PHN - World Bank Documents & Reports

EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST, AND NORTH AFRICA REGION POPULATION PROJECTIONS 1987-88

Short- and Long-Tenm Estimates

K. C. ZachariahMy T. Vi

November 1987

Population and Human Resources DepartmentWorld Bank

The World Bank does not accept responsibility for the views expressed hereinwhich are th6se of the author(s) and should not be attributed to the WorldBank or to its affiliated organizations. The findings, interpretations, andconclusions are the results of research supported by the Bank; they do notnecessaril* represent official policy of the Bank. The designationsemployed, the presentation of material, and any maps used in this documentare solely for the convenience of the reader and do not imply the expressionof any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Bank or its affiliatesconcerning the legal status of any country, territory, city area, or of itsauthorities, or concerning the delimitations of its boundaries, or nationalaffiliation.

PHN Technical Note 87-19c

EUROPE, MIDDIS EAST AND NORTH AFRICA REGION POPULATION PROJECTIONS 1987-88:

Short- and Long Term Estimates

ABSTRACT

Population projections from 1985 to 2030 for every country in the WorldBank's Europe, Middle East, and North Africa (EMENA) region are reported.Age structure and demographic indicators are given for each quinquennium.Demographic indicators are also reported for groups of countriescorresponding to Bank country department-s in the region, as well as, forcomparison, for the whole world and for countries grouped by income.

A general introduction describes the methodology, provides a generaloverview of results, and compares estimates with U.N. estimates. Theintroduction includes tables and appended figures comparing Bank regions anddepartments.

Prepared by: K. C. Zachariah and My T. VuPopulation, Health and Nutrition Division

November 1987

CONTENTS

Foreword vAcknowledgements viMethods, Assumptions, and Principal Results 1Tables -Table 1. Annual Increment in Female Life Expectancy 15Table 2. Population Growth by Geographic Region, 1985-2025 15Table 3. Year in Which World Population Reached 1 Billion, 2

Billion, Etc. 16Table 4. Demographic Situation in World Bank Regions and

Departments, 1985-90 16Table 5. Demographic Trends in World Bank Regions and Departments 17Table 6. Population in 2000 and Stationary Population by Region and

for Selected Countries, from World Bank Projections of 1980and 1987 (millions) 18

Table 7. Population and Percentage Distribution by Geographic Regionand Income Group, 1985-2100 19

Table 8. Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by GeographicRegion and Income Group, 1985-2100 20

Table 9. Estimated Fertility and Mortality Rates by GeographicRegion and Income Group, 1985-90, 2000, and 2025 21

Table 10. Population and Percentage Distribution by Bank Region,1985-2100 22

Table 11. Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by Bank Region,1985-2100 23

Table 12. Estimated Fertility and Mortality Rates by Bank Region,1985-2025 24

Table 13. Stationary Population by Geographic Region.and forCountries of 100 Million or More 25

Table 14. Stationary Population for All Countries 26Table 15. Population Projections for All Countries, 1985-2025

(thousands) 29Table 16. Economies Classified by Income Group 34Table 17. Countries Classified by Bank Region 35Table 18. Countries Grouped in the "Other" Categories by Region 36

Appendix A. Data SourcesTable Al. Sources of Population Data 37Table A2. Sources of Fertility Data 44Table A3. Sources of Mortality Data 50

Appendix B. Comparisons of Population EstimatesTable B. Population Estimates, World Bank and U.N., 1985, 2000, 2025 55

Appendix C. Comparisons among Bank RegionsFigure C1. Contribution to World Population Growth by Bank Region,

1985-90 58Figure C2. Contribution to World Population Growth by Bank Region,

2000 58Figure C3. Annual Growth Rates, 1985-90 and 2000, for World and Bank

Regions 59Figure C4. Crude Birth and Death Rates, 1985-90, by Country Department 59Figure C5. Total Fertility Rate by Country Department, 1985-90 60Figure C6. Life Expectancy and Infant Mortality by Country Department,

1985-90 60References 61

Detailed Population Projections 62 Oman 127Qatar 129

World and Income Groups Saudi Arabia 131World Total 63 Syria 133

Less DevEoped 65 United Arab Emirates 135More Developed 67 Yemen Arab Rep. 137

Income Groups Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. of 139Low-Income Economies 69Lower-Middle-Income Economies 71 Country Department IVUpper-Middle-Income Economies 73 Cyprus 142High-Income Economies (oil Hungary 144

exporters) 75 Poland 146Industrial Market Economies 77 Portugal 148Nonreporting Nonmember Romania 150

Economies 79 Yugoslavia 152

Regional Saumary Nonborrowers (North Africa)Europe, Middle East, and North Other North Africa 155Africa (EMENA) Region

All countries 82 Nonborrowers (Southwest Asia)Borrowers only 84 Gaza Strip 158

Country Department I 86 Israel 160Country Department II 88Country Department III 90 Nonborrowers (Europe)Country Department IV 92 Albania 163

Austria 165Europe, Middle East, and North Belgium 167Africa (EMENA) Bulgaria 169Country Department I Channel Islands 171

Pakistan 95 Czechoslovakia 173Turkey 97 Denmark 175

Finland 177Country Department II France 179Algeria 100 German Dem. Rep. 181Libya 102 Germany, Federal Rep. of 183Malta 104 Greece 185Morocco 106 Iceland 187Tunisia 108 Ireland 189

Italy 191Country Department III Luxembourg 193Afghanistan 111 Netherlands 195Bahrain - 113 Norway 197Egypt, Arab Rep. of 115 Spain 199Iran, Islamic Rep. of 117 Sweden 201Iraq 119 Switzerland 203Jordan 121 United Kingdom 205Kuwait 123 USSR 207Lebanon 125 Other Europe 209

THE WORLD BANK / INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATIONOFFICE MEMORANDUM

Date: 25 November 1987

To: Users of Technical Notes 87-19b, 87-19c, 87-19dFrom: My T. Vu, PHRHN ,

Extension: 33407Subject: ERRATA

Please correct the entries for Guinea in the introduction as follows:

, Table 14, 4th line from the bottom:

Stationary population for Guinea should be 28, with NRR=l in 2045

, Table 15, 13th line from the bottom:

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025Guinea 6166 6939 7834 8805 9863 11009 12215 13436 14659

, Table B, 2nd country from the top:

1985 2000 2025 Percentage diff.WB UN WB UN WB UN 1985 2000 2025

Guinea 6166 6075 8805 8879 14659 15561 -1.5 0.8 6.2

FOREWORD

A report on World Bank population projections for 1987-88, thetenth report in a series that began with the Bank's first World DevelopmentReport in 19U, is being published this year for external use for the thirdtime. In addition, for use within the Bank, separate working papers arebeing produced on each of the four Bank regions. This working papercontains the population projection results that pertain to the Europe,Middle East, and North Africa (EMENA) region.

The Introduction to the main report was expanded to addressquestions about methodology and data sources that were raised about previousreports. This Introduction is reproduced here in full. It includes a briefhistory of the population estimates and projections work in the World Bank;delineates sources of the principal data used; provides a comparison of theBank estimates with U.N. estimates; and tabulates basic demographicinformation on the World Bank's new operational regions and departments.

Appendix C, which does not appear in the book, has been added tothe Introduction to highlight comparisons among Bank country departments.

A program to run Bank population projections on personal computersis available for staff who wish to make use of it.

Dean T. JamisonChief

Population, Health and Nutrition Division

ACKNOWLEDGEENTS

A rEmber of persons helped us in the preparation of the book andthis workiffg paper. From the very beginning, Ms. Junko Sazaki wasresponsible for much of the computer work. The systematic manner in whichshe carried out the computer work helped maintain the accuracy of theestimates and projections. Randy Bulatao was available whenever we neededhis help in computer programming and solving methodological questions. Thework will be in good hands when he takes over the main responsibility forthis work next year. One of the major time consuming tasks in this work hasbeen data input. Cathy Cataldo spent a considerable part of her short staywith the Department on this work, and Ella Hornsby was responsible fortyping the introduction and summary tables.

We are also greatly indebted to the staff of the United NationsPopulation Division, New York, to Celade in Santiago, Chile, and to the U.S.Bureau of the Census, Washington, D.C., for their great help in providingthe latest demographic information from their files.

K. C. ZachariahMy T. Vu

- HETHODS, ASSUMPTIONS, AND PRINCIPAL RESULTS

This set of population projections was prepared for the WorldBank's World:Bevelopment Report 1987 and replaces the set used in WorldDevelopment-Report 1986. The methodology, the years for which estimates andprojections are made, and the format of the tables, are more or less thesame as those used in the 1985 publication.

History of the Bank's Population Estimates and Projections

Population projections are prepared routinely by the World Bankeach year. In recent years they have been published first in summary formin the Bank's World Development Report and later in much greater detail inseparate book form.

Although the Bank's population projections began only in 1978when the first World Development Report was published, the program ofpreparing population projections by Bank staff began several years earlier,soon after the creation of the Population and Human Resources Division(PHRD). This division began its demographic work using outside consultants,not only for demographic information and analyses but also for population 'estimates and projections. Feeling the need to build an in-house capacity:for demographic analysis and projections in the Bank, the Population andHuman Resources Division recruited the necessary staff and began makingpopulation projections for selected countries on an ad hoc basis. Thisexercise proved very useful not only because of the availability ofpopulation projections in-house, but also because it gave to the staff theability to answer economists and project officials about demographicquestions in general. Therefore, the exercise was extended to all Bankmember countries resulting in the Bank's first staff paper on populationprojections with the title: "Population Projections for Bank MemberCountries 1970-2000" (by K. C. Zachariah and Roberto Cuca, 1974).

When PHRD was formally requested to make population estimates andprojections for World Development Report 1978, the task was entrusted to asmall group under the supervision of a senior demographer. This was thebeginning of the annual work on population projections for all countries ofthe world, including countries that are not members of the Bank. This groupassembled the base data needed for the projections in consultation with thecountry economists and outside agencies, such as the U.N. PopulationDivision, the U.S. Bureau of Census, etc; developed a methodology; borroweda computer program from the Population Council; and prepared short-term andlong-term population projections for all countries of the world. Later, theBank developed its own computer program to meet the special needs of Bankpublications.

Until 1983, projections were prepared mainly for use within theBank: for preparing population and other demographic tables included in theannual World Development Indicators of the World Development Report, forcountry economic and sector work, and to provide background data for policywork on population and development. Detailed results were given limitedcirculation through PHRD staff papers and PHN Technical Notes. Since 1984,detailed results have been published for internal and external use under the

title World-Population Projections, Short- and Long-term Estimates by Ageand Sex with Related Demographic Statistics.

With the publication of World Development Report 1984, which hadpopulation-and development as its special topic, the Bank's populationprojections reached an international audience. For months during the summerof 1984, the world press was inundated with population estimates andprojections prepared by the World Bank. With this international publicitycame also greater critical scrutiny of the Bank's projections by outsidedemographic experts. As a result, some of the gaps in the Bank'sprojections became evident. They related mostly to lack of information onsources of base data and lack of historical series. Some of thesecriticisms have been taken into consideration in this publication. Otherswill be remedied in subsequent issues.

The Bank's work in the area of population estimates andprojections is never a duplication of the efforts of the U.N. PopulationDivision and other agencies. In some areas, the Bank makes use of dataproduced by these agencies, but for several countries it adds its own datacollected by Bank economists and project officers. In general, itcoordinates its work with that of other international agencies.

From the beginning, the Bank's method of projection was alwaysdifferent from that of the U.N.. The distinguishing characteristics of theBank estimates and projections were:

a. annual updating of base data, estimates, and projections,compared with biannual updating by the U.N. and less frequentupdating by other agencies

b. quick response to changes in base data due to information from newcensuses or-sample surveys

c. production of short-term as well as long-term projections (untilstationary stage) through a single method and computer program

d. inclusion of all countries of the worlde. classification of countries not only by geographic regions but

also by development status and national income.

Assumptions and Methods

Base Total Population and Age-Sex Composition

The base year for the 1987 projections is 1985. As in previousyears, thw'-total population in 1985 was taken from a variety of sources. Anumber of countries have had population censuses in recent years. For thesecountries the mid-1985 population estimates were obtained from the recentcensus results.

For developed countries, the mid-1985 population statistics weretaken from official estimates published in the most recent issue of the U.N.Population and Vital Statistics Report. For the Sub-Saharan African region,revision of base data was made on the basis of new information obtained fromcensuses or surveys. For the rest, base data were obtained from either the

U.N. Population Division, the U.S. Bureau of the Census, other internationalsources such as Demographic Statistics (Eurostat 1984), or the World Bank'seconomic and sector reports.

Details about the source and method of estimating the 1985population by country are given in Appendix Table Al.

The total population in 1985 was distributed by age and sex on thebasis of the percentage distribution from the latest census results(adjusted for errors in age reporting), or from the U.N. revisedprojections.

Mortality Level and Trend

The base-year mortality levels in the projections are in generalthe same as those used in the recent U.N. projections. The exceptions arewhere the Bank's own analysis indicated a different mortality level (seeAppendix Table A2 for details).

For projecting mortality, life expectancy at birth was used as themortality index. It was projected on the basis of a simple model using pastpatterns of relationships between life expectancy change, its level, and thefemale primary school enrollment ratio.

On the basis of recent evidence of a close relationship betweenfemale education and childhood mortality, world data were examined todetermine whether female educational levels could be used as a discriminantof mortality levels and change. The latest available data on the percentageof girls enrolled in primary school (normally the years 1973-77) wereobtained from the UNESCO Statistical Year Book for 1978-79 for all countriescovered in the World Development Report. Data on the percentage of women20-24 years of age in the 1960s and early 1970s who had had some schoolingwere obtained from Statistical Report aid Studies: Statistics ofEducational Attainment and Illiteracy 1945-74 (UNESCO 1977). Unfortunately,such data were available for only thirty developing countries.

For all countries, current lif6e expectancy at birth proved to becorrelated with current female primary school enrollment (R2 = 0.495). Fordeveloping countries alone, however, the results were more striking: R2 =

0.499 for current female primary-school enrollment, 0.526 for femaleeducation ten years ago. This group of countries is of course the Bank'sprime concern. Thus, there seemed to be a case for estimating trends on thebasis of female education.

The next step was to examine the relationship between changes inlife expectancy and education, from 1965-69 to 1975-79, for a given lifeexpectancy (the input variable) measured at the initial (1965-69) level.The data on female primary school enrollment for 1965-69 were also takenfrom the UNESCO Statistical Report and Studies. The objective was toestimate future yearly increases in female life expectancy for differentcategories of female primary school enrollment. Naturally, the underlyingassumption is that the relationship between the initial level of primary

school enrollment and subsequent change in life expectancy will be the samein the future as it was from 1965-69 to 1975-79, but there seems to be nopractical alternative to such an assumption.

After much experimentation with various groupings, countries weredivided into two groups: those with initial (1965) female primary schoolenrollment of less than 70 percent (the "low" group) and those with 70percent or more (the "high"-group). Initially, all data points wereincluded and were divided into low, medium, and high groups. This producedwidely scattered data in two lower groups and a poor fit when regressionequations were calculated. Attempts were made to improve the fit bychanging the dividing point for the medium and low groups and by removingmany observation points based on less reliable data. The second procedureimproved the R2 values, but produced curves indicating relationshipscontrary to expectations. This, together with the small size of theresulting groups and the fact that even some of the remaining observationswere based on insufficient data, led to the conclusion that it would besafer to use two categories instead of three and to include all the data(with the exception of those for Saudi Arabia).

Experience has shown that the changes in life expectancy increasein size up to a certain point and thereafter decrease in size.Accordingly, regression equations were calculated using linear andquadratic terms for initial life expectancy.

Fairly good results were obtained for the high group (see Figure1). The large variance in the low group (Figure 2), particularly in thecountries with lower life expectancies, resulted in a poor fit, but giventhe scope of the analysis and the constraints imposed by the data, this wasthe best curve that could be found for the group.

With the exception of Saudi Arabia, there was no country in thelow group in which initial life expectancy exceeded fifty-five years. Sincethe curve for the low group was almost linear, the extrapolation ofincrements for life expectancies of more than fifty-five years would haveresulted in unrealistically high values. It was assumed that countries withlow educational levels will behave similarly to those with high levels whenthe former reach the same educational attainment. Therefore, the curve forthe low group was made to coincide with that of the high group at higherexpectations of life at birth (Figure 3). Table 1 shows the expectedincrements for the two groups.

For a given expectation of life at birth, survival ratios formales and females were derived from the Coale-Demeny model life tables,with mortality levels up to 26 (that is, the expectation of life at birthfor females equals 82.5). These tables are in four sets--North, South,East, and West. The particular set used for each depends on region and

mortality level, as follows:

Figure 1. High Female Primarv School Enrollment Figure 2. Low Female Primarv School Enrollment

1 2 1.2

0 8 0.8

-* & 0.6

0 * .0.4

0 0 * O 1 1 1 1 130 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54

Onginal (1965-69) female life expectancy Original (1965-69) female life expectancy

.%te: Rav, data and fitted %alues based on regression equation. Note: Raw data and fitted values based on regression equation.

Figure 3. Eipected Change in Female Life ErpecrancvBased on Initial Female Life ErpecrancY and Level of InitialFemtale Primarv School Enrollnent.

Figure 4. Age-Specrfic Fertility Patterns by Fertility Level

0.5 o 25 - *

0.3 - 5 -

0.2 410

0. -TFR < 3.00.1 0 Low fenale prinarv school enrohinent 5

X- ---- TFR =4.lIA Hizh feinale prinarv school enrolmin TFR 6.0

-+ -TFR > 6.0

0 I 1 1 01 0 I I 135 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 8o 85 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49

Iniuial female life expectancy Age

Region and mortality level Model life table

SubzSaharan AfricaBelow 12 South12-17 North18 and above West

North Africa, the MiddleEast, and Latin America

Below 18 South18 and above West

East and South Asia, North America,Europe, and Oceania

All levels West

Fertility Level and Trend

The principal sources for the base fertility rates were also therevised U.N. population projections (1984). The total fertility rates (TFR)for 1985-90 were taken directly from the U.N. source for some of thedeveloped countries, for a large number of countries in Latin America, and--for a few of the Asian and Sub-Saharan African countries. For severalcountries, most of them in Asia, Latin America, and Sub-Saharan Africa,independent estimates of the TFR were taken from the Bank's economicreports, the World Fertility Survey, and the U.S. Bureau of the Census. Insome of these sources, fertility measures were given in terms of the crudebirth rate (CBR). The total fertility rate corresponding to the CBR wasestimated by using the available age-sex composition and age-specificfertility pattern (see Appendix Table A3 for details about sources).

The starting point in estimating future fertility trends is anassumption about what year the net reproduction rate (NRR) is likely toreach unity. It is assumed that in all countries the NRR will reach unitysometime during 2000-2050.

The selection of a year for a particular country is governed bythe following factors: (a) expectation of life at birth for females of thatcountry during 1985-90, (b) TFR of that country during 1985-90, (c) changesin the birth rate during 1970-80, and (d) status of the country with respectto family planning. The year in which NRR = 1 for each country wasdetermined,on the basis of a regression equation estimated from the latestdata available. The estimated variables (a) through (d) were substituted inthe regression to derive the year in which NRR = 1. The nearest year endingin zero or five was finally selected.

The country's status regarding family planning was estimated onthe basis of the percentage of married women 15-49 years of age who werecurrently (latest year available) using some method of contraception,including methods used by husbands. Information for a majority of thecountries was readily available from standard sources. For other countries,

program statistics were used. The countries were classified into threecategories, based on the strength of the family planning variable:

Fai lyplanning Contraceptivestatus prevalence Category

Strong 31 or higher 3Moderate 16-30 2Weak 15 or lower I

For the Sub-Saharan African countries it was also assumed that ifthe countries are in the same subregion and have the same demographicbackground they will reach a replacement level at more or less the sametime.

The TFR in the year in which NRR = 1 was estimated on the basis ofthe country's mortality level in that year. The TFRs for intermediate yearswere calculated in three steps. First, an exponential curve was fitted tothe TFR in 1985-90 and to the TFR in the year in which NRR = 1. Second,this curve was used to estimate the TFR in 1990-95 for Asian, LatinAmerican, and North African countries where the TFR in 1985-90 was greaterthan 3. Third, the TFRs for the other periods were estimated by fitting a-reverse geometric curve in the first segment (up to 1990-95). Such aprocedure ensured a slower decline in the beginning of the projectionperiod, when fertility rates were high, and a faster decline at theintermediate level.

The procedure followed for the Sub-Saharan African countries andfor countries where the TFR in 1985-90 was less than 3 was slightlydifferent. Recent data indicate that the TFR has started to.drop in severalSub-Saharan African countries, such as Botswana, the People's Republic ofthe Congo, Ghana, Kenya, South Africa, Swaziland, and Zimbabwe. In thewell-known zone of low fertility and high sterility in Central Africa,however, there appears to have been a rise in fertility and fall insterility in all the affected areas--the Central African Republic, Chad,Gabon, Zaire, and so on--for which data are available. Therefore, thecountries in Sub-Saharan Africa were studied one by one. It was assumedthat the TFR would remain constant until 1990-95 in some of them, drop rightaway in others, and increase slightly in the rest until 1990-95. Then, inall of the Su6-Saharan African countries, fertility would decline accordingto a reverse geometric curve until half the period between 1990-95 and theyear in which NRR = 1. Thereafter, fertility would decline geometrically tothe replacement level. For a few countries in Asia and the Middle East, itwas also assumed that the TFR would remain constant for some years beforebeginning to decline. For the low-fertility countries (TFR < 3), fertilityrates were projected by assuming a geometric decline (or increase where NRR< 1) to the replacement level.

For the period beyond the year in which NRR = 1, the TFRs werekept at the replacement level and estimated on the basis of the mortalitylevel at each of the five-year intervals.

In some countries fertility is already below replacement level orwill decreaserto below replacement level during the next five to ten years.Since a popuation will not become stationary if its net reproduction rateis other than 1, to make estimates of the hypothetical stationary populationin these countries it was necessary to assume that their fertility rateswould regain replacement levels. For the sake of consistency with theestimates made for other countries, it was assumed that the total fertilityrate in the countries where fertility is already below the replacement ratewould remain constant until 1990-95, increase to the replacement level bythe year 2020, and then remain constant.

The projection model includes the feature that the age pattern ofTFR changes as fertility rates decline. The patterns at TFR = 7.6, 4.1, and2.8 are shown in Figure 4. For intermediate rates, the age pattern fallsbetween the curves. In these patterns, the mean age at childbirth declinesfrom 28.86 years when TFR = 7.6, to 28.45 when TFR = 4.1, and to 27.98 whenTFR = 2.8 (as in the case of Kenya).

Migration Level and Trend

One of the sources for the estimates of international migrationwas also the revised U.N. population projections. Other sources were thedocuments prepared by the U.N. for the 1984 International Conference onPopulation, the U.S. Bureau of the Census, Demographic Statistics (Eurostat1984), and a Bank consultant report on international migration.

Because of the limitations of the data, some amount ofquinquennial net migration by sex was assumed for countries where past andpresent trends of migration flow appear to be significant. An age-sexstructure was then created for these countries based on the sex ratio ofmigrants.

The estimates of future migration are speculative. For mosteconomies the net migration rates were assumed to be zero by the year 2000;for a few they were allowed to continue, but not beyond the year 2025. Todeal with the refugee movements that have occurred recently in Africa, Asia,and Latin America, the Bank's projections include as migrants only those whoare likely to remain permanently in the receiving countries. The averagequinquennial number of net migrants by sex and net migration rates bycountry and region are provided in the detailed country results.

Summary of Results

Population projections were prepared separately for every countryin the world. Since many countries reach stability only after 175 years ofprojection, the results are presented at five-year intervals for the period1985-2030 and at twenty-five-year intervals thereafter.

For each of the 186 separate units, the following information ispresented in the accompanying tables:

o PQpulation by sex and five-year age groups, 1985-2150o Birth rate, death rate, rate of natural increase, and growth rate

for-five-year periods from 1985-90 to 2025-2030, and twenty-five-year periods from 2000-2025 to 2125-2150

o Gross reproduction rate (GRR) and total fertility rate for five-year periods and twenty-five-year periods

o Net reproduction rate for five-year periods and twenty-five-yearperiods

o Expectation of life at birth (e(0)) and infant mortality rates(IMR) for males and females separately for five-year periods andtwenty-five-year periods

o Net migrants by sex and net migration rates for the five-yearperiods and the twenty-five-year periods.

According to the projections, the total world population wouldincrease from 4.840 billion in 1985 to 6.176 billion in the year 2000, and8.188 billion in the year 2025 (see Table 2). The average growth rateduring 1985-90 would be about 1.71 percent per year, decreasing to less thanone percent by 2025. The birth rate would decline by 10 points but thedeath rate would decline only by less than 2 points.

The world's population increased by about 83 million in 1985, andthis absolute increase continues to rise. About five years from now, theincrease will peak at around 88 million. The next century will experiencenot only a steady decline in the rate of growth, but also a steady declinein the absolute increase.

Five billion persons. By far the most significant demographicevent of 1987-is the birth of the 5 billionth person of the world. The mostlikely date when the total population of the world crossed 5 billion issometime between the end of June and early July. According to the figuresgiven in this report the event occurred on June 24th, rather than, as theU.N. estimated, on July 11th.

Uncertainties in the total population of some of the largecountries, especially those in Africa that have not taken a properpopulation census in recent years, make it difficult to be precise in thisestimate. The monthly growth in the world population in mid-1987 is about 7million, and in one country alone the uncertainties could be as large as amonth's global growth. For example, for Nigeria, the Bank estimate of thetotal populatton in 1985 was 96 million and the U.N. estimate was 91million. The difference is equivalent to 20 days of global growth. Butthese uncertainties are not large enough to make the margin of error morethan 2 or 3 months. Thus, the chances are very high that the worldpopulation passed 5 billion in the summer of 1987.

Previous and future billions. Table 3 gives the year in which theworld population reached or will reach 1 billion, 2 billion, and so on up to10 billion. It took an indefinitely long period of time for the worldpopulation to grow to a billion around the turn of the 19th century. Butthen, the pace of population growth became more rapid, and in fact the pacehas been accelerating since then. It took about 120 years to reach 2

billion, 34-years after that for 3 billion, 14 years more for 4 billion, andonly 13 years more for 5 billion. Thus, each succeeding billion was addedin an ever de reasing period of time.

The projections given in this report indicate that worldpopulation growth, in absolute terms, has not yet reached its maximum,although the peak is not far off. The 6th and the 7th billions are likelyto be reached in a shorter period of about 12 years, but the subsequentbillions will take longer. Thus the remaining years of this century willexperience relatively stable population growth (in absolute terms) of about88 million a year. This stability in absolute growth is a result of adecreasing rate of growth and an increasing total population.

Stationary population. The rate of population growth has beendeclining since the latter half of the 1960's when it reached its peak of 2percent per year. The absolute growth is likely to reach its peak by 1992and then start declining. But even then the total population will continueto increase for quite some time. It may take more than a century for thetotal population of the world to show a tendency to decrease. What will bethe population of the world be when it stops growing? Any long-term growthestimation is essentially speculative, and the Bank's estimate is noexception. According to the estimate in this report, the total populationof the world will not exceed 11 billion. The 10th billion will be reachedaround 2070, but the population will stabilize below 11 billion.

Growth diversity by Bank regions. The four Bank regions have verymarked demographic characteristics and growth prospects (see Tables 4 andTable 5; more detail is presented in Tables 10 and 11 and the AppendixFigures). At one extreme is the sub-Saharan Africa region with its highfertility, mortality, and growth rates. The Africa region is expected todouble its population in about 20 years. Asia has the lowest fertility andgrowth rate, and is likely to double in population only in 150 years.

Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) has the lowest mortalityrate, and partly as a result, its growth rate is higher than that of Asia.The total population of the region is likely to double by 2039. Thestationary population is more than twice its present size.

The Europe-Middle East-North Africa (EMENA) region isdemographically two distinct sub-regions. Its European part has one of thelowest fertility and growth rates anywhere in the world, but crude mortalityis slightly higher than in some other subregions because of an older agestructure On the other hand, its Afro-Asian part has growth rates closerto that of the Africa region. But, unlike Africa, the high growth rate inthe EMENA region is constituted by relatively lower birth and death ratesand a significant immigration rate. The total population of the EMENAregion is expected to double by 2023.

Bank member countries in Asia have more than half the populationof the world, and the region also contributes nearly half of the world'sannual population growth. But Asia's share in growth will decrease andAfrica's share will overtake Asia's. In the latter half of the twenty-

second century, much of the world's population growth will take place inAfrica.

Figure 5 indicates an interesting complementarity between thegrowth in Asia and Africa. As growth in cne goes up, growth in the othergoes down. By late next century, the Asian contribution will decrease toless than 30 percent while that of Africa will increase to nearly 55percent. Twenty five years later, by 2110, the African contribution willdecrease to 30 percent while that of Asia will increase once again to above40 percent. The relative ranks will change once again later in thatcentury. These fluctuations are essentially a reflection of the lag in theAfrican demographic transition.

The Country Departments within the Africa region are fairlyhomogeneous; so are the country departments in the Latin American region.As noted above, the European countries in the EMENA region are very muchdifferent from the rest of the region. In Asia, China stands at one extremewith the lowest growth rate, and the department constituting Bangladesh,Nepal, and Sri Lanka stands at the other end with the highest growth rate.

At the national level:o China has the largest population.o India makes the largest annual contribution to the world's

population growth.o Kenya and Rwanda have the highest fertility rates.o Qatar has the highest growth rate.o Sierra Leone has the lowest expectation of life at birth.o Sierra Leone has the highest infant mortality rate.

The projections indicate that, as a result of differentials ingrowth, potential future demographic situations will be somewhat different.India will catch up with China in population size, and the annual populationgrowth of Nigeria might overtake both India's and China's (Figure 6). Thecrude death rates in Nigeria and other African countries will fall belowthose of Asian and Latin American countries by 2025 because of younger agedistribution, although their relative ranks with respect to life expectancyat birth remain the same. Fertility rates will be relatively low and nearreplacement level in most countries, and much of the growth will be areflection of past demographic momentum.

Consistency of the Projections

Consistency over time. The first set of Bank population projectswere published in the World Development Report 1978, ten years ago. How dothese and other earlier projections compare with more recent attempts?Table 6 gives a brief comparison of the results of the projections made in1980 and 1987 for world regions and selected large countries. It shows thatthe global estimate made in 1987 is higher than that made in 1980 due toupward revisions for Africa and Asia. On the other hand, population totalsof the Americas or Europe were revised downward.

The upward revisions in Africa were a general phenomenon; almostall countries in the Sub-Saharan region were involved in the increase. Thusthe Bank's assessment of the population growth potential has been revisedupward in the_case of Africa during the last ten years.

The present assessment is based on the assumption that familyplanning will catch up soon in most of these countries and fertility willstart declining before the end of the century. It is also assumed that oncefertility starts declining, it will continue to decline rather rapidly. Theearlier projections were revised upward because the evidence in recentyears indicates that fertility decline did not begin as early as was assumedin the earlier projections. If family planning does not catch up or doesnot result in fertility reductions, the present projections will have to berevised upward once again.

In the case of Latin America, the fertility rate for 1985-90 isrevised downward; the actual fertility decline was larger than previouslyprojected.

In Asia, a significant revision was made in China's growthprospects. In the last few years, China's fertility has declined so fastthat demographers generally believe that fertility will remain belowreplacement level for a long time. On that basis, it could be projectedthat China's population growth will be overtaken by India by the middle ofthe next century and the ultimate stationary population of China will besubstantially smaller than India's. But recent revival in China's birthrate makes this less likely. In this projection, India and China end upwith more or less the same long-term stationary population (see Figure 6).

There are upward revisions in a number of other countries also butthese were more due to revisions in the 1985 total populations than inassumptions about future trends. For Burkina Faso, the 1985 population wasrevised upward from 6.7 to 7.9 million on the basis of new census results.In Pakistan, the base population was raised from 93.4 million to 96.2million by the Statistical Office, with consequent changes in futurepopulation.

In general, inconsistencies between recent and past Bankprojections are mainly due to revisions in base population as a result ofbetter and newer information from censuses and surveys.

Consistency with U.N. projections. How do the Bank estimates andprojections compare with the U.N. figures? Appendix Table B gives acomparison of the total population of selected countries in 1985, 2000 and2025 according to these projections and the U.N. 1984 revision, which is thelatest available.

The Bank and the U.N. make an earnest effort to coordinate theirwork in projections, and to reduce the discrepancies as much as possible.Therefore, there should not be much difference between the two sets. Yet,some differences persist. For 28 countries out of a total of 148 countriesin Appendix Table B, there was no difference at all in the 1985 total

population,-and the difference was less than 1 percent in 53 othercountries. Among countries with a population of 10 million or more, thedifference was more than 5 percent only for Afghanistan. Thus, thedifference between the Bank and the U.N. is confined to a few countries.

The reasons for persisting differences are several. The Bankrevises its base data on a continuous basis, makes population estimates andprojections annually and publishes the results with little delay. On theother hand, the U.N. updates its work only once every two years, andalthough their results are issued as computer printouts to selectedorganizations, the full report is published with much delay. For somecountries, the two organizations have their own special reasons to followspecific population figures. For example, for Namibia the U.N. is requiredto use the estimate provided by the Namibia Commissioner. For Nigeria, theBank staff felt it necessary to use the official estimate provided by thecountry.

Yet another source of difference is the way information regardingthe degree of underenumeration (or overenumeration) in census results istreated. Usually, the U.N. estimates imply an assumption of a higher levelof underenumeration than the Bank's estimates. While the Bank uses resultsof Post Enumeration Surveys or other direct assessments of underenumeratio,it does not usually correct population totals on the basis of evaluation ofage-sex distribution alone, unless the outcome of such evaluation has beenaccepted by national authorities. In the majority of the countries wherethe differences are small, the discrepancy is due to differences in theassumptions about post-censal fertility rates, mortality rates, andmig.ration rates.

The differences in the projected totals are usually larger thanthose in the base population and tend to increase with the period ofprojection. Part of the differences in the projected populations is due todifference in the base values, and the balance due to differences inmethodology and assumptions about fertility, mortality, and migrationtrends. An approximate analysis indicates that about a third of thevariance in percent difference between the two sets of projections in 2000is explained by the difference in base total population; differences in TFRand life expectancy at birth having only a marginal significance. For 2025and later periods, base values become less relevant and assumptions aboutfertility and mortality trends become more and more important.

The methodological differences are in the use of different modellife tables (the Bank uses Coale-Demeny tables while the U.N. uses U.N. anda variety of other models); different periods for which projections are made(the Bank projects from 1985 to 2150 and the U.N. projects from 1950 to2025); and different assumptions about trends in fertility (e.g., the Bankassumes that fertility increases to replacement level in developedcountries) and mortality (the Bank assumes a relatively slower increase inlife expectancy at birth). But the net effect of methodological differencesis not large. On the whole, differences in the Bank and the U.N.projections are essentially due to differences in the base total population.

If these are. made to agree, there will be very little difference in the

projections, at least for the short to medium periods.

Conclusion

World Bank population projections, published annually in its WorldDevelopment Reports, and biannually in separate book form have become notonly the Bank's official population figures for its sectoral, project andanalytical work, but also an up-to-date source of demographic data for theinternational community of demographers, other social scientists, nationalplanners, and students of population sciences. The Bank's publications inthis field have some relative merits and some relative disadvantages overthose of the U.N. Advantages include frequent revision and data input fromBank economists and project officers who are in constant contact withnational officials. These publications also cover short-term and long-termprojections prepared on the basis of the same methodology. Their maindrawback is that so far the Bank publications do not include historicalseries to go with future series. In the coming years it is expected thathistorical series will also be provided in one form or another.

Table 1. Annual Increment in Female Life Expectancy-

Female primary schoolenrollment

Female life Less than 70 percentexpectancy at birth 70 percent or more

35.0 0.33 0.39

37.5 0.35 0.44

40.0 0.38 0.47

42.5 0.41 0.50

45.0 0.43 0.52

47.5 0.45 0.53

50.0 0.47 0.54

52.5 0.47 0.54

55.0 0.48 0.53

57.5 0.48 0.51

60.0 0.47 0.48

62.5 0.45 0.45

65.0 0.41 0.41

67.5 0.36 0.36

69.4 0.31 0.31

71.1 0.27 0.27

72.6 0.23 0.23

73.9 0.20 0.20

75.0 0.16 0.16

75.9 0.13 0.13

76.6 0.11 0.11

77.5 0.09 0.09

78.5 0.07 0.07

79.5 0.06 0.06

80.5 0.05 0.05

81.5 0.04 0.04

82.5 0.03 0.03

Table 2. Population Growth by Geographic Region, 1985-2025

.Population Growth rate Birth rate Death rate(millions) (percent) (per 1,000) (per 1,000)

Region 1985 2025 1985-90 2020-25 1985-90 2020-25 1985-90 2020-25

World 4,840 8,188 1.71 0.94 26.9 17.6 9.8 8.2

Africa .-560 1,495 3.05 1.74 45.0 24.1 14.5 6.7

Asia 2,819 4,758 1.80 0.89 27.4 17.0 9.2 8.1

Americas 666 1,035 1.58 0.72 23.4 15.3 7.9 8.2

Europe 770 863 0.45 0.15 14.7 13.0 10.3 11.5

Oceania 25 36 1.37 0.59 19.6 15.0 8.2 9.1

Note: In this and succeeding tables, figures may not add up togiven totals because of rounding.

Table 3. Year in Which World Population Reached

1 Billion, 2 Billion, Etc.

Elapsed

World population Year years

1 billion 1805 indefinite2 billion 1926 121

3 billion 1960 34

4 billion 1974 145 billion 1987 13

6 billion 1998 117 billion 2010 128 billion 2023 139 billion 2040 17

10 billion 2070 30

Table 4. Demographic Situation in World Bank Regions and Departments, 1985-90

Population Total Life Infant(thousands) Birth Death Growth fertility expec- mortality

Region 1985 rate rate rate rate tancy rate

Africa 414,301. 48.1 15.8 3.21 6.6 51 108

1 39,335 47.2 15.5 3.25 6.2 52 104

2 105,661 48.4 16.3 3.18 6.7 50 110

3 52,349 46.2 14.8 3.13 6.4 52 1014 119,234 49.0 15.4 3.36 6.8 51 104

5 36,140 47.7 19.1 2.76 6.5 46 129

6 61,559 48.1 15.1 3.29 6.7 52 104

Asia 2,379,281 26.6 9.1 1.75 3.3 63 66

1 134,196 37.8 14,2 2.33 5.1 52 113

2 272,575 28.9 7.8 2.07 3.6 64 56

3 1,040,035 20.7 6.6 1.40 2.3 69 33

4 765,147 30.9 11.3 1.95 4.2 57 84

5 167,328 31.1 11.4 1.97 3.9 56 90

EMENA 476,571 34.3 11.0 2.32 4.7 61 821- 146,428 39.3 12.1 2.69 5.3 56 95

2 55,095 36.8 9.2 2.76 5.2 62 73

3 170,439 40.1 11.3 2.91 5.7 58 87

4 104,609 15.2 9.9 0.52 2.0 72 24

LAC 387,147 29.2 7.4 2.11 3.7 66 56

1 135,564 28.0 7.5 2.05 3.4 65 63

2 103,986 32.8 6.5 2.45 4,2 66 49

3 70,264 29.6 7.4 2.08 3.6 65 60

4 77,333 26.3 8.5 1.78 3.4 67 51

Note: See Table 17 for countries in each Bank region and department.

Table 5. iDemographic Trends in World Bank Regions and Departments

StationaryPopulation population

(thousands) Year when------------------------------ in as % of population Year when

Region 1985 2000 2025 millions 1985 pop doubles NRR=1

Africa 414,278 661,499 1,178,894 2,072 500 2007 20451 39,335 61,898 106,184 180 458 2010 2045

2 105,661 168,268 299,991 533 504 2009 2040

3 52,349 82,723 145,498 250 478 2009 2045

4 119,234 193,957 350,739 619 519 2008 20455 36,140 55,186 97,518 179 495 2010 20406 61,559 99,466 178,964 312 507 2007 2040

Asia 2,379,281 3,038,550 3,908,140 4,768 200 2140 2040

1 134,196 186,085 274,416 403 300 2023 2040

2 272,575 362,794 491,366 625 229 2040 2040

3 1,040,035 1,274,411 1,537,267 1,683 162 (a) 20004 765,147 995,793 1,311,746 1,678 219 2051 20105 167,328 219,467 293,344 379 227 2045 2035

EMENA 476,571 664,354 984,023 1,433 301 2023 2040

1 146,428 212,966 330,820 507 346 2017 20352 55,095 81,591 126,473 183 332 2015 20253 170,439 257,436 406,313 617 362 2014 20454 104,609 112,642 120,799 126 120 (a) 2020

LAC 387,147 516,348 700,156 887 229 2039 20251 135,564 178,369 236,116 292 215 2052 2010

2 103,986 145,844 208,095 273 263 2025 20253 70,264 93,465 127,399 162 231 2039 20254 77,333 98,669 128,546 159 206 2080 2020

Note: See Table 17 for countries in each Bank region and department.(a) Population will not double with projected rates.

Tab1 6. Population in 2000 and Stationary Population by Region and for

Selected Countries, from World Bank Projections of 1980 and 1987 (millions)

Projection of 1980 Projection of 1987

Population Stationary Population StationaryRegion in 2000 population in 2000 population

World 6,075 9,867 6,176 10,650Africa 805 2,071 871 2,531Americas 847 1,267 824 1,216Asia 3,561 5,569 3,634 5,974Europe, USSR, Oceania 862 960 847 929

Selected countries

China 1,251 1,555 1,274 1,683

India 973 1,644 996 1,678

Indonesia 203 350 212 363Brazil 201 345 178 292Nigeria 153 425 163 529

Table 7. Population and Percentage Distribution by Geographic Region and Income Group, 1985-2100

Population (millions) Percentage of world population

Region 1985 1990 2000 2025 2050 2100 1985 1990 2000 2025 2050 21

World total 4,840 5,272 6,176 8,188 9,523 10,414 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10CLess developed (a) - 3,663 4,062 4,913 6,850 8,190 9,068 75.7 77.0 79.5 83.7 86.0 87

More developed (a) 1,177 1,210 1,263 1,338 1,333 1,347 24.3 23.0 20.5 16.3 14.0 12

Africa total 560 653 871 1,495 1,020 2,429 11.6 12.4 14.1 18.3 21.2 23

East Africa 232 271 365 636 867 1,048 4.8 5.1 5.9 7.8 9.1 IC

West Africa 203 239 324 577 797 977 4.2 4.5 5.2 7.0 8.4 9

North Africa 125 143 182 282 356 404 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.7 3America total 666 721 824 1,035 1,144 1,201 13.8 13.7 13.3 12.6 12.0 11

Latin America and Caribbean 398 442 529 715 829 888 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.7 8.7 8North America 268 279 295 320 315 313 5.5 5.3 4.8 3.9 3.3

Asia total 2,819 3,085 3,634 4,758 5,452 5,857 58.2 58.5 58.8 58.1 57.3 56

East and Southeast Asia 1,646 1,775 2,042 2,522 2,748 2,861 34.0 33.7 33.1 30.8 28.9 27

South Asia 1,058 1,178 1,423 1,977 2,379 2,629 21.9 22.3 23.0 24.1 25.0 2.5Southwest Asia 115 132 169 259 325 367 2.4 2.5 2.7 3.2 3.4 3

Europe total 770 787 818 863 867 885 15.9 14.9 13.2 10.5 9.1 8

Oceania total 25 26 29 36 39 41 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 C

Income group (b)

Low 2,442 2,692 3,221 4,403 5,215 5,761 50.5 51.1 52.2 53.8 54.8 S;

Lower-middle 680 767 955 1,415 1,751 1,970 14.0 14.5 15.5 17.3 18.4 18

Upper-middle 594 652 772 1,029 1,190 1,281 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.6 12.5 12

High (oil exporters) 19 23 33 56 74 87 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 C

Industrial market 742 759 786 814 788 777 15.3 14.4 12.7 9.9 8.3

Non-reporting non-member 363 379 409 470 505 538 7.5 7.2 6.6 5.7 5.3 -

(a) "More developed" includes Europe, USSR, North America (United States and Canada), Australia,New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed" includes the rest of the world.

(b) Countries are listed by income group in Table 16.

Table 8. Annual Pppulation Increase and Growth Rate by Geographic Region and Income Group, 1985-2100

Annual population increase (millions) Annual growth rate (percent)

Region 1985-90 2000 2025 2050 2100 1985-90 2000 2025 2050 2100

World total 86,4 88.4 71.5 39.0 6.8 1.71 1.44 0.88 0.41 0.07

Less developed (a) 79.9 83.7 70.2 39.3 6.8 2.07 1.71 1.03 0.48 0.08More developed (a) 6.5 4.7 1.3 -0.3 0.0 0.54 0.37 0.10 -0.02 0.00

Africa total 18.4 23.6 24.3 17.8 2.3 3.05 2.72 1.64 0.88 0.10

East Africa 7.8 10.2 10.7 7.9 1.0 3.12 2.80 1.68 0.91 0.10West Africa 7.1 9.3 10.1 7.7 1.0 3.20 2.89 1.76 0.96 0.10

North Africa 3.6 4.1 3.6 2.3 0.4 2.66 2.24 1.27 0.64 0.09America total 10.9 9.8 6.7 2.6 0.7 1.58 1.19 0.66 0.23 0.06

Latin America and Caribbean 8.7 8.4 6.4 2.8 0.7 2.08 1.60 0.90 0.34 0.08North America 2.2 1.3 0.3 -0.2 0.0 0.80 0.46 0.10 -0.07 0.00

Asia total 53.2 52.0 39.2 18.5 3.5 1.80 1.44 0.83 0.34 0.06

East, Southeast Asia 25.9 24.1 15.7 4.8 0.9 1.51 1.19 0.63 0.18 0.03South Asia 24.0 24.1 20.2 11,5 2.4 2.15 1.70 1.03 0.49 -0.09Southwest Asia 3,4 3.8 3.2 2.0 0.3 2.73 2.26 1.26 0.62 r0.09

Europe total 3.5 2.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.45 0.34 0.12 0.00 0.00

Oceania total 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.37 0.98 0.53 0.19 0.04

Income group (b)

Low 49.7 51,5 43.1 23.7 3.7 1.94 1.61 0,99 0.46 0.07Lower-middle 17.4 19.2 16.9 10.0 1.8 2.41 2.02 1.20 0.57 0.09Upper-middle 11.7 11.6 8.7 4.3 0.9 1.87 1.51 0.85 0.37 0.07High(oil exporters) 0.8 1,0 0.8 0.6 0.1 3.90 3.00 1.49 0.84 0.08Industrial market 3,5 2.2 -0.1 -1.0 0.0 0.47 0.28 -0.02 -0.13 0.00Non-reporting non-member 3.2 2,9 2.0 1.1 0,2 0.88 0.72 0.43 0.23 0.05

(a) "More developed" includes Europe, USSR, North America (United States and Canada),Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. "Less developed" includes the rest of the world.

(b) Countries are listed by income group in Table 16.

Table 9. Estimated Fertility and Mortality Rates by Geographic Region and Income Group, 1985-90, 2000, and 2025

1985-90 2000 2025

Region CBR CDR TFR NRR eO IMR CBR CDR TFR NRR eO IMR CBR CDR TFR NkR eO IMR

World total 26.9 9.8 3.417 1.441 64.4 11 23.1 8.1 2.938 1.291 67.1 52 17.1 8.4 2.260 1.056 71.9 28

Less developed (a) 30.8 9.9 3.910 1.600 61.4 75 25.5 8.4 3.175 1.365 65.0 57 18.0 7.7 2.290 1.065 70.8 31

More developed (a) 14.5 9.6 1.885 0.914 74.3 18 13.4 9.9 1.953 0.933 75.5 14 12.7 11.8 2.071 1.000 77.4 10

Africa total 45.0 14.5 6.170 2.310 52.9 101 37.9 10.7 5.135 2.080 58.3 77 22.9 6.6 2.635 1.205 67.4 41

East Africa 46.3 15.1 6.340 2.340 51.8 103 39.1 11.1 5.290 2.125 57.2 80 23.4 6.6 2.670 1.220 67.0 43

West Africa 48.3 16.3 6.600 2.400 50.2 110 40.8 11.9 5.665 2.250 56.1 83 24.3 6.7 2.760 1.250 66.2 44

North Africa 37.1 10.5 5.150 2.100 59.4 78 30.3 7.9 3.960 1.720 64.2 55 19.0 6.3 2.270 1.065 70.8 28

America total 23.4 7.9 2.850 1.320 70.1 44 19.2 7.4 2.430 1.160 72.0 34 15.0 8.5 2.085 1.000 75.1 21

Latin America and Caribbean 28.9 7.4 3.630 1.620 66.3 56 22.7 6.4 2.725 1.265 69.4 42 16.3 7.3 2.095 1.000 73.5 25

North America 14.9 8.6 1.820 0.880 76.0 12 12.9 9.0 1.890 0.915 76.7 10 12.3 11.4 2.065 1.000 78.7 7

Asia total 27.4 9.2 3.450 1.440 63.1 69 22.6 8.2 2.780 1.215 66.4 51 16.5 8.3 2.195 1.025 71.7 27

East, Southeast Asia 22.6 7.3 2.670 1.200 67.9 45 191I 7.2 2.325 1.070 70.5 32 15.0 8.7 2.110 1.000 74.3 18

South Asia 33.8 12.2 4.660 1.790 55.8 94 26.7 9.6 3.350 1.380 60.5 72 18.2 8.0 2.275 1.040 68.4 37

Southwest Asia 35.6 8.7 4.930 2.110 63.4 63 29.3 6.9 3.815 1.710 67.1 48 18.9 6.3 2.265 1.065 71.9 27

Europe total 14.7 10.3 1.940 0.934 73,2 22 13.7 10.4 1.984 0.945 74.6 17 13.0 11.8 2.074 1.000 76.5 11

Oceania total 19.6 8.2 2.480 1.120 71.6 41 18.0 8.4 2.390 1.120 72.9 32 14.7 9.4 2.165 1.035 75.7 17

Income group (b)

Low 29.8 10.2 3.760 1.520 61.0 79 24.9 8.9 3.095 1.315 64.5 61 24.9 8.1 2.320 1.070 70.4 33

Lower-middle 34.9 10.4 4.530 1.840 59.3 79 28.4 8.1 3.525 1.525 63.9 58 18.9 6.9 2.300 1.080 70.5 30

Upper-middle 27.0 8.0 3.420 1.540 67.0 47 22.3 7.1 2.800 1.300 69.7 35 16.2 1V7 2.105 1.005 73.6 19

High(oil exporters) 40.4 7.1 6.700 2.930 64.2 54 34.6 5.7 5.230 2.390 67.8 39 20.4 5.5 2.345 1.115 72.6 21

Industrial market 13.2 9.2 1.710 0.830 76.3 11 12.4 9.9 1.834 0.893 77.0 9 12.1 12.3 2.066 1.000 78.7 7

Non-reporting non-member 18.9 10.1 2.430 4.000 69.9 38 16.9 9.8 2.325 1.100 71.7 31 14.8 10.5 2.140 1.020 74.3 19

(a) "More developed" includes Europe, USSR, North America (United States and Canada), Australia, New Zealand, and Japan.

"Less developed" includes the rest of the world.

(6) Countries are listed by income group in Table 16.

Table 10. Population and Percentage Distribution by Bank Region, 1985-2100

Population (millions) Percentage of world.population

Region 1985 1990 2000 2025 2050 2100 1985 1990 2000 2025 2050 2100

World total 4,840 5,272 6,176 8,188 9,523 10,414 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Borrowers and non-borrowers

Sub-Saharan Africa 457 535 722 1,272 1,744 2,122 9.4 10,1 11.7 15.5 18.3 20.4Asia and Pacific 2,570 2,795 3,254 4,144 4,654 4,927 53.1 53.0 52.7 50.6 48.9 67,3

EMENA 1,147 1,221 1,376 1,736 1,981 2,165 23.7 23.2 22.3 21.2 20.8 20.8

America 666 721 824 1,035 1,144 1,201 13.8 13.7 13.3 12.6 12.0 11.5

Borrowers only

Sub-Saharan Africa total 414 486 661 1,179 1,625 1,985 8.6 9.2 10.7 14.4 17.1 )9.1CD I (West - Francophone) 39 46 62 106 144 173 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7CD II (East) 106 124 168 300 415 509 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.7 4.4 4.9CD III (Central) 52 61 83 145 198 239 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.3

CD IV (West - Others) 119 141 194 351 485 594 2.5 2.7 3.1 4.3 5.1 5.7

CD V (Sahel) 36 41 55 98 136 170 0.7 0.8 0,9 1.2 1.4 1,6

CD VI (Southern) 62 73 99 179 247 300 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.2 2.6 2,2

Asia and Pacific total 2,379 2,597 3,038 3,908 4,413 4,683 49.2 49.3 49.2 47.7 46.3 455

CI I (Other South) 134 151 186 274 342 388 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.6 3,7

CD II (Southeast) 273 302 363 492 568 612 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.0 6.0 5,29CD III (China) 1,040 1,116 1,274 1,537 1,637 1,683 21.5 21.2 20.6 18.8 17.2 36z2CD IV (India) 765 843 996 1,312 1,525 1,635 15.8 16.0 16.1 16.0 16.0 15 7CD V (Indonesia & Pacific) 167 185 219 293 341 365 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5

EMENA total 476 535 664 984 1,225 1,393 9.8 10.1 10.8 12.0 12.9 13,4

CD I (Pakistan & Turkey) 146 167 213 332 423 491 3.0 3.2 3.4 4.1 4.4 4,7CD II (North Africa) 55 63 82 126 159 178 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7

CD III (Middle East) 170 198 257 406 521 598 3.5 3.8 4.2 5.0 5.5 5.7

CD IV (Europe) 105 107 112 120 122 126 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.2

LAC total 387 430 516 700 813 872 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.4

CD I (Brazil) 136 150 178 236 269 287 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8CD II (Central) 104 117 146 208 249 269 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 -

CD III (Caribbean & Others) 70 78 93 127 148 159 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5

CD IV (Temperate & Tropical) 77 85 99 129 147 157 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5

Table 11. Annual Population Increase and Growth Rate by Bank Region, 1985-2100

Annual population increase (millions) Annual growth rate (percent)

Regi7n 1985-90 2000 2025 2050 2100 1985-90 2000 2025 2050 2100

World total 86.4 88.4 71.5 39.0 6.8 1.71 1.44 0.88 0.41 0.07

Borrowers and non-borrowers

Sub-Saharan Africa 15.6 20.4 21.7 16.5 2.1 3.14 2.84 1.72 0.94 0.10

Asia and Pacific 45.2 42.7 30.4 12.3 2.7 1.69 1.12 0.74 0.27 0.06

EMENA 14.7 15.5 12.6 7.6 1.3 1.25 1.13 0.73 0.39 0.06

America 10.9 9.8 6.7 2.6 0.7 1.58 1.19 0.66 0.23 0.06

Borrowers only

Sub-Saharan Africa total 14.4 19.1 20.6 15.5 1.9 3.21 2.90 1.76 0.96 0.10

CD I (West - Francophone) 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.3 0.2 3.25 2.69 1.61 0.90 0.10

CD II (East) 3.6 4.9 5.3 4.0 0.5 3.18 2.90 1.77 0.96 0.10

CD III (Central) 1.8 2.3 2.4 1.8 0.2 3.13 2.84 1.69 0.92 0.09

CD IV (West - Others) 4.3 5.8 6.3 4.8 0.5 3.36 3.01 1.80 0.97 -0.10

CD V (Sahel) 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.3 0.2 2.76 2.75 1.79 0.99 '0.11

CD VI (Southern) 2.2 2.9 3.2 2.3 0,3 3.29 2.97 1.77 0.95 -0.09

Asia and Pacific total 43.4 41.2 29.9 12.4 2.6 1.75 1.37 0.77 0.28 0.06

CI I (Other South) 3.3 3.7 3.1 2.0 0,4 2.33 1.99 1.15 0.59 0.10

CD II (Southeast) 5.9 5.8 4.4 1.9 0.5 2.07 1.62 0.90 0.34 0.09

CD III (China) 15.1 13.7 8.4 1.8 0.0 1.40 1.09 0.55 0.11 0.00

CD IV (India) 15.6 14.6 11.4 5.5 1.4 1.95 1.48 0.87 0.36 0.09

CD V (Indonesia & Pacific) 3.5 3.4 2.6 1.2 0.3 1.97 1.54 0.90 0.35 0.08

EMENA total 11.7 13.1 11.7 7.7 1.2 2.32 1.99 1.19 0.62 0.09

CD I (Pakistan & Turkey) 4.2 4.6 4.5 3.1 0.4 2.69 2.16 1.36 0.73 0.08

CD II (North Africa) 1.6 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.2 2.76 2.32 1.24 0.59 0.10

CD III (Middle East) 5.3 6.2 5.4 3.6 0.6 2.91 2.42 1.33 0.69 0.10

CD IV (Europe) 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.52 0.42 0.15 0.05 0.03

LAC total 8.6 8.3 6.3 2.8 0.7 2.11 1.62 0.91 0.35 0.08

CD I (Brazil) 2.9 2.7 1.9 0.8 0.3 2.05 1.51 0.83 0.32 0.09

CD II (Central) 2.7 2.8 2.2 1.0 0.2 2.45 1.93 1.08 0.41 0.09

CD III (Caribbean & Others) 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.08 1.61 0.92 0.36 0.07

CD IV (Temperate & Tropical) 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.78 1.40 0.79 0.33 0.06

Table 12. Estimated Fertility and Mortality Rates by Bank Region, 1985-2025

1985-90 2000 2025

Region CBR CDR TFR NRR eo IMR CBR CDR TFR NRR eO IMR CBR CDR TFR NRR eO IMR

World total 26.9 9.8 3.417 1.441 64.4 71 23.1 8.7 2.938 1.291 67.1 52 17.1 8.4 2.260 1.056 71.9 28

Borrowers and non-borrowers II?Sub-Saharan Africa 47.2 15.7 6.465 2.369 51.0 107 39.9 11.5 5.467 2.180 56.6 82 23.9 6.6 2.715 1.234 66.6 44Asia and Pacific 25.8 8.9 3.219 1.360 63.8 64 21.3 8.0 2.593 1.148 67.1 47 15.9 8.5 2.145 1.006 72.2 25EMENA 23.1 10.6 3.064 1.343 68.1 60 20.9 9.6 2.868 1.297 69.8 47 16.5 9.2 2.247 1.054 73.0 26America 23.4 7.9 2.853 1.320 70.1 44 19.2 7.4 2.432 1.158 72.0 34 15.0 8.5 2.089 1.002 75.1 21

Borrowers only

Sub-Saharan Africa total 48.1 15.8 6.624 2.421 50.7 108 40.6 11,6 5,609 2.233 56.4 82 24.1 6.6 2.738 1.244 66.5 44CD I (West - Francophone) 47.2 15.5 6.231 2.324 52.1 104 37.9 11.2 5.406 2.229 57.7 75 22.8 6.6 2.588 1.191 67.5 40CD II (East) 48.4 16.3 6.739 2.413 49.6 110 41.1 12.1 5.679 2.223 55.2 86 24.5 6.9 2.789 1.254 65.6 46CD III (Central) 46.2 14.8 6,411 2.398 52.0 101 39.1 10.7 5.371 2.174 57.8 77 23.1 6.2 2.624 1.209 67.7 39CD IV (West - Others) 49.0 15.4 6.811 2.513 51.1 104 41.1 11,0 5.680 2.281 57.1 78 24.2 6.2 2.735 1.252 67.1 40CD V (Sahel) 47.7 19.1 6.501 2.215 46.5 129 42.5 14.5 5.877 2.189 52.0 100 25.9 8.0 2.974 1.296 62.8 57CD VI (Southern) 48.1 15.1 6.689 2.466 52.1 104 40.6 11.0 5.557 2.232 57.7 82 23.9 6.3 2.717 1.241 67.4 44

Asia and Pacific total 266 9.1 3.312 1.385 62,9 66 21.7 8.1 2.629 1.158 66.5 49 16.1 8.4 2.149 1.006 71.9 25CI I (Other South) 37.8 14.2 5.124 1.847 52.4 113 31.0 11.1 3.786 1.486 56.9 90 19.5 8.0 2.363 1.056 65.9 47CD II (Southeast) 28.9 7.8 3.600 1.570 64.3 56 23.1 6.7 2.774 1.268 68.0 40 16.5 7.5 2.127 1.010 72.5 23CD III (China) 20.7 6.6 2.350 1.068 69.5 33 17.8 7.0 2.140 1.000 71.8 25 14.4 8.9 2.099 1.000 75.2 15CD IV (India) 30.9 11.3 4.249 1.666 57.1 84 23.9 9.2 2.954 1.252 62.0 62 16.9 8.2 2.159 1.000 69.5 31CD V (Indonesia & Pacific) 31.1 11.4 3.925 1.567 56.1 90 24.3 8.9 2.857 1.228 61.9 62 17.0 8.0 2.149 1.004 69.8 30

EMENA total 34.3 11.0 4.668 1.919 60.9 82 28.6 8.8 3.792 1.635 64.4 62 19.2 7.3 2.351 1.084 70.1 34CD I (Pakistan & Turkey) 39.3 12.1 5.345 2.046 56.4 95 31.0 9.4 4.079 1.677 60.5 74 20.7 7.1 2.520 1.152 68.1 38CD II (North Africa) 36.8 9.2 5.223 2.192 61.6 73 30.1 6.8 3.880 1.736 66.0 47 18.2 5.8 2.155 1.023 72.0 23CD III (Middle East) 40.1 11.3 5.690 2.265 58.3 87 32.5 8.4 4.358 1.856 63.1 66 20.0 6.7 2.339 1.067 69.6 38CD IV (Europe) 15.2 9.9 2.046 0.968 71.8 24 14.3 10.1' 1.980 0.947 73.5 19 13.2 11.7 2.087 1.000 75.6 13

LAC total 29.2 7.4 3.675 1.641 66.0 56 22.8 6.4 2.745 1.273 69.3 42 16.3 7.2 2.097 1.003 73.4 25CD I (Brazil) 28.0 7.5 3.415 1.531 65.3 63 21,6 6.6 2.602 1.209 68.8 48 16.0 7.7 2.090 1.000 731 28CD II (Central) 32.8 6.5 4.243 1.913 66.5 49 25.2 5.4 2.950 1.374 69.7 35 16.9 6.1 2.090 1.001 73.7 22CD III (Caribbean & Others) 29.6 7.4 3.642 1.588 65.3 60 23.0 6.5 '2.741' 1.250 68.5 42 16.4 7.3 2.129 1.013 72.9 26CD IV (Temperate & Tropical) 26.3 8.5 3.423 1.542 67.2 51 21.5 7.5 2.698 1.251 70.0 35 15.9 8.0 2.092 1.000 73.8 18

Table 13. Stationary Population by Geographic Region and for Countries

of 100 Million or More

Population Percentage within Percentage of

- Country (millions) geographic region world population

Africa (all countries) 2,531 100.0 23.8

Nigeria 529 20.9 5.0

Ethiopia 204 8.1 1.9

Egypt 132 5.2 1.2

Zaire 130 5.1 1.2

Tanzania 123 4.9 1.2

Kenya 121 4.8 1.1

Sudan 101 4.0 0.9

Subtotal (7 countries) 1,340 52.9 12.6

Asia (all countries) 5,974 100.0 56.1

China 1,683 28.2 15.8

India 1,678 28.1 15.8

Pakistan 395 6.6 3.7

Indonesia 363 6.1 3.4

Bangladesh 295 4.9 2.8

Viet Nam 167 2.8 1.6

Iran 157 2.6 1.5

Philippines 137 2.3 1.3

Japan 124 2.1 1.2

Turkey 111 1.9 1.0

Subtotal (10 countries) 5,110 85.5 48.0

Latin America (all countries) 903 100.0 8.5

Brazil 292 32.3 2.7

Mexico 197 21.8 1.8

Subtotal (2 countries) 489 54.2 4.6

North America (all countries) 313 100.0 2.9

United States 279 89.1 2.6

Europe 503 100.0 4.7

USSR 385 100.0 3.6

Oceania 41 100.0 0.4

World total 10,650 -- 100.0

Subtotal (21 countrieswith population of

100 million or more) 7,603 71.4

-- Not applicable.

Table 14. Stationary Population for All Countries

- Stationary Year Stationary Year

population when ulation when

Country (millions) NRR=l Country millions) NRR=1

Africa Mauritania 8 2035

Botswana 5 2025 Niger 36 2040

Burundi 24 2035 Nigeria 529 2035

Comoros 2 2030 Sao Tome and Principe 0.3 2020

Djibouti 2 2045 Senegal 31 2035

Ethiopia 204 2040 Sierra Leone 18 2045

Kenya 121 2030 Togo 15 2035

Lesotho 6 2030 Other West Africa 0.01 2010

Madagascar 52 2035Malawi 38 2040 West Africa total 1,020 2045

Mauritius 2 2000

Mozambique 68 2035 Algeria 81 2025

Namibia 5 2035 Egypt, Arab Rep. 132 2020

Reunion 1 2000 Libya 18 2025Rwanda 40 2040 Morocco 66 2025

Seychelles 0.1 2010 Sudan 101 2035

Somalia 30 2040 Tunisia 18 2015

South Africa 95 2025 Other North Africa 0.8 2035

Swaziland 3 2030

Tanzania 123 2035 North Africa total 416 2035

Uganda 74 2035

Zaire 130 2030 Africa total 2,531 2045

Zambia 37 2035

Zimbabwe 33 2025America

East Africa total 1,095 2040 Antigua and Barbuda 0.2 2020

Argentina 53 2010

Angola 43 2040 Bahamas 0.5 2005

Benin 20 2035 Barbados 0.3 2020

Burkina Faso 42 2040 Belize 0.5 2015

Cameroon 51 2030 Bolivia 22 2030

Cape Verde 1 2025 Brazil 292 2010

Central African Rep. 12 2035 Chile 20 2000

Chad 22 2040 Colombia 59 2010

Congo, People's Rep. 9 2025 Costa Rica 5 2005

Cote d'Ivoire 46 2030 Cuba 14 2010

Equatorial Guinea 2 2040 Dominica 0.2 2005

Gabon 4 2035 Dominican Rep. 15 2010

Gambia, The 3 2040 Ecuador 26 2015

Ghana 58 2030 El Salvador 13 2015

Guinea 21 2045 Grenada 0.2 2010

Guinea-Bissau 4 2045 Guadeloupe 0.5 2010

Liberia 11 2035 Guatemala 26 2020

Mali 36 2035 Guyana 1 2005

Table 14. Stationary Population for All Countries (cont.)

Stationary Year Stationary Yearpopulation when population when

Country (millions) NRR=1 Country (millions) NRR=1

Haiti 16 2025 Lao People's Dem. Rep. 17 2040

Honduras 15 2020 Macao 1 2005Jamaica 4 2005 Malaysia 33 2005

Martinique 0.4 2000 Mongolia 6 2020

Mexico 197 2010 Philippines 137 2015

Montserrat 0.01 2015 Singapore 3 2010

Netherlands Antilles 0.3 2010 Thailand 99 2000

Nicaragua 12 2025 Viet Nam 167 2015

Panama 4 2000

Paraguay 11 2020 East and SoutheastPeru 45 2015 Asia total 2,889 2035

St. Kitts and Nevis 0.1 2015

St. Lucia 0.4 2015 Afghanistan 75 204$

St. Vincent and Grenadines 0.2 2010 Bangladesh 295 2025

Suriname 1 2010 Bhutan 4 2035Trinidad and Tobago 2 200.5 India 1,678 2010

Uruguay 4 2000 Iran, Islamic Rep. 157 2020Virgin Islands (U.S.) 0.2 2005 Maldives 1 2035Venezuela 39 2005 Nepal 73 2040Other Latin America 0.3 2010 Pakistan 395 2035

Sri Lanka 31 2005

Latin America and

the Caribbean total 903 2025 South Asia total . 2,709 2040

Canada 29 2020 Bahrain 1 2010

United States (50 states) 279 2020 Cyprus 1 2000

Puerto Rico 5 2000 Gaza Strip 3 2040

Other North America 0.2 2020 Iraq 75 2025Israel 7 2005

North America total 313 2020 Jordan 12 2020

Kuwait 4 2010

America total- 1,216 2025 Lebanon 5 2010

Oman 5 2030

Qatar 1 2030Asia Saudia Arabia 61 2030

Brunei 0.5 2010 Syrian Arab Rep. 39 2020Burma 87 2020 Turkey 111 2010China (excl. Taiwan) (a) 1,683 2000 United Arab Emirates 3 2010

Hong Kong 7 2010 Yemen Arab Rep. 39 2040

Indonesia 363 2010 Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. 7 2035Japan 124 2020

Kampuchea, Dem. 20 2035 Southwest Asia total 376 2040Korea, Dem. People's Rep. 46 2010

Korea, Rep. 65 1985 Asia total 5,974 2040

Table 14. Stationary Population for All Countries (cont.)

Stationary Year Stationary Yearpopulation when population when

Country (millions) NRR=l Country (millions) NRR=l

Europe and U.S.S.R. Yugoslavia 27 2020Albania 6 2005 Other Europe 0.4 2020Austria 7 2020 U.S.S.R. 385 2020Belgium 9 2020

Bulgaria 10 2020 Europe and U.S.S.R. total 888 2020Channel Islands 0.1 2020Czechoslovakia 18 2020Denmark 4 2020 OceaniaFinland 5 2020 Australia 20 2020France 60 2020 Fiji 1 2015Germany, Fed. Rep. 44 2020 French Polynesia 0.5 2015Germany, Dem. Rep. 16 2020 Guam 0.3 2020Greece 11 2020 Kirabati 0.2 2030Hungary 10 2020 New Caledonia 0.3 2010Iceland 0.3 2020 New Zealand 4 2020Ireland 5 2020 Pacific Islands 0.4 2020

Italy 50 2020 Papua New Guinea 11 2030Luxembourg 0.3 2020 Solomon Islands 1 2035

Malta 0.4 2020 Tonga 0.3 2030Netherlands 13 2020 Vanuatu 0.6 2035

Norway 4 2020 Western Samoa 0.4 2015

Poland 48 2020 Other Micronesia 0.1 2020Portugal 12 2020 Other Polynesia 0.2 2010

Romania 27 2020

Spain 46 2020 Oceania total 41 2035

Sweden 7 2020Switzerland 6 2020United Kingdom 55 2020 World total 10,650 2040

Note: Populations of more than 1 million have been rounded to the nearest million.

