The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

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8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

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Will the Internet Destroy the

 News Media?Susan Athey, Emilio Calvano & Joshua Gans

May 2011

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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The chart of doom

Source:NewspaperAssocia0onofAmerica

NewspaperAdRevenue(198$m)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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The chart of doom

Source:NewspaperAssocia0onofAmerica

1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008

$0

$7,500

$15,000

$22,500

$30,000

NewspaperAdRevenue(198$m)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Explaining the decline

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Psychology (digital less effective)

Explaining the decline

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Psychology (digital less effective)

Explaining the decline

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Psychology (digital less effective)

Explaining the decline

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Economic fundamentals

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Attention is still scarce ...

Economic fundamentals

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Attention is still scarce ...

and advertisers still want to access that

attention.

Economic fundamentals

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Disruption

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Disruption

The Internet has disrupted the traditional

 business model ...

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Disruption

The Internet has disrupted the traditional

 business model ...

need to wait for experiments to sort itout.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Disruption

The Internet has disrupted the traditional

 business model ...

need to wait for experiments to sort itout.

Most experiments rely on the ‘waterbed

effect’ ...

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Disruption

The Internet has disrupted the traditional

 business model ...

need to wait for experiments to sort itout.

Most experiments rely on the ‘waterbed

effect’ ...

 but based on assumption readers choose

content and advertisers sell access.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Only two facts

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

O l t f t

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The Internet has facilitated consumer 

switching between outlets

Only two facts

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

O l t f t

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The Internet has facilitated consumer 

switching between outlets

There is imperfect tracking between

outlets

Only two facts

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Puzzles

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Puzzles

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Puzzles

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Puzzles

Evidence that competition reduces ad prices

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Puzzles

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Puzzles

Evidence that competition reduces ad prices

Outlets claim mergers will improve ad revenue

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Puzzles

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Puzzles

Evidence that competition reduces ad prices

Outlets claim mergers will improve ad revenue

For-profit outlets object to lifting of adrestrictions on public broadcasters

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Puzzles

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Puzzles

Evidence that competition reduces ad prices

Outlets claim mergers will improve ad revenue

For-profit outlets object to lifting of adrestrictions on public broadcasters

Larger outlets earn higher ad revenue per consumer 

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Switching

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Switching

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Switching

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Browsing

Switching

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Switching

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Browsing

Free content

g

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Switching

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Browsing

Free content

Aggregators, social

networks and

search

g

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Switching

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Browsing

Free content

Aggregators, social

networks and

search

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Tracking

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Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Tracking

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Switching alone does not explain the

decline.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Tracking

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Switching alone does not explain the

decline.

With no tracking or perfect tracking do

not care where consumers are.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertising supply

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Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertising supply

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Two attention periods.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertising supply

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Two attention periods.

Two outlets with ad capacity per unit of attention, ai.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertising supply

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Two attention periods.

Two outlets with ad capacity per unit of attention, ai.

If they have opportunity to choose, consumers select outlet i with

 probability xi.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertising supply

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Two attention periods.

Two outlets with ad capacity per unit of attention, ai.

If they have opportunity to choose, consumers select outlet i with

 probability xi.

In a given period, the probability that a consumer can choose is  ρ.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertising supply

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Two attention periods.

Two outlets with ad capacity per unit of attention, ai.

If they have opportunity to choose, consumers select outlet i with

 probability xi.

In a given period, the probability that a consumer can choose is  ρ.

 Di

l = x

i− x

i(1− x

i)ρ 

 Ds= 2ρ  x

1 x

2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertising supply

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Two attention periods.

Two outlets with ad capacity per unit of attention, ai.

If they have opportunity to choose, consumers select outlet i with

 probability xi.

In a given period, the probability that a consumer can choose is  ρ.

 Di

l = x

i− x

i(1− x

i)ρ 

 Ds= 2ρ  x

1 x

2

i's ad inventory = Di

l 2ai+ D

sa

i

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertiser demand

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Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertiser demand

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Advertisers want to impress each consumer once over the two periods …

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Advertiser demand

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Advertisers want to impress each consumer once over the two periods …

and have heterogeneous values (v) on impressingconsumers with distribution F (v); assumed to be U[0,1].

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The impression game

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Morning Afternoon

Outlet 1

Outlet 2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The impression game

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Morning Afternoon

Outlet 1

Outlet 2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The impression game

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Morning Afternoon

Outlet 1

Outlet 2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The impression game

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Morning Afternoon

Outlet 1

Outlet 2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The impression game

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Morning Afternoon

Outlet 1

Outlet 2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The impression game

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Morning Afternoon

Outlet 1

Outlet 2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The impression game

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Morning Afternoon

Outlet 1

Outlet 2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The impression game

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Morning Afternoon

Outlet 1

Outlet 2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The impression game

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Morning Afternoon

Outlet 1

Outlet 2

If Starbucks single-homes, it misses impressions.

