Population growth & economics development in pakistan

Population Growth & Economics Development in Pakistan

Submitted by: AQIB AHMAD TAHIR

ZOHAIB SALEEM

Out

line

What is Population & main Determines

of Population

Major Issue of Population Growth in Pakistan

Facts & Figures about Population Growth in Pakistan

Demographic Transition

The Hidden Momentum model of Population growth in Pakistan

How can we reduce the Population Growth

Conclusion

Population in Pakistan

• A population is a summation of all the organisms

of the same group or species , who live in the same

area, and have the capability of interbreeding.• The consequence of population growth on

economics development attracted the attention of

world.• Adam Smith wrote in wealth of nation “ The

annual Labor of every nation is the fund which

originally supply it with all the necessaries & convenience of life”

Some Issue of Population Growth in Pakistan

• Are Pakistan is improving the living standard of people with the population growth?

• How Pakistan would deal with the rapid increase of the labor force?• How Population Growth will effect the poverty rate of Pakistan?• How Pakistan would provide the job facilities of young generation?• How Pakistan would deal the health & education facilities of a large

population.

Mai

n D

eter

min

e of

Pop

ulat

ion

Gro

wth

in P

akis

tan

Health

Education

Marriage Age

Status of Women

Cost of Children

Urbanization

Labor force status

Fact

s &

Fig

ures

abo

ut

Paki

stan

Total Population 187 million

Urban Population 69.87 Million

Rural Population 114.48 Million

Population Rate 2.00 Percent

TFR 3.3

Crude Birth Rate 26.80 Per Thousand

Crude Death Rate 7.00 Per Thousand

Population Data in Pakistan2011 2012 2013

Total Population (Million) 177.1 180.71 184.35

Urban Population (Million) 65.3 67.55 69.87

Rural Population (Million) 111.8 113.16 114.48

TFR 3.5 3.4 3.3

Crude Birth Rate (per thousand) 27.50 27.20 26.80

Crude Death Rate (per thousand) 7.30 7.20 7.00

Population Growth Rate 2.05 2.03 2.00

Life Expectancy Year

Male 65.8 66.1 66.50

Female 63.9 64.3 64.6

2011

2012

2013

172 174 176 178 180 182 184 186

Ttotal Population (Million)

Ttotal Population (Mil-lion)

2011

2012

2013

63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70

Urban Population (Million)

Urban Population (Mil-lion)

2011

2012

2013

63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70

Urban Population (Million)

Urban Population (Mil-lion)

2011

2012

2013

3.15 3.2 3.25 3.3 3.35 3.4 3.45 3.5

(TFR)

TFR

2011

2012

2013

26.4 26.6 26.8 27 27.2 27.4 27.6

(CBR)

Crude Birth Rate (Per Thousand)

2011

2012

2013

6.8 6.9 7 7.1 7.2 7.3

(CDR)

Crude Death Rate (Per Thousand)

2011

2012

2013

1.97 1.98 1.99 2 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05

(Population Rate)

Population Rate

2011

2012

2013

62.5 63 63.5 64 64.5 65 65.5 66 66.5

(Life Expectancy Rate)

Female

Male

Life Expectancy Rate

Population by age group in million

Age Group 1998 2011 2012 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

00-04 19.59 22.02 22.22 22.4 22.76 23.28 22.44 20.35

05-009 20.72 20.04 20.63 20.87 21.33 22.35 22.95 22.18

10-014 17.14 19.94 19.73 19.56 20.07 21.24 22.28 22.88

15-19 13.73 20.27 20.57 20.78 20.12 20.01 21.19 22.24

20-24 18.88 17.72 18.22 18.72 19.8 20.05 19.95 21.14

25-29 9.76 15.25 15.7 16.16 17.13 19.71 19.98 19.89

30-34 8.24 12.95 13.4 13.85 14.72 17.04 19.62 19.91

35-39 6.32 10.83 11.19 11.77 12.4 14.61 16.94 19.53

40-44 5.89 8.9 9.34 9.69 10.36 12.27 14.49 16.81

45-49 4.68 7.32 7.58 7.85 8.49 10.2 12.01 14.31

50-54 4.26 6.01 6.22 6.64 6.88 8.26 9.95 11.84

55-59 2.86 4.83 4.99 5.16 5.53 6.57 7.93 9.6

60-64 2.72 3.78 3.9 4.03 4.31 5.13 6.14 7.45

65+ 4.64 6.81 7.4 7.24 7.82 9.39 11.39 13.93

Total 132.43 177.03 180.71 184.35 191.72 210.12 227.26 242.06

Population comparison between 1998 & 2030

14%

15%

12%

10%

14%

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%

3%2%

2% 3%

Population in 199800-04 05-009 10-014 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+

8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

8%

8%

8%

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%6%

Population in 203000-04 05-009 10-014 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+

Causes of Population Growth in Pakistan

They are some causes of population growth in PakistanFertility and Mortality TrendsRate of population increase Birth rates, death rates , Total fertility ratesAge Structure and dependency burdens

Demographic Transition• One of the most important social changes in the history of humankind

is the so called “Demographic Transition”• The demographic transition is a process of change from a situation

with high mortality and fertility (and constant population), to a situation with low mortality and fertility

Dem

ogra

phic

Tra

nsiti

on

Stag

es &

Pak

istan

Pos

ition

Stage 1High Birth Rate

High Death Rate

Stage 2High Birth Rate

Low Death Rate

Stage 3Low Birth Rate

Low Death Rate

Stages Of Demographic Transition

Time

Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4

Naturalincrease

Birth rate

Death rate

The Hidden Momentum of Population Growth

• High Birth rate can not be altered overnight• Age structure of Pakistan

How

Pak

ista

n ca

n re

duce

the

Pop

ulat

ion

Gro

wth

Increase the education system

Reduce the FTR

Raising Women education

More female non agriculture wages

employment

Reduction in infant mortality

Expanded school opportunity

Family planning program

Raised the social economics status

of women

Increase the job opportunity

Conclusion

Con

clus

ion

Population of Pakistan is increasing with the

passage of time

Population Growth is increasing different problem in Pakistan

1-Unemployment

2-Low living standard

3-Low education standard

4-Increasing the labor force

Population is also causing a slow economics

development

Population can not be control in Pakistan without

1-Education

2-Living standard

3-Job opportunity

4-FTR

5-Women status