(a) The data for Taiwan, China, are as follows: stationary population, 31 million; NRR = 1 by

1985. The tdtals for East and Southeast Asia, Asia, and the world include Taiwan.

Table 15. Population Projections for All Countries, 1985-2025 (thousands)

Country 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2

Africa

Botswana 1,070 1,259 1,480 1,712 1,954 2,202 2,452 2,690 2,

Burundi 4,696 5,43t 6,317 7,370 8,488 9,663 10,852 12,037 13,

Comoros 454 545 649 764 887 1,013 1,141 1,270 1,

Djibouti 339 398 470 551 644 747 859 975 1,

Ethiopia 42,271 49,102 56,733 65,073 74,017 83,429 93,037 102,729 112,

Kenya 20,375 24,947 30,333 36,452 43,110 49,875 56,566 63,340 69,,

Lesotho 1,545 1,765 2,024 2,302 2,600 2,903 3,209 3,522 3,

Madagascar 10,212 11,990 14,033 L6,330 18,868 21,560 24,222 26,965 29,

Malawi 7,044 8,257 9,726 11,351 13,116 14,978 16,855 18,725 20,

Mauritius 1,020 1,082 1,147 1,212 1,280 1,345 1,403 1,455 1,

Mozambique 13,791 15,876 18,426 21,480 24,737 28,093 31,432 34,749 38,

Namibia 1,127 1,314 1,522 1,749 1,993 2,249 2,503 2,765 3,

Reunion 531 572 614 654 690 722 751 777

Rwanda 6,026 7,151 8,627 10,240 12,014 13,933 15,929 17,969 20,

Seychelles 65 68 72 76 80 84 89 93

Somalia 5,384 6,238 7,278 8,462 9,795 11,248 12,769 14,247 15,

South Africa 32,432 36,516 40,707 45,008 49,409 53,877 58,292 62'426 66,

Swaziland 757 902 1,052 1,211 1,383 1,566 1,752 1,935 2,

Tanzania 22,242 26,574 31,541 37,046 43,076 49,473 55,768 62,346 8,

Uganda 14,680 17,237 20,132 23,374 26,944 30,692 34,359 38,182 12,

Zaire 30,557 35,632 41,268 47,392 53,884 60,453 66,980 73,591 79,

Zambia 6,704 8,001 9,483 11,126 12,922 14,820 16,695 18,657 20,

Zimbabwe 8,406 9,947 11,562 13,238 14,993 16,797 18,580 20,254 21,

East Africa total 231,728 270,807 315,195 :364,174 416,884 471,723 526,495 581,701 636,

Angola 8,754 10,015 11,558 13,266 15,115 17,075 19,094 21,036 23,

Benin 4,043 4,758 5,572 6,474 7,447 8,465 9,467 10,511 11,

Burkina Faso 7,885 9,054 10,487 12,101 13,885 15,830 17,868 19,862 21,

Cameroon 10,191 12,144 14,293 16,680 19,306 22,045 24,767 27,511 30,

Cape Verde 327 369 420 475 538 600 662 722

Central African Rep. 2,583 2,962 3,443 3,962 4,508 5,075 5,650 6,231 6,

Chad 5,018 5,673 6,445 7,281 8,182 9,142 10,131 11,096 12,

Congo, People's Rep. 1,872 2,240 2,689 3,176 3,684 4,190 4,681 5,168 5,

Cote d'Ivoire 10,072 12,001 14,123 16,412 18,816 21,196 23,488 25,803 28,

Equatorial Guinea 373 417 475 536 599 667 737 806

Gabon 997 1,135 1,313 1,500 1,693 1,900 2,117 2,342 2,

Gambia, The - 748 875 1,008 1,144 1,284 1,431 1,578 1,724 1,

Ghana 12,710 14,925 17,436 20,205 23,175 26,197 29,212 32,225 35,

Guinea 6,166 7,037 7,736 8,288 8,740 9,311 10,125 11,017 11,

Guinea-Bissau 886 981 1,097 1,226 1.365 1,512 1,663 1,814 1,

Liberia 2,204 2,605 3,053 3,546 4,087 4,661 5,226 5,813 6,

Mali 7,511 8,510 9,764 11,198 12,790 14,505 16,270 18,030 19,

Mauritania 1,693 1,924 2,219 2,555 2,927 3,318 3,714 4,107 4,

Niger 6,391 7,445 8,725 10,161 11,756 13,494 15,305 17,056 18,

Nigeria 99,669 118,255 139,575 163,484 189,416 216,530 242,946 270,371 297,

Sao Tome and Principe 108 124 140 157 174 191 207 221

Senegal 6,567 7,633 8,893 10,270 11,737 13,237 14,680 16,169 17,

Sierra Leone 3,657 4,140 4,714 5,339 6,021 6,759 7,536 8,318 0,Togo 3,038 3,576 4,189 4,872 5,611 6,387 7,149 7,941 3,Other West Africa 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10

West Africa total 203,469 238,804 279,374 324,316 372,864 423,723 474,280 525,906 577,

Table 15. Population Projections for All Countries, 1985-2025 (thousands) (cont.)

Country 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2

Algeria 2 25,503 29,429 33,585 37,893 42,287 46,601 50,678 54,Egypt, Arab Rep. 4 54,774 60,998 67,278 73,766 80,236 86,392 91,881 97,Libya 3,4 4,575 5,528 6,533 7,555 8,510 9,486 10,443 11,Morocco 21,925 254,811 27,978 31,267 34,561 37,774 40,915 43,910 46,Sudan 21,931 25,280 29,296 33,694 38,423 43,326 48,124 53,128 58;Tunisia 7,143 8,007 8,928 9,847 10,727 11,549 12,303 13,045 13,Other North Africa 155 179 208 240 274 311 348 384

North Africa total 125,326 143,129 162,365 182,444 203,200 223,993 244,168 263,469 281,

Africa total 560,523 652,741 756,933 870,933 992,948 1,119,439 1,244,943 1,371,076 1,495,

America

Antigua and Barbuda 80 85 92 101 109 116 123 128Argentina 30,564 32,686 34,668 36,581 38,441 40,171 41,832 43,,433 4,Bahamas 231 257 285 310 332 352 371 -390Barbados 253 259 263 270 279 287 295 -303Belize 166 193 222 253 283 309 333 357Bolivia 6,383 7,250 8,179 9,172 10,236 11,334 12,434 13,504 i'.Brazil 135,564 150,189 164,601 178,369 191,292 203,133 214,590 225,761 236.Chile 12,074 12,958 13,788 14,550 15,275 15,966 16,608 17,170 )7Colombia 28,418 31,171 34,028 36,831 39,438 41,784 44,032 46,235 '8:

Costa Rica 2,600 2,914 3,210 3,481 3,726 3,965 4,205 4,431 4Cuba 10,090 10,600 11,161 11,690 12,169 12,593 1,976 13,319 '3Dominica 78 83 87 92 100 107 114 120Dominican Rep. 6,416 7,176 7,933 8,655 9,326 9,939 10,550 11,173 1Ecuador 9,378 10,755 12,164 13,569 14,939 16,241 17,424 18,561 )9El Salvador 4,768 5,254 5,787 6,368 6,975 7,583 8,156 8,740 9Grenada 96 105 115 124 133 142 151 161Guadeloupe 334 340 350 362 375 389 404 418Guatemala 7,963 9,092 10,278 11,533 12,934 14,324 15,632 16,803 17Guyana 790 831 875 922 983 1,044 1,106 1,165 1Haiti 5,922 6,506 7,160 7,864 8,591 9,311 10,013 10,676 11Honduras 4,383 5,155 5,979 6,825 7,673 8,505 9,298 10,018 10Jamaica 2,227 2,365 2,531 2,698 2,856 3,011 3,173 3,339 3Martinique 328 331 337 343 350 357 367 377 -Mexico 78,820 88,928 99,408 109,861 119,665 128,483 137,018 145,615 153Montserrat - 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 14Netherlands Antilles 190 193 199 208 218 229 239 248Nicaragua 3,272 3,809 4,382 4,985 5,612 6,246 6,858 7,431 7Panama 2,180 2,397 2,604 2,791 2,978 3,167 3,347 3,511 3Paraguay 3,693 4,279 4,866 5,448 6,020 6,583 7,124 7,614 8Peru 18,612 20,725 22,953 25,182 27,300 29,255 31,002 32,703 34St. Kitts and Nevis 43 41 39 39 39 40 42 44St. Lucia 137 152 169 187 203 219 234 250St. Vincent and

Grenadines 117 127 138 149 160 171 182 192Suriname 393 440 488 533 575 613 651 692Trinidad and Tobago 1,185 1,287 1,385 1,476 1,563 1,648 1,733 1,812 1Uruguay 3,012 3,124 3,235 3,339 3,449 3,557 3,664 3,764 3

Country 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015. 2020

Virgin Islands (U.S.) 107 115 122 129 137 14 150 157

Venezuela 17,317 19,616 21,823 23,777 25,523 27,248 29,008 30,685 32,

Other Latin America 126 140 155 169 183 195 205 215

Latin America and

Caribbean total 398,322 441,939 486,071 529,250 570,451 608,774 645,658 681,530 715,

Canada 25,379 26,625 27,604 28,372 29,002 29,563 30,065 30,473 30,

United States 239,283 248,855 256,324 262,458 267,866 273,189 278,208 282,262 284,

Puerto Rico 3,361 3,536 3,703 3,860 4,014 4,172 4,331 4,476

Other North America 115 121 127 131 135 139 142 144

North America total 268,138 279,137 287,757 294,821 301,017 307,063 312,746 317,356 320,

America total 666,460 721,077 773,828 824,070 871,469 915,837 958,404 998,886 1,035,

AsiaBrunei 224 267 307 342 372 395 418 440

Burma 36,943 40,672 44,661 48,770 52,808 56,655 60,257 63,543 (6,

China (excl. Taiwan) (a) 1,040,035 1,115,552 1,198,155 1,Z74,411 1,335,522 1,386,424 1,436,893 1,489,293 1,537,

Hong Kong 5,423 5,797- 6,090 6,314 6,497 6,668 6,831 6,976

Indonesia 162,212 178,892 195,781 212,407 228,088 242,238 255,963 269,570 282

Japan 120,754 123,599 126,084 128,591 130,478 131,277 131,241 130,858 130,

Kampuchea, Dem. 7,282 8,173 9,029 9,732 10,335 11,009 11,792 12,608 13.

Korea, Dem. People's Rep. 20,385 22,792 25,210 27,534 29,696 31,651 33,535 35,398 37

Korea, Rep. of 41,056 43,768 46,619 49,368 51,848 53,976 55,823 57,516 19

Lao People's-Dem. Rep. 3,609 4,061 4,673 5,373 6,120 6,888 7,663 8,459 9

Macao 392 451 499 534 562 580 600 620

Malaysia 15,571 17,384 19,115 20,691 22,106 23,503 24,920 26,263 27

Mongolia 1,891 2,154 2,432 2,718 3,002 3,277 3,536 3,770 3

Philippines 54,725 61,500 68,377 75,327 82,160 88,600 94,383 99,878 105Singapore 2,558 2,694 2,820 2,926 3,023 3,110 3,185 3,239 3

Thailand 51,700 56,524 61,311 65,647 69,728 73,684 77,460 80,959 84

Viet Nam 61,689 70,217 79,121 87,887 96,341 104,370 111,792 119,057 126

East and Southeast

Asia total 1,645,857 1,775,250 1,912,316 2,041,804 2,153,109 2,249,870 2,342,882 2,435,917 2,522

Afghanistan 18,087 20,352 22,772 25,378 28,210 31,251 34,424 37,645 20Bangladesh 100,592 113,335 126,064 139,762 153,878 167,832 181,136 193,500 204

Bhutan 1,240 1,388 1,563 1,744 1,932 2,124 2,309 2,499

India 765,147 843,347 920,813 995,793 1,066,797 1,130,352 1,191,753 1,252,759 1,311

Iran, Islamic Rep. 44,632 52,049 60,636 69,331 77,680 85,589 93,369 100,646 107

Maldives 183 214 249 Z85 323 363 404 "7

Nepal 16,527 18,811 21,522 24,485 27,637 30,925 34,253 37,610 -1

Pakistan 96,180 111,611 128,473 146,-158 164,041 182,929 202,705 222,678 241

Sri Lanka 15,837 17,240 18,713 20,095 21,323 22,519 23,706 24,857

South Asia total 1,058,425 1,178,348 1,300,805 1.,423,031 1,541,821 1,653,883 1,764,060 1,372,640 1,977

Country . 1985 1990 1995 Z000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Babrain 417 486 549 604 685 721 756

Cyprus 665 697 723 747 I1 796 820 838Gaza Strip 492 559 648 763 898 1,051 1,214 1,375 1,

Iraq 15,898 19,086 22,929 27,096 31,405 35,495 39,631 43,654 's7;

Israel 4,233 4,579 4,910 5,234 5,539 5,834 6,108 6,371 6,

Jordan 3,505 4,140 4,816 5,514 6,214 6,890 7,524 8,098 8,

Kuwait 1,710 2,037 2,341 2,623 2,878 3,096 3,287 3,468 3,

Lebanon 2,668 2,651 2,768 2,947 3,138 3,321 3,518 3,726 3,

Oman 1,242 1,492 1,735 1,975 2,224 2,474 2,724 2,959 3,

Qatar 315 420 507 587 666 743 820 894

Saudi Arabia 11,542 14,062 17,011 20,215 23,576 26,938 30,221 33,518 36,

Syrian Arab Rep. 10,505 12,383 14,392 16,517 18,722 20,939 23,039 24,919 26,

Turkey 50,248 55,860 61,469 66,808 71,711 76,119 80,442 84,787 88

United Arab Emirates 1,374 1,660 1,903 2,102 2,250 2,378 2,492 2,600 21

Yemen Arab Rep. 7,955 9,183 10,689 12,335 14,109 15,977 17,875 19,789 21,

Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. 2,086 2,349 2,635 2,934 .3,248 3,576 3,908 4,235 4,

Southwest Asia total 114,855 131,646 150,028 169,000 187,995 206,311 224,345 241-,987 758

Asia total 2,819,137 3,085,244 3,363,149 3,633,835 3,882,925 4,110,064 4,331,286 4,550,544 1!,75P

Europe and USSR

Albania 2,962 3,291 3,606 3,893 4,147 4,389 4,633 4,867

Austria 7,555 7,548 7,539 7,540 7,513 7,480 7,450 7,413 7Belgium 9,857 9,865 9,844 9,825 9,776 9,713 9,650 9,594 9

Bulgaria 8,957 9,062 9,152 9,243 9,302 9,338 9,363 9,392 9,

Channel Islands 130 131 131 131 130 129 128 127

Czechoslovakia 15,493 15,692 15,934 16,322 16,622 16,831 17,023 17,215 17.

Denmark 5,114 5,088 5,057 5,036 5,008 4,969 4,921 4,864 4.

Finland 4,908 5,010 5,076 5,119 5,143 5,159 5,171 5,168 5France 55,172 56,414 57,623 58,767 59,615 60,306 60,891 61,425 61

German Dem. Rep. 16,644 16,664 16,660 16,677 16,685 16,681 16,649 16,575 16,

Germany, Fed. Rep. 61,015 60,362 59,623 58,952 57,962 56,776 55,498 54,144 02

Greece 9,935 10,139 10,316 10,476 10,600 10,683 10,741 10,797 10

Hungary 10,649 10,567 10,509 10,508 10,482 10,424 10,350 10,273 io

Iceland . 241 255 267 278 288 298 307 316

Ireland - 3,552 3,705 3,865 4,018 4,179 4,335 4,483 4,620

Italy 57,128 57,299 57,414 57,691 57,703 57,438 56,989 56,502 56

Luxembourg 366 365 364 362 358 354 349 343

Malta 358 355 355 359 363 366 368 368

Netherlands 14,484 14,766 14,990 15,169 15,263 15,302 15,305 15,278 i5

Norway 4,153 4,200 4,239 4,276 4,302 4,321 4,341 4,357

Poland 37,203 38,479 39,749 40,787 41,811 42,796 43,670 44,391 -

Portugal 10,229 10,504 10,790 11,078 11,341 11,567 11,769 11,957

Romania 22,740 23,295 23,843 24,413 24,891 25,260 25,553 25,818 2;

Spain 38,602 39,859 40,981 42,068 43,044 43,815 44,425 45,001 5

Sweden 8,350 8,344 8,325 8,309 8,278 8,246 8,212 8,166

Switzerland 6,458 6,499 6,523 6,537 6,519 6,482 6,434 6,378

United Kingdom 56,543 56,645 56,774 56,880 56,845 56,832 56,886 56,966 56Yugoslavia 23,123 23,796 24,325 24,829 25,254 25,580 25,826 26,034,

Country - 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 20

[ Other Europe 253 264 276 287 298 307 318 329 3

U.S.S.R. 277,420 288,561 298,392 307,737 316,421 324,217 331,606 337,963 344,1

Europe and USSR total 769,594 787,025 802,540 817,567 830,143 840,392 849,308 856,639 863,0

OceaniaAustralia 15,752 16,745 17,550 18,169 18,697 19,159 19,573 19,915 20,1

Fiji 697 743 794 848 901 954 1,008 1,058 1,l

French Polynesia 175 204 234 265 294 317 338 358 1

Guam 123 138 152 166 179 192 203 214 2

Kiribati 64 69 75 81 88 95 102 109 1New Caledonia 149 160 172 184 198 209 220 231

New Zealand 3,254 3,356 3,458 3,559 3,653 3,743 3,832 3,910 3,9

Pacific Islands 148 164 182 203 227 250 272 291

Papua New Guinea 3,511 3,943 4,403 4,888 5,393 5,910 6,427 6,926

Solomon Islands 273 325 383 447 517 591 669 747 8

Tonga 97 104 113 123 133 143 155 167 1

Vanuatu 131 151 174 198 224 252 283 314 3

Western Samoa 160 167 177 192 208 224 240 256

Other Micronesia 23 25 28 30 33 35 37 39

Other Polynesia 70 75 81 88 96 103 110 117 1

Oceania total 24,627 26,368 27,975 29,440 30,839 32,179 33,470 34,653 35,6

World total 4,840,341 5,272,455 5,724,425 6,175,845 6,608,323 7,017,912 7,417,411 7,811,797 8,187,6

Growth rate (%) (b) 1.71 1.64 1.52 1.35 1.20 1.11 1.04 0.94

(a) The data for Taiwan, China, are as follows: 19.408 million in 1985; 20.753 million in 1990; 22.033 millioy ir1995; 23.233 million in 2000; 24.423 million in 2005; 25.564 million in 2010; 26.589 million in 2015; 27.470million in 2020; 28.226 million in 2025.

- (b) Average annual growth rate over each five-year period. The projected average annual growth rate for 1985-20C

1.62 percent. The projected rate for 2000-2025 is 1.13 percent.

Table 16. Economies Classified According to Income Group (based on GNP per capita in 1985 U.S. dollars)

Low-income ($400 or less) Lower-middle income Upper-middle income High-income (oil exporters)

($401$1635) (more than $1,635)East Africa Bahrain

Burundi - East Africa East Africa KuwaitComoros - Botswana Reunion LibyaEthiopia Djibouti Seychelles QatarKenya Lesotho South Africa Saudi ArabiaMadagascar Mauritius United Arab EmiratesMalawi Namibia West AfricaMozambique Swaziland Gabon Industrial market economiecRwanda Zimbabwe Other West AfricaSomalia North AmericaTanzania West Africa North Africa CanadaUganda Cameroon Algeria United States (50 States)Zaire Cape Verde Puerto RicoZambia Congo, People's Rep. Latin America and the Caribbean Other North America

Cote d'Ivoire Antigua and BarbudaWest Africa Liberia Argentina Asia

Benin Mauritania Bahamas JapanBurkina Faso Nigeria BarbadosCentral African Rep. Brazil EuropeChad North Africa Guadeloupe AustriaEquatorial Guinea Egypt, Arab Rep. of Martinique BelgiumGambia, The Morocco Mexico Channel IslandsGhana Tunisia Montserrat DenmarkGuinea Other North Africa Netherlands Antilles FinlandGuinea-Bissau Other Latin America FranceMali Latin America and the Caribbean Panama Germany, Federal Rep.Niger Belize Suriname IcelandSao Tome and Principe Bolivia Trinidad and Tobago IrelandSenegal Chile Uruguay ItalySierra Leone Colombia Venezuela LuxembourgTogo Costa Rica Virgin Islands (U.S.) Netherlands

Dominica NorwayNorth Africa Dominican Rep. East and Southeast Asia Spain

Sudan Ecuador Brunei SwedenEl Salvador Hong Kong Switzerland

Latin America and the Caribbean Grenada Korea, Rep. of United KingdomHaiti Guatemala Macao

Guyana Malaysia OceaniaEast and Southeast Asia Honduras Singapore Australia

Burma Jamaica Taiwan, China New ZealandChina (excluding Taiwan) NicaraguaKampuchea, Dem. Paraguay South Asia Non-Reporting non-member Ecozomie-Lao People's Dem. Rep. Peru Iran, Islamic Rep. ofViet Nam St. Kitts and Nevis West Africa

St. Lucia Southwest Asia AngolaSouth Asia St. Vincent and the Grenadines CyprusAfghanistan Iraq Latin America and the CaribbeiBangladesh East and Southeast Asia Israel CubaBhutan Indonesia OmanIndia Philippines East and Southeast AsiaMaldives Thailand Europe Korea, Dea. People'sNepal Greece MongoliaPakistan Southwest Asia HungarySri Lanka Gaza Strip Malta Europe

Jordan Other Europe AlbaniaOceania Lebanon Poland BulgariaVanuatu Syrian Arab Rep. Portugal Czechoslovakia

Turkey Romania German Dem. Rep.Yemen Arab Rep. Yugoslavia USSRYemen People's Dem.

OceaniaOceania FijiKiribati French PolynesiaOther Micronesia GuamPacific Islands New Caledonia

Papua New Guinea Other PolynesiaSolomon IslandsTonga

Western Samoa

Table 17. Countries Classified According to Bank Region

Borrowers Asia CDIV East and Southeast AsiaCDI Cyprus Brunei

Sub-Saharan Africa - Bangladesh Hungary Hong KongCDI Bhutan Poland JapanBenin Nepal Portugal Korea, Dem. People's Rep. ofCameroon Sri Lanka Romania MacaoCentral African Rep. Yugoslavia MongoliaCongo, People's Rep. fCDII SingaporeCote d'Ivoire Burma JAC Taiwan, ChinaEquatorial Guinea Kampuchea, Dem. Latin America andGabon Korea, Rep. of Caribbean) Southwest AsiaGuinea Lao People's Dem. Rep. CDI Gaza StripTogo Malaysia Brazil Israel

PhilippinesCDII Thailand CDII Oceania

Ethiopia Viet Nam Costa Rica AustraliaKenya El Salvador French PolynesiaMauritius CDIII Guatemala GuamSomalia China (excluding Taiwan) Honduras New CaledoniaSudan Mexico New ZealandUganda CDIV Nicaragua Pacific Islands

India Panama Other MicronesiaCDIII Other PolynesiaBurundi CDV CDIIIComoros Fiji Antigua and Barbuda EuropeDjibouti Indonesia Bahamas AlbaniaMadagascar Kiribati Barbados AustriaRwanda Maldives Belize BelgiumSeychelles Papua New Guinea Bolivia BulgariaZaire Solomon Islands Colombia Channel Islands

Tonga Dominica CzechoslovakiaCDIV Vanuatu Dominican Rep. Denmark

Ghana Western Samoa Grenada FinlandGuinea-Bissau Guyana FranceLiberia EMENA Haiti German Dem. Rep.Nigeria (Europe, Middle East, Jamaica Germany, Federal Rep. ofSao Tome & Principe and North Africa) Montserrat GreeceSierra Leone CDI St. Kitts and Nevis Iceland

Pakistan St. Lucia IrelandCDV Turkey St. Vincent and the Grenadines Italy

Burkina Faso Suriname LuxembourgCape Verde CDII Trinidad and Tobago NetherlandsChad Algeria Venezuela NorwayGambia, The Libya SpainMali Malta CDIV SwedenMauritania Morocco Argentina SwitzerlandNiger Tunisia Chile United KingdomSenegal - Ecuador USSR

CDIII Paraguay Other EuropeCDVI Afghanistan Peru

Botswana Bahrain Uruguay Latin America and the CarxbbsLesotho Egypt, Arab Rep. of CubaMalawi Iran, Islamic Rep. of Non-borrowers GuadeloupeMozambique Iraq MartiniqueSwaziland Jordan Sub-Saharan Africa Netherlands AntillesTanzania Kuwait Angola Virgin Islands (U.S.)Zambia Lebanon Namibia Other Latin AmericaZimbabwe Oman Reunion

Qatar South Africa North AmericaSaudi Arabia Other West Africa CanadaSyria Puerto RicoUnited Arab Emirates North Africa United States of AmericaYemen Arab Rep. Other North Africa Other North AmericaYemen, People's Dem. Rep. of

Table 18. Countries Grouped in the "Other"Categories by Region

1985 Population

Countries (thousands)

West AfricaSt. Helena 7.0

North AfricaWest Sahara 155.0

Latin America and the Caribbean 126.0British Virgin Islands 13.0Cayman Islands 20.0Falkland Islands 2.0

French Guinana 83.0Turks and Caicos Islands 8.0

North America 115.0

Bermuda 56.0

Greenland 53.0

St. Pierre and Miquelon 6.0

Europe 253.0

Andora 35.0

Faeroe Islands 46.0

Gibraltar 29.0

Holy See 1.0Isle of Man 65.0

Liechtenstein 28.0

Monaco 27.0

San Marino 22.0

Oceania

Other Polynesia 70.0

America Samoa 36.0

Cook Islands 18.0

Niue 3.0

Wallis and Futuna Islands 13.0

Other Micronesia 23.1

Nauru 8.0

Tuvalu 8.0

Johnston Island 1.0

Midway Islands 2.0

Pitcairn 0.1

Tokelau Islands 2.0

Wake Island 2.0

Table Al. Sources of Population Data

Popu-Census lation

Country date (1000) * Source for 1985 population

Afghanistan Jun 79 13051 F Bank estimate of 1980 population (15,950) based on 1979)census with nomads (15,540) 23/6/79), and excluding

refugee movement to Pakistan which is assumedtemporary.

Albania Oct 60 1626 F PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).

Algeria Feb 77 16948 J Feb 1977 census projected to 1985, using official

estimate of growth rate (3.2%) for recent years.

American Samoa Apr 80 32 J US/BOC, 1985.Andorra Nov 54 6 F PVSR 7/86.

Angola Dec 70 5646 F UN 1964 revision.

Anguilla naAntigua and Barbuda Feb 81 66 F Bank estimate based on the 1984 official estimate (79)

from PVSR 7/86, and growth rate of 1.3%.

Argentina Oct 80 27947-F CELADE printout 2/87.

Australia Jun 81 14576 F PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate), de jure

population.

Austria May 81 7555 J PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).

Bahamas May 80 223 F PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).

Bahrain Apr 81 351 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Bangladesh Mar 81 87120 F 1981 census adjusted for underenumeration (3.3%) andprojected.

Barbados May 80 252 F Estimated, based on 1984 official estimate (253) and

1983-84 growth rate of 0.4%.

Belgium Mar 81 9849 J Estimated based on 1984 official estimate (9853) and

growth rate of 0.04%.

Belize May 80 143 F PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).

Benin Mar 79 3331 F March 1979 census projected to 1980 (3,464) and 1985,using Bank estimates of TFR and E(0).

Bermuda May 80 68 F UNDY, 1984 (official estimate).

Bhutan Dec 69 1035 F 1980 population based on government estimate (reportedlybased on 1980-81 census), 1985, Bank projection.

Bolivia Sep 76 4613 F UN 1984 revision.

Botswana Aug 81 941 F 1981 census projected backwards to 1980, then forward to1985, using official estimates of fertility, mortality,and migration for 1980-85 period.

Brazil Sep 80 121149 F UN 1984 revision.

British Virgin Islands May 80 12 F PVSR 4/87.

Brunei Aug 81 193 F PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).Bulgaria Dec 85 8948 F PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).

Burkina Faso Dec 85 7747 F Dec 1985 census adjusted to mid-1985.Burma Apr 83 35314 F April 1983 census projected to 1985, using Bank

estimates of TFR and E(0).Burundi Aug 79 4114 F 1979 census projected forward to 1980 and to 1985.Cameroon Apr 76 -7090 F April 1976 census corrected for underenumeration (7.40%)

and projected to 1980 and 1985.

Table Al. Sources of Population Data (cont.)

Census lationCountry date (1000) * Source for 1985 population

Canada Jun 81 24343 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).Cape Verde Jun 80 296 F Bank estimate.Cayman Islands Oct 79 17 FCentral African Rep. Dec 75 2055 F Dec 1975 census corrected for 11.3% underenumeration,

projected to 1980 and 1985.Chad Dec 63 3254 UN 1984 revision.

Channel Islands Apr 81 129 F PVSR 7/86.Chile Apr 82 11330 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

China Jul 82 1031883 F Official estimate for 1984 year-end pop. is 1,034,750,CBR=17.5,CDR=7,GR=1.08. Mid-1985 pop. obtained by addinLhalf year growth at the rate of 1.08 per year toyear-end'84 pop.

Colombia Oct 85 27867 J Official estimate as reported by Bank economist.Comoros Sep 80 386 Mid-1980 population estimated from census total-, then

projected to 1985.Congo, People's Rep. Jan 85 1854 Feb 1974 census (1300) projected to 1985 using Bank's

TFR and E(O).

Cook Islands Dec 81 18 F US/BOC, 1985.Costa Rica Jun 84 2417 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

C8te d'Ivoire Apr 75 6710 F April 1975 census projected to 1985 using Bank estimateof TFR and E(O).

Cuba Sep 81 9724 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Cyprus Sep 76 613 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Czechoslovakia Nov 80 15283 J Estimated from latest official estimate (PVSR 7/86) of

population 5/31/85 (15,476) and that of 12/31/85

(15,480).

Denmark Jan 81 5124 J PVSR 7/86.

Djibouti 60 81 F January 1983 census (excluding refugees in camp)

projected using growth rate for 1980-1985 of 3.2%.Dominica Apr 81 75 F April 1981 census projected to 1985 using growth rate of

1.32%.

Dominican Rep. Dec 81 5648 F CELADE printout 2/87.

Ecuador - Nov 82 8051 F UN 1984 revision.

Egypt, Arab Rep. of Nov 76 36626 F 1985 population obtained by projecting 1980 population(from UN 1984 revision) using growth rate of 2.53%.

El Salvador Jun 71 3555 F CELADE printout 2/87

Equatorial Guinea Dec 60 246 F Estimated, based on growth rate between 1960 census and1982 house listing count (300).

Ethiopia May 84 42169 F 1984 census projected forward using growth rate of 0.2%.

Faeroe Islands Sep 77 42 J PVSR 7/86.

Falkland Is. (Malvinas) Dec 80 2 F PVSR 4/87.

Fiji Sep 76 588 F PVSR 7/86.

Finland Nov 80 4785 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

France Mar 82 54335 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

French Guiana Mar 82 73 J UN 1985 printout.

Popu-Census lation

French Polynesia Oct 83 167 F 1983 census total adjusted to mid-year and thenprojected to 1985 using intercensal (1977-1983) growth

rate of 2.98%.

Gabon Oct 60 449 F Estimate based on unpublished Aug 1980 census (800) andindirect evidence of high immigration based on newprimary school entrants for 1980 to 1985.

Gambia, The Apr 83 696 F June 1983 census projected to 1985 using a growth rateof 3.3%.

Gaza Strip Sep 67 356 F Bank estimate, based on projection.

German Democratic Rep. Dec 81 16706 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Germany, Federal Rep. of May 70 60651 J PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).Ghana Mar 84 12206 F March 1984 census (12,205) and growth rate of 3.2%.

Gibraltar Nov 81 30 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Greece Apr 81 9740 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Greenland Oct 76 50 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Grenada Apr 81 89 F Provided by Bank economist. Pop.1983 was obtained,

using growth rate of 1.97% from 1983 figure.

Guadeloupe Mar 82 327 J UN 1935 Assessment.

Guam Apr 80 106 J 1984 official estimate (PVSR 7/86) projected to 1985using average growth rate of 2.87% for period 1980-84.

Guatemala Mar 81 6054 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Guinea Feb 83 5781 F 1983 census projected using growth rate of 2.33 (UN 198brevision).

Guinea-Bissau Apr 79 768 F April 1979 census, projected to 1985 using vital ratesof Guinea.

Guyana May 80 758 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Haiti Aug 82 5054 J CELALE printout 2/87.

Holy See Apr 48 1 F PVSR 7/86.

Honduras Mar 74 2657 J CELADE printout 2/87.

Hong Kong Mar 81 4987 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Hungary Jan 80 10709 F PVSR 7/86.

Iceland Dec 80 204 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

India Mar 81 685185 F 1981 census with official correction forunderenumeration, projected to 1985 using Bank estimateof fertility and mortality.

Indonesia Oct 80 147490 F Oct L980 census (not adjusted for undercount) projected

to 1985.Iran, Islamic Rep. of Nov 76 33709 F UN 1984 revision.

Iraq Oct 77 12000 F UN 1984 revision.

Ireland Apr 81 3443 F PVSR 4/87 (official estimate).Isle of Man Apr 86 64 J PVSR 7/86.

Israel Jun 83 4038 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Italy Oct 81 56557 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Jamaica Jun 82 2206 F 1980 population (official estimate) projected to 1985.Japan Oct 80 117060 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Census lation

Johnston Island Apr 70 1 F PVSR 6/86.

Jordan Nov 79 2133 F Census includes only the population of East Bank. 1980

population (UN, 1984 revision) projected with new

migration and TFR.

Kampuchea, Democratic Apr 62 5729 F 1980 population (UN 1984 revision) projected to 1985.

Kenya Aug 79 15327 F August 1979 census (adjusted for 5% undercount of

children) projected to 1980 and 1985).

Kiribati May 85 64 F PVSR 4/87 (official estimate).

Korea, Dem. People's Rep. May 44 na F 1980 population (UN 1984 revision) projected using UNTFR and E(0) for 1980-85.

Korea, Rep. of Nov 80 37436 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Kuwait Apr 85 1697 F Based on census using growth rate of 4.4%.

Lao, People's Dem. Rep. Mar 85 3585 F 1985 census projected using a growth rate of 2.0% for

the 4-month period after census date because of

migration.

Lebanon Nov 70 2126 F UN 1984 revision.

Lesotho Sep 76 1217 April 1986 census (1,578) projected backwards to

mid-1985.Liberia Feb 84 2102 F Feb 1974 census (1504) projected to 1985 using a growt)

rate of 3.35%.

Libya Jul 84 3637 J July 1984 census projected to 1985, using a growth ratcof 3.86% (UN 1984 revision).

Liechtenstein Dec 81 26 F PVSR 7/86.

Luxembourg Mar 81 365 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Macao Mar 81 242 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Madagascar 74-75 7604 F 1974/75 census projected using fertility and mortality

estimates from the Budget Survey.Malawi Sep 77 5547 F Nov 1977 census projected to 1985.Malaysia Jun 80 13183 F 1980 population (UN 1984 revision) projected using Ba)k

estimates of fertility and mortality.

Maldives Mar 85 181 F 1985 census projected to mid-year using intercensal

growth rate of 3.3%.

Mali Dec 76 6395 F Dec 1976 census projected backwards to 1975, thenforward to 1980, and 1985.

Malta Nov 67 316 F Bank estimate based on official estimate of 360 for 1982and very significant net emigration rate.

Martinique Mar 82 327 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Mauritania Dec 76 1420 1976 census (included 539,000 nomads, but excluded67,000 "transhumants", who are "I'etrangers" butMauritanian nationality) projected, using Bankestimates of TFR and E(0).

Mauritius Dec 83 1000 PVSR 4/87 (official estimate).

Mexico Jun 80 66847 J 1980 population (UN 1984 revision) projected to 1985.

Midway Islands Apr 70 2 F PVSR 7/86.

Monaco Mar 82 27 J PVSR 7/86.

Census lation

Country - date (1000) * Source for 1985 population

Mongolia Jan 79 1595 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Montserrat May 80 12 F UN 1984.

Morocco Sep 82 20420 F Sept 1982 census projected to 1985.

Mozambique Aug 80 11674 Aug 1980 census (adjusted for 4% underenumeration)

projected backwards to mid-1985 using a growth rate of

2.6%, then forward to 1985.

Namibia May 70 762 1981 census projected backwards to mid-1980 and then

forward to 1985.

Nauru Jan 77 7 F PVSR 1/37.

Nepal Jun 81 15023 J June 1931 census projected to 1985 using Bank estimates

of TFR and E(0).

Netherlands Antilles Feb 81 172 J Bank estimate.

Netherlands, The Feb 71 13060 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

New Caledonia Apr 83 145 F 1983 census projected using intercensal growth rate of

1.25%.

New Zealand Mar 81 3176 F PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).

Nicaragua Apr 71 1878 J UN 1984 revision.

Niger Nov 77 5098 0 Nov.. 1977 census projected to 1980 and to 1985.

Nigeria Nov 63 55670 F Bank projection based on official government data.

Niue Sep 76 4 F PVSR 4)'87 (latest official estimate).

Norway Nov 80 4091 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Oman Jun 81 15023 F UN 1984 revision.

Pacific Is., Trust Terri. Sep 80 133 J Pop 1983 (PVSR 1/87) projected to 1985 using growth rate

of 2.2% (US/BOC, 1985).

Pakistan Mar 81 84254 F Federal Bureau of Statistics.

Panama May 80 1825 F UN 1984 revision.

Papua New Guinea Sep 80 3011 F UN 1984 revision.

Paraguay Jul 82 3035 F CELADE printout 2/87.

Peru Jul 81 17005 F Bank estimate using growth rate of 2.3% (from Census

data) and Bank estimates of TFR and E(0).

Philippines May 80 48098 J Based on 1980 population, using Bank estimate of TFR andE(0) and net emigration of 250,000.

Pitcairn Island Dec 85 .. F PVSR 1/87.

Poland Dec 78 35061 J Statistical Year Book, Government of Poland.

Portugal Mar 81 9833 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Puerto Rico Apr 80 3197 F Estimated, using the average growth rate of 1980-84(PVSR 7/84; 4/85; 7/86).

Qatar May 70 111 PVSR 4/87 (estimate).

Reunion Mar 82 516 J March 1982 census projected using a growth rate of1.04%.,

Romania Jan 77 21560 F Estimated from 1984 official figure of 22,625 (PVSR

7/86) plus natural increase for one year (117,000) andnet emigration for one year (200).

Rwanda Aug 78 4800 J Based on 1970 survey and Aug 1978 census.

San Marino Nov 76 19 F PVSR 7/86.

Census lation

Country - date (1000) * Source for 1985 population

Sao Tom4 and Principe Sep 70 73811 F PVSR 1/87.Saudi Arabia Sep 74 7013 F UN 1984 revision.Senegal Sep 76 4908 F Situation Economique du Senegal, 1985.Seychelles Aug 77 61898 F PVSR 4/87.

Sierra Leone Dec 85 3516 F Census adjusted for 5% underenumeration and projectedbackwards.

Singapore Jun 80 2414 F PVSR 7/87 (official estimate).

Solomon Islands Feb 76 197 F US/BOC, 1985.

Somalia Feb 75 3253 F 1975 census inflated by 20% (Govt. estimate) for

underenumeration and projected to 1980 and 1985 (growth

rate 1975-80=2.6% and 1980-85=2.8%)

South Africa May 80 25017 May 1980 census increased to 28,544 to cover excludedareas and underenumeration, then projected to 1985 usinggrowth rate of 2.51%.

Spain Mar 81 37746 F PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).

Sri Lanka Mar 81 14847 F PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).St. Helena Oct 76 5 J PVSR 4/87.

St. Kitts and Nevis May 80 44 F Statistics Office, Planning Unit (official estimate).

St. Lucia May 80 115 F 1984 population (official estimated from economist

projected using 1983-84 growth rate of 2.0%.

St. Pierre and Miquelon Mar 82 6 F PVSR 4/87.

St. Vincent May 80 98 F Estimated using 1983 population (Report No. 5241-STV,1984) and growth rate of 1.2%.

Sudan Feb 83 20564 F Feb 1983 census projected to mid 1985, using a Bankestimated growth rate of 2.71%.

Suriname Jul 80 352 F UN 1984 revision.

Swaziland Aug 76 6366 F PHN Sector Report 1984.

Sweden Sep 80 8320 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Switzerland Dec 80 6366 J Estimated from official 1984 population, 6442 (PVSR7/86) by adding natural increase for one year.

Syrian Arab Rep. Sep 81 9053 F 1980 population estimated from census using growth rateof 3.54% (UN). 1985 population projected from 1980.

Taiwan Dec 80 17969 F Based on 1980 census and projected (official 1981 CBR

23, CDR = 4.8).Tanzania Aug 78 17513 F Aug 1978 census projected to 1980 and 1985.

Thailand Apr 80 44825 J Population and Manpower Planning Division (Bank ReportNa. 6036-TH, Vol 3, 1986).

Togo Nov 81 2705 F Nov 1981 census projected to 1985.

Tokelau Oct 82 2 F PVSR 1/87.

Tonga Nov 76 90 J PVSR 4/87 (official estimate).

Trinidad and Tobago May 80 1080 F UN 1984 revision.

Tunisia Mar 84 6966 F March 1984 census projected to 1985 using growth rate of

2.39%.

Turkey Oct 80 44737 F Based on 1985 census.

Turks and Caicos Is. May 80 7 F PVSR 4/87.

Census lationCountry - date (1000) * Source for 1985 population

Tuvalu May 79 7 F PVSR 1/87.Uganda Jan 80 0 F Official estimate as reported by economist.

United Arab Emirates Dec 80 1043 F Dec 1980 census projected to 1985 using growth rate of6.04%.

United Kingdom Apr 81 55678 F Estimated from official 1984 figure (56,488) by addingnaturaL increase for one year (PVSR 7/86).

United States of America Apr 80 226546 F PVSR 7(86 (official estimate).

Uruguay Oct 85 2931 F CELADE printout 2/87.

USSR Jan 79 262436 F 1984 population (PVSR 7/86, latest official data)

projected, adding natural increase and subtracting 6000migrants.

Vanuatu Jan 79 111 F Bank projection.

Venezuela Oct 81 14517 F UN 1984 revision.

Viet Nam Oct 79 52742 F 1980 population estimated from adjusted census total

(53,248), and projected to 1985.

Virgin Islands (US) Apr 80 97 J US/BOC, 1985.

Wake Island Apr 70 2 F PVSR 1/87.

Wallis and Futuna Mar 69 9 F US/BOC, 1985.

Western Sahara Dec 70 76 F PVSR 4/87.

Western Samoa Nov 81 156 F US/BOC, 1985Yemen, Arab Rep. of Feb 86 9274 F Bank estimate based on official 1980 mid-year estimate

projected using growth rate of 2.45%.

Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. May 73 1590 J Bank estimate based on unofficial results of theAgricultural Survey.

Yugoslavia Mar 81 22425 J PVSR 7/86 (official estimate).

Zaire Jul 84 29671 F July 1984 census projected using growth rate of 2.94%.

Zambia Sep 80 5680 F Central Statistical Office.

Zimbabwe Aug 82 7550 F Bank estimate, based on Aug 1982 census.

* Nature of estimate: de jure (J) or de facto (F).

Less than 500 people.

na Not available.

Abbreviations:

CELADE Centro Latino Americano de DemografiaPHN Population, Health and Nutrition Department, World Bank

PVSR Population Vital Statistics Report

SSA Sub-Saharan AfricaUNDY United Nations Demographic Year Book

US/BOC U.S. Bureau of the Census

Table A2. Sources of Fertility Data

Country Source

Afghanistan Bank estimate

Albania 1980-85 based on official vital statistics, but adjusted to coincide withobserved growth rate, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Algeria 1980-1985 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.American Samoa Bank estimate.Andorra Bank estimate.Angola Bank estimate.Anguilla Bank estimate.

Antigua and Barbuda 1980-85 derived from CBR = 15 (PVSR 7/86), 1985-90 Bank projection.

Argentina 1980-85 from 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Australia PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).

Austria Derived from official estimate of CBR = 11.5 for 1985 and adjusted to

produce the given growth rate.

Bahamas Derived from official birth rate of 23.2 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Bahrain 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Bangladesh Bank estimate based on different survey results (Census Analytical Report)

and contraceptive prevalence rate.

Barbados 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Belgium Derived from CBR = 11.5 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Belize Derived from CBR = 38 for 1985 (US/BOC, 1985).

Benin Estimated from World Fertility Survey (1979).

Bermuda Bank estimate.

Bhutan Same as Nepal: provides the observed growth rates.

Bolivia UN 1984 revision. Small difference in 1985 is due to difference inmethodology.

Botswana Estimated from official data (Statistical Bulletin , March 1985, CSO,Botswana).

Brazil 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

British Virgin Islands Bank estimate.Brunei Estimated, using a reported CBR of 29.8 for 1985.

Bulgaria Estimated from reported CBR = 13.2 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86) and CBR = 13.98 for1980-84.

Burkina Faso Bank source (SSA Background Paper).

Burma For 1980-1985 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-1990 Bank projection.

Burundi Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper) using national survey results (1965,70/71, 79 census, 79 post-censal demographic survey).

Cameroon TFR of 6.5 for 1975-80 and 1980-85 from World Fertility Survey, assumed to

increase to 6.75 during 1985-90 due to reduction in sterility.

Canada Official estimate. (UNDY 1984).

Cape Verde Bank estimate based on CBR given by government.

Cayman Islands Bank estimate.

Central African Rep. Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).

Chad UN 1984 revision.

Channel Islands Estimated using CBR = 11.9 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Chile UN 1984 with slight adjustment for official estimate of CBR.

China Estimated, using CBR of 19.3.

Table A2. Sources of Fertility Data (cont.)

Country Source

Colombia From economist.

Comoros From PHN sector report.

Congo, People's Republic Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).

Cook Islands Bank estimate.

Costa Rica UN 1984 revision for 1980-85, 1985-90 Bank projection.

C8te d'Ivoire Bank estimate (Sector Report).

Cuba UN 1984 revision.

Cyprus UN 1984 revision.

Czechoslovakia Derived from CBR = 15.28 (1980-1984) and CBR = 14.5 (1985).

Denmark Derived from CBR = 10.1.

Djibouti Ethiopian rates used.

Dominica 1980-85 based on informaticn given to economist by Ministry of Health, 1985-

90 Bank projection.

Dominican Republic CELADE printout 2/87.

Ecuador 1980-85 data from 1984 UN revision. 1985-90 Bank projection.

Egypt, Arab Republic Based on official CBR, using UN age fertility and distribution.

El Salvador CELADE printout 2/87Equatorial Guinea UN assessment, 1985.

Ethiopia From pre-famine UN estimate.

Faeroe Islands Bank estimate.Falkland Is. (Malvinas) Bank estimate.

Fiji Derived from CBR = 28.4 for 1984 (UNDY 1984).

Finland Derived from CBR = 13.3 (1984).

France Derived from CBR = 13.9 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

French Guiana Bank estimate.

French Polynesia Derived from CBRs = 30.2 for 1984 (PVSR 1/87) ahd 29 for 1985 (US/BOC,

1985).Gabon Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).

Gambia, The Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).

Gaza Strip UN 1984 revision.

German Democratic Republic Derived from CBR = 13.7 (1985).

Germany, Federal Republic Derived from CBR = 9.6 (1985).

Ghana 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, assuming declining fertility during 1985-90.

Gibraltar Bank estimate.

Greece - Derived from CBR = 11.7 (1.985).

Greenland Bank estimate.

Grenada Figures interpolated, using 1980-85 and 1985-90 figures from 1985 World

Population Projections.

Guadeloupe UN 1984 revision.

Guam Estimated to get desired CBR.

Guatemala 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projections.

Guinea UN 1984 revision.

Guinea-Bissau Same as Guinea

Guyana UN 1984 revision.

Haiti CELADE printout 2/87.

Holy See Bank estimate.

Table AZ. Sources of Fertility Data (cont.)

Country Source

Honduras CELADE printout 2/87.

Hong Kong Estimated with CBR = 16.0.Hungary Derived from CBR = 11.7 (1985).

Iceland Derived from CBR = 15.9 (1985).India Adjusted SRS rate (World Bank staff working paper No.699).Indonesia Bank estimate based on census age data, TFR and contraceptive prevalence

rate from a sample survey.

Iran, Islamic Republic UN 1984 revision.

Iraq UN 1984 revision.

Ireland Derived from CBR = 17.5, 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Isle of Man Bank estimate.

Israel Estimated, based on official vital statistics.

Italy Derived from CBR = 10.1 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Jamaica Derived from CBR = 24.3 for 1985 (from economist).Japan Estimated from reported CBR of 12.9 for 1980-85.

Johnston Island Bank estimate.Jordan Based on World Fertility Survey (1976 TFR=7.7) Demographic Survey (1981

TFR=7.1), Manpower Survey (1982 TFR=6.6) and Family Health Survey (1983TFR=6.6).

Kampuchea, Democratic UN assessment, 1984.

Kenya 1980-85 based on various national surveys, 1985-90 Bank projection, assumingsame recent decline in fertility.

Kiribati Estimated from CBR = 34 for 1985 (US/BOC, 1985).Korea, Dem. People's Rep. UN 1984 assessment.Korea, Rep. of UN 1984 assessment.

Kuwait Derived from official CBR = 35.55 (1980-85).Lao People's Dem. Republic Bank estimate.

Lebanon UN 1984 assessment.Lesotho From 1977 World Fertility Survey, assuming a very small decrease for 1985-

Liberia UN 1984 revision.Libya UN 1984 revision.Liechtenstein Bank estimate.

Luxembourg Derived from CBR = 11.1 (1985).Macao Derived from CBR = 23 for 1985 (US/BOC, 1985).

Madagascar Bank estimate based on 1980 survey.

Malawi Based on information from 1977 census Analytical Report

Malaysia 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, adjusted slightly for migration, 1985-90 Bankprojection.

Maldives Bank estimate.

Mali Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper, based on 1960/61 survey and 1976 censusage data).

Malta Derived from CBR = 14.2 (1985).Martinique 1980-85 from UN assessment, 1985, 1985-90 adjusted to get desired CBR.

Mauritania Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper based on 1965 survey and 1957 survey ofFonta Zore region).

Country - Source

Mauritius Estimated using the official CBR = 19 for 1985.Mexico 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Midway Islands Bank estimate.Monaco Bank estimate.Mongolia UN 1984 revision.

Montserrat Bank estimate.

Morocco 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90, bank projection.

Mozambique Estimated to get specific growth rate.

Namibia UN 1984 revision.

Nauru Bank estimate.

Nepal 1980-85 from UN 1984 assessment, Bank projection for 1985-90.

Netherlands Antilles Based on 1985 estimate of CBR from US/BOC, 1985.

Netherlands, The Derived from CBR = 12.1 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

New Caledonia 1980-85 from PVSR, 1984 special supplement, Bank projection for 1985-90.

New Zealand Derived from CBR = 15.9 (PVSR 7/86).

Nicaragua 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision. 1985-90 Bank projection.

Niger Bank estimate (SSABP based on 1959/60 survey and 1977 census age data[).Nigeria Official estimate (from economist).

Niue Bank estimate.

Norway Derived from CBR = 12.4 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Oman UN 1984 revision.Pacific Is., Trust Terr. 1980-85 based on US/BOC sources, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Pakistan World Fertility Survey for 1980-85, assuming low decline for 1985-90.

Panama 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Papua New Guinea UN 1984 revision.

Paraguay CELADE printout 2/87

Peru 1980-85 Bank estimate, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Philippines Bank estimate based on National Demographic Survey (1983).Pitcairn Island Bank estimate.

Poland Derived from CBR = 18.2, 1.985 (PVSR 7/86).

Portugal Derived from CBR = 12.3, 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Puerto Rico 1980-85 from PVSR (1984 special supplement), 1985-90 Bank projection).

Qatar UN 1984 revision.

Reunion Based on official data.

Romania Derived from CBR = 15.5, 1984 (PVSR 7/86).

Rwanda Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).

San Marino - Bank estimate.

Sao Tom6 and Principe 1980-85 estimated from CBR = 38.7 for 1980-85 (PVSR, 1984 special

supplement) 1985-90 Bank projection.Saudi Arabia 1980-85 UN 1984 revision. 1985-90 Bank projection.

Senegal Bank estimate, average of 1978 World Fertility Survey fertility rate (7.15)

and 1970-71 survey rate (6.16).

Seychelles 1980-85 estimated from CBRs (PVSR 1984 Special Supplement and PVSR 1985-87).

Sierra Leone Based on 1974 census data.

Singapore Based on official estimate of birth rate.

Solomon Islands US/BOC, 1985.

Country Source

Somalia Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).South Africa UN 1984 revision.Spain Derived from CBR = 12.5 (1983).

Sri Lanka Official estimate.

St. Helena Bank estimate.

St. Kitts and Nevis Based on official data (Statistics Office, Planning Unit and ECCM

Secretariat).

St. Lucia Based on official data (Government Statistical Office and DECS).

St. Pierre and Miquelon Bank estimate.

St. Vincent 1980-85 from Bank report (No. 5241 - STV, 1984) 1985-90 Bank projection.Sudan 1980-85 from the UN 1984 revision. 1985-90, Bank projection.

Suriname UN 1982 revision.

Swaziland Bank estimate.

Sweden Derived from CBR = 11.8, 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Switzerland Derived from CBR = 11.6 (PVSR 7/86).

Syrian Arab Republic 1980-85 UN 1984 revision. 1985-90 Bank projection.

Taiwan Derived from CBR = 19.0 (US/BOC, 1985).

Tanzania Bank estimate (SSA Bank paper).

Thailand 1980-85 official estimate (NESDB, Thailand), TFR 1985-90 adjusted upward to

get r = 1.95%.

Togo Estimated from 1961 and 1971 census data.

Tokelau Bank estimate.

Tonga 1980-85 based on CBR, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Trinidad and Tobago 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, Bank projection for 1985-90.

Tunisia 1980-85 from the UN 1984 revision, Bank projection for 1985-90.

Turkey 1980-85 from UN 1983 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Turks and Caicos Is. Bank estimate.

Tuvalu Bank estimate.

Uganda Bank estimates, based on the population growth rate of 3%.

United Arab Emirates 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projections.

United Kingdom Derived from CBR = 12.9.

United States of America TFR 1981-84 from UN/BOC 1985, #980. CBR 1985 from PVSR 7/1986 (official).

Uruguay 1980-85 from CELADE printout 2/87, 1985-90 Bank projection.

USSR Bank estimate based on official CBR.

Vanuatu Bank estimate.

Venezuela 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, Bank projection for 1985-90.

Viet Nam Bank estimate for 1980-85 and then projected to 1985-90.

Virgin Islands (US) Derived from CBR = 25 for 1985 (US/BOC, 1985).

Wake Island Bank estimate.

Wallis and Futuna Bank estimate.

Western Sahara Bank estimate.

Western Samoa US/BOC, 1985.

Yemen, Arab Republic Based on World Fertility Survey.

Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. Bank estimate to reconcile with population growth rates and rates in

neighboring states.

Yugoslavia Derived from CBR = 15.9 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Country Source

Zaire UN 1984 revision.

Zambia 1980-85 Bank estimate (PHN Sector Report, Oct., 1983), 1985-90 Bank

projection.Zimbabwe Bank estimate based on past rates and recent CPR of 26%.

For notes and abbreviations, see Table Al.

Table A3. Sources of Mortality Data

Country Source

Afghanistan Bank estimate

Albania 1980-85 based on official vital statistics, but adjusted to coincide with

observed growth rate, 1985-90 Bank projection.Algeria 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

American Samoa Bank estimate.

Andorra Bank estimate.

Angola Bank estimate.Anguilla Bank estimate.Antigua and Barbuda 1980-85 derived from CDR = 5.2 (PVSR 7/86), 1985-90 Bank projection.

Argentina 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.Australia PVSR 7/86 (latest official estimate).

Austria Derived from official estimate of CDR = 11.8 for 1985, and adjusted toproduce the given growth rate.

Bahamas Derived from official CDR of 5.6 for 1985 (PVSR 4/87).

Bahrain 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Bangladesh Bank estimate with adjustment of survival ratio, and using the M:F ratio

from Census Analytical Report.Barbados 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Belgium Derived from CDR = 11.2, 1985 (PVSR 7/86).Belize Derived from CDR = 7 for 1985 (US/BOC, 1985).Benin Estimated from child survival data from WFS (1979).

Bermuda Bank estimate.

Bhutan Estimated from rough estimate of CDR of 21 for 1980-85.

Bolivia UN 1984 revision. Small difference in 1985 is due to difference in

methodology.

Botswana Estimated from official data (Statistical Bulletin, March 1985, CSO,Botswana).

Brazil 1980-85 from UN revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

British Virgin Islands Bank estimate.

Brunei Estimated, using a reported CDR of 3.9 for 1985.

Bulgaria Estimated from CDR = 12.0 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86) and CDR = 11.23 for 1980-84

Burkina Faso Bank Source (SSA Background Paper).

Burma 1980-85 from UN 1984 revision, 1985-90, Bank projection.

Burundi Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).

Cameroon Bank estimate based on WFS Child survival rates.

Canada Official estimate. (UNDY, 1984).

Cape Verde Bank estimate based on CDR given by government.

Cayman Islands Bank estimate.

Central African Rep. Estimated from child survival data in the 1975 census.

Chad UN 1984 revision.

Channel Islands Estimated, using CDR"= 11.4 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Chile UN 1984 revision with slight adjustment for official estimate of CDR.

China Estimated, using CDR of 6.6.

Colombia From economist.

Comoros PHN sector report.

Congo, People's Rep. Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).

Table A3. Sources of Mortality Data (cont.)

Country Source

Cook Islands Bank estimate.Costa Rica 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projections.C8te d'Ivoire Bank estimate (Sector Report).Cuba UN 1984 revision.Cyprus UN 1984 revision.Czechoslovakia Derived from CDR = 11.8 (1985).Denmark Derived from CDR = 11.2.Djibouti Ethiopian rates used.

Dominica 1980-85 based on information given to economist by MOH, 1985-90 Bank

projection.Dominican Republic CELADE printout 2/87.Ecuador 1980-85 data from 1984 UN revision. 1985-90 Bank projection.Egypt, Arab Republic Based on official CDR.

El Salvador CELADE printout 2/87.

Equatorial Guinea UN assessment, 1984.

Ethiopia Bank estimate, sector report.

Faeroe Islands Bank estimate.Falkland Is. (Malvinas) Bank estimate.

Fiji Bank estimate.Finland Derived from CDR - 9.2 for 1984.

France Derived from CDR = 10.1 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).French Guiana Bank estimate.

French Polynesia Derived from CDRs = 5.2 for 1984 (PVSR 1/87) and 5.0 for 1985 (US/BOC,1985).

Gabon Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).

Gambia, The Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).Gaza Strip UN 1984 revision.

German Democratic Rep. Derived from CDR = 13.57 f:r 1985.

Germany, Federal Rep. Derived from CDR = 11.5 for 1985.

Ghana UN 1984 revision.Gibraltar Bank estimate.

Greece Derived from CDR - 9.3 (1985).Greenland Bank estimate.Grenada Figures interpolated, using 1980-85 and 1985-90 figures from 1985 World

- Population Projections.Guadeloupe UN 1984 revision.Guam Estimated to get desired CDR.Guatemala 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projections.Guinea UN 1984 revision.Guinea-Bissau Same as Guinea.Guyana UN 1984 revision.Haiti CELADE printout 2/87.Holy See Bank estimate.Honduras CELADE printout 2/87.Hong Kong Estimated from CDR = 4.9.Hungary Derived from CDR = 13.7 (1985).

Country Source

Iceland Derived from CDR = 7.1 (1985).

India Adjusted SRS rate.

Indonesia Based on census.

Iran, Islamic Republic UN 1984 revision.

Iraq UN 1984 revision.

Ireland Derived from CDR = 9.0, 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Isle of Man Bank estimate.

Israel Estimated, based on official statistics.

Italy Derived from CDR = 9.5 for 1985, (PVSR 7/85).Jamaica UN assessment, 1984.

Japan Estimated on the basis of reported CDR = 6.2 for 1980-85.

Johnston Island Bank estimate.

Jordan UN 1984 revision.

Kampuchea, Democratic UN assessment, 1984.

Kenya 1980-85 based on various national surveys and 1985-90 Bank projection,

assuming smooth future increase.

Kiribati Estimated from CDR = 14 for 1985 (US/BOC, 1985).

Korea, Dem. People's Rep. UN 1984 revision.

Korea, Rep. of UN 1984 revision.

Kuwait Derived from official CDR = 3.2 (1980-84).Lao People's Dem. Rep. Bank estimate.

Lebanon UN 1984 assessment.

Lesotho From 1977 WFS, E(0) assumed to increase at normal rate.

Liberia UN 1984 revision.

Libya UN 1984 revision.

Liechtenstein Bank estimate.

Luxembourg- Derived from CDR = 10.8 (1985).

Macao Derived from CDR = 6 for 1985 (US/BOC, 1985).

Madagascar Bank estimate using 1980 and 1984 surveys.

Malawi Bank estimate using 1977 census data (SSA Background Paper).

Malaysia 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Maldives Bank estimate.

Mali Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper, using 1960/61 survey and 1976 census

age data).

Malta - Derived from CDR = 7.4 (1985).

Martinique 1980-85 UN assessment, 1985. 1985-90 Bank projection.

Mauritania Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper based on 1965 survey).

Mauritius Estimated using official CDR = 6.8 for 1985.

Mexico 1980-85 CELADE printout 2/87, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Midway Islands Bank estimate.

Monaco Bank estimate.

Mongolia UN 1984 revision.

Montserrat Bank estimate.

Morocco 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 bank projection.

Mozambique UN 1984 revision.

Namibia UN 1984 revision.

Country Source

Nauru Bank estimate.

Nepal 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Netherlands Antilles Based on 1985 estimate of CDR from US/BOC, 1985.

Netherlands, The Derived from CDR = 8.5, 1935 (PVSR 7/86).New Caledonia 1980-85 from PVSR, 1984 special supplement, 1985-90 from Bank projections.

New Zealand Derived from CDR = 8.4 (PVSR 7/86, latest official).Nicaragua 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Niger UN 1984 revision.

Nigeria From the UN Population Division (1983 printout).

Niue Bank estimate.

Norway Derived from CDR = 10.6, 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Oman UN 1984 revision.

Pacific Is., Trust Terr. 1980-85 based on US/BOC sources, 1980-85 Bank projection.

Pakistan 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Panama 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Papua New Guinea UN 1984 revision.

Paraguay CELADE printout 2/87.

Peru 1980-85 Bank estimate 1985-90, Bank projection.

Philippines Bank estimate based on National Demographic Survey (1983).Pitcairn Island Bank estimate.Poland Derived from CDR = 10.3 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Portugal Derived from CDR = 9.6 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Puerto Rico 1980-85 from PVSR 1984 (special supplement), 1985-90 Bank projection.

Qatar UN 1984 revision.

Reunion Based on official data.

Romania Derived from CDR = 10.3 for 1984 (PVSR 7/86).Rwanda. UN 1984 revision.San Marino Bank estimate.

Sao Tom6 and Principe 1980-85 estimated from CDR = 10.2 for 1980-85 (PVSR 1984 special supplement)1985-90 Bank projection.

Saudi Arabia 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.Senegal Estimated from WFS, 1978.Seychelles Estimated from CDRs (PVSR 1984 special supplement and 1985-87).

Sierra Leone From 1974 census child survival data.Singapore - Based on official estimate of death rate.Solomon Islands US/BOC, 1985Somalia Bank estimate (SSA Background Paper).South Africa UN 1984 revision.

Spain Derived from CDR = 7.8 fo:r 1983.Sri Lanka Official estimate.

St. Helena Bank estimate.St. Kitts and Nevis Based on official data (Statistics Office, Planning Unit, and ECCM

Secretariat).

St. Lucia Based on official data (Government Statistical Office and DECS).

St. Pierre and Miquelon Bank estimate.St. Vincent 1980-85 from Bank report (No. 5241-STV, 1984), 1985-90 Bank projection.

Country Source

Sudan 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Suriname Estimated from official CDR.

Swaziland Bank estimate.

Sweden Derived from CDR = 11.3, 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Switzerland Derived from CDR = 9.1 (PVSR 7/86).Syrian Arab Republic 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Taiwan Derived from CDR = 5.0, 1985. (US/BOC, 1985).

Tanzania UN 1984 revision.

Thailand Official estimate (NESDB, Thailand).

Togo Based on child survival estimates from 1961 and 1971 census data.

Tokelau Bank estimate.

Tonga 1980-85 estimated from CDR, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Trinidad and Tobago 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Tunisia Bank estimate based on government figures.

Turkey UN 1982 revision and Bank estimate.

Turks and Caicos Is. Bank estimate.

Tuvalu Bank estimate.

USSR UN 1984 revision up to 1980 and Bank estimate based on official CDR.

Uganda Bank estimates, based on a population growth rate of 3%.United Arab Emirates 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

United Kingdom Derived from CDR = 11.4.

United States of America Estimated, based on CDR = 8.7 or 1984 (Annual Summary Monthly VitalStatistics Report 1984 and CDR = 8.8 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Uruguay 1980-85 CELADE printout 2/87, 1985-90 Bank projection.

USSR UN Pop. Div. World Population Prospects, 1980.

Vanuatu Bank estimate.

Venezuela 1980-85 UN 1984 revision, 1985-90 Bank projection.

Viet Nam Bank estimate for 1980-85, then projected to 1985-90.

Virgin Islands (US) Derived from CDR = 5 for 1985 (US/BOC, 1985).Wake Island Bank estimate.Wallis and Futuna Bank estimate.

Western Sahara Bank estimate.

Western Samoa US/BOC, 1985

Yemen, Arab Republic Based on WFS.

Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. Bank estimate to reconcile with population growth rates and rates in

neighbouring states.

Yugoslavia Derived from CDR = 9.1 for 1985 (PVSR 7/86).

Zaire UN 1984 revision.

Zambia 1975-80 UN 1984 revision, projected to 1985-90 using Bank mortality

schedule.

Zimbabwe UN 1984 revision.

For notes and abbreviations, see Table Al.

Table B. Population Estimates, World Bank and U.N., 1985, 2000, and 2025

1985 2000 2025 Percentage Diff.

Countries WB UN WB UN WB UN 1985 2000 2025

Afghanistan 18,087 16,519 25,378 26,035 40,847 37,917 -8.7 2.6 -7.2Albania 2,962 3,050 3,893 4,102 5,078 5,772 3.0 5.4 13.7Algeria 21,905 21,718 33,585 33,444 54,354 50,611 -0.9 -0.4 -6.9Angola 8,754 8,754 13,266 13,234 23,030 24,482 0.0 -0.2 6.3Argentina 30,564 30,564 36,581 37,197 44,917 47,421 0.0 1.7 5.6Australia 15,752 15,698 18,169 18,628 20,171 22,575 -0.3 2.5 11.9Austria 7,555 7,502 7,540 7,517 7,356 7,279 -0.7 -0.3 -1.0Bahrain 417 432 604 693 786 1,075 3.6 14.7 36.8Bangladesh 100,592 101,147 139,752 145,800 204,752 219,383 0.6 4.3 7.1Belgium 9,857 9,903 9,825 10,011 9,524 10,054 0.5 1.9 5.6Benin 4,043 4,050 6,474 6,532 11,563 12,701 0.2 0.9 9.8Bhutan 1,240 1,417 1,744 1,893 2,684 2,662 14.3 8.5 -0.8Bolivia 6,383 6,371 9,172 9,724 14,496 18,294 -0.2 6.0 26.2Botswana 1,070 1,107 1,712 1,917 2,903 4,151 3.5 12.40 43.0Brazil 135,564 135,564 178,369 179,487 236,116 245,809 0.0 0.76 4.3Brunei 224 232 342 354 460 431 3.6 3.5 -6.3Bulgaria 8,957 9,071 9,243 9,535 9,420 10,070 1.3 3.2 6.9Burkina Faso 7,885 6,942 12,101 10,538 21,924 20,106 -12.0 -12.9 -8.3Burma 36,943 37,153 48,770 48,499 66,663 65,960 0.6 -0.6 -1.2Burundi 4,696 4,721 7,370 7,226 13,242 11,817 0.5 -2.0 -10.8Cameroon 10,191 9,873 16,680 15,168 30,133 27,763 -3.1 -9.1 -7.9Canada 25,379 25,426 28,372 28,927 30,701 33,261 0.2 2.0 8.3Central African Rep. 2,583 2,576 3,962 3,750 6,828 6,339 -0.3 -5.4 -7.2Chad 5,018 5,018 7,281 7,308 12,086 12,356 0.0 0.4 2.2Chile 12,074 12,030 14,550 14,792 17,637 18,301 -0.4 1.7 3.8China 1,040,035 1,059,521 1,274,411 1,255,895 1,537,267 1,475,159 1.9 -1.5 -4.0Colombia 28,418 28,714 36,831 37,999 48,300 51,718 1.0 3.2 7.1Comoros 454 444 764 695 1,394 1,046 -2.2 -9.0 -25.0Congo, People's Rep. 1,872 1,740 3,176 2,643 5,617 4,732 -7.1 -16.8 -15.8Costa Rica 2,600 2,600 3,481 3,596 4,631 5,099 0.0 3.3 10.1Cote d'Ivoire 10,072 9,810 16,412 16,006 28,007 29,978 -2.6 -2.5 7.0Cuba 10,090 10,038 11,590 11,718 13,614 13,575 -0.5 0.2 -0.3Cyprus 665 669 747 762 852 902 0.6 2.0 5.9Czechoslovakia - 15,493 15,579 16,322 16,581 17,369 18,157 0.6 1.6 4.5Denmark 5,114 5,122 5,036 5,082 4,790 4,690 0.2 0.9 -2.1Dominican Rep.1. 6,416 6,243 8,655 8,407 11,759 12,154 -2.7 -2.9 3.4Ecuador 9,378 9,378 13,569 13,939 19,678 22,910 0.0 2.7 16.4Egypt, Arab Rep. of 48,503 46,909 67,278 63,941 97,025 90,399 -3.3 -5.0 -6.8El Salvador 4,768 5,552 6,368 8,708 9,341 15,048 16.4 36.7 61.1Equatorial Guinea 373 392 536 559 879 937 5.1 4.3 6.6Ethiopia 42,271 43,557 65,073 66,509 112,653 122,285 3.0 2.2 8.&Fiji 697 691 848 834 1,106 953 -0.9 -1.7 -13.8Finland 4,908 4,891 5,119 5,055 5,140 4,994 -0.3 -1.3 -2.8France 55,172 54,621 58,767 57,162 61,806 58,431 -1.0 -2.7 -5,5Gabon 997 1,151 1,500 1,603 2,568 2,607 15.4 6.9 1,5Gambia, The 748 643 1,144 898 1,870 1,494 -14.0 -21.5 -20,1German Democratic Rep. 16,644 16,766 16,677 17,149 16,489 17,570 0.7 2.8 6,6Germany, Federal Rep. of 61,015 60,877 58,952 59,484 52,822 53,490 -0.2 0.9 1.3Ghana 12,710 13,588 20,205 22,607 35,106 47,020 6.9 11.9 33.9Greece 9,935 9,878 10,476 10,437 10,856 10,789 -0.6 -0.4 -0.6

Table B. Population Estimates, World Bank and U.N., 1985, 2000, and 2025 (cont.)

Guatemala 7,963 7,963 11,533 12,222 17,931 21,668 0.0 6.0 20.8,

Guinea 6,166 6,075 8,288 8,879 11,848 15,561 -1.5 7.1 31.3

Guinea-Bissau 886 889 1,226 1,229 1,963 2,014 0.3 0.2 2.6

Guyana 790 953 922 1,196 1,218 1,562 20.6 29.7 28.2

Haiti 5,922 6,585 7,864 9,860 11,282 18,312 11.2 25.4 62.3

Honduras 4,383 4,372 6,825 6,978 10,715 13,293 -0.3 2.2 24,)

Hong Kong 5,423 5,548 6,314 6,775 7,084 7,617 2.3 7.3 7,$

Hungary 10,649 10,697 10,508 10,714 10,186 10,598 0.5 2.0 4.0

India 765,147 758,927 995,793 964,072 1,311,746 1,228,829 -0.8 -3.2 -6.3

Indonesia 162,212 166,440 212,407 211,367 282,624 272,744 2.6 -0.5 -3$5

Iran, Islamic Rep. of 44,632 44,632 69,331 65,161 107,603 97,011 0.0 -6.0 -9.8

Iraq 15,898 15,898 27,096 25,377 47,331 43,520 0.0 -6.3 -8,!