If Starbucks multi-homes, it wastes impressions.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The advertiser’s dilemma

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Custom analysis of data provided to authors by

ComScore of 30 recent large, cross-outlet campaigns

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

The advertiser’s dilemma

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Custom analysis of data provided to authors by

ComScore of 30 recent large, cross-outlet campaigns

Wasted

Impressions

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Solving the dilemma

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Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Solving the dilemma

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 No switching

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Solving the dilemma

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 No switching

 No tracking

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Solving the dilemma

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 No switching

 No tracking

Coordination in time

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Solving the dilemma

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 No switching

 No tracking

Coordination in time

Pay per click 

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Solving the dilemma

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 No switching

 No tracking

Coordination in time

Pay per click 

Perfect tracking

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Missed & wasted impressions

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Expected Unique Impressions

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Missed & wasted impressions

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Expected Unique Impressions

Single-Home on i

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Missed & wasted impressions

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Expected Unique Impressions

Single-Home on iθ 

i

= Di

l +

1

2

Ds

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Missed & wasted impressions

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Expected Unique Impressions

Single-Home on i

Multi-Home

θ i

= Di

l +

1

2

Ds

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Missed & wasted impressions

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Expected Unique Impressions

Single-Home on i

Multi-Home θ 12= D

1

l + D

2

l +

3

4D

s

θ i

= Di

l +

1

2

Ds

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Missed & wasted impressions

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Expected Unique Impressions

Single-Home on i

Multi-Home θ 12= D

1

l + D

2

l +

3

4D

s

θ i

= Di

l +

1

2

Ds

Multi-Home (2 on i)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Missed & wasted impressions

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Expected Unique Impressions

Single-Home on i

Multi-Home θ 12= D

1

l + D

2

l +

3

4D

s

θ i

= Di

l +

1

2

Ds

Multi-Home (2 on i) ′θ 12= 1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Missed & wasted impressions

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Expected Unique Impressions

Single-Home on i

Multi-Home θ 12= D

1

l + D

2

l +

3

4D

s

θ 12

≤ θ 1+θ 

2= ′θ 

12for ρ > 0

θ i

= Di

l +

1

2

Ds

Multi-Home (2 on i) ′θ 12= 1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

No switching

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

No switching

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

No switching

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

v = 1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

No switching

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

v = 1

v = p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

No switching

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

v = 1

v = p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

No switching

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

v = 1

v = p

 p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

More switchers

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

v = 1

v = p

 p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

More switchers

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

v = 1

v = p

 p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

More switchers

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

↑ Ds ⇒↓ p

v = 1

v = p

 p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

High switchers

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

MH 2 on 1 MH 2 on 2

v = 1

v = p

 p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

High switchers

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

MH 2 on 1 MH 2 on 2

v = 1

v = p

 p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

High switchers

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

MH 2 on 1 MH 2 on 2 ↑ Ds ⇒↑ p

v = 1

v = p

 p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

High switchers

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price

2a

Supply

Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

MH 2 on 1 MH 2 on 2 ↑ Ds ⇒↑ p

if a high

v = 1

v = p

 p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Incentives to adopt perfect tracking

Low ad capacity (a)

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Profits

Imperfect

Tracking

 Ds

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Incentives to adopt perfect tracking

Low ad capacity (a)

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Profits

Imperfect

Tracking

PerfectTracking

 Ds

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Incentives to adopt perfect tracking

Imperfect

T ki

High ad capacity (a)

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Profits Tracking

Perfect

Tracking

 Ds

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Incentives to adopt perfect tracking

P fi

Imperfect

T ki

High ad capacity (a)

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Profits Tracking

Perfect

Tracking

 Ds

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Incentives to adopt perfect tracking

P fit

Imperfect

Tracking

High ad capacity (a)

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Profits Tracking

Perfect

Tracking

 Ds

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Public broadcasters & blogs

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Quantity (Impressions)

Price Supply

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Public broadcasters & blogs

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Blogs and other non-ad

content …

Quantity (Impressions)

Price Supply

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Public broadcasters & blogs

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Blogs and other non-ad

content …

decrease available ad

capacity in the market …

Quantity (Impressions)

Price Supply

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Public broadcasters & blogs

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Blogs and other non-ad

content …

decrease available ad

capacity in the market …

Quantity (Impressions)

Price Supply

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Public broadcasters & blogs

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Blogs and other non-ad

content …

decrease available ad

capacity in the market …

and reduce adverse effect

of switching …

Quantity (Impressions)

Price Supply

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Public broadcasters & blogs

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Blogs and other non-ad

content …

decrease available ad

capacity in the market …

and reduce adverse effect

of switching …

Quantity (Impressions)

Price Supply

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Public broadcasters & blogs

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Blogs and other non-ad

content …

decrease available ad

capacity in the market …

and reduce adverse effect

of switching …

Causing impression pricesto rise.

