Recent Happenings at SRS-FIA

Recent Happenings at SRS-FIA

JT Vogt, Deputy Program Manager

Tom Brandeis, Section Head, Resource Analysis

John Coulston, Section Head, Methods

Andrew Hartsell

James Bentley

Consuelo Brandeis

OBJECTIVES

A (very) brief introduction, since I am just meeting most of you for the first timeSome timely data on southern forests and the forest industryResearch update from our Methods & Techniques section

A Brief IntroductionHired as Deputy Program Manager 02/20111 ½ years with Industry (Technical Director)8 years with ARS (Lead Scientist, Research Entomologist)2 years with Oklahoma State University (Fire Ant Research & Education Specialist) Auburn University, The University of Tennessee, Knoxville & Tusculum College

I am at your service! jtvogt@fs.fed.us(865) 862-2035Jt Vogt (on FB)

Long-Term Economic Relationships Between Forests and the Forest Industry in the southern U.S.

FIA received a recent request from Washington to produce regional documents relating to recent economic trends and the forest industrySRS – Timber Products Output had observed some interesting trends in facilities and outputs The following is an update on some of the data; this is in DRAFT form and I ask that it not be shared

Roundwood production for all products by species group and year in the South

1962 1970 1976 1986 1991 1995 1999 2003 2005 2007 20090.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

Softwood Hardwood

Year

Pro

duct

ion

(bill

ion

cubi

c fe

et)

Number of sawmills, Southern Region, 1970 to 2009

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1999 2003 2005 2007 20090

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Sawmills

Sawmills

Number of primary wood-using plants by type of mill, Southern Region, 1970 to 2009

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1999 2003 2005 2007 20090

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Veneer millsPulpmillsComposite panel millsOther mills

Forest sector direct impact effect on employment in the U.S. Southern region, 2004 to 2009

2004 2006 2007 2008 20090

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

pulp & paper- productssolid-secondarypulp & paperpanelsolid-primaryinputs

num

ber

of jo

bs

Southwide timberland area by stand origin and survey, 1985 to 2010

1985 1995 2005 20100.0

50,000.0

100,000.0

150,000.0

200,000.0

250,000.0

planted natural

Southwide timberland area by treatment type and survey period, 1985 to 2010

1985 1995 2005 20100.0

5,000.0

10,000.0

15,000.0

20,000.0

25,000.0

clearcut

partial harvest *

Thinnings & other **

Average annual growth of all-live trees on southern timberlands by species group and survey period, 1985 to 2010

1985 1995 2005 20100.0

1,000.0

2,000.0

3,000.0

4,000.0

5,000.0

6,000.0

7,000.0

8,000.0

9,000.0

10,000.0

softwoods hardwoods

Average annual removals of all-live trees on southern timberlands by species group and survey period, 1985 to 2010

1985 1995 2005 20100.0

1,000.0

2,000.0

3,000.0

4,000.0

5,000.0

6,000.0

7,000.0

softwoods

hardwoods

Monitoring Forest/Non-Forest Land Use Conversion Rates with Annual Inventory Data, by Francis A. Roesch (SRS-FIA) and Paul C. Van Deusen (NCASI).

Research to Address Not Only“What is There?”but also“How is it Changing?”

Biomass Availability in The South

The are approximately 215 million acres of forest land with 325 billion cubic feet of timber in the South. However, the availability for fiber, lumber, and energy is constrained:

Management constraints

Physical constraints

Economic constraints

The scope of this research is to model available biomass under these constraints in a spatially and temporally specific manner using FIA data, timber prices, and other data.

Models will support broad scale economic modeling and forecasting efforts (e.g. Southeastern Regional Timber Supply model -- SERTS)

Collaborators: Bob Abt (NC State)Karen Abt (US FS SRS)John Coulston (US FS SRS)Fred Cubbage (NC State)

Contacts

Tom Brandeis - tjbrandeis@fs.fed.usJohn Coulston - jcoulston@fs.fed.us