Ireland 3,552 3,608 4,018 4,320 4,742 5,326 1.6 7.5 12.3

Israel 4,233 4,252 5,234 5,302 6,603 6,865 0.4 1.3 4.0

Italy 57,128 57,300 57,691 58,642 56,037 57,178 03 16 2,0Jamaica 2,227 2,336 2,698 2,880 3,505 3,704 4.9 6.) 5.7

Japan 120,754 120,742 128,591 129,725 130,254 132,082 0.0 0.9 l,

Jordan 3,505 3,515 5,514 6,437 8,656 13,611 0.3 16.7 57.2

Kampuchea, Democratic 7,282 7,284 9,732 9,772 13,349 12,337 0.0 0.4 -7.6

Kenya 20,375 20,600 36,452 38,534 69,875 82,850 1.1 5.7 18.6Korea, Dem. People's Rep. 20,385 20,385 27,534 28,166 37,150 39,594 0.0 2.3 6.(,

Korea, Rep. of 41,056 41,258 49,368 50,981 59,039 61,572 0.5 3.3 4.3

Kuwait 1,710 1,811 2,623 3,007 3,633 4,828 5.9 14.6 32,9

Lao People's Dem. Rep. 3,609 4,117 5,373 5,789 9,301 8,576 14.1 7.7 -7.8Lebanon 2,668 2,668 2,947 3,617 3,935 5,221 0.0 22.7 32,7Lesotho 1,545 1,520 2,302 2,255 3,823 3,877 -1.6 -2.0 1.4

Liberia 2,204 2,191 3,546 3,615 6,404 7,517 -0.6 1.9 17.4Libya 3,764 3,605 6,533 6,082 11,314 11,090 -4.2 -6.9 -2,0Madagascar 10,212 10,012 16,330 15,550 29,687 28,120 -2.0 -4.8 -5,3

Malawi 7,044 6,944 11,351 11,387 20,637 21,855 -1.4 0.3 5.9

Malaysia 15,571 15,557 20,691 20,497 27,455 26,844 -0.1 -0.9 -2.2Maldives 183 183 285 283 488 432 0.0 -0.7 -11.5Mali 7,511 8,082 11,198 12,658 19,829 24,142 7.6 13.0 21.8Malta 358 383 359 418 366 459 7.0 16.4 25,4Mauritania 1,693 1,888 2,555 2,998 4,505 5,780 11.5 17.3 28_3Mauritius 1,020 1,050 1,212 1,298 1,501 1,606 2.9 7.1 7.0Mexico 78,820 78,996 109,861 109,180 153,876 154,085 0.2 -0.6 0.1Mongolia 1,891 1,908 2,718 2,837 3,995 4,539 0.9 4.4 13.6Morocco 21,925 21,941 31,267 29,512 46,647 40,062 0.1 -5.6 -141Mozambique 13,791 13,961 21,480 21,104 38,143 37,154 1.2 -1.8 -2.6Namibia 1,127 1,550 1,749 2,415 3,028 4,474 37.5 38.1 47.8Nepal 16,527 16,482 24,485 23,048 41,077 33,946 -0.3 -5.9 -17.4Netherlands, The 14,484 14,500 15,169 15,082 15,186 14,691 0.1 -0.6 -3.3New Zealand 3,254 3,318 3,559 3,749 3,973 4,202 2.0 5.3 5.8

Nicaragua 3,272 - 3,272 4,985 5,261 7,947 9,219 0.0 5.5 16.0Niger 6,391 6,115 10,161 9,750 18,864 18,940 -4.3 -4.0 0.4

Nigeria 99,669 95,198 163,484 161,930 297,944 338,103 -4.5 -1.0 13,5Norway 4,153 4,142 4,276 4,215 4,354 4,2b1 -0.3 -1.4 -2.1

Oman 1,242 1,242 1,975 1,973 3,174 3,495 0.0 -0.1 10.1

Pakistan 96,180 100,380 146,158 140,961 241,910 209,976 4.4 -3.6 -13.2

Panama 2,180 2,180 2,791 2,893 3,654 3,862 0.0 3.7 5.7

Table B. Population Estimates, World Bank and U.N., 1985, 2000, and 2025 (cont.)

Papua New Guinea 3,511 3,511 4,888 4,933 7,393 7,464 0.0 0.9 1.0Paraguay 3,693 3,681 5,448 5,405 8,074 8,552 -0.3 -0.8 5.9Peru 18,612 19,698 25,182 27,952 34,384 41,006 5.8 11.0 19.3

Philippines 54,725 54,498 75,327 74,057 105,227 102,787 -0.4 -1.7 -2.3

Poland 37,203 37,187 40,787 40,816 44,967 45,286 0.0 0.1 0.7

Portugal 10,229 10,212 11,07.3 11,211 12,119 12,334 -0.2 1.2 1.8

Qatar 315 315 587 569 960 943 0.0 -3.1 -1.8Reunion 531 531 6516 656 800 812 0.0 0.3 1.5

Romania 22,740 23,017 24,413 25,571 26,087 29,247 1.2 4.7 12.1

Rwanda 6,026 6,070 10,240 10,123 20,099 20,212 0.7 -1.1 0.6

Saudi Arabia 11,542 11,542 20,215 19,824 36,657 36,222 0.0 -1.9 -1.2

Senegal 6,567 6,444 10,270 9,765 17,661 17,872 -1.9 -4.9 1.2

Sierra Leone 3,657 3,602 5,339 4,867 9,087 7,416 -1.5 -8.8 -18.4

Singapore 2,558 2,559 2,926 2,947 3,270 3,323 0.0 0.7 1.6

Solomon Islands 273 270 447 447 823 765 -1.1 0.0 -7.0

Somalia 5,384 4,653 8,462 6,671 15,774 12,191 -13.6 -21.2 -22.7South Africa 32,432 32,392 45,008 46,918 66,144 76,381 -0.1 4.2 15.5

Spain 38,602 38,542 42,068 42,237 45,567 45,983 -0.2 0.4 0.9

Sri Lanka 15,837 16,205 20,095 19,620 25,903 24,443 2.3 -2.4 -5.6

Sudan 21,931 21,550 33,694 32,926 58,184 55,379 -1.7 -2.3 -4.8

Suriname 393 375 533 469 730 625 -4.6 -12.0 -14.4

Swaziland 757 650 1,211 1,048 2,104 2,107 -14.1 -13.5 0.1

Sweden 8,350 8,351 8,309 8,166 8,090 7,707 0.0 -1.7 -4.7Switzerland 6,458 6,374 6,537 6,341 6,302 5,784 -1.3 -3.0 -8.2

Syrian Arab Rep. 10,505 10,505 16,51.7 17,809 26,731 31,758 0.0 7.8 18.8

Tanzania 22,242 22,499 37,046 39,129 68,998 83,805 1.2 5.6 21.5

Thailand 51,700 51,411 65,647 65,503 84,084 85,929 -0.6 -0.2 2.2

Togo 3,038 2,960 4,872 4,709 8,741 8,923 -2.6 -3.3 2.1Trinidad and Tobago 1,185 1,185 1,476 1,473 1,880 1,897 0.0 -0.2 0.9

Tunisia 7,143 7,081 9,847 9,429 13,791 12,860 -0.9 -4.2 -6.8Turkey 50,248 49,289 66,808 65,351 88,911 91,925 -1.9 -2.2 3 4Uganda 14,680 15,477 23,374 26,262 42,005 55,190 5.4 12.4 31.4United Arab Emirates- 1,374 1,327 2,102 1,939 2,686 2,699 -3.4 -7.8 0.5United Kingdom 56,543 56,125 56,880 56,354 56,934 55,919 -0.7 -0M9 -1.8United States of America 239,283 238,020 262,458 268,239 284,654 311,936 -0.5 2.2 9.6Uruguay 3,012 3,012 3,339 3,364 3,856 3,875 0.0 0.7 0.5USSR 277,420 278,618 307,737 314,736 344,187 368,234 0.4 2.3 7.0Vanuatu 131 142 198 218 344 357 8.4 10.1 3.8Venezuela 17,317 17,317 23,777 24,715 32,173 37,999 0.0 3.9 18.1Viet Nam 61,689 59,713 87,887 79,870 126,250 108,462 -3.2 -9.1 -14-1Western Samoa 160 163 192 180 273 200 1.9 -6.3 -26.7Yemen Arab Rep. 7,955 6,848 12,335 10,881 21,745 20,773 -13.9 -11.8 -4.5Yemen, People's Dem. Rep. 2,086 2,137 2,934 3,379 4,544 5,870 2.4 15.2 29.2Yugoslavia 23,123 23,153 24,829 25,206 26,205 26,756 0.1 1.5 2.1Zaire 30,557 29,938 47,392 47,581 79,885 90,097 -2.0 0.4 12.8Zambia 6,704 6,666 11,126 11,237 20,608 23,799 -0.6 1.0 15.5Zimbabwe 8,406 8,777 13,238 15,130 21,748 32,658 4.4 14.3 50.2

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Figure C5. Total Fertility Rate

.. .. ... ... ... 77r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . .

. ... ... ...

3 -k:: .. .. ... ...

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

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... ... ... ... ...

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CWNTPY VEFY^ENT

Figure C6. Infant Mortality, and Life Expectanc-v

by Cmiitry Le"rtmemt, 191115-920

VD 1 U:

ýji I Afb15 44 A93 DÅ l k653 EN.43 Ad- 4 ä2 LA1 L43 i152 L44 LÅ2 AC-t-3 Eý4

CCVJNTRY CEPýNFMENTInfoni rnc^cotty M Life expec-toncy

REFERENCES

Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia (Celade). 1987. PopulationProjections (computer printouts). Santiago, Chile: Celade.

Coale, A. J., and P. Demeny (with B. Vaughn). 1983. Regional Model LifeTables and Stable Populations. 2nd ed. New York: Academic Press.

Eurostat. 1984. Demographic Statistics. Luxembourg: Statistical Officeof the-European Communities.

UNESCO. 1977. Statistics of Educational Attainment and Literacy, 1945-1974. Statistical Reports and Studies, no. 22. Paris: Unesco.

UNESCO. Various years. Statistical Yearbook. Paris: Unesco.

United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs.1984. Recent Levels and Trends of Contraceptive Use as Assessed in1983. New York: United Nations.

United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs.1984. Annual Summary Monthly Vital Statistics Report. New York:United Nations.

United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs.1984. Population and Vital Statistics Report: 1984 SpecialSupplement. New York: United Nations.

United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs.1986. World Population Prospec:s: Estimates and Projections asAssessed in 1984. New York: United Nations.

United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs.Various years. Demographic Yearbook. New York: United Nations.

United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs.Various years. Population and Vital Statistics Report. New York:United Nations.

U. S. Bureau of the Census. Various years. World Population- RecentDOmographic Estimates for the Countries and Regions of the World.Washington, D.C.: U. S. Government Printing Office.

Vu, My T. 1985. World Population Projections 1985. Baltimore and London:The Johns Hopkins Unversity Press.

World Bank. 1978-1987. World Development Report. New York: OxfordUniversity Press..

Zachariah, K. C., and R. Cuca. 1974. Population Projections for BankCountries, 1970-2000. Washington: The World Bank.

D Е Т А I L Е D F О Р ц L А Т i О N Р R® J Е С Т I О N S

W О R L D А N D I N G О М Е G R О ц Р S

WORLD TOTAL POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 295202 318986 334524 340244 337954 334425 337840 344835 346507 342492

5-9 270140 287757 311925 327999 334414 332897 330159 334305 341940 344197

10-14 268751 267889 285556 309743 325934 332532 331240 328734 333094 340913

15-19 255277 266476 265733 283399 307594 323881 330635 329537 327236 331773

20-24 226181 252249 263506 262877 280544 304749 321158 328f13 327271 325231

25-29 195124 223050 249016 260302 259818 277507 301744 318304 325498 324941

30-34 176301 192271 220071 245903 257237 256911 274636 298920 315646 323078

35-39 145987 173398 189333 216947 242641 254031 253870 271630 295974 312868

40-44 119968 142938 170090 185909 213285 238796 250223 250245 268040 292418

45-49 112494 116447 139145 165837 181469 208472 233666 245091 245340 263110

50-54 98790 107771 111833 133991 159971 175216 20165% 226320 237702 238208

55-59 85360 92612 101392 105448 126127 151578 166314 191684 215521 226726

60-64 65882 77508 84429 92613 96578 116475 139599 153461 177310 199817

65-69 48673 56879 67201 73418 80789 84524 102369 123038 135629 157213

70-74 35424 38646 45586 54057 59270 65463 68762 83760 101068 111801

75+ 37432 42084 46792 54259 64145 72914 81920 89159 104265 124991

TOTAL 2436987 2657022 2886133 3112946 3328370 3530432 3725787 3917137 4098042 4259777

FEMALES0-4 282975 306499 321720 327856 326246 323248 326685 333487 334952 330824

5-9 258905 275550 299597 315618 322656 321964 319815 324011 331419 333404

10-14 255675 256700 273476 297634 313852 321130 320697 318801 323209 330793

15-19 240592 253581 254771 271669 295932 312325 319805 319596 317900 322477

20-24 215733 238131 251205 252597 269634 294015 310592 318306 318331 316853

25-29 189907 213155 235554 248732 250339 267519 292008 308790 316733 317000 or

30-34 171612 187331 210604 233014 246292 248113 265418 290030 306996 315159

35-39 141671 169040 184749 208048 230455 243824 245837 263278 287981 305112

40-44 116496 139165 166349 182026 205318 227689 241109 243324 260856 285614

45-49 09679 i4i3aca i36374 163303 799A 202109 ?2Alrn ?17anl 26A17A 9R774

50-54 97155 106451 110686 132934 159484 174920 197928 219987 233385 235890

55-59 87907 93163 102315 106586 128436 154420 169573 192260 213993 227254

60-64 73077 82659 87810 96731 101018 122231 147338 162056 184200 205389

65-69 56616 66373 75298 80256 88765 92992 113102 136800 150769 171928

70-74 46038 48049 56908 64822 69398 77134 81123 99343 120684 133353

75+ 59317 65719 70877 81072 93231 103848 116233 126788 148052 177793

TOTAL 2403354 2615433 2838293 3062899 3279953 3487480 3691624 3894659 4089636 4266585

TOTAL M+F 4840341 5272455 5724425 6175845 6608323 7017912 7417411 7811797 8187678 8526362

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 26.9 25.7 24.0 22.1 20.4 19.3 18.5 17.6 16.6

DEATH RATE 9.8 9.3 8.8 8.5 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.5RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.71 1,65 1.52 1.36 1.20 1.11 1.04 0.94 0.81

GROWTH RATE 1.71 1.64 1.52 1.35 1.20 1.11 1.04 0.94 0.81TOTAL FERTILITY 3.417 3.227 3.038 2.837 2.636 2.490 2.394 2.302 2.217

GRR 1.669 1.576 1,484 1.386 1.288 1.217 1.169 1.125 1.083

NRR 1.441 1.376 1.317 1.264 1.196 1.139 1.102 1.070 1.042

IMR - MALE 71.4 64.5 59.2 54.4 49.6 44.6 39.7 35.2 31 1IMR - FEMALE 63.6 56.4 49.9 43.9 38.4 33.1 28,2 24.2 20.7

IMR - BOTH SEXES 67.6 60.5 54.6 49.3 44.2 39.0 34.1 29.8 26.0

E(0) - MALE 62.69 63.75 64.61 65.47 GG.3t . 67.13 67.98 68.85 697t

E(O) - FEMALE 66.21 67.43 68.66 69.88 71.02 72.08 73.11 74.06 74.93

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 64.44 65.57 66.62 67.65 68.65 69.59 70.54 71,45 72.32

WORLD TOTAL POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

SUMMARY FOR 25-YEAR PERIODS

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 21OO 22225 22SO

0-4 340244 346507 341628 340064 339996 34023) 3403885-9 327999 341940 337952 338212 339181 339824 34014110-14 309743 333094 334021 337226 338915 339687 34000615-19 283399 327236 333765 337613 338925 339465 33972520-24 262877 327271 337491 338347 338452 338809 33912225-29 260302 325498 339081 337284 336950 337743 33836230-34 245903 315646 334604 333282 334737 336603 33762735-39 216947 295974 324254 328268 332893 335681 33693740-44 185909 268040 316233 326373 332002 334696 33584545-49 165837 245340 312894 327232 330432 332310 33340650-54 133991 237702 305097 323304 324678 326701 32841455-59 105448 215521 285027 308782 311672 316211 31923360-64 92613 177310 250571 282384 291317 299704 30391165-69 73418 135629 204199 249907 264783 274901 27934170-74 54057 101068 157829 210826 228155 236996 24098675+ 54259 104265 213551 304221 351298 375875 389808

TOTAL 3112946 4098042 4728199 5023327 5134385 5205437 5243249

FEMALES

0-4 327856 334952 329332 327156 326564 326424 3264505-9 315618 331419 326472 325905 326187 326331 32642010-14 297634 323209 323159 325362 326266 326450 32646015-19 271669 317900 323657 326312 326755 326615 32648220-24 252597 318331 328336 327923 327010 326570 32640525-29 248732 316733 331081 327844 326345 326203 32624230-34 233014 306996 327745 324838 324967 325764 32609335-39 208048 287981 318493 320919 324036 325633 32607140-44 182026 260856 311611 320399 324318 325724 32593945-49 163303 240178 309638 323262 324662 325125 32517750-54 132934 233385 304326 322871 322264 322767 32332055-59 106586 213993 289065 314408 315243 318250 32004260-64 96731 184200 262126 297015 304475 311670 31470665-69 80256 150769 223693 275994 291158 300913 30442370-74 64822 120684 185151 249141 269922 279754 28325175+ 81072 148052 301038 437753 519872 565477 589278

TOTAL 3062899 4089636 4794923 5147100 5280044 5359671 5396762

TOTAL M+F 6175845 8187678 9523122 10170427 10414430 10565109 10640011

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 19.6 15.3 13.7 13.1 12.8 12 6DEATH RATE 8.3 9.3 11.0 t2.1 12.2 12.4GROWTH RATE 1.13 0.60 0.26 0.09 0.06 0.03IMR - BOTH SEXES 39,3 20.5 12.3 8.9 6.5 5.3E(O) - BOTH SEXES 69.68 73.74 76 26 77.72 78.98 79 57TOTAL FERTILITY 2.518 2.132 2.076 2.065 2.058 2.055

LESS DEVELOPED POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES

0-4 251029 275816 292389 297832 295240 291545 294880 301742 303462 2994365-9 226086 243660 268834 285964 292111 290288 287379 291438 298933 301193

10-14 224290 223838 241479 266693 283951 290280 288683 286005 290275 29794415-19 209476 222052 221735 239400 264631 281979 288464 287058 284581 28901820-24 177074 206465 219135 218985 236679 261916 279380 286062 284910 28268225-29 146351 173956 203273 216035 216070 233791 259055 276661 283579 28269830-34 130352 143566 171082 200294 213128 213324 231079 256380 274142 28128035-39 103528 127016 140837 168196 197253 210131 210488 228271 253g15 27151740-44 85493 100780 124660 137809 164920 193739 206632 207158 224 6t 25030445-49 76472 82449 97560 121050 134036 160737 189154 202006 2027:. 22048150-54 66976 72720 78657 93357 116246 128929 154951 182717 195465 19640755-59 54798 62278 67864 73624 87736 109566 121730 146683 173430 18590260-64 42151 49181 56154 61406 66832 79966 100235 111622 134983 16012265-69 32149 35816 42029 48218 52934 57828 69521 87590 97870 11889370-74 20167 25014 28136 33213 38309 42247 46352 56093 71176 7986575+ 18858 21956 26901 31591 37535 44119 50238 56392 66795 83287

TOTAL 1865250 2067162 2280722 2493705 2697610 2890386 3078223 3263878 3440914 3601027FEMALES

0-4 240258 264819 281124 287021 285161 282038 285438 292160 293713 2897105-9 216706 232745 257859 274996 281817 280880 278611 282772 290101 29217810-14 213275 214426 230622 255871 273223 280288 279612 277597 281973 28948115-19 196675 211105 212447 228793 254165 271695 278965 278516 276703 28125120-24 168572 194063 208625 210224 226744 252242 269960 277470 277258 275670 ON25-29 142512 165834 191374 206101 207957 224629 250240 268167 275910 275948 to30-34 126457 139856 163238 188825 203679 205754 222555 248290 266401 27436735-39 99495 123898 137313 160741 186330 201269 203535 220473 246293 26456740-44 a1715 i105 i2i346 i34741 15857 I,3686 199466 20129 21"152 24Anl945-49 72597 79313 94587 118589 13190; 155212 180585 195567 198179 21522550-54 63667 69864 76541 91615 115253 128400 151476 176597 191500 19422755-59 53184 60405 66497 73090 87853 110949 123812 146521 171226 18594360-64 42136 492t0 56t79 62100 68534 82806 105070 117506 139608 16363465-69 33735 , 37372 43901 50465 56079 62201 75639 96585 108306 12933470-74 22579 27706 31062 36771 42646 47698 53222 65270 84044 9456075+ 24041 27710 33599 39490 47226 56143 65103 74621 89797 113611

TOTAL 1797599 1995430 2206314 2419433 2626724 2825891 3022489 3219241 3409163 3583725

TOTAL M+F 3662849 4062592 4487037 4913138 5324335 5716277 6100711 6483119 6850078 7184752

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 30.8 29.2 26.8 24.2 22.0 20.7 19.7 18.6 17.3DEATH RATE 9.9 9,2 8.6 8.1 7.8 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.8RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.09 2.00 1.82 1.61 1.42 1.30 1.22 1.10 0.95GROWTH RATE 2.07 1.99 1.81 1.61 1.42 1.30 1.22 1.10 0.95TOTAL FERTILITY 3.914 3.614 3.315 3.029 2.764 2.574 2.448 2.337 2.239GRR 1.913 1.766 1.620 1.481 1.351 1.258 1.197 1.143 1.095NRR 1.603 1.498 1.404 1.330 1.242 1.167 1.119 1.080 1.048IMR - MALE 78.1 70.1 64.2 59.1 54.0 48.4 43.0 38.1 33.8

IMR - FEMALE 71.4 62.8 55.5 49.0 42.9. 36.9 31.4 26.8 22.9IMR - BOTH SEXES 74.8 66.5 59.9 54.1 48.5 42.8 37.3 32.6 28.5E(0) - MALE 60.30 61.64 62.77 63.84 64.86 65.85 66.84 67.87 68.82

E(0) - FEMALE 62.50 64.24 65.93 67.54 69.00 70.34 71.62 72.77 73.el

E(o) - BOTH SEXES 61.38 02.92 64.32 55.56 1e.?1 63.07 19.21 70.30 71.31

VE YIGRANTS-MALE -1603. -1672. -671. -373. -259. -192. -138. -91. -22.

LESS DEVELOPED POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

SUMMARY FOR 25-VEAR PERIOD6

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 297832 303462 298456 296820 296745 296983 297139

5-9 285964 298933 294846 295030 295967 296608 296923

10-14 266693 290275 291020 294111 295727 296494 296812

15-19 239400 284581 290924 294573 295773 296309 296569

20-24 218985 284910 294710 295385 295359 295717 296033 .25-29 216035 283579 296395 294399 293941 294726 29534730-34 '200294 274142 292033 290505 291832 293666 294688

35-39 168196 253615 281984 285680 290124 292840 29409140-44 137809 224961 274286 284069 2894t8 292001 293145

45-49 121050 202736 271519 285233 288151 289899 290997

60-54 93397 195465 264742 281921 282973 284875 286580

55-59 73624 173430 246228 268576 271096 275514 27050560-64 61406 134983 213018 244345 252752 260975 26511765-69 48218 97870 169305 215200 229465 239349 24369670-74 33213 71178 128162 181182 197693 206321 21021775+ 31591 66795 165679 256930 301874 326862 339601

TOTAL 2493705 3440914 4073306 4363961 4468890 4538138 4575459

FEMALES

0-4 287021 293713 288110 285963 285382 285244 285270

5-9 274996 290101 285244 284724 285014 285156 285244

10-14 255871 281973 281976 284201 285097 285276 285285

15-19 228793 276703 282546 285163 285586 285442 28531020-24 210224 277258 287261 286759 285838 285400 285238

25-29 '" 206101 275910 289903 286655 285173 285042 28508430-34 t88825 266401 286501 283653 283815 284619 284947

35-39 160741 246293 277367 279801 282921 284511 284943

40-44 134741 218152 270589 279398 283251 284638 284849

45-49 118589 198179 268873 282398 283671 284126 284180

50-54 91615 191500 264066 282110 281436 281955 28251955-59 73090 171226 249499 273972 274775 277814 279614

60-64 62100 139608 222341 257400 264728 271925 27495465-69 50465 108306 184561 237851 252825 262518 266010

70-74 36771 84044 149639 213907 234302 244023 247512

75+ 39490 89797 227882 364936 445053 490333 514117

TOTAL 2419433 3409163 4116359 4468892 4598867 4678024 4715075

TOTAL M+F 4913138 6850078 8189665 8832853 9067757 9216162 9290534

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 21.1 15.8 13.8 13.1 12.8 12.6

DEATH RATE 7.7 8.6 10.4 , ., , 12.t 12.2 12.3

GROWTH RATE 1,33 0-71 0.30 0.10 0.06 0.03

IMR - BOTH SEXES 43.0 22.3 13.1 9.4 6.6 5.3E()- BOTH SEXES 68.18 72.98 75.82 77.44 78.89 79.57

TAL FERTILITY 2,608 2. An 7,TT 2.066 2.050 2.054

MORE DEVELOPED POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES %0-4 44173 43171 42135 42413 42714 42880 42960 43093 4304f 42955

5-9 44055 44097 43092 42036 42303 42609 42780 42868 43008 42964

10-14 44461 44051 44077 43050 41984 42251 42557 42729 42819 42960

15-19 45801 44425 43998 43998 42963 41901 42171 42479 42654 42745

20-24 49106 45784 44371 43891 43865 42833 41777 42051 42362 42536

25-29 48773 490J4 45743 44267 43748 43716 42689 41643 41919 42228

30-34 45949 48705 48989 45609 44109 43587 43556 42540 41504 41783

35-39 42460 45782 48497 48751 45388 43899 43382 43360 42359 41335

40-44 34475 42158 45431 48100 48365 45057 43591 43087 43019 . 42099

45-49 36022 33998 41585 44787 47433 47736 44512 43085 42601', 42616

50-54 31814 35Q51 33175 40595 43725 46347 46700 43604 4223 41788

55-59 30562 30393 33528 31825 38990 42013 44584 45001 42090 40811

60-64 23731 28327 28274 31207 29746 36509 39363 4t840 42327 39683

65-69 16525 21063 25173 25200 27855 26697 32848 35448 37759 38314

70-74 15258 13632 17450 20844 20962 23216 22410 27666 29892 31931

75+ 18575 20128 19891 22668 26610 28795 31683 32767 37470 41697

TOTAL 571738 589860 605410 619241 630760 640046 647564 653259 657127 658446

FEMALES0-4 42716 41680 40596 40835 41085 41210 41246 41327 41239 4ttt5

5-9 42199 42805 41738 40621 40838 41084 41205 41239 41318 4t225

10-14 42400 42273 42854 41763 40629 40842 41085 41203 41236 41312

15-19 43917 42476 42323 42876 41767 40630 40841 41080 41197 41226

20-24 47161 44068 42579 42373 42889 41773 40632 40837 41073 41183

25-29 47394 47322 44180 42631 42382 42889 41768 40622 40824 41052 a%

30-34 45154 47475 47366 44188 42613 42359 42862 41740 40b95 40792

35-39 42176 45142 47437 47308 44126 42555 42302 42805 41688 40545

40-44 34787 42060 45003 47285 47161 44003 42443 42195 42704 41595

45-49 37081 J4bbb 411u7 44714 46996 46656 43775 4223G 41SGS 42SIG

50-54 33489 36586 34145 41319 44231 46520 46452 43390 41884 41663

55-59 34722 32758 35818 33497 40583 43471 45761 45739 42766 41311

60-64 30941 33449 31631 34632 32484 39425 42268 44550 44592 41756

65-69 22881 29001 31397 29791 32686 30791 37463 40214 42463 42593

70-74 23459 20343 25846 28051 26751 29436 27901 34073 36640 38793

75+ 35277 38009 37278 41582 46005 47705 51130 52166 58255 64t83

TOTAL 605755 620002 631979 643466 653228 661589 669135 675419 680473 682860

TOTAL M+F 1177492 1209862 1237389 1262707 1283988 1301635 1316699 1328678 1337601 1341306

DEATH RATE 9.6 9.6 9.7 10.1 10.5 10.8 11.1 11.5 12.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.49 0.42 0.39 0.32 0.27 0.22 0.18 0.13 0.05

GROWTH RATE 0.54 0.45 0.41 0.33 0.27 0.23 0.18 0.13 0.06

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.885 1.872 1.931 1.974 2.003 2.031 2.060 2.071 2.070

GRR 0.917 0.911 0.940 0.961 0.975 0.989 1.003 1.008 1.007

NRR 0.914 0.901 0.921 0.945 0.966 0.981 0.994 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 26.2 23.3 21.8 20.2 18.8 17.4 16.0 14.7 13.6

IMR - FEMALE 10.0 8.8 7.9 7.2 6.5 6.0 5.6 5.2 4.9

IMR - BOTH SEXES 18.3 16.3 15.0 13.9 12.8 11.9 10.9 10.1 9.4

E(O) - MALE 70.75 71.44 71.79 72.24 72.*67 73.08 73.49 73.89 74.28

E40) - FEMALE 77.68 78.11 78.55 78.97 79.37 79.72 80.04 80.35 80.65

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 74.31 74.86 75.23 75.67 76.07 76.46 76.82 77.18 77.52

NET MAGRANTS-MALE 1603. i3. 671. 3 73. 2 q. . ":I S. 22.NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE 1337, . 87. 222. 2. 178. 125. 88 28.

NET MIGRATION RATE 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 1 ) r% an o

MORE DEVELOPED POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 42413 43045 43172 43244 43251 43249 432495-9 42036 43008 43107 43182 43215 43216 4321710-14 43050 42819 43001 43115 43188 43193 4319415-19 43998 42654 42842 43040 43151 43156 4315520-24 43891 42362 42683 42961 43094 43092 4308925-29 44267 41919 42648 42885 43009 43017 4301430-34 45609 41504 42562 42777 42905 42938 42939 i135-39 48751 42359 42261 42588 42769 42841 4284640-44 48100 43079 41936 42304 42584 42695 42700

45-49 44787 42603 41361 41905 42281 42411 42410

50-54 40595 42236 40340 41347 41705 41826 4183455-59 31825 42090 38785 40198 40576 40697 4072860-64 31207 42327 37542 38031 38565 38729 38795

65-69 25200 37759 34885 34698 35318 35552 35645

70-74 20844 29892 29659 29636 30401 30674 3076975+ 22668 37470 47863 47278 49402 50009 50207

TOTAL 619241 657127 654645 659191 665413 667295 667790

FEMALES

0-4 40835 41239 41222 41193 41182 41180 41180

5-9 40621 41318 41228 41181 41174 41175 41176 0D10-14 41763 41236 41183 41161 41169 41174 4117515-19 42876 41197 41110 41150 41169 41173 4117320-24 42373 41073 41075 41163 41173 41170 41167

25-29 42631 40824 41179 41188 41172 41161 4115830-34 44188 40595 41244 41185 4t152 41145 41146

35-39- 47308 41688 41125 41118 41115 41122 41127

40-44 47285 42704 41023 41001 41067 41086 41090

45-49 44714 41999 40765 40864 40990 41000 40997

50-54 41319 41884 40260 40761 40828 40812 4080155-59 33497 42766 39566 40436 40468 40435 40428

60-64 34632 44592 39785 39615 39747 39745 39752

65-69 29791 42463 39131 38143 38333 38395 3841370-74 28051 36640 35512 35233 35620 35731 3574075+ 41582 58255 .73155 72816 74820 75144 75162

TOTAL 643466 680473 678564 678208 681177 681648 681687

TOTAL M+F 1262707 1337601 1333209 1337399 1346590 1348943 1349477

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 13.1 12.7 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 10.8 12.8 12.6 12.4 12.5 12.6

GROWTH RATE 0.23 -0.01 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES it19 8.3 6.3 5.3 5.3 5.3E(0l BOTH SEXES 76.45 78.04 79.07 79.60 79.60 79.60TOTAL FERALITY 2.027 2.068 2.064 2.063 2.063 2.063

� � . , . � t �

LOW INCOME ECONOMIES POPULATION (TFIOUSAN05I

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20 Э0MALES

0-4 159584 176759 188059 1909 Э4 /87152 183952 187240 192886 t94453 1910195-9 145034 154762 172144 1ВЭ738 1В7036 183758 1В 1091 1В4868 19096 � 192883

10-14 15оs э2 14эs92 в5эЭ51 1707 эа 1В2Э94 185 во9 1В2sев 180177 1вао94 18о29 е15°99 14 Э591 149159 142229 151987 169363 1 В 1080 184600 1816/4 17924 Э 18 Э26520-24 119124 141575 1472 ЭО 140430 150f95 167563 179358 1830t3 t80211 17800 Э

\ 25-29 96841 11705 В 139438 145159 138507 148284 165666 177558 18138 Э 178767 ,30- Э4 В9334 95014 115155 1Э7417 143196 136684 146485 163890 175900 179 В7435-39 70799 87, � 87 9 Э221 11 Э216 1353ЭЗ 141159 1 Э4799 114625 162071 17418040-44 58886 68843 85505 91211 111000 1Э2913 138781 132598 /424�i4 � 15991845-49 5 Э247 56805 66761 83049 8В698 108169 129761 1Э5656 12972 � ' � �, 139588 ,50-54 47 Э?1 50655 � 54204 6 Э919 79767 85 ЭО2 l04263 125353 13128 12566455°59 38666 44072 47289 50736 60049 75197 80525 98704 119034 12492960°64 29858 34719 Э9762 42798 46054 54734 68812 7 Э843 90882 11001665-69 2Э293 25388 29690 34161 3690 Э Э9847 47591 60173 61795 801 б 170°74 1Э974 18127 19965 23480 27162 2946 Э 31941 38425 48979 52976

75+ 12932 15168 19/79 22485 26639 31327 35327 Э9240 46151 57606

TOTAL 1253166 1Э79291 151 Э 184 1645453 1769447 1885249 1998929 2112621 2221628 2319149FEMALES

0-4 151507 168627 179822 18 Э230 180204 177547 180903 1864 Э7 1В7846 1844505-9 1Э8070 146189 16 Э648 175 Э98 179448 1770 В3 175036 178929 184895 1866 б 1

10- 14 141998 136493 144711 162244 1741 Э4 178Э54 176176 174 Э09 178347 18442915°19 13297 В 1404 В 1 1Э5111 143423 161026 173039 177402 175387 173660 17781020°24 111725 1Э 1178 1ЭВ751 1Э3558 141975 159657 17179 В t7632B 1744 В 1 172904 rn25-29 9 Э45 Э 109870 Я29 Э08 136974 1Э 1958 1404 ВО 158229 17051 Э 175204 173527 `°ЭО - Э4 85746 9/642 90 В075 127499 135242 130 Э97 139007 156836 � 169245 1740 Вб

35- Э9 66925 83971 89880 106324 92571 Э 13 Э518 128827 1Э7539 155420 167936..,. с . с ё23r3w f3 чб 7 л 1? т 15л 1Э 592 А 153829

40-44 54!l�11 о 5l о а ®i ёо 4 ы ё vav .w.. ...

45-49 4 В863 5 Э 195 6Э521 80267 Вб 142 102489 121664 129516 125143 1 Э394650-54 4 Э432 46989 51288 61479 77973 83779 99952 118917 1267 Э7 12250555°59 Эб297 41191 44693 48933 58920 75044 80717 96633 115263 12299060-64 29040 ЭЭ571 3В300 41714 45851 55517 71067 76552 92046 110945б5°69 2Э865 2576 Э 29946 Э4412 37667 41602 50712 65364 705 ЭО 8528470°74 15376 195 В5 21424 25087 29104 32050 35599 43777 � 6939 61577

75t 16161 18704 23254 27221 32 Э 19 Э8329 44009 50093 60217 76685

TOTAL 11902 ВВ 1312714 /443921 1575852 1702191 1822720 1942760 2064280 2181901 22 В8764

� ` �. TOTAL M+F 244 Э455 2692005 2957106 3221304 3471638 3707961 Э941689 1176901 '4403529 4607912

RELATE® 1NDICATORS �BIRTH RATE 29.8 28.5 26.2 23.6 21.5 20.4 19.6 18.6 17. Э

ОЕАТН RATE 10.2 9,6 9.1 8_6 8. Э 8.1 8.0 8.0 В .2 ,RATE О Е ИАТ . INC. 1.95 1,89 1,72 1.50 1. Э2 1.22 1.16 1.06 0.91GROWTFд I2ATE 1.94 1. В8 1, 71 1. 50 1. Э2 1 � 22 1. 16 1. О6 О . 91TOTAL FERT1LdTY Э .762 Э .485 Э .225 2.974 2.743 2.585 2.475 2. Эб9 2.266GRR 1.83 В 9.70 Э 1.576 1.454 1,34/ 1.264 1.210 1.158 1.108

NRR � 1.5i5 1 е417 f.339 1.289 1,222 1,161 1.120 1.086 1.053

1MR - 11ALE 79.8 71.7 66.5 62.1 57,2 51.4 45.4 39. В 35.2

IмR - ЕЕнА� Е 77.5 68. 2 60. 7 54 . 1 4а , 7,, , 41 . 2 э4 .9 29, 9 25 _ в �I11{3 - 80 ТН SEXES 78.6 70.0 6 Э .7 58,2 52.6 46.4 40.3 � 35.0 30.6

Е(01 ° Чд1- Е 60.44 61,69 62.66 63.62 64.58 65.54 66.58 67.70 бВ .7 Э

Е� О � - � EA+9ALE 61.64 б3. Зt4 65,03 66.t � 7 68.?1г1И 69.5Э 70. � 7�+ 72.®9 7 Э .17

fiQ�в� - 80Т91 5EXES 61.0:1 62. �б9 6 Э .82 г� 5. 4 г � г� ,' � � , 6 Т, .51 66.2! Э �59.67 70.94

� ;� FY �̀ ' � c,RA � T� -! �1A1E -g �� t' -555. :.' и3. -"32. -" � :. -16. -S �°. Г . О .

LOW INCOME ECONOMIES POOULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100, 2125 2150

0-4 190934 194453 190379 188829 168493 188518 1886175-9 183738 190962 187674 187529 187937 188241 188470to-14 170732 *84094 184736 la6845 1&7806 ISE1200 0841615-19 151987 179243 184735 187371 188003 180165 18828620-24 140430 180211 187986 188363 187932 187049 18794525-29 145159 181383 189851 187946 187051 187198 18747530-34 137417 175900 186570 185079 185545 186461 la701936-39 *13216 162071 t78845 t81547 t84373 185954 18666940-44 91211 142464 172769 180627 184169 185582 18614845-49 83049 129724 171821 182260 183842 184431 18484250-54 63919 131282 169551 181011 la0765 181246 18201455-59 50736 119034 158351 172154 172854 175120 17682160-64 42798 90882 136584 1556aO 1607118 165780 16033265-69 34161 64795 107714 136428 146112 152220 15485870-74 23480 48979 82677 115770 126592 131535 13370975+ 22485 46151 11407 a 168207 194368 207731 215899

TOTAL 1645453 2221628 2604323 2785646 2846630 2884233 2905520

FEMALES

0-4 183230 187846 183360 181659 1811a5 181055 1810665-9 175398 184895 181051 180636 180848 180959 18104010-14 162244 178347 178445 180144 180878 181055 18108415-19 143423 073660 178830 180905 181297 181223 18112920-24 133558 174481 182614 182300 181581 181231 18108425-29 136974 175204 184993 182343 181109 Ja0949 18095130-34 127499 169245 182263 179959 180007 180577 18082435-39 106324 155420 175020 176961 179262 180478 18084140-44 88090 135928 169326 176698 179598 180657 18084145-49 80267 125143 168652 179353 180211 180442 19044950-54 61479 126737 167120 179821 178852 178993 17933855-59 48933 115263 157939 174045 174089 176098 17738860-64 41714 92046 09682 162091 167086 172145 17439465-69 34412 70530 114297 148425 159413 166237 68a0270-74 25087 56939 93979 133773 148191 154731 15714375+ 27221 60217 152260 230942 280272 309322 325650

TOTAL 1575852 2181901 2609831 2830057 2913879 2966151 2992023

TOTAL M+F 3221304 4403529 5214154 5615702 5760508 5850384 5897544

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 20 7 15.7 13.8 13.1 12,8 12.7DEATH RATE 8,2 9.0 10.8 - 12.1 12.2 12.3GROWTH RATE 1 25 0.68 0 30 0.10 0.06 0.03IMR BOTH SEXES 46 4 23 5 12 9 9.4 6.8 5 4EW BOTH SEXES 67,65 72.Ofl 75.q 4 77 41 7e - 3 1 79.55TOTAL FERTILITY 2. 611 0 P, 2.06- 2.0bZ 2.054

� . . , . . . ...� .. � . , ,

IOWER-MIOOIE-INCOME ECONOMIES POPl1 � AT%OtJ (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1585 1990 9995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES

Q-4 5 Э002 5787 Э 61042 63t45 64540 64774 64361 65187 , 65571 65156 �5-9 46575 5114 Э 56/40 59511 61 В 17 63 Э99 6 Э812 6Э591 64566 65098

1р-14 42293 46004 50599 55625 59042 61394 63022 63492 63329 64 Э5 Э15-19 37 Э95 41764 45497 5011 Э 55158 58601 60985 62652 63166 6305020-24 31720 Э6700 41082 44851 49500 54554 58024 60449 62163 ба7 Э5'25-29 26711 30984 35967 40376 44195 4ВВб0 5 Э920 57424 59895 61665 .ЭО- Э4 217 Э9 26048 Э0 Э28 35318 Э975 Э 43592 48266 53335 56 В70 5838635- э9 17 Э9 о si �t зв 254Э2 29711 э4699 э9131 42979 4765 в 527R9, sss9440-44 14 Э25 16810 � 0528 24795 29057 Э4009 384/9 42266 46936 5200145-49 1256а 1372 р , 16178 19841 2 аоа7 28 а5о эЭ1 эо эа49 о 41 э1 � � ' � 4595150-54 10704 19863 13011 15412 18972 23061 27156 319/1 Эб 178 Э994455-59 8691 987 Э 10994 12115 14408 17800 21698 2561 Э ЭО 165 Э126960-64 6423 7728 8828 9882 10936 13061 16194 19801 23441 2767765-69 458 Э 5392 65 Э4 7512 8451 9 Э99 11276 14038 17232 2047170-74 3148 3517 4174 5100 5900 6677 7467 9005 11271 1Э902

75+ 2946 3 Э49 3815 4514 5502 6549 7617 8715 10371 12825

ТОТАь. 34321 Э 38 Э904 430149 47782 о . 52 � 977 57391 Э 618326 662628 705199 744779FE1IAI.ES

О -4 51600 56316 59 Э81 61407 62768 6 ЭО 12 62623 6 Э445 63819 633965°9 45 Э25 49952 54820 58094 60325 61873 62297 6209 Э 63057 63567

10°14 40890 44808 49475 54 Э85 57714 59998 6/600 6208 Э 61936 6294915-19 36068 40424 44378 49084 54030 57400 59727 61 Э75 61905 6180520-24 31 Эб5 Э5503 Э9891 43899 48657 53635 57048 59426 61125 61708 �25-29 27019 ЭО761 34931 39364 4Э429 48222 53230 56691 59120 60 В72 ~30- э4 221 эs 26443 ЭО21Э 34417 зеевз 42981 47 в02 52841 56 эа5 58825Э 5- Э9 17663 21612 25915 29709 ЭЗ933 Э8411 42535 47381 52444 5599040-44 14798 17184 21111 25 Э99 29200 3 Э423 37904 42046 46 у� ч 51 ччU45°49 1308 Э 14 Э22 16694 20581 24832 28617 32824 37290 41437 463015о-54 1111 е 1as45 в3782 1612 з 19942 24128 s7879 з2оаs э647в ао60955-59 9170 10491 11887 1Э 112 15 Э99 19118 2 Э206 26892 30994 Э535860-64 68 Э7 8421 9685 1/031 12225 14429 17997 21934 25517 2950265°69 5139 5987 7432 8605 9863 t9000 1ЭОб6 16395 20090 2348570°74 Э652 4159 4892 6133 7960 8274 9300 11137 140 В8 17380

75 в 3928 4419 5077 5996 7433 8998 10723 12493 14955 18680

TOTAL 339791 383346 429562 477 Э38 525794 573518 619760 665569 710216 752417

TOTAL M+F б д0004 7fг725 А 859711 955158 1051771 1146F31 1238086 1 Э28197 1415415 1497196

(tEILATEO IfJOICATORSBIRTF# RATE Э4.9 Э2.4 29.6 27.1 24.6 22.4 20.9 19.6 18.2ОЕАТН RATE 10.4 9. Э � 8.4 7,.8 7. Э 7.0 6.9 6.8 7.0RATE OF 1�1АТ . INC. 2.45 2. ЭО 2, 12 1.93 1.7 Э 1.54 1 � 41 1 � 27 1 � 12GROWTM RATE 2.41 2.28 2.11 1е93 1<7 Э 1.5 Э 1.4t 1.27 1.12TOTAL FERTILITY 4.532 4.119 Э .707 Э . ЭЭ9 2.986 2.680 2.498 2. Эб0 2.245GRR 2. 216 2.015 1. В 13 1.6 Э4 1. 4 б 1 1, 311 1. 223 1. 155 1. 09 ВNRR ' 1.842 1.7 ВО 1.588 1.462 1. ЭЭЭ 1.217 1.150 1.099 1.057Il1R - �1ALE 86.2 76.9 68,1 60.8 54,5 48.8 43.6 39.0 34.51MR ° � EMALE 71.1 62.4 54, Э 47.1 4G � 8 "` 34.9 29.7 24.9 20.5Н1168 - 80TF1 SEKES 78.8 69.8 61.3 54.1 47,8 42.0 36.8 Э2.1 27.6Ед0) ° мАI. Е 57. Э9 59. аЭ 60.98 62.50 6Э.64 65. �г1 56.10 67.1 а 68.1 аE �OD - � ЕгмА�. Е 61. яе � Э. � � � 5. � 9 � � . � � г�� . � ; � 7 � .05 7е.к�� 72.72 73. � �c/0b - 8®I!д SEXES 59.28 54.23 53 � 0 � � � . й? г� � .,^' С7. �ь3 69.7Z 69.43 71.Е?3Ч � Т чи°GQA� ��7S-MALE - �г� 3 548. "'S3. -'S Р . -9! � . -94. -F � 'д��

LOWER-MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

SUMMARV FOR 25-VEAR PERIODS

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 63145 65571 64698 64562 64723 64889 649375-9 59511 64566 64029 64211 64569 64823 6489710-14 55625 63329 63315 64059 64506 64774 6486415-19 501t3 63166 63353 64069 64424 64675 6479320-24 44851 62163 64038 64012 64202 64488 6467025-29 40376 59895 63942 63637 63830 64257 6453330-34 .35318 56870 62930 62896 63409 64044 6440535-39 29711 52729 61925 63060 63847 6425240-44 24795 46936 60677 61579 62784 63564 6396845-49 19841 41314 58951 61613 62239 62969 6346250-54 15412 36178 55492 60329 60901 61803 6248655-59 12115 30165 50505 57226 58345 59787 6074460-64 9882 23441 43598 52350 54341 56623 5781265-69 7512 17232 34576 46592 49177 51790 5306270-74 5foo 11271 25270 38116 42010 44401 4567775* 4514 10371 27721 49858 62430 69490 73649

TOTAL 477820 705199 864448 937035 964952 986224 998231

FEMALES

0-4 61407 63819 62886 62534 62461 62455 624665-9 58094 63057 62438 62361 62436 62463 6246810-14 54365 61936 61855 62338 62480 62482 6246615-19 49084 61905 62052 62515 62539 62483 6245220-24 43699 61US 62969 62700 62517 62446 6243425-29 39364 59120 63147 62592 62366 62380 6242130-34 344t7 56346 62389 62104 62165 62360 6241835-39 29709 52444 61060 61396 62061 62351 6241140-44 25399 46909 60687 61360 62097 62331 6235545-49 20581 41437 59412 61910 62019 62141 6218250-54 16123 36478 56668 61428 61435 61657 6184155-59 13112 30994 52789 59601 60127 60841 6126060-64 11031 25517 47310 56568 58035 59633 6026865-69 8605 20090 39604 53172 55450 57524 5826970-74 6133 14088 31016 46922 5109 53303 5415675* 5996 14955 40390 75256 95863 106854 112619

TOTAL 477338 710216 886670 974778 1005240 1023702 1032487

TOTAL M+F 955158 1415415 1751118 1911813 1970192 2009926 2030718

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 22.9 16.4 14.0 13.2 12.9 12.7

DEATH RATE 7.2 7 9 10.5 12.0 12.1 12.3

GROWTH RATE 1.57 0.85 0.35 0. 12 0.08 0.04

AMR BOT91 SEXES 42.6 22,4 14.6 10.4 6.9 5.3

E(o) BOTH SEXES 67 64 72 52 75.09 77,01 78 79 79.6070TAL FERTILKTV 2,738 1 1 13 0 7 4 2 064, 2 055 2 052

UPPER-MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES POPULATION (THOUSANOS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES0-4 38618 40423 41835 42058 41767 43040 41372 41622 41366 413205-9 35444 37996 39874 41354 41655 48437 40775 41142 41417 4118810-14 32401 35214 37784 39680 41179 43503 43307 40661 43038 4332415-19 29790 32154 34983 3756t 39470 40985 41329 41351 40519 4090920-24 27708 29438 31825 34668 37255 39180 40714 41083 40923 4031825-29 24893 27311 29073 31481 34334 36932 38875 40427 40814 4068630-34 21653 24523 26959 28743 31161 34024 36631 38587 40151 4056435-39 17346 21292 24171 26610 28406 30831 33700 36311 38273 3985240-44 13749 16984 20909 23770 26202 28006 30432 33298 359b3 3787245-49 12737 13354 16554 20410 23240 25652 27454 29867 327t . 3530550-54 11297 122118 12845 15953 19710 22483 24851 26635 2901 3181855-59 9733 10610 11517 12120 15094 18692 21361 23650 25388 2769760-64 7661 8844 9689 10524 11102 13871 17220 19726 21881 2353665-69 5193 6607 7686 8425 9180 9712 12179 35171 17427 1937670-74 4171 4121 5298 6174 6795 7432 7887 9939 12431 1433175* 4427 4921 5180 6141 7260 8278 9262 10109 12058 14883

TOTAL 296820 326007 356381 385673 413813 440057 465350 489376 511315 530975

FEMALES I0-4 37272 39090 40437 40680 40393 39677 39985 40212 39956 398975-9 34239 36796 38685 40308 40425 40203 39542 39880 40130 3989410-14 31317 34044 36642 38556 40001 40342 40140 39492 39839 4009915-39 28835 31139 33889 36508 38440 39904 40263 40076 39441 3979920-24 26879 28591 30928 33712 36351 38302 39785 40164 39995 3937925-29 24301 26599 28350 30723 33531 36187 38156 39658 40057 39912

30-34 21327 24029 26352 28136 30532 33356 36025 38030 39528 3995035-39 17283 21062 23779 26120 27924 30335 33173 35853 37848 3938340-44 13878 17025 20794 235i7 259&5 27523 30!04 -29gi 35633 3764245-49 13050 13605 16731 20475 23192 25537 27363 29786 32631 3531550-54 11745 12700 13265 16353 20052 22748 25079 26905 29321 3215855-59 10369 11292 12241 12813 15839 19464 22120 24424 26241 2863860-64 8619 9767 10673 13605 32380 35107 18613 21203 23455 2524865-69 6073 7820 8910 9778 10674 11238 13997 17308 19775 2193070-74 5223 5148 6689 7672 8466 9285 9814 12293 15269 1751675+ 6432 7221 7634 9312 10734 12297 13855 15198 17996 22016

TOTAL 296819 325929 356000 385870 414600 441665 468014 493410 537117 538775

TOTAL M+F 593638 651936 712181 771543 828433 881722 933364 982786 1028432 1069751

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 27.0 25.4 23.3 21,3 19.5 18.4 17.5 16.5 15.8

DEATH RATE 8.0 7.5 7.2 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.2 7.4 7.9RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.90 t.79 1.63 1.43 1.25 1.14 1.04 0.91 0.79GROWTH RATE 1.87 3.77 1.60 1.42 3.25 3.14 1.03 0.93 0.79TOTAL FERTILITY 3.424 3.t90 2.927 2.666 2.421 2.286 2.195 2.121 2.093GRR 1.670 1.556 1.428 1.300 3.183 1.115 1.070 1.034 3.023NRR 1.541 1.459 1.356 1.242 1.137 1.083 1.044 1.011 13003IMR - MALE 53.8 48.2 43.9 39.3 35.1 31.6 28.6 26.4 24.4IMR - FEMALE 39.7 34.5 29.5 25.1 24'2- 17.9 15.2 33.2 13.5IMR - BOTH SEXES 46.9 43.5 36.9 32.4 28.3 24.9 22.3 19.9 18.1E(0) - MALE 64.39 65.69 66.30 67.29 68.15 68.93 69.60 70.15 70.67E(0) - FEMALE 69.57 70.8 71 99 73.07 74.06 74.94 75.70 75.35 76.94E(0p - 80T SEXES 66.98 68.26 6 1. 70.107 7 T .95 72.6 73.27 73.03NET MIGRANTS-MALE -407. -202. -1a, -149. -1. -203. -75. .

UPPER-MIDDLE-INCOME ECONOMIES POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 42058 41366 41453 41547 41637 41670 416755-9 41354 41417 41291 41439 41579 41640 4164610-14 39680 41038 41A68 41364 41534 41616 4162415-19 37561 40519 41040 41273 41467 41570 4158420-24 34668 40923 40826 41135 41355 41491 4151725-29 31481 40814 40650 40956 41217 41397 4144430-34 '28743 40151 40649 40745 41068 41299 4137335-39 26610 38273 40091 40488 40899 41184 4128240-44 23770 35903 39328 40170 40671 41008 4113145-49 20410 32713 39305 39636 40281 40675 4083450-54 15953 29012 38421 38823 39570 40053 4025855-59 12120 25388 36401 37590 38300 38915 3917460-64 t0524 21881 32526 35015 36194 36983 3729465-69 8425 17427 27449 31199 32929 33885 3423570-74 6174 2431 21053 26561 28038 29139 2950975+ 6141 12058 25374 38545 43726 46827 47969

- TOTAL 385673 511315 587024 616488 630466 639352 642549

FEMALES

0-4 40680 39956 39913 39864 39837 39835 398375-9 40108 40130 39868 39841 39834 39834 3983510-14 38556 39839 39832 39835 39839 39836 3983415-19 36508 39441 39818 39837 39840 * 39833 3982920-24 33712 39995 39760 39828 39830 39823 3982125-29 30723 40057 39747 39794 39804 39811 3981430-34 28136 39528 39893 39727 39770 39801 3980635-39 26120 37848 39513 39634 39732 39787 3979240-44 23517 35633 38972 39523 39675 39750 3975345-49 20475 32631 39268 39289 39547 39649 3965650-54 16353 29321 38894 38955 39282 39437 3946355-59 12813 26241 37666 38533 38793 39050 3910860-64 11605 23455 3495A 37209 37952 38367 3846165-69 9778 19775 31113 35007 36423 37035 3716470-74 7672 15269 25674 32199 33512 34390 3456275* 9112 t7996 37812 58376 66734 71184 72480

TOTAL 385870 517117 602692 637453 650406 657422 659216

TOTAL M+F 771543 1028432 1189716 1253940 1280872 1296774 1301765

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 18,7 14.8 13.4 12.9 12.7 12.6DEATH RATE 7.1 9.0 113, 12.1 12.2 12.5GROWTH RATE 1.15 0.58 0.21 0.09 0.05 0.02IMR - BOTH SEXES 25.6 15.5 11.0 7.5 5.6 5.2E - BOTH SEXES 7U.92 74,73 76.79 78.A2 79.44 79.617" 7AL FRTj1r1Y ?23, 2 2.QOR7 2. 05 2.058

HIGH-INCOME ECONOMIES (OIL EXPORTERS) POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES

0-4 1693 2058 2440 2663 2817 2828 2861 2938 2887 27685-9 1410 1691 2047 2423 2642 2797 2809 2844 2922 287310-14 1105 1414 1690 2042 2415 2634 2788 2801 2836 291515-19 903 Ills 1419 1689 2035 2406 2623 2777 2790 282720-24 820 958 1149 1433 1686 2027 2393 2608 2761 277525-29 959 900 1005 1174 1434 1681 2016 2377 2590 274430-34 1005 1025 940 1026 1175 1429 1671 2001 2360 257335-39 799 .049 1049 952 1024 1169 1418 1657 1284 234140-44 585 821 1055 1047 943 1012 1154 1400 1637 196145-49 435 589 813 1037 1026 924 992 1132 1341. 160750-54 311 425 1 571 786 1001 991 894 960 1097 133355-59 222 294 401 539 742 947 939 848 913 1044

60-64 149 201 267 365 492 679 870 864 782 84365-69 99 128 173 230 317 428 594 763 759 689

70-74 67 78 101 137 183 254 345 482 621 62175+ 55 70 85 t08 145 195 271 374 523 699

TOTAL 10617 12820 15204 17650 20078 22403 24639 26826 28836 30612FEMALES0-4 1631 1983 2350 2568 2721 2734 2767 2842 2792 26765-9 1359 1633 1977 2340 2556 2711 2725 2759 2836 2787

10-14. 1060 1364 1634 1975 2336 2552 2707 2722 2756 2833

15-19 845 1064 1363 1631 1970 2331 2547 2702 2718 2753

20-24 690 858 1068 1363 1627 1965 2325 2541 2697 2713 .

25-29 604 706 865 1069 1359 1622 1958 2318 2534 2690 m30-34 532 614 710 864 1065 1352 1614 1950 2309 2526

35-39 437 536 614 706 858 1058 1344 1606 1941 2300

40-44 344 Ala 512 602 699 850 1048 1334 4595 1929

45-49 270 339 428 523 598 688 838 1035 1319 157950-54 212 262 329 417 510 584 674 822 1017 129755-59 167 202 250 316 401 492 565 654 799 990

60-64 128 155 188 234 297 379 467 538 624 76565-69 95 113 138 169 212 270 347 431 498 580

70-74 66 78 94 t15 143 180 232 300 375 436

75+ 65 79 95 116 143 180 230 299 392 504

TOTAL 8505 10421 12636 15013 17495 19948 22388 24852 27201 29360

TOTAL M*F 19122 23241 27840 32663 37572 42351 47027 51678 56036 59972

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 40.4 39.6 36.2 32.9 28.9 26.0 24.1 21.6 19.2DEATH RATE 7.1 6.4 5.9 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.6RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.34 3.31 3.04 2.74 2.36 2.08 1.88 1.62 1.36GROWTH RATE 3.90 3.61 3.20 2.80 2.39 2.10 1.89 1.62 1.36

TOTAL FERTILITY 6.704 0.346 5.629 4.829 3.937 3.281 2.860 2.491 2.204

GRR 3.270 3.096 2.746 2.356 1.921 1.600 f.395 1.215 1.075

NRR 2.933 2.833 2.555 2.222 1.827 1.536 1.352 1.184 1.052

IMR - MALE 58.9 52.2 46.9 42.4 38.3 34.6 31.6 28.9 26.7

IMR - FEMALE 48.1 41.6 35.4 29.7 24.4" 20.8 17.5 14.9 12.8

IMR - BOTH SEXES 53.6 47.1 41.3 36.2 31.7 27.8 24.7 22.1 19.9E(0) - MALE 62.73 64.23 65.37 66.31 67.19 68.02 68.69 69.32 69.92

E(0D - FEMALE 65.98 67.74 69.37 70.84 72.20 73.41 74.45 75.32 76.09

VO) - BOTH SEXES 64.19 (55. 6 5r.4 .11 70.57 71.45 72.22 72.93"cF MIGRANTS-MALE 747. '37. le, 7. 23. .. 0.NF- PTORANTS-FMR S S 58. CO.7-.- 0.

Ы I(iFi°I6 �ICOME ECO1+10MIES (OIL � XPORTEe� SD POPflbL/1TI0Ad (T6 �д0USl1tVOS)

SUI1MABdY FOft 25-ME/1i8 PERI005

AGE GROIдP � 000 20:F5 205® 20?5 2100 2125 2150

MAILES

®°4 ? ббэ 2887 2865 285 а 285 А 285 э 285 э5®� 242э 292z 2859 аеэ4 281 о 2в49 285 �� 1о -14 2о42 28 Эб 28l5 28 � 2 28 ээ 2в49 2eso�s° а9 tвея 279о 27 э� 2800 2еэ2 2847 284 в2®-24 " t4ээ 2?6I 2? э� 2е�о 28 ээ 28az 2в4э i �2s-29 tt74 259® 2вэ2 28Эв 28s¢ 28ээ 28 э7 �i1, ,эо °э +1 � � 1о28 2 эбо ?86 э 2®16 2 ео5 2821 2 еэ1э5° э9 952 1984 2as5 276 э 277 в 28 о9 28 аб40°44 1о�17 16 Э7 2?®1 2666 2754 2 ВО 1 281745°49 ° � , 10 Э7 1э71 264 э 264 э 2744 2786 279750°54 ?86 1U97 � 42? 2692 2720 2746 275555-59 � 53f 9/ э 21?6 26 ЭО 26 Э3 2658 267560-64

�эб5 ?8? 16?2 2 э9? 2451 2510 2544

6g-69 , 2э0 758 1236 2114 216 Э 2294 23 э8?0-74 t эТ 621 867 1ё52 1842 1985 2021

75+ 1ое s2 э 926 21? в 2926 э 19 э э277

TOTAL 17850 28 ВЭ6 37060 415?8 42827 43677 4 э966

FEIAALES �rn®-4 256 в 2?91 276 э 2?12 %7эо 2?28 27 а8 .5 �°9 2 э1 А 28 ЭВ 2766

�27 э® 2725 2727 2ё28

1®® � 4 1g78 2756 2729 2714 272 э 2?27 2728б5°99 86 э� 27t8 2655 2?09 2727 27 э0 272920°24 l эбэ 2697 2666 2727 27 э5 27 э1 272825-29 1069 25 Э4 2776 2754 27 э7 2728 2?26э®- э4

' ®64 2 эо9 2818 2 а54 2724 2?2 э 2725

э5° э9 706 1947 2?32 2793 27 о5 Zat!9 2' А244 о -14 6®® 15g в 2s82 2 бээ 269s 2721 272418-49 52 э 13/9 � 64 э 26 э0 27®5 27231 2?2®50-54 4/7 1017 2454 2 аЯ4 279 э 2712 2?®455-59 э � в 799 2t92

�2711 2682 2676 26?5

60°64 2 э4 624 178t 25:57 2586 261 э 262965-88 169 198 / э78 2 э88 2 АО9 4547 2544?о-?4 яIв э��5 1о�е 2 �э4 22�8 2э5э 2э?4

i5+ t18 э92 11 э7 э2А > 1158 48?0 4965

TOTAL 1501 э 27201 э718 А 128 � 0 4427 Э 44997 45151

TOTAL 11+F э266 э 560 Э6 71248 84 эВ9 87100 8867�! 89117

REI.ATED INOICATOttS

BII �T1� �tATE 26 о7 17,3 �

14 � 1 ЯЭ , 1 12.8 12.6ОЕАТН RATE 5. э

' 8.1 9.0 11.8 /2 �0 12,4

G630Y1TF6 8АТЕ 2 оЕб 1 е1 э 0,69' , ,� � ®о1э 0.®7 ®,02I�A6E _� ®OTh�6 � , ЕХ� � , 2( � .4 Аб .7 � 2. fl 8 � 5 5.6 5. ЭГs � г� fl ® � ОТ9� � � k� t� � `� � , � 1 � �д�� э �nг� � 2�"� 771.t Ам Т� . �Я® 'T � ,. � i ��r гSA";Qfl. � f� 68iГft � flTf � ^_ � � 1� 1 � ', ^ � �̀ � г , � г̂% � . � '" �'згА� � :. � ` �̀̂ �?t ,,. �J �'� � ,

INDUSTRIAL MARKET ECONOMIES POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 25434 24957 24482 24746 24721 24624 24680 24965 25019 24894

5-9 25757 25521 25008 24496 24735 24705 24605 24659 24944 24996

10-14 27384 25826 25563 25023 24492 24728 24695 24593 24646 24928

15-19 29455 27436 25853 25562 25005 2.. i I 1 24704 24671 24568 24620

20-24 30788 29569 27501 25866 25539 24974 24436 24667 24631 24525

25-29 29866 30953 29662 27527 25848 25509 24937 24397 24625 24583

30-34 28641 29993 31010 29661 27494 25809 25464 24891 24352 24574

35-39 28773 28684 29982 30951 29582 27421 25740 25396 24827 24288

40-44 23588 2"94 28578 29839 30790 29434 27291 25623 2528P 24723

45-49 21666 23374 28412 28287 29533 30486 29159 27052 25410 25085

50-54 20027 21234 22913 27859 27747 28987 29947 28668 2662211 25024

55-59 18981 19269 20468 22105 26902 26819 28046 29012 27809 25859

60-64 16658 17783 18107 19240 20608 25364 25322 26522 27484 26393

65-69 12220 14941 15998 16332 17386 18843 23023 23034 24179 25117

70-74 10668 10201 12522 13460 13787 14714 15997 19612 19679 20719

75+ 13322 14520 14849 16825 18618 19874 21314 23134 26949 29115

TOTAL 363230 372974 380909 387778 392988 396762 399360 400896 401030 399442

FEMALES0-4 24404 23920 23439 236793 23634 23527 23565 23820 23855 23717

5-9 24578 24540 24013 23491 23698 23651 23538 23572 23824 23853

10-14 26146 24675 24608 24052 23510 23711 23660 23544 23575 23824

15-19 28150 26249 24748 24649 24072 23523 23720 23666 23547 23575

20-24 29558 28341 26386 24827 24686 24098 23542 23732 23673 23547

25-29 29190 29779 28497 26474 24868 24714 24117 23554 23739 23671

30-34 28259 29345 29883 28550 26494 24881 24721 24119 23554 23733

35-39 28462 28337 29388 29892 28540 26483 24870 24709 24107 23540

40-44 23450 28450 28309 29341 29835 28489 26440 24833 24675 24076

45-49 21793 23353 28321 28179 29210 29710 28378 26347 24753 24602

50-54 20463 21577 23135 28064 27938 28976 29487 28 lei I 26i80 246io

55-59 2035t 20114 21216 22764 27641 27543 28590 29118 27853 25901

60-64 19864 19752 19539 20630 22167 26960 26901 27960 28514 27312

65-69 15480 18793 18715 18549 19625 21138 25772 25771 26840 27426

70-74 14681 13932 16945 16929 16843 17879 19326 23652 23731 24793

75+ 23476 25062 25431 28254 30023 31152 32844 35227 40485 43855

TOTAL 378297 386218 392573 398319 402783 406434 409471 411805 412906 412035

TOTAL M*F 741526 759191 773482 786097 795771 803196 808831 812701 813936 811477

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 13.2 12.6 12,5 12,3 12.2 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.0

DEATH RATE 9.2 9.5 9.6 10.1 10.4 10.8 il.2 11.8 12.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.39 0.32 0.29 0.23 0. f7 0 13 0.09 0.03 -0.06

GROWTH RATE 0.47 0.37 0-32 0_124 0.19 0.14 0.10 0.03 -0.06

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.706 1.703 1.794 1.874 1.932 1.986 2.043 2.066 2.065

GRR 0.830 0.828 0.873 0.912 0.940 0.966 0.994 1.005 1.005

NRR 0.834 0.829 0.864 0.900 0.932 0.961 0-989 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 16.3 15.1 14.1 13.2 12.4 11.5 10.6 9.8 8.9

IMR - FEMALE 5.6 5 4 5.1 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.0 3.8 3-7

IMR - BOTH SEXES 11.1 10.4 9.7 9.1 8.6 8.0 7.4 6.9 6.3

E(O) MALE 73.09 73.47 73.82 74.15 74.,48 r 74.83 75.18 75.53 75.89

E(O) FEMALE 79.34 79.54 79.82 80.17 80.51 80.85 81.18 81-51 81.84

E(O) BOTH SEXES 76.27 76 56 76.86 77.20 77.53 77.87 78.22 78.56 78 91

NET MIGRANTS-MALE 1645 1159. 684. 370. 267. 189. 136. 91. 22.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE 1375 99A 597. ?20 2 11 '111) . 176. 123. sa. 28.

NET MIGRATION RAFE 0.8 0.6 0.3 O 2 o.q 0.1 0-1 0.0 0 0

INDUSTRIAL MARKET ECONOMIES POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 24746 25019 24959 24928 24922 24924 249265-9 24496 24944 24899 24892 24902 24907 2490810-14 25023 24646 24825 24874 24893 24896 2489515-19 25562 24568 24781 2487t 24879 24875 2487220-24 25866 24631 24793 24862 24845 24835 24832 I25-29 27527 24625 24872 24823 24793 24787 2478930-34 29661 24352 24773 24739 24733 24742 2474735-39 30951 24827 24433 24625 24674 24693 2469640-44 29839 25286 24289 24518 24608 24616 2461245-49 28287 25410 24219 24400 24468 24451 2444150-54 27859 26622 23917 24187 24141 24111 2410655-59 22105 27809 23056 23498 23466 23460 2346960-64 19240 27484 22420 22125 22300 22344 2236165-69 16332 24179 21024 20277 20470 20544 2055170-74 13460 19679 18330 17569 17702 17752 1773975+ 16825 26949 32582 28959 28940 28960 28960

TOTAL 387778 401030 388173 384147 384734 384896 384905

FEMALES

0-4 23673 23855 23747 23714 23709 23711 23712 005-9 23491 23824 23708 23696 23704 23709 2371110-14 24052 23575 23653 23690 23708 23711 2371015-19 24649 23547 23645 23707 23715 23711 2370820-24 24827 23673 23707 23733 23715 23706 2370425-29 26474 23739 23841 23735 23702 23697 2369830-34 28550 23554 23805 23691 23679 23688 2369335-39 29892 24107 23546 23627 23663 23681 2368440-44 29341 24675 23496 23597 23659 23667 2366345-49 28179 24753 23568 23608 23634 23616 2360650-54 28064 26180 23518 23632 23527 23495 2349055-59, 22764 27853 23118 23390 23279 23267 2327560-64 20630 28514 23260 22760 22839 22875 2289265-69 18549 26840 22998 21967 22062 22120 2212770-74 16929 23731 21475 20542 20579 20601 2058675+ 28254 40485 49106 43972 43417 43289 43271

TOTAL 398319 412906 400192 393060 392590 392541 392530

TOTAL MtF 786097 813936 788365 777207 777324 777438 777434

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 12.2 12.2 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 10.9 13.5 13.1 12.6 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.14 -0.13 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 8.0 5.7 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3E40) - BOTH SEXES 77.88 79.30 79.60 79.60 79.60 79.60TOTAL FERTILITY 9.977 2.064 2.064 2,064 2.064 2.064

NONREPORTING NONMEMBER ECONOMIES POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2QJ5 2020 2025 2030MALES

0-4 16871 16916 16666 16700 16956 17208 17326 17236 17211 17234

5-9 15919 16645 16712 16478 16530 1680s 17067 17201 17129 1711910-14 14937 15839 16569 16641 16412 16465 16740 17011 17150 1708515-19 14143 14845 15751 16485 16563 16337 16394 16674 16949 1709320-24 16020 14010 14719 15629 16368 16451 16232 16296 16581 1686225-29 15854 15844 13870 14586 15499 16241 16331 16121 16192 1648330-34 13929 15670 15680 13739 14459 15372 16118 16216 16014 16092

35-39 i0881 13740 15478 15507 13598 14320 15234 15984 16090 15897

40-44 8835 10656 13516 15246 15293 13422 14146 15060 15414. 1592945-49 11842 8606 10428 13213 14925 14991 13171 13895 14805 1556050-54 9080 11378 8288 10063 12773 14452 14540 12793 135110'I 14412

55-59 9067 8533 10722 7834 9531 12124 13744 13857 12211 12915

60-64 5133 8232 7776 9804 7186 8766 11181 12706 12842 1134065-69 3285 4422 7121 6758 6552 6296 7706 9860 11237 11392

70-74 3395 2604 3526 5707 5444 6922 5124 6297 8086 9247

75+ 3750 4055 3682 4185 5982 6690 8129 7586 8212 9857

TOTAL 172942 182026 190505 198574 206070 212857 219184 224792 230036 234518FEMALES0-4 16560 16565 16291 16298 16526 16752 16842 16730 16684 16687

5-9 15354 16440 16454 16187 16204 16443 16677 16777 16677 16641

10-14 14265 15316 16406 16422 16156 16173 16414 16651 16755 16659

15-19 13715 14225 15281 16374 16393 16127 16146 16390 16629 16735

20-24 15515 13659 14177 15238 16337 16358 16094 16115 16360 16602

25-29 15341 15441 13603 14128 15194 16295 16318 16056 16079 1632730-34 13611 15258 15371 13548 14078 15145 16248 16274 16014 16040

35-39 10903 13522 15174 15297 13488 14020 15088 16192 16221 15964

40-44 9174 10806 13419 15071 15203 13410 13944 15012 16116 16148

45-49 12629 9054 10619 i3277 14924 i50sw 13294 13830 i4L95 55997

50-54 10186 12379 8887 10498 13069 14705 14857 13116 13652 14711

55-59 lIG52 9873 12028 8649 10235 12760 14375 14538 12844 13377

60-64 8589 10993 9424 1S588 8298 9840 12292 13868 14044 12417

65-69 5984 7896 10157 8742 10723 7744 9208 11532 13036 1322370-74 7042 5147 6864 8886 7683 9466 6859 8185 10282 11651

75+ 9254 10233 9386 10373 12578 12892 14572 13477 14006 16053

TOTAL 189654 196806 203601 210506 217089 223195 229230 234743 240295 245234

TOTAL M+F 362596 378832 394105 409080 423159 436052 448414 459535 470331 479752

DEATH RATE 10.1 9.9 9.6 9.9 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.3 10.6

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.89 0.80 0.75 0.68 8.60 0.56 0.49 0.46 0.40

GROWTH RATE 0.88 0.79 0.75 0.68 0.60 0.56 0.49 0.46 0.40

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.428 2.391 2,354 2.305 2.252 2.209 2,167 2.145 2.128

GRR 1.185 1.167 1.149 1.125 1.099 1.078 1.058 1.047 1.039NRR 1.132 1.119 1.108 1.088 1.064 1.046 1.029 1.022 1.017

IMR - MALE 49.5 46.0 42.3 38.6 35.2 32.3 29.6 27.3 25.2

IMR - FEMALE 25.8 23.8 21.5 19.0 te.6 15.0 13.5 12.3 11.2

IMR - BOTH SEXES 37.9 35.2 32.1 29.1 26.1.< 23.8 21.8 20.0 18.3

E(0) - MALE 65.53 66.42 67.23 67.94 68.60 69.21 69.80 70.35 70.86

E(0) - FEMALE 73.85 74.67 75.36 75.94 76.45 76.89 77.26 77.61 77.92

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 69.87 70.69 71.42 72.05 72.62 73.14 73.6A 74.06 74.46

%.'E T VG'?ANTS-MALE -72 . - IS. 0. 2.,. .C. 0.