Quantity (Impressions)

Price Supply

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Public broadcasters & blogs

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Blogs and other non-ad

content …

decrease available ad

capacity in the market …

and reduce adverse effect

of switching …

Causing impression pricesto rise.

Quantity (Impressions)

Price Supply

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Positional advantages

in advertising markets

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Positional advantages

in advertising markets

Content quality

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Positional advantages

in advertising markets

Content quality Paywalls

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Positional advantages

in advertising markets

Content quality Paywalls Magnet content

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Asymmetric Quality

Low D s High D s

 x 1= x 

2

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Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

v = 1

v = p

Multi-homers(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

MH 2 on 1 MH 2 on 2

v = 1

v = p

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Asymmetric Quality

Low D s High D s

 x 1> x 

2

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Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

v = 1

v = p2

Multi-homers(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

MH 2 on 2

v = 1

v = p2

v = p1v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Asymmetric Quality

Low D s High D s

 x 1> x 

2

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Multi-homers

(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

v = 1

v = p2

Multi-homers(1 impression)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2

MH 2 on 2

v = 1

v = p2

Outlet 1 gains a positional advantage

in the advertising market 

v = p1v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

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Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

“No [it’s not a two way street with Google sending

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traffic] What’s the point of someone comingoccasionally who likes a headline they see on Google?

Sure we go out and say we have so many millions of 

visitors. The fact is that there is not enough advertising

in the world to go around to make all the websites

profitable. We’d rather have fewer people coming to

our websites but paying. They don’t suddenly become

loyal readers of our websites.” (Rupert Murdoch)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

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Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

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Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

l

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 D2

l = x2

−x2 x1ρ 21

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

l

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 D2

l = x2

−x2 x1ρ 21

 Ds= (ρ 

12 + ρ 21) x1 x2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

l

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 D2

l = x2

−x2 x1ρ 21

 Ds= (ρ 

12 + ρ 21) x1 x2

Micropayments

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

l

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 D2

l = x2

−x2 x1ρ 21

 Ds= (ρ 

12 + ρ 21) x1 x2

Micropayments ↑ ρ 12,↓ ρ 

21

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

l

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 D2

= x2−

x2 x1ρ 21

 Ds= (ρ 

12 + ρ 21) x1 x2

Micropayments

Subscriptions

↑ ρ 12,↓ ρ 

21

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

l

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 D2

= x2−

x2 x1ρ 21

 Ds= (ρ 

12 + ρ 21) x1 x2

Micropayments

Subscriptions

↑ ρ 12,↓ ρ 

21

↓ ρ 21

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

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 D2 = x2−

x2 x1ρ 21

 Ds= (ρ 

12 + ρ 21) x1 x2

Micropayments

Subscriptions

Limited paywall

↑ ρ 12,↓ ρ 

21

↓ ρ 21

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

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 D2 = x2−

x2 x1ρ 21

 Ds= (ρ 

12 + ρ 21) x1 x2

Micropayments

Subscriptions

Limited paywall

↑ ρ 12,↓ ρ 

21

↓ ρ 21

↑ ρ 12

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

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 D2 = x2−

x2 x1ρ 21

 Ds= (ρ 

12 + ρ 21) x1 x2

Micropayments

Subscriptions

Limited paywall

↑ ρ 12,↓ ρ 

21

↓ ρ 21

↑ ρ 12

 D1

l < D

2

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Paywalls

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2ρ 12

ρ

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 D2 = x2−

x2 x1ρ 21

 Ds= (ρ 

12 + ρ 21) x1 x2

Micropayments

Subscriptions

Limited paywall

↑ ρ 12,↓ ρ 

21

↓ ρ 21

↑ ρ 12

 D1

l < D

2

 Paywalls may cause a positional disadvantage in advertising markets

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Suppose that Outlet 2 has

limited content

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Suppose that Outlet 2 has

limited content

... and so can only serve one

 period of attention.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Contentρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Suppose that Outlet 2 has

limited content

... and so can only serve one

 period of attention.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content D1

l =

x1−

x1 x2

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Suppose that Outlet 2 has

limited content

... and so can only serve one

 period of attention.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content D1

l =

x1−

x1 x2

 D2

l = 0ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Suppose that Outlet 2 has

limited content

... and so can only serve one

 period of attention.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content D

1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Suppose that Outlet 2 has

limited content

... and so can only serve one

 period of attention.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

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Magnet Content

Low x2

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v = 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2

 D1

l = x

1

− x1

 x2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2

 D1

l = x

1

− x1

 x2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2

 D1

l = x

1

− x1

 x2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v = p2

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2 High x2

 D1

l = x

1

− x1

 x2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v = p2

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2 High x2

 D1

l = x

1

− x1

 x2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1 v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v = p2

