Research and Innovation Research and Innovation Update on DG RTD activities Climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation Eleni Manoli DG Research.

Research and Innovation

Update on DG RTD activitiesClimate change impacts,

vulnerability and adaptation

Eleni ManoliDG Research and InnovationDirectorate I – Environment

Climate Change and Natural Hazards Uniteleni.manoli@ec.europa.eu

7th EIONET Workshop on Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation

EEA, 20th June 2013

Policy Research and Innovation

Developments since mid-2012…

• Adaptation-related projects from the last FP7 Environment call – expected to start in November 2013• Impacts of higher-end scenarios• Economics of adaptation to climate change

• Launch of research projects on Strategies, costs and impacts of adaptation to climate change

• Towards the end of several research projects on adaptation• Outputs to be linked to Climate-Adapt

Policy Research and Innovation

• Driving questions:

• What do 4ºC and 6ºC worlds look like in comparison to 2ºC?

• What are the consequences of different adaptation choices?

• Key elements

• Multiple climate projections(RCPs) & SSPs, and downscaling experiments

• Global impact models: Agriculture, Water, Biomes, Health, Coastal infrastructure

• Synthesis of impacts at different warming levels, uncertainty and impact emulators

Duration: 48 Months – Consortium of 16 partners, led by the University of Exeter

HELIXHigh-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes

© Crown copyright Met Office

The HELIX focus areas

Impacts of higher-endscenarios (1/3)

Policy Research and Innovation

• Focus: Integrated scenarios, adaptation measures, climate and socio-economic tipping points

• Key elements

• Modelling framework, stakeholder engagement

• Advances in the CLIMSAVE IA platform: new models, simulation of time- and path-dependent impacts, adaptation and vulnerabilities

• 5 Case Studies: Global, Europe, 3 local sites in Europe

Duration: 60 Months – Consortium of 24 partners, led by the University of Oxford

IMPRESSIONSImpacts and risks from high-end scenarios – Strategies for innovative solutions

Impacts of higher-endscenarios (2/3)

Policy Research and Innovation

• Focus

• Impacts, vulnerability, adaptation in coastal areas

• Sea level rise, storm surges, other climate change impacts

• Key elements

• Diverse assessment cases: Deltas, estuaries, coastal cities

• Accommodate and retreat adaptation strategies, other green options for coastal areas

Duration: 36 Months – Consortium of 12 partners, led by the University of Catalonia

RISES-AM-Responses to coastal climate change: Innovative Strategies for high End Scenarios -Adaptation and Mitigation

Impacts of higher-endscenarios (3/3)

Policy Research and Innovation

• Aim: User-orientated methodologies and evidence relating to economic appraisal criteria to inform the choice of adaptation actions

• Focus on a set of methodological challenges• Long time scales (discounting and future preferences), Adaptive capacity in

economic analysis, Uncertainty, future learning and decision-making, Scaling and transfer (Micro → Macro), Treatment of systemic change

• Set of case studies• Disaster risk management – pan European scale• Project appraisal for flood protection (Czech Republic) and port infrastructure

(Spain)• Policy impact assessment of linkages between reformed CAP and ecosystem

management in the EU• Macro-economic assessment of adaptation strategies in the EU • Economic appraisal of financial support for adaptation from the EU to developing

countries • Toolbox on the economics of adaptation (economic analysts, policy support for

non-economists)

ECONADAPTEconomics of climate change adaptation in Europe

Economics of adaptationto climate change

Duration: 36 Months – Consortium of 14 partners, led by the University of Bath

Policy Research and Innovation

Recently launched projects (October 2012)

• Tool-supported policy-development for regional adaptation (ToPDAd) - end September 2015

• Socioeconomic methods & tools for integrated assessments, focus on Energy, Transport, Tourism, Mid - (2010-2050) and long-(2050-2100) term strategy horizons

• Framework for the next generation toolset

• Bottom-up Climate Adaptation Strategies towards a Sustainable Europe (BASE) - end September 2016

• Case Study approach (20 cases), Novel model combinations for combining top-down and bottom-up analysis, Stakeholder engagement, Policy guidelines

• Reconciling Adaptation, Mitigation and Sustainable Development for Cities (RAMSES) - end September 2017

• EU and international cities, full economic costs and benefits of adaptation, strategy development in a sustainability context

ToPDad/ BASE/ RAMSES/ Strategies, costs and impacts of adaptation to climate change

http://base-adaptation.eu/

http://www.topdad.eu/

http://www.ramses-cities.eu/

Research and Innovation

More informationResearch on Environment: http://ec.europa.eu/research/environment/Horizon 2020: http://ec.europa.eu/research/horizon2020/

Thank you for your attention