N`- T At ~-FEMA'.E -7'. - 17-I.- .

NONREPORTING NONMEMBER ECONOMIES POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 16700 17211 17274 17346 17372 17378 173805-9 16478 17129 17201 17306 17355 17363 1736810-14 16641 17150 17162 17272 17342 17352 1735815-19 16485 16949 17126 17228 17319 17333 1734220-24 < 15629 16581 17018 17166 17285 17303 1731425-29 14586 1692 16895 17096 17233 17271 1728330-34 13739 16014 16809 17008 17177 17237 17252 11I'35-39 15507 16090 16756 16920 17111 17194 1721240-44 t5246 15814 16457 16643 17017 17126 1714945-49 13213 14805 15941 16587 16859 16998 1702950-54 10063 135i 15275 16226 16581 16743 1679555-59 7834 12211 14574 15675 16074 16271 1635060-64 9804 12842 13761 14815 15243 15464 1556965-69 6758 11237 12191 13289 13932 14168 1429670-74 5707 8086 9624 11050 11911 12184 1233075+ 4185 8212 12861 16463 18886 19670 20054

TOTAL 198574 230036 246925 258259 264696 267054 268081

FEMALESoa

0-4 16298 16684 16663 16643 16641 16640 16640 Co5-9 16187 16677 16642 16641 16640 t6639 1663810-14 16422 16755 16645 16648 96639 16638 1663715-19 16374 16629 16657 16639 16637 16636 1663620-24 15238 16360 16619 16634 16632 16634 1663425-29 14128 16079 16578 16626 16628 16630 1663130-34 13548 16014 16577 16602 16622 16626 1662735-39 15297 16221 t6622 16587 16613 16617 1661940-44 15071 6116 16447 16567 16592 16598 1660345-49 13277 14895 16096 16471 16546 16555 1656450-54 10498 13652 15673 16321 16454 16473 1648555-59 8649 12844 15361 16127 16274 16318 1633660-64 11518 14044 15143 15830 15976 16037 1606365-69 8742 13036 14302 15036 15401 15480 1551870-74 8886 10282 11989 13570 14233 14377 1443075+ 10373 14006 20334 26006 29128 29958 30294

TOTAL 210506 240295 258349 268943 273656 274857 275355

TOTAL M+F 409080 470331 505274 527202 538352 541910 543436

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 15.8 14.1 13.3 12.8 12.7 12.6DEATH RATE 10.2 11.2 11.6 t2.0 12,4 12.5GROWTH RATE 0.56 0.29 0,17 ., 0.08 0.03 0.01IMR - BOTH SEXES 24.t 15.2 9.4 6.2 5.6 5.3E(0) BOTH SEXES 73.12 75,36 77.67 79.20 79,44 79.60T0TAL FERTILITY 2.1f6 2.09-f 2.060 2, 2.052.057

REGIONAL SUMMARY

E U R O P E , I D D L E E A S T A N D

N O R T H A ( R I C A EN) R E G IO N

EMENA POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 61061 64732 67114 68750 69661 70395 71226 71265 70806 70483

5-9 55967 59874 63592 66061 67817 68832 69657 70579 70711 70343

10-14 52773 55623 59534 63255 65743 67522 68560 69409 70353 70510

15-19 50800 52408 55262 59166 62888 65389 67187 68251 69121 70088

20-24 50022 50313 51928 54777 58671 62388 64901 66727 67820 68721

25-29 47099 4947.9 49793 51411 54256 58138 61847 64381 66235 67364

30-34 42149 46557 48951 49281 50905 53746 57616 61327 63879 65765

35-39 35468 41587 45979 48376 48726 50355 53192 57056 60766 63340

40-44 28798 3V4977 40920 45272 47676 48048 49680 52514 5636?. 60069

45-49 31431 28105 34102 40015 44315 46717 47115 48748 51564 55383

50-54 27225 30293 27149 32988 38723 42933 45319 45747 4736611i 1, 50143

55-59 25491 25718 28688 25756 31356 36824 40883 43225 43680 45265

60-64 18809 23331 23625 26391 23758 28992 34064 37883 40132 40613

65-69 12302 16431 20430 20736 23221 20981 25676 30186 33637 35728

70-74 11792 9926 13370 16617 16933 19020 17264 21205 24941 27864

75+ 14037 15041 14316 16512 19967 21967 24557 24690 27771 32120

TOTAL 565224 604296 644753 685363 724615 762245 798744 833194 865145 893800

FEMALES0-4 58663 62217 64489 66105 67004 67744 68554 68580 68126 67769

5-9 53120 57597 61200 63581 65334 66359 67197 68100 68219 67843

10-14 49934 52832 57315 60928 63337 65122 66175 67040 67968 68110

15-19 48276 49645 52557 57044 60669 63102 64914 65997 66887 67838

20-24 47670 47918 49307 52236 56730 60367 62823 64669 65785 66702

25-29 44699 47278 47543 48956 51904 56401 60046 62530 64408 65557 0030-34 40412 44301 46891 47175 48609 51572 56070 59724 62232 64142

35-39 34495 40007 43896 46497 46799 48252 51224 55721 59383 61913

40-44 28698 34098 39566 43452 46060 46378 47845 50824 55313 58977

45-49 32127 28250 3319 39028 A9898 45508 45841 47317 50293 54762

50-54 28366 31438 27666 32979 38304 42145 44747 45096 4657b 49535

55-59 28929 27466 30498 26865 32089 37294 41081 43662 44028 45503

60-64 24365 27532 26199 29158 25720 30802 35823 39519 42058 42444

65-69 16990 22490 25465 24306 27128 23979 28810 33534 37063 39516

70-74 18213 14764 19685 22347 21414 23984 21262 25656 29889 33114

75+ 26564 28403 26870 30162 34230 35886 39039 38770 42387 47976

TOTAL 581519 616236 652764 690821 728230 764893 801451 836741 870614 901700

TOTAL M+F 1146743 1220532 1297517 1376184 1452845 1527139 1600195 1669935 1735759 1795500

DEATH RATE 10.6 10.1 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.3RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.25 1.22 1.18 1.08 1.00 . 0.94 0.85 0.77 0.68

GROWTH RATE 1.25 1.22 1.18 1.08 1.00 0.93 0.85 0.77 0.68

TOTAL FERTILITY 3.064 3.004 2.930 2.806 2.664 2.533 2.402 2.288 2.206

GRR 1.492 1.463 1.427 1.367 1.297 1.234 1.170 1.114 1.074

NRR 1.343 1.331 1.318 1.276 1.220 1.169 1.117 1.070 1.037

IMR - MALE 66.1 60.7 55.5 50.1 46.0 41.9 37.8 34.0 30.3

IMR - FEMALE 53.7 48.8 43.1 37.6 33.1 29.0 25.1 21.6 18.4

IMR - BOTH SEXES 60.1 54,9 49.5 44.0 39.7 35.6 31.6 28.0 24.5

E(0) - MALE 65.14 65.97 66.50 67.19 67,81I, 68.43 69.05 69.63 70.25

E(0) - FEMALE 70.98 71.62 72.30 73.01 73.71 74.38 75.02 75.65 76.25

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 68.10 68.82 69.42 70.11 70.77 71.41 72.04 72.65 73.26

NET MIGRANTS-MALE 121. l00. 101. 74. 48. 3. 15. 4. 0.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -31. -78 27, 7, -2.NET MIGRATION RATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ZwO 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

EMENA POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 200 17 2125 2150

0-4 68750 70806 70699 70670 70698 70739 707565-9 66061 70711 703b6 70440 70581 70679 7070710-14 63255 70353 69924 70260 70510 70640 7066915-19 59166 69121 69500 70129 70435 70567 7060120-24 54777 67820 69470 70020 70299 70431 7048125-29 514ti 66235 69322 69829 70070 70255 7035130-34 49281 63879 69237 69418 69767 70071 70222 i'*35-39 48376 60766 68548 68760 69419 69871 7006840-44 45272 56363 66889 68014 69041 69598 6981545-49 40015 51564 64944 67430 68478 69073 6930950-54 32988 47366 62175 66196 67346 68002 6831555-59 25756 43680 57771 64035 65091 65989 6645560-64 26391 40132 51584 59904 61254 62609 6325865-69 20736 33637 43180 53150 55485 57308 5808770-74 16617 24941 33455 44047 47376 49281 5009075+ 16512 27771 44916 62690 73703 78798 81257

TOTAL 685363 865145 981969 1044992 1069551 1083913 1090443

FEMALES

000-4 66105 68126 67775 67546 67460 67435 67438 L.5-9 63581 68219 67615 67442 67426 67428 6743410-14 60928 67968 67333 67364 67424 67434 6743415-19 57044 66887 67095 67374 67445 67441 6742920-24 52236 65785 67307 67461 67454 67430 6741425-29 48956 64408 67422 67491 67402 67395 6739930-34 47175 62232 67555 67306 67276 67348 6738035-39 46497 59383 67106 66908 67127 67306 6735740-44 43452 55313 65750 66481 67015 67251 6730345-49 39028 50293 64234 66355 66863 67090 6714450-54 32979 46575 62179 65878 66449 66700 6680255-59 26865 44028 58955 65001 . 65479 65940 6617060-64 29158 42058 54552 62893 63724 64648 6505465-69 24306 37063 48168 58726 60778 62300 6286370-74 22347 29889 39684 52347 55902 577B6 58465

75+ 30162 42387 66138 92602 109806 118230 122116

TOTAL 690821 870614 998869 1069176 1095029 1109161 1115201

TOTAL M+F 1376184 1735759 1980838 2114168 2164581 2193074 2205644

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 18.6 15.1 13.6 13.0 12.8 12.6DEATH RATE 9.3 9.8 11.0 12.1 12.2 12.4GROWTH RATE 0.93 0.53 0.26 0.09 0.05 0.02IMR - BOTH SEXES 35.8 19.4 11.8 8.3 6.1 5.3E(O) - BOTH SEXES 71.45 74.38 76.57 78.08 79.15 79.58TOTAL FERTILITY 2.526 2.130 2.081 2.070 2.064 2.062

EMENA (BORROWERS) POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 35915 39977 42866 44417 45241 45865 46621 46606 46171 45890

5-9 31094 34874 38965 41924 43584 44503 45211 46048 46117 45766

10-14 27564 30811 34594 38683 41656 43335 44275 45004 45859 45950

15-19 24740 27282 30531 34305 38388 41368 43063 44024 44770 45645

20-24 21557 24380 26924 30164 33924 37994 40979 42693 43678 44450

25-29 19655 21183 23999 26540 29771 33514 37570 40562 42297 43313

30-34 17055 19294 20827 23629 26165 29388 33116 37162 40161 41921

35-39 13083 16697 18927 20451 23238 25768 28980 32694 3672C 39736

40-44 10t4 12738 16301 18499 20016 22779 25298 28496 3218 ' 36201

45-49 9553 9784 12329 15798 17962 19461 22187 24684 27849111 31501

50-54 8732 9075 9326 11783 15134 17239 18707 21371 23821 26929

55-59 7421 8109 8466 8707 11044 14222 16234 17649 20206 22575

60-64 5606 6649 7313 7641 7880 10040 12966 14838 16164 18558

65-69 3666 4749 5689 6263 6568 6796 8706 11283 12949 14144

70-74 3063 2837 3736 4483 4963 5229 5431 7002 9112 10497

75+ 3216 3492 3514 4151 5000 5766 6350 6805 8181 10394

TOTAL 242075 271932 304308 337436 370531 403265 435695 466920 496247 523471

FEMALES0-4 34246 38228 41032 42600 43440 44094 44856 44860 44457 44163

5-9 29283 33212 37239 40148 41851 42812 43564 44417 44511 44186

10-14 25933 29007 32942 36979 39914 41647 42639 43415 44292 44408

15-19 23255 25660 28748 32687 36734 39692 41452 42471 43272 44170

20-24 20346 22918 25344 28450 32396 36451 39433 41223 42273 43101

25-29 18276 19992 22576 25023 28146 32095 36158 39161 40982 42064

30-34 16007 17936 19659 22251 24715 27851 31799 35867 38891 40742

35 3 12460 15G1 17611 19338 21933 24408 27552 31497 35567 38610

40-44 10029 12174 15357 17281 19006 21598 24079 27224 31i59 35226

45-49 9636 9744 11868 15001 16910 18627 21205 23683 26819 30733

50-54 8736 9288 9407 11497 14563 16448 18147 20699 23160 26274

55-59 7832 8304 8852 8980 11020 13994 15841 17508 20015 22445

60-64 6122 7270 7738 8272 8412 10377 13218 15003 16619 19051

65-69 4166 5459 6512 6963 7473 7624 9465 12104 13783 15311

70-74 3680 3443 4574 5484 5899 6363 6516 8154 10476 11981

75+ 4487 4938 5017 5963 7189 8196 9135 9800 11498 14297

TOTAL 234496 263255 294475 326917 359601 392278 425058 457086 487776 516761

TOTAL M+F 476571 535187 598783 664354 730133 795543 860753 924005 984023 1040232

DEATH RATE 11.0 9.9 9.1 8.4 7.9 7.6 7.3 7.2 7.3

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.33 2.25 2.08 1.89 1.72 1.58 1.42 1.26 1.11

GROWTH RATE 2.32 2.25 2.08 1.89 1.72 1.58 1.42 1.26 1.11

TOTAL FERTILITY 4.668 4.373 3.999 3.584 3.200 2.891 2.624 2.418 2.283

GRR 2.273 2.129 1.948 1.745 1.558 1.408 1.278 1.178 1.112

NRR 1.919 1.841 1.711 1.559 1.413 1.296 1.191 1.109 1.058

IMR - MALE 86.5 78.2 71.0 63.8 58.3 52.8 47.6 42.7 37.7

IMR - FEMALE 77.6 69.0 60.5 52.5 46.2 40.2 34.7 29.7 25.1

IMR - BOTH SEXES 82.2 73.7 65.9 58.3 52,4 46.7 41.3 36.4 31.6

E(0) - MALE 59.23 60.82 61-77 63.03 64.10 65.12 66.11 67.00 67.93

E(O) - FEMALE 62.66 64.16 65.68 67.22 68.65 69.97 71.18 72.32 73.36

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 60.92 62.46 63.69 65.09 A.34 e7.51 68.62 69.64 70.62

NET MIGRANTS-MALE -17. 19. 50. 44. 32. 21. 8. 0. 0.

LACT MIrDAbTC-_VMAl -I17 -A -A A 8. 6. 3. 0. 0.

EMENA (BORROWERS) POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 44417 46171 45983 45889 45906 45948 459655-9 41924 46117 45696 45702 45809 45906 4593310-14 38683 45859 45335 45565 45754 45880 4590915-19 34305 44770 44999 45482 45700 45830 4586320-24 30164 43678 45062 45426 45597 45731 4578225-29 26540 42297 44957 45293 45424 45598 45695 111-30-34 23629 40161 44943 44962 45188 45459 4560835-39 20451 36726 44429 44427 44924 45314 4550740-44 18499 32186 43018 43845 44656 45125 4533945-49 15798 27849 41458 43497 44276 44764 4499950-54 11783 23821 39251 42612 43487 44035 4433655-59 8707 20206 35758 41142 41896 42676 4311060-64 7641 16164 30488 38270 39224 40429 4102065-69 6263 12949 23875 33489 35313 36952 3765570-74 4483 9112 17244 27325 30019 31725 3245575+ 4151 8181 19081 36312 45608 50220 52499

TOTAL 337436 496247 611575 669238 688780 701592 707676

FEMALES 00Ln

0-4 42600 44457 44120 43912 43831 43808 438105-9 40148 44511 43963 43815 43802 43803 4380810-14 36979 44292 43707 43747 43802 43810 4380915-19 32687 43272 43504 43761 43823 43817 4380620-24 28450 42273 43731 43840 43831 43808 4379425-29 25023 40982 43799 43859 43780 43778 4378330-34 22251 38891 43903 43682 43666 43740 4377135-39 19338 35567 43511 43324 43537 43711 4375940-44 17281 31159 42261 42960 43450 43676 4372645-49 15001 26819 40936 42910 43343 43567 4362150-54 11497 23160 39131 42510 43025 43285 4339255-59 8980 20015 36287 41836 42268 42742 4297360-64 8272 16619 31949 40202 40930 41845 4224565-69 6963 13783 26226 36942 38792 40270 4082270-74 5484 10476 20084 32289 35472 37285 3795975+ 5963 11498 26439 51639 67034 75148 78996

TOTAL 326917 487776 613553 681229 704386 718093 724076

TOTAL M+F 664354 984023 1225128 1350468 1393166 1419685 1431752

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 23.4 16.7 14.1 13.2 12.8 12.7DEATH RATE 7.7 7.9 10.2 11.9 12.1 12.3GROWTH RATE 1.57 0.88 0.3< 0.12 0.08 0.03IMR - BOTH SEXES 47.0 24.5 14.4 9.9 6.6 5.3E()- BOTH SEXES 67.62 72.33 75.26 77.23 78.90 79.56TOTAL FERTILITY 2.887 2. 63 2.02Z0 2.075 2.065 2.062

EMENA DEPARTMENT I POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 12151 14049 14903 15302 15357 15854 16516 16929 16815 16333

5-9 10262 11742 13628 14512 14951 15052 15582 16280 16732 16663

10-14 9342 10147 11627 13509 14398 14846 14958 15496 16202 16666

15-19 8417 9222 10030 11509 13384 14277 14732 14856 15402 16118

20-24 7183 8244 9059 9875 11352 13216 14114 14581 14719 15278

25-29 6108 6995 8064 8891 9712 11182 13036 13941 14421 14579

30-34 5010 5933 6828 7901 8733 9553 11019 12864 13777 14275

35-39 3627 .,4848 5772 6668 7736 8567 9386 10848 12686 13610

40-44 2980 3489 4686 5604 6491 7548 8376 9195 10641 12479

45-49 2669 2840 3341 4503 5403 6275 7315 8137 8951 10395

50-54 2414 2505 2677 3163 4273 5145 5993 7006 781 8618

55-59 1964 2 12 2303 2471 2931 3972 4802 5612 6582 7367

60-64 1395 1730 1958 2047 2206 2630 3576 4343 5095 6001

65-69 943 1155 1443 1644 1726 1871 2244 3063 3742 4414

70-74 731 709 878 1108 1272 1343 1465 1769 2427 2988

75+ 667 755 785 918 1141 1363 1524 1695 1999 2616

TOTAL 75864 86574 97982 109623 121066 132694 144639 156613 168016 178400

FEMALES0-4 11486 13321 14187 14614 14716 15232 15907 16329 16232 15752

5-9 9438 11021 12858 13773 14263 14428 14993 15715 16184 16126

10-14 8576 9312 10897 12734 13662 14165 14347 14925 15660 16140

15-19 7729 8451 9194 10781 12617 13555 14073 14271 14861 15607

20-24 6690 7575 8307 9059 10648 12483 13433 13967 14183 14787

25-29 5529 6529 7417 8162 8922 10512 12344 13307 13859 14092

30-34 4612 5379 6378 7270 8024 8789 10380 12211 13186 13753

35-39 3302 4412 5239 6-23 7127 7888 8658 10249 12077 13064

40-44 2835 3192 4339 5101 6092 6982 7748 8521 10108 1iv32

45-49 2550 2725 3081 4199 4955 5936 6821 7588 8361 9939

50-54 2206 2425 2601 2954 4037 4781 5747 6621 7386 8154

55-59 1945 2060 2275 2450 2797 3835 4562 5505 6361 7116

60-64 1284 1761 1877 2085 2258 2594 3572 4270 5177 6004

65-69 933 1103 1528 1643 1838 2005 2321 3213 3865 4713

70-74 721 737 882 1237 1344 1518 1670 1952 2718 3295

75+ 728 833 901 1045 1386 1651 1932 2208 2586 3383

TOTAL 70564 80897 91960 103342 114686 126354 138509 150852 162804 173855

TOTAL M+F 146428 167471 189942 212966 235752 259048 283147 307465 330820 352254

DEATH RATE 12.1 10.9 9.8 8.9 8.2 7.7 7.3 7.1 7.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.72 2.54 2.29 2.03 1.89 1.78 1.65 1.46 1.26

GROWTH RATE 2.69 2.52 2.29 2,03 1.88 1.78 1.65 1.46 1.26

TOTAL FERTILITY 5.345 4.857 4.348 3.810 3.417 3.115 2.864 2.629 2.411

GRR 2.607 2.369 2.121 1.858 1.667 1.519 1.397 1.283 1.176

NRR 2.046 1.915 1.763 1.590 1.460 1.361 1.278 1.194 1.110

IMR - MALE 95.3 87.9 80.7 73.9 67.3 60.7 54.0 47.6 40.8

IMR - FEMALE 94.2 84.6 75.3 66.2 57.9 49.6 41.9 35.1 29.2

IMR - BOTH SEXES 94.8 86.3 78.1 70.1 q2.7 55.3 48.1 41.5 35.2

E(0) - MALE 55.83 57.25 58.61 59.91 61.21 62.50 63.79 65.10 66.49

E(0) - FEMALE 56.90 58.91 60.85 62.81 64.69 66.51 68.22 69.83 71.26

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 56.35 58.05 59.70 61.32 42.'1 64.46 65.96 67.42 68.84

NET MIGRANTS-MALE -189. -105. -35. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.

EMENA DEPARTMENT I POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

SUMMARY FOR 25-VEAR PERIODS

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 15302 16815 16458 16252 16203 16202 162125-9 14512 16732 16213 16108 16157 16194 1620510-14 13509 16202 15727 16018 16159 16201 1620115-19 11509 15402 15524 16070 16192 16198 1618420-24 9875 14719 16040 16210 16189 16162 1614825-29 8891 14421 16363 16234 16097 16096 16114 ,I[30-34 7901 13777 16291 15974 15935 16033 16090

35-39 6668 12686 15673 15437 15803 16003 16071

40-44 5604 10651 14765 15157 15791 15988 1602745-49 4503 8951 13925 15520 15815 15893 15906

50-54 3163 7815 13322 15553 15603 15603 1565355-59 2471 6582 12186 14960 14901 15046 1520860-64 2047 5095 10430 13545 13647 14216 1449265-69 1644 3742 7788 11532 12225 13057 1334770-74 1108 2427 5414 9204 10724 11317 11530

75+ 918 1999 5900 12276 16416 17803 18586

TOTAL 109623 168016 212019 236050 243855 248012 249973

FEMALES

0-4 14614 16232 15808 15567 15502 15494 15502

5-9 13773 16184 15612 15448 15473 15497 15506

10-14 12734 15660 15177 15377 15488 15512 15510

15-19 10781 14861 15027 15457 15539 15524 15506

20-24 9059 14183 15589 15636 15567 15513 15493

25-29 8162 13859 15970 15709 15510 15478 15486

30-34 7270 13186 15931 15502 15384 15446 15486

35-39 6235 12077 15335 15031 15288 15449 15495

40-44 5101 10108 14445 14821 15326 15477 15493

45-49 4199 8361 13643 15267 15429 15459 15448

50-54 2954 7386 13115 15459 15366 15315 15343

55-59 2450 6361 12156 15103 14936 15030 15177

60-64 2085 5177 10670 14048 14110 14654 14934

65-69 1643 3865 8308 12452 13254 14147 14470

70-74 1237 2718 6028 10530 12437 13191 13476

75+ 1045 2586 7696 16353 23020 26055 27849

TOTAL 103342 162804 210510 237753 247630 253241 256173

TOTAL M+F 212966 330820 422529 473804 491485 501253 506146

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 25.5 17.3 14.3 13.3 12.9 12.6

DEATH RATE 7.9 7.5 9.7 11.8 12.1 12.3

GROWTH RATE 1.76 0.98 0.46 .,.. , 0.15 0.08 0.04

IMR - BOTH SEXES 55.3 26.4 14.0 9.9 6.8 5.2

E(0 - BOTH SEXES 64.68 71.23 75.00 76.94 78.68 79,60TOTAL FERTILITY 3.104 2.190 2.059 2.075 2.064 2.058

EMENA DEPARTMENT II POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 4543 5077 5549 5820 5958 5972 5969 5891 5682 5698

5-9 3910 4432 4976 5462 5753 5903 5926 5929 5856 5652

10-14 3621 3882 4404 4949 5436 5730 5882 5907 5912 5841

15-19 3196 3591 3853 4374 4919 5408 5703 5857 5883 5890

20-24 2581 3158 3550 3813 4333 4878 5367 5664 5820 5849

25-29 2162 2544 3115 3506 3770 4291 4836 5324 5622 5781

30-34 1725 2128 2507 3073 3464 3731 4250 4794 5283 5582

35-39 1239 1§93 2091 2466 3029 3420 3689 4207 4749 5237

40-44 896 1g,6 1655 2047 2419 2977 3367 3636 4151 1 4691

45-49 899 867 1171 1606 1990 2358 2907 3293 3562 4072

50-54 794 857, 827 1121 1539 1913 2273 2807 3186 11' J 3452

55-59 681 740 800 774 1050 1447 1804 2149 2660 3025

60-64 498 612 666 722 700 953 1319 1650 1972 2448

65-69 418 423 522 569 619 602 825 1147 1440 1728

70-74 299 325 331 40o 448 490 480 662 924 1166

75+ 303 330 364 386 454 516 578 605 750 1010

TOTAL 27765 31869 36381 41097 45882 50590 55176 59522 63452 67123

FEMALES0-4 4340 4896 5351 5614 5748 5769 5769 5697 5496 5512

5-9 3713 4245 4812 5282 5565 5715 5744 5749 5682 5485

10-14 3444 3689 4222 4791 5264 5551 5703 5735 5742 5676

15-19 3029 3419 3666 4200 4770 5247 5537 5692 5726 5735

20-24 2533 2998 3388 3638 4174 4747 5227 5520 5678 5714

25-29 2118 2501 2964 3355 3609 4148 4724 5207 5502 5663 0

30-34 1702 2087 2468 2931 3323 3581 4122 4701 5185 5484

35-39 1287 1674 2055 2435 2896 3291 3553 4096 4675 5161

40-44 991 1261 1643 2021 2399 2860 3256 3521 4063 4643

45-49 1031 966 1231 i607 1980 2355 2914 ?2!0 3477 4018

50-54 844 996 935 1193 1559 1927 2299 2754 3147 3416

55-59 741 803 950 893 1142 1497 1857 2223 2670 3059

60-64 499 688 747 885 834 1072 1413 1760 2116 2550

65-69 419 443 613 667 794 753 974 1292 1619 1955

70-74 299 344 366 509 557 668 640 835 1116 1407

75+ 339 373 426 472 605 715 864 931 1127 1460

TOTAL 27330 31382 35837 40494 45218 49896 54496 58921 63020 66938

TOTAL M+F 55095 63251 72218 81591 91099 100486 109672 118443 126473 134061

DEATH RATE! 9.2 8.1 7.2 6.4 5.9 5.6 5.6 5.6 6.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.76 2.66 2.44 2.21 1.96 1.75 1.54 1.31 1.17

GROWTH RATE 2.76 2.65 2.44 2.20, 1.96 1.75 1.54 1.31 1.17

TOTAL FERTILITY 5.223 4.654 4.122 3.638 3.183 2.802 2.482 2.207 2.102

GRR 2.548 2.270 2.011 1.775 1.552 1.367 1.211 1.077 1.025

NRR 2.192 2.006 1.823 1.648 1.467 1.306 1.167 1.045 1.000

IMR - MALE 78.1 67.6 57.4 47.3 41.6 37.2 33.8 30.9 28.4

IMR - FEMALE 66.6 56.0 45.5 35.3 28.6 23.9 19.9 16.8 14.3

IMR - BOTH SEXES 72.5 61.9 51.6 41.4 35.2 30.7 27.1 24.0 21.5

E(0) - MALE 59.82 61.47 63.11 64.76 66.03 . 67.07 67.89 68.64 69.31

E(0) - FEMALE 63.48 65.31 67.15 69.02 70.82 72.24 73.49 74.54 75.44

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 61.64 63.38 65.12 66.87 68.41 69.64 70.67 71.57 72.37

NET MIGRANTS-MALE 4. . -5. -3. O. O. O. 0. 0.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -9. -8. -5. -2. 0. 0. 0. 0.

&ICT UPOATinti DATF -l-0-0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

EMENA DEPARTMENT II POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 5820 5682 5807 5847 5859 5866 58645-9 5462 5856 5839 5840 5846 5859 585910-14 4949 5912 5855 5815 5827 5852 585615-19 4374 5883 5788 5768 5808 5845 585220-24 3813 5820 5618 5725 5795 5836 584425-29 3506 5622 5566 5722 5789 5825 583430-34 0073 5283 5730 5746 5776 5806 5821 1W35-39 2466 4749 5754 5738 5735 5778 580540-44 2047 4151 5683 5641 5666 5743 578345-49 1606 3562 5556 5424 5584 5699 574350-54 1121 3186 5249 5276 5499 5625 566455-59 774 2660 4734 5243 5361 5473 550760-64 722 1972 3969 4951 5077 5186 523265-69 569 1440 3096 4415 4556 4720 479470-74 410 924 2211 3647 3758 4038 413475+ 386 750 2463 4758 5792 6499 6728

TOTAL 41097 63452 78917 85553 87729 89648 90321

FEMALES

O00-4 5614 5496 5605 5623 5615 5609 56075-9 5282 5682 5655 5631 5612 5606 560610-14 4791 5742 5681 5617 5603 5602 560515-19 4200 5726 5632 5586 .5596 5604 560620-24 3638 5678 5488 5565 5599 5608 560725-29 3355 5502 5460 5584 5612 5611 560630-34 2931 5185 5641 5629 5617 5607 560235-39 2435 4675 5685 5646 5598 5596 559640-44 2021 4063 5644 5580 5556 5583 559245-49 1607 3477 5555 5408 5515 5574 558450-54 1193 3147 5315 5328 5496 5560 556255-59 893 2670 4903 5414 5473 5516 550960-64 885 2116 4264 5301 5370 5406 540965-69 667 1619 3477 4993 5089 5187 522070-74 509 1116 2648 4448 4538 4797 485975+ 472 1127 3522 7097 8882 9941 10204

TOTAL 40494 63020 80176 88449 90767 92404 92774

TOTAL M+F 81591 126473 159094 174003 178496 182053 183095

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 23.4 16.3 13.8 13.1 12.8 12.6DEATH RATE 5.8 7.1 10.2 12.1 12.0 12.4GROWTH RATE 1.75 0,92 0.36 0.10 0.08 0.02IMR - BOTH SEXES 31.8 18.0 13.1 9.1 5.7 5.2E(0) - BOTH SEXES 69.64 73.60 75.65 77.60 79.38 79.61TOTAL FERTILITY 2.785 2.090 2.076 2 067 2.059 2.058

EMENA DEPARTMENT III POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 -14954 16866 18522 19346 19871 19959 20085 19767 19670 19840

5-9 12399 14465 16394 18078 18947 19509 19637 19802 19521 19458

10-14 10395 12276 14338 16270 17958 18835 19405 19542 19714 19443

15-19 9081 10284 12158 14213 16143 17832 18714 19291 19435 19615

20-24 7902 8963 10152 12012 14051 15976 17663 18551 19134 19288

25-29 7017 7791 8833 10010 11852 13876 15795 17481 18374 18965

30-34 5913 6906 7666 8697 9862 11693 13705 15620 17303 18202

35-39 4572 fj797 6771 7524 8545 9703 11524 13522 15430 17111

40-44 3501 4447 5648 6607 7353 8365 9516 11322 1330b . 15200

45-49 2928 3362 4285 5459 6401 7137 8136 9274 11055 , 13006

50-54 2463 2761 3184 4076 5214 6127 6847 7825 8937 10676

55-59 2007 2262 2549 2955 3802 4883 5753 6447 7385 8454

60-64 1540 1771 2010 2279 2657 3437 4434 5243 5890 6767

65-69 1104 1279 1484 1697 1939 2275 2961 3841 4556 5137

70-74 752 836 979 1147 1325 1525 1802 2364 3084 3673

75+ 709 789 890 1041 1237 1460 1716 2045 2611 3409

TOTAL 87238 100856 115865 131410 147157 162592 177694 191939 205403 218246

FEMALES0-4 14326 16191 17791 18593 19100 19196 19316 19004 18917 19077

5-9 11808 13865 15758 17396 18249 18799 18934 19092 18818 18765

10-14 9901 11689 13746 15647 17294 18158 18719 18864 19031 18766

15-19 8620 9786 11578 13635 15543 17198 18072 18641 18795 18971

20-24 7407 8483 9655 11451 13507 15422 17084 17969 18548 18713

25-29 6415 7264 8345 9522 11321 13375 15295 16964 17859 18450 o30-34 5377 6276 7129 8213 9393 11194 13245 15167 16843 17748

35-39 4236 5245 6142 6998 8084 9265 11065 13110 15035 16715

4- 44 .3335 4113 5113 6008 6864 7948 9128 10924 12960 14884

45-49 2839 3219 3985 4973 5861 6713 779 8965 10751 12772

50-54 2443 2710 3085 3835 4805 5680 6524 7590 8753 10521

55-59 2021 2291 2554 2921 3649 4591 5447 6275 7322 8467

60-64 1588 1840 2099 2354 2707 3403 4304 5130 5934 6949

65-69 1185 1375 1607 1849 2090 2421 3064 3904 4679 5440

70-74 837 945 1110 1311 1524 1739 2032 2597 3338 4029

75+ 863 977 1121 1323 1586 1894 2232 2652 3328 4290

TOTAL 83201 96270 110820 126026 141575 156995 172252 186848 200910 214557

TOTAL M+F 170439 197126 226684 257436 288732 319587 349946 378787 406313 432803

DEATH RATE 11.3 9.9 8.8 7.9 7.3 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.89 2.78 2.54 2.29 2.03 1.81 1.58 1.40 1.26

GROWTH RATE 2.91 2.79 2.54 2.29 2.03 1.81 1.58 1.40 1.26

TOTAL FERTILITY 5.690 5.248 4.662 4.053 3.459 3.002 2.623 2.396 2.282

GRR 2.769 2.554 2.269 1.972 1.683 1.461 1.276 1.166 1.110

NRR 2.265 2.156 1.966 1.745 1.508 1.328 1.175 1.087 1.047

IMR - MALE 93.4 84.0 75.8 68.3 62.8 56.9 51.4 46.6 41.7

IMR - FEMALE 80.4 71.0 62.6 55.1 49.3 43.3 38.1 33.1 28.4

IMR - BOTH SEXES 87.1 77.7 69.4 61.9 56.2 50.2 44.9 40.1 35.2

E(O) - MALE 57.02 58.81 60.52 62.17 63.9 r 64.56 65.66 66.53 67.37

E(0) - FEMALE 59.70 61.86 63.95 65.94 67.6f 69.11 70.44 71.66 72.76

E(O) - BOTH SEXES 58.33 60.30 62.20 64.02 65.44 66.80 68.02 69.06 70.04

NET MIGRANTS-MALE 209. 14. 103. 47. 33. 21. 8. 0. 0.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -10. 7. 0. 6. 3 0. 0.

EMENA DEPARTMENT III POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 19346 19670 19678 19729 19780 19818 198275-9 18078 19521 19600 19695 19746 19794 1981010-14 16270 19714 19709 19680 19711 19771 1979615-19 14213 19435 19663 19608 19650 19734 1977420-24 12012 19134 19420 19471 19570 19686 1974225-29 10010 18374 19072 19326 19499 19636 19706 Ip I,30-34 8697 17303 18970 19234 19444 19585 1966435-39 7524 15430 19040 19251 19366 19509 1960740-44 6607 13302 18608 19080 19206 19387 1951945-49 5459 11055 18092 18649 18922 19193 1936750-54 4076 8937 16979 17958 18486 18879 1908955-59 2955 7385 15332 17218 17832 18332 1856760-64 2279 5890 12729 16224 16878 17388 1765365-69, 1697 4556 9770 14287 15220 15842 1616870-74 1147 3084 6750 11719 12705 13499 1390375+ 1041 261S 6865 15070 18829 21239 22471

TOTAL 131410 205403 260275 286199 294843 301290 304663

FEMALES

0-4 18593 18917 18875 18885 18879 18870 188665-9 17396 18818 18854 18898 18882 18867 1886210-14 15647 19031 18998 18914 18877 18861 1886015-19 13635 18795 19003 18887 18857 18856 1885920-24 11451 18548 18838 18814 18833 18854 1886025-29 9522 17859 18566 18739 18824 18856 1885930-34 8213 16843 18515 18713 18829 18855 1885235-39 6998 15035 18649 18804 18818 18837 1883940-44 6008 12960 18309 18731 18745 18793 1881545-49 4973 10751 17917 18443 18590 18718 1877250-54 3835 8753 17012 17972 18369 18609 1868755-59 2921 7322 15674 17588 18089 18426 1852160-64 2354 5934 13456 17166 17736 18080 1820165-69 1849 4679 10825 15927 16870 17362 1755870-74 1311 3338 7951 14041 15t92 15977 1629975+ 1323 3328 9386 21769 28239 32161 33942

TOTAL 126026 200910 260827 292293 302629 308981 311651

TOTAL M+F 257436 406313 521103 578492 597473 610271 616314

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 25,3 17.2 14.2 13.3 12.9 12.7DEATH RATE 7.0 7.3 10.0 12.0 12.0 12.3GROWTH RATE 1,83 1.00 0.42 0.13 0 08 0.04IMR - BOTH SEXES 50,9 27,6 16.7 10.9 6.9 5.4E(0) - BOTH SEXES 66.90 71 74 74.64 76.87 78.79 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 3-004 2.181 2,097 2.078 2.067 2064

EMENA DEPARTMENT IV POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 4267 3984 3892 3950 4054 4081 4050 4019 4004 4018

5-9 4522 4236 3966 3872 3933 4038 4067 4038 4007 3993

10-14 4206 4506 4225 3955 3863 3924 4030 4059 4031 4001

15-19 4046 4186 4490 4209 3942 3851 3913 4020 4049 4022

20-24 3890 4015 4162 4464 4188 3923 3834 3897 4004 4035

25-29 4369 3853 3988 4133 4437 4165 3903 3816 3880 3987

30-34 4407 4327 3826 3959 4107 4411 4142 3883 3798 3863

35-39 3646 3.458 4293 3793 3929 4078 4382 4116 3861 3778

40-44 2776 3592 4311 4241 3752 3889 4039 4343 408b * 3830

45-49 3056 2715 3531 4230 4167 3690 3829 3980 4282 4027

50-54 3061 2952 2638 3424 4108 4053 3594 3733 3884 4182

55-59 2769 2896 2814 2508 3261 3920 3874 3441 3579 3729

60-64 2172 2536 2679 2593 2317 3020 3637 3603 3207 3343

65-69 1202 1892 2239 2352 2284 2047 2676 3232 3211 2866

70-74 1281 967 1549 1818 1918 1871 1683 2207 2676 2669

75+ 1537 1618 1476 1806 2167 2427 2531 2459 2821 3360

TOTAL 51208 52632 54080 55306 56427 57389 58186 58846 59376 59703

FEMALES0-4 4094 3820 3703 3779 3875 3897 3864 3830 3813 3823

5-9 4325 4081 3811 3697 3775 3871 3894 3861 3827 3810

10-14 4013 4317 4076 3807 3695 3773 3870 3892 3859 3826

15-19 3877 4005 431 4072 3804 3692 3770 3867 3890 3858

20-24 3716 3862 3994 4302 4066 3800 3688 3767 3864 3887

25-29 4214 3699 3849 3984 4295 4060 3794 3684 3762 3860

30-34 4315 4194 3684 3838 3975 4286 4053 3788 3678 3757

35-39 3635 4290 4174 3670 3825 3964 4275 4043 3780 3670

40-44 2868 3607 4262 4i50 3652 380 3947 42sa 4028 3767

45-49 3217 2834 3570 4222 4115 3623 3779 3919 4230 4003

50-54 3244 3157 2786 3515 4162 4060 3577 3733 3874 4184

55-59 3125 3150 3073 2716 3433 4070 3975 3505 3661 3803

60-64 2750 2981 3014 2948 2613 3309 3929 3842 3392 3547

65-69 1630 2538 2763 2804 2752 2446 3106 3695 3620 3203

70-74 1822 1416 2217 2427 2475 2438 2175 2770 3305 3249

75+ :557 2755 2570 3124 3612 3937 4107 4009 4457 5164

TOTAL 53401 54706 55859 57056 58123 59033 59802 60464 61041 61411

TOTAL M+F 104609 107338 109939 112362 114549 116422 117988 119311 120417 121114

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RTE 15.2 14.3 14.2 14.3 14.1 13.7 13.4 13.2 13.2

DEATH RATE 9.9 9.4 9.8 10.4 10.8 11.1 11.2 11.4 12.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.53 0.49 0.44 0.39 0.32 0.27 0,22 0.18 0.12

GROWTH RATE 0.52 0.48 0.44 0.39 0.32 0.27 0.22 0.18 0.12

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.046 1.971 1.968 1.991 2.024 2.054 2.079 2.088 2.086

GRR 0.992 0.955 0.953 0.965 0.981 0.995 1.007 1.012 1.011

NRR 0.968 0.931 0.938 0.955 0.970 0.983 0.995 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 32.7 23.8 27.1 25.1 23.2 21.6 20.2 18.9 17.7

IMR - FEMALE 15.0 12.9 11.2 9.9 8.9 8.1 7.6 7.1 6.6

IMR - BOTH SEXES 24.1 18.5 19.4 17.7 16.3 15.1 14.1 13.2 12.3

E(0) - MALE 68.20 70.66 69.67 70.26 70.d1 r 71.27 71.72 72.14 72.54

E(0) - FEMALE 75.19 75.99 76.64 77.20 77.66 78.03 78.35 78.63 78.96

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 71.77 73.37 73.21 73.78 74.2m 74.70 75.08 75.43 75.80

NET MIGRANTS-MALE -40. -23. -13 O. Q. 0. 0. 0. 0.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -37. -20. -11. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.

EMENA DEPARTMENT IV POPULATION (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 3950 4004 4041 4061 4064 4063 40625-9 3872 4007 4043 4059 4061 4059 405910-14 3955 4031 4044 4052 4057 4056 405715-19 .... 4209 4049 4024 4037 4051 4053 405320-24 4464 4004 3984 4020 4044 4047 404725-29 4133 3880 3955 4010 4039 4042 404130-34 I 3959 3798 3953 4009 4033 4035 403335-39 3793 3861 3963 4001 4019 4024 402440-44 4241 4082 3962 3967 3994 4008 401045-49 4230 4282 3885 3905 3956 3980 398350-54 3424 3884 3701 3826 3899 3928 393055-59 2508 3579 3506 3721 3802 3825 382760-64 2593 3207 3361 3549 3622 3639 364465-69 2352 3211 3220 3256 3311 3334 334670-74 I8is 2676 2869 2755 2832 2870 288875+ 1806 2821 3852 4209 4571 4679 4714

TOTAL 55306 59376 60364 61435 62353 62642 62719

FEMALES

0-4 3779 3813 3832 3836 3836 3835 38355-9 3697 3827 3843 3839 3836 3834 383410-14 3807 3859 3851 3838 3834 3834 383415-19 4072 3890 3842 3831 3831 3833 383420-24 4302 3864 3817 3825 3832 3834 383425-29 3984 3762 3803 3827 3834 3834 393330-34 3838 3678 3815 3837 3836 3833 383235-39 3670 3780 3842 3843 3833 3829 382940-44 4150 4028 3864 3828 3823 3824 382645-49 4222 4230 3821 3793 3809 3816 381850-54 3515 3874 3689 3758 3794 3801 380155-59 2716 3661 3553 3731 3770 3769 376660-64 2948 3392 3559 3687 3715 3706 370265-69 2804 3620 3615 3570 3579 3574 357570-74 2427 3305 3457 3270 3305 3320 332675+ 3124 4457 5836 6420 6893 6991 7001

TOTAL 57056 61041 62039 62734 63359 63466 63478

TOTAL M+F 112362 120417 122403 124169 125713 126109 126196

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 13.8 13.1 12.9 12.7 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 11.0 12.5 12.3 12.2 12.5 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.28 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.01 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 15.2 10.7 7.1 5.2 5.2 5.2E(O) - BOTH SEXES 74.67 76.55 78.51 79.56 79.59 79.59TOTAL FERTILRTY 2,048 2.082 2.076 2.072 2,072 2 072

Е ц R О Р Е , М I D D L Е Е А S Т

А N D N®:� Т Е А F.R I С А ( Е М Е N А ) :

� С О ц N Т R У D Е Р А R Т М Е N Т I

PAKISTAN POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2035 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 8660 10346 11168 11654 11842 12477 13074 13357 13213 12778

5-9 7330 8305 9972 10816 11335 11564 12228 12858 13179 13077

10-14 6366 7233 8208 9869 10717 11243 11481 12152 12790 13121

15-19 5627 6267 7135 8109 9762 10613 11145 11393 12070 12716

20-24 4715 5486 6134 7005 7980 9621 10475 11016 11275 11964

25-29 .3928 4559 5338 5996 6869 7839 9470 10328 10880 11157

30-34 3279 3785 4424 5206 5868 6737 7704 9325 10190 10757

35-39 2221 .. 3147 3657 4297 5075 5734 6599 7565 9177 10052

40-44 1831 2115 3019 3527 4160 4927 5584 6444 7407 9010

45-49 1621 1727 2007 2881 3378 3998 4751 5401 6253 7209

50-54 1376 1505* 1612 1882 2713 3194 3794 4525 516110 6000

55-59 1132 1245 1368 1473 1728 2501 2957 3528 4226 4843

60-64 852 982 1086 1201 1299 1532 2229 2650 3177 3827

65-69 630 694 805 896 997 1086 1289 1888 2258 2726

70-74 430 466 517 605 679 761 835 999 1475 1780

75+ 370 421 470 529 617 710 813 917 1085 1500

TOTAL 50367 58283 66919 75945 85019 94537 104428 114346 123818 132517

FEMALES0-4 8092 9726 10561 11074 11304 11955 12568 12866 12742 12309

5-9 6558 7663 9291 10169 10738 11027 11725 12383 12727 12641

10-14 5686 6444 7550 9177 10065 10646 10951 11660 12330 12685

15-19 5087 5576 6338 7445 9068 9965 10560 10879 11600 12281

20-24 4277 4952 5449 6216 7324 8944 9852 10461 10797 11530

25-29 3538 4138 4815 5322 6093 7201 8818 9736 10360 10713 '0

30-34 2954 3411 4010 4687 5201 5974 7082 8696 9625 10264 Ln

35-39 1988 2837 3292 3889 4565 5083 5859 6967 8577 9515

40-44 1728 1901 2727 3179 3771 4443 4965 5741 6846 8450

45-49 1510 1644 1816 2617 3063 3647 1313 4R36 5609 6707

50-54 1275 1418 1552 1722 2493 2930 3503 4159 4679 5444

55-59 1123 1172 1312 1443 1610 2342 2767 3324 3963 4476

60-64 775 996 1048 1180 1307 1468 2151 2557 3089 3702

65-69 558 650 843 894 1016 1136 1287 1900 2276 2768

70-74 379 428 503 660 708 814 920 1053 1570 1897

75+ 286 .371 447 539 696 813 956 1113 1301 1788

TOTAL 45813 53328 61554 70213 79021 88391 98277 108332 118091 127168

TOTAL M+F 96180 111611 128473 146158 164041 182929 202705 222678 241910 259685

DEATH RATE 14.2 12.7 11.2 9.9 8.9 8.1 7.5 7.0 6.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.03 2.84 2.59 2.31 2.18 2.05 1.88 1.66 1.42

GROWTH RATE 2.98 2.81 2.58 2.31 2.18 2.05 1.88 1.66 1.42

TOTAL FERTILITY 6.300 5.758 5.149 4.467 3.983 3.552 3.168 2.825 2.519

GRR 3.073 2.809 2.512 2.179 1.943 1.733 1.545 1.378 1.229

NRR 2.276 2.160 2.002 1.796 1.652 1.515 1.385 1.262 1.146

IMR - MALE 108.0 99.5 91.2 83.2 75.2 67.6 60.0 52.8 44.9

IMR - FEMALE 112.2 100.5 89.2 78.2 67.6 57.9 49.0 41.1 34.2

IMR - BOTH SEXES 110.0 100.0 90.2 80.8 71.5 62.8 54.7 47.1 39.7

E(0) - MALE 52.53 54.05 55.62 57.17 58.76- 60.34 61.95 63.54 65.27

E(0) - FEMALE 51.30 53.65 56.03 58.43 60.83 63.16 65.36 67.41 69.21

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 51.93 53.86 55.82 57.78 59.77 61.71 63.61 65.43 67.19

NET MIGRANTS-MALE -189. -105. -35. 0. C. 0. 0. 0. 0.NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -81. -45. -15. O. 0. Q. 0. 0. 0.NET MIGRATION RATE -0.5 -0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

PAKISTAN POPULATION WITH NRR=l BY 2035 (THOUSANDS)

I SUMMARY FOR 25-YEAR PERIODS

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2126 2150

0-4 11654 13213 12908 12709 12648 12642 126515-9 10816 13179 12707 12583 12608 12635 1264710-14 9869 12790 12258 12500 12612 12643 1264415-19 8109 12070 12055 12546 12647 12643 1263120-24 7005 11275 12531 12685 12655 12615 1260125-29 5996 10880 12829 12732 12583 12560 1257430-34 5206 10190 12809 12519 12443 12507 1255435-39 4297 9177 12345 12032 12325 12485 1254140-44 3527 7407 11538 11769 12320 12480 1251045-49 2881 6253 10629 12122 12365 12415 1241550-54 1882 5163 10002 12190 12221 12186 1221555-59 1473 4226 8954 11756 11655 11734 1186360-64 1201 3177 7475 10658 10604 11067 1130565-69 896 2258 5342 8996 9450 10159 1041970-74 605 1475 3714 7004 8325 8814 900775+ 529 1085 3697 8981 12703 13800 14495

TOTAL 75945 123818 161793 183781 190163 193386 195071

FEMALES

0-4 11074 12742 12382 12161 12100 12090 120975-9 10169 12727 12217 12052 12071 12092 1210110-14 9177 12330 11810 11981 12082 12106 1210415-19 7445 11600 11649 12047 12129 12118 1210220-24 6216 10797 12157 12213 12157 12110 1209025-29 5322 10360 12497 12293 12110 12078 1208330-34 4687 9625 12494 12120 11994 12046 1208335-39 3889 8577 12033 11682 11900 12047 1209340-44 3179 6846 11222 11470 11929 12073 1209445-49 2617 5609 10319 11878 12029 12064 1205950-54 1722 4679 9719 12051 11993 11945 1197255-59 1443 3963 8766 11787 11632 11699 1183760-64 1180 3089 7446 10944 10900 11379 1164565-69 894 2276 5476 9567 10162 10971 1128870-74 660 1570 3887 7818 9542 10227 1051675+ 539 1301 4401 11257 17286 19935 21651

TOTAL 70213 118091 158476 183323 192016 196979 199816

TOTAL M+F 146158 241910 320268 367104 382179 390364 394888

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 28.5 18.2 14.5 13.3 12.9 12.7DEATH RATE 8.3 6.9 9.1 11.7 12.1 12.2GROWTH RATE 2 02 1.12 0.55 0.16 0.08 0.05IMR - BOTH SEXES 63.0 29.2 14.6'' 10.6 7.2 5.2E(0) - BOTH SEXES 62.05 70.15 74.57 76.48 78.33 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 3.491 2.222 2.093 2.078 2.066 2.058

TURKEY POPULATION WITH NRR-I BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 3491 31703 3735 3647 3515 3376 3442 3572 3602 3556

5-9 2932 3437 3657 3696 3615 3488 3354 3422 3553 3585

10-14 2976 2914 . 3419 3641 3681 3603 3477 3344 3413 3545

15-19 2790 2955 2895 3400 3622 3664 3587 3463 3332 3401

20-24 2468 2759 2925 2870 3372 3595 3639 3565 3444 3315

25-29 2180 2435 2726 2894 2842 3343 3567 3613 3541 3422

30-34 1731 2148 2404 2695 2865 2816 3315 3539 3587 3518

35-39 1406 1701 2115 2371 2662 2832 2787 3284 3508 3559

40-44 1149 'i374 1667 2076 2331 2621 2792 2751 32,44 3469

45-49 1048 1113 1334 1622 2025 2277 2564 2736 2698 3186

50-54 1038 1000 1065 1280 1560 1951 2199 2480 26ll 2619

55-59 833 967 935 999 1204 1471 1845 2084 2356 2523

60-64 543 747 872 846 907 1098 1346 1693 1918 2174

65-69 313 461 638 748 729 786 955 1175 1484 1687

70-74 302 243 361 503 593 582 630 769 952 1208

75+ 298 334 315 389 524 654 711 777 914 1116

TOTAL 25497 28291 31064 33678 36047 38157 40211 42267 44198 45883

FEMALES0-4 3394 3595 3625 3540 3412 3276 3339 3463 3490 .3445

5-9 2880 3358 3567 3604 3525 3401 3268 3332 3457 3485

10-14 2890 2868 3347 3558 3597 3519 3396 3265 3329 3455

15-19 2642 2875 2856 3337 3549 3590 3514 3392 3261 3326

20-24 2413 2622 2858 2843 3324 3538 3581 3507 3386 3256

25-29 1991 2390 2602 2840 2829 3311 3527 3571 3498 3379 0

30-34 1658 1969 2368 2583 2823 2815 3297 3515 3561 3490

35-39 1314 1635 1946 2346 2563 2805 2799 3282 3500 3548

AO-44 iio 1292 1611 1922 2321 2539 2783 2780 3262 3481

45-49 1040 1081 1265 1582 1892 22su 2508 2751 2752 3232

50-54 932 1007 1049 1232 1544 1851 2244 2463 2706 2710

55-59 823 888 963 1008 1187 1493 1794 2181 2398 2640

60-64 509 765 830 904 951 1125 1421 1713 2088 2303

65-69 374 453 686 749 822 869 1034 1312 1589 1945

70-74 342 310 378 577 636 704 750 899 1148 1398

75+ 442 462 453 506 689 837 976 1095 1286 1595

TOTAL 24751 27568 30406 33130 35664 37962 40232 42520 44713 46686

TOTAL M+F 50248 55860 61469 66808 71711 76119 80442 84787 88911 92569

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 29.2 26.4 23.4 20.7 18.6 17.8 17.:5 16.7 . 15.7

DEATH RATE 8.0 7.2 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.2 7.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.12 1.92 1.67 1.42 1.19 1.11 1.05 0.95 0.81

GROWTH RATE 2.12 1.91 1.67 1.42 1.19, 1.10 1.05 0.95 0.81

TOTAL FERTILITY 3.681 3.245 2.860 2.521 2.223 2.113 2.103 2.095 2.089

GRR 1.796 1.583 1.395 1.230 1.084 1.031 1.026 1.022 1.019

NRR 1.644 1.476 1.319 1.176 1.045 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 57.5 50.7 45.2 40.6 36.8 33.5 30.6 28.2 26.0

IMR - FEMALE 40.7 33.8 28.3 23.5 20.0 16.8 14.4 12.6 10.9

IMR - BOTH SEXES 49.3 42.5 37.0 32.3 28.6., 25.3 22.7 20.6 18.7

E(0) - MALE 62.51 64.00 65.20 66.21 67.15 67.97 68.68 69.37 69-97

E(0) - FEMALE 67.51 69.31 70.86 72.32 73.47 74.52 75.37 76.11 76.76

E(O) - BOTH SEXES 64.95 60 59 67.96 69.i9 70.23 71.16 71.94 72.66 73.29

TURKEY POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

4 3647 3602 3550 3543 3555 3560 3561-9 3696 3553 3506 3524 3549 3558 3559

10-14 3641 3413 3469 3518 3547 3558 355715-19 3400 3332 3469 3524 3545 3555 355320-24 2870 3444 3509 3525 3534 3547 354725-29 2894 3541 3534 3502 3514 3536 354130-34 2695 3587 3482 3455 3492 3526 3536 III35-39 2371 3508 3327 3406 3478 3519 353040-44 2076 3244 3226 3388 3471 3507 351745-49 1622 2698 3297 3398 3450 3478 349150-54 1280 2651 3319 3363 3382 3417 343855-59 999 2356 3233 3204 3246 3312 334560-64 846 1918 2955 2887 3042 3149 318665-69 748 1484 2446 2536 2775 2898 292870-74 503 952 1700 2201 2400 2503 252375+ 389 914 2203 3295 3712 4003 4091

TOTAL 33678 44198 50226 52270 53692 54627 54902

FEMALES

0-4 3540 3490 3426 3405 3402 3404 34055-9 3604 3457 3395 3395 3402 3405 340510-14 3558 3329 3367 3396 3406 3406 340515-19 3337 3261 3378 3410 3410 3406 340420-24 2843 3386 3431 3424 3409 3403 340325-29 2840 3498 3472 3415 3400 3400 340230-34 2583 3561 3437 3382 3390 3399 340335-39 2346 3500 3302 3349 3388 3402 340240-44 1922 3262 3223 3351 3397 3403 339945-49 1582 2752 3324 3389 3400 3395 338950-54 1232 2706 3596 3400 3373 3371 337155-59 1008 2398 3390 3316 3305 3331 334060-64 904 2088 3224 3104 3210 3275 328965-69 749 1589 2832 2885 3092 3176 318270-74 577 1148 2141 2711 2895 2964 296075+ 506 1286 3295 5096 5734 61?1 6198

TOTAL 33130 44713 52034 54430 55614 56263 56357

TOTAL M+F 66808 88911 102261 106700 109305 110889 111259

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 18.3 14.6 13.4 13.0 12.7 12.6DEATH RATE 6'8 9.0 11.7 12.0 12.1 12.5GROWTH RATE 1.14 0.56 0417, 0.10 0.06 0.01IMP - BOTH SEXES 25.8 16.2 11.8 7.7 5.1 5.1E( - BOTH SEXES 71.14 74.22 76.16 78.21 79.50 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY P.200 2.082 2.072 2.063 2.058 2.053

C O U N T R Y D E P A R T M E N T II

ALGERIA POPULATION WITH NRR=i BY 2025 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES

0-4 1982 2194 2375 2510 2608 2676 2680 2615 2482 24935-9 1672 1941 2156 2341 2482 2587 2656 2663 2600 247010-14 1465 1660 1929 2144 2330 2472 2578 2648 2655 259415-19 1262 1452 1647 1915 2131 2319 2461 2567 2638 264620-24 1043 1246 1435 1629 1898 2115 2302 2445 2552 262325-29 819 1026 1228 1417 1611 1880 2097 2284 2428 253530-34 671 804 1010 1211 1400 1595 1863 2080 2267 241135-39 453 6.,657 789 993 1194 1383 1578 1845 2061 224840-44 311 441 641 773 975 1175 1363 1556 1822 203645-49 318 300 426 622 751 951 1148 1334 1526 178850-54 288 302 285 407 596 723 917 1109 12911" 147955-59 225 266 280 266 382 561 683 868 1052 122760-64 174 200 238 252 241 347 512 625 797 96965-69 138 146 170 203 217 208 301 446 547 70070-74 98 106 114 133 160 172 166 242 360 44475+ 114 115 121 131 150 179 203 211 270 384

TOTAL 11033 12856 14845 16948 19127 21344 23509 25539 27348 29048FEMALES0-4 1868 2120 2294 2424 2518 2582 2589 2527 2399 24105-9 1575 1835 2089 2268 2403 2504 2572 2581 2521 239510-14 1381 1565 1825 2080 2260 2397 2500 2568 2578 251915-19 1191 1371 1555 1816 2071 2254 2392 2495 2564 257520-24 981 1178 1358 1543 1805 2062 2246 2385 2489 2559 Ff25-29 771 968 1165 1345 1531 1794 2052 2237 2378 2483 030-34 647 759 955 1152 1333 1520 1784 2043 2228 237035-39 492 635 747 942 1139 1321 1509 1773 2032 221840-44 372 481 622 734 928 1125 1307 1496 1759 2018

45 413 3- 50 G 4tGSf Go 2432110- 20 447 474f

50-54 332 361 349 454 590 701 891 1084 1265 145255-59 259 314 343 333 435 568 676 862 1052 123060-64 200 239 290 319 311 409 536 641 821 100565-69 161 176 211 259 286 281 372 491 591 75970-74 117 131 144 175 216 241 239 319 424 51475+ 148 152 167 186 220 271 319 347 427 555

TOTAL 10872 12647 14584 16636 18767 20943 23092 25138 27006 28803

TOTAL M+F 21905 25503 29429 33585 37893 42287 46601 50678 54354 57851

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 39.2 36.3 33.1 30.1 27.2 24.5 21.8 19.1 17.9DEATH RATE 8.8 7.7 6.7 5.9 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.4RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.04 2.86 2.64 2.42 2.20 1.94 1.68 1.40 1.25GROWTH RATE 3.04 2.86 2.64 2.41 2.19 1.94 1.68 1.40 1.25TOTAL FERTILITY 5.915 5.143 4.471 3.887 3.380 2.939 2.555 2.221 2.100GRR 2.885 2.509 2.181 1.896 1.649 1.433 1.246 1.084 1.025NRR 2.522 2.239 1.987 1.762 1.562 1.373 1.203 1.053 1.000IMR - MALE 68.6 61.3 53.9 46.5 39.2 35.6 32.4 1 29.7 27.4IMR - FEMALE 55.0 48.0 41.0 34.1 27.1 22.6 19.1 16.1 13.8IMR - BOTH SEXES 62.0 54.8 47.6 40.4 33.3 29.3 25.9 23.0 20.8E(0) - MALE 60.12 61.66 63.25 64.88 60.57* 67.43 68.22 68.95 69.58E(0) - FEMALE 63.86 65.61 67,42 69.29 71.24 72.59 73.74 74.77 75.62E(0) - BOTH SEXES 61.94 63.59 65.28 67.03 68.85 69.95 70.91 71.79 72.52

ALGERIA POPULATION WITH NRR=i BY 2025 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 2510 2482 2565 2586 2589 2591 25905-9 2341 2600 2592 2584 2582 2587 2587

10-14 2144 2655 2 02 2570 2572 2584 258615-19 1915 2638 2559 2542 2563 2581 258420-24 1629 2552 2459 2522 2559 2578 258125-29 1417 2428 2433 2528 2561 2574 257730-34 1211 2267 2546 2551 2557 2565 2570 i35-39 993 2061 2586 2551 2535 2551 256340-44 773 1822 2551 2495 2498 2534 255445-49 622 1526 2439 2376 2460 2517 253750-54 407 1291 2270 2308 2430 2488 250355-59 266 1052 2036 2332 2381 2422 243360-64 252 797 1727 2229 2258 2292 231065-69 203 547 1363 1985 2016 2081 211670-74 133 360 951 1604 1647 1779 182675+ 131 270 994 2062 2561 2877 2975

TOTAL 16948 27348 34672 37827 38770 39599 39891

FEMALESO

0-4 2424 2399 2475 2486 2481 2477 24765-9 2268 2521 2509 2491 2479 2475 247610-14 2080 2578 2524 2482 2473 2474 247615-19 1816 2564 2488 2461 2469 2475 247620-24 1543 2489 2400 2450 2472 2477 247725-29 1345 2378 2384 2466 2481 2479 247630-34 1152 2228 2504 2498 2485 2477 247435-39 942 2032 2553 2508 2473 2470 247140-44 734 1759 2528 2465 2448 2463 247045-49 608 1478 2437 2366 2428 2461 246750-54 454 1265 2298 2328 2427 2458 245855-59 333 1052 2109 2404 2429 2440 243460-64 319 821 1856 2382 2386 2388 238865-69 259 591 1508 2239 2248 2286 230370-74 175 424 1128 1953 1985 2112 214575+ 186 427 1399 3065 3919 4396 4510

TOTAL 16636 27006 35099 39044 40084 40809 40974

TOTAL M+F 33585 54354 69771 76870 78853 80408 80866

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 24.5 16.5 13.9 13.1 12.8 12.6DEATH RATE 5.3 6.5 10.0 12.1 12.0 12.4GROWTH RATE 1.93 1.00 0.39 0.10 0.08 0.02IMR - BOTH SEXES 30.5 17.4 12.6-..., 8.9 5.6 5.1E(0) - BOTH SEXES 69.93 73.69 75.63 77.50 79.25 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 2.893 2.088 2.075 2.067 2.059 2.058

LIBYA POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2025 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 352 449 539 581 600 573 593 594 565 556

5-9 289 348 443 532 574 593 569 589 591 561

10-14 244 288 346 441 529 571 591 567 587 589

15-19 196 244 287 344 438 526 568 588 564 585

20-24 154 198 243 284 341 434 522 564 585 561

25-29 140 157 199 241 281 337 430 518 560 580

30-34 132 143 158 197 238 278 334 426 513 556

35-39 118 so 133 143 186 194 235 275 330 422 509

40-44 97 118 132 140 153 190 231 271 325 417

45-49 78 95 115 128 136 149 186 226 265 319

50-54 64 75 91 110 122 131 143 179 21al 256

55-59 46 59 70 85 103 115 123 135 170 207

60-64 32 41 53 63 77 93 104 112 124 156-

65-69 21 27 35 45 54 66 80 91 98 108

70-74 14 16 21 27 36 43 52 64 73 79

75+ io 14 17 22 28 37 47 58 72 85

TOTAL 1988 2408 2892 3396 3903 4372 4849 5313 5731 6124

FEMALES0-4 340 429 516 558 578 554 573 575 546 538

5-9 280 335 423 510 553 574 552 571 573 545

10-14 236 279 334 421 508 551 573 551 571 573

15-19 186 235 277 332 419 506 550 571 550 570

20-24- 141 185 233 275 329 417 504 548 570 548

25-29 124 141 184 231 273 327 415 502 546 568 0

30-34 108 23 139 181 229 270 325 413 500 544

35-39 89 106 122 137 179 226 268 323 410 497

40-44 69 87 104 120 135 177 224 266 320 407

45-49 55 67 85 102 i17 132 174 220 26? 316

50-54 44 53 65 82 99 114 129 170 216 257

55-59 34 41 50 62 78 95 109 125 164 210

60-64 26 32 38 47 57 73 89 103 118 157

65-69 20 23 28 34 42 52 66 81 95 109

70-74 13 16 19 23 28 35 44 57 70 82

75+ 11 14 18 22 27 34 43 55 72 92

TOTAL 1776 2167 2636 3137 3652 4138 4638 5130 5583 6014

TOTAL M*F 3764 4575 5528 6533 7555 8510 9486 10443 11314 12138

DEATH RATE 8.1 7.6 6.8 6.1 5.5 5.2 5.0 5.0 5.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.71 3.70 3.33 2.91 2.38 2.17 1.92 1.60 1.41

GROWTH RATE 3.90 3.78 3.34 2.91 2.38 2.17 1.92 1.60 1.41

TOTAL FERTILITY 7.180 6.824 6.011 5.042 3.888 3.263 2.739 2.299 2.106

GRR 3.502 3.329 2.932 2.460 1.897 1.592 1.336 1.121 1.027

NRR 3.054 2.961 2.655 2.268 1.781 1.514 1.284 1.085 1.000

IMR - MALE 62.7 58.2 53.6 49.1 44.6 39.2 35.6 32.4 29.7

IMR - FEMALE 58.5 51.6 44.8 37.9 31.1 25.9 21.4 18.1 15.1

IMR - BOTH SEXES 60.6 55.0 49.3 43.7 38.0 32.7 28.7 25.4 22.6

E(0) - MALE 61.50 62.43 63.37 64.34 65:32" 66.57 67.43 68.22 68.95

E(0) - FEMALE 63.17 64.81 66,49 68.24 70,04 71.59 72.99 74.09 75.09

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 62.31 63.59 64.89 66.24 67.62 69.02 70.15 71.09 71.95

NET MIGRANTS-MALE 30. 5. . 0. C. O. . ..

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE 10. 5, .. O. 0. . G. O. O.

