Udo@smartchat.net.au © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity - An Approach to Trading Shares Udo Stegen © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust.
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udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity - An Approach to Trading Shares
Udo StegenUdo Stegen
© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity - What Does It Do?
Identifies possible change of trendIdentifies possible change of trend Suggests entrySuggests entry Suggests exitSuggests exit No guarantee, only probabilitiesNo guarantee, only probabilities Determine “DNA” of a stockDetermine “DNA” of a stock
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity - What’s in it for ME?
Chart templatesChart templates– DailyDaily, IntraDay, Weekly, IntraDay, Weekly
Three kinds of indicatorsThree kinds of indicators– A/D, Stochastic, MACD/EMAA/D, Stochastic, MACD/EMA
Entry and exit rulesEntry and exit rules– based on stock’s DNAbased on stock’s DNA
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Evolution
““KISS” - Keep It Simple, Stupid!KISS” - Keep It Simple, Stupid! Find a turning pointFind a turning point It’s easy on the left...It’s easy on the left...
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Anything else I need to know?
SMLC: Share Market Life CycleSMLC: Share Market Life Cycle– get Warren’s videoget Warren’s video
Trends, Charts, Market DepthTrends, Charts, Market Depth– Market Analyser (upgrade to Pro)Market Analyser (upgrade to Pro)
Study your stocks (DNA)Study your stocks (DNA)
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Agenda
SMLC stages SMLC stages (5 minutes)(5 minutes)
Trinity Indicators Trinity Indicators (15 minutes)(15 minutes)
Long trades Long trades (15 minutes)(15 minutes)
Short trades Short trades (15 minutes)(15 minutes)
Scans and Charts in MA Pro Scans and Charts in MA Pro (15 minutes)(15 minutes)
Break Break (10 minutes)(10 minutes)
Q & A Q & A (15 minutes)(15 minutes)
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
SMLC Stages
What does a share price do?What does a share price do?– it falls (Stage 1)it falls (Stage 1)– it moves sideways (Stage 2)it moves sideways (Stage 2)– it rises (Stage 3)it rises (Stage 3)– it moves sideways (Stage 4)it moves sideways (Stage 4)
This happens on any time scaleThis happens on any time scale
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Weekly Chart
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
IntraDay Chart
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Daily Chart
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trading between TP34s
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
When do TPs Lock In?
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Indicator Classes
Volume-Price combinationVolume-Price combination– Accumulation, DistributionAccumulation, Distribution
Momentum, i.e. strength of price changeMomentum, i.e. strength of price change– Stochastic, Rate of ChangeStochastic, Rate of Change
History AveragesHistory Averages– MACD, EMAMACD, EMA
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Turning Predicted
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Turning Confirmed
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
A Strong Trend
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Long Trades
Accu: Stock is downAccu: Stock is down Volume: Interest coming inVolume: Interest coming in Stochastic: predictsStochastic: predicts MACD crosses Signal: Attention!MACD crosses Signal: Attention! MACD crosses Zero: We’re away!MACD crosses Zero: We’re away!
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
RIO – Textbook Long
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Testing our Patience
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Not a strong Entry
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Support/Resistance
Four Major LevelsFour Major Levels1.1. Last Low before TurnLast Low before Turn
2.2. Close on day before TurnClose on day before Turn
3.3. Low on day after TurnLow on day after Turn
4.4. FTFF LevelFTFF Level
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Example Key Levels
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Example EMA Levels
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Example Fibonacci Levels
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Short Trading
Approach: Mirror LongApproach: Mirror Long– D34 instead of A34D34 instead of A34– Stochastic falls below 80%Stochastic falls below 80%– MACD falls through Signal and zeroMACD falls through Signal and zero
Caution: Be aware that -Caution: Be aware that -– Stocks fall faster than they riseStocks fall faster than they rise– Optimists may start buying earlyOptimists may start buying early– False support signals when bids are pulledFalse support signals when bids are pulled
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Example: CSL Jan 2002
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
CSL: The BIG Picture
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Analyser Scans
MA Pro is fast nearing completionMA Pro is fast nearing completion Users can write Personal ScansUsers can write Personal Scans
(or subscribe to extensions supplied by others)(or subscribe to extensions supplied by others)
Scans can be added as Chart IndicatorsScans can be added as Chart Indicators Indicators can build Trading SystemsIndicators can build Trading Systems Trading Systems can be back-testedTrading Systems can be back-tested
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity Scans
Result of 7/07/2004 (Long)Result of 7/07/2004 (Long)– CEP.AX– CENTRO PROPS – $4.23– Trinity-L.Classic suggests Long:
A34 and S OK 2 days ago. MACD x zero on the last day. Current Close EMA all up; line-up HALF ok ** *** Av.Volume DOWN
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity Scans
Result of 7/07/2004 (Short)Result of 7/07/2004 (Short)– PBG.AX– PACIFIC BRANDS – $2.70– Trinity-S.Classic suggests Short: D55 and S OK
1 day ago. MACD x Signal on the last day. Current Close EMA 1 *UP*; line-up NOT OK *** Turnover < 80% ***
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity Scan – CEP Long
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity Scan – PBG Short
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity as Chart Indicator
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity Chart for ANZ
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Trinity Chart for WES
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Summary You learned -You learned -
– to identify a stock’s SMLC Stageto identify a stock’s SMLC Stage– to interpret a Chart with templatesto interpret a Chart with templates– to check a stock’s DNAto check a stock’s DNA
You can adapt TrinityYou can adapt Trinity– to your favourite stocksto your favourite stocks– to your own trading styleto your own trading style
Don’t forget Money Management!Don’t forget Money Management!
udo@smartchat.net.auudo@smartchat.net.au© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust
Acknowledgement, Sources
Members ForumMembers ForumSearch for Trinity; Search for Trinity; how much time do you have?how much time do you have?
Education SectionEducation SectionTechnical Indicators; Technical Indicators; check out Stochastic and MACDcheck out Stochastic and MACD
Fellow Traders and Group membersFellow Traders and Group members
AArthur, rthur, BBart, art, CCool Hippo, ool Hippo, DDavid, ... avid, ... WWarrenarren
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