The Aluminum association’s transportation group (atg)Aluminum Association - Automotive Transportation Group (ATG) ALUMINUM TRANSPORTATION GROUP (ATG) DISCUSSION AGENDA Trends -Automotive
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Mega-trends in Advanced Automotive Metals …..
Mega-trends in T3 Opportunities
Doug RichmanKaiser Aluminum
Aluminum Association - Automotive Transportation Group (ATG)
ALUMINUM TRANSPORTATION GROUP (ATG)
DISCUSSION AGENDA
Trends - Automotive Metals
T3 Opportunities
Talent, Talent, Talent!Technology
Tooling
.ORG
AUTOMOTIVE ALUMINUM
50 YEARS OF GROWTH
This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the client organization without prior written approval from Ducker Worldwide LLC.Ducker Worldwide | 1250 Maplelawn Drive | Troy , MI 48084 | www.ducker.com | info@ducker.com
This Report Has Been Prepared Solely For :
ALUMINUM CONTENT IN NORTH AMERICAN LIGHT VEHICLES 2016 TO 2028Draft Pre-Final ReportApril 2017
1975-2025 (28): 50 YEARS OF ALUMINUM GROWTH
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Wheels
HOODS
Bumpers
Heads
Blocks
Po
un
ds
Pe
r V
eh
icle
(P
PV
)
Heat Exchangers
Sheet, Castings,Extrusions
Source: Ducker Worldwide
DOORS &BODY-IN- WHITE
394 lbs.
500-565 lbs.
AUTOMOTIVE MATERIAL DISTRIBUTION –
2015:2025 (28)
Mild Steel
12%
HSLA
7%
AHSS
11%
Other Steel
16%
Flat Rolled Al
5%Ext Al
1%Cast Str Al
2%
Cast Al
9%
Iron
8%
Copper
1%
Other Metals
3%
Non Metallics
25%
2025 (28)
Aluminum
16%
Aluminum
10%3835 lbs. 3565 lbs.
Source: Ducker
7% Mass Reduction
Mild Steel
17%
BH & HS Steel
(HSLA)
14%
AHSS
7%
All Other Steel
16%
Flat Rolled
Aluminum
2%
Aluminum
Profiles
0%
Structural
Alumium
Castings
1%
All Other
Aluminum
8%
Iron
8%
Copper
1%
Other Metals
3%
Non Metallics
23%
2015
.ORG
ALUMINUM FABRICATION
OPPORTUNITIES
IN
MICHIGAN
AUTOMOTIVE ALUMINUM WROUGHT PRODUCTS –
2012:2025 (SHEET, EXTRUSIONS)
Source: Ducker
2.65 5.62 6.93 8.73 10.3 16.3
65
130
180
249
0
50
100
150
200
250
1996 1999 2002 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2025
Po
un
ds p
er
Veh
icle
Body, Bumper and Closures
Predominantly:
C, D, E, SUV, Truck
Opportunity: 3 B Lbs.
MMV BODY-IN-WHITE CONTENT -SHEET, EXTRUSIONS, CASTINGS
Aluminum by 2025: Hoods – 90 %
Doors – 60%
Bumpers – 60%
ALUMINUM AUTO BODY CONTENT
Closures
Deck
Door Outer
Door Outer
FendersClosure inners
Hood
WHAT MICHIGAN MANUFACTURERS
“NEED TO KNOW”
• Aluminum Fabrication - Significant Growth OpportunitiesShortage Today
• Aluminum Fabrication is Different ….. Not DifficultFear of the Unknown
Underestimate Differences
• Utilize Existing Major EquipmentMinimal capital expense
• Tooling - CriticalAccommodations for Aluminum
Expertise Available in MarketTooling / Equipment vendors
Aluminum Companies
Aluminum Association Resources
.ORG
T3: TECHNOLOGY
TOOLING
TALENT
AUTO INDUSTRY – CORE COMPETITIVE DEMAND
Continuous Improvement - Critical for SurvivalTechnologyMaterialsDesignsProcesses…….
History – 120 years
Technology Advancement – Unpresented Accelerating
.ORG
T3: TALENT
TECHNOLOGY
TOOLING
TALENT (PEOPLE) - THE CRITICAL RESOURCE
Industry Progress – ConstrainedLack of human resources - all levelsAcute since the recovery - Long Term Problem
What is needed now (and always)Appropriately educated and trained people – all levels
Managers, Engineers, Scientists, Software DevelopersTechnicians, Mechanics, Model Makers, Tool and Die MakersDesigners, Technical Writers, …Maintenance Technicians, PLC Programmers, Process EngineersProduction Control and Scheduling Technicians, …QC Tech, Lab Tech, ….…….
CAAT - CENTER FOR ADVANCED AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGY
CAAT - Center
Macomb Community College, Wayne State University
National Science Foundation Grant – 2010 (expires 2017)
Regional Advanced Technological Education (ATE) Center
Focus: two-year colleges, cultivating partnerships:
Across academic institutions
Between academic institutions and employers
Key role: curriculum development, dissemination
17
PURPOSE OF CAAT
CAAT Objective:
Preparation of skilled technicians for the automotive industry
Emphasis on rapidly advancing technologies:
Connected and automated vehicles
Vehicle light-weighting
Vehicle electrification: HEV, PEV, EV
Alternative Fuel Vehicles: Advanced Clean Diesel, CNG, LPG, H2 Fuel Cells
.ORG
T3: TALENT
TECHNOLOGY
TOOLING
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