NET MIGRATION RATE 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

LLIBYA POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2025 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 581 565 576 579 579 580 580

5-9 532 591 579 577 577 579 579

10-14 441 587 578 573 575 578 579

15-19 -'.344 564 568 568 574 578 578

20-24 284 585 548 565 573 577 578

25-29 241 560 553 567 573 576 577

30-34 197 513 577 570 571 574 575 I35-39 156 422 571 567 565 570 574

40-44 140 325 544 553 558 567 572

45-49 128 265 557 528 551 563 568

50-54 110 218 522 523 544 556 560

55-59 85 170 459 527 531 541 544

60-64 63 124 351 490 500 511 517

65-69 45 98 242 421 446 465 474

70-74 27 73 163 364 365 398 409

75+ 22 72 163 451 572 642 665

TOTAL 3396 5731 7552 8424 8655 8855 8926

FEMALES 1O

0-4 558 546 556 557 555 554 554

5-9 510 573 561 557 554 554 554

10-14 421 571 662 554 553 554 554

15-19 332 550 554 551 553 554 554

20-24 275 570 536 550 554 555 554

25-29 231 546 542 554 555 555 554

30-34 181 500 569 559 555 554 554

35-39 137 410 565 558 552 553 553

40-44 120 320 541 548 548 552 553

45-49 102 262 557 527 545 551 552

50-54 82 216 527 529 545 550 550

55-59 62 164 472 545 543 545 544

60-64 47 118 373 526 530 533 534

65-69 34 95 273 478 499 511 516

70-74 23 70 199 445 442 474 481

75+ 22 72 226 663 877 982 1009

TOTAL 3137 5583 7611 8700 8961 9131 9170

TOTAL M+F 6533 11314 15163 17124 17615 17986 18096

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 27.4 17.4 14.1 13.1 12.8 12.6

DEATH RATE 5.4 5.7 9.2 12.0 12.0 12.4

GROWTH RATE 2.20 1.17 0.49 0.11 0.08 0.02

IMR - BOTH SEXES 33 5 18,4 13 1' 8.7 4.9 4.4

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 69.08 73.26 75.36 77.35 79.24 79.50

TOTAL FERTILITY 3.218 2.092 2.077 2.068 2.059 2.058

MALTA POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 13 12 11 11 12 12 12 11 11 11

5-9 15 12 11 11 11 12 12 12 11 11

10-14 14 15 12 11 11 It 11 12 11 11

15-19 13 14 14 12 11 11 11 11 12 11

20-24 15 12 13 14 12 11 11 11 11 12

25-29 16 14 12 13 14 12 11 11 11 11

30-34 15 15 14 12 13 14 12 11 11 11

35-39 15 14 15 14 12 13 14 12 11 11

40-44 9 ''14 14 15 13 12 13 14 12 1145-49 10 9 14 14 14 13 11 13 14 12

50-54 9 10 8 14 13 14 13 11 14

55-59 9 8 9 8 13 13 14 12 11 12

60-64 8 8 8 8 7 12 12 13 12 10

65-69 5 7 7 7 8 7 11 11 11 11

70-74 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 9 9 10

75+ 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 8 11 12

TOTAL 175 174 174 177 179 la 182 182 182 18i

FEMALES0-4 12 11 10 10 ii 11 l 11 14 ii

5-9 14 12 11 10 10 11 11 11 11 1110-14 13 14 11 11 10 10 11 11 11 1115-19 12 13 13 11 11 10 10 11 11 11

20-24 13 11 12 13 11 11 10 10 11 11

25-29 15 12 11 12 13 11 11 10 10 11 C)

30-34 15 14 12 11 12 13 11 11 10 10

35-39 17 15 14 12 11 12 13 11 11 10

40-44 12 17 14 14 12 11 12 13 11 11

45-49 11 12 i6 14 14 12 11 12 13 11

50-54 10 11 12 16 14 14 11 10 12 13

55-59 9 10 10 -11 16 14 13 11 10 12

60-64 9 9 9 10 11 15 13 13 11 10

65-69 7 8 8 9 9 10 14 12 12 10

70-74 5 6 7 7 8 8 9 13 11 11

75+ 8 8 9 11 11 12 13 15 18 19

TOTAL 183 181 181 183 184 185 186 185 184 182

TOTAL M+F 358 355 355 359 363 366 368 368 366 363

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 13.4 12.2 12.2 - 12.6 12.7 12.4 12,2 12.1 12.2

DEATH RATE 9.3 9.5 9.9 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.2 12.9 14.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.41 0.27 0.23 0.21 0.17 0.09 -0.00 -0.08 -0.19

GROWTH RATE -0.15 -0.01 0.23 0.21 0.17 0.09 -0.00 -0.08 -0.19

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.740 1.740 1.811 1.880 1.947 2.011 2.074 2.098 2.096

GRR 0.841 0.841 0.875 0.908 0.941 0.972 1.002 1.013 1.013

NRR 0.818 0.821 0.858 0.893 0.926 0.957 0.988 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 22.6 20.9 19.5 18.2 17.5 16.7 16.0 15.2 14.5

IMR - FEMALE 15.0 13.0 11.3 9.9 9.5 9.0 8.6 8.2 7.7

IMR - BOTH SEXES 18.9 17.1 15.5 14.2 13.6 13.0 12.4 11.8 11.2

E(0) - MALE 70.95 71.46 71.92 72,35 72.62 72.89 73.16 73.44 73.72

E(O) - FEMALE 75.14 75.94 76.61 77.16 77.48 77.81 78.14 78.48 78.82

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 72.98 73.62 74.18 74.67 74.97 75.27 75.57 75.87 76.18

NE7 MIGRANTS-MALE - . -3. c n e. 0 .. o.

NEi fI.GRANTS-FEMALE ~. ··. 0 e. e. o. o.S, 0 0 T) ~) 0

MALTA POPULATION WITH NRR-l BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 11 11 11 11 11 11 115-9 11 11 11 11 11 11 1110-14 11 11 11 11 11 11 1115-19 12 12 11 11 11 11 1120-24 14 11 11 11 11 11 1125-29 13 11 11 11 11 11 1130-34 * 12 11 11 -11 11 11 1135-39 14 11 11 11 11 11 1140-44 15 12 11 11 11 11 1145-49 14 14 11 It 11 11 1150-54 14 12 10 11 11 11 tt55-59 8 11 10 11 1t 11 1160-64 8 12 10 10 10 10 1065-69 7 11 10 9 9 9 970-74 6 9 9 8 8 8 875+ 7 11 13 12 13b 13 13

TOTAL 177 182 175 174 176 176 177

FEMALES

0-4 10 11 111 11115-9 10 11 11 11 t1 11 1t10-14 11 11 11 I 11 11 1115-19 11 11 11 11 11 11 1120-24 13 11 11 tt 11 11 1125-29 12 10 11 tt 11 1t 1130-34 11 10 11 11 t1 11 1135-39 12 11 11 11 1t t1 1140-44 14 11 11 11 1i 1l 1145-49 14 13 '11 11 11 1 1150-54 16 12 10 10 11 11 1155-59 11 10 10 10 11 11 1160-64 10 11 10 10 10 10 1065-69 9 12 10 10 10 10 1070-74 7 11 11 9 9 9 975+ 11 18 18 18 19 20 20

TOTAL 183 184 176 176 177 178 178

TOTAL M+F 359 366 352 350 353 364 354

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 12.4 12.5 12.8 12.7 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 11.6 14.1 13.0 12.3 12.5 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.08 -0.16 -0.02 0.04 0.01 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0E) - BOTH SEXES 75.27 76.81 78,45 79.47 79.47 - 79.47TOTAL FERTIL2TY 9.999 2,092 2,"4 2.078 2.070 2.078

MOROCCO POPULATION WIlH NRR=1 BY 2025 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES

0-4 1681 1856 2023 2112 2145 2137 2133 2110 2044 20545-9 1434 1624 1808 1985 2087 2123 2119 2118 2097 203310-14 1460 1423 1613 1797 1975 2078 2115 2112 2111 209115-19 1292 1447 1412 1602 1786 1964 2067 2105 2103 210320-24 1006 1274 1430 1396 1586 1770 1948 2053 2091 209025-29 908 988 1255 1411 1379 1569 1754 1932 2037 207730-34 711 891 971 1237 1393 1364 1554 1738 1916 202235-39 515 695 873 955 1218 1374 1347 1537 1721 189940-44 358 "501 679 855 936 1196 1351 1327 15116 169945-49 356 346 486 659 830 911 1167 1321 1299 148650-54 312 340 331 465 631 797 877 1125 12701 125855-59 293 292 318 309 435 592 750 828 1065 121160-64 200 266 264 288 279 394 538 685 758 97865-69 184 172 228 227 246 240 340 467 596 66370-74 127 145 135 179 178 194 190 272 375 48275+ 127 139 157 161 194 210 230 239 302 407

TOTAL 10963 12400 13984 15635 17296 18910 20481 21968 23308 24551FEMALES0-4 i622 1790 1950 2036 2067 2066 2062 2042 1978 19875-9 1378 1572 1749 1919 2016 2053 2055 2054 2036 197410-14 1402 1369 1563 1740 1911 2011 2049 2052 2051 203415-19 1243 1392 1360 1555 1732 1905 2005 2044 2048 204820-24 1043' 1230 1379 1349 1544 1723 1897 1999 2039 204425-29 918 1029 1215 1364 1336 1533 1713 1888 1991 2033 030-34 707 905 1015 1201 1350 1325 1523 1704 1880 198435-39 530 696 891 1001 1185 1336 1314 1512 1694 187140-44 407 520 684 876 985 1169 1321 1301 1499 168245-49 441 398 509 669 857 966 1150 1301 1284 148250-54 328 428 386 493 648 833 942 1124 1275 126055-59 332 315 410 369 471 621 801 909 1088 123860-64 185 311 294 383 344 441 584 758 864 103865-69 171 166 279 263 342 309 399 533 695 79770-74 122 142 138 231 218 286 261 341 459 60375+ 133 149 172 182 257 287 358 380 457 594

TOTAL 10962 12411 13994 15632 1265 18864 20433 21942 23339 24667

TOTAL M+F 21925 24811 27978 31267 34561 37774 40915 43910 46647 49218

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 35.0 33.1 30.1 26.9 24.3 22.1 20.2 18.3 17.3DEATH RATE 10.0 8.8 7.8 6.9 6.5 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.6RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.51 2.42 2.23 2.01 1.78 1.60 1.41 1.21 1.07GROWTH RATE 2.47 2.40 2.22 2.00 1.78 1.60 1.41 1.21 1.07TOTAL FERTILITY 4.666 4.190 3.763 3.380 3.035 2.726 2.448 2.198 2.106GRR 2.276 2.044 1.836 1.649 1.481 1.330 1.194 1.072 1.027NRR 1.905 1.768 1.639 1.519 1.389 1.264 1.147 1.037 -1.000IMR - MALE 97.5 81.4 65.3 49.1 44.6 39.2 35.6 32.4 29.7IMR - FEMALE 87.1 70.7 54.3 37.9 31.1 25.9 21.4 18.1 15.1IMR - BOTH SEXES 92.4 76.2 59.9 43.7 38.0 32.7 28.7 25.4 22.6E(0) - MALE 58.45 60.37 62.33 64.34 65.,32,, 66.57 67.43 68.22 68.95E(0) - FEMALE 62.36 64.28 66.24 68.24 70.04 71.59 72.99 74.09 75.09E(0) - BOTH SEXES 60.36 62.28 64.24 66.24 67.62 69.02 70.15 71.09 71.95NET MIGRANTS-MALE -21. -15 -9, -3. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -14. -10 -1 -2. C, 0. 0. 0. 0.NET MIGRATION RATE -0.3 -0.2 -0. -0.0 C.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

MOROCCO POPULATION WITH NRR l BY 2025 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 2112 2044 2083 2097 2103 2106 21055-9 1985 2097 2091 2094 2098 2103 210310-14 1797 2111 2097 2086 2092 2101 210215-19 1602 2103 2076 2071 2085 2098 210020-24 1396 2091 2023 2056 2079 2094 209825-29 1411 2037 2001 2052 2076 2090 2094

30-34 1237 1916 2050 2057 2071 2084 2090 I35-39 955 1121 2053 2053 2057 2074 208440-44 855 1516 2028 2022 2033 2061 207645-49 659 1299 1993 1951 2004 2045 206150-54 465 1276 1897 1894 1970 2017 203355-59 309 1065 1712 1872 1917 1962 197660-64 288 758 1432 1762 1814 1859 187865-69 227 596 1125 1570 1630 1693 172170-74 179 375 801 1302 1348 1449 148375+ 161 302 974 1710 2063 2324 2412

TOTAL 15635 23308 28436 30649 31439 32159 32416

FEMALESO

0-4 2036 1978 2012 2018 2015 2013 20135--9 1919 2036 2027 2020 2014 2012 201210-14 1740 2051 2036 2017 2012 2011 201215-19 1555 2048 2022 2007 2009 2012 201320-24 1349 2039 1978 2000 2010 2013 201325-29 1364 1991 1964 2004 2013 2014 201230-34 1201 1880 2020 2017 2015 2013 201135-39 1001 1694 2030 2022 2009 2009 200940-44 876 1499 2017 2003 1996 2005 200845-49 669 1284 1993 1948 1981 2001 200450-54 493 1275 1921 1915 1971 1995 199655-59 369 1088 1774 1937 1960 1979 197860-64 383 864 1541 1890 1922 1940 194265-69 263 695 1278 1781 1824 1863 187470-74 231 459 973 1591 1632 1723 174475+ 182 457 1421 2562 3170 3560 3661

TOTAL 15632 23339 29008 31731 32554 33162 33303

TOTAL M+F 31267 46647 57445 62380 63993 65322 65720

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 22.4 16.0 13.8 13.1 12.8 12.6DEATH RATE 6.3 7.7 10.5 12.1 12.0 12.4GROWTH RATE 1.60 0.83 0.33 0.10 0.08 0.02IMR - BOTH SEXES 33.7 18.8 13.5'. 9.3 5.6 5.1E(0) - BOTH SEXES 69 02 73.24 75.35 77,35 79.24 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 2.705 2.092 2.077 2.068 2.059 2.058

TUNISIA POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2015 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20tO 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 515 566 601 606 594 574 551 560 580 585

5-9 500 506 558 594 600 589 570 548 557 577

10-14 437 497 504 555 591 598 587 569 546 555

15-19 432 434 494 501 552 588 595 585 566 544

20-24 364 427 429 489 496 548 584 591 581 563

25-29 279 359 422 424 484 492 544 580 587 577

30-34 197 275 354 417 420 479 487 539 576 583

35-39 138 193 270 349 411 415 474 483 534 571

40-44 121 ''135 189 265 343 405 409 468 47,7 528

45-49 137 117 131 184 258 335 395 400 459 468

50-54 122 130 112 125 17 249 323 382 381 t , 445

55-59 108 113 122 105 118 166 235 306 363 368

60-64 83 97 102 110 95 107 152 215 281 334

65-69 70 70 82 87 95 82 93 132 188 247

70-74 56 54 55 65 69 75 66 75 107 153

75+ 45 57 62 65 74 82 90 88 94 121

TOTAL 3606 4031 4486 4941 5377 5784 6155 6520 6883 7219

FEMALES0-4 498 546 580 586 575 556 534 542 561 566

5-9 465 491 540 576 582 572 554 532 541 560

10-14 411 463 489 539 574 581 571 553 532 541

15-19 397 408 460 487 537 573 580 570 553 531

20-24 355 393 405 457 484 535 571 579 569 552

25-29 289 351 390 402 455 482 533 569 577 568 n

30-34 226 285 347 386 399 452 480 531 567 575

35-39 159 222 281 343 382 396 449 477 528 565

40-44 131 156 219 277 339 378 392 445 474 525

45-49 148 udi i52 214 272 333 373 387 440 469

50-54 130 143 123 148 208 265 326 366 380 433

55-59 106 123 136 118 142 201 257 316 355 371

60-64 79 98 115 127 111 134 190 244 302 340

65-69 60 70 87 103 115 101 122 175 226 280

70-74 43 49 58 73 86 97 86 106 152 197

75+ 39 49 59 71 89 110 130 134 152 200

TOTAL 3537 3976 4442 4906 5350 5766 6148 6526 6909 7272

TOTAL M+F 7143 8007 8928 9847 10727 11549 12303 13045 13791 14491

DEATH RATE 8.5 7.7 7.0 6.5 6.3 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.29 2.18 1.96 1.71 1.48 1.27 1.17 1.11 0.99

GROWTH RATE 2.28 2.18 1.96 1.71 1.48 1.26 1.17 1.11 0.99

TOTAL FERTILITY 4.308 3.776 3.309 2.901 2.542 2.228 2.114 2.103 2.095

GRR 2.101 1.842 1.614 1.415 1.240 1.087 1.031 1.026 1.022

NRR 1.870 1.678 1.500 1.335 1.184 1.047 1.000 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 61.7 54.0 47.9 42.9 38.8 35.1 32.0 29.4 27.1

IMR - FEMALE 48.9 41,2 34.3 28.6 23.9 20.1 17.0 14.4 12.6

IMR - BOTH SEXES 55.5 47.7 41.3 35.9. 31.5 27.8 24.7 22.1 20.0

E(0) - MALE 61.59 63.28 64.60 65.70 66,.67 67.56 68.32 69.03 69.66

E(0) - FEMALE 65.38 67.39 69.19 70.79 72.19 73.42 74.47 75.37 76.11

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 63.44 65.28 66.84 68.18 69.36 70.42 71.32 72.12 72.81

TUNISIA POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2015 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 606 580 572 574 577 578 5785-9 594 557 566 573 577 578 578

10-14 555 546 566 574 576 578 57715-19 501 566 573 574 575 577 57720-24 489 581 577 57 1 572 575 57625-29 424 587 568 564 569 574 57530-34 417 576 545 557 567 573 57435-39 349 534 532 556 567 572 57340-44 265 477 548 559 565 569 57145-49 184 459 556 558 558 563 56650-54 125 387 550 540 543 553 55855-59 105 363 518 501 521 538 54360-64 110 281 449 460 494 513 51865-69 87 188 358 428 455 471 47570-74 65 107 287 368 390 404 408754 65 94 319 523 584 643 663

TOTAL 4941 6883 8082 8479 8689 8858 8911

FEMALESO

0-4 586 561 552 552 553 553 5535-9 576 541 547 552 553 553 553

10-14 539 532 549 554 554 553 55315-19 487 553 558 556 554 553 55320-24 457 569 564 555 552 552 55325-29 402 577 558 550 551 552 55330-34 386 567 538 545 551 553 55335-39 343 528 527 546 552 553 55240-44 277 474 546 553 553 552 55145-49 214 440 558 556 550 550 55050-54 148 380 559 545 542 546 54755-59 118 355 538 517 531 541 54360-64 127 302 484 493 521 534 53565-69 103 226 408 485 507 517 51770-74 73 152 339 450 470 479 47975+ 71 152 459 790 897 983 1005

TOTAL 4906 6909 8282 8800 8992 9125 9149

TOTAL M+F 9847 13791 16364 17279 17681 17983 18060

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 19.8 15 1 13.5 13.1 12.7 12.6DEATH RATE 6.3 8.3 11.4 12.1 12.1 12.4GROWTH RATE 1.35 0.68 0,22 0.09 0.07 0.02IMR - BOTH SEXES 27.9 16.5 12.2, * 7.9 4.6 4.4E(0) - BOTH SEXES 70.41 73.88 75.84 77.82 79.41 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 2,346 2.086 2.074 2.065 2.058 2.058

С О ц N Т R У В Е Р А R Т М Е N Т I2I

AFGHANISTAN POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2045 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 1732 1826 1936 2063 2213 2358 2463 2524 2551 2556

5-9 1306 1563 1662 1777 1909 2064 2217 2335 2411 2452

10-14 1128 1271 1524 1624 1739 1872 2028 2183 2303 2381

15-19 969 1096 1237 1486 1587 1702 1836 1993 2149 2271

20-24 820 930 1055 194 1438 1539 1656 1791 1948 2106

25-29 688 779 887 1009 1146 1385 1487 1605 1741 1900

30-34 572 649 738 843 963 1098 1332 1436 1556 1693

35-39 476 , 535 609 696 799 916 1049 1279 1384 1505

40-44 391 439 495 568 652 752 867 998 1222 1329

45-49 319 354 400 454 524 605 702 814 94d 1160

50-54 254 282 315 359 410 476 554 647 75 878

55-59 198 217 243 274 314 362 423 496 583 684

60-64 150 160 177 201 228 264 307 363 428 507

65-69 104 112 121 136 155 179 209 246 293 349

70-74 65 69 76 83 95 110 128 152 180 217

75+ 57 55 58 64 72 83 98 117 142 172

TOTAL 9231 10339 11535 12830 14242 15765 17357 18978 20587 22161

FEMALES0-4 1697 1786 1890 2009 2150 2286 2380 2433 2455 2456

5-9 1249 153 4 1628 1737 1861 2008 2151 2258 2327 2366

10-14 1093 1213 1493 1588 1697 1823 1971 2116 2227 2299

15-19 925 1058 1177 1452 1548 1659 1786 1935 2082 2196

20-24 781 887 1018 1135 1405 1503 1614 1743 1893 2044 H

25-29 654 743 847 975 1092 1356 1454 1567 1697 1850

30-34 548 618 705 807 933 1048 1306 1406 1521 1653

35-39 455 515 583 668 768 891 1005 1258 1359 1476

40-44 374 425 482 549 632 730 851 964 1210 1313

45-49 304 347 395 451 516 597 692 810 921 11b2

50-54 245 277 318 364 418 481 558 651 765 874

55-59 191 217 247 285 329 380 440 514 602 712

60-64 142 161 185 213 247 288 335 391 460 542

65-69 97 112 128 149 173 203 239 281 330 392

70-74 59 69 80 93 110 129 154 183 218 259

75+ 41 50 60 73 87 106 128 156 191 232

TOTAL 8856 10012 11238 12549 13967 15487 17066 18667 20259 21826

TOTAL M+F 18087 20352 22772 25378 28210 31251 34424 37645 40847 43987

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 49.5 45.8 42.8 40.4 38.0 35.2 32i2 29.3 26.7

DEATH RATE 25.9 23.3 21.1 19.2 17.5 15.8 14.3 13.0 11.9

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.36 2.25 2.17 2.12 2.05 1.93 1.79 1.63 1.48

GROWTH RATE 2.36 2.25 2.17 2.12 2.05 1.93 1.79 1.63 1.48

TOTAL FERTILITY 7.307 6.602 5.964 5.389 4.869 4.399 3.974 3.591 3.244

GRR 3.547 3.205 2.895 2.616 2.363 2.135 1.929 1.743 1.575

NRR 2.053 1.939 1.830 1.725 1.623 1.525 1.433 1.345 1.260

IMR - MALE 215.8 201.8 187.6 173.5 159.6 145.7 131.6 118.4 105.9

IMR - FEMALE 185.2 172.8 160.2 147.7 135.4 123.5 111.5 99.9 88.5

IMR - BOTH SEXES 200-9 187.8 174.3 161.0 147.8r 134.9 121.9 109.4 97.5

E(0) - MALE 36.33 38.08 39.96 41.93 43.97 46.18 48.49 50.70 52.90

E(0) - FEMALE 39.00 40.82 42.77 44.82 46,95 49.12 51.42 53.77 56.18

E(0D - BOTH SEXES 37.62 39.40 41L32 43.33 A5.42 47.61 49.91 52.19 54.49

AFGHANISTAN POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2045 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 2063 2551 2422 2395 2403 2418 24285-9 1777 2411 2360 2387 2398 2412 242510-14 1624 2303 2419 2401 2396 2406 242115-19 1486 2149 2432 2406 2385 2395 241520-24 1194 1948 2398 2382 2363 2381 240825-29 1009 1741 2333 2327 2341 2369 240130-34 843 1556 2240 2271 2330 2361 2393 ,I35-39 696 1384 2107 2307 2330 2350 238240-44 568 1222 1924 2291 2316 2326 236445-49 454 942 1698 2220 2264 2284 233750-54 359 755 1459 2097 2160 2223 229655-59 274 583 1223 1914 2020 2139 223060-64 201 428 986 1656 1909 2014 211565-69 136 293 749 1326 1686 1810 192570-74 83 180 459 952 1353 1499 163775+ 64 142 395 980 1701 2113 2552

TOTAL 12830 20587 27605 32313 34353 35500 36729

FEMALES FAI-j

0-4 2009 2455 2317 2298 2300 2301 22995-9 1737 2327 2266 2298 2304 2302 2299

10-14 1588 2227 2327 2314 2307 230115-19 1452 2082 2346 2323 2303 229820-24 1135 1893 2321 2306 2292 2294 22925-29 975 1697 2265 2259 2280 2292 229930-34 807 1521 2179 2214 2279 2294 229935-39 668 1359 2055 2258 2288 2294 229740-44 549 1210 1888 2253 2285 2284 229145-49 451 921 1682 2200 2250 2261 228250-54 364 765 1467 2104 2174 2229 226955-59 285 602 1262 1961 2083 2193 224960-64 213 460 1056 1758 2046 2142 220965-69 149 330 844 1482 1909 2035 212370-74 93 218 535 1137 1651 1820 195475+ 73 191 528 1357 2503 3216 3906 I

TOTAL 12549 20259 27336 32524 35255 36557 37671

TOTAL M+F 25378 40847 54941 64837 69609 72057 74400

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 35.0 22.3 16.5 14.3 13.5 13.0DEATH RATE 16.0 10.5 9.8 11.4 12.1 11.7GROWTH RATE 1 90 1.19 0.66,,.., 0.28 0.14 0.13IMR BOTH SEXES 134,5 76.5 36.9 20.2 12.6 6.6E(0) - BOTH SEXES 48 11 59.24 68,09 72.73 75.72 78.70TOTAL FERTILITY 4,C37 2.672 2.186 2.107 2.085 2.071

BAHRAIN POPULATION WITH NRR=l BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 30 32 31 30 29 29 29 31 31 30

5-9 23 30 32 32 30 29 28 29 31 30

10-14 20 23 30 32 31 30 29 28 29 30

15-19 19 20 23 30 32 31 30 29 28 29

20-24 19 20 21 24 30 32 31 30 29 28

25-29 27 21 22 22 24 30 32 31 30 29

30-34 32 29 22 23 22 24 30 32 31 29

35-39 23 33 29 23 23 22 24 30 31 31

40-44 15 23 33 30 23 23 22 23 29 31

45-49 12 15 23 33 29 22 22 22 23 29

50-54 8 12 15 23 32 28 22 22 21 1 22

55-59 6 8 1i 14 22 30 27 21 21 20

60-64 4 5 7 10 13 20 28 25 19 19

65-69 3 3 5 6 9 i 18 25 22 17

70-74 2 2 3 4 5 7 9 14 20 18

75+ 1 2 3 3 4 6 8 11 16 23

TOTAL 241 279 312 340 358 375 389 401 411 417

FEMALES0-4 29 31 30 29 28 28 28 30 29 29

5-9 23 29 31 31 29 28 28 28 30 29

10-14 20 23 30 31 31 29 28 28 28 29

15-19 18 20 23 30 31 30 29 28 28 28

20-24 18 18 20 24 30 31 30 29 28 27

25-29 17 t8 19 21 23 30 31 30 29 28

30-34 14 17 19 19 21 23 29 31 30 29

35-39 9 14 17 19 19 21 23 29 31 30

40-44 7 9 14 17 19 19 20 23 29 31

45-49 6 7 9 14 17 1i is 20 23 29

50-54 5 6 7 9 14 17 18 18 20 23

55-59 4 5 6 7 9 13 16 18 18 20

60-64 3 4 5 5 6 8 13 16 17 17

65-69 2 3 3 4 5 6 8 12 is 16

70-74 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 7 11 13

75+ 1 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 14

TOTAL 176 207 237 264 288 310 332 354 375 393

TOTAL M+F 417 486 549 . 604 647 685 721 756 786 810

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 28.3 24.4 21.1 18.9 17.3 16.8 16,6 15.9 15.0

DEATH RATE 4.5 4.7 4.8 5.2 5.8 6.4 7.2 8.1 9.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.38 1.97 1.62 1.37 1.15 1.04 * 0.94 0.78 0.60

GROWTH RATE 3.08 2.43 1.90 1.36 1.15 1.04 0.94 0.78 0.60

TOTAL FERTILITY 4.083 3.507 3.012 2.587 2.222 2.091 2.085 2.083 2.081

GRR 1.992 1.711 1.469 1.262 1.084 1.020 1.017 1.016 1.015

NRR 1.892 1.642 1.421 1.228 1.059 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 34.6 33.2 30.3 28.0 25.7 23.8 21.9 20.9 19.9

IMR - FEMALE 25.3 21.2 17.9 15.1 13.0 11.4 10.0 9.5 9.1

IMR - BOTH SEXES 30.1 27.3 24.2 21.7 49.6, 17.7 16.1 15.4 14.6

E(0) - MALE 67.69 68.04 68.76 69.42 70.05 70.61 71.14 71.48 71.82

E(0) - FEMALE 71.77 73.07 74.17 75.09 75.91 76.59 77.14 77.46 77.79

E(0) - 07H SEXES 69.68 ?0.4S 71. ? 212 72.9 73.52 74.06 74.40 74.73

N1T IGR NTS-MALE 12. . O. 0.

NET M!IGRANTS-FEMALE 4. 3. 2 0. ). 0. 0.

BAHRAIN POPULATION WITH NRR=i BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 30 31 30 30 30 30 305-9 32 31 30 30 30 30 30

10-14 32 29 29 30 30 30 3015-19 30 28 29 30 30 30 3020-24 24 29 30 30 30 30 3025-29 22 30 30 30 30 30 3030-34 23 31 30 30 30 30 30 1i 135-39 23 31 29 29 30 30 3040-44 30 29 28 29 30 30 3045-49 33 23 28 29 29 30 3050-54 23 21 28 29 29 29 2955-59 14 21 28 28 28 28 2860-64 10 19 27 25 26 27 2765-69 6 22 23 22 24 25 2570-74 4 20 15 19 21 21 21

75+ 3 16 21 30 33 34 35

TOTAL 340 411 436 450 460 464 465

FEMALES

0-4 29 29 29 29 29 29 295-9 31 30 29 29 29 29 2910-14 31 28 28 29 29 29 2915-19 30 28 28 29 29 29 2920-24 24 28 29 29 29 29 2925-29 21 29 29 29 29 29 2930-34 19 30 29 29 29 29 2935-39 19 31 28 28 29 29 2940-44 17 29 27 28 29 29 2945-49 14 23 28 29 29 29 2950-54 9 20 28 29 29 29 2855-59 7 18 29 28 28 28 2860-64 5 17 29 27 27 28 2865-69 4 15 26 25 26 27 2770-74 3 11 18 23 25 25 2575+ 3 9 26 45 51 42 52

TOTAL 264 375 442 464 474 476 476

TOTAL M+F 604 786 877 914 933 940 941

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 17.1 14.3 13.2 12.8 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 6.5 9.8 11.6 12.0 12.4 12.5GROWTH RATE 1.05 0.44 0.16. 0. 08 0.03 0.01IMR - BOTH SEXES 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0E(0) - BOTH SEXES 73 48 75.43 77.21 79.03 79,50 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 2,195 277 R.069 2.0C0 2.058 2058

EGYPT, ARAB REP. OF POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 3861 4106 4117 4178 4321 4392 4325 4106 4085 4192

5-9 3374 3779 4036 4063 4139 4285 4360 4297 4084 4065

10-14 2680 3349 3755 4015 4046 4124 4270 4347 4285 4073

15-19 2520 2656 3322 3730 3993 4026 4105 4252 4330 4270

20-24 2262 2486 2624 3289 3699 3962 3997 4078 4227 4306

25-29 2130 2225 2450 2593 3256 3665 3929 3967 049 4199

30-34 1801 2092 2190 2418 2565 3224 3632 3897 37 4021

35-39 1332 1763 2054 2156 2387 2534 3189 3596 *861 3904

40-44 975 'i296 1721 2011 2119 2348 2496 3145 3550 3816

45-49 869 939 1253 1670 1960 2067 2295 2444 3083 3484

50-54 777 824 894 1198 1605 1886 1994 2218 236d 2989

55-59 654 718 766 836 1126 1511 1780 1887 2104 2249

60-64 518 582 643 690 758 1024 1379 1631 1733 1938

65-69 375 435 493 549 594 655 888 1201 1426 1521

70-74 264 288 337 386 434 472 523 714 970 1157

75+ 249 282 317 370 433 498 559 628 800 1069

TOTAL 24642 27820 30973 34153 37436 40674 43723 46407 48890 51254

FEMALES0-4 3689 3931 3936 3990 4121 4201 4142 3933 3914 4016

5-9 3205 3621 3874 3894 3962 4100 4185 4129 3924 3907

10-14 2520 3183 3601 3857 3883 3953 4092 4179 4124 3920

15-19 2348 2500 3163 3583 3843 3871 3944 4085 4173 4120

20-24 2090 2322 2477 3140 3563 3827 3858 3933 4076 4165

25-29 1992 2061 2295 2454 3117 3543 3810 3844 3921 4066

30-34 1725 1960 2033 2269 2433 3095 3523 3792 3830 3909

35-39 1299 1692 1928 2006 2245 2411 3073 3502 3773 3813

40-44 973 1269 1659 1896 1978 2219 2387 3046 3475 3748

45-49 887 946 1237 1621 1859 1944 2185 2355 3010 3439

50-54 806 852 912 1197 1575 1811 1899 2140 2311 2959

55-59 693 762 809 870 1147 1515 1748 1838 2077 2248

60-64 561 637 705 753 814 1079 1432 1659 1752 1986

65-69 431 492 563 628 676 736 982 1312 1528 1622

70-74 314 350 403 466 525 571 627 844 1136 1332

75+ 329 377 431 501 590 687 780 882 1111 1472

TOTAL 23861 26955 30026 33125 36330 39562 42669 45474 48135 50720

TOTAL M+F 48503 54774 60998 67278 73766 80236 86392 91881 97025 101974

DEATH RATE 9.3 8.2 7.3 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.5 6.9

RATE OF'NAT. INC. 2.43 2.15 1.96 1.84 1.68 1.48 1.23 1.09 1.00

GROWTH RATE 2.43 2.15 1.96 1.84 1.68 1.48 1.23 1.09 1.00

TOTAL FERTILITY 4.472 3.979 3.541 3.151 2.804 2.495 2.220 2.118 2.109

GRR 2.171 1.932 1.719. 1.529 1.361 1.211 1.078 1.028 1.024

NRR 1.903 1.732 1.576 1.434 1.292 1.162 1.041 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 70.2 60.9 51.5 42.1 39.2 35.6 32.4 29.7 27.4

IMR - FEMALE 56.4 48.2 40.0 31.8 26.6 22.0 18.7 15.7 13.5

IMR - BOTH SEXES 63.5 54.7 45.9 37.1 33.1 29.0 25.8 22.9 20.7

E(0) - MALE 59.79 61.74 63.76 65.87 66.,57. 67.43 68.22 68.95 69.58

E(0) - FEMALE 63.51 65.53 67.64 69.84 71.39 72.79 73.89 74.89 75.74

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 61.59 63.58 65.65 67.80 68.91 70.04 70.97 71.83 72.57

EGYPT. ARAB REP. OF POPULATION WITH NRR=i BY 2020 (11OUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125

0-4 4178 4085 4179 4219 4234 4240 4238

5-9 4063 4084 4197 4221 4228 4235 4234

10-14 4015 4285 4233 4216 4217 4230 4231

15-19 3730 4330 4221 4185 4200 4223 4228

20-24 3289 4227 4134 4142 4184 4215 4223

25-29 2593 4049 4004 4118 4177 4209 4217

30-34 2418 3937 3997 4131 4175 4199 4208 It35-39 2156 3861 4173 4149 4158 4181 4196

40-44 2011 3550 4186 4115 4111 4153 4178

45-49 1670 3083 4039 3992 4040 4114 4148

50-54 1198 2366 3786 3797 3958 4059 4093

55-59 836 2104 3534 3660 3855 3956 3983

60-64 690 1733 3235 3595 3671 3759 3786

65-69 549 1426 2657 3257 3325 3425 3467

70-74 386 970 1923 2658 2768 2921 2985

75+ 370 800 1947 3582 4161 4685 4862

TOTAL 34153 48890 58446 62036 63461 64804 65278

FEMALES

0-4 3990 3914 3993 4018 4019 4016 4014

5-9 3894 3924 4024 4030 4020 4014 4013

10-14 3857 4124 4066 4032 4015 4011 4013

15-19 3583 4173 4066 4013 4007 4010 4013

20-24 3140 4076 3999 3985 4003 4012 4014

25-29 2454 3921 3889 3977 4009 4016 4014

30-34 2269 3830 3896 4005 4019 4016 4011

35-39 2006 3773 4084 4039 4017 4010 4007

40-44 1896 3475 4113 4027 3990 3998 4002

45-49 1621 3010 3988 3938 3948 3985 3995

50-54 1197 2311 3789 3793 3913 3972 3981

55-59 870 2077 3623 3737 3892 3947 3946

60-64 753 1752 3444 3806 3840 3879 3876

65-69 628 1528 2978 3638 3670 3725 3738

70-74 466 1136 2297 3193 3303 3433 3474

75+ 501 1111, 2746 5307 6311 7092 7301

TOTAL 33125 48135 58993 63538 64977 66137 66412

TOTAL M+F 67278 97025 117439 125574 128438 130941 131690

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 21.0 15.6 13.7 13A1 12.8 12.6

DEATH RATE 6.4 8.0 11.0 12.2 12.0 12.4

GROWTH RATE 1,46 0.76 0.27 0.09 0.08 0.02

IMR - BOTH SEXES 29.6 17.7 13.2- 9.2 5.7 5.2

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 70.06 73.62 75.52 77,44 79.24 79.49

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.511 2.100 2.087 2.078 2.069 2.068

IRAN, ISLAMIC REP, OF POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 3903 4630 5251 5342 5206 5048 5068 4917 4911 5053

5-9 3251 3809 4534 5160 5266 5146 5003 5032 4886 4884

10-14 2866 3223 3780 4505 5131 5241 5126 4986 5016 4872

15-19 2457 2836 3193 3750 4473 5100 5213 5103 4965 4997

20-24 2094 2417 2796 3154 3710 4431 5058 5176 5070 4936

25-29 1765 2051 2375 2754 3114 3668 4388 5016 5137 5034

30-34 1506 1725 2012 2336 2716 3076 3630 4349 4975 5099

35-39 1170 .1467 1687 1974 2298 2676 3038 3591 4306 4930

40-44 881 1134 1427 1646 1931 2254 2631 2993 3542 4252

45-49 710 845 1092 1379 1596 1877 2197 2572 2 9 3Q1 3472

50-54 597 671 801 1039 1317 1529 1804 2119 2486 2837

55-59 486 550 621 744 969 1233 1437 1704 2006 2358

60-64 384 431 490 556 669 876 1119 1313 1561 1843

65-69 285 321 362 414 473 573 754 972 1143 1365

70-74 192 218 247 280 323 371 454 603 781 924

75+ 192 208 234 268 308 358 419 510 661 863

TOTAL 22739 26535 30903 35300 39500 43457 47339 50956 54377 57720

FEMALES0-4 3697 4412 5027 5132 5013 4865 4880 4730 4732 4873

5-9 3028 3595 4317 4944 5068 4967 4833 4856 4712 4718

10-14 2702 2999 3567 4290 4920 5050 4953 4822 4847 4706

15-19 2368 2672 2972 3541 4266 4898 5032 4940 4811 4839

20-24 2035 2330 2638 2941 3512 4237 4872 5011 4923 4799

25-29 1713 1996 2293 2603 2910 3482 4208 4846 4989 4906

30-34 1460 1675 1959 2259 2571 2881 3453 4180 4820 4967

35-39 1132 1423 1640 1925 2226 2540 2851 3424 4150 4791

AO-A4 853 1100 1388 1605 1890 2191 2505 2818 3390 4115

45-49 692 823 1066 1350 166 i849 214. 2463 277r 3346

50-54 590 661 790 1026 1304 1518 1797 2095 2407 2720

55-59 489 553 623 748 976 1246 1455 1729 2022 2331

60-64 394 445 506 574 693 910 1167 1370 1636 1921

65-69 298 341 388 446 510 620 818 1057 1249 1500

70-74 210 238 275 317 367 423 519 692 902 1075

75+ 232 251 284 330 387 456 537 657 858 1134

TOTAL 21893 25514 29733 34030 38180 42132 46030 49690 53226 56739

TOTAL M+F 44632 52049 60636 69331 77680 85589 93369 100646 107603 114459

DEATH RATE 10.0 8.8 7.7 6.7 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.7 6.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.10 3.07 2.69 2.28 1.94 1.74 1.50 1.34 1.24

GROWTH RATE 3.07 3.05 2.68 2.27 1.94 1.74 1.50 1.34 1.24

TOTAL FERTILITY 5.640 5.347 4.686 3,908 3.200 2.721 2.314 2.134 2.119

GRR 2.751 2.608 2.286 1.906 1.561 1.327 1.129 1.041 1.034

NRR 2.301 2.253 2.027 1.730 1.445 1.249 1.074 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 75.3 68..3 61.5 54.8 48.2 41.0 35.1 32.2 29.5

IMR - FEMALE 71.8 61.6 52.4 44.2 37.1 30.7 25.7 21.5 18.2

IMR - BOTH SEXES 73.6 65.0 57,0 49.6 42.7 36.0 30.5 27.0 24.0

E(0) - MALE 58.74 60.20 61 64 63.11 64.55' 66.11 67.56 68.27 69.00

E(0) - FEMALE 59.85 62.26 64.51 66.61 68.46 70.14 71.64 72.94 74.07

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 59.28 61.20 63,04 64.82 66.46 68.08 69.55 70.55 71.47

NET M.GRANTS-MALE -33. -2Q. -'. . 0. 0, O. 0. 0.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -17. -10. C. O. 0.MFT MIGRATION RATE -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 .0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

IRAN, ISLAMIC REP. OF POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 5342 4911 4970 5002 5017 5024 50235-9 5160 4886 4962 5003 5013 5019 501910-14 4505 5016 4996 5007 5006 5014 501515-19 ,.... 3750 4965 5020 4990 4990 5005 5011

20-24 3154 5070 4982 4946 4968 4994 500425-29 2754 5137 4811 4899 4952 4986 499630-34 2336 4975 4782 4885 4946 4977 498735-39 1974 4306 4884 4899 4937 4961 497340-44 1646 3542 4798 4895 4899 4931 495245-49 1379 2930 4842 4813 4820 4882 491550-54 1039 2486 4799 4563 4703 4807 484955-59 744 2006 4462 4379 4550 4681 472160-64 556 1561 3603 4205 4323 4456 449365-69 414 1143 2645 3730 3939 4071 411770-74 280 781 1821 3180 3317 3473 354275+ 268 661 1917 4349 4908 5511 5758

TOTAL 35300 54377 68294 73744 75289 76792 77374

FEMALES

0-4 5132 4732 4781 4802 4806 4804 48035-9 4944 4712 4785 4812 4809 4803 480210-14 4290 4847 4831 4823 4808 4802 480115-19 3541 4811 4868 4816 4800 4800 480120-24 2941 4923 4845 4787 4790 4799 480125-29 2603 4989 4691 4757 4788 4801 480130-34 2259 4820 4668 4757 4795 4804 479935-39 1925 4150 4786 4791 4799 4800 479640-44 1605 3390 4726 4810 4782 4787 479045-49 1350 2776 4795 4759 4733 4766 477950-54 1026 2407 4790 4558 4667 4740 475955-59 748 2022 4520 4453 4604 4703 472060-64 574 1636 3743 4425 4528 4627 464065-69 446 1249 2855 4130 4346 4452 447670-74 317 902 2067 3773 3938 4101 415475+ 330 858 2588 6122 7274 8321 8700

TOTAL 34030 53226 68339 75374 77267 78910 79424

TOTAL M+F 69331 107603 136633 149118 152556 155701 156799

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 23.6 16.4 13.8 13.2 12.8 12.6DEATH RATE 6.0 6.9 10.3 12.2 12.0 12.4GROWTH RATE 1,76 0.96 0.35 0.09 0 08 0.03IMR - BOTH SEXES 37.4 19.4 13.7 ''"' 9.8 t.1 5.2E(0) - BOTH SEXES 68,14 73.02 75-19 77 07 79.00 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 2,741 2,101 2.083 2.072 2.061 2.058

IRAQ POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2025 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 1548 1846 2199 2387 2485 2405 2470 2462 2345 2315

5-9 1286 1522 1821 2176 2368 2470 2391 2457 2450 2335

10-14 1022 1278 1514 1813 2169 2361 2462 2384 2451 2445

15-19 840 1014 1269 1505 1805 2159 2352 2453 2376 2443

20-24 693 831 1004 1258 1494 1793 2146 2338 2440 2364

25-29 574 683 820 994 1247 1482 1780 2131 2323 2425

30-34 475 565 674 Bit 984 1237 1471 1767 2117 2308

35-39 392 .. 466 556 665 802 974 1225 1458 1752 2101

40-44 321 383 456 546 654 791 962 1210 1441 1733

45-49 260 310 371 444 533 640 775 943 1187 1416

50-54 208 248 296 356 428 515 620 750 95 1153

55-59 163 193 232 278 336 405 488 588 714 871

60-64 123 146 174 210 253 308 371 449 542 659

65-69 86 104 124 150 181 221 269 325 394 477

70-74 56 67 81 98 119 146 178 217 264 321

75+ 48 59 72 88 108 134 165 204 252 309

TOTAL 8096 9713 11664 14780 15967 18040 20124 22138 23963 25676

FEMALES0-4 1462 1765 2100 2278 2369 2289 2356 2352 2243 2214

5-9 1227 1441 1746 2084 2264 2358 2281 2350 2347 2239

10-14 978 1220 1435 1740 2079 2260 2354 2278 2348 2345

15-19 807 972 1214 1429 1735 2073 2255 2350 2275 2345

20-24 663 799 965 1207 1422 1728 2067 2249 2345 2271 j25-29 550 656 792 957 1200 1415 1721 2060 2243 2340 .30-34 455 542 648 784 950 1192 1408 1714 2053 2236

35-39 376 447 535 641 777 943 1184 1400 1706 2044

40-44 309 369 440 527 633 769 934 1176 1390 1695

45-49 254 301 360 431 518 623 758 922 1161 1376

50-54 207 245 291 350 419 505 609 742 905 1142

55-59 166 196 233 279 336 404 488 590 721 881

60-64 128 153 182 218 262 317 382 464 563 690

65-69 95 114 136 163 197 238 289 351 428 522

70-74 65 78 94 114 138 167 203 249 305 374

75+ 60 75 93 114 141 175 216 268 334 415

TOTAL 7802 9373 11265 13316 15438 17455 19507 21516 23368 25131

TOTAL M+F 15898 19086 22929 27096 31405 35495 39631 43654 47331 50806

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 44.1 43.3 39.1 34.5 29.0 26.5 23- 7 20.7 18.9

DEATH RATE 7.6 6.6 5.7 5.0 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.66 3.67 3.34 2.95 2.45 2.21 1.94 1.62 1.42

GROWTH RATE 3.66 3.67 3.34 2.95 2.45 2.20 1.t3 1.62 1.42

TOTAL FERTILITY 6.660 6.339 5.612 4.756 3.746 3.178 2.696 2.287 2.107

GRR 3.233 3.077 2.724 2.309 1.818 1.543 1.309 1.110 1.023

NRR 2.891 2.816 2.538 2.181 1.736 1.485 1.268 1.082 1.000

IMR - MALE 61.1 52.3 44.4 37.8 32.5 30.6 28.8 27.1 25.3

IMR - FEMALE 48.4 40.7 33.8 28.3 24.1 20.5 17.3 14.7 12.9

IMR - BOTH SEXES 55.0 46.7 39.3 33.2 28.4 25.7 23.3 21.1 19.2

E(0) - MALE 61.71 63.64 65.37 66.90 68.20 68.68 69.18 69.68 70.19

E(0) - FEMALE 65.51 67.51 69.31 70.86 72.14 73.29 74.34 75.24 75.99

E(o) - 80TH SEXES 63.55 65.52 67.28 S8.S2 70. 70.92 7i.69 72.38 73.00

IRAQ POPULATION WITH NRR=I BY 2025 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 2387 2345 2396 2407 2408 2408 24075-9 2176 2450 2414 2403 2402 2405 240510-14 1813 2451 2413 2389 2394 2402 240415-19 1505 2376 2372 2369 2388 2401 240220-24 1258 2440 2286 2356 2386 2399 239925-29 994 2323 2302 2363 2386 2394 239530-34 811 2117 2402 2378 2380 2386 2389 (I35-39 665 1752- 2391 2368 2360 2375 238340-44 546 1441 2301 2316 2330 2362 237545-49 444 1187 2337 2212 2303 2347 236150-54 356 915 2179 2189 2278 2319 232855-59 278 714 1909 2208 2228 2256 226360-64 210 542 1477 2071 2107 2136 215065-69 150 394 1088 1805 1886 1944 197270-74 98 264 749 1555 1550 1669 170375+ 88 252 711 1950 2462 2709 2775

TOTAL 13780 23963 31727 35339 36244 36912 37112

FEMALES

0-4 2278 2243 2286 2290 2283 2281 22805-9 2084 2347 2309 2291 2281 2279 227910-14 1740 2348 2313 2281 2277 2278 227915-19 1429 2275 2280 2266 2275 2279 228020-24 1207 2345 2204 2261 2278 2281 228025-29 957 2243 2228 2276 2285 2282 227930-34 784 2053 2330 2298 2285 2279 227835-39 641 1706 2324 2297 2274 2274 227640-44 527 1390 2243 2258 2255 2270 227445-49 431 1161 2295 2172 2242 2269 227150-54 350 905 2168 2174 2243 2265 226255-59 279 721 1942 2237 2238 2245 224060-64 218 563 1558 2169 2191 2197 219865-69 163 428 1193 1988 2067 2107 212270-74 114 305 888 1846 1834 19 3 197875+ 114 334 995 2798 3682 4077 4155

TOTAL 13316 23368 31557 35904 36991 37616 37733

TOTAL M+F 27096 47331 63284 71243 73235 74528 74845

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 26.9 17.2 14.0 13.1 12.7 12.6DEATH RATE 4.6 5.6 9.2 12.0 12.0 12.4GROWTH RATE 2.23 116 0.47, 0.1I 0.07 0.02IMR - BOTH SEXES 26.3 16.9 12.6 8.5 5.3 5.1E(0) - BOTH SEXES 70.97 73.91 75.79 77.79 79.40 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 3. 38 2,100 2.088 2.077 2.069 2.068

JORDAN POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 309 350 385 407 413 409 397 377 382 398

5-9 280. 306 347 381 403 410 406 395 375 380

10-14 252 279 305 345 380 402 409 405 394 374

15-19 217 252 278 303 343 378 400 407 404 393

20-24 184 219 251 275 301 341 376 398 405 402

25-29 130 188 219 248 273 298 338 373 395 403

30-34 90 134 188 217 246 270 296 336 371 393

35-39 79 93 133 185 214 243 268 293 333 368

40-44 69 80 92 131 182 211 240 264 ;90 330

45-49 60 68 78 90 128 178 207 235 260 285

50-54 47 58 66 75 86 123 172 200 240 252

55-59 37 44 54 62 71 81 117 163 190 217

60-64 24 33 40 49 56 65 75 107 151 176

65-69 19 20 29 34 43 49 56 65 94 133

70-74 12 15 16 23 27 34 39 46 53 77

75+ 16 15 17 19 24 30 38 46 54 64

TOTAL 1825 2156 2497 2845 3191 3524 3834 4112 4379 4643

FEMALES0-4 299 338 372 393 400 396 384 365 369 384

5-9 261 297 336 370 392 399 395 384 364 369

10-14 232 260 296 335 370 391 398 394 383 364

15-19 197 231 259 295 334 369 390 398 394 383

20-24 154 196 230 258 294 333 368 390 397 393 p25-29 114 153 195 229 257 293 332 367 389 396 t

30-34 79 113 152 194 227 256 292 331 366 388

35-39 69 78 112 151 192 226 254 290 330 364

40-44 63 fl 77 111 149 190 224 253 289 328

45-49 59 62 67 76 109 147 188 221 250 26

50-54 46 57 60 65 74 107 144 185 218 246

55-59 33 44 55 58 63 72 103 140 180 212

60-64 25 31 41 51 54 59 68 99 134 173

65-69 19 22 28 37 47 50 55 63 92 125

70-74 11 16 19 23 31 40 43 47 55 81

75+ 19, 17 20 24 29 39 51 60 69 80

TOTAL 1680 1985 2319 2670 3023 3366 3690 3986 4278 4573

TOTAL M+F 3505 4140 4816 5514 6214 6890 7524 8098 8656 9216

DEATH RATE 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.3

RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.15 2.97 2.71 2.39 2.07 . 1.76 1.47 1.34 1.25

GROWTH RATE 3.33 3.02 2.71 2.39 2.07 1.76 1.47 1.33 1.25

TOTAL FERTILITY 5.788 4.938 4.213 3.595 3.067 2.617 2.233 2.095 2.089

GRR 2.823 2.409 2.055 1.754 1.496 1.277 1.089 1.022 1.019

NRR 2.578 2.242 1,940 1.675 1.441 1.238 1.061 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 53.9 47.8 42.8 38.6 35.1 32.0 29.4 27.1 25.0

IMR - FEMALE 40.9 34.0 28.5 23.7 20.1 17.0 14.5 12.6 10.9

IMR - BOTH SEXES 47.5 41.1 35.8 31.3 27.8 24.7 22.2 20.0 18.1

E(0) - MALE 63.30 64.62 65.72 66.70 67.56 68.32 69.03 69.68 70.26

E(0) - FEMALE 67.46 6926 70.81 72.2h 73.42 74.47 75.32 76.11 76.76

E(0) - 5TH SEXES 65.33 66.89 68.21 5e.41 7D 2 7%32> 72.09 72.82 73.43

.'T !,GRANT$-MALE 0 C. 0. 0. 0,ACT kA!.DAMTC-FF AI G 2. 0. O. O. 0. 0.

JORDAN POPULATION WITH NRR,1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 407 382 390 395 397 397 3975-9 381 375 391 396 397 397 39710-14 345 394 397 396 396 397 39715-19 , 303 404 399 394 394 396 39620-24 275 405 392 389 392 395 39625-29 248 395 375 385 392 395 39530-34 217 371 368 385 392 394 39435-39 185 333 384 389 392 393 39340-44 131 290 391 390 388 390 39245-49 90 260 388 380 381 386 38950-54 75 228 371 357 371 381 38455-59 62 190 334 338 362 372 37460-64 49 151 281 334 348 355 35665-69 34 94 219 308 320 324 32670-74 23 53 164 260 269 276 280

75+ 19 54 182 348 403 445 457

TOTAL 2845 4379 5427 5844 5994 6093 6123

FEMALES

0-4 393 369 376 379 380 380 3805-9 370 364 378 381 380 380 380

10-14 335 383 384 382 380 380 38015-19 295 394 388 381 379 379 38020-24 258 397 383 377 378 379 38025-29 229 389 367 375 379 380 38030-34 194 366 362 377 380 380 38035-39 151 330 380 382 381 380 37940-44 111 289 89 385 379 378 37945-49 76 250 $89 378 375 377 37850-54 65 218 377 359 370 375 37655-59 58 180 348 349 368 374 37460-64 51 134 303 357 366 369 36765-69 37 92 250 348 355 355 35470-74 23 55 194 317 323 327 32875+ 24 69 245 522 621 6,0 692

TOTAL 2670 4278 5514 6049 6194 6272 6284

TOTAL M+F 5514 8656 10941 11892 12188 12365 12407

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 22.8 16.1 13.7 13.0 12-7 12.6DEATH RATE 4,8 6.7 10.3 12.0 12.1 12.5GROWTH RATE i.8o 0.94 0.33 0.10 0.06 0.01IMR - BOTH SEXES 24,7 15,9 11,4 7 2 5.1 5.1El0 BOTH SEXES 7L.36 74 21 76.3 78.20 79.50 79.507OTAL FERTILITY 22I3 2 20 2,076r 2.064 D05T 2 058

KUWAIT POPULATION WITH NRR=t BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 138 143 143 143 142 137 138 144 145 143

5-9 113 141 145 144 144 143 137 138 143 144

10-14 97 115 142 146 145 144 142 136 138 143

15-19 80 99 116 143 146 145 144 142 136 138

20-24 73 86 104 120 145 147 144 143 142 136

25-29 84 82 94 110 123 146 146 144 143 141

30-34 96 92 89 99 113 124 145 146 143 142

35-39 84 w02 97 92 101 113 124 145 145 142

40-44 68 87 104 98 93 101 112 123 143 144

45-49 55 69 88 104 98 92 99 il1 121 142

50-54 35 54 68 86 101 96 90 97 10g 118

55-59 23 34 52 65 82 97 92 86 93 104

60-64 11 21 31 48 61 77 91 86 81 87

65-69 6 10 19 28 43 54 68 81 77 73

70-74 4 5 8 16 23 35 45 57 68 64

75+ 2 4 6 9 15 24 38 St 67 84

TOTAL 969 1145 1305 1450 1575 1675 1755 1829 1893 1946

FEMALES0-4 133 138 138 138 137 132 133 138 139 138

5-9 110 136 141 140 139 138 132 133 138 139

10-14 93 112 138 141 140 139 138 132 133 138

15-19 77 95 113 138 142 141 139 138 132 133

20-24 60 80 97 114 139 142 140 139 138 132 H25-29 57 64 82 98 115 140 142 140 139 137

30-34 57 60 65 83 99 116 139 142 140 139

35-39 47 59 61 66 84 99 115 139 141 140

40 44 35 48 _9 61 66 84 99 115 138 141

45-49 25 35 48 59 61 66 83 98 114 138

50-54 16 25 35 47 58 60 65 82 97 113

55-59 11 16 24 34 46 57 58 63 80 95

60-64 7 11 15 23 33 44 55 56 61 78

65-69 5 7 10 14 22 30 41 51 53 58

70-74 3 4 6 9 12 19 27 37 46 48

75+ 3 4 5 7 11 16 24 35 49 65

TOTAL 741 892 1036 1173 1303 1422 1532 1639 1740 1831

TOTAL M+F 1710 2037 2341 2623 2878 3096 3287 3468 3633 3776

DEATH RATE 3.1 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.6 5.4 6.2 7.0 7.6

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.73 2.28 1.94 1.66 1.36 1.19 1.08 0.93 0.78

GROWTH RATE 3.50 2.79 2.27 1.86 1.46 1.19 1.07 0.93 0.77

TOTAL FERTILITY 4.649 3.872 3.225 2.686 2.237 2.079 2.077 2.076 2.074

GRR 2.268 1.889 1.573 1.310 1.091 1.014 1.013 1.012 1.012

NRR 2.199 1.841 1.540 1.286 1.074 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 27.4 25.3 23.3 21.5 20.1 18.7 17.8 16.9 16.0

IMR - FEMALE 16.2 13.9 12.0 10.5 9.2 8.4 8.0 7.6 7.2

IMR - BOTH SEXES 22.0 19.7 17.8 16.2 14.8 , 13.7 13.0 12.4 11.7

E(0) - MALE 69.58 70.19 70.74 71.24 71.73 72.18 72.51 72.83 73.16

E(0) - FEMALE 74.72 75.57 76.31 76.91 77.44 77.86 78.18 78.51 78.85

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 72.09 72..$ 73.46 74.01 74.5 74 .5 75.20 75.60 75.ql

NTIGr'A%TS -MALE 50. 40. JD. 20 0. 0. O.

KJFT Uf0oAMTq-FFMAI 99 I1 .R 0. 0. 0. O.

KUWAIT POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 143 145 143 143 143 143 143

5-9 144 143 142 142 143 143 143

10-14 146 138 140 142 143 143 143

15-19 143 136 141 142 143 143 142

20-24 120 142 142 143 142 142 142

25-29 110 143 143 142 142 142 142

30-34 99 143 142 140 141 142 142 i35-39 92 145 136 139 141 142 142

40-44 98 143 133 139 141 141 141

45-49 104 121 138 139 140 140 140

50-54 86 108 136 139 138 138 138

55-59 65 93 133 133 133 134 134

60-64 48 81 127 122 126 128 128

65-69 28 77 114 110 116 118 118

70-74 16 68 82 98 101 102 102

75+ 9 67 105 154 163 165 166

TOTAL 1450 1893 2097 2166 2195 2203 2205

FEMALES

0-4 138 139 137 136 136 137 137

5-9 140 138 136 136 136 137 137

10-14 141 133 135 136 137 137 137

15-19 138 132 136 137 137 137 137

20-24 114 138 138 137 137 136 136

25-29 98 139 139 137 136 136 136

30-34 83 140 138 136 136 136 136

35-39 66 141 133 135 136 136 136

40-44 61 138 131 135 136 136 136

45-49 59 114 136 137 137 136 136

50-54 47 97 136 137 136 135 135

55-59 34 80 135 , 135 133 134 134

60-64 23 61 133 127 130 132 132

65-69 14 53 124 121 126 128 128

70-74 9 46 93 116 119 1,19 119

75+ 7 49 125 228 247 249 249 ,

TOTAL 1173 1740 2104 2226 2256 2260 2260

TOTAL M*F 2623 3633 4201 4392 4452 4463 4465

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 17.9 14.3 13.0 12.7 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 5.4 8.5 11.2 12.1 12.5 12.6

GROWTH RATE 1.30 0.58 0.1 0.05 0.01 0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 12.1 8.5 5.7 3.6 3.6 3.6

E( - BOTH SEXES 74.92 76.64 78.39 79.50 79.50 7950TOTAL FERTRLITY 2Z206 2,07 2.06? 2.05? 2.050 2.058

LEBANON POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 176 170 173 171 163 152 153 159 162 162

5-9 160 160 162 168 168 161 152 152 158 162

10-14 174 150 155 159 167 167 161 151 152 158

15-19 176 163 145 152 157 166 167 160 151 151

20-24 134 153 151 138 148 155 165 166 159 150

25-29 75 103 136 142 133 145 154 163 165 158

30-34 60 48 88 128 138 131 144 153 162 164

35-39 48 40 38 82 124 135 130 143 151 161

40-44 41 34 33 34 Bo 122 134 128 142 150

45-49 45 32 29 30 33 77 120 131 126 139

50-54 51 40 * 29 27 29 31 75 116 1201 I 122

55-59 48 46 36 27 26 27 30 71 itO 121

60-64 35 43 42 33 25 24 25 27 66 102

65-69 22 30 37 36 29 21 21 22 24 58

70-74 21 17 23 29 29 23 17 17 18 20

75+ 21 24 22 26 32 35 33 28 25 25

TOTAL 1289 1254 1301 1386 1480 1574 1677 1788 1899 2004

FEMALES0-4 168 164 167 166 158 148 148 154 157 156

5-9 '155 153 156 163 163 156 147 148 154 157

10-14 169 146 148 154 162 163 156 147 148 153

15-19 170 160 141 146 152 161 162 156 147 147

20-24 136 153 151 136 143 151 161 162 156 147

25-29 108 116 142 145 133 141 150 160 162 156 "

30-34 83 92 108 138 143 132 141 150 160 161

35-39 61 72 87 104 136 141 131 140 149 159

40-44 55 54 68 84 103 134 140 130 140 149

45-49 55 51 52 67 83 101 1i i39 129 13o

50-54 54 52 49 50 65 81 99 130 137 127

55-59 50 51 50 47 49 63 79 97 127 133

60-64 38 46 48 47 44 46 60 75 93 122

65-69 24 34 42 43 43 41 43 56 70 87

70-74 25 20 28 35 37 37 35 37 49 62

75+ 28 32 30 36 1 45 52 56 57 60 71

TOTAL 1379 1396 1467 1561 1658 1747 1841 1938 2036 2126

TOTAL M+F 2668 2651 2768 2947 3138 3321 3518 3726 3935 413l

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 27.6 26.8 24.8 21.9 19.2 18.1 17.:7 17.0 16.1

DEATH RATE 8.2 7.9 7.4 7.1 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.1 6.3

RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.94 1.89 1.74 1.49 1.24 1.16 1.15 1.09 0.97

GROWTH RATE -0.13 0.87 1.25 1.25 1.13 1.16 1.15 1.09 0.97

TOTAL FERTILITY 3.399 3.048 2.734 2.452 2.199 2.105 2.097 2.090 2.084

GRR 1.658 1.487 1.333 1.196 1.072 1.027 1.023 1.020 1.017

NRR 1.537 1.400 1.270 1.150 1.039 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 48.3 43.1 39.0 35.3 32.2 29.6 27.2 25.1 23.2

IMR - FEMALE 35.5 29.7 24.8 20.8 17.6 14.9 12.9 11.2 9.8

IMR - BOTH SEXES 42.1 36.5 32.1 28.2 25.1, 22.4 20.2 18.3 16.7

E(0) - MALE 64.53 65.65 66.62 67.51 68.27 68.97 69.63 70.24 70.77

E(0) - FEMALE 68.86 70.46 71.92 73.19 74.27 75.19 75.99 76.64 77.21

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 66.64 68.00 69.20 70.28 7120 72.01 72.73 73.36 73-91

!G' R!GANTS-MALE -165. -83. -41 2 -O. O. O. O

NFT G 14. 0 0. 0. 0. 0.NFT~1Qt.NS4MAA -ICh-55. -28 '.* ~ ) .0

LEBANON POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 171 162 159 159 160 160 1605-9 168 158 157 159 160 160 16010-14 159 152 156 159 160 160 16015-19 152 151 158 159 160 160 16020-24 4w 138 159 160 159 159 160 16025-29 142 165 160 157 158 159 15930-34 128 162 155 155 157 159 159 i"35-39 82 151 148 154 157 159 15940-44 34 142 146 154 157 158 15845-49 30 126 153 155 156 156 15750-54 27 127 155 t52 152 154 15555-59 27 110 147 143 146 149 15160-64 33 66 129 129 137 142 14465-69 36 24 108 116 126 131 13270-74 29 18 80 103 110 113 11475+ 26 25 99 153 168 180 184

TOTAL 1386 1899 2271 2367 2423 2460 2471

FEMALES

0-4 166 157 154 153 153 153 1535-9 163 154 152 153 153 153 15310-14 154 148 151 153 153 153 15315-19 146 147 153 154 153 153 15320-24 136 156 156 154 153 153 15325-29 145 162 156 153 153 153 15330-34 138 160 153 151 152 153 15335-39 104 149 146 151 153 153 15340-44 84 140 145 152 153 153 15345-49 67 129 153 154 153 153 15250-54 50 137 157 153 151 151 15255-59 47 127 152 147 148 150 15060-64 47 93 138 138 144 148 14865-69 43 70 122 130 140 143 14370-74 35 49 101 125 131 13 133

75+ 36 60 166 233 258 275 279

TOTAL 1561 2036 2356 2454 2504 2531 2535

TOTAL M*F 2947 3935 4627 4821 4927 4901 5006

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 18.8 14.7 13-4 13.0 12.7 12.6DEATH RATE 6.5 8.2 11.7 12.1 12.2 12.5GROWTH RATE 1.16 0.65 0.16, 0. 09 0.05 0.01IMR - BOTH SEXES 20.7 13.9 10. 5.7 3.2 3.2E - BOTH SEXES 72.00 74.62 76 40 78.30 79.50 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 2181 2 08^ 2-072 20,05 2,058

OMAN POPULATION WITH NRR-9 BY 2030 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES0-4 114 124 132 142 154 163 166 162 157 149

5-9 91 111 120 128 139 151 161 164 161 155

10-14 71 92 1t 119 127 138 150 160 164 161

15-19 58 72 92 110 119 126 137 149 159 163

20-24 54 63 75 93 110 117 125 136 148 158

25-29 54 61 67 77 93 109 116 124 134 14730-34 52 60 65 69 77 91 107 115 123 133

35-39 43 56 63 66 68 75 90 106 113 121

40-44 35 45 57 62 65 67 74 88 14 112

45-49 27 36 45 56 60 63 65 72 86 102

50-54 19 27 34 43 53 58 60 62 6pI 8355-59 14 18 25 32 40 50 54 56 59 65

60-64 10 13 16 22 29 36 45 49 51 53

65-69 7 9 It 14 19 25 31 39 42 44

70-74 5 5 7 8 11 15 19 24 31 34

75+ 3 5 5 7 8 11 15 20 26 33

TOTAL 659 797 925 1048 1172 1294 1414 1526 1626 1713

FEMALES0-4 110 120 127 137 148 157 160 157 151 145

5-9 90 108 116 124 134 146 155 159 156 151

10-14 68 91 107 116 123 133 145 155 158 156

15-19 55 69 90 107 115 123 133 145 154 158

20-24 47 56 69 90 106 114 122 132 144 154

25-29 43 49 57 69 89 105 113 121 131 14330-34 38 44 49 57 68 88 104 112 120 130 435-39 31 39 44 49 56 67 87 103 111 119

40-44 25 31 38 43 48 55 66 86 102 110

45-49 20 25 30 37 42 47 54 65 84 100

50-54 16 20 24 29 .36 41 45 52 63 82

55-59 13 15 19 23 28 34 39 43 50 61

60-64 9 12 14 17 21 26 32 37 41 48

65-69 7 8 11 13 15 19 23 29 33 37

70-74 5 6 6 9 to 13 16 19 24 28

75+ 4 5 6 7 10 12 15 19 24 30

TOTAL .583 696 809 927 1052 1180 1310 1433 1548 1653

TOTAL M+F 1242 1492 1735 1975 2224 2474 2724 2959 3174 3365

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 40.8 36.3 33.4 31.4 29.2 26.4 23-5 20.9 18.6

DEATH RATE 12.3 10.8 9.6 8.7 7.9 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.9

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.85 2.55 2.39 2.28 2.13 1.93 1.66 1.40 1.17

GROWTH RATE 3.67 3.01 2.59 2.37 2.13 1.93 1.66 1.40 1.17

TOTAL FERTILITY 6.323 5.553 4.876 4.282 3.761 3.303 2.900 2.547 2.237

GRR 3.084 2.709 2.379 2.089 1.835 1.611 1.415 1.242 1.091

NRR 2.395 2.179 1.981 1.800 1.634 1.483 1.325 1.178 1.046

IMR - MALE 119.5 105.7 91.8 78.0 64.1 50.2 44.7 40.2 36.6

IMR - FEMALE 107.3 93.6 79.9 66.2 52.6 38.9 32.2 27.1 22.6

IMR - BOTH SEXES 113.6 99.8 86.0 72.2 58.5.1 44.7 38.6 33.8 29.8

E(0) - MALE 53.15 55.20 57.32 59.51 61.77 64.10 65.29 66.32 67.20

E(0) - FEMALE 56.43 58.59 60.83 63.13 65.52 67.99 69.74 71.24 72.59- ROTH SEXES 54.75 56.05 59.03 61.28 6A560 6599 67.46 60.72 69.83

N!ET MIGRANTS-MALE 41. 27, 7 O. O.NET WGRANTS-FEMALE 15. 10. 5 0. 0. 0.NFT MTnDATInmA DATC n,

OMAN POPULATION WITH NRR-I BY 2030 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 142 157 157 157 157 157 1575-9 128 161 158 156 156 157 15710-14 119 164 156 154 155 156 15715-19 110 159 150 153 155 156 15720-24 93 148 147 153 155 156 15625-29 77 134 153 154 155 156 15630-34 69 123 157 155 154 155 15635-39 66 113 158 153 152 154 15540-44 62 104 152 146 150 153 15545-49 56 86 140 141 149 152 15450-54 43 69 124 144 148 151 15155-59 32 59 108 142 144 146 14760-64 22 5t 93 134 134 137 13965-69 14 42 75 116 116 124 12870-74 8 31 51 89 96 107 Ill75+ 7 26 53 106 151 171 179

TOTAL 1048 1626 2032 2254 2326 2388 2414

FEMALES

0o0-4 1l37 151 152 151 150 ISO 1505-9 124 156 153 151 150 150 15010-14 116 158 152 149 150 150 15015-19 107 154 146 148 150 150 15020-24 90 144 144 149 150 150 15025-29 69 131 150 151 151 150 15030-34 57 120 154 153 150 150 15035-39 49 111 156 151 149 149 15040-44 43 102 151 144 147 149 15045-49 37 84 140 141 147 149 15050-54 29 63 125 145 148 149 14955-59 23 50 112 147 147 147 14760-64 17 41 99 144 142 143 14465-69 13 33 84 131 130 137 14070-74 9 24 62 109 116 127 13075+ 7 24 64 156 228 202 272

TOTAL 927 1548 2044 2320 2406 2464 2481

TOTAL M+F 1975 3174 4076 4574 4731 4852 4895

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 26 3 17.3 14.3 13.3 12.9 12.7DEATH RATE 7,5 7.3 9.7 11.9 11.9 12.3GROWTH RATE 1 90 1-00 0.4&. 0.14 O.10 0.04IMR - BOTH SEXES 48.0 23.0 14.2 9.0 4.5 3.240) - BOTH SEXES 65.76 71.64 74.47 76.65 70.91 79.50

TOTAL FERTILITY 3. 2-9 17 27 2.0722.