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

v 1

v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2 High x2

 D1

l = x

1

− x1

 x2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1 v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v = p2

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2 High x2

 D1

l = x

1

− x1

 x2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1 v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v = p2

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2 High x2

 D1

l = x

1

− x1

 x2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1 v = 1

ρ = 1

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Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v = p2

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2 High x2

 D1

l = x

1

− x1

 x2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1 v = 1

ρ = 1

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 139/156

Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v = p2

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

v = p2

v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Magnet Content

Low x2 High x2

 D1

l = x

1− x

1 x

2

 D2

l = 0

 Ds= x

2(1+ x

1)

v = 1 v = 1

ρ = 1

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 140/156

Multi-Home 2 on 2

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

v = p2

Single-home on 2(2 impressions)

Single-home on 1

Single-home on 1(2 impressions)

v = p2

v = p1

v = p1

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

Magnet Content

0.15

0.20

Full content provider 

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 141/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

Magnet Content

0.15

0.20

Full content provider 

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 142/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

As limited content provider’s share rises, industry profits rise.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

Magnet Content

0.15

0.20

Full content provider 

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 143/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

As limited content provider’s share rises, industry profits rise.

Twice the return to magnet content than full content.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

Magnet Content

0.15

0.20

I f T ki

Full content provider 

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 144/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

As limited content provider’s share rises, industry profits rise.

Twice the return to magnet content than full content.

Higher return per reader due to positional advantage.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

Magnet Content

0.15

0.20

I f t T ki

Full content provider 

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 145/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

As limited content provider’s share rises, industry profits rise.

Twice the return to magnet content than full content.

Higher return per reader due to positional advantage.

Evolution away from frequency and towards reach.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

0.15

0.20

I f t T ki

Full content provider 

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 146/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

As limited content provider’s share rises, industry profits rise.

Twice the return to magnet content than full content.

Higher return per reader due to positional advantage.

Evolution away from frequency and towards reach.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

0.15

0.20

Imperfect Tracking

Full content provider 

150 million US accounts

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 147/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

As limited content provider’s share rises, industry profits rise.

Twice the return to magnet content than full content.

Higher return per reader due to positional advantage.

Evolution away from frequency and towards reach.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

0.15

0.20

Imperfect Tracking

Full content provider 

150 million US accounts

95% users visit once every 2 days

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 148/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

As limited content provider’s share rises, industry profits rise.

Twice the return to magnet content than full content.

Higher return per reader due to positional advantage.

Evolution away from frequency and towards reach.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

0.15

0.20

Imperfect Tracking

Full content provider 

150 million US accounts

95% users visit once every 2 days

10% of US site visits

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 149/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

As limited content provider’s share rises, industry profits rise.

Twice the return to magnet content than full content.

Higher return per reader due to positional advantage.

Evolution away from frequency and towards reach.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Profits

0.15

0.20

Imperfect Tracking

Full content provider 

150 million US accounts

95% users visit once every 2 days

10% of US site visits

30% of US display ads

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 150/156

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.05

0.10

 x 2

Imperfect Tracking

Limited content provider 

As limited content provider’s share rises, industry profits rise.

Twice the return to magnet content than full content.

Higher return per reader due to positional advantage.

Evolution away from frequency and towards reach.

Wednesday 18 May 2011

Conclusions

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 151/156

Wednesday 18 May 2011

The efficient operation of advertising markets are dependent

upon consumer behavior.

Conclusions

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 152/156

Wednesday 18 May 2011

The efficient operation of advertising markets are dependent

upon consumer behavior.

A combination of consumer switching and imperfect tracking

Conclusions

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 153/156

can explain competitive effects in advertising markets for 

news media.

Wednesday 18 May 2011

The efficient operation of advertising markets are dependent

upon consumer behavior.

A combination of consumer switching and imperfect tracking

Conclusions

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 154/156

can explain competitive effects in advertising markets for 

news media.

Tracking technologies may assist in efficiency but adoptionfaces impediments.

Wednesday 18 May 2011

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 155/156

The efficient operation of advertising markets are dependent

upon consumer behavior.

A combination of consumer switching and imperfect tracking

l i i i ff i d i i k f

Conclusions

8/6/2019 The Impact of the Internet on Advertising Markets for New Media

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/the-impact-of-the-internet-on-advertising-markets-for-new-media 156/156

can explain competitive effects in advertising markets for 

news media.

Tracking technologies may assist in efficiency but adoptionfaces impediments.

In addition to deterring consumers, paywalls may cause outlets

to have a positional disadvantage in advertising markets.

Incentives to provide content move from full line provision to

magnet but limited content provision.

Wednesday 18 May 2011

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