Smart Phone Revolution - IDCEE2013 presentation

- strictly confidential -

Draft

Is Your Phone Smart Enough?

Stas Khirman, Chief Technical Officer,Deutsche Telekom Hosted Business ServicesOctober, 2013

Cloud Activities in DTAG v2.ppt

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About myself

Kiev U graduate Almost 30 years in HighTech / IT industry 20 – in Telecom + Internet Designed first H.323 VideoPhone Co-Found 3 Silicon Valley startups

Narus acquired by Boeing ChooChee acquired by Deutsche Telekom

CTO at Deutsche Telekom HBS Contact:

stas.khirman@deutschetelekomhbs.com stas@khirman.com

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What is a Technological Revolution ?

A relatively short period of history when replacement of one technology by another

results in massive changes in social structure, human behavior and/or culture.

Change the way people are doing things

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Technology Adoption & Hype

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SmartPhone – Is It Smart Enough ?

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Telephone History

τῆλε (tēle, “afar”) + φωνή (phōnē, “voice, sound”)

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14 February 1876 – Alexander Bell Patent

Alexander Graham Bell

ElishaGrey

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1876 – First Public Telephone Demonstration

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1877 – Switchboard/ Telephone Exchange

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1891 – Automatic Telephone Exchange

Almon BrownStrowger

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1898 – Spanish-American War & Telecom Tax

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PlainOld

TelephoneSystem

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POTS Main Functions

Battery supply to subscriber lineOvervoltage protectionRinging current supplySupervision of subscriber terminalCoder and decoderHybrid, 2 wire to 4 wire conversionTesting

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1990s – VoIP

1995 – VocalTec – first H.323 phone commercially available

1996 – VDO.net – first H.323 video phone available 1999 – SIP (Session Invitation Protocol) published

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1990s – 2G/2.5G Digital cellular , GSM/CDMA

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Ericsson GS 88 – first “Smart Phone” (1997)

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Nokia 9000 Communicator (1996)

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2000s – 3G Mobile broadband data

HTC Dream/Android (2008)Apple IPhone 1G (2007)

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2010s – 4G Native IP network (WiMAX & LTE)

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Smartphone Outpace Dumb Phones in Sales

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Market Share Fight

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Most Popular Cameras in the Flickr Community

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Collapse of the Point-and-Shoot Camera

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Applications Snowball

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Smartphone Screen Sizes Keep On Growing

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But How Smart is Your Phone ?

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But How Smart is Your Phone ?

Still POTS ?(Plain Old Telephone System)

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Tipping Point 1: Voice Quality

VoIP Voice Compression – G.711 Adopted by industry in 1972 Maximum (theoretical) voice quality - 4.35 (out of 5)

GSM Voice Compression – AMR Adopted by industry in 1990s Maximum (theoretical) voice quality - 4.1 (out of 5)

“HD Voice” is coming now !

(Kyivstar – August 2013)

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Tipping Point 2: Video

VDO.net/MS NetMeeting – 1997 Skype - about 40% of calls Apple FaceTime – no one using.. Tango.me

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Tipping Point 3: Presence, Urgency & Routing

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Smart Phone Time Is Now !