QATAR * POPULATION WITH NRR*1 BY 2030 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20$5 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 24 34 39 41 44 47 49 50 49 46

5-9 16 25 35 39 41 44 47 49 50. 48

10-14 14 17 26 35 39 41 44 47 49 50

15-19 13 16 18 26 35 39 40 44 47 49

20-24 14 19 18 19 26 35 39 40 44 47

25-29 22 22 21 19 19 26 35 38 40 43

30-34 27 28 24 23 20 19 26 35 38 40

35-39 24 31 30 25 23 19 19 26 34 38

40-44 16 27 32 30 25 22 19 19 26 34

45-49 12 Is 27 32 30 24 22 19 18 25

50-54 7 13 17 26 31 29 24 21 i1I 18

55-59 6 7 12 16 25 30 27 23 21 18

60-64 2 5 6 11 15 23 27 25 21 19

65-69 2 2 5 5 10 13 20 24 23 19

70-74 1 2 1 4 4 8 11 17 20 19

75+ 0 1 1 2 4 5 8 12 18 23

TOTAL 201 265 312 352 389 424 457 488 515 535

FEMALES0-4 25 33 37 39 43 46 47 49 47 44

5-9 15 27 34 37 39 42 45 47 48 47

10-14 13 15 27 34 38 39 42 45 47 48

15-19 10 13 16 27 34 38 39 42 45 47

20-24 10 12 14 16 27 34 38 39 42 45 p25-29 9 12 12 14 16 27 34 37 39 42 3

30-34 9 11 12 13 14 16 27 34 37 39

35-39 7 io It 13 13 14 16 27 34 37

40-44 5 8 10 11 13 13 14 16 27 34

45-49 4 5 8 10 11 13 13 i4 16 27

50-54 2 4 5 8 10 il 12 12 14 16

55-59 2 2 4 5 7 10 10 12 12 14

.60-64 0 2 2 4 5 7 9 10 12 12

65-69 0 0 2 2 4 5 7 9 9 11

70-74 0 0 0 2 2 3 4 6 8 8

75+ 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 7 10

TOTAL 114 155 195 235 277 319 362 405 445 481

TOTAL M+F 315 420 507 587 666 743 820 894 960 1016

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 37.1 33.4 29.8 28.3 27.0 25.2 23.5 21.0 . 18.4

DEATH RATE 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.5 5.1 5.6 6.2 6.7 7.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.30 2.93 2.56 2.38 2.19 1.96 1.74 1.43 1.13

GROWTH RATE 5.75 3.78 2.92 2.53 2.18 1.96 1.73 1.43 1.13

TOTAL FERTILITY 6.760 6.473 5.833 5.091 4.231 3.485 3.008 2.596 2.240

GRR 3.298 3.158 2.845 2.483 2.064 1.700 1.467 1.266 1.093

NRR 3.123 3.024 2.746 2.412 2.014 1.664 1.440 1.244 1.075

IMR - MALE 37.6 32.9 29.7 27.2 25.2 23.3 21.6 20.5 19.4

IMR - FEMALE 26.7 22.2 18.8 15.8 13.7 12.2 10.9 10.3 9.7

IMR - BOTH SEXES 32.3 27.7 24.4 21.6 14.6., 17.9 16.4 15.5 14.7

E(0) - MALE 66.95 68.12 68 95 69.63 70.21 70.74 71.21 71.60 71.99

E(0) FEMALE 71.37 72.72 73.87 74.87 75.67 76.26 76.79 77.18 77.59

E()- BOTH SEXES 69.10 70.36 7t.35 72.19 72.87 73.43 73.93 74.32 74.72

NET MTGRANTS -MALE 35. o5. .0. 0. 0. 0.

MFT M!IRANTS-FEMALE 10. 0. 3. 2- .. 0. 0.

QATAR POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2030 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 41 49 48 48 48 47 48

5-9 39 50 48 47 47 47 4710-14 35 49 47 47 47 47 4715-19 26 47 45 47 47 47 47

20-24 19 44 45 47 48 47 47

25-29 19 40 48 48 48 47 4730-34 23 38 49 48 47 47 47 I35-39 25 34 48 47 46 47 47

40-44 30 26 46 44 46 47 4745-49 32 l8 42 44 46 47 4750-54 26 19 38 46 47 46 4655-59 16 21 35 46 45 45 4560-64 11 21 30 43 42 42 42

65-69 5 23 20 37 37 39 .3970-74 4 20 12 29 32 34 3475* 2 i8 21 38 55 55 55

TOTAL 352 515 622 706 728 733 734

FEMALES

0-4 39 47 46 46 45 45 455-9 37 48 47 45 45 45 4510-14 34 47 45 45 45 45 4515-19 27 45 43 45 45 45 4520-24 16 42 44 45 46 46 45

25-29 14 39 47 46 46 45 45

30-34 13 37 48 46 45 45 4535-39 13 34 47 45 45 45 4540-44 11 27 45 43 45 45 45

45-49 10 16 142 43 45 45 45

50-54 8 14 38 46 46 45 4555-59 5 12 36 47 46 45 4560-64 4 12 31 45 44 43 4465-69 2 9 24 41 40 42 4270-74 2 8 13 35 38 ?9 4075+ 0 .7 18 56 82 83 83

TOTAL 235 445 614 720 748 752 752

TOTAL MtF 587 960 1236 1426 1476 1485 1486

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 25.0 17.1 13.9 12.8 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 5.6 7.0 8.2 11.4 12.4 12.6GROWTH RATE 1.97 1.01 0.57, . 0, 0.14 0.02. 0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 10.4 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

E(0) BOTH SEXES 73.45 75.58 77,70 79.41 79.50 79.50

TOTAL FERTILITY 3.460 2107 2.067 2.059 1.058 2.058

SAUDI ARABIA POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2030 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 1055 1290 1573 1760 1902 1945 1951 2013 1991 1888

5-9 892 1049 1281 1561 1746 1888 1932 1940 2001 1981

10-14 677 893 1047 1277 1556 1741 1882 1926 1934 1996

15-19 555 683 895 1046 1273 1550 1734 1875 1919 1927

20-24 507 584 700 903 1045 1269 1543 1724 1864 1908

25-29 567 550 612 716 905 1044 1263 1532 1711 1852

30-34 554 602 573 625 718 903 1038 1254 1521 1700

35-39 421 _77 615 580 624 715 896 1029 1243 1508

40-44 304 433 580 614 575 617 706 885 1016 1228

45-49 225 305 428 569 600 563 605 692 867 997

50-54 168 219 295 412 547 578 543 584 671' 841

55-59 125 159 206 277 387 516 546 514 554 637

60-64 93 113 143 186 252 353 471 501 472 511

65-69 63 79 96 123 160 217 306 410 438 415

70-74 44 49 62 76 97 127 174 246 331 355

75+ 38 47 54 67 83 105 137 186 261 360

TOTAL 6289 7630 9160 10793 12471 14130 15728 17310 18794 20104

FEMALES0-4 1012 1246 1518 1700 1839 1881 1889 1948 1927 1827

5-9 858 1010 1241 1511 1692 1832 1876 1884 1944 1924

10-14 649 860 1010 1239 1509 1690 1830 1874 1882 1942

15-19 522 650 859 1008 1236 1505 1687 1827 1871 1880

20-24 430 528 652 858 1006 1233 1501 1683 1823 1868

25-29 354 437 531 652 855 1002 1229 1497 1678 1819

30-34 301 359 438 530 650 851 998 1224 1491 1673

35-39 256 303 358 436 526 645 846 992 1218 1485

40-44 208 254 J00 354 431 521 839 839 985 1210

45-49 168 204 249 294 348 424 513 631 830 975

50-54 137 163 198 242 287 339 415 503 620 816

55-59 109 130 155 189 232 276 328 402 489 603

60-64 89 101 121 145 178 219 261 312 383 468

65-69 65 78 90 109 131 161 200 240 288 355

70-74 48 53 65 75 91 111 138 172 208 251

75+ 47 56 65 79 95 116 143 180 227 283

TOTAL 5253 6432 7850 9421 11105 12807 14493 16207 17864 19379

TOTAL M+F 11542 14062 17011 20215 23576 26938 30221 33518 36657 39482I

RELATED INDICATORS '

BIRTH RATE 42.2 42.1 39,0 35.6 31.4 27.8 25.6 22.9 20.0

DEATH RATE 7.8 6.9 6.1 5.5 5.2 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.44 3.52 3.29 3.01 2.63 2.28 2.06 1.79 1.49

GROWTH RATE 3.95 3.81 3.45 3.08 2.67 2.30 2.07 1.79 1.48

TOTAL FERTILITY 7.070 6.766 6.083 5.288 4.363 3.562 3.059 2.627 2.255

GRR 3.449 3.300 2,967 2.580 2.128 1.738 1.492 1.281 1.100

NRR 3.064 3 002 2.750 2.428 2.027 1.671 1.445 1.248 1.076

IMR - MALE 63.7 54.8 48.4 43.3 39.1 35.4 32.3 29.7 27.3

IMR - FEMALE 50.7 42.8 35.7 29.7 24.9 20.9 17.6 14.9 12.9

IMR - BOTH SEXES 57.3 48.9 42.2 36.7 32.2., 28.3 25.2 22.5 20.3

E(0) - MALE 61.15 63 11 64.50 65.60 66.59 67.48 68.25 68.95 69.61

E(0) - FEMALE 64.93 66.96 68.81 70.44 71.89 73.17 74.24 75.17 75.96

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 63.00 546.51 S7.)( 9. I 70.2 71.17 71.98 72.71

NET MICRANTS-MALE 205. 170 115. 5 23. 8. o. 0.&Ii l T *I , LAT,C -CI.... I Ir I I- -, - ...

SAUDI ARABIA POPULATION WITH NRRI1 BY 2030 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 1760 1991 1963 1950 1947 1949 19495-9 1561 2001 1957 1935 1939 1947 1948

10-14 1277 1934 1919 1917 1935 1947 194815-19 ,. 1046 1919 1847 1910 1935 1946 194620-24 903 1864 1863 1921 1937 1943 194325-29 716 1711 1952 1936 1931 1935 193830-34 625 1521 1960 1927 1914 1926 193435-39 580 1243 1885 1882 1892 1918 193140-44 614 1016 1856 1802 1877 1913 192545-49 569 867 1782 1801 1874 1905 191250-54 412 670 1602 1853 1862 1877 188255-59 277 554 1367 1798 1800 1814 182760-64 186 472 1043 1627 1667 1710 173765-69 123 438 762 1448 1457 1564 159770-74 76 331 542 1176 1250 1356 138275+ 67 261 546 1393 1986 2178 2237

TOTAL 10793 18794 24847 28275 29203 29826 30038

FEMALESt'J

0-4 1700 1927 1894 1875 1865 1864 18645-9 1511 1944 1894 1865 1861 1863 186410-14 1239 1882 1861 1851 1860 1863 186515-19 1008 1871 1797 1849 1864 1866 186520-24 858 1823 1820 1866 1871 1867 186425-29 652 1678 1916 1888 1871 1864 186330-34 530 1491 1931 1886 1861 1860 186135-39 436 1218 1865 1850 1845 1857 186140-44 354 985 lq47 1781 1839 1860 186245-49 294 830 1786 1795 1850 1862 185950-54 242 620 1624 1872 1859 1854 184855-59 189 489 1414 1857 1835 1827 182760-64 145 383 1115 1743 1761 1782 179565-69 109 288 848 1639 1627 1717 173970-74 75 208 637 1437 1509 1609 162375+ 79 227 681 2053 3027 33q4 3391

TOTAL 9421 17864 24931 29107 30205 30739 30852

TOTAL M+F / 20215 36657 49778 57383 59408 60565 60890

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 28.7 17.9 14.2 13,1 12.8 12.6DEATH RATE 5.1 5.6 8.5 11.7 12.0 12.4GROWTH RATE 2.38 1.22 0.57 ' 0.14 0.08 0.02IMR - BOTH SEXES 28.8 16.9 12.3 8.7 5.6 5.2E()- BOTH SEXES 70.34 7387 75.78 77.58 79.26 79.507OAL FERTKLRTY . 34 2 -5 2. 2.0 20520

SYRIAN ARAB REP. POPULATION WITH NRR=l BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 1057 1145 1203 1257 1306 1323 1286 1201 1202 1255

5-9 821 1037 1128 1189 1246 1296 1315 1279 1195 1197

10-14 688 814 1030 1122 1184 1242 1292 1311 1275 1192

15-19 566 680 806 1023 1115 1178 1236 1287 1306 1271

20-24 520 553 669 797 1013 1107 1170 1229 1280 1299

25-29 404 503 540 659 788 1005 1099 1162 1220 1272

30-34 291 389 491 531 650 780 996 1090 1154 1213

35-39 213 279 379 482 524 643 773 987 1081 1145

40-44 162 '2b4 271 371 473 516 634 762 975 1069

45-49 141 154 196 263 361 462 505 621 748 958

50-54 132 133 147 188 253 348 447 488 60?1 726

55-59 il 122 124 138 177 238 329 423 464 573

60-64 84 99 110 112 125 161 218 302 390 428

65-69 57 71 85 95 97 108 140 191 265 343

70-74 39 44 56 67 75 77 87 113 154 216

75+ 46 47 51 61 74 86 94 106 130 172

TOTAL 5331 6275 7285 8354 9461 10573 11621 12552 13442 14328

FEMALES0-4 1016 1094 1150 1205 1252 1269 1233 1151 1152 1202

5-9 815 999 1081 1141 1198 1247 1265 1231 1149 1151

10-14 670 809 993 1077 1138 1196 1245 1264 1229 1148

15-19 533 663 803 989 1073 1136 1193 1243 1262 1228

20-24 484 523 655 797 984 1070 1133 1191 1241 1260

25-29 365 473 515 648 792 979 1066 1129 1188 1238 Li

30-34 276 356 465 509 643 787 975 1062 1126 1185

35-39 209 269 350 459 504 639 782 970 1057 1121

40-44 172 203 263 344 453 499 633 777 964 1051

45-49 153 167 198 258 338 446 492 626 7G9 e55

50-54 136 147 161 192 261 331 437 483 615 756

55-59 110 129 140 154 185 243 320 424 470 600

60-64 80 102 120 131 145 175 230 305 406 451

65-69 58 71 91 108 119 132 160 212 282 377

70-74 42 48 59 76 91 101 114 139 185 248

75+ 54 56 62 74 94 117 138 160 193 249

TOTAL 5174 6109 7107 8163 9261 10366 11418 12367 13289 14221

TOTAL M+F 10505 12383 14392 16517 18722 20939 23039 24919 26731 28549

DEATH RATE 7.2 6.1 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.6 5.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.45 3.10 2.79 2.52 2 24 1.91 1.57 1.40 1.32

GROWTH RATE 3.29 3.01 2.75 2.51 2.24 1.91 1.57 1.40 1.32

TOTAL FERTILITY 6.244 5.270 4.448 3.764 3.168 2.674 2.257 2.109 2.102

GRR 3.031 2.558 2.159 1.822 1.538 1.298 1.096 1.024 1.020

NRR 2.739 2.360 2.026 1.731 1.476 1.255 1.066 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 56.8 50.1 44.7 40.2 36.5 33.3 30.3 28.0 25.8

IMR - FEMALE 44.7 37.4 31.0 26.0 21.8 18.4 15.5 13.4 . 11.6

IMR - BOTH SEXES 50.9 43.9 38.1 33.3 29,.3.,, 26.0 23.1 20.9 18.9

E(0) - MALE 62.65 64.12 65.29 66.32 67.23 68.02 68.76 69.42 70.03

E(0) - FEMALE 66.48 68.39 70.06 71.57 72.87 73.99 74.97 75.79 76.49

E(O) - BOTH SEXES 64.51 66.19 67.61 68.86 69.97 70.92 71.78 72.51 73.16

NET llGRANTS-MALE -54. -3G. - -9 0 0. O.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -36. -24. -12. -60 0. . 0. 0.

SYRIAN ARAB REP. POPULATION WITH NRRw1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 1257 1202 1240 1257 1263 1264 1264

5-9 1189 1195 1248 1260 1262 1263 1262

10-14 1122 1275 1268 1261 1259 1261 1261

15-19 1023 1306 1270 1250 1252 1259 126020-24 797 1280 1238 1233 1247 1257 125925-29 659 1220 1180 1223 1246 1256 125730-34 531 1154 1170 1230 1248 1254 1255

35-39 482 1081 1243 1244 1245 1248 125140-44 371 975 1265 1239 1230 1239 124645-49 263 748 1225 1198 1205 1227 123750-54 188 602 1144 1121 1178 1211 122155-59 138 464 1040 1075 1152 1183 118960-64 l12 390 910 1077 1107 1127 113065-69 95 265 735 991 1009 1026 103470-74 67 154 471 814 839 873 89075+ 61 130 468 1070 1256 1409 1453

TOTAL 8354 13442 17116 18543 18996 19357 19472

FEMALES

0-4 1205 1152 1184 1197 1198 1197 11975-9 1141 1149 1196 1202 1199 1197 1196

10-14 1077 1229 1218 1205 1198 1196 119615-19 989 1262 1223 1198 1194 1195 119620-24 797 1241 1198 1186 1192 1196 119725-29' 648 1188 1146 1180 1194 1197 119730-34 509 1126 1142 1191 1200 1198 119635-39 459 1057 1219 1211 1201 1196 119540-44 344 964 1446 1212 1193 1192 1193

45-49 258 769 1217 1182 1176 1187 1191

50-54 192 615 1151 1120 1163 1184 118755-59 154 470 1069 1099 1161 1179 117760-64 131 406 971 1141 1156 1161 1156

65-69 OB 282 833 1110 1112 1114 1114

70-74 76 185 594 985 1001 1025 103575+ 74 193 682 1593 1916 21?3 2180

TOTAL 8163 13289 17289 19013 19454 19747 19803

TOTAL M+F 16517 26731 34405 37556 38450 39104 39275

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 23 9 16.4 13.7 13-0 12.7 12.6

DEATH RATE 4.6 6.3 10.2 12.1 12.1 12.4

GROWTH RATE 1.93 1.01 0.35*, r 0.09 0.07 0.02

IMR - BOTH SEXES 26.5 16.3 12.1 8.1 5.3 5.3E(0) BOTH SEXES 70.98 74.09 75.92 77.85 79.40 79.49

TOTAL FERTILITY 2,686 2.095 2,r.,85 2 075 2.069 2.068

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES POPULATION WITH NRR-I BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES0-4 95 110 115 JO 100 97 99 107 107 1045-9 77 98 111 115 108 100 96 99 106 10710-14 53 79 99 111 115 107 100 96 99 10615-19 39 56 80 100 111 115 107 99 96 9820-24 53 50 61 83 99 110 114 107 99 9625-29 119 68 57 65 82 99 110 114 106 9930-34 165 131 74 60 65 82 98 109 113 10635-39 129 173 135 76 60 64 81 97 109 11340-44 85 "" 134 174 135 75 59 64 80 97 10845-49 53 87 133 172 133 74 58 63 79 9550-54 29 53 84 129 167 129 72 57 4 7755-59 16 28 50 80 123 160 124 69 54 5960-64 7 15 26 46 74 114 148 115 64 5165-69 4 6 13 23 41 66 101 132 103 5870-74 3 3 5 ii 19 34 54 84 109 8575+ 3 4 4 6 10 is 33 56 89 124

TOTAL 929 1093 1222 1319 1381 1428 1461 1485 1493 1486FEMALES0-4 92 106 111 104 96 93 95 103 103 1005-9 73 95 107 111 104 96 93 95 102 10310-14 49 75 96 108 111 103 96 93 95 10215-19 32 50 75 96 108 111 103 96 93 9520-24 31 35 52 76 96 107 111 103 96 92 F-25-29 42 35 37 52 76 96 107 1il 103 96 w30-34 43 45 36 .37 52 75 96 107 110 10335-39 29 44 45 36 37 52 75 95 107 11040-44 20 30 45 45 36 37 52 75 95 10645-49 11 20 30 44 44 35 36 51 74 9450-54 8 il 20 29 43 44 35 36 51 7355-59 6 8 i 19 28 42 43 34 35 4960-64 3 6 7 10 18 27 40 41 33 3465-69 3 3 5 7 9 17 25 38 38 3170-74 2 3 2 4 6 8 15 22 33 3475+ 3 3 3 4 5 7 10 17 27 41

TOTAL 445 567 682 783' 870 951 1031 1115 1194 1263

TOTAL M+F 1374 1660 1903 2102 2250 2378 2492 2600 2686 2749

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 29.0 26.0 21.7 18.5 16.8 16.3 16.8 16.2 15.3DEATH RATE 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.8 5.7 6.9 8.3 9.7 10.7RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.48 2,19 1.74 1.37 1.11 0.94 0.85 0.66 0.47GROWTH RATE 3.78 2.73 1.98 1.37 1.11 0.94 0.84 0.66 0.46TOTAL FERTILITY 5.940 5.449 4.253 3.096 2.386 2.094 2.089 2.084 2.082GRR 2.898 2.658 2.075 1.510 1.164 1.022 1.019 1.016 1.016NRR 2.744 2.544 2.002 1.467 1.136 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000IMR - MALE 37.6 32.2 27.6 24,1 21.0 20.2 19.4 18.7 17.9IMR - FEMALE 26.7 22.5 19.1 16.1 13.9 12.3 10.9 9.7 9.2IMR - BOTH SEXES 32.3 27.5 23.4 20.2 17.5 16.3 15.3 14.3 13.6E(0) - MALE 66.95 68.27 69.53 70.53 71.43 71.70 71.94 72.18 72.48E(0) - FEMALE 71.37 72,62 73.77 74.77 75.57 76.21 76.76 77.26 77.60VO0 - BOTH SEXES 69.10 70.39 71.5? 72.60 73.As 73.90 74.29 74.66 74.90

NET MTGRANTS-MALE 79. F C. 9. 0. 0.NET MIGnANTS-FEMALE 25. .2. 0. 0. . 0. 9. 0. 0.

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES POPULATION WITH NRR*1 BY 2010 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 108 107 104 103 103 104 1045-9 115 106 103 103 103 103 10410-14 Ii 99 101 103 103 104 10315-19 100 96 101 103 104 103 10320-24 83 99 104 104 103 103 10325-29 65 106 106 103 103 103 10330-34 60 113 105 101 102 103 103 lI35-39 76 109 97 99 102 103 10340-44 135 97 94 99 102 102 10245-49 172 79 96 101 102 102 10250-54 129 61 101 102 100 100 10055-59 80 54 104 98 96 97 9760-64 46 64 94 86 90 92 9365-69 23 103 76 76 83 85 8670-74 11 109 53 66 73 74 7475+ 6 89 70 io 117 119 120

TOTAL 1319 1493 1507 1558 1586 1596 1599

FEMALES

0-4 104 103 100 99 99 99 995-9 111 102 99 99 99 99 9910-14 108 95 97 99 99 99 9915-19 96 93 97 99 99 99 9920-24 76 96 100 100 99 99 9925-29 52 103 103 100 99 99 9930-34 37 110 102 98 98 99 9935-39 36 107 94 97 98 99 9940-44 45 95 92 97 99 99 9945-49 44 74 ;94 99 100 99 9950-54 29 51 100 101 99 98 9855-59 19 35 106 99 96 97 9760-64 10 33 99 89 93 95 9665-69 7 38 83 83 90 93 9370-74 4 33 59 78 86 87 8675+ 4 27 61 157 175 180 180

TOTAL 783 1194 1486 1593 1629 1639 1640

TOTAL M+F 2102 2686 2993 3151 3216 3235 3239

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 16.9 14.5 13.2 12.8 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 7.1 10.1 11.1 12.0 12.4 12.5GROWTH RATE 0.98 0.43 0.21 0.08 0.02 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 15.7 9.8 6.8 4.9 4,9 4.9E(0) - BOTH SEXES 73.83 75.65 77.33 79.06 79.50 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 2.286 2.078 2.069 2.060 2.058 P.058

YEMEN ARAB REP. POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2040 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 723 861 1015 1098 1166 1221 1252 1276 1317 1319

5-9 562 661 796 948 1035 1108 1169 1206 1238 1287

10-14 520 551 650 784 936 1023 1097 1158 1197 1230

15-19 445 510 542 641 775 926 1013 1087 1149 1188

20-24 369 432 497 529 629 762 911 999 1073 1136

25-29 300 355 418 482 517 616 748 896 984 1059

30-34 144 289 342 405 470 506 604 734 881 969

35-39 lo 138 278 331 394 459 495 591 720 866

40-44 108 96 131 267 320 382 446 482 77 705

45-49 110 102 91 125 256 307 368 430 466 559

50-54 106 102 95 85 118 242 292 350 4 44 446

55-59 98 96 93 87 78 109 225 272 326 384

60-64 79 86 84 82 77 70 98 202 244 294

65-69 58 64 70 70 68 65 59 83 172 209

70-74 37 42 47 52 53 52 50 46 64 134

75+ 28 32 37 43 50 54 56 56 54 67

TOTAL 3787 4416 5186 6029 6941 7902 8881 9868 10874 11852

FEMALES0-4 712 834 983 1062 1128 1180 1209 1231 1270 1271

5-9 555 652 772 919 1003 1073 1132 1168 1198 1244

10-14 516 544 641 761 907 992 1063 1123 1160 1191

15-19 440 506 535 631 751 898 983 1055 1115 1153

20-24 367 429 494 524 621 740 886 972 1044 1105

25-29 314 356 417 483 514 610 729 874 960 1033 LJ

30-34 220 303 346 406 472 504 599 717 862 948

35-39 198 213 294 336 397 462 494 589 706 849

40-44 188 i9l 206 285 327 387 452 484 578 694

45-49 162 180 184 199 276 318 377 441 473 5G5

50-54 143 153 172 176 191 266 307 364 426 458

55-59 119 133 144 162 166 181 253 292 347 407

60-64 90 106 121 131 148 154 168 235 271 323

65-69 66 75 91 104 114 130 135 148 208 242

70-74 44 50 58 70 82 91 105 110 121 171

75+ 35 41 48 57 1 71 87 101 119 133 150

TOTAL 4168 4767 5503 6306 7168 8075 8994 9921 10870 11802

TOTAL M+F 7955 9183 10689 12335 14109 15977 17875 19789 21745 23654

DEATH RATE 20.1 18.4 16.2 14.0 12.2 10.7 9.5 8.6 7.8

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.91 3.07 2.88 2.69 2.49 2.25 2.04 1.89 1.68

GROWTH RATE 2.87 3.04 2.86 2.69 2.49 2.24 2.03 1.89 1.68

TOTAL FERTILITY 6.760 6,536 6.047 5.500 4.886 4.199 3.613 3.224 2.877

GRR 3.298 3.188 2.950 2.683 2.384 2.048 1.762 1.573 1.403

NRR 2.213 2.234 2.146 2.023 1.860 1.649 1.464 1.347 1.238

IMR - MALE 157.1 147.6 138.0 128.5 119.2 106.6 94.0 81.4 68.8

IMR - FEMALE 141.9 133.1 124.3 115.6 107.0 94.7 82.4 70.1 57.7

IMR - BOTH SEXES 149.7 140.5 131.3 122.2 1.1l.3,, 100.8 88.3 75.9 63.4

E(0) - MALE 44.86 46.88 48.98 51.09 53.22 55.12 57.08 59.10 61.19

E(0) - FEMALE 47.21 49.46 51.78 54.13 56.51 58.51 60.57 62.70 64.90

Eq0) - BOTH SEXES 46.00 48.14 50.34 52.57 5A.I2 5(.77 58.78 60.86 6300

NET KTGRANTS-MALE -11. -10 C0. ?, C. 0. 0. 0.

NET V!GQANTS-FEMALE -1. -3. -2. 2. C. O 0. 0.

YEMEN ARAB REP. POPULATION WITH NRR"1 BY 2040 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 1098 1317 1248 1238 1246 1252 12545-9 948 1238 1206 1230 1244 1251 125310-14 784 1197 1214 1237 1246 1250 125215-19 641 1149 1261 1248 1244 1246 125020-24 529 1073 1276 1245 1233 1239 124725-29 482 984 1252 1219 1218 1233 124530-34 405 881 1190 1177 1208 1231 1243 )35-39 331 720 1140 1177 1210 1229 123940-44 267 577 1080 1213 1214 1222 123245-49 125 466 992 1212 1199 1203 121950-54 85 411 882 1161 1152 1171 119955-59 87 326 751 1057 1073 1128 116760-64 82 244 565 942 1008 1072 111265-69 70 172 397 794 936 982 101970-74 52 64 261 604 789 833 87275+ 43 54 264 668 1067 1237 1387

TOTAL 6029 10874 14979 17422 18288 18777 19190

FEMALESOC

0-4 1062 1270 1205 1195 1198 1199 11995-9 919 1198 1167 1191 1199 1200 1199

10-14 761 1160 1174 1200 1203 1201 119915-19 631 1115 1222 1214 1204 1199 119820-24 524 1044 1241 1214 1198 1196 119725-29 483 960 1222 1193 1188 1195 119830-34 406 862 1164 1156 1183 1196 119935-39 336 706 1119 1158 1190 1198 119940-44 285 578 1064 1198 1199 1197 119745-49 199 473 983 1207 1193 1187 119150-54 176 426 885 1171 1160 1169 118455-59 162 347 769 1089 1103 1150 117560-64 131 271 598 1005 1072 1131 115865-69 104 208 448 891 1049 1093 111870-74 70 121 314 726 953 1000 103375+ 57 133 368 946 1574 1876 2118

TOTAL 6306 10870 14942 17753 18867 19385 19762

TOTAL M+F 12335 21745 29921 35174 37155 38182 38952

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 33.7 20.2 15.3 13.7 13.2 12.8DEATH RATE 11.0 7.4 8.9 11.5 12.1 12.0GROWTH RATE 2.27 1.28 0.65, 0.22 011 0.08IMR - BOTH SEXES 99.6 43.5 21.4 14.7 9.3 5.1E(0) - BOTH SEXES 57.22 67.07 72.34 74.92 77.38 79.39TOTAL FERTILITY 7 2.3 2 369.F 2.C8A 7.069 2 059

YEMEN PEOPLE'S OEM. REP. OF POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2035 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 190 200 210 218 226 233 238 239 236 230

5-9 147 173 184 196 205 215 223 230 232 230

10-14 133 144 170 181 193 203 213 221 228 230

15-19 125 130 141 167 179 191 201 211 219 226

20-24 107 119 125 137 163 175 187 198 208 217

25-29 77 100 114 120 132 159 171 184 195 205

30-34 49 72 95 109 116 128 155 168 181 192

35-39 36 45 68 91 105 112 125 152 165 178

40-44 30 `'33 42 64 87 101 109 122 148 161

45-49 29 28 31 40 61 84 97 105 118 144

50-54 25 27 26 29 37 58 79 93 lop, 113

55-59 21 23 24 23 26 35 54 74 86 94

60-64 17 18 20 21 21 24 31 48 66 78

65-69 12 14 15 16 18 17 20 -26 41 57

70-74 7 9 10 11 12 14 13 15 20 32

75+ 5 6 7 9 11 12 14 15 16 21

TOTAL 1010 1140 1283 1433 1592 1760 1931 2101 2261 2408

F--ALES0-4 184 194 204 211 219 226 230 231 227 221

5-9 143 168 179 190 199 208 216 222 224 223

10-14 129 140 165 176 187 197 206 214 221 223

15-19 118 127 138 162 173 185 195 204 213 219

20-24 100 115 123 134 159 170 182 193 202 211

25-29 83 96 111 120 131 156 168 180 190 200 ti

30-34 69 80 93 108 117 128 153 165 177 188

35-39 57 66 77 90 105 114 126 151 162 175

40-44 48 55 64 75 88 102 112 123 148 160

45-49 39 46 53 62 72 85 100 109 120 144

50-54 32 37 44 50 59 70 82 96 105 117

55-59 25 30 35 41 48 56 66 78 92 100

60-64 19 22 27 32 38 44 52 61 73 85

65-69 14 16 19 23 27 33 39 46 55 65

70-74 8 it 12 15 18 22 27 31 38 45

75+ 6 7 10 12 15 19 24 29 36 44

TOTAL 1076 1210 1353 1501 1656 1816 1977 2135 2283 2420

TOTAL M+F 2086 2349 2635 2934 3248 3576 3908 4235 4544 4828

DEATH RATE 18.3 16.3 14.5 12.9 11.6 10.6 9.8 9.1 8.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.57 2.42 2.25 2.11 1.97 1.79 1.61 1.41 1.21

GROWTH RATE 2.38 2.30 2.15 2.03 1.92 1.78 1.61 1.41 1.21

TOTAL FERTILITY 5.732 5.175 4.672 4.218 3.808 3.437 3.103 2.802 2.529

GRR 2.796 2.524 2.279 2.057 1.857 1.677 1.514 1.367 1.234

NRR 1.876 1.764 1.656 1.551 1.449 1.350 1.257 1.170 1.088

IMR - MALE 157.1 147.6 138.0 128.5 119.2 106.6 94.0 81.4 68.8

IMR - FEMALE 141.9 133.1 124.3 115.6 107.0 94.7 82.4 70.1 57.7

IMR - BOTH SEXES 149.7 140.5 1313 122.2 111.3, 100.8 88.3 75.9 63.4

E(0) - MALE 44.86 46.88 48.98 51.09 53.22 55.12 57.08 59.10 61.19

E(0) - FEMALE 47.21 49.46 51.78 54.13 56.51 58.51 60.57 62.70 64.90

E(o) - BOTH SEXES 46.00 48.14 50.34 52.57 54.82 56.77 58.78 60.86 63.OO

PvT Y!GRANTS-MALE -'S. 8O. . 0.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -5. -4, -. . O. O.

YEMEN PEOPLE'S OEM. REP. OF POPULATION WITH NRR 1 BY 2035 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 218 236 228 225 225 226 226

5-9 196 232 226 223 224 225 226

10-14 181 228 221 222 224 225 226

15-19 167 219 217 221 224 225 226

20-24 137 208 222 222 223 224 225

25-29 120 195 224 222 222 223 224

30-34 109 181 223 220 219 222 224 I35-39 91 165 217 215 217 221 223

40-44 64 148 206 209 215 220 222

45-49 40 118 192 211 214 218 220

50-54 29 100 175 208 210 213 217

55-59 23 86 155 198 201 205 210

60-64 21 66 129 179 184 192 200

65-69 16 41 102 162 161 174 183

70-74 11 20 66 117 137 149 158

75+ 9 16 66 138 196 226 251

TOTAL 1433 2261 2870 3183 3296 3385 3461

FEMALES

0-4 211 227 220 217 216 216 216

5-9 190 224 218 216 216 216 216

10-14 176 221 214 215 216 216 216

15-19 162 213 211 215 216 216 216

20-24 134 202 216 217 217 216 216

25-29 120 190 219 218 216 216 216

30-34 108 177 218 216 215 215 216

35-39 90 162 213 211 213 215 216

40-44 75 148 203 206 213 215 216

45-49 62 120 190 210 213 215 215

50-54 50 105 175 210 212 213 214

55-59 41 92 158 204 206 208 212

60-64 32 73 137 191 196 203 208

65-69 23 55 114 170 181 194 201

70-74 15 38 so 141 166 179 187

75+ 12 36 94 197 291 342 383

TOTAL 1501 2283 2882 3255 3402 3496 3564

TOTAL M+F 2934 4544 5752 6438 6699 6881 7024

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 28.6 18.1 14.7 13.6 13.2 12.8

DEATH RATE 10,8 8 7 10.2 12.0 12.1 11.9

GROWTH RATE 1.75 0.94 0.45, 0.16 0.11 0.08

IMR - BOTH SEXES 99,5 42.0 20 8 13.8 8.6 4.5E(0) - BOTH SEXES 57,12 67 02 72,33 74.92 77.30 79.39TOTAL FERT1L1 3 405 221 25r 2 2,.8 2.cSD 2059

C O U N T R Y D E P A R T M E N T IV

CYPRUS POPULATION WITH NRR=I BY 2000 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 34 31 28 27 28 30 30 30 29 28

5-9 30 84 31 28 27 28 29 30 30 29

10-14 23 30 34 31 28 27 28 29 30 30

15-19 25 23 30 34 31 28 27 28 29 30

20-24 30 25 23 30 33 31 28 27 28 29

25-29 31 30 24 23 30 33 31 28 27 28

30-34 29 31 29 24 22 29 33 31 28 27

35-39 26 .29 30 29 24 22 29 33 31 28

40-44 18 26 28 30 29 24 22 29 133 31

45-49 19 18 25 28 30 29 24 22 29 33

50-54 14 Is 17 25 27 29. 28 23 261 28

55-59 13 13 18 17 24 26 28 27 23 21

60-64 12 12 13 17 16 22 25 27 26 21

65-69 10 it 11 11 15 14 20 23 24 23

70-74 9 8 9 9 9 13 12 17 19 20

75+ 11 12 12 13 13 14 16 17 22 26

TOTAL 333 350 363 375 387 400 412 421 428 431

FEMALES0-4 32 30 27 26 26 28 29 28 27 27

5-9 28 32 30 27 26 26 28 29 28 27

10-14 22 28 32 30 27 26 26 28 29 28

15-19 24 22 28 32 30 27 26 26 28 29

20-24 27 24 22 28 32 30 27 26 26 28 I-

25-29 30 27 24 22 28 32 4 30 27 25 26 4

30-34 27 30 27 24 22 28 32 30 27 25

35-39 26 27 30 27 24 22 28 32 29 27

40-44 a . 26 27 30 26 24 _2 28 31 29

45-49 19 I8 26 26 29 26 23 21 27 31

50-54 15 19 18 25 26 29 26 23 21 27

55-59 15 I 15, 18 17 .25 26 28 26 23 21

60-64 12 14 14 18 17 24 25 27 25 22

65-69 12 11 13 13 16 16 22 23 26 23

70-74 10 11 10 12 12 15 14 20 21 24

75+ 15 16 17 17 19 20 23 24 30 34

TOTAL 332 348 360 372 383 396 408 417 425 429

TOTAL M+F 665 697 723 747 771 796 820 838 852 861

DEATH RATE 8.3 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.5 8.9 9.6 10.1 11.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.00 0.77 0.64 0.63 0.64 0.59 0.45 0.33 0.20

GROWTH RATE 0.94 0.74 0.64 0.63 0.64 0.59 0.45 0.33 0.20

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.317 2.219 2.126 2.090 2.088 2.086 2.085 2.083 2.081

GRR 1.125 1,077 1.032 1.014 1.014 1.013 1.012 1.011 1.010

NRR 1.103 1.059 1.017 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 17.0 15.8 14.7 14.2 13.6 13.1 12.5 12.0 11.4

IMR - FEMALE 11.8 10.3 9.1 8.6 8.2 7.8 7.4 7.0 6.6

IMR - BOTH SEXES 14.5 13.1 12.0 11.5 - 11.0 10.5 10.0 9.6 9.1

E(O) - MALE 72.75 73.16 73.51 73.72 73.94 74.16 74.37 74.59 74.82

E(0) - FEMALE 76.41 77.01 77.51 77.84 78.16 78.50 78.83 79.18 79.52

E(O) - BOTH SEXES 74.53 75.03 75.45 75.72 75., 76.26 76.54 76.82 77At0

NET F1GRANTS-MALE -1. -1. O0. ). O. O.

CVPRUS POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2000 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 27 29 29 29 29 29 295-9 28 30 29 29 29 29 2910-14 31 30 29 29 29 29 2915-19 34 29 29 29 29 29 2920-24 30 28 28 29 29 29 2925-29 23 27 29 29 29 29 2930-34 24 28 29 29 29 29 29 ,1g35-39 29 31 30 29 29 29 2940-44 30 33 29 28 29 29 2945-49 28 29 27 28 28 29 2950-54 25 22 26 28 28 28 2855-59 17 23 26 28 28 27 2760-64 17 26 27 27 26 26 2665-69 11 24 27 24 24 24 2470-74 9 19 20 20 20 21 2175+ 13 22 26 32 34 34 34

TOTAL 375 428 441 446 448 448 449

FEMALES

0-4 26 27 28 28 28 28 285-9 27 28 28 28 28 28 2810-14 30 29 28 27 27 27 2815-19 32 28 27 27 27 28 2820-24 28 26 27 27 28 28 2825-29 22 25 27 28 28 28 2830734 24 27 28 28 28 27 2735 '39 27 29 28 28 27 27 2740-44 30 31 28 27 27 27 2745-49 26 27 26 27 27 27 2750-54 25 21 25 27 27 27 2755-59 17 23 26 27 27 27 2760-64 18 25 28 27 27 27 2765-69 13 26 29 26 25 26 2670-74 12 21 23 23 23 R4 24

75+ 17 30 37 47 50 §0 50

TOTAL 372 425 443 452 455 455 456

TOTAL M+F 747 852 884 898 903 904 904

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 14.3 13.1 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 9.1 11.7 12.1 12.4 12.5 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.53 0.15 0.06 0.02 0.00 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0E(0 BOTH SEXES 76.28 77,68 79.12 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTNLRTY 2 086 0278 2 .On 2.06O 2.068 2.068

HUNGARY POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 310 295 302 325 327 317 311 313 317 320

5-9 430 307 292 300 324 326 316 310 312 316

10-14 406 428 306 291 299 323 325 315 309 311

15-19 365 404 426 305 290 298 322 324 314 309

20-24 330 362 401 423 303 289 297 320 323 313

25-29 397 326 358 397 420 301 287 295 319 321

30-34 452 393 323 355 394 417 299 286 294 317

35-39 385 446 388 320 352 391 414 297 284 292

40-44 351 379 440 383 316 348 387 410 295 281

45-49 308 342 370 431 376 311 343 381 404 290

50-54 314 297 331 358 418 365 302 333 3711 394

55-59 309 296 280 313 340 - 398 348 288 319 356

60-64 282 282 271 257 289 314 368 323 268 297

65-69 154 244 245 236 226 254 277 326 287 239

70-74 170 123 196 198 192 184 208 228 268 237

75+ 210 215 186 225 247 255 255 273 298 342

TOTAL 5168 5137 5116 5120 5113 5091 5058 5023 4982 4937

FEMALES0-4 298 283 290 312 313 303 297 298 302 304

5-9 409 297 282 289 311 313 303 297 298 301

10-14 384 408 296 282 289 311 313 303 297 298

15-19 344 383 407 296 281 289 311 312 302 296

20-24 312 342 382 406 295 281 288 311 312 302 p25-29 383 310 341 380 405 295 281 288 310 312 4-

30-34 442 381 309 340 380 405 294 280 288 310

35-39 380 439 379 307 339 378 403 294 280 287

4C-44 356 377 436 376 306 337 377 402 292 279

45-49 335 351 372 432 373 303 335 374 ;99 25i

50-54 343 328 345 366 425 368 299 330 370 395

55-59 350 332 319 336 358 416 360 293 324 363

60-64 346 333 318 306 323 344 401 348 284 314

65-69 203 318 308 295 285 302 323 376 327 267

70-74 240 175 277 270 260 252 268 287 336 293

75+ 362 373 333 395 425 436 439 456 483 540

TOTAL 5481 5430 5394 5389 5368 5333 5291 5250 5204 5150

TOTAL M+F 10649 10567 10509 10508 10482 10424 10350 10273 10186 10087

DEATH RATE 12.7 12.6 12.4 13.0 13.2 13.3 13.6 14.0 14.4

RATE OF NAT. INC. -0.15 -0.10 0.00 -0.05, -0.11 -0.14 -0.15 -0.17 -0.19

GROWTH RATE -0.15 -0.11 -0.00 -0.05 -0.11 -0.14 -0.15 -0.17 -0.19

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.700 1.700 1.778 1.854 1.926 1.996 2.063 2.090 2.088

GRR 0.823 0.823 0.861 0.898 0.933 0.967 0.999 1.012 1.011

NRR 0.802 0.805 0.845 0.883 0.919 0.954 0.987 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 36.5 33.3 30.3 28.0 25.8 23.8 22.0 20.4 19.0

IMR - FEMALE 16.2 13.9 12.0 10.5 9.2 8.4 7.8 7.2 6.8

IMR - BOTH SEXES 26.7 23.9 21.5 19.5 17.9 16.3 15.1 14.0 13.1

E(O) - MALE 67.23 68.02 68.76 69.42 70.03 70.61 71.11 71.62 72.08

E(0) - FEMALE 74.72 75.59 76.31 76.91 77.44 77.86 78.20 78.50 78.74

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 70.86 71.69 72.A2 7 3.05 7362 74.12 74.54 74.95 75.31

N0T 1GQANTS-MALE -3. C2 O. 0. 0. C.

NET CANT4-FEMALE -3 .3 '2 3 .. 0. 0. 0.

HUNGARY POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 325 317 317 319 320 320 3205-9 300 312 316 319 320 320 32010-14 291 309 317 319 320 319 31915-19 305 314 318 319 319 319 31920-24 423 323 317 317 318 319 319 I25-29 397 319 313 315 317 318 31830-34 355 294 307 313 317 318 318 I35-39 320 284 304 313 317 317 31740-44 383 295 307 313 315 316 31645-49 431 404 312 310 312 313 31350-54 358 371 303 302 306 309 30955-59 313 319 270 289 297 301 30160-64 257 268 246 271 284 287 28765-69 236 287 231 251 262 263 26470-74 198 268 268 220 225 226 22775* 225 298 350 331 358 367 371

TOTAL 5120 4982 4796 4821 4906 4931 4938

FEMALESLn

0-4 312 302 301 301 302 302 3025-9 289 298 300 301 302 302 30210-14 282 297 302 302 302 302 30215-19 296 302 304 302 302 301 30120-24 406 312 303 301 301 301 30125-29 380 310 301 300 301 301 30130-34 340 288 297 300 301 301 30135-39 307 280 295 301 302 301 30140-44 376 292 q00 303 302 301 30145-49 432 399 308 301 300 300 30050-54 366 370 304 297 298 298 29955-59 336 324 277 290 295 296 29660-64 306 284 262 283 291 292 29165-69 295 327 261 277 283 282 28170-74 270 336 324 263 263 262 26175* 395 483 532 511 541 549 550

TOTAL 5388 5204 4972 4935 4983 4991 4992

TOTAL M*F 10508 10186 9768 9756 9889 9922 9930

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 12 2 12.6 12.9 12.7 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 13.4 14.3 12.9 12 2 12.5 12.6GROWTH RATE -0.,12 -0.17 -0.00 0.05 0.01 0.00IMP - BOTH SEXES 15.9 10.8 6.7 4.8 4.8 4.8E()- BOTH SEXES 74.05 76.04 78.14 79.48 79.48 79.48tOTAL FERTILITY 0974 2.005 2-072 3 0727 2.073

POLAND POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 1722 1530 1467 1464 1536 1585 1575 1538 1517 1525

5-9 1644 1709 1526 1459 1457 1529 1579 1570 1534 1513

10-14 1458 1638 1707 1522 1456 1454 1526 1576 1567 1531

15-19 1282 1450 1634 1700 1517 1451 1450 1522 1572 1564

20-24 1412 1272 1445 1625 1691 1509 1444 1443 1516 1566

25-29 1691 1399 1267 1435 1614 1681 1501 1437 1437 1509

30-34 1680 1675 1393 1257 1426 1605 1672 1493 1430 1430

35-39 1378 J662 1667 1380 1247 1415 1594 1661 1484 1422

40-44 908 1357 1650 1646 1365 1234 1401 1579 1447 1472

45-49 1013 888 1341 1618 1616 1341 1214 1380 1556 1624

50-54 1028 977 868 1299 1569 1570 1305 1183 134 1519

55-59 937 971 940 824 1235 1496 1499 1248 1133 1291

60-64 725 856 909 865 760 1142 1386 1393 1162 1057

65-69 413 630 768 796 760 670 1010 1230 1239 1037

70-74 404 331 527 622 648 621 550 832 1017 1028

75+ 511 520 504 611 734 817 842 807 1001 1238

TOTAL 18205 18866 19613 20123 20632 21121 21548 21892 22158 22328

FEMALES0-4 1658 1471 1383 1403 1469 1514 1503 1465 1443 1450

5-9 1572 1654 1469 1382 1402 1468 1513 1502 1464 1442

10-14 1392 1570 1653 1468 1381 1401 1468 1512 1501 1464

15-19 1224 1389 1568 1651 1467 1380 1400 1467 1512 1500

20-24 1338 1220 1386 1566 1650 1465 1379 1399 1466 1511 F

25-29 1617 1333 1217 1384 1564 1648 1463 1377 1398 1464' -1

30-34 1637 1611 1329 1214 1381 1561 1645 1461 1376 1396

35-39 1360 1630 1605 1324 1211 1377 1557 1641 1458 1373

40-44 921 1351 1621 1597 119 i206 1372 1552 1636 1454

45-49 1049 911 1339 1607 1585 1309 1197 1363 1542 1626

50-54 1081 1031 898 1320 1586 1565 1294 1184 1348 1526

55-59 1074 1053 1006 877 1292 1553 1534 . 1269 1162 1325

60-64 939 1029 1012 969 846 1247 1502 1485 1229 1127

65-69 570 872 959 946 908 795 1174 1416 1401 1163

70-74 612 499 767 848 - 839 808 710 1051 1269 1261

75+ 955 988 924 1109 1282 1376 1410 1354 1604 1931

TOTAL 18998 19613 20136 20664 21179 21675 22121 22498 22810 23015

TOTAL M+F 37203 38479 39749 40787 41811 42796 43670 44391 44967 45343

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 16.3 14.8 14,6 14.9 14.9 14.5 13.9 13.4 13.4

DEATH RATE 9.4 8.3 9.4 9.9 10.3 10.4 10.6 10.9 11.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.69 0.66 0.52 0.50 0.47 0.40 0.33 0.26 0.17

GROWTH RATE 0.67 0.65 0.52 0.50 0.47 0.40 0.33 0.26 0.17

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.200 2.100 2.100 2.097 2.094 2.092 2.089 2.088 2.085

GRR 1.065 1.016 1.016 1.015 1.014 1.012 1011 1.010 1.009

NRR 1.043 0.998 1.001 1.001 1.001 1.000 1.000* 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 34.3 15.6 28.7 26.5 24.4 22.6 20.9 19.5 18.2

IMR - FEMALE 12.2 10.7 9.4 8.5 7.8 7.3 6.8 6.4 5.7

IMR - BOTH SEXES 23.6 13.2 19.4 17.8 16.4' 4 15.2 14.1 13.2 12.1

E(0) - MALE 67.76 73.21 69.21 69.84 70.42 70.95 71.46 71.92 72.35

E(0) - FEMALE 76.24 76.86 77.39 77.83 78.18 78.47 78.72 78.92 79.31

E(0) - 80TH SEXES 71.87 74.9 73.17 72.71 7/,. 7'c.59 74.97 75.30 75.72

iT 'TSNTS-MALE -5. -2. O. O. 0. 0.

POLAND POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 1464 1517 1547 1559 1558 1557 1557

5-9 1459 1534 1554 1560 1556 1556 1556

10-14 1522 1567 1556 1555 1554 1554 1555

15-19 1700 1572 1540 1545 1551 1553 1554

20-24 1625 1516 1513 1537 1550 1552 1551

25-29 1435 1437 1499 1537 1551 1550 1549

30-34 1257 1430 1513 1543 1550 1546 1546 ,I35-39 1380 1484 1541 1541 1542 1541 1542

40-44 1646 1647 1538 1520 1529 1535 1537

45-49 1618 1556 1471 1486 1512 1525 1527

50-54 1299 1345 1371 1454 1495 1508 1507

55-59 824 1133 1320 1430 1463 1470 1467

60-64 865 1162 1293 1389 1396 1397 1396

65-69 796 1239 1300 1275 1269 1276 1281

70-74 622 1017 1043 1056 1078 1097 1107

75* 611 1001 1328 1612 1755 1796 1810

TOTAL 20123 22158 22927 23598 23909 24013 24039

FEMALES

0-4 1403 1443 1464 1468 1467 1467 1466

5-9 1382 1464 1475 1470 1467 1466 1466

10-14 1468 1501 1480 1468 1465 1466 1466

15-19 1651 1512 1469 1462 1464 1466 14:6

20-24 1566 1466 1448 1459 1465 1466 14 6

25-29 1384 1398 1440 1463 1468 1467 1466

30-34 1214 1376 1461 1474 1469 1466 1465

35-39 1324 1458 1496 1478 1466 1464 1464

40-44 1597 1636 1503 1466 1459 1461 1463

45-49 1607 1542 1452 1441 1452 1459 1460

50-54 1320 1348 1374 1426 1451 1455 1454

55-59 877 1162 1334 1433 1448 1443 1440

60-64 969 1229 1380 1443 1429 1417 1415

65-69 946 1401 1479 1400 1370 1364 1366

70-74 848 1269 1275 1258 1256 1266 1272

75+ 1109 1604 2073 2488 2651 2679 2679

TOTAL 20664 22810 23603 24098 24248 24271 24274

TOTAL M+F 40787 44967 46530 47696 48157 48284 48313

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 14.3 13.3 12.9 12.7 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 10.4 12.0 11.9 12.3 12.5 12.6

GROWTH RATE 0.39 0.14 0.10 0.04 0.01 0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES t5.t 10-1 6.2 5.1 5.2 5.3

E(0) BOTH SEXES 74.57 76.61 78.88 79.48 79.48 79.48

OTAL FERTILRTY 2.093 2.081 2,076 2.074 2.074 2.074

PORTUGAL POPULATION WITH NRR=i BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 395 392 398 403 401 397 395 397 400 4005-9 426 392 390 396 402 401 396 394 397 399

10-14 427 424 391 389 396 402 400 395 393 396

15-19 443 425 422 389 388 395 401 399 395 39320-24 460 439 422 420 388 387 394 400 398 394

25-29 412 454 435 419 419 387 386 393 398 397

30-34 370 407 450 432 417 417 385 385 391 397

35-39 304 '.?65 403 448 430 415 415 384 383 390

40-44 236 299 361 400 444 427 413 413 q81 381

45-49 238 231 295 357 395 439 422 408 408 378

50-54 248 231 225 288 349 387 430 414 4qO i 40155-59 236 237 221 217 277 336 373 415 399 38760-64 212 219 220 207 203 260 315 350 390 376

65-69 161 187 195 198 186 182 234 284 316 353

70-74 138 133 155 163 165 156 153 197 239 267

75+ 154 175 183 206 223 234 233 231 264 314

TOTAL 4862 5009 5167 5330 5483 5621 5744 5858 5955 6020

FEMALES0-4 382 378 383 387 386 381 379 381 383 383

5-9 416 380 377 382 387 385 381 379 381 383

10-14 413 415 379 376 382 387 385 380 379 381

15-19 427 412 414 378 376 382 386 385 380 378

20-24 448 424 410 413 378 376 381 386 385 380 p25-29 407 443 422 408 412 378 375 381 386 384

30-34 385 404 441 421 408 412 377 375 381 385

35-39 353 382 402 440 420 407 411 376 374 380

40-44 300 350 380 400 438 418 406 409 375 373

45-49 303 297 347 377 397 435 415 403 407 a7a

50-54 309 298 293 343 373 393 430 411 399 403

55-59 299 302 292 287 336 365 385 423 404 39360-64 267 287 291 282 277 325 354 374 411 39365-69 209 249 269 273 265 261 307 335 354 39070-74 187 184 220 239 243 237 234 276 302 320

75+ 261 288 303 342 380 406 418 424 464 510

TOTAL 5367 5494 5622 5748 5857 5947 6025 6099 6165 6211

TOTAL M+F 10229 10504 10790 11078 11341 11567 11769 11957 12119 12231

RELATED INDICATORS ABIRTH RATE 15.2 14.9 14.7 14.2 13.7 13.4 13:3 1 1 13.0DEATH RATE 9.1 9.2 9.2 9.5 9.8 9.9 10.1 10.4 11.2RATE OF NAT. INC. O.61 0.57 0.55 .0.47 0.40 0.35 0.32 0.27 0.18GROWTH RATE 0.53 0.54 0.53 0.47 0.40 0.35 0.32 0.27 0.18TOTAL FERTILITY 1.900 1.900 1.932 1.964 1.996 2.027 2.057 2.069 2.068GRR 0.927 0.927 0.943 0.958 0.974 0.989 1.004 1.009 1.009NRR 0.911 0.913 0.930 0.947 0.963 0.979 0.994 1.000 1.000IMR - MALE 21.5 18.7 16.2 15.6 14.9 14.2 13.7 13.1 12.6IMR - FEMALE 10.1 8.9 8.1 7.5 7.0 6.4 6.1 5.9 5.7IMR - BOTH SEXES 15.9 13.9 12.3 11.7 4.,.0 10.4 10.0 9.6 9.2E(0) - MALE 71.24 72.18 73.00 73.21 73.45 73.67 73.89 74.11 74.33E(0) - FEMALE 77.11 77.61 78.00 78.32 78.60 78.94 79.20 79.45 79.71E0) - SOH SEXES 74.11 74.83 75.44 75,71 75.96 76.24 75. 4a 76.72 76.96

FTT ~lGRANTS-MALE -22. .. 0. 0. O.

NET 47GRANTS-FEMALE -18. 9.-4 0 . O). O. C.

PORTUGAL POPULATION WITH NRR=l BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 403 400 399 399 399 399 3995-9 396 397 397 399 399 399 399

10-14 389 393 397 398 399 399 399

15-19 389 395 397 398 399 398 398

20-24 420 398 397 397 398 398 39825-29 419 398 396 396 397 397 397

30-34 432 391 393 394 396 396 396 pl35-39 448 383 388 393 395 396 396

40-44 400 381 388 392 394 394 394

45-49 357 408 389 390 391 391 391

50-54 288 400 383 384 385 386 386

55-59 217 399 366 371 374 376 376

60-64 207 390 339 349 356 358 358

65-69 198 316 308 321 328 329 329

70-74 163 239 283 278 283 284 284

75+ 206 264 435 440 457 462 463

TOTAL 5330 5955 6056 6100 6149 6162 6166

FEMALES

0-4 387 383 382 382 382 382 382

5-9 382 381 381 382 382 382 382

10-14 376 379 381 382 382 382 382

15-19 378 380 382 382 382 382 382

20-24 413 385 383 382 382 382 382

25-29 408 386 383 381 381 382 382

30-34 421 381 380 381 381 382 382

35-39 440 374 377 380 381 381 381

40-44 400 375 478 381 381 381

45-49 377 407 381 381 380 380 450-54 343 399 379 378 378 378 378

55-59 287 404 369 372 374 375 375

60-64 282 411 354 362 368 369 369

65-69 273 354 340 350 356 357 356

70-74 239 302 338 327 332 332 331

75+ 342 464 641 660 690 696 697

TOTAL 5748 6165 6230 6263 6313 6320 6321

TOTAL M*F 11078 12119 12285 12363 12462 12482 12486

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 13.6 12.8 12.8 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 10.0 12,3 12.5 12.3 12.5 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.36 0.05 0.03, 0.03 0.01 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 9.9 7.6 5.9 5.1 5.1 5.1E - BOTH SEXES 76.23 77.45 78,71 79.50 79.50 79.507OTAL FERTRLI17Y 22 2.06r 2.061 2.05 2.058 2.058

KLROMANIA POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 874 846 858 884 892 879 869 870 875 880

5-9 l015 869 842 854 880 889 877 866 868 873

10-14 969 1012 867 840 852 879 888 875 865 866

15-19 1014 965 1009 864 837 850 877 886 873 863

20-24 722 1008 959 1003 860 834 847 873 882 870

25-29 882 716 1001 953 998 856 830 843 869 879

30-34 885 875 711 994 948 993 851 826 839 866

35-39 739 o,:877 867 705 987 941 987 846 821 835

40-44 617 729 866 858 698 978 933 978 839 815

45-49 746 604 716 851 844 687 964 920 965 829

50-54 715 722 586 696 828 822 670 941 898 943

55-59 649 679 687 559 664 792 787 643 903 863

60-64 507 597 626 635 518 617 737 734 600 844

65-69 250 444 525 552 562 459 549 657 656 537

70-74 293 202 361 429 453 463 379 454 546 547

75+ 359 377 324 414 509 575 618 581 621 711

TOTAL 11237 11524 11805 12091 12331 12516 12662 12793 12921 13021

FEMALES0-4 836 810 821 846 854 841 830 831 836 839

5-9 970 834 808 820 845 853 840 829 830 835

10-14 925 968 833 807 819 844 852 840 829 830

15-19 974 923 967 832 806 819 843 852 839 828

20-24 691 972 921 965 830 805 818 843 851 838

25-29 853 688 968 918 963 829 804 816 841 850

30-34 865 849 685 965 916 961 827 803 815 840

35-39 728 860 845 682 962 913 958 825 801 813

40-44 620 722 854 840 679 957 909 954 822 798

45-49 762 613 714 846 832 673 950 902 947 816

50-54 728 747 602 702 833 821 664 938 891 936

55-59 683 706 726 586 685 814 803 650 919 874

60-64 606 650 674 696 563 660 785 775 629 890

65-69 339 557 601 626 648 526 618 737 729 593

70-74 402 293 485 526 551 573 467 550 658 653

75+ 521 580 533 664 772 855 923 880 929 1049

TOTAL 11503 11772 12038 12321 12559 12744 12892 13025 13166 13284

TOTAL M+F 22740 23295 23843 24413 24891 25260 25553 25818 26087 26304

DEATH RATE 9.9 9.9 9.9 10.6 11.0 11.3 11.4 11.3 11.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.49 0.47 0.48 0.39 0.30 0.23 0.21 ,.21 0.17

GROWTH RATE 0.48 0.46 0.47 0.39 0.29 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.17

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.050 1.950 1.950 1.982 2.013 2.044 2.075 2.087 2.085

GRR 0.996 0.947 0.947 0.963 0.978 0.993 1.008 1.014 1.013

NRR 0.969 0.925 0.928 0.946 0.963 0.978 0.994 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 28.7 26.5 24.4 22.6 20.9 20.0 19.1 18.1 17.2

IMR - FEMALE 16.4 14,0 12.2 10.7 9.4 9.0 8.6 8.2 7.7

IMR - BOTH SEXES 22.8 20.4 18.5 16.8 15.3 14.6 14.0 13.3 12.6

E(0) - MALE 69.21 69.84 70.42 70.95 71.46" 71.78 72.10 72.43 72.76

E(0) - FEMALE 74.64 75.52 76.24 76.86 77.39 77.70 78.01 78.33 78.65

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 71,85 72.60 73.25 73.82 74.34 74.65 74.97 75.30 75.62

NE7 MAGRANTS-MALE -5, -4, _ 0 0O.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -5. -3. . . , 0. 0. 0. 0.

.- -T - n^ 4n 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

ROMANIA POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 884 875 876 879 881 881 8815-9 854 868 875 879 881 880 88010-14 840 865 876 879 880 880 88015-19 .... 864 873 876 877 879 879 879

20-24 1003 882 872 874 877 878 87825-29 953 869 865 869 875 876 87630-34 994 839 856 866 873 875 87535-39 705 821 850 865 872 873 87340-44 858 839 854 863 868 870 87045-49 851 965 856 853 860 863 86450-54 696 898 829 834 845 850 85255-59 559 903 775 803 822 828 83060-64 635 600 716 758 783 789 79165-69 552 656 663 698 720 724 72670-74 429 546 648 602 619 624 62675+ 414 621 885 917 990 1013 1021

TOTAL 12091 12921 13172 13318 13523 13585 13602

FEMALES I

0-4 846 836 834 835 835 835 8355-9 820 830 834 835 836 835 83510-14 807 829 836 836 836 835 83515-19 832 839 839 836 835 835 83520-24 965 851 837 835 835 835 83525-29 918 841 833 833 834 835 83530-34 965 815 827 832 835 835 83535-39 682 801 825 834 835 835 83440-44 840 822 832 835 834 833 83345-49 846 947 840 831 831 831 83150-54 702 891 823 821 825 827 82855-59 586 919 785 807 818 820 82060-64 696 629 751 788 806 808 80765-69 626 729 734 764 780 780 77970-74 526 658 770 712 724 725 72575+ 664 929 1300 1381 1492 1519 1524

TOTAL 12321 13166 13502 13617 13792 13824 13827

TOTAL M+F 24413 26087 26674 26935 27314 27409 27428

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 13.8 13.1 12.9 12.7 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 11.1 12.2 12.5 12.2 12.5 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.27 0.09 0.04 0.06 0.01 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 14.6 10.9 7.6' 5.3 5.2 5.2E(0) - BOTH SEXES 74.63 76.29 78.03 79.41 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 2.037 2.082 2.074 2.067 2.067 2.067

YUGOSLAVIA POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 932 890 839 847 870 874 871 871 867 865

5-9 977 925 884 834 842 865 870 867 868 864

10-14 924 973 922 881 831 840 864 868 866 866

15-19 917 919 969 918 878 829 838 861 866 864

20-24 936 910 913 963 912 873 824 834 857 862

25-29 956 928 903 906 956 907 868 820 830 853

30-34 991 947 920 895 900 950 901 863 816 826

35-39 815 ,..980 937 911 888 892 943 895 858 8l

40-44 648 802 965 924 899 877 883 934 E87 850

45-49 733 632 784 945 907 883 862 869 919 874

50-54 743 706 610 758 916 880 858 839 849 I 897

55-59 626 700 667 578 720 871 838 819 803 811

60-64 434 570 640 611 532 664 806 777 761 747

65-69 214 376 495 558 535 467 586 713 689 677

70-74 266 171 301 399 452 435 382 480 587 570

75+ 292 319 267 337 441 532 568 549 615 728

TOTAL 11403 11747 12016 12266 12479 12641 12761 12859 12933 12966

FEMALES0-4 888 848 799 806 827 831 827 826 822 819

5-9 930 885 846 797 805 826 830 826 825 821

10-14 878 928 884 845 797 804 826 829 826 825

15-19 883 876 927 883 844 796 804 825 829 825

20-24 901 880 874 925 881 843 795 803 824 828

25-29 924 897 877 872 923 879 841 794 802 823 Ln

30-34 959 919 894 874 869 921 877 839 792 801 t1j

35-39 789 953 914 889 871 866 918 875 837 790

40-44 653 78 945 908 RR4 866 862 914 871 834

45-49 750 643 772 934 899 876 859 855 907 865

50-54 768 733 631 758 919 885 863 847 844 896

55-59 704 742 711 613 738 896 864 844 830 827

60-64 582 667 706 679 587 708 862 833 815 802

65-69 297 531 613 652 629 546 662 808 782 767

70-74 372 254 458 532 570 553 482 586 719 698

75+ 443 510 460 597 734 843 894 871 947 1100

TOTAL 11720 12049 12309 12563 12775 12939 13065 13175 13272 13322

TOTAL M+F 23123 23796 24325 24829 25254 25580 25826 26034 26205 26288

RELATED INDICATORS I

BIRTH RATE 15.3 14.0 13 8 13.9 13.7 13.5 13.;3 13.1 13.0

DEATH RATE 9.6 9.6 9.7 10.5 11.1 11.5 11.7 11.8 12.4

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.57 0.44 0.41 0.34 0.26 0.19 0.16 0.13 0.06

GROWTH RATE 0.57 0.44 0.41 0.34 0.26 0.19 0.16 0.13 0.06

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.000 1.900 1.900 1.947 1.992 2.037 2.080 2.097 2.095

GRR 0.966 0.918 0.918 0.940 0.962 0.984 1.005 1.013 1.012

NRR 0.932 0.893 0.897 0.921 0.945 0.968 0.991 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 37.7 34.3 31.3 28.7 26.5 24.4 22.6 20.9 19.5

IMR - FEMALE 20.3 17.1 14.5 12.6 11.0 9.7 8.7 7.9 7.4

IMR - BOTH SEXES 29.3 26.0 23.2 20.9 19.0 17.3 15.9 14.6 13.7

E(0) - MALE 66.93 67.76 68.50, 69.21 69.84 70.42 70.95 71.46 71.92

E(0) - FEMALE 73.34 74.42 75.32 76.09 76.74 77.26 77.71 78.10 78.40

Ee0, - BOTH SEXES 70.03 70.98 71.79 72.53 72, 17 73.73 74,22 74.67 75.05

YUGOSLAVIA POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 847 867 872 875 876 8765-9 834 868 872 874 876 87510-14 881 866 870 872 875 875 415-19 918 866 864 869 874 874 87420-24 963 857 857 866 872 873 87325-29 906 830 855 865 870 872 87130-34 895 816 855 863 868 870 870 f35-39 911 858 850 859 865 868 86840-44 924 887 845 850 860 865 86545-49 945 919 829 838 852 858 85950-54 758 846 788 824 841 847 84855-59 578 803 749 800 818 824 82560-64 611 761 740 755 777 783 78665-69 558 689 691 687 709 718 72270-74 399 587 606 579 607 618 623

75+ 337 615 828 876 978 1007 1015

TOTAL 12266 12933 12972 13152 13419 13502 13526

FEMALES

0-4 806 822 823 823 822 822 8225-9 797 825 824 823 822 822 82210-14 845 826 824 822 822 822 82215-19 883 829 821 821 822 822 82220-24 925 824 818 821 822 822 82225-29 872 802 819 822 822 822 82230-34 874 792 822 823 822 822 82135-39 889 837 821 822 821 821 82140-44 908 871 822 817 819 820 82045-49 934 907 d13 811 817 818 81950-54 758 844 784 807 815 815 81555-59 613 830 762 801 808 808 80760-64 679 815 783 784 794 794 79465-69 652 782 773 753 764 766 76770-74 532 719 729 687 707 712 71375+ 597 947 1252 1333 1469 1498 1501

TOTAL 12563 13272 13290 13369 13569 13606 13610

TOTAL M+F 24829 26205 26262 26521 26987 27108 27135

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 13.5 13.1 13.0 12 7 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 11.3 13.0 12.6 12.0 12.4 12.5GROWTH RATE 0.22 001 0.04, 0.07 0.02 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 17.4 11.7 7.8 4.9 4.7 4.7W)- BOTH SEXES 73.67 75.78 77.77 79.38 79,47 79,47

TOTAL FERTILRTY P,03 2 2.07 078 2.078

NONBORROWERS

S( NOR T H A F R I C A)

OTHER NORTH AFRICA POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2035 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 13 17 20 21 23 24 25 25 25 24

5-9 I 12 16 18 20 22 23 24 24 25

10-14 10 11 12 15 18 20 22 23 24 24

15-19 8 10 10 11 15 18 20 21 23 23

20-24 7 8 9 10 11 15 17 19 21 22

25-29 5 7 7 9 to 11 14 17 19 21

30-34 5 5 6 7 9 10 i 14 17 19

35-39 4 5 5 6 7 9 9 10 14 17

40-44 3 4 5 4 6 7 8 9 1,0 13

45-49 3 3 4 4 4 6 6 8 9 10

50-54 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 8 I 8

55-59 2 3 2 2 3 4 4 5 6 7

60-64 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5

65-69 1 2 I 2 2 2 2 3 3 4

70-74 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2

75+ 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2

TOTAL 78 90 104 120 137 155 173 191 209 227

FEMALES0-4 13 17 19 21 23 24 24 24 25 24

5-9 I 12 16 18 20 22 23 24 24 24

10-14 9 11 12 15 18 20 21 23 23 24

15-19 8 9 10 12 15 18 20 21 23 23

20-24 7 8 9 10 11 15 18 19 21 22

25-29 5 7 8 8 10 11 14 17 19 21

30-34 5 5 7 7 8 10 11 14 17 19 L

35-39 4 5 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 . 17

40-44 3 4 5 4 6 7 8 9 10 14

45-n 3 3 A A 4 6 7 8 9 10

50-54 2 3 3 3 4 4 6 6 7 9

55-59 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 7

60-64 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 6

65-69 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 3 4

70-74 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3

75+ 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3

TOTAL 77 89 104 120 138 156 175 193 212 230

TOTAL M+F 155 179 208 240 274 311 348 384 422 457

DEATH RATE 18.9 17.0 14.9 13.0 11.5 10.1 9.0 8.1 7.3

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.85 3.00 2.88 2.69 2.50 2.25 2.01 1.84 1.62

GROWTH RATE 2.85 3.00 2.88 2.69 2.50 2.25 2.01 1.84 1.61

TOTAL FERTILITY 6.500 6.500 6.232 5.637 4.954 4.169 3.484 3.033 2.640

GRR 3.202 3.202 3.070 2.777 2.440 2.054 1.716 1.494 1.301

NRR 2.266 2,355 2,333 2.185 1.977 1.714 1.474 1.321 1.182

IMR - MALE 128.7 117.2 106.2 95.5 87.5 79.4 71.4 63.3 55.3

IMR - FEMALE 109.5 99,3 89.7 80.3 72.5 64.7 56.9 49.1 41.3

IMR - BOTH SEXES 119.2 108.4 98.1 88.0 80.1 72.2 64.3 56.3 48.4

E(0) - MALE 45.94 48.19 50.42 52.72 54.55,, , 56.46 58.42 60.46 62.56

E(0) - FEMALE 49.23 51.59 53.94 56.32 58.30 60.36 62.49 64.71 67.00

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 47.56 49.86 52.16 54.49 56.40 58.38 60.43 62.55 64.75

OTHER NORTH AFRICA POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2035 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 21 25 24 24 24 24 245-9 18 24 23 23 24 24 2410-14 15 24 23 23 24 24 2415-19 i 23 23 23 24 24 2420-24 1O 21 24 24 24 24 2425-29 9 19 24 23 23 23 2430-34 7 17 23 23 23 23 24 I35-39 6 14 22 22 23 23 2440-44 4 10 21 22 23 23 2345-49 4 9 19 23 23 23 2350-54 3 8 17 22 22 22 2355-59 2 6 14 21 21 21 2260-64 2 4. 11 19 19 20 2165-69 2 3 7 16 17 18 1970-74 1 2 5 12 15 16 1775+ 1 2 5 13 21 23 26

TOTAL 120 209 286 332 347 356 364

FEMALES -Ln

0-4 21 25 24 23 23 23 23

5-9 18 24 23 23 23 23 2310-14 15 23 23 23 23 23 2315-19 12 23 23 23 23 23 2320-24 10 21 24 24 23 23 2325-29 8 19 24 24 23 23 2330-34 7 17 23 23 23 23 2335-39 6 14 23 22 23 23 2340-44 4 10 22 22 23 23 2345-49 4 9 20 23 23 23 2350-54 3 7 18 23 23 23 2355-59 3 6 15 22 22 22 2360-64 2 5 12 21 21 22 2265-69 1 3 8 18 20 21 2270-74 1 3 6 15 18 19 2075+ 1 3 7 19 32 37 41

TOTAL 120 212 294 349 367 376 383

TOTAL M+F 240 422 580 681 714 732 747

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 32.9 19.7 15.1 13.6 13.2 12.8DEATH RATE 10.3 6.9 8.7 11.7 12.2 12.0GROWTH RATE 2.26 1.28 . 064 0.19 0.10 0.08IMR - BOTH SEXES 64.3 24.5 8.31 0.0 0.0 0.0E(0) - BOTH SEXES 58.90 68.21 72.82 75.20 77.29 79.25TOTAL FERTILITY 4.048 2.250 2,077 2.058 2.048 2.039

NONBORROWERS

S 0U T HWE ST AS IA)

��/; � � :1 �

GAZA STRIP POPULATION WITH NRRai BY 2040 (THOUSANbS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 48 53 63 75 83 91 96 95 100 102

5-9 36 45 51 60 73 al 90 95 94 99

10-14 33 35 44 50 60 72 al 89 95 94

15-19 27 32 34 43 49 59 72 al 89 94

20-24 22 25 30 33 42 49 59 71 80 as

25-29 9 19 23 29 32 42 48 68 71 79

30-34 6 7 Is 22 28 31 41 48 56 70

35-39 7 4 6 17 21 27 31 41 47 57

40-44 a 6 4 5 *16 20 27 30 40 46

45-49 a 7 5 3 5 16 20 26 30 39

50-54 a 7 7 5 3 5 15 19 2PI 29

55-59 7 7 7 6 4 3 4 14 18 24

60-64 5 6 7 6 5 4 3 4 13 16

65-69 4 4 5 6 5 5 3 2 3 11

70-74 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 2 3

75+ 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 4 3

TOTAL 232 264 308 366 435 514 598 681 768 855

FEMALES0-4 46 51 61 72 so 87 92 92 96 98

5-9 35 .43 49 58 70 79 87 92 91 96

10-14 32 34 42 48 58 70 78 86 92 91

15-19 27 31 33 42 48 58 70 78 86 91

20-24 22 26 30 32 41 47 57 69 78 86

25-29 15 20 24 29 32 41 47 57 69 78 Ln

30-34 14 14 19 23 28 31 40 47 56 69 00

35-39 14 13 13 19 23 28 31 40 46 56

40-44 12 13 12 12 18 22 27 31 39 46

45-49 11 Q 13 12 12 1 fs 22 21, 20 39

50-54 9 11 11 12 12 12 17 21 26 29

55-59 7 9 10 11 12 11 11 16 21 25

60-64 6 6 a 9 10 li 10 11 16 19

65-69 4 5 6 7 a 9 10 9 10 14

70-74 3 3 4 5 6 7 7 a a a

75+ 2 3 4 5 5 7 a 9 11 12

TOTAL 260 295 339 397 463 537 616 694 775 858

TOTAL M+F 492 559 648 763 898 1051 1214 1375 1543 1713

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 46.5 46.7 46.5 42 9 39.1 34.9 30,2 27.9 25.4

DEATH RATE 13.4 12.2 10.8 9.2 7.5 6.1 5.3 4.8 4.5

RATE OF NAT. INC. 3.32 3.45 3.57 3.38 3.16 2.89 2.49 2.31 2.09

GROWTH RATE 2.55 2.95 3.28 3.25 3.16 2.88 2.49 2.31 2.09

TOTAL FERTILITY 6.760 6.760 6.507 5.949 5.313 4.590 3.765 3.306 2.903

GRR 3.298 3.298 3.174 2.902 2.592 2.239 1.837 1.613 1.416

NRR 2.603 2.688 2.677 2.526 2.328 2.074 1.729 1.536 1.361

[MR - MALE 115.0 101-4 87.9 74.3 60.7 47 2 42.2 38.2 34.7

IMR - FEMALE 103.1 89.8 76.4 63.0 49.6 36.2 30.1 25.2 21.2

IMR - BOTH SEXES 109.2 95.7 82.3 68 8 55.3, 41.8 36.3 31.9 28.1

E(O) - MALE 54.20 56.19 58.24 60.35 62 52 64.77 65.84 66.80 67.66

E(O) - FEMALE 57.61 59.69 61.84 64-05 66.33 68.69 70.34 71.79 73.07

E(O) - BOTH SEXES 55.86 57.90 59.109 62.15 64.30 66.60 68.04 69.23 70.30

NET t- CRANTS-MALE -12. -5. 0. 0.

