design conditions ? – e.g. load/ballast• One or more sea conditions ? – how weighted ?• How measured / normalised / verified ?
Air emissions – GHGs
State of the Industry2. Human element
国际油轮船东协会
Human element
Availability and Quality Issues
But a guiding principle:
Human Resources are respected as an asset, not treated as a cost !