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© Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk- taking in Financial Institutions
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© Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Dec 24, 2015

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Page 1: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

© Elizabeth Sheedy

Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD

Macquarie Applied Finance Centre

Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions

Page 2: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Remuneration and Risk-taking

What’s the connection?

Page 3: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

It’s complicated…• How to measure risk and performance?• Who’s perspective?• Endogeneity?• Interaction with risk controls, regulation and

culture?• Nature and size of business?• Exact structure of remuneration

Page 4: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Academic Research on Remuneration

Cheng, Hong and Scheinkman (2010) “Yesterday’s Heroes: Compensation and Creative Risk-taking” NBER 16176

Find correlation between total remuneration of Top 5 and risk-taking

Page 5: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

What’s the role of shareholders?

• Moral hazard?• Short-term focus?• Are they actively encouraging

risk-taking?• High salaries and bonuses are a

risk premium to compensate staff?

Page 6: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Consider Bear Stearns and Lehman

In 2008 the CEO of Lehman incurred (paper) losses of $931 million on his shareholdings while the CEO of Bear Stearns lost over $900 million.

Page 7: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Cash bonuses 2000-2007

Page 8: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Proceeds sale of equity 2000-2007

Bear Stearns Lehman

CEO Execs 2-5 CEO Execs 2-5

$289m $817m $471m $389m

Page 9: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Accumulating vast wealth leads to risk tolerance.

Page 10: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Remuneration most problematic when...

• There are options and cash bonuses involved (vs shares)

• Shareholders have short-term focus (institutions?)

• Executives have accumulated wealth• Weak regulatory environment• Weak risk culture/controls

Page 11: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

What do we mean by strong risk culture?

• Focus on shareholder interests not necessarily appropriate

• Traditional corporate governance measures focus on shareholder rights

Page 12: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

What is risk culture?

“The norms and traditions of behaviour of individuals and of groups within an organisation that determine the way in which they identify, understand, discuss and act upon the risks the organisation confronts and the risks it takes.”

IIF 2009

Page 13: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

IIF recommendations on risk governance

• Dedicated risk committee with strong experience and skills

• Independent CRO with status/power• Adequate resources for risk management function• Clearly defined risk appetite• Effective dialogue about risk at all levels (questioning)• Deep understanding of risk profile• Clear understanding of individual responsibilities in risk

management structure

Page 14: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Academic Research on Risk Controls

Ellul and Yerramilli (2010) “Stronger Risk Controls, Lower Risk: Evidence from US Bank Holding Companies” NBER 16178

Page 15: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

How to measure effectiveness of risk governance?

• Remuneration of the Chief Risk Officer (vs CEO)?

• Banking experience of independent Directors?

• Frequency of Risk Committee meetings?

Page 16: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Ellul and Yerramilli study finds that banks with stronger risk governance have lower enterprise-wide risk, even after controlling for remuneration policy

Findings

Page 17: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Risk management

Power/status?

Resources?

Education and experience?

Page 18: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Risk education

• Master of Applied Finance• Compulsory unit on Financial Risk

Management• Many advanced risk electives

www.mafc.mq.edu.au

Page 19: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Basel III Regulations

• National regulators will review bank compensation policies

• Deferral of bonuses (with claw-back)

• Risk-adjusted performance• Greater reliance on shares

Page 20: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Increased capital requirements!

ROE=

Capital Conservation Buffer

Earnings

Capital

Page 21: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

Conclusions

• Remuneration policy has affected risk-taking (driven by some shareholders).

• Risk controls are an effective counter-measure if adequately resourced.

• New regulations should help.• Macquarie will continue to research and

educate in financial risk management issues.

Page 22: © Elizabeth Sheedy Elizabeth Sheedy, PhD Macquarie Applied Finance Centre Remuneration and Risk-taking in Financial Institutions.

References• Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (2010) Compensation principles and standards assessment methodology, www.bis.org•  Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (2010) Principles for enhancing corporate governance, www.bis.org•  Bebchuk, Lucian, Cohen and Spamann, 2010, The wages of failure: executive compensation at Bear Stearns and Lehman 2000-2008,

Yale Journal on Regulation, 27, 257-282•  Beltratti, A., and R. Stultz, 2009, Why did some banks perform better during the credit crisis? A cross-country study of the impact of

governance and regulation, (European Corporate Governance Institute).•  Bhagat, Sanjai, and Brian Bolton, 2010, Investment Bankers' Culture of Ownership?, SSRN.• Cheng, I., H. Hong, et al. (2010). Yesterday's Heroes: Compensation and creating risk-taking. Cambridge, MA, NBER • Dong, Zhiyong, Cong Wang, and Fei Xie, 2010, Do executive stock options induce excessive risk taking?, Journal of Banking & Finance

34, 2518-2529.• Ellul, A. and V. Yerramilli (2010). Stronger risk controls, lower risk: Evidence from US Bank holding companies. Cambridge, MA, NBER.•  Fahlenbrach, R. and R. Stulz (2009). Bank CEO Incentives and the Credit Crisis. Cambridge Massachusetts, NBER.• IIF (2011) Reform in the Financial Services Industry, www.iif.com• IIF (2011) Making Strides in Financial Services Risk Management, www.iif.com• Suntheim, F. (2010). Managerial Compensation in the Financial Service Industry. Milan, SSRN.•  Taillard, Jerome, Bernadette Minton, and Rohan Williamson, 2010, Do independence and financial expertise of the board matter for risk

taking and performance?, Eurofidai (Paris).• Vallascas, Francesco, and Jens Hagendorff, 2010, CEO reumuneration and bank default risk: evidence from the US and Europe, Carefin

(Universita Bocconi, Milan).• Victoravich, Lisa, Pisun Xu, William Buslepp, and Hugh Grove, 2011, CEO Power, Equity Incentives and Bank Risk Taking.

www.ssrn.com/abstract=1909547