NET VIGRANTS-FEMALE -8. -5. -4. -2, 0. 0. 0. 0 0.

GAZA STRIP POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2040 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 75 100 97 97 97 98 985-9 60 94 93 96 97 98 9810-14 50 95 94 97 97 98 9815-19 43 89 99 98 97 97 9820-24 -33 80 100 97 96 97 9725-29 29 71 97 96 95 96 9730-34 22 58 92 91 95 96 9735-39 17 47 92 92 95 96 97

40-44 5 40 85 96 96 96 96

45-49 3 30 76 96 94 94 9550-54 5 25 65 91 91 92 9455-59 6 18 51 83 84 89 91

60-64 6 13 39 78 so 85 8765-69 6 3 29 65 76 79 8070-74 4 2 18 48 65 67 6975* 3 4 17 52 90 101 110

TOTAL 366 768 1144 1373 1446 1480 1502

FEMALESLa

0-4 72 96 93 93 93 94 945-9 58 91 90 93 94 94 94

10-14 48 92 91 94 94 94 9415-19 42 86 96 95 94 94 9320-24 32 78 98 95 93 93 93

25-29 29 69 95 93 93 93 9330-34 23 56 91 90 92 93 9435-39 19 46 90 91 93 94 94

40-44 12 39 84 95 94 94 9345-49 12 30 76 96 94 93 9350-54 12 26 66 93 91 91 9255-59 11 21 53 86 86 90 9260-64 9 16 41 83 85 89 9165-69 7 10 33 73 85 87 8870-74 5 8 22 59 78 $0 8175+ 5 11 26 76 135 1 5 168

TOTAL 397 775 1146 1403 1495 1527 1545

TOTAL M+F 763 1543 2290 2776 2941 3007 3048

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 35.0 20.6 15.3 13.5 13.0 12.7DEATH RATE 6.6 4.8 7.6 11.2 12.1 12.2GROWTH RATE 2.82 1.58 0.77, r O.23 0.09 0.05IMR - BOTH SEXES 44.7 20.4 13.3 9.3 5.2 5.2

E)- BOTH SEXES 66.59 72.06 74.48 76.30 78.27 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 3.3d6 2 2 .0np 2.074 2 .OS 2.058

ISRAEL POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2005 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 240 237 236 237 234 236 240 240 239 238

5-9 241 241 237 236 238 235 236 240 240 239

10-14 229 241 241 238 236 238 234 236 240 240

15-19 192 229 242 241 238 236 237 234 236 239

20-24 173 194 231 243 242 238 236 237 234 235

25-29 169 176 196 232 244 243 237 236 238 234'

30-34 169 171 177 197 233 244 242 238 236 237

35-39 146 ",: 870 172 178 197 233 243 242 237 235

40-44 95 146 170 172 178 197 232 242 241 236

45-49 84 95 145 169 171 176 195 230 24Q 239

50-54 78 83 93 143 166 167 173 '191 221 236

55-59 71 75 80 90 138 160 162 167 185 219

60-64 69 67 71 75 84 130 151 153 158 175

65-69 52 62 60 64 68 76 117 137 139 144

70-74 49 43 52 50 54 57 65 99 116 118

75+ 61 67 66 72 74 78 82 91 122 151

TOTAL 2118 2297 2468 2636 2794 2945 3083 3213 3326 3414

FEMALES0-4 230 227 226 227 224 226 229 230 229 228

5-9 228 231 227 226 228 225 226 230 230 229

10-14 218 229 232 228 227 228 225 226 230 230

15-19 182 219 229 232 228 227 228 225 226 230

20-24 163 183 220 230 233 229 227 228 225 226 -

25-29 163 165 184 221 231 233 228 227 228 225 0'

30-34 166 164 165 185 221 231 233 228 227 228

35-39 146 167 164 165 185 221 231 233 228 227

40-44 9b i46 16 164 !65 t85 220 230 232 228

45-49 87 95 145 165 163 164 183 219 229 231

50-54 83 86 93 143 163 161 162 181 217 227

55-59 83 81 84 91 140 160 158 159 178 213

60-64 79 80 78 81 88 136 155 153 155 174

65-69 59 74 75 73 76 83 128 146 145 147

70-74 58 52 65 66 65 68 74 115 132 132

75+ .72 85 87 99 108 112 118 127 166 203

TOTAL 2115 2282 2442 2598 2745 2888 3025 3158 3277 3375

TOTAL M+F 4233 4579 4910 5234 5539 5834 6108 6371 6603 6788

DEATH RATE 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.7 7.0 7.6 8.5

RATE OF NAT. INC. 1.45 1.30 1.21 1.07 0.99 0.92 0.82 0.70 0.55

GROWTH RATE 1.57 1.40 1.28 1.13 1.04 0.92 0.84 0.72 0.55

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.813 2.573 2.354 2.153 2.077 2.076 2.074 2.072 2.070

GRR 1.372 1.255 1.148 1.050 1.013 1.012 1.012 1.011 1.010

NRR 1.347 1.235 1.131 1.035 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 15.5 14.5 13.9 13.4 12.9 12.4 11.8 11.3 10.8

IMR - FEMALE 10.7 9.4 9.0 8.6 8.1 7.7 7.2 6.8 6.4

IMR - BOTH SEXES 13.2 12.0 11.5 11.0 tO0 10.1 9.6 9.1 8.6

E(O) - MALE 73.24 73.59 73.80 74.01 74.22 74.43 74.65 74.86 75.08

E(0) - FEMALE 76.84 77.36 77.70 78.03 78.37 78.72 79.07 79.43 79.80

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 74.99 75.43 75 70 75 97 7,275 76.53 76.9, 77.09 77.38

'- V;S-A E17. 14, Q 0. 5. 4. 0.0. 3. 2. 0.

ISRAEL POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2005 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 237 239 239 239 239 239 2395-9 236 240 239 238 238 238 238

10-14 238 240 238 238 238 238 238

15-19 241 236 237 238 238 238 238

20-24 243 234 237 238 238 238 238

25-29 232 238 237 238 237 237 237

30-34 197 236 238 237 237 237 237 g35-39 178 237 237 236 236 236 236

40-44 172 241 233 234 235 235 236

45-49 169 240 230 233 234 234 234

50-54 143 226 230 231 231 231 231

55-59 90 185 222 225 225 225 22560-64 75 158 212 214 214 214 214

65-69 64 139 197 194 196 196 197

70-74 50 116 170 166 169 170 170

75+ 72 122 227 272 277 277 277

TOTAL 2636 3326 3622 3672 3681 3683 3683

FEMALES0

0-4 227 229 229 228 228 228 2285-9 226 230 229 228 228 228 228

10-14 228 230 228 228 228 228 228

15-19 232 226 227 228 228 228 22820-24 230 225 227 228 228 228 22825-29 221 228 228 228 228 228 22830-34 185 227 229 228 228 228 228

35-39 165 228 229 228 228 228 22840-44 164 232 225 227 227 228 228

45-49 165 229 223 226 227 227 227

50-54 143 217 225 226 226 226 226

55-59 91 178 221 225 224 224 22460-64 81 155 217 221 220 220 22065-69 73 145 212 210 212 213 213

70-74 66 132 192 194 197 198 198

75+ 99 166 308 402 415 416 416

TOTAL 2598 3277 3648 3755 3774 3776 3776

TOTAL M+F 5234 6603 7270 7427 7455 7459 7459

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 15.9 13.5 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 6.9 9.6 11.9 12.5 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.93 0.38 0.09,, 0.01 0.00 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 8.9 6.8 4.3 4.3 4,3 4,3E - BOTH SEXES 76.55 77-98 79.31 79.50 79.50 79.50TOTAL FERTILITY 2.090 2.067 2.C5 2.059 2.05 2.058

ALBANIA POPULATION WITH NRR,1 BY 2005 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GRQUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 187 206 203 194 182 184 193 197 195 191

5-9 182 186 205 202 193 181 183 192 197 195

10-14 169 181 185 205 201 192 181 183 192 196

15-19 158 168 181 185 204 201 192 180 182 192

20-24 153 157 167 180 184 203 200 191 179 182

25-29 134 152 156 166 179 183 202 199 190 179

30-34 103 133 151 155 165 178 182 201 198 189

35-39 80 102 132 149 154 164 176 180 200 197

40-44 73 79 101 130 148 152 162 175 179 198

45-49 67 71 77 99 128 145 150 160 172 177

50-54 54 65 69 75 96 124 141 146 16 168

55-59 45 51 61 66 71 92 119 135 140 150

60-64 29 41 47 57 61 66 85 110 126 131

65-69 25 25 36 41 * 50 54 59 75 98 113

70-74 19 20 20 29 34 41 44 48 63 82

75+ 20 23 25 26 34 40 49 56 63 77

TOTAL 1497 1660 1816 1957 2081 2199 2317 2430 2531 2616

FEMALES0-4 180 199 195 186 174 176 185 189 187 183

5-9 173 180 198 195 186 174 176 185 188 187

10-14 159 173 180 198 195 185 174 176 185 188

15-19 151 159 173 179 198 194 185 174 176 185

20-24 147 151 159 172 179 198 194 185 174 176

25-29 129 147 150 158 172 179 197 194 185 174 01

30-34 101 129 146 150 158 172 179 197 194 185

35-39 79 101 128 146 150 157 171 178 197 193

40-44i ?i 78 100 127 145 149 157 171 177 196

45-49 66 70 78 99 126 144 148 10b 170 s7

50-54 54 65 69 76 98 125 142 146 154 168

55-59 46 52 63 67 75 95 122 139 143 151

60-64 31 44 50 61 65 72 92 118 135 139

65-69 28 29 41 47 56 61 67 87 1il 127

70-74 23 24 25 36 41 50 54 60 77 100

75+ 26 31 36 39 49 59 73 83 95 116

TOTAL 1465 1631 1790 1936 2066 2190 2316 2436 2546 2642

TOTAL M+F 2962 3291 3606 3893 4147 4389 4633 4867 5078 5258

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 26.6 23.6 20.7 18.1 17.2 17.0 16.5 15.6. 14.7

DEATH RATE 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.8 6.2 6.6 7.1 7.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. 2.11 1.83 1.54 1.26 1.14 1.08 0.98 0.85 0.70

GROWTH RATE 2.11 1.83 1.54 1.26 1.13 1.08 0.98 0.85 0.70

TOTAL FERTILITY 3.320 2.898 2.529 2.208 2.091 2.088 2.086 2.084 2.083

GRR 1.612 1.407 1.228 1.072 1.015 1.014 1.012 1.012 1.011

NRR 1.567 1.374 1.203 1.054 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 32.2 29.6 27.2 25.2 23.2 21.5 20.0 18.9 17.8

IMR - FEMALE 15.2 13.2 11.4 10.0 8.9 8.2 7.5 7.1 6.8

IMR - BOTH SEXES 24.0 21.6 19.6 17.8 .16.2 15.0 13.9 13.2 12.5

E(0) - MALE 68.27 68.97 69.63 70.21 70.77 71.27 71.75 72.13 72.52

E(0) - FEMALE 75.07 75.86 76.56 77.14 77.61 77.98 78.35 78.67 78.99

E0)5 - BOTH SEXES 71.57 72.32 73.00 73.57 74.09 74.53 74.96 75.31 75.66

ALBANIA POPULATION WITH NRR=i BY 2005 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 194 195 194 194 193 193 1935-9 202 197 193 193 193 193 193

10-14 205 192 t90 192 193 193 19315-19 185 182 188 192 193 193 193

20-24 180 179 190 193 193 193 19325-29 166 190 193 193 192 192 192

30-34 155 198 194 191 191 192 192 '35-39 149 200 189 188 190 191 19240-44 130 179 178 186 190 191 191

45-49 99 172 174 186 189 190 19050-54 75 156 181 186 187 187 18755-59 66 140 183 182 181 181 182

60-64 57 126 174 169 170 172 173

65-69 41 98 141 146 155 158 160

70-74 29 63 115 123 135 137 13875+ 26 63 147 205 221 223 224

TOTAL 1957 2531 2825 2918 2968 2983 2986

FEMALES01

0-4 186 187 185 183 183 183 183

5-9 195 188 184 183 183 183 183

10-14 198 185 182 182 183 183 18315-19 179 176 180 183 183 183 183

20-24 172 174 182 184 184 183 183

25-29 158 185 186 185 183 183 18330-34 150 194 188 184 183 183 18335-39 146 197 184 181 182 183 183

40-44 127 177 174 180 182 183 18345-49 99 170 172 181 183 183 18250-54 76 154 181 184 183 182 181

55-59 67 143 187 184 180 180 18060-64 61 135 185 176 175 176 17765-69 47 11 159 161 168 171 171

70-74 36 77 139 147 158 160 15975+ 39 95 219 313 333 345 334

TOTAL 1936 2546 2887 2990 3027 3033 3033

TOTAL M+F 3893 5078 5712 5908 5996 6015 6019

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 16.9 13.9 13.0 12.7 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 6.2 9.2 11.7 12. 1 12.5 12.6GROWTH RATE 1.06 0.47 0.13 0.06 0.01 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 13.7 9.5 6.3 2.6 2.6 2.6E()- BOTH SEXES 74.54 76.41 78.29 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 2.109 2.080 2.072 2.068 2.068 2.068

AUSTRIA POPULATION WITH NRR=l BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 .2030

MALES0-4 229 229 222 217 213 213 217 221 221 217

5-9 222 228 229 221 2,17 212 213 216 221 221

10-14 256 222 228 228 22t 217 212 212 216 221

15-19 312 256 221 227 228 221 216 212 212 216

20-24 330 311 254 220 227 227 220 216 211 211

25-29 295 329 309 253 220 226 226 219 215 210

30-34 257 294 327 308 252 219 225 225 219 214

35-39 257 255 292 325 306 251 218 224 225 218

40-44 262 '255 253 289 323 304 249 216 223 223

45-49 228 258 251 250 286 319 301 247 214 220

50-54 198 222 . 251 245 244 280 312 295 24) 210

55-59 199 189 212 241 236 235 269 301 285 234

60-64 171 184 176 198 226 221 220 253 283 268

65-69 100 151 164 157 178 203 198 199 229 257

70-74 121 82 125 136 131 148 170 167 167 193

75+ 161 165 140 161 180 187 204 229 241 249

TOTAL 3602 3629 3654 3679 3686 3681 3670 3652 3623 3583

FEMALES0-4 221 220 213 208 203 203 207 211 211 207

5-9 212 221 220 212 208 203 203 207 211 211

10-14 244 212 221 220 212 208 203 203 207 211

15-19 299 244 212 221 220 212 208 203 203 207

20-24 319 299 244 212 221 220 212 207 203 203

25-29 285 319 299 243 212 220 219 212 207 203 n

30-34 253 285 318 298 243 211 220 219 212 207

35-39 252 252 284 317 297 243 211 220 219 211

40-44 260 251 25i 283 316 296 242 210 219 218

45-49 228 258 249 249 281 314 294 240 209 218

50-54 203 225 255 246 246 278 311 292 238 207

55-59 226 198 220 249 241 242 273 305 287 235

60-64 258 218 191 212 241 233 234 265 297 280

65-69 157 241 204 179 200 227 220 222 251 283

70-74 200 139 213 181 160 179 204 199 201 228

75+ 331 337 293 331 327 311 318 345 358 370

TOTAL 3953 3919 3886 3862 3827 3799 3779 3761 3733 3699

TOTAL M+F 7555 7548 7539 7540 7513 7480 7450 7413 7356 7283

RELATED INDICATORS I

BIRTH RATE 12.1 11.7 11.4 11.2 11.3 11.5 11.8 11.8 11.7

DEATH RATE 12.3 12.0 11.4 11.9 12.1 12.3 12.8 13.3 13.7

RATE OF NAT. INC. -0.02 -0.02 0.00 -0.07 -0.09 -0.08 -0.10 -0.15 -0.20

GROWTH RATE -0.02 -0.02 0.00 -0.07 -0.09 -0.08 -0.10 -0.15 -0.20

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.564 1.564 1.669 1.769 1,863 1.953 2.039 2.072 2.070

GRR 0.760 0.760 0.811 0.860 0.906 0.950 0.991 1.007 1.007

NRR 0.748 0.750 0.801 0.850 0.896 0.941 0.983 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 23.6 20.3 17.6 16.6 15.6 14.5 13.6 12.7 12.0

IMR - FEMALE 10.1 9.0 8.2 7.5 6.8 6.0 5.3 4.5 4.3

IMR - BOTH SEXES 17.0 14.8 13.1 12.2 .11.3 10.4 9.5 8.7 8.2

E(0) - MALE 70.66 71.65 72.54 72.89 73.21 73.56 73.89 74.24 74.57

E(0) - FEMALE 77.11 77.54 77.96 78.35 78.74 79.14 79.54 79.93 80.33

E(0 - BOTH SEXES 73.80 74S5 75.17 75.54 75.90 76.27 76.63 77.01 77.37

AUSTRIA POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 217 221 219 219 219 219 2195-9 221 221 218 218 218 218 218

10-14 228 216 216 218 218 218 21815-19 227 212 215 218 218 218 21820-24 220 211 216 218 218 218 21825-29 253 215 219 218 218 217 21730-34 308 219 219 217 217 217 217 ("35-39 325 225 214 215 216 216 21740-44 289 223 209 213 216 216 21645-49 250 214 207 213 215 215 21450-54 245 242 208 213 212 212 21155-59 241 285 205 208 206 206 20660-64 198 283 200 193 194 196 19665-69 157 229 182 174 178 180 18070-74 136 167 150 150 154 156 15675+ 161 241 297 253 254 254 254

TOTAL 3679 3623 3395 3357 3370 3375 3375

FEMALES

0-4 208 211 209 208 208 208 2085-9 212 211 208 207 207 208 208

10-14 220 207 206 207 207 208 20815-19 221 203 206 207 208 208 20820-24 212 203 207 208 208 208 20825-29 243 207 210 209 208 207 20730-34 298 212 211 208 207 207 20735-39 317 219 206 206 207 207 20740-44 283 219 202 205 207 207 20745-49 249 209 201 206 207 207 20750-54 246 238 205 209 207 206 20655-59 249 287 206 207 204 204 20460-64 212 297 209 199 199 200 20065-69 179 251 201 189 192 193 19470-74 181 201 177 175 180 181 18075+ 331 358 443 386 382 379 379

TOTAL 3862 3733 3508 3437 3437 3437 3437

TOTAL M+F 7540 7356 6903 6795 6807 6812 6812

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 1l.5 12.0 12-5 12.6 12.6 12-6DEATH RATE 12.5 14.5 13.2 12.5 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE -0.10 -0.25 -0.06, 0.01 0.00 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 9.3 6.1 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7E(0) - BOTH SEXES 76,27 78.05 79.42 79,49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 1930 2.06q 2.065 2 065 2 065 2.065

BELGIUM POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 293 294 281 278 275 275 278 283 282 279

5-9 307 291 293 279 278 274 275 278 282 282

10-14 333 306 290 292 279 277 274 274 277 282

15-19 369 332 305 289 291 279 277 274 274 277

20-24 402 366 329 303 289 291 278 276 273 273

25-29 400 399 363 327 302 288 290 277 275 272

30-34 382 397 396 361 326 301 287 289 276 274

35-39 367 .v379 394 393 360 325 300 286 288 275

40-44 285 363 375 391 390 357 323 298 284 286

45-49 287 281 358 370 386 386 353 319 29§ 281

50-54 300 280 274 350 363 378 378 347 33 290

55-59 291 288 , 269 264 337 349 365 365 335 303

60-64 273 272 269 252 247 317 328 343 344 316

65-69 162 244 243 241 226 222 285 297 311 313

70-74 169 135 203 203 202 190 187 241 251 264

75+ 211 228 212 256 278 290 288 286 327 357

TOTAL 4833 4855 4856 4851 4830 4798 4765 4731 4688 4625

FEMALES0-4 - 281 281L 268 266 263 263 266 270 269 266

5-9 294 280 280 268 266 263 263 266 270 269

10-14 319 293 279 280 268 266 263 263 266 270

15-19 354 318 293 279 280 267 266 263 263 266

20-24 388 352 317 292 278 280 267 266 263 263.

25-29 385 386 351 316 291 278 280 267 265 262

30-34 364 383 384 350 315 291 278 279 267 265

35-39 351 362 382 383 349 315 291 278 279 267

40-44 278 34 360 38O 3IR2 348 314 290 277 278

45-49 288 276 346 358 378 380 346 312 289 276

50-54 307 284 272 342 354 374 376 343 310 287

55-59 307 301 279 267 336 348 368 371 338 306

60-64 303 296 290 270 259 327 339 359 362 331

65-69 194 284 279 274 255 245 310 323 342 346

70-74 230 172 253 249 246 230 222 282 294 313

75+ 380 392 354 401 426 440 437 432 482 523

TOTAL 5024 5010 4988 4974 4946 4914 4885 4863 4835 4786

TOTAL M+F 9857 9865 9844 9825 9776 9713 9650 9594 9524 9411

DEATH RATE 11.3 11.4 11.4 12.1 12.5 12.7 12.8 13.1 14.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.06 -0.01 -0.02 -0.10 -0.13 -0.13 -0.12 -0.15 -0.24

GROWTH RATE 0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.10 -0.13 -0.13 -0.t2 -0.15 -0.24

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.570 1.570 1.673 1.771 1.864 1.952 2.036 2.069 2.068

GRR 0.764 0.764 0.814 0.861 0.907 . 0.950 0.990 1.006 1.006

NRR 0.754 0.755 0.805 0.853 0.899 0.943 0.984 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 17.7 16.8 15.9 15.0 14.2 13.4 12.7 12.0 11.3

IMR - FEMALE 8.2 7.5 6.8 6.0 5.3 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.0

IMR - BOTH SEXES 13.1 12.3 11.5 10.6 '9.9 r 9.1 8.6 8.2 7.7

E(0) - MALE 72.51 72.81 73.10 73.40 73.67 73.97 74.27 74.57 74.87

E(O) - FEMALE 77.96 78.35 78.74 79.14 79.54 79.93 80.33 80.61 80.88

E(O) - BOTH SEXES 75.16 75,50 75.e5 76.1Q, 75.P7 77.22 77.50 77.7S

NET MIGRANTS-MALE -11, -. -5 .. 0. 0. 0.

BELGIUM POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150,

0-4 278 282 281 280 280 280 2805-9 279 282 280 280 280 280 28010-14 292 277 278 279 280 280 28015-19 289 274 277 279 280 280 28020-24 303 273 277 280 280 279 27925-29 327 275 280 279 279 279 27930-34 361 276 280 278 278 278 278 '35-39 393 288 274 276 277 278 27840-44 391 284 270 274 276 277 27745-49 370 295 267 273 275 275 27550-54 350 313 266 272 272 271 27155-59 264 335 260 265 264 264 26460-64 252 344 257 248 250 251 25165-69 241 311 233 225 229 231 23170-74 203 251 208 194 198 200 20075* 256 327 378 325 325 325 326

TOTAL 4851 4688 4367 4308 4322 4327 4328

FEMALES

0-4 266 269 267 267 266 266 266 0

5-9 268 270 267 266 266 266 26610-14 280 266 265 266 266 266 615-19 279 263 265 266 267 2672620-24 292 263 266 267 267 266 2625-29 316 265 269 267 267 266 26630-34 350 267 270 267 266 266 26635-39 383 279 265 265 266 266 26640-44 380 277 462 264 266 266 ~ 26645-49, 358 289 261 265 266 266 26550-54 342 310 262 267 265 264- 26455-59 267 338 261 265 262 261 26160-64 270 362 267 256 256 257 25765-69 274 342 255 245 247 248 24970-74 249 294 246 227 231 232 23175+ 401 482 573 496 489 4Q7 4836

TOTAL 4974 4835 4522 4415 4412 4412 4411

TOTAL M+F 9825 9524 8889 8724 8734 8739q 8740

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 11.4 11.9 12.5 12 6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 12.6 14.7 13.3 12-5 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE -0.12 -0.28 -0.08. 0.00 0.00 0.00IMR -BOTH SEXES 8.0 6.2 4.0 3,6 3.6 3.6E(0) -BOTH SEXES 76.86 78.34 79.43 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTRLITY .02.067 2,06 2.064 2. ~ 2.064

BULGARIA POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 309 306 306 313 318 315 311 311 312 314

5-9 343 307 305 305 311 316 314 310 310 311

10-14 337 342 307 304 304 311 316 314 310 310

15-19 318 336 341 306 303 304 310 315 313 309

20-24 316 316 334 339 304 302 302 309 314 312

25-29 319 314 314 332 337 303 300 301 307 313

30-34 324 317 312 312 330 335 301 299 300 306

35-39 332 .321 314 309 310 328 333 299 297 298

40-44 277 328 317 311 306 307 325 331 297 295

45-49 271 272 322 312 306 301 303 320 326 293

50-54 300 263 264 313 303 298 294 295 31i 319

55-59 287 285 250 251 298 290 285 282 284 301

60-64 259 264 262 231 232 277 270 266 263 265

65-69 139 227 232 231 204 206 246 240 237 236

70-74 152 112 184 189 189 167 170 204 200 198

75+ 169 18,6 168 212 238 252 245 245 271 283

TOTAL 4453 4496 4532 4569 4595 4612 4626 4641 4656 4665

FEMALES0-4 296 293 293 299 303 301 297 296 297 299

5-9 328 296 293 293 298 303 301 297 296 297

10-14 319 328 295 292 292 298 303 300 296 296

15-19 301 319 327 295 292 292 298 302 300 296

20-24 301 301 318 327 295 292 292 298 302 300

25-29 306 300 300 318 326 294 291 291 297 302 430-34 321 305 299 299 317 326 294 291 291 297

35-39 330 320 304 298 298 316 325 293 290 290

40-44 277 328 318 302 297 297 314 323 292 289

45-49 275 274 324 315 299 294 294 312 321 290

50-54 304 270 270 319 310 295 290 291 308 318

55-59 297 295 263 263 312 303 289 284 285 303

60-64 280 284 283 252 252 300 292 279 275 276

65-69 161 259 263 263 235 236 281 274 262 259

70-74 178 139 226 231 231 208 209 250 245 235

75+ 227 256 245 308 348 372 368 369 405 423

TOTAL 4504 4566 4620 4674 4707 4725 4737 4750 4764 4770

TOTAL M+F 8957 9062 9152 9243 9302 9338 9363 9392 9420 9435

DEATH RATE 11.3 11.5 11.6 12.4 12.7 12.7 12.5 12.5 12.8

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.23 0.20 0.20 0.13 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.03

GROWTH RATE 0.23 0.20 0.20 0.13 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.03

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.000 2.000 2.016 2.032 2.049 2.064 2.080 2.087 2.085

GRR 0.970 0.970 0.978 0.986 0.993 1.001 1.009 1.012 1.011

NRR 0.945 0.948 0.959 0-968 0.978 0.987 0.996 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 29.6 27.2 25.2 23.2 21.5 20.0 18,6 17.3 16.4

IMR - FEMALE 15-.0 13.0 11,5 10.5 9.6 8.7 7.9 7.2 6.9

IMR - BOTH SEXES 22.5 20.4 18.6 17.1 '15.7- 14.5 13.4 12.4 11.8

E(0) - MALE 68.97 69.63 70.21 70.77 71.27 71.75 72.21 72.64 72.99

E(0) - FEMALE 75.12 75.91 76.51 76.91 77.31 77.71 78.10 78.50 78.83

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 71.95 72.68 73.27 72 75 74.20 74.64 75.07 75.48 75.82

BULGARIA- POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 313 312 313 315 315 315 3155-9 305 310 313 314 315 315 31510-14 304 310 313 314 315 315 31415-19 306 313 313 314 314 314 31420-24 339 314 311 312 314 314 31425-29 332 307 309 311 313 313 31330-34 312 300 306 310 312 313 313 ("35-39 309 297 305 310 312 312 31240-44 311 297 307 309 310 311 31145-49 312 326 305 305 307 309 30950-54 313 313 294 299 302 304 30555-59 251 284 277 288 294 296 29760-64 231 263 260 273 281 282 28365-69 231 237 236 252 258 259 26070-74 189 200 220 216 221 223 22475+ 212 271 313 331 356 363 365

TOTAL 4569 4656 4697 4773 4839 4857 4862

FEMALES

0-4 299 297 297 298 298 298 2985-9 293 296 297 298 298 298 29810-14 292 296 298 298 298 298 29815-19 295 300 299 298 298 298 29820-24 327 302 298 297 297 298 29825-29 318 297 296 297 297 298 29830-34 299 291 295 297 298 298 29835-39 298 290 295 298 298 297 29740-44 302 292 298 298 297 297 29745-49 315 321 299 296 296 296 29650-54 319 308 291 293 294 295 29555-59 263 285 281 288 292 292 29260-64 252 275 273 283 288 288 28865-69 263 262 261 275 278 278 27870-74 231 245 262 255 258 258 25875+ 308 405 460 498 535 542 543

TOTAL 4674 4764 4802 4866 4919 4927 4928

TOTAL M+F 9243 9420 9498 9639 9758 9785 9790

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 13.3 13.1 12.9 12.7 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 12.6 12.8 12.3 12.2 12.5 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.08 0.03 0.06, r 0.05 0.01 0.00IMR BOTH SEXES 13.5 9.7 6.5 4.9 4.9 4.9E(0) BOTH SEXES 74.63 76.52 78.34 79.48 79.48 79.48TOTAL FERTILITY 2 063 2,0>2 2.D75 2.070 2070 2.070

CHANNEL ISLANDS POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4

5-9 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4

10-14 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4

15-19 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4

20-24 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3

25-29 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

30-34 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4

35-39 5 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4

40-44 4 5 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4

45-49 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 4 4 4

50-54 4 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 I11 4

55-59 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4

60-64 3 4 3 3 3 4 5 4 4 4

65-69 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 4

70-74 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 3

75+ 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5

TOTAL 63 63 64 64 63 63 62 62 61 60

FEMALES0-4 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3

5-9 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3

10-14 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3

15-19 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 3

20-24 5 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3

25-29 5 5 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 p30-34 6 5 5 5 4 4 3 4 4 4

35-39 5 5 5 4 4 3 4 4

40-44 4 5 6 5 5 5 4 4 3 4

45-49 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 4 4 3

50-54 4 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 4 4

55-59 4 4 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 4

60-64 3 4 4 4 4 5 6 5 5 5

65-69 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5

70-74 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 4 5 4

75+ 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8

TOTAL 67 67 67 67 67 66 66 65 64 63

TOTAL M+F 130 131 131 131 130 129 128 127 126 124

DEATH RATE 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.5 12.2 12.6 13.0 13.5 14.5

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.08 0.01 -0.01 -0.07 -0.16 -0.18 -0.17 -0.20 -0.31

GROWTH RATE 0.08 0.01 -0.01 -0.07 -0.16 -0.18 -0.17 -0.20 -0.31

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.515 1.515 1.632 1.743 1.847 1.946 2.039 2.074 2.074

GRR 0.735 0.735 0.792 0.845 0.896 0.944 0.989 1.006 1.006

NRR 0.726 0.727 0.784 0.838 0.889 0.937 0.982 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 16.7 15.7 14.8 13.8 13.0 12.3 11.6 10.8 10.0

IMR - FEMALE 7.4 6.8 6.2 5.6 5.0 4.4 4.3 4.1 3.9

IMR - BOTH SEXES 12.2 11.4 10.6 9.8 '9.t * 8.5 8.0 7.5 7.1

E(0) - MALE 72.86 73.18 73.48 73.81 74.11 74.43 74.73 75.06 75.39

E(0) - FEMALE 78.40 78.69 79.04 79.36 79.71 80.06 80.41 80.75 81.11

E(01 - BOTH SEXES 75.55 75.86 76. 0 76 50 75 .8 77.16 77.48 77.82 78.16

CHANNEL ISLANDS POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 4 4 4 4 4 4 45-9 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

10-14 4 4 4 4 4 4 415-19 4 3 4 4 4 4 420-24 4 4 4 4 4 4 425-29 4 4 4 4 4 4 430-34 0 5 4 4 4 4 4 435-39 5 4 3 4 4 4 440-44 5 4 3 4 4 4 445-49 6 4 3 4 4 4 450-54 5 4 4 4 4 3 355-59 4 4 3 3 3 3 360-64 3 4 3 3 3 3 365-69 3 4 3 3 3 3 370-74 3 4 3 3 3 3 3

75+ 3 4 5 4 4 4 4

TOTAL 64 61 57 56 56 56 56

FEMALES

O-4 4 3 3 3 3 3 35-9 4 3 3 3 3 3 3

10-14 4 3 3 3 3 3 315-19 3 3 3 3 3 3 320-24 4 3 3 3 3 3 325-29 4 4 3 3 3 3 330-34 5 4 3 3 3 3 335-39 5 4 3 3 3 3 340-44 5 3 3 3 3 3 345-49 6 4 3 3 3 3 350-54 5 4 3 3 3 3 355-59 4 5 3 3 3 3 360-64 4 5 4 3 3 3 365-69 4 4 3 3 3 3 370-74 3 5 3 3 3 3 375+ 5 7 8 7 6 .6 6

TOTAL 67 64 59 57 57 57 57

TOTAL M+F 131 126 115 112 112 112 112

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 14 0 11.8 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 12.6 15.1 13.5 12.6 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE -0 16 -0.33 -0.10' -0.00 -0.00 -0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0.0E(OD - BOTH S XES 7715 78.81 79.48 79.48 79 48 79.48TOTAL FERTRLI1 1024 2.072 2.070 2.70 07c 2070

CZECHOSLOVAKIA POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 564 549 563 626 605 570 569 583 592 595

5-9 687 559 545 559 622 602 567 567 581 590

10-14 651 684 557 544 558 621 601 566 566 580

15-19 543 647 681 554 541 556 619 599 564 564

20-24 554 538 642 676 551 538 553 616 597 562

25-29 581 548 533 637 671 548 535 550 613 594

30-34 642 575 543 529 633 667 544 532 547 610

35-39 607 .p34 568 538 524 627 662 540 529 543

40-44 484 597 624 560 531 518 621 655 535 524

45-49 388 472 583 611 549 521 509 610 645 527

50-54 401 373 o 455 564 592 533 506 495 5$9 629

55-59 399 377 352 431 535 562 507 483 473 569

60-64 379 363 345 323 396 493 520 470 448 440

65-69 192 327 315 300 282 347 434 459 416 398

70-74 224 153 262 253 242 229 283 355 377 344

75+ 273 280 236 294 317 323 319 357 430 484

TOTAL 7565 7676 7803 7998 8150 8255 8348 8437 8506 8553

FEMALES0-4 549 534 545 606 585 550 548 561 569 571

5-9 661 547 532 544 605 584 549 548 560 569

10-14 624 660 546 532 544 604 584 549 548 560

15-19 519 623 659 546 531 544 604 584 548 547

20-24 531 517 621 658 545 531 543 603 583 548

25-29 560 529 515 620 656 544 530 542 603 582

30-34 623 557 527 514 618 655 543 529 541 602

35-39 595 619 554 524 512 616 653 542 527 540

40-44. 487 590 615 551 521 509 613 650 539 525

45-49 403 481 583 609 546 517 bob 608 645 53850-54 425 395 472 574 599 538 510 499 601 638

55-59 448 412 384 460 560 585 526 499 489 589

60-64 457 426 393 368 441 538 564 507 482 473

65-69 246 420 394 365 342 412 503 528 477 454

70-74 309 212 365 344 321 302 364 447 471 426

75+ 493 494 424 511 545 548 536 583 679 756

TOTAL 7928 8017 8130 8324 8473 8576 8675 8778 8863 8916

TOTAL M+F 15493 15692 15934 16322 16622 16831 17023 17215 17369 17469

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 14.4 14.4 15.7 14.8 13.7 13.5 13i6 13.7 13.6

DEATH RATE 11.7 11.3 10.8 11.1 11.2 11.2 11.4 11.9 12.4

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.26 0.31 0.48 0.36 0.25 0.23 0.22 0.18 0.12

GROWTH RATE 0.26 0.31 0.48 0.36 0.25 0.23 0.22 0.18 0.12

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.050 2.000 2.000 2.019 2.038 2.056 2.075 2.082 2.080

GRR 0.997 0.973 0.973 0.982 0.991 1.000 1.009 1.013 1.011

NRR 0.970 0.953 0.956 0.966 0.976 0.986 0.995 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 39.0 35.4 32.2 29.6 27.2 25.2 23.2 21.5 20.0

IMR - FEMALE 16.5 14.5 12.6 11.0 10.1 9.1 8.4 7.7 7.0

IMR - BOTH SEXES 28.0 25.3 22.7 20.6 .18.9k 17.4 16.0 14.8 13.7

E(0) - MALE 66.62 67.48 68.27 68.97 69.63 70.21 70.77 71.27 71.75

E(0) - FEMALE 74.62 75.32 76.11 76.71 77.09 77.49 77.86 78.25 78.62

E(0 - BOTH SEXES 70.51 71.29 72.0q 7 73.26 73.75 74.21 74.66 75.99

NET VIC2ANTS -MALE 3 -3.. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.NET MiUkANTSLFEMALE -3. -3. O.O0n . O. O. O.

CZECHOSLOVAKIA POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 626 592 588 591 592 592 592

5-9 559 581 583 590 592 592 592

10-14 544 566 583 590 592 592 592

15-19 554 564 587 590 592 591 591

20-24 676 597 589 588 590 590 590

25-29 637 613 584 583 587 589 589

30-34 529 547 572 578 586 588 588 I"35-39 538 529 555 576 585 587 587

40-44 560 535 551 578 584 585 585

45-49 611 645 577 576 579 581 580

50-54 564 594 582 564 567 571 573

55-59 431 473 502 537 548 556 558

60-64 323 448 456 495 522 530 532

65-69 300 416 417 450 482 488 489

70-74 253 377 425 406 418 420 421

75+ 294 430 541 615 663 678 686

TOTAL 7998 8506 8691 8905 9079 9130 9145

FEMALES .

0-4 606 569 563 562 563 563 563

5-9 544 560 559 562 563 563 563

10-14 532 548 560 564 564 563 563

15-19 546 548 565 565 564 563 563

20-24 658 583 570 565 563 563 563

25-29 620 603 568 562 562 563 563

30-34 514 541 558 558 562 563 563

35-39 524 527 545 559 563 563 563

40-44 551 539 544 563 564 563 562

45-49 609 645 576 566 563 560 560

50-54 574 601 590 560 557 557 558

55-59 460 489 522 545 549 552 553

60-64 368 482 495 522 540 544 544

65-69 365 477 482 502 527 527 526

70-74 344 471 524 492 494 490 489

75+ 511 679 838 957 1012 10 4 1027

TOTAL 8324 8863 9061 9205 9307 9321 9322

TOTAL M+F 16322 17369 17751 18110 18386 18451 18467

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 13.8 13.3 13.0 12.7 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 11.3 12.4 12.2 12.1 12.5 12.6

GROWTH RATE 0.25 0.09 0.08, 0.06 0.01 0.00IMR BOTH SEXES 17.1 11.5 7,7 5.2 5.2 5.2

E - BOTH SEXES 73.74 75.93 78.11 79.49 79.49 79-49

7TAL FERTILITY 2 048 2.076 2 069 2.060 2.06^ 2.064

DENMARK POPULATION WITH NRR=t BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 133 133 132 138 137 133 131 134 136 135

5-9 160 133 32 132 138 137 132 131 134 135

10-14 187 160 133 132 131 138 136 132 131 134

15-19 200 186 160 133 132 131 138 136 132 131

20-24 202 199 186 159 132 132 131 137 136 132

25-29 190 201 198 185 159 132 131 130 137 136

30-34 191 189 200 197 184 158 131 131 130 137

35-39 212 190 188 199 197 183 158 131 130 130

40-44 190 ,,.. -210 188 187 198 195 182 157 130 130

45-49 149 187 207 186 184 196 193 181 ,155 129

50-54 133 146, 183 203 182 181 192 190 178' 153

55-59 129 128 141 176 196 176 175 186 184 172

60-64 129 121 120 132 166 184 166 165 176 174

65-69 110 116 109 108 119 149 167 150 150 160

70-74 92 92 97 91 91 100 126 141 128 128

75+ 120 128 132 138 137 137 145 169 194 197

TOTAL 2527 2518 2505 2496 2482 2462 2435 2402 2360 2312

FEMALES0-4 128 127 126 132 131 127 125 128 129 129

5-9 153 128 127 126 1?2 131 127 125 128 129

10-14 178 153 128 127 126 132 131 127 125 128

15-19 190 178 153 128 127 126 132 131 127 125

20-24 193 190 178 153 128 127 126 132 131 127 p25-29 181 193 190 178 153 128 127 126 132 131

30-34 182 181 193 190 178 153 128 127 126 132

35-39 202 182 181 192 189 177 153 128 126 126

40-44 181 202 181 180 192 I8Q 177 152 127 i26

45-49 147 180 200 180 179 191 188 176 152 127

50-54 135 146 178 198 178 177 189 186 175 150

55-59 136 133 143 175 195 175 175 186 184 173

60-64 142 132 128 138 170 189 171 170 182 180

65-69 127 134 124 121 131 161 180 163 163 174

70-74 114 114 120 111 109 Ita 146 164 149 149

75+ 193 198 202 209 208 206 214 243 276 284

TOTAL 2587 2570 2552 2540 2525 2507 2487 2463 2430 2389

TOTAL M+F 5114 5088 5057 5036 5008 4969 4921 4864 4790 4701

DEATH RATE 11.3 11,5 11.7 11.9 12.0 12.4 13.1 14.2 15.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. -0.10 -0.12 -0.08 -0.11 -0.15 -0.19 -0.23 -0.31 -0.37

GROWTH RATE -0.10 -0.12 -0.08 -0.11 -0.15 -0.19 -0.23 -0.31 -0.37

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.400 1.400 1.544 1.678 1.803 1.918 2.026 2.067 2.066

GRR 0.681 0.681 0.751 0.817 0.877 0.934 0.986 1.006 1.006

NRR 0.673 0.674 0.744 0.809 0.870 0.927 0.980 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 16.7 15.7 14.8 13.8 13.0 12.3 11.6 10-8 10.0

.IMR - FEMALE 7.4 6.8 6.2 5.6 5.0 4.4 4.3 4.1 3.9

IMR - BOTH SEXES 12.1 11.4 10.6 9.8 .9.1 , 8.4 8.0 7.5 7.1

E(0) - MALE 72.86 73.18 73.48 73.81 74.11 74.43 74.73 75.06 75.39

E(0) - FEMALE 78.40 78.69 79.04 79.36 79.71 80.06 80.41 80.75 81.11

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 75.55 75.87 76.19 76.51 76.?3 77,17 77.49 77.83 78.17

DENMARK POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 138 136 135 134 135 135 1355-9 132 134 134 134 135 135 13510-14 132 131 134 134 135 135 13415-19 133 132 134 135 134 134 13420-24 159 136 135 134 134 134 13425-29 185 137 135 134 134 134 13430-34 197 130 133 133 133 134 134 gI'3 5 39 199 130 130 133 133 133 13340 '44 187 130 130 133 133 133 13345-49 186 155 133 133 132 132 13250-54 203 178 133 131 130 130 13055-59 176 184 123 126 126 127 12760-64 132 176 117 117 120 121 12165-69 108 150 108 lo9 til 111 11170-74 91 128 112 97 96 96 9675+ 138 194 212 159 156 156 156

TOTAL 2496 2360 2137 2077 2078 2079 2079

FEMALES

0-4 132 129 128 128 128 128 1285-9 126 128 128 128 128 128 128

10-14 127 125 128 128 128 128 12815-19 128 127 128 128 128 128 12820-24 153 131 129 128 128 128 12825-29 178 132 129 128 128 128 12830-34 190 126 128 127 128 128 12835-39 192 126 125 127 128 128 12840-44 180 127 126 128 128 128 12845-49 180 152 130 129 128 128 12850-54 198 175 131 128 127 127 12755-59 175 184 123 126 125 126 12660-64 138 182 122 121 123 124 12465-69 121 163 118 118 120 120 12070-74 111 149 131. 113 112 111 11175+ 209 276 317 243 235 234 234

TOTAL 2540 2430 2220 2129 2122 2121 2121

TOTAL M*F 5036 4790 4358 4206 4200 4200 4200

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 10 7 11.6 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 12.7 15.4 13.9 12.6 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE -0.20 -0.38 -0.14., ., -0.01 0.00 -0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 7.6 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8E(0) - BOTH SEXES 77.16 78.82 79.49 79.49 79.49 79.4T0TAL FERTILXTY 1.885 2.065 2.053 2.063 2.063 2.06

FINLAND POPULATION WITH NRR-I BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 165 161 153 149 149 152 155 156 154 152

5-9 165 165 161 153 149 149 152 154 156 154

10-14 154 165 165 161 152 148 149 152 154 155

15-19 180 154 165 165 161 152 148 148 151 154

20-24 196 180 154 165 .164 161 152 148 148 151

25-29 198 196 I8O 154 164 164 160 151 147 148

30-34 210 198 196 180 153 164 163 160 151 147

35-39 228 209 197 195 179 153 163 163 159 150

40-44 163 '" 26 208 196 194 178 152 162 162 158

45-49 143 161 224 206 194 192 176 150 160 160

50-54 132 140 * 157 219 201 190 188 173 148 158

55-59 130 126 134 151 211 194 183 182 167 143

60-64 107 121 118 126 142 198 183 173 172 158

65-69 77 95 108 106 113 128 179 165 157 156

70-74 66 64 79 91 89 95 108 151 140 134

75+ 77 86 90 103 119 126 135 150 191 205

TOTAL 2386 2448 2490 2518 2534 2542 2544 2537 2517 2483

FEMALES0-4 159 156 147 144 143 146 149 150 148 146

5-9 157 159 156 147 144 143 146 149 150 148

10-14 147 157 160 156 147 143 143 146 149 150

15-19 173 147 158 160 156 147 143 143 146 149

20-24 189 174 148 158 160 156 147 143 143 146 -

25-29 190 190 174 148 158 160 156 147 143 143

30-34 200 190 190 175 148 158 160 156 147 143

35-39 215 200 191 190 174 148 157 159 156 147

40-44 155 214 200 190 190 174 148 157 159 156

45-49 142 154 213 199 189 189 173 147 lb1 159

50-54 134 140 152 211 197 188 188 172 146 156

55-59 141 131 138 150 208 194 185 185 170 145

60-64 139 136 128 134 146 203 190 181 181 167

65-69 115 131 129 121 128 139 194 182 174 174

70-74 108 103 118 117 110 116 128 178 167 160

75+ 163 178 184 201 210 212 219 234 286 308

TOTAL 2522 2562 2586 2601 2609 2617 2627 2631 2623 2596

TOTAL M+F 4908 5010 5076 5119 5143 5159 5171 5168 5140 5079

DEATH RATE 9,4 9.8 10.1 10.6 11.1 11.4 12.0 12.9 14.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.35 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.06 0.05 -0.01 -0.11 -0.24

GROWTH RATE 0.4.1 0.26 0.17 0.09 0.06 0.05 -0.01 -0.11 -0.24

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.700 1.700 1.772 1.842 1.909 1.974 2.036 2.061 2.060

GRR 0.829 0.829 0.864 0.898 0.931 0.963 0.993 1.005 1.005

NRR 0.821 0.822 0.858 0.893 0.925 0.957 0.988 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 18.0 16.9 15.8 14.8 13.7 12.8 12.0 11.2 10.4

IMR - FEMALE 6.1 5.4 4,7 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7

IMR - BOTH SEXES 12.2 11.3 10.4 9.7 .9.1, 8.5 8.1 7.6 7.1

E(0) - MALE 72.43 72.78 73.13 73.48 73.83 74.19 74.53 74.87 75.22

E(0) - FEMALE 79.09 79.46 79.83 80.23 80.61 80.98 81.19 81.40 81.62

E(0) BOTH SEXES 75.68 76.04 76.40 76.77 77.14 77.50 77-78 78.06 78.34

NET -IGANTS-MALE 3. 5 -.. 0. 0. 0. 0.

NET V! GRANTS- FEMALE 3. 5. 0 O . . 0. O. O.

FINLAND POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 149 154 155 154 154 154 154

5-9 153 156 154 154 154 154 154

10-14 161 154 153 153 154 154 154

15-19 165 151 152 153 154 154 154

20-24 165 148 151 153 153 153 153

25-29 154 147 153 154 153 153 153

30-34 180 151 154 153 153 153 153 II

35-39 195 159 153 152 152 152 152

40-44 196 162 149 150 152 152 152

45-49 206 160 145 149 151 151 151

50-54 219 148 143 149 149 149 149

55-59 151 167 142 146 145 145 145

60-64 126 172 143 138 138 138 138

65-69 106 157 134 125 125 127 127

70-74 91 140 115 105 108 110 110

75+ 103 191 190 177 179 179 179

TOTAL 2518 2517 2388 2367 2374 2376 2376

FEMALES

0-4 144 148 148 147 147 147 147 oa

5-9 147 150 148 147 147 147 147

10-14 156 149 147 147 147 147 147

15-19 160 146 146 147 147 147 147

20-24 158 143 146 147 147 147 147

25-29 148 143 148 148 147 147 147

30-34 175 147 149 148 147 147 147

35-39 190 156 148 147 147 147 147

40-44 190 159 146 146 146 147 147

45-49 199 157 t43 145 147 147 147

50-54 211 146 142 147 146 146 146

55-59 150 170 144 147 145 144 144

60-64 134 181 150 143 142 142 142

65-69 121 174 148 136 136 137 137

70-74 117 167 136 124 127 1?8 128

75+ 201 286 297 273 270 269 269

TOTAL 2601 2623 2486 2438 2436 2436 2436

TOTAL M+F 5119 5140 4874 4805 4810 4812 4812

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 11.8 12.1 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 11.6 14.2 13.1 12.5 12.6 12.6

GROWTH RATE 0.02 -0.21 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 6.6 4.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3

E()- BOTH SEXES 77,45 78.91 79.50 79.50 79.50 79.50

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.961 2.059 2..058 2.S .05 2 058

FRANCE POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 030

MALES0-4 2013 1940 1927 1920 1905 1910 1923 1940 1938 1926

5-9 1895 2018 1942 1927 1919 1903 1908 1921 1938 1937

10-14 2108 1899 2019 1942 1926 1918 1902 1906 1919 1937

15-19 2135 2111 1899 2018 1940 1924 1916 1899 1904 1918

20-24 2195 2141 2112 1898 2016 1937 1920 1912 1896 1901

25-29 2152 2202 2144 2111 1897 2013 1933 1916 1908 1893

30-34 2163 2158 2204 2142 2109 1894 2008 1929 1912 1905

35-39 2200 2164 2156 2200 2137 2103 1888 2002 1924 1908

40-44 1560 2493 2156 2146 2190 2128 2094 1880 1994 1917

45-49 1533 1548 2173 2136 2127 2171 2110 2077 1866 1980

50-54 1597 1506 1520 2135 2099 2092 2136 2077 20416 1839

55-59 1522 1543 1455 1471 2067 2035 2029 2074 2019 1990

60-64 1382 1433 1454 1374 1390 1956 1928 1925 1970 1921

65-69 736 1248 1296 1318 1248 1265 1784 1761 1762 1807

70-74 769 620 1055 1099 1120 1063 1081 1528 1512 1517

75+ 1226 1196 1074 1345 1522 1637 1659 1690 2056 2244

TOTAL 27185 27917 28587 29181 29613 29949 30217 30438 30566 30538

FEMALES0-4 1925 1854 1841 1833 1817 1821 1832 1848 1845 1832

5-9 1808 1932 1859 1843 1834 1818 1821 1832 1848 1845

10-14 2014 1813 1935 1860 1843 1835 1818 1821 1832 1848

15-19 2048 2020 1816 1937 1861 1844 1834 1817 1821 1832

20-24 2112 2058 2026 1819 1938 1861 1843 1834 1817 1820

25-29 2090 2124 2065 2029 1821 1939 1861 1843 1834 1817

30-34 2093 2098 2128 2067 2029 1821 1938 1860 1842 1833

35-39 2069 2097 2100 2128 2066 2028 1820 1937 1859 1841

40-44 1438 2068 2095 27 9125 2063 2025 1817 1934 1857

45-49 1471 1433 2061 2087 2090 2118 2057 2020 1812 1930

50-54 1594 1459 1422 2046 2073 2077 2106 2045 2009 1803

55-59 1590 1571 1439 1404 2020 2049 2054 2083 2025 1990

60-64 1555 1549 1532 1406 1373 1979 2009 2015 %2045 1989

65-69 884 1480 1478 1465 1347 13i8 1902 1934 1942 1974

70-74 1037 803 1349 1352 1345 1240 1217 1759 1792 1803

75+ 2257 2138 1889 2215 2418 2544 2538 2522 2984 3294

TOTAL 27987 28498 29035 29587 30002 30357 30675 30987 31240 31307

TOTAL M+F 55172 56414 57623 58767 59615 60306 60891 61425 61806 61844

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 13.7 13,3 13.0 12.7 12.5 12.5 12:5 12.4 12.2

DEATH RATE 9.8 9.4 9.2 9.9 10.3 10.6 10.7 11.1 12.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.27 0.22 0.19 0.17 0.12 0.01

GROWTH RATE 0.45 . 0.42 0.39 0.29 0.23 0.19 0.i7 0.12 0.01

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.830 1.830 1.876 1.920 1.964 2.007 2.049 2.065 2.065

GRR 0.890 0.890 0.912 0.934 0.955 0.976 0.996 1.004 1.004

NRR 0.884 0.885 0.907 0.929 0.951 0.971 0.992 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 12.8 12.2 11.6 10.9 10.3 9.7 9.0 8.4 7.7

IMR - FEMALE 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4

IMR - BOTH SEXES 8.7 8.3 7.9 7.5 7.1, r 6.7 6.4 6.0 5.6

E(o) - MALE 74.19 74,46 74.73 75.00 75.28 75.55 75.82 76.09 76.37

E(0) - FEMALE 80.26 80.58 80.91 81.21 81.53 81.72 81.91 82.11 82.30

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 77.14 77.44 77.73 78.02 7S.32 78.55 78.78 79.02 79.25

NET F"JGANTS-MALE 5D. 55 28. 20. . . . .- - - _ -. 0 . 0 . O.

FRANCE POPULATION WITH NRRzi BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 1920 1938 1934 1930 1930 1930 19305-9 1927 1938 1930 1927 1928 1928 192810-14 1942 1919 1923 1925 1927 1927 192715-19 2018 1904 1918 1925 1926 1926 192620-24 1898 1896 19.19 1925 1924 1923 192325-29 2111 1908 1928 1923 1920 1919 191930-34 2142 1912 1926 1918 1915 1915 1916 gi'

35-39 2200 1924 1904 1908 1910 1912 191240-44 2146 1994 1884 1898 1904 1906 190645-49 2136 1866 1866 1889 1894 1893 189250-54 2135 2046 1856 1875 1870 1867 186655-59 1471 2019 1813 1827 1819 1816 181760-64 1374 1970 1742 1724 1727 1729 173165-69 1318 1762 1664 1573 1584 1590 159170-74 1099 1512 1353 1354 1370 1374 137475+ 1345 2056 2461 2252 2246 2244 2242

TOTAL 29181 30566 30019 29771 29795 29800 29800

FEMALES I-O0

0-4 1833 1845 1839 1835 1835 18355-9 1843 1848 1836 1834 1834 1835 1810-14 1860 1832 1830 1833 1834 1835 183515-19 1937 1821 1827 1834 1835 1835 183520-24 1819 1817 1832 1836 1835 1834 183425-29 2029 1834 1844 1838 1835 1834 183430-34 2067 1842 1846 1835 1832 1833 183335-39 2128 1859 1830 1828 . 1831 1832 183340-44 2097 1934 1417 1824 1830 1831 183145-49 2087 1812 1809 1824 1829 1828 182750-54 2046 2009 1817 1828 1822 1819 181855-59 1404 2025 1810 1814 1803 1801 180160-64 1406 2045 1797 1769 1767 1770 177165-69 1465 1942 1808 1699 1705 1711 171270-74 1352 1792 1579 1577 1590 1594 159375+ 2215 2984 3695 3399 3361 33 1 3349

TOTAL 29587 31240 30818 30406 30378 30375 30374

TOTAL M+F 58767 61806 60837 60177 60173 60175 60174

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 12.5 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 10.5 12.9 13.0 12.6 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.20 -0.06 -0.04, r -0.00 0.00 -0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 6.6 5.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0E(0) - BOTH SEXES 78.54 79.44 79.49 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 1.999 2 .064 2.06 2.064 2.064

GERMAN OEM. REP. POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 567 560 510 494 505 519 525 526 519 513

5-9 552 563 557 507 492 503 517 523 524 518

10-14 499 550 561 555 506 491 502 517 522 523

15-19 623 497 547 559 553 504 489 501 515 521

20-24 723 619 493 544 556 551 502 487 499 513

25-29 672 717 614 489 541 553 548 500 485 497

30-34 661 66r 711 609 486 538 550 545 498 483

35-39 454 654 660 705 605 483 534 547 542 495

40-44 568 'A 48 646 652 697 598 478 529 542 538

45-49 632 555 439 634 640 686 589 471 622 535

50-54 496 611 538 425 615 623 668 574 4t% 510

55-59 403 469 580 511 405 587 595 639 551 442

60-64 292 369 431 534 472 375 545 554 596 515

65-69 174 254 323 379 471 418 333 485 494 533

70-74 221 140 205 262 309 386 343 275 402 411

75+ 369 328 254 267 316 374 460 475 435 511

TOTAL 7906 8000 8068 8126 8170 8189 8181 8148 8106 8058

FEMALES0-4 545 538 490 474 485 497 502 502 496 490

5-9 523 543 537 489 473 484 497 502 502 495

10-14 473 522 543 537 489 473 484 497 502 502

15-19 593 472 521 542 536 488 473 484 497 502

20-24 689 592 471 520 541 536 488 473 483 496 -

25-29 636 687 590 470 519 540 535 487 472 483 0

30-34 626 634 684 588 469 518 539 534 486 471

35-39 440 623 631 682 586 467 517 538 533 485

40-44 vis 437 619 627 678 584 465 515 536 531

45-49 633 559 432 613 622 b7i 579 462 511 533

50-54 504 622 550 426 604 614 664 572 457 506

55-59 499 489 605 536 416 591 601 651 561 448

60-64 503 476 468 581 516 401 571 581 630 544

65-69 320 464 441 436 542 483 376 537 547 595

70-74 423 277 406 388 385 481 429 335 480 . 490

75+ 766 729 604 643 654 662 748 757 689 772

TOTAL 8738 8664 8592 8551 8516 8492 8469 8427 8383 8343

TOTAL M+F 16644 16664 16660 16677 16685 16681 16649 16575 16489 16402

DEATH RATE 13.3 12.3 i.6 12.0 12.5 12.9 13.5 13.5 13.4

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.01 -0.00 -0.04 -0.09 -0.10 -0.11

GROWTH RATE 0.02 -0.00 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.04 -0.09 -0.10 -0.11

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.800 1.800 1.856 1.910 1.963 2.014 2.064 2.083 2.082

GRR 0.874 0.874 0.901 0.927 0.953 0.978 1.002 1.011 1.010

NRR 0.853 0.856 0.885 0.913 0.940 0.965 0.990 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 32.0 29.4 27.1 25.0 23.0 21.3 19.9 18.5 17.2

IMR - FEMALE 14.7 12.8 11.2 9.8 8.7 8.0 7.4 6.9 6.4

IMR - BOTH SEXES 23.6 21.3 19.4 17.6 ,. 1, 14.9 13.9 12.9 12.0

E(0) - MALE 68.32 69.03 69.66 70.26 70.82 71.32 71.78 72.24 72.67

E(0) - FEMALE 75.24 76.01 76.66 77.21 77.68 78.05 78.37 78.65 78.92

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 71,68 72.42 73.06 73.64 74.15 74.5? 74.98 75.35 75.70

E T SfGRAN--MALE -_1. - . Oj. O. 0. O.

NET ?9!G"ANTS-FEMALE -3. -2. . 0. 0. 0. 0.

GERMAN OEM. REP. POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 494 519 522 523 522 522 5225-9 507 524 522 522 522 522 52210-14 555 522 518 520 521 521 52215-19 559 515 513 518 521 521 52120-24 544 499 509 518 521 521 52025-29 489 485 513 518 520 520 51930-34 609 498 517 518 518 518 518 I"35-39 705 542 514 513 515 517 51740-44 652 542 504 506 512 515 51645-49 634 522 485 500 509 512 51250-54 425 460 463 497 504 506 50555-59 511 551 460 488 491 492 49260-64 534 596 472 462 465 467 46865-69 379 494 428 416 422 428 43070-74 262 402 350 346 362 370 37275+ 267 435 537 550 595 603 606

TOTAL 8126 8106 7827 7913 8021 8055 8063

FEMALES0o

0-4 474 , 496 497 495 495 495 4955-9 489 502 498 495 494 494 49510-14 537 502 495 494 494 494 49515-19 542 497 491 493 494 495 49520-24 520 483 489 494 495 495 49525-29 470 472 494 496 495 495 49430-34 588 486 501 497 495 494 49435-39 682 533 500 494 493 494 49440-44 627 536 493 489 492 493 49445-49 613 511 478 486 492 493 49350-54 426 457 463 489 492 491 49055-59 536 561 470 490 488 486 48560-64 581 630 502 481 478 477 47765-69 436 547 481 458 458 460 46170-74 388 480 418 412 424 429 43075+ 643 689 820 847 899 9Q4 903

TOTAL 8551 8383 8089 8112 8178 8188 8188

TOTAL M+F 16677 16489 15917 16024 16199 16242 16252

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 12.4 12.6 12.8 12.7 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 12.9 14.1 12,6 12.2 12.5 12.6GROWTH RATE -0.05 -0.14 0.03' 0.04 0.01 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 14.5 10.0 6.3 4.9 4.9 4.9E(O) - BOTH SEXES 74.54 76.46 78.59 79.49 79.49 79.497TOAL FERTgLITY 2-007 2,077 2 07 2.0re 2S068 2.068

GERMANY, FEDERAL REP. OF POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 1501 1465 1425 1441 1388 1368 1388 1435 1440 1416

5-9 1504 1502 1464 1424 1440 1386 1366 1386 1433 1438

10-14 1731 1505 1502 1463 1423 1439 1385 1364 1385 1431

15-19 2495 1730 1504 1500 1462 1421 1436 1383 1362 1383

20-24 2683 2492 1728 1502 1497 1459 1417 1432 1379 1359

25-29 2408 2680 2487 1725 1499 1494 1454 1413 1428 1376

30-34 2194 2405 2673 2480 1721 1495 1489 1450 1409 1425

35-39 2039 2188 2396 2662 2471 1714 1489 1483 1445 1405

40-44 2197 '.027 2174 2380 2645 2456 1704 1481 1475 1437

45-49 2479 2170 2002 2148 2352 2616 2429 1687 1466 1462

50-54 1908 2423 * 2122 1959 2103 2305 2565 2384 1606 1441

55-59 1749 1831 2328 2041 1887 2027 2224 2478 2306 1604

60-64 1367 1633 1712 2180 1914 1771 1906 2095 2338 2179

65-69 823 1221 1461 1535 1958 1723 1598 1724 1899 2124

70-74 944 684 1017 1220 1285 1644 1450 1350 1461 1614

75+ 1366 1368 1182 1340 1575 1748 2111 2161 2122 2196

TOTAL 29389 29323 29178 29001 28620 28065 27413 26706 26005 25289

FEMALES0-4 1434 1396 1358 1373 1322 1302 1322 1365 1370 1345

5-9 1434 1437 1398 1359 1373 1322 1302 1321 1365 1369

10-14 1659 1437 1439 1399 1360 1374 1322 -4301 1321 1364

15-19 2375 1662 1439 1440 1400 1360 1373 1321 1301 1321

20-24 2538 2381 1665 1440 1441 1400 1359 1373 1321 1301

25-29 2261 2544 2383 1667 1442 1442 1399 1358 1372 1320 on

30-34 2110 2264 2544 2382 1667 1442 1440 1398 1357 1371

35-39 1923 2110 2262 2540 2379 1665 1439 1438 1397 1356

40-44 2074 i5if 2 03 2255 2533 2373 1116 435 1394

45-49 2351 2060 1905 2090 2241 2519 2361 1653 1430 1430

50-54 1846 2322 2036 1884 2068 2219 2495 2340 1639 1419

55-59 1889 1808 2275 1997 1850 2032 2183 2458 2307 1618

60-64 2020 1824 1747 2202 1936 1796 1976 2126 2397 2253

65-69 1318 1896 1715 1647 2080 1833 1704 1880 2028 2291

70-74 1607 1172 1690 1534 1478 1874 1657 1547 1712 1853

75+ 2786 2809 2486 2742 2773 2759 3092 3121 3065 3190

TOTAL- 31626 31039 30445 29951 29342 28711 28086 27438 26816 26194

TOTAL M+F 61015 60362 59623 58952 57962 56776 55498 54144 52822 51483

DEATH RATE 12-1 12.1 12.0 12.9 13.6 14.3 15.3 15.6 15.8

RATE OF NAT. INC. -0.25 -0.27 -0.24 -0.35 -0.42 -0.46 -0.49 -0.50 -0.51

GROWTH RATE -0.22 -0.25 -0.23 -0.34 -0.41 -0.46 -0.49 -0.49 -0.51

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.250 1.250 1,435 1.604 1.758 1.898 2.025 2.073 2.072

GRR 0.607 0.607 0.697 0.779 0.853 0.921 0.983 1.006 1.006

NRR 0.599 0.599 0.689 0.771 0.846 0.914 0.977 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 17.8 16.8 15.9 14.9 14.0 13.1 12.3 11.6 10.8

IMR - FEMALE 8.1 7.5 6.8 6.2 5.5 4.7 4.3 4.2 4.0

IMR - BOTH SEXES 13.1 12.3 11.5 10.7 *9.8 9.0 8.5 8.0 7.5

E(0) - MALE 72.48 72.81 73.10 73.43 73.75 74.08 74.40 74.71 75.03

E(0) - FEMALE 78.00 78.32 78.69 79.07 79.44 79.83 80.21 80.52 80.84

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 75<16 75.40 75.02 7616 76.51 75.e7 77.22 77.53 77.e5

NET MIGRANTS-MALE 10. 30. 20. 15. O. 0. 0. 0. 0.

GERMANY, FEDERAL REP. OF POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 1441 1440 1423 1417 1416 1416 1417

5-9 1424 1433 1413 1412 1414 1416 1416

10-14 1463 1385 1399 1411 1415 1415 1415

15-19 .. * 1500 1362 1397 1414 1415 1414 1414

20-24 1502 1379 1409 1418 1414 1412 1411

25-29 1725 1428 1430 1415 1409 1408 1409

30-34 2480 1409 1421 1403 1403 1405 1407 '35-39 2662 1445 1371 1388 1400 1403 1404

40-44 2380 1475 1344 1382 1399 1400 1399

45-49 2148 1466 1353 1387 1395 1391 1389

50-54 1959 1656 1383 1391 1377 1370 1370

55-59 2041 2306 1328 1348 1331 1331 1333

60-64 2180 2338 1296 1241 1257 1267 1271

65-69 1535 1899 1214 1122 1154 1168 1169

70-74 1220 1461 1042 981 1006 1012 1009

75+ 1340 2122 2309 1689 1653 1645 1645

TOTAL 29001 26005 22532 21820 21858 21877 21878

FEMALES 0o

0-4 1373 1370 1349 1342 1341 1342 1342

5-9 1359 1365 1341 1339 1341 1342 1342

10-14 1399 1321 1330 1338 1342 1342 1342

15-19 1440 1301 1329 1342 1343 1342 1342

20-24 1440 1321 1344 1348 1344 1342 1341

25-29 1667 1372 1368 1348 1341 1341 1341

30-34 2382 1357 1363 1340 1338 1340 1341

35-39 2540 1397 1318 1328 1336 1340 1341

40-44 2255 1435 1q97 1327 1339 1341 1340

45-49 2090 1430 1413 1339 1342 1338 1336

50-54 1884 - 1639 1356 1356 1336 1330 1329

55-59 1997 2301 1328 1339 1316 1314 1316

60-64 2202 2397 1340 1274 1284 1292 1295

65-69 1647 2028 1327 1213 1240 1252 1253

70-74 1534 1712 1224 1145 1167 1170 1166

75+ 2742 3065 3480 2579 2474 2451 2448

TOTAL 29951 26816 23408 22296 22226 22218 22215

TOTAL M+F 58952 52822 45939 44117 44084 44094 44093

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 9,9 11.3 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 14.3 16.8 14.0 12.6 12.6 12.6

GROWTH RATE -0.44 -0.56 -0.16' -0.00 0.00 -0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 9.0 6.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0

E - BOTH SEXES 71S.85 78.49 79.49 79.49 79.49 79.49

TOTAL FERTLITY .855 2.07 2.068 2.058 2.068 2.068

GREECE POPULATION WITH NRR' i Y 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 362 342 347 350 351 350 349 350 351 350

5-9 374 363 342 347 349 350 350 348 350 350

10-14 365 375 363 342 346 349 350 349 348 349

15-19 404 365 375 363 342 345 348 349 349 347

20-24 378 405 365 374 361 341 344 347 349 348

25-29 359 380 405 365 373 360 340 343 346 348

30-34 333 360 379 404 364 371 359 338 342 345

35-39 326 333 359 378 402 362 370 358 337 341

40-44 274 o25 332 357 376 400 360 368 456 335

45-49 308 271 321 328 353 371 395 356 364 352

50-54 322 301 265 314 321 346 364 388 319 358

55-59 298 309 290 255 303 309 334 352 3 5 338

60-64 220 278 289 271 240 284 291 314 332 354

65-69 170 197 249 260 244 216 257 263 285 301

70-74 163 141 164. 208 218 205 182 217 223 242

75+ 219 228 218 230 270 299 305 292 313 329

TOTAL 4873 4974 5064 5147 5212 5259 5296 5333 5367 5389

0-4 348 328 332 335 336 335 333 335 335 334

5-9 351 350 329 332 335 336 335 333 334 335

10-14 343 352 350 329 332 335 336 335 333 334

15-19 380 344 353 350 329 332 334 336 334 333

20-24 357 383 346 353 350 329 332 334 335 334

25-29 350 360 384 346 353 350 328 332 334 335 00

30-34 325 352 361 384 346 353 349 328 331 334 Ln

35-39 336 326 352 361 384 345 352 349 327 331

40-44 292 336 325 351 360 382 344 351 348 327

45-49 340 290 334 324 349 356 342 3413 34 4G

50-54 348 336 287 330 320 346 354 377 340 347

55-59 327 341 330 282 324 315 340 349 371 335

60-64 244 316 330 319 273 315 306 331 340 362

65-69 210 229 298 312 302 259 299 291 316 325

70-74 205 187 205 267 280 273 235 272 265 288

75* 307 334 336 353 416 463 486 470 494 505

TOTAL 5062 .5165 5252 5330 5389 5424 5445 5464 5489 5506

TOTAL M+F 9935 / 10139 10316 10476 10600 10683 10741 10797 10856 10895

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 13.5 a 13.4 13.3 13.2 13.0 12.9 12,8 12.8 . 12.7

DEATH RATE 10.2 10.4 10.4 10.8 11.5 11.8 11.8 11.7 12.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.33 0.31 0.29 0.24 0.15 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.07

GROWTH RATE 0.41 0.35 0.31 0.24 0.15 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.07

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.900 1.900 1.933 1.965 1.997 2.029 2.060 2.072 2.071

GRR 0.925 0.925 0.941 0.956 0.972 0.987 1.002 1.008 1.008

NRR 0.914 0.914 0.931 0.947 0.962 0.978 0.994 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 17.4 16.7 15.9 15.2 14.5 13.7 13.0 12.2 11.5

IMR - FEMALE 7.5 7.2 6.9 6.6 . 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.1

IMR - BOTH SEXES 12.6 12.1 11.5 11.0 -19.1 r 10.0 9.4 8.9 8.4

E(0) - MALE 72.62 72.89 73.16 73.44 73.72 74.00 74.28 74.57 74.86

E(0) - FEMALE 78.32 78.60 78.88 79.16 79.44 79.73 80.02 80.32 80.62

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 75.39 75 67 75.94 76,22 76.50 76.7q 77.08 77.37 77.66

NlET NIGRANTS-MALE 20 10,0 00. 0.

NET !IG,ANTS-FEMALE 20. fo. 5 0.

GREECE POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 350 351 351 351 351 351 3515-9 347 350 350 351 351 351 35110-14 342 348 350 351 351 351 35115-19 363 349 349 350 350 350 35020-24 374 349 349 350 350 350 35025-29 365 346 348 349 349 349 34930-34 404 342 347 348 349 349 349 1"35-39 378 337 344 347 348 348 34840-44 357 356 344 346 347 347 34745-49 328 364 341 343 344 344 34450-54 314 349 334 338 339 340 34055-59 255 375 322 329 330 331 33160-64 271 332 302 311 314 315 31565-69 260 285 292 287 289 289 28970-74 208 223 257 248 249 250 25075+ 230 313 404 400 405 407 408

TOTAL 5147 5367 5384 5399 5417 5422 5423

FEMALES01

0-4 335 335 334 334 334 334 3345-9 332 334 334 334 334 334 33410-14 329 333 334 334 334 334 33415-19 350 334 334 334 334 334 33420-24 353 335 334 334 334 334 33425-29 346 334 334 334 334 334 33430-34 384 331 334 334 334 334 33435-39 361 327 332 334 334 334 33440-44 351 348 3 33 334 334 334 33445-49 324 349 333 333 333 333 33350-54 330 340 330 331 331 331 33155-59 282 371 323 328 328 328 32860-64 319 340 313 321 323 323 32365-69 312 316 320 311 312 312 31270-74 267 265 297 290 290 290 290

353 494 596 604 609 610 610

TOTAL, 5330 5489 5518 5526 5532 5533 5533

TOTAL M+F 10476 10856 10902 10924 10949 10965 10956

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 12.9 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 11.5 12.5 12.6 12.5 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.14 0.02 0.01' 0.01 0.00 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 9.2 6,7 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4E(0) - BOTH SEXES 76.80 78.26 79.43 79.49 79.49 79.4970TAL FERTILITV 2.023 2.0" 2,OS3 2.,C53 2.06? 2.053

,' , � , , . � ;

ICELAND POPULATION WITH NRRa9 ВУ 2020 (THOl9SAN®S)

AGE GROUP � 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES '

О -4 � 11 /1 11 10 11 11 11 11 11 , 115-9 11 11 19 11 10 11 11 11 11 11

10°14 11 11 11 11 11 10 11 11 11 1115°19 11 11 11 11 1/ 99 10 11 11 1120-24 12 11 91 11 11 11 11 10 11 1125-29 11 12 11 11 91 11 11 11 10 11ЗО - Э4 10 11 12 11 19 11 11 1t 11 10

35° Э9 9 .10 18 12 11 i1 11 11 11 1140-44 Т 9 10 11 12 11 11 11 � 11 11 �

45-49 5 7 9 10 10 11 10 10 10 t050-54 6 5 � 7 8 9 10 11 10 /fi ' 1055-59 5 ' 6 5 6 8 9 10 11 10 10

60-64 5 5 5 4 6 8 9 9 10 965-69 4 4 4 5 4 5 7 8 9 9

70-74 2 Э ° 4 4 4 3 5 6 7 775+ 4 З 4 ° 5 5 6 6 6 8 9

TOTAL 121 128 1Э 4 1Э9 144 149 154 158 161 163

EEF8ALE5О-4 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 105-9 10 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

10°94 10 10 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 1015° 19 10 10 10 9 1 1 1 10 10 10 10 10

20-24 /1 10 10 10 11 11 10 10 10 10 �25°29 10 11 10 10 10 91 11 90 10 10 и

30- Э4 9 10 11 10 10 10 11 11 10 1035-39 8 9 10 11 .10 10 10 11 11 10en_ ле б д 9 10 11 10 10 90 11 11

45-49 5 6 8 9 10 99 10 10 10 1150-54 6 5 6 8 9 10 11 10 10 1055-59 5 6 5 6 8 9 10 11 10 1060-64 5 5 6 5 '6 8 9 10 11 1065-69 4 5 5 6 5 6 7 8 9 1070-74 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 7 8 9

75+ 5 6 7 7 � 8 9 9 9 11 1Э

TOTAL 120 127 1ЭЭ 138 143 148 15 Э 158 162 165

TOTAL M+F 241 255 267 27 В 288 298 Э07 Э 16 323 Э28 ,

RELATE® YNDICATORS �6I12TF1 ItATE 17,9 16,5 15. 1 14.7 14.6 14.3 1 Э :8 13.3 . 12.9DEATFI RATE 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.5 7.7 8.0 8.2 8.9 9.8(iATE OF ИАТ . INC. 1.10 0.95 0.7 В 0.72 0.69 О .63 0.56 0.44 0. Э 1 ,GROWT1i RATE 1.10 0.95 0.78 0.72 0.69 О .63 0.56 0.44 0.31TOTAI. FERTILITY 2,200 2.100 2.000 2.017 2.033 2.049 2.065 2.072 2.071GRR - 1.067 1.018 0.970 0.978 0.986 0.994 1.002 1.005 1.004NRf2 1.060 1.012 0.964 0.972 0.980 0.989 0.997 1.000 1.000IPAR - ИlALE 13.4 9�2.7 t2, 1 11 .5 10.9 10.2 9.6 9.0 8.4

I1�IR - FEIИALE 4.3 4. 2 4. 1 4.0 3.9 , 3.8 3. 7 3.6 3.5

I1NR - 60Tk1 SEXES 9.0 8.6 8. 3 7 е9 � 7. 5 � � 7. 1 6. 7 6. 4 6.0Е� О ) - д�lА� Е 73.97 74,24 74.49 74.76 75.0 Э 75.30 75.58 75. В2 76.10ERO � ° ЕЕ9УЯА� . Е 80.21 80.4Э 80.66 80,88 81.11 81.36 81.58 81.81 82.04EQ09 - 8®TI-B SE1( ГS 76.99 DB.24, 77. �18 77 � 7�3 771.9 г� 721.2� 1 7®. �1 � + 78.7Э 7+� .9F

ICELAND POPULATION WITH NRR-l BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

SUMMARY FOR 25-YEAR PERIDDS

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 10 11 11 11 11 11 11

5-9 11 11 11 11 11 11 11

10-14 11 11 11 11 11 11 11

15-19 11 11 11 11 11 11 11

20-24 11 it 11 11 11 11 11

25-29 11 10 11 11 11 11 11

30-34 11 11 11 11 11 11 11

35-39 12 11 11 11 11 11 11

40-44 11 11 11 15 11 11 11

45-49 10 10 10 11 11 11 11

50-54 a 10 10 10 11 11 11

55-59 6 40 10 10 10 10 10

60-64 4 10 10 10 10 10 10

65-69 5 9 9 9 9 9 970-74 4 7 a 8 a 8 a75+ 5 a 12 12 13 13 13

TOTAL 139 161 167 167 168 168 168

FEMALES0000

0-4 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

5-9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

10-14 11 10 10 10 10 10 10

15-19 11 10 10 10 10 10 10

20-24 io 10 io 10 10 10 10

25-29 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

30-34 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

35-39 11 11 10 10 10 10 10

40-44 10 11 10 10 10 10 10

45-49 9 10 10 10 10 10 10

50-54 a 10 10 10 10 10 1055-59 6 10 10 10 10 10 10

60-64 5 11 10 10 10 10 10

65-69 6 9 10 10 10 10 10

70-74 4 a 9 9 9 .9 975+ 7 11 la 19 19 19 19

TOTAL 138 162 170 170 170 170 170

TOTAL M+F 278 323 336 337 338 338 338

RELÅTED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 14.1 12ý8 12.6 12.6 12ý6 12.6

DEATH RATE 8.1 11ý2 12.5 12.5 12.6 12.6

GROWTH RATE 0,61 0.16 0-01, 0.01 0.00 0.00

IMR BOTH SEXES 0,0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

EM BOTH SEXES 78ý25 79.33 79.48 79ý48 79.43 79.48

T07AL FERTRIITY 2,047 2,C7C 2. ^1 7(D 9.071,1 2.070

IRELAND POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 164 162 168 163 166 165 164 165 165 165

5-9 177 163 162 167 162 165 165 164 164 165

10-14 180 176 162 161 167 162 165 165 164 164

15-19 173 179 175 161 161 166 162 165 164 164

20-24 163 171 177 174 161 160 166 162 165 164

25-29 135 161 170 176 174 160 160 165 161 164

30-34 122 133 160 169 176 173 160 159 165 161

35-39 114 120 132 158 168 175 172 159 159 164

40-44 91 "112 119 131 157 167 174 171 158 158

45-49 80 89 111 117 129 156 165 172 169 157

50-54 77 78 87 108 115 127 152 162 199 166

55-59 71 .73 74 84 104 111 122 147 156 163

60-64 71 66 68 70 78 98 104 115 139 147

65-69 60 63 59 61 63 71 88 94 104 126

70-74 53 49 52 49 51 52 59 74 79 88

75+ 58 66 69 73 73 75 77 83 98 110

TOTAL 1785 1862 1944 2023 2104 2183 2256 2322 2379 2425

FEMALES0-4 157 155 159 155 158 157 156 156 156 157

5-9 168 156 154 159 155 157 157 156 156 156

10-14 173 167 155 154 159 154 157 157 156 156

15-19 166 172 167 155 154 159 154 157 157 156

20-24 156 165 171 166 155 154 159 154 157 157 Fl

25-29 131 154 163 170 166 155 153 159 154 157 Co

30-34 117 130 153 163 170 165 154 153 158 154

35-39 107 116 129 153 162 169 165 154 153 158

40-44 87 106 115 128 152 162 169 164 154 152

45-49 77 86 105 114 127 151 160 lks 16J 1*3

50-54 75 76 85 103 112 125 149 159 166 162

55-59 72 73 74 83 101 110 123 146 156 163

60-64 76 69 70 71 80 98 107 119 142 151

65-69 66 70 64 66 67 75 92 101 113 135

70-74 60 58 62 57 58 59 67 83 91 102

75+ 83 91 95 101 100 102 104 112 130 148

TOTAL 1767 1843 1921 1996 2075 2152 2228 2299 2363 2417

TOTAL M+F 3552 3705 3865 4018 4179 4335 4483 4620 4742 4842

DEATH RATE 8.8 8.6 8.3 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.2 8.7 9.4

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.90 0.90 0.81 0.78 0.73 0.67 0.60 0. 2 0.42

GROWTH RATE 0.84 0.84 0.78 0.78 0.73 0.67 0.60 0.52 0.42

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.400 2.200 2.000 2.019 2.038 2.056 2.074 2.082 2.080

GRR 1.165 1.068 0.971 0.980 0.989 0.998 1.007 1.011 1.010

NRR 1.140 1.049 0.956 0.967 0.977 0.986 0.996 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 21.0 18.2 15.8 15.1 14.4 13.8 13.2 12.6 12.0

.IMR - FEMALE 11.8 10.3 9.1 8.3 7.7 7.3 6.9 6.6 6.2

IMR - BOTH SEXES 16.5 14.4 12.5 11.8 A1.1 10.6 10.1 9.7 9.2

E(o) - MALE 71.43 72.35 73.13 73.37 73.62 73.86 74.10 74.35 74.59

E(0) - FEMALE 76.41 77.01 77.51 77.91 78.25 78.58 78.91 79.24 79.58

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 73.85 74.61 75.26 75.57 75.87 76.15 76.43 76.72 77.02

NET kvGRANTS-MALE -5. -5. -3. 0. 3. O. 0. 0. 0.

NET WIG,ANTS-FEMALE -5. -5. -3. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.

IRELAND POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 163 165 165 165 165 165 1655-9 .167 164 165 165 165 165 165

10-14 161 164 165 165 165 165 165

15-19 161 164 164 165 165 165 165

20-24 174 165 164 164 164 164 164

25-29 176 161 163 164 164 164 164

30-34 169 165 163 164 164 164 164 I"

35-39 158 159 162 163 164 164 16440-44 131 158 162 163 163 163 163

45-49 117 169 161 161 162 162 162

50-54 108 169 155 159 159 160 160

55-59 84 156 155 154 155 155 155

60-64 70 139 141 146 148 148 148

65-69 61 104 129 135 136 136 136

70-74 49 79 118 116 117 117 117

75+ 73 98 174 185 190 191 192

TOTAL 2023 2379 2507 2533 2545 2548 2549

FEMALES

0-4 155 156 156 156 156 156 156

5-9 159 156 156 156 156 156 156

10-14 154 156 156 156 156 156 156

15-19 155 157 156 156 156 156 156

20-24 166 157 156 156 156 156 156

25-29 170 154 156 156 156 156 156

30-34 163 158 156 156 156 156 156

35-39 153 153 155 156 156 156 156

40-44 128 154 156 156 156 156 156

45-49 114 163 156 156 156 156 156

50-54 103 166 152 155 155 155 155

55-59 83 156 154 153 153 153 154

60-64 71 142 145 150 151 151 15165-69 66 113 139 145 146 146 146

70-74 57 91 136 135 136 136 136

75+ 101 130 245 273 284 245 285

TOTAL 1996 2363 2532 2573 2586 2588 2588

TOTAL M+F 4018 4742 5038 5106 5132 5136 5137

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 14.8 13.2 12.8 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 8.2 10.7 12.2 12.4 12.6 12.6

GROWTH RATE O66 O24 0.05, 0.02 0.00 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 9,2 6.2 4.3 3.1 3.t 3.1E()- BOTH SEXES 76.17 77.62 79.10 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 3 277 2.070 2.0 n68 2 068

ITALY POPULATION WITH NRR.1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 1613 1535 1579 1682 1673 1607 1568 1598 1631 1638

5-9 1862 1611 1533 1577 1680 1671 1605 1566 1596 1630

10-14 2199 1860 1610 1532 1576 1678 1670 1604 1565 1595

15-19 2317 2196 1858 1608 1530 1574 1676 1668 1602 1563

20-24 2319 2312 2191 1854 1604 1526 1570 1673 1665 1599

25-29 2070 2313 2306 2185 1849 1600 1522 1567 1669 1661

30-34 1952 2064 2307 2300 2179 1844 1596 1519 1563 1666

35-39 2054 ,i 45 2057 2299 2292 2172 1838 1591 1515 1559

40-44 1722 '042 1935 2046 2287 2281 2162 1830 1 84 1509

45-49 1852 1705 2021 1916 2026 2266 2261 2144 1815 1572

50-54 1731 1816 1673 1985 1882 1992 2229 2225 21fil 1789

55-59 1665 1671 1755 1618 1921 1823 1931 2163 2161 2052

60-64 1500 1567 1574 1655 1528 1816 1726 1831 2053 2053

65-69 889 1354 1417 1426 1502 1389 1654 1575 1673 1880

70-74 1017 749 1144 1200 1210 1279 1185 1414 1350 1437

75+ 1209 1372 1260 1504 1678 1782 1894 1887 2066 2117

TOTAL 27971 28113 28218 28386 28417 28299 28087 27853 27619 27320

FEMALES0-4 1533 1459 1501 1598 1589 1525 1487 1515 1546 1552

5-9 1766 1533 1459 1501 1598 1589 1525 1487 1515 1546

10-14 2086 1766 1533 1459 1501 1597 1588 1525 1487 1515

15-19 2209 2086 1766 1533 1458 1500 1597 1588 1524 1486

20-24 2219 2209 2085 1765 1532 1458 1500 1597 1588 1524

25-29 2002 2219 2208 2085 1764 1532 1457 1499 1596 1587

30-34 1904 2001 2217 2207 2083 1763 1531 1456 1499 1595 "

35-39 2025 1902 1999 2215 2204 2081 1762 1529 1455 1498

40-44 1751 2020 1897 1994 2210 2200 2077 1759 1527 1453

45-49 1910 1741 2010 1889 1ub 2202 2192 2071 1?53 i523

50-54 1810 1892 1726 1993 1874 1972 2187 2178 2058 1744

55-59 1787 1780 1862 1700 1966 1850 1948 2161 2155 2037

60-64 1745 1736 1731 1814 1659 1921 1810 1907 2119 2114

65-69 1102 1653 1648 1648 1732 1588 1842 1737 1834 2041

70-74 1328 994 1496 1498 1504 1586 1458 1696 1604 1697

75+ 1981 2198 2056 2407 2626 2775 2942 2943 3158 3219

TOTAL 29157 29187 29195 29305 29286 29138 28902 28649 28418 28132

TOTAL M+F 57128 57299 57414 57691 57703 57438 56989 56502 56037 55452

DEATH RATE 10.0 10.5 10.6 11.4 11.9 12.3 12.8 13.0 13.6

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.05 0.04 0.09 0.00 -0.09 -0.16 -0.17 -0.17 -0.21

GROWTH RATE 0.06 0.04 0.10 0.00 -0.09 -0.16 -0.17 -0.17 -0.21

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.460 1.460 1.590 1.711 1.826 1.932 2.033 2.071 2.070

GRR 0.708 0.708 0.771 0.830 0.886 0.938 0.986 1.005 1.005

NRR 0.703 0.703 0.766 0.825 0.881 0.933 0.981 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 12.9 12.3 11.8 11.2 10.6 10.0 9.4 8.9 8.3

IMR - FEMALE 5.2 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.5

IMR - BOTH SEXES 9.2 8.5 8.1 7.8 .7,.4 , 7,0 6.7 6.3 6.0

E(O) - MALE 74.16 74.40 74.65 74.89 75.14 75.39 75.63 75.88 76.14

E(0) - FEMALE 79.59 79.96 80.31 80.68 81.03 81.27 81,51 81.75 82.00

E - BOTH SEXES 76.79 77.10 77.39 77.70 78.00 76.24 78.48 78.73 78.98

NET MIGRANTS-MALE ..8. 5. 3. . 0. D. O. O. O.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE a. 5. 3. . . O. 0. 0. 0.

ITALY POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 210

0-4 1682 1631 1616 1617 1619 1620 1620

5-9 1577 1596 1608 1616 1619 1619 (619

10-14 1532 1565 1612 1620 1620 1618 1618

15-19 1608 1602 1625 1623 1618 1616- 1616

20-24 1854 1665 1632 1618 1613 1613 1614

25-29 2185 1669 1622 1607 1608 1610 1611

30-34 2300 1563 1586 1597 1606 1609 1609 I'35-39 2299 1515 1552 1599 1607 1607 1605

40-44 2046 1584 1584 1608 1605 1601 1599

45-49 1916 1815 1638 1606 1592 1588 1588

50-54 1985 2111 1623 1577 1563 1564 1566

55-59 1618 2161 1482 1504 1515 1523 1526

60-64 1655 2053 1371 1405 1448 1455 1455

65-69 1426 1673 1321 1323 1342 1340 1336

70-74 1200 1350 1314 1188 1165 1155 1152

75+ 1504 2066 2530 1921 1876 1877 1881

TOTAL 28386 27619 25714 25029 25017 25017 25016

FEMALES

0-4 1598 1546 1529 1530 1532 1533 1533

5-9 1501 1515 1522 1531 1533 1533 1533

10-14 1459 1487 1527 1535 1534 1533 1533

15-19 1533 1524 1542 1538 1534 1533 1533

20-24 1765 1588 1551 1536 1532 1532 1532

25-29 2085 1596 1545 1528 1529 1532 1532

30-34 2207 1499 1514 1521 1530 1532 1532

35-39 2215 1455 1485 1525 1533 1533 1532

40-44 1994 1527 1521 1539 1535 1531 1530

45-49 1889 1753 1581 1545 1530 1525 1525

50-54 1993 2058 1582 1531 1515 1516 1518

55-59 1700 2155 1472 1487 1495 1503 1506

60-64 1814 2119 1406 1435 1474 1482 1482

65-69 1648 1834 1427 1422 1438 1435 1431

70-74 1498 1604 1526 1378 1347 1334 1330

75* 2407 3158 3772 2901 2799 2792 2796

TOTAL 29305 28418 26501 25484 25391 25379 25378

TOTAL M+F 57691 56037 52214 50513 50408 50396 50394

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 11.1 11.7 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 12.3 14.5 13.8 12.7 12 6 12.6

GROWTH RATE -0.12 -0.28 -0,13. r -0.01 -0.00 -0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 6.9 5.3 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 7823 79.33 79.48 79.4S 79.48 79.48

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.910 2.09s 2.069 2.045 29 69 2.069

LUXEMBOURG POPULATION WITH'NR41'BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 11 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 10

5-9 11 11 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10

10-14 .11 1 1 10 10 9 9 9 10 10

15-19 14 11 Il 11 10 10 9 9 9 10

20-24 14 14 11 Il i 10 9 9 9 9

25-29 15 14 14 Il I 11 10 9 9 9

30-34 15 15 14 14 i 11 10 9 9

35-39 14 15 15 14 14 11 11 i 10 9

40-44 13 a14 15 15 14 13 11 11 11 10

45-49 12 13 13 14 14 13 13 10 10 10

50-54 13 12 12 13 14 14 13 13 jo l 10

55-59 Il -12 i1 12 13 14 14 13 13 10

60-64 8 10 11 10 11 12 13 13 12 12

65-69 6 7 9 10 9 10 11 I1 12 11

70-74 6 5 6 7 8 8 8 9 10 10

75+ 7 8 7 8 9 i 11 12 13 14

TOTAL 179 179 179 178 177 175 172 169 166 163

FEMALES0-4 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

5-9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

10-14 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9

15-19 13 i1 10 10 10 9 9 9 - 9 9

20-24 14 13 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 ·

25-29 is 14 13 i 10 10 10 9 9 9

30-34 14 15 14 13 11 10 10 10 9 9

35-39 13 14 Is 14 13 i 10 10 10 9

40-44 12 13 . 14 Is 14 13 i1 10 10 10

45-49 i2 i2 13 13 11 io io

50-54 12 12 12 13 14 15 14 13 11 10

55-59 12 12 12 11 12 13 14 13 12 11

60-64 11 1i 11 il i 12 13 14 13 12

65-69 7 10 i1 11 10 10 Il 12 13 12

70-74 9 6 9 10 9 9 9 10 1i 12

75+ 13 14 13 14 15 16 17 17 18 19

TOTAL 187 186 185 183 181 179 176 174 171 168

TOTAL M+F 366 365 364 362 358 354 349 343 338 331

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 11.1 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.5 10.8 11,1 11.2 11.3

QEATH RATE 11.4 11-5 11.5 12.2 13.1 13.7 14.1 14.6 15.2

RATE OF NAT. INC. -0.03 -0.11 -0.11 -0.19 -0.26 -0.29 -0.30 -0.34 -0.39

GROWTH RATE -0.03 -0.11 -0.11 -0.19 -0.26 -0.29 -0.30 -0.34 -0.39

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.460 1.460 1.590 1.711 1.825 1.932 2.032 2.071 2.069

GRR 0.710 0.710 0.773 0.832 0.888 0.940 0.988 1.007 1.007

NRR 0.699 0.700 0.763 0.822 0.878 0.931 o.980 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 24.4 21.0 18.2 15.8 14.9 14.0 13.1 12.3 11.6

IMR - FEMALE 9.7 8.7 8.0 7.4 6.8 6.0 5.3 4.5 4.3

IMR - BOTH SEXES 17.3 15.0 13.2 11.7 ,11.Q , 10.1 9.3 8.5 8.0

E(0) - MALE 70.42 71.43 72.35 73.13 73.43 73.75 74.08 74.40 74.73

E(O) - FEMALE 77.26 77.71 78.08 78.40 78.74 79.14 79.54 79.93 80.33

E(O) - BOTH SEXES 73.75 74.48 75.13 75.69 76:01 76.37 76.73 77.09 77.45

LUXEMBOURG POPULATION WITH NRRa1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 9 10 10 10 10 10 105-9 10 10 10 10 10 10 1010-14 10 10 10 10 10 10 1015-19 1... t 9 9 10 10 10 1020-24 11 9 9 10 10 10 1025-29 11 9 10 10 10 10 1030-34 • 14 9 10 10 10 10 1035-39 14 10 9 9 10 10 1040-44 15 11 9 9 9 10 1045-49 14 10 9 9 9 9 950-54 13 10 9 9 9 9 955-59 12 13 9 9 9 9 960-64 10 12 9 9 9 9 965-69 10 12 9 8 8 8 870-74 7 10 7 7 7 7 775+ 8 13 13 11 11 11 11

TOTAL 178 166 151 148 148 149 149

FEMAL ES

0-4 9 9 9 9 9 9 95-9 9 9 9. 9 9 9 910-14 10 9 9 9 9 9 915-19 10 9 9 9 9 9 920-24 10 9 9 9 9 9 925-29 11 9 9 9 9 9 930-34 13 9 9 9 9 9 935-39 14 10 9 9 9 9 940-44 15 10 9 9 9 9 945-49 14 10 9 9 9 9 950-54 13 11 9 9 9 9 955-59 11 12 9 9 9 9 960-64 11 13 9 9 9 9 965-69 11 13 9 8 8' 9 970-74 10 11 8 8 8 .8 875+ 14 18 20 17 17 1 7 17

TOTAL 183 171 156 151 151 151 151

TOTAL M+F 362 338 307 299 300 30 300

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 10.8 11.7 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 13.5 15.6 13.5 12.5 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE -0.27 -0.39 -0.10. r 0.00 0.00 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0E(O) BOTH SEXES 76.37 78.11 79.42 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 1.904 2, 2.COSA 2. 0642 2,064

NETHERLANDS POPULATION WITH NRR-i BY 2020

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 431 444 440 444 429 419 424 438 441 435

5-9 457 432 445 440 444 428 418 423 437 441

10-14 539 458 433 445 440 443 428 418 423 437

15-19 628 540 458 433 444 439 443 427 418 423

20-24 648 630 540 458 431 443 438 442 426 417

25-29 621 651 631 540 456 430 442 437 441 425

30-34 596 623 652 630 538 455 429 441 436 440

35-39 627 597 623 650 628 536 453 428 439 435

40-44 481 : 625 594 620 646 624 533 451 426 437

45-49 418 477 619 588 613 640 618 529 447 422

50-54 380 410 468 607 577 602 629 608 52Tt 44055-59 348 366 395 451 586 558 583 609 590 505

60-64 323 326 344 372 425 553 527 551 577 559

65-69 251 290 294 311 336 385 502 480 503 527

70-74 202 210 244 248 262 285 327 428 410 431

75+ 259 280 297 333 355 379 410 460 564 607

TOTAL 7207 7360 7478 7568 7611 7620 7605 7568 7497 7381

FEMALESO-4 4II 424 420 423 408 398 403 416 419 413

5-9 437 413 425 420 423 408 398 403 416 419

10-14 517 438 414 425 420 423 408 398 403 416

15-19 601 518 439 414 425 420 423 408 398 403

20-24 618 603 520 440 414 425 420 423 408 398

25-29 595 621 605 520 439 414 425 420 423 407

30-34 567 597 622 605 520 439 414 424 419 422 L.35-39 587 568 597 621 604 519 439 413 424 419

40-44 446 586 567 596 620 603 518 438 413 424

45-49 394 444 584 565 593 618 601 517 437 411

50-54 376 390 440 579 5ne bu9 6ia 597 5i3 434

55-59 366 370 385 434 571 553 582 606 590 508

60-64 362 356 360 375 423 558 540 569 594 579

65-69 299 343 338 343 358 405 534 518 547 572

70-74 265 270 311 308 313 327 371 491 478 506

75+ 438 464 485 534 561 584 612 669 807 879

TOTAL 7277 7407 7512 7601 7652 7682 7701 7710 7688 7610

TOTAL M+F 14484 14766 14990 15169 15263 15302 15305 15278 15186 14991

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 12.0 i1.7 11.6 11.1 10.8 10.9 11.3 11.4 11.3

DEATH RATE 8.8 9.1 9.4 9.9- 10.3 10.9 11.6 12.6 13.9

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.32 0.26 0.22 0.12 0.05 0.01 -0.04 -0.12 -0.26

GROWTH RATE 0.39 0.30 0.24 0.12 0.05 0.01 -0.04 -0.12 -0.26

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.460 1,460 1.590 1.711 1.825 1.932 2.032 2.070 2.070

GRR 0.709 0.709 0.772 0.831 0.886 0.938 0.986 1.005 1.005

NRR 0.704 0.704 0.767 0.826 0,881 0.933 0.981 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 14.6 13.7 13.0 12.4 11.7 11.1 10.4 9.7 9.1

IMR - FEMALE 4.8 4,4 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6

IMR - BOTH SEXES 9.8 9.2 8.8 8.4 8.0 7.6 7.2 6.8 6.4

E(0) - MALE 73.54 73.83 74.11 ' 74.38 74.68 74.95 75.22 75.52 75.80

E(0) - FEMALE 79.81 80.08 80.36 80.61 80.88"l 81.16 81.41. 81.68 81.88

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 76.58 76.87 77.14 77.40 77.69 77.96 78.22 78.51 78.75

NET MIGRANTS-MALE 30. 18. 6. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. O.

NET MEGRANTS-FEMALE 20. t2. A, 0. Q. 0. 0. 0.

NET MIGRATION RATE 0.7 0.4 0. . Q.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0

NETHERLANDS POPULATION WITH NRR=l BY 2020

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 444 441 435 434 433 434 434

5-9 440 437 432 432 433 433 433

10-14 445 423 429 432 433 433 43315-19 433 418 429 433 433 433 433

20-24 458 426 433 434 433 432 432

25-29 540 441 438 433 431 431 431

30-34 630 436 434 429 430 430 43135-39 650 439 419 426 429 430 430

40-44 620 426 413 425 429 429 42845-49 588 447 419 427 427 426 425

50-54 607 520 428 426 421 419 41955-59 451 590 413 412 407 407 408

60-64 372 577 397 380 385 388 389

65-69 311 503 354 345 355 358 35870-74 248 410 323 304 309 310 309

75+ 333 564 664 518 506 504 504

TOTAL 7568 7497 6862 6690 6695 6697 6697

FEMALES

0-4 423 419 412 411 411 411 411

5-9 420 416 410 410 410 411 411

10-14 425 403 407 410 411 411 41115-19 414 398 408 411 411 411 41120-24 440 408 413 413 411 411 411

25-29 520 423 418 412 410 410 410

30-34 605 419 415 409 409 410 410

35-39 621 424 402 407 409 410 410

40-44 596 413 397 407 410 410 41045-49 565 437 406 411 411 409 409

50-54 579 513 419 415 409 407 40755-59 434 590 412 408 402 402 40360-64 .375 594 410 389 393 396 397

65-69 343 547 385 372 381 384 384

70-74 308 478 379 354 358 358 35775+ 534 807 1002 787 756 750 749

TOTAL 7601 7688 7096 6824 6804 6801 6800

TOTAL M+F 15169 15186 13958 13514 13499 13499 13498

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 11.1 11.6 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 11.0 15.0 13.7 12.6 12.6 12.6

GROWTH RATE 0.00 -0.34 -0.13 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 7.1 5.2 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7E(0) - BOTH SEXES 77.96 79.18 79.49 ''' 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY i.905 2.069 2.068 2.068 2.068 2.068

NORWAY POPULATION WITH NRR=i BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 129 128 129 132 129 127 127 130 131 130

5-9 135 130 128 129 132 129 127 127 130 131

10-14 160 136 130 128 130 132 129 127 127 129

15-19 172 161 136 130 129 129 132 129 127 127

20-24 162 173 161 137 131 128 129 131 129 126

25-29 160 164 175 163 137 131 128 129 131 128

30-34 157 162 165 175 163 137 130 128 128 131

35-39 164 .158 162 165 175 162 136 130 127 128

40-44 130 164 158 162 165 175 162 136 129 127

45-49 103 129 163 157 161 163 173 160 135 128

50-54 98 101 127 160 154 158 161 170 Id 133

55-59 105 95 98 123 155 149 153 156 165 153

60-64 112 99 89 92 116 146 141 145 148 157

65-69 98 101 89 81 84 106 133 129 132 135

70-74 78 83 85 76 69 71 90 114 110 113

75+ 100 109 117 124 121 114 113 127 153 164

TOTAL 2065 2092 2114 2135 2150 2158 2164 2166 2159 2141

FEMALES0-4 123 122 123 126 124 121 121 124 125 124

5-9 128 124 123 124 126 124 121 121 124 125

10-14 152 129 125 123 124 126 124 121 121 124

15-19 162 153 129 125 123 124 126 124 121 121

20-24 154 163 154 130 125 123 124 126 124 121 Ff

25-29 152 156 164 154 130 125 123 124 126 124 .

30-34 149 153 156 165 155 130 125 123 124 126

35-39 153 150 154 156 165 155 130 125 123 124

40-44 !23 l_i Is 153 156 165 154 130 125 123

45-49 100 123 153 149 153 156 164 154 130 125

50-54 96 99 122 152 148 152 155 163 153 129

55-59 105 95 98 120 150 146 150 153 161 151

60-64 120 102 92 96 117 146 143 147 150 158

65-69 111 114 98 88 91 112 140 138 142 145

70-74 96 101 104 89 81 84 103 130 127 131

75+ 160 170 180 190 183 174 172 188 220 238

TOTAL 2088 2108 2124 2141 2153 2164 2177 2191 2195 2187

TOTAL M+F 4153 4200 4239 4276 4302 4321 4341 4357 4354 4328

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 12.0 12.0 12.2 11.9 11.6 11.6 11..7 11.8 . 11.8

DEATH RATE 10.8 10.9 11.0 11.0 10.7 10.7 11.0 11.9 13.0

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.07 -0.01 -0.12

GROWTH RATE 0.22 0.18 0.17 0.12 0.09 0.09 0.07 -0.01 -0.12

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.620 1.620 1.711 1.797 1.880 1.960 2.035 2.065 2.064

GRR 0.788 0.788 0.832 0.Q75 0.915 0.954 0.990 1.005 1.005

NRR 0.783 0.783 0.827 0.870 0.910 0.949 0.986 1.000 1.000

INR - MALE 13.0 12.4 11.9 11.4 10.8 10.3 9.8 9.3 8.7

IMR - FEMALE 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5

IMR - BOTH SEXES 8.8 8.4 8.1 7.8 7.4-' 7.1 6.8 6.5 6.2

E(0) - MALE 74.13 74.38 74.59 74.81 75.06 75.28 75.50 75.72 75.95

E(0) - FEMALE 80.08 80.36 80.63 8088 81.16 81.43 81.68 81.84 82.01

E0) - BOTH SEXES 77.03 77,2 77.53 77.77 78M.03 78.27 78.51 78.70 78-90

NET MIGRANTS-MALE 12. 10. 0. O. O. O.

T0 a1 . 0. 0. 0. 0.

NORWAY POPULATION WITH NRR=I BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 132 131 130 129 129 129 129

5-9 129 130 129 129 129 129 129

10-14 128 127 129 129 129 129 129

15-19 130 127 129 129 129 129 129

20-24 137 129 129 129 129 129 129

25-29 163 131 130 129 129 129 129

30-34 175 128 129 128 128 129 129 I'

35-39 165 127 126 128 128 128 128

40-44 162 129 125 127 128 128 128

45-49 157 135 127 127 127 127 127

50-54 160 158 127 126 125 125 125

55-59 123 165 122 122 122 122 122

60-64 92 148 115 114 115 116 116

65-69 St 132 108 104 106 107 107

70-74 76 110 97 92 92 92 92

75+ 124 153 189 153 151 150 150

TOTAL 2135 2159 2040 1998 1999 1999 1999

FEMALES

O-4 126 125 123 123 123 123 123 -00

5-9 124 124 123 123 123 123 123

10-14 123 121 123 123 123 123 123

15-19 125 121 123 123 123 123 123

20-24 130 124 124 124 123 123 123

25-29 154 126 125 123 123 123 123

30-34 165 124 124 123 123 123 123

35-39 156 123 121 122 123 123 123

40-44 153 125 121 123 123 123 123

45-49 .149 130 123 123 123 123 123

50-54 152 153 125 124 122 122 122

55-59 120 161 122 121 121 121 121

60-64 96 150 119 117 118 119 119

65-69 88 142 117 113 115 115 115

70-74 89 127 113 107 107 107 107

75+ 190 220 279 232 226 225 225

TOTAL 2141 2195 2103 2045 2041 2040 2040

TOTAL M+F 4276 4354 4143 4043 4040 4039 4039

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 11.7 11.9 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 11.1 13.9 13.4 12.6 12.6 12.6

GROWTH RATE 0.07 -0,20 -0.10' -0.00 -0.00 -0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 3.9 3.9 3,9 3.9 3.9 3.9

E(0 - BOTH SEXES 7826 79.25 79.49 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 3941 2.064 2,063 2S,3 2.063 2.063

SPAIN POPULATION WITH NRR=l BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 1385 1425 1429 1474 1498 1465 1438 1446 1462 1471

5-9 1723 1385 1424 1428 1472 1496 1463 1436 1444 1461

10-14 1681 1723 1384 1423 1426 1471 1495 1462 1435 1443

15-19 1677 1680 1720 1382 1421 1424 1469 1493 1460 1434

20-24 1609 1675 1677 1717 1379 1417 1421 1466 1491 1458

25-29 1445 1607 1672 1673 1712 1375 1414 1418 1463 1488

30-34 1290 1443 1604 1668 1668 1708 1372 1411 1415 1460

35-39 1213 J287 1439 1598 1662 1663 1703 1368 1407 1412

40-44 1034 1207 1280 1431 1590 1654 1655 1695 1363 1402

45-49 1119 1023 1195 1267 1418 1575 1640 1642 1682 1353

50-54 1156 1098 1004 1173 1245 1394 1550 1614 16Y 1658

55-59 1030 1116 1060 971 1135 1206 1352 1504 1569 1573

60-64 838 , 968 1050 1000 917 1074 1142 1282 1429 1492

65-69 633 756 875 951 907 833 978 1043 1173 1310

70-74 522 532 638 740 807 772 711 837 895 1009

75* 622 703 756 865 1002 1128 1171 1152 1243 1341

TOTAL 18978 19627 20207 20762 21260 21656 21974 22270 22549 22766

FEMALES0-4 1326 1364 1367 1409 1431 1398 1372 1378 1393 1401

5-9 1615 1327 1364 1367 1409 1431 1398 1372 1378 1393

10-14 1606 1615 1327 1364 1367 1409 1431 1398 1372 1378

15-19 1601 1606 1616 1327 1364 1367 1409 1431 1398 1371

20-24 1550 1602 1607 1616 1327 1364 1366 1408 1430 1398

25-29 1415 1552 1603 1607 1615 1326 1363 1366 1408 1430

30-34 1265 1416 1552 1603 1606 1614 1326 1363 1365 1407

35-39 1220 1265 1415 1551 1601 1605 1613 1325 1362 1365

40-44 1036 123a 1262 i4i3 i548 1598 ic609 iri 123 1360

45-49 1150 1031 1213 1258 1408 1542 1593 1598 1606 1320

50-54 1205 1140 1023 1204 1249 1398 1533 1584 1589 1598

55-59 1099 1187 1124 1010 1189 1234 1382 1516 1568 1574

60-64 957 1071 1158 1098 987 1164 1209 1356 1488 1540

65-69 811 910 1021 1107 1052 947 1118 1163 1306 1436

70-74 728 736 829 934 . 1015 967 872 1032 1077 1212

75+ 1042 1191 1292 1438 1616 1793 1863 1830 1955 2073

TOTAL 19624 20232 20774 21306 21784 22158 22451 22730 23018 23257

TOTAL M+F 38602 39859 40981 42068 43044 43815 44425 45001 45567 46023

DEATH RATE 8.1 8.5 8.8 9.3 9.7 10.1 10.1 10.2 10.6

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.62 0.55 0.52 0.46 0.35 0.28 0.26 0.25 0.20

GROWTH RATE 0.64 0.56 0.52 0.46 0.35 0.28 0.26 0.25 0.20

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.950 1.850 1.850 1.901 1.950 1.999 2.046 2.064 2.064

GRR 0.949 0.900 0.900 0.925 0.949 0.973 0.995 1.004 1.004

NRR 0.943 0.895 0.895 0.920 0.944 0.968 0.991 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 13.3 12.6 12.0 11.3 10.6 9.9 9.2 8.5 7.8

IMR - FEMALE 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4

IMR - BOTH SEXES 8.9 8.5 8.1 7.7 '7.3- 6.9 6.5 6.1 5.7

E(0) MALE 74.00 74.30 74.57 74.86 75.15 75.44 75.74 76.04 76.34

E(0) - FEMALE 80.18 80.56 80.93 81.15 81.37 81.59 81.81 82.04 82.27

E(0) - B0TH SEXES 77.01 77.34 77.66 '7.92 78.-1 73-4 78.69 78.96 79.22

NET KjGRANTS-MALE v?. 1. . . o. O. 0. O.

-rCT .7nn-7~mC,CCk-A rS 4tZ r,C.\ 0.

SPAIN POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 1474 1462 1459 1461 1463 1463 1463

5-9 1428 1444 1457 1462 1462 1462 1462

10-14 1423 1435 1461 1463 1462 1461 1461

15-19 1382 1460 1467 1463 1460 1460 1460

20-24 1717 1491 1466 1458 1457 1457 1457

25-29 1673 1463 1454 1451 1453 1455 1455

30-34 1668 1415 1435 1447 1452 1453 1453

35-39 1598 1407 1424 1449 1451 1450 1450

40-44 1431 1363 1445 1452 1447 1445 1444

45-49 1267 1682 1467 1443 1435 1434 1434

50-54 1173 1617 1423 1414 1411 1414 1415

55-59 971 1569 1342 1361 1373 1377 1378

60-64 1000 1429 1274 1289 1312 1314 1313

65-69 951 1173 1137 1206 1212 1208 1206

70-74 740 895 1220 1064 1047 1041 1040

75+ 865 1243 1860 1697 1692 1697 1699

TOTAL 20762 22549 22790 22581 22590 22591 22591

0FEMALES >

0-4 1409 1393 1389 1391 1392 1392 1392

5-9 1367 1378 1387 1392 1393 1392 1392

10-14 1364 1372 1392 1394 1393 1392 1392

15-19 1327 1398 1399 1395 1392 1392 1392

20-24 1616 1430 1401 1392 1391 1391 1392

25-29 1607 1408 1392 1388 1390 1391 1392

30-34 1603 1365 1377 1386 1391 1392 1391

35-39 1551 1362 1370 1390 1392 1391 1391

40-44 1413 1323 1q95 1396 1392 1390 1389

45-49 1258 1606 1424 1395 1387 1385 1386

50-54 1204 1589 1395 1380 1376 1378 1379

55-59 1010 1568 1341 1353 1362 1367 1367

60-64 1098 1488 1316 1324 1344 1346 1345

65-69, 1107 1306 1237 1304 1306 1301 1299

70-74 934 1077 1400 1242 1216 1209 1207

75+ 1438 1955 2769 2561 2536 2538 2541

TOTAL 21306 23018 23386 23084 23052 23048 23048

TOTAL M+F 42068 45567 46175 45664 45642 456i9 45639

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 13.1 12.4 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 9.9 11.9 13.0 12.6 12.6 12.6

GROWTH RATE 0.32 .0.05 -0.04, -0.00 -0.00 -0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 6.7 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2

E(o) - BOTH SEXES 78 44 79.44 79.49 79.49 79.49 79.49

TOTAL FERTILITY 1993 2 .03 2.06? 2.063 2.063 2.063

SWEDEN POPULATION WITH NRR=l BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 241 237 236 241 238 235 234 238 240 239

5-9 252 241 237 236 241 238 234 234 238 240

10-14 287 252 242 238 236 241 238 234 234 238

15-19 302 287 252 242 237 235 240 238 234 234

20-24 293 302 287 252 241 237 235 240 237 234

25-29 287 294 303 287 252 240 4236 234 239 237

30-34 301 287 294 303 287 251 240 236 234 239

35-39 344 ,0lot 287 293 302 286 250 239 235 234

40-44 313 343 300 286 292 300 284 249 438 234

45-49 241 :110 340 297 283 289 298 282 248 237

50-54 216 1 236 305 334 292 279 285 293 2111 244

55-59 221 208 228 295 323 283 271 277 285 271

60-64 237 208 196 216 279 306 268 257 263 272

65-69 208 214 188 178 196 254 279 246 236 242

70-74 174 175 181 159 152 167 217 240 211 203

75+ 235 249 258 269 259 249 257 301 342 344

TOTAL 4148 4144 4134 4125 4109 4091 4068 4038 3994 3940

FEMALES0-4 229 226 224 229 227 223 222 226 227 226

5-9 240 229 226 225 229 227 223 222 226 227

10-14 273 240 230 227 225 229 227 223 222 226

15-19 285 273 241 230 227 225 229 227 223 222

20-24 280 286 275 242 230 227 225 229 226 223 925-29 274 281 287 275 241 230 226 225 229 226 0

30-34 287 275 282 288 275 241 230 226 224 229

35-39 326 287 275 282 288 275 241 230 226 224

A4-44 292 6287 97i 282 287 275 241 230 226

45-49 232 291 324 286 274 281 286 274 240 229

50-54 216 230 288 322 284 272 279 285 272 239

55-59 229 212 227 285 318 281 269 276 282 270

60-64 252 223 207 221 278 311 275 264 271 277

65-69 229 239 212 198 212 267 299 265 255 262

70-74 207 208 218 194 182 195 247 277 246 237

75+ 356 374 386 404 397 384 390 439 495 504

TOTAL 4202 4200 4191 4184 4169 4155 4143 4128 4096 4049

TOTAL M+F 8350 8344 8325 8309 8278 8246 8212 8166 8090 7989

DEATH RATE 11.8 12,0 12.0 12.1 11.9 12.0 12.5 13.5 14.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. -0.06 -0.08 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.08 -0.11 -0.19 -0.25

GROWTH RATE -0.01 -0.05 -0.04 -0.07 -0.08 -0.08 -O.it -0.19 -0.25

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.650 1.650 1.735 1.816 1.894 1.969 2.041 2.069 2.068

GRR 0.801 0.801 0.842 0.882 0.920 0.956 0.991 1.004 1.004

NRR 0.796 0.796 0.837 0.877 0.915 0.951 0.986 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 12.8 12.1 11.4 10.7 10.0 9.3 8.5 7.8 7.1

IMR - FEMALE 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.3

IMR - BOTH SEXES 8.7 8.2 7.8 7.4 ,7Q r 6.5 6.1 5.7 5.3

E(0) - MALE 74.21 74.51 74.81 75.11 75.41 75.72 76.02 76.33 76.64

E(0) - FEMALE 80.26 80.58 80.88 81.21 81.46 81.71 81.97 82.23 82.50

E(O) - 89TH SEXES 77.15 77.46 77,76 78.07 78.35 78.63 78.91 79.20 79.49

fE7 UfG.%NTS-MALE 10. 13. 5. 0. r. 1j. 0. 0. 0.

kCr : r I C C In A O. 0. 0. 0. 0.

SWEDEN POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 21S0

0-4 241 240 238 238 238 238 238

5-9 236 238 237 237 238 238 238

10-14 238 234 237 237 238 238 238

15-19 242 234 237 238 238 237 237

20-24 252 237 238 238 237 237 237

25-29 287 239 239 237 237 237 237

30-34 303 234 236 236 236 236 236 ,I'

35-39 293 235 232 235 236 236 236

40 44 286 238 232 235 235 235 235

45[ 49 297 248 234 234 234 233 233

50-54 334 278 233 232 230 230 230

55-59 295 285 222 224 224 224 224

60-64 216 263 213 210 213 213 213

65-69 178 236 199 193 196 196 196

70-74 159 211 180 169 170 170 169

75+ 269 342 340 281 277 276 276

TOTAL 4125 3994 3746 3674 3674 3674 3674

FEMALES

0-4 229 227 226 225 225 225 225

5-9 225 226 225 225 225 225 225

10-14 227 222 224 225 225 225 225

15-19 230 223 225 226 225 225 225

20-24 242 226 226 226 225 225 225

25-29 275 229 227 225 225 225 225

30-34 288 224 226 225 225 225 225

35-39 282 226 222 224 225 225 225

40-44 275 230 22 225 225 225 225

45-49 286 240 226 225 225 224 224

50-54 322 272 227 225 223 223 223

55-59 285 282 221 222 221 221 221

60-64 221 271 219 215 217 217 218

65-69 198 255 215 208 210 210 210

70-74 194 246 209 197 196 196 196

75+ 404 495 509 423 413 41i 411

TOTAL 4184 4096 3848 3740 3731 3730 3730

TOTAL M+F 8309 8090 7594 7414 7405 7464 7404

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 11.3 11.9 12.5 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 12.4 14.4 13.4 12 6 12.6 12.6

GROWTH RATE -0.11 -0 25 -0.10 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 5.6 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 76.63 79.49 79.49 79.49 79 49 79,49

TOTAL FERTILITY q.954 2.06e 2,06 2.. P-06p 2.068

SWITZERLAND POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030MALES0-4 183 189 185 182 176 174 178 183 184 181

5-9 185 183 189 184 182 176 174 178 183 18310-14 212 185 182 189 184 182 175 174 178 18315-19 252 212 184 182 188 184 182 175 174 17720-24 261 252 211 184 182 188 184 181 175 17325-29 236 261 251 211 183 181 188 183 181 17530-34 233 235 260 250 210 183 181 187 183 18135-39 258 232 234 259 249 209 182 180 187 18240-44 243 '257 231 233 257 248 208 182 180 18645-49 206 240 254 228 231 255 246 207 180 17850-54 193 202 236 249 224 227 251 242 2Q 4

i 17855-59 172 186 195 228 241 217 220 243 235 19860-64 157 161 175 183 215 227 206 209 231 22465-69 121 141 145 158 166 195 207 188 191 21370-74 104 101 l18 122 133 141 166 177 161 16575+ 142 148 149 164 176 191 206 234 259 261

TOTAL 3160 3184 3199 3206 3198 3178 3153 3124 3085 3039FEMALES

0-4 175 181 176 174 167 166 169 174 174 1715-9 176 175 181 176 174 167 166 169 174 174

10-14 200 176 175 181 176 174 167 166 169 17415-19 239 200 176 175 181 176 174 167 166 16920-24 249 239 200 176 175 181 176 174 167 16525-29 236 249 239 200 176 175 180 176 173 167 030-34 237 236 249 239 200 176 175 180 176 17335-39 251 237 236 249 239 200 176 175 180 17640-44 235 251 237 - 235 248 238 199 175 174 18045-49 204 234 250 236 235 248 238 199 175 17450-54 196 203 232 248 234 233 246 236 198 17455-59 188 193 200 229 245 231 231 244 234 19660-64 179 183 189 195 225 240 227 226 239 23065-69 142 171 175 181 187 216 231 218 218 23170-74 136 129 156 160 166 172 199 214 203 20375+ 252 257 254 277 296 312 328 362 396 408

TOTAL 3298 3314 3324 3331 3322 3303 3281 3255 3217 3167

TOTAL M+F 6458 6499 6523 6537 6519 6482 6434 6378 6302 6206

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 11.5 11.2 11.0 10.6 10.5 10.8 11.2 11.4 11.3DEATH RATE 10.3 10.4 10.6 11.2 11.7 12.3 13.0 13.8 14.4RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.13 0.08 0.04 -0.05 -0.12 -0.15 -0.17 -0.24 -0.31GROWTH RATE 0.13 0.08 0.04 -0.05 -0.12 -0.15 -0.17 -0.24 -0.31TOTAL FERTILITY 1.550 1.550 1.658 1.760 1.857 1.948 2.035 2.069 2.068GRR 0.752 0.752 0.805 0.854 0.901 0.946 0.988 1.004 1.004NRR 0.748 0.748 0.800 0.850 0.897 0.941 0.984 1.000 1.000IMR - MALE 15.0 13.8 12.8 11.8 10.9 9.9 9.0 8.1 7.1IMR - FEMALE 4.2 4,1 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3IMR - BOTH SEXES 9.8 9.1 8.5 8.0 .7.4- 6.9 6.3 5.8 5.3E(0) - MALE 73.40 73.81 74.21 74.61 75.00 75.41 75.81 76.23 76.64E(0) - FEMALE 80.46 80.68 81.03 81.27 81.51 81.75 82.00 82.25 82.50

-O) BOTH SEXES 76.83 77?,4 77.52 77.84 78.k6 78.49 78.?l 79.15 79.49

SWITZERLAND POPULATION WITH NRR=t BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 182 184 181 180 180 180 180

5-9 184 183 180 180 180 180 180

10-14 189 178 179 180 180 I8O 180

15-19 182 174 178 180 180 180 180

20-24 184 175 180 180 180 180 180

25-29 211 181 183 180 179 179 179

30-34 250 183 182 179 179 179 179

35-39 259 187 176 177 178 179 179

40-44 233 180 172 176 178 178 178

45-49 228 180 172 177 178 177 177

50-54 249 204 176 178 175 174 174

55-59 228 235 173 173 170 169 170

60-64 183 231 169 160 160 161 162

65-69 158 191 150 143 147 149 149

70-74 122 161 131 125 128 129 129

75+ 164 259 266 215 211 210 209

TOTAL 3206 3085 2848 2783 2785 2785 2785

FEMALES0

0-4 174 174 172 171 171 171 171

5-9 176 174 171 170 171 171 171

10-14 181 169 169 170 171 171 171

15-19 175 166 169 171 171 171 171

20-24 176 167 171 172 171 171 171

25-29 200 173 174 172 171 171 171

30-34 239 176 174 171 170 171 171

35-39 249 180 169 169 170 171 171

40-44 235 174 165 169 170 171 171

45-49 236 175 166 170 171 170 170

50-54 248 198 172 172 170 169 169

55-59 229 234 173 171 168 167 168

60-64 195 239 174 163 163 164 165

65-69 181 218 163 154 158 159 160

70-74 160 203 152 145 148 149 148

75+ 277 396 405 326 315 312 312

TOTAL 3331 3217 2939 2836 2829 2828 2828

TOTAL M+F 6537 6302 5787 5620 5614 5613 5613

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 10.9 11.7 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.6

DEATH RATE 12.4 15.1 13.6 12.6 12.6 12.6

GROWTH RATE -0.15 -0.34 -0.12, -0.00 -0.00 -0.00

IMR - BOTH SEXES 5.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2,8 2.8

E(O) - BOTH SEXES 78.49 79.49 79.49 79.49 79.49 79.49

TOTAL FERTILITY 1.927 2.068 2.068 2.068 2.068 2.068

UNITED KINGDOM POPULATION WITH NRR-i BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 1846 1831 1821 1781 1725 1720 1748 1783 1784 17615-9 1726 1834 1822 1815 1775 1721 1716 17 45 1781 178210-14 2005 1718 1827 1818 1811 1772 1718 1714 1743 177915-19 2278 1995 1711 1822 1813 1807 1768 1716 1712 174120-24 2327 2260 1982 1702 1814 1806 1801 1764 1711 170825-29 2082 2304 2243 1970 1693 1806 1799 1795 1759 170730-34 1921 2062 2288 2231 1960 1685 1798 1793 1790 175435-39 2072 102 2046 2274 2219 1950 1677 1791 1787 1784

40-44 1724 '1049 1884 2030 2258 2203 1938 1667 1782 177745-49 1615 1697 2021 1860 2005 2232 2179 1918 1651 176550-54 1531 1575 , 1658 1977 1821 1964 2188 2138 1841 162255-59 1523 1467 1513 1595 1904 1756 1896 2114 2068 1823

60-64 1540 1419 1372 1417 1496 1788 1651 1785 1994 195365-69 1191 1373 1271 1232 1274 1347 1613 1493 1618 isO70-74 1044 986 1145 1063 1032 1070 1134 1363 1264 1374

75+ 1237 1371 1409 1550 1566 1555 1585 1656 1872 1916

TOTAL 27664 27842 28014 28137 28167 28182 28209 28236 28197 28054FEMALES0-4 1764 1746 1733 1695 1642 1636 1662 1696 1696 16735-9 1641 1755 . 1740 1730 1692 1639 1634 1662 1696 1696

10-14 1899 1635 1751 1738 1728 1690 1638 1634 1662 169615-19 2170 1891 1629 1748 1735 1726 1689 1638 1634 166120-24 2236 2156 1882 1624 1743 1732 1723 1688 1637 1633 N25-29 2005 2219 2144 1875 1619 1739 1728 1722 1687 1636 030-34 1870 1990 2208 2137 1869 1614 1735 1727 1720 168635-39 2074 1858 1980 2200 2130 1864 1611 1733 1724 171840-44 1705 206 1847 1972 2191 2123 1858 1607 1729 172145-49 1585 1690 2044 1834 1958 2176 2111 !49 1g99 172150-54 1533 1563 1668 2020 1813 1938 2156 2091 1833 158655-59 1596 1499 1530 1635 1982 1781 1905 2122 2060 180760-64 1700 1538 1447 1480 1583 1922 1730 1853 2068 201065-69 1416 1592 1444 1362 1395 1496 1821 1642 1764 197270-74 1379 1255 1416 1289 1220 1254 1350 1647 1492 160875+ 2306 2354 2295 2407 2378 2319 2326 2420 2737 2804

TOTAL 28879 28802 28760 28743 * 28678 28650 28677 28730 28737 28629

TOTAL M+F 56543 56645 56774 56880 56845 56832 56886 56966 56934 56682

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 12.9 12.7 12.4 12.0 11.9 12.1 12.3 12.3 12.2DEATH RATE 12.0 il.9 11.8 12.0 11.9 11.9 12.1 12.4 13.1RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.03 -0.01 -0.09GROWTH RATE 0.04 0.05 . 0.04 -0.01 -0.00 0.02 0.03 -0.01 -0.09TOTAL FERTILITY 1.750 - 1.750 1.814 1.876 1.936 1.995 2.051 2.074 2.073GRR 0.850 0.850 0.881 0.911 0.940 0.968 0.996 1.007 1.006NRR 0.838 0.839 0.870 0.901 0.931 0.960 0.989 1.000 1.000IMR - MALE 18.8 16.3 15.5 14.6 13.8 13.1 12.4 11.8 11.1IMR - FEMALE 8.6 7.9 7.3 6.6 5.9 5.2 4.6 4.3 4.2IMR - BOTH SEXES 13.9 12.3 11.5 10.7 10.0 9.3 8.6 8.1 7.7E(0) - MALE 72.16 72.97 73.24 73.54 73.81 74.08 74.38 74.65 74.93E(0) - FEMALE 77.73 78.10 78.47 78.82 79.19 79.56 79.91 80.28 80.58E(O) - BOTH SEXES 74.86 7 5.45 75.78 75,10 75 2 76.7 77-06 77.38 77.67

NET 'IGRANTS-MALE - 7:7. -25. - - - . O. O.NET M1GRANTS-FEMALE -75 -50. -25. 20 . -10. 0. 0. 0.

UNITED KINGDOM POPULATION WITH NRR=1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 1781 1784 1771 1766 1765 1765 17655-9 1815 1781 1761 1761 1763 1764 1764

10-14 1818 1743 1747 1759 1762 1763 176315-19 1822 1712 1742 1761 1763 1762 176120-24 1702 1711 1752 1763 1761 1759 175825-29 1970 1759 1771 1761 1756 1755 175530-34 2231 1790 1766 1750 1750 1751 175235-39 2274 1787 1724 1733 1745 1748 174940-44 2030 1782 1688 1723 1742 1744 174345-49 1860 1651 1677 1724 1735 1733 173150-54 1977 1883 1701 1722 1713 1708 170755-59 1595 2068 1684 1674 1660 1660 166160-64 1417 1994 1598 1561 1569 1580 158365-69 1232 1618 1461 1408 1439 1454 145670-74 1063 1264 1167 1216 1251 1259 1257

75+ 1550 1872 2242 2056 2053 2049 2050

TOTAL 28137 28197 27250 27138 27225 27254 27258

FEMALESO

0-4 1695 1696 1679 1673 1671 1672 1672 ch5-9 1730 1696 1672 1669 1671 1672 167210-14 1738 1662 1661 1668 1671 1672 167215-19 1748 1634 1658 1671 1673 1672 167220-24 1624 1637 1672 1677 1674 1672 167125-29 1875 1687 1694 1679 1672 1670 167130-34 2137 1720 1693 1671 1668 1669 167035-39 2200 1724 1658 1659 1666 1669 167040-44 1972 1729 1628 1655 1668 1670. 166945-49 1834 1599 1d26 1665 1670 1667 166550-54 2020 1833 1666 1679 1664 1657 165655-59 1635 2060 1680 1664 1642 1639 164060-64 1480 2068 1650 1602 1604 1610 161465-69 1362 1764 1590 1521 1547 1559 156170-74 1289 1492 1358 1417 1451 14 6 145375+ 2407 2737 3293 3092 3068 3054 3050,

TOTAL 28743 28737 27879 27661 27680 27680 27678

TOTAL M+F 56880 56934 55129 54799 54905 54934 54936

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 12.1 12.3 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 12.0 13.6 12.8 12.5 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.00 -0. 13 -0.02, 0.01 0.00 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 9.2 6.8 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2E(0) - BOTH SEXES 76 74 78.26 79.42 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 1 932 2,074 2Oso 2.0,6 2 068 2.068

USSR POPULATION WITH NRR1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 12495 12274 11840 11746 11983 12244 12290 12149 12058 12085

5-9 11645 12375 12173 11755 11673 11917 12184 12237 12102 12016

10-14 10850 11595 12328 12132 11720 11641 11887 12156 12211 12079

15-19 10256 10790 11537 12272 12082 11675 11600 11849 12120 12178

20-24 12310 10167 10705 11455 12193 12010 11611 11541 11793 12067

25-29 12479 12184 10072 10616 11368 12108 11933 11542 11478 11733

30-34 10843 12342 12063 9982 10529 11283 12025 11858 11475 11417

35-39 8245 19700 12195 11933 9884 10435 11190 11933 11774 11401

40-44 6437 099 10527 12015 11771 9760 10313 11068 11413 11664

45-49 9636 6269 7903 10291 11763 11539 9579 10134 10887 11630

50-54 7151 9254 6035 7625 9947 11390 11191 9305 98f§6 10602

55-59 7376 6715 8715 5699 7217 9438 10829 10662 8880 9422

60-64 3720 6689 6112 7961 5222 6633 8698 10006 9875 8243

65-69 2402 3198 5778 5304 6936 4567 5823 7663 8843 8753

70-74 2530 1898 2542 4621 4264 5604 3709 4750 6276 7270

75+ 2665 2945 2664 3007 4647 5204 6460 5750 6191 7542

TOTAL 131039 137493 143189 148415 153198 157447 161322 164602 167633 170101

FEMALES0-4 12312 12059 11606 11488 11697 11934 11959 11801 11693 11703

5-9 11266 12280 12035 11587 11473 11685 11923 11949 11792 11685

10-14 10323 11252 12268 12025 11579 11467 11680 11917 11944 11788

15-19 9949 10306 11237 12254 12014 11571 11460 11673 11911 11938

20-24 11866 9923 10284 11218 12237 12000 11559 11449 11662 11901 ,

25-29 12016 11826 9896 10261 11i97 12218 11983 11544 11435 11649 Q

30-34 10588 11966 11786 9867 10236 11173 12195 11962 11525 11418

35-39 8300 10530 119il 11739 9834 10205 11143 12164 11934 11500

40-44 6776 8235 10459 11841 11677 9787 10161 11098 12118 11892

45-49 10366 6693 8146 10357 11735 11582 97i3 1^0. 11023 12040

50-54 8145 10167 6576 8015 10203 11573 11431 9593 9969 10898

55-59 9628 7901 9886 6408 7823 9972 11325 11197 9404 9780

60-64 6807 9169 7550 9475 6156 7531 9618 10938 10828 9103

65-69 4805 6264 8480 7013 8832 5755 7060 9036 10295 10208

70-74 5816 4153 5454 7429 6174 7807 5108 6287 8069 9216

75+ 7421 8344 7630 8346 10355 10509 14969 10666 10950 12593

TOTAL 146381 151068 155203 159323 163223 166770 170284 173360 176554 179312

TOTAL M+F 277420 288661 298392 307737 316421 324217 331606 337963 344187 349414

RELATED INDICATORSBIRTH RATE 17.8 16.5 15.8 15.6 15.4 15.1 14:6 14.2 . 13.9

DEATH RATE 9.9 9.8 .9.6 10.0 10.6 10.6 10.8 10.5 10.9

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.79 0.67 0.62 0.56 0.49 0.45 0.38 0.37 0.30

GROWTH RATE 0.79 0.67 0.62 0.56 0.49 0.45 0.38 0.37 0.30

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.290 2.255 2.220 2.186 2.152 2.119 2.086 2.073 2.072

GRR 1.118 1.100 1.083 1.067 1.050 1.034 1.018 1.012 1.011

NRR 1.087 1.075 1.062 1.048 1.034 1.020 1005 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 42.9 38.8 35.1 32.0 29.4 27.1 25.0 23.0 21.3

IMR - FEMALE 16.2 13.9 12.0 10.5 9.2 8.4 7.8 7.2 6.8

IMR - BOTH -SEXES 29.9 26.6 23.9 21.5 119.6 1 18.0 16.6 15.3 14.2

E(0) - MALE 65.70 66.67 67.56 68.32 69.03 69.66 70.26 70.82 71.32

E(0) - FEMALE 74.72 75.59 76.31 76.91 77.44 77.86 78.20 78.50 78.74

E(0) - BOTH SEXES 70.10 71.02 71.83 72.52 7?.13 73.65 74.14 74.57 74.94

NET MIGRANTS-MALE -15. -10. -5. '2 . 0. 0. 0. r.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE -15. -10. -5. 0. 0. 0. 0. Q.

USSR POPULATION WITH NRRI1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 11746 12058 12210 12288 12298 12294 122935-9 11755 12102 12210 12267 12286 12283 1228310-14 12132 12211 12184 12229 12273 12275 1227715-19 12272 12120 12092 12174 12258 12265 1226620-24 11455 11793 11962 12125 12244 12250 1224925-29 10616 11478 11880 12104 12222 12231 1222730-34 9982 11475 11907 12092 12189 12207 1220435-39 11933 11774 11965 12035 12131 12174 1217640-44 12015 11813 11808 11901 12045 12128 1213545-49 10291 10887 11380 11696 11933 12050 1205550-54 7625 9856 10871 11456 11771 11886 1189555-59 5699 8880 10485 11162 11470 11561 1157960-64 7961 9875 10104 10653 10898 10985 1102465-69 5304 8843 9135 9620 9935 10056 1012570-74 4621 6276 7095 7976 8485 8657 874275* 3007 6191 9486 12016 13659 14102 14250

TOTAL 148415 167633 176775 183795 188095 189403 189781

FEMALESO

0-4 11488 11693 11773 11776 11771 11767 11766 o05-9 11587 11792 11810 11780 11767 11764 1176410-14 12025 11944 11815 11767 11760 11762 1176415-19 12254 11911 11760 11744 11756 11762 1176420-24 11218 11662 11682 11736 11759 11764 1176325-29 10261 11435 11662 11759 11770 11764 1176130-34 9867 11525 11754 11793 11772 11759 1175635-39 11739 11934 11889 11788 11754 11747 1174940-44 11841 12t18 1lq26 11717 11721 11732 1173945-49 10357 11023 11524 11606 11687 11709 1171550-54 8015 9969 11201 11519 11656 11667 1166255-59 6408 9404 11116 11486 1i587 11567 1155460-64 9475 10828 11205 11392 11396 11362 1135565-69 7013 10295 10823 10904 10955 10958 1096970-74 7429 8069 8943 9830 10117 10188 1020775* 8346 10950 15281 19214 21133 214 1 21483

ITOTAL 159323 176554 186064 191812 194360 194735 194771

TOTAL M+F 307737 344187 362839 375606 382455 384138 384552

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 15.0 13.7 13.1 12.7 12.6 12.6DEATH RATE 10.5 11.6 11.7 12.0 12.4 12.5GROWTH RATE 0.45 0.21 0.14 .,., 0.07 0.02 0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 18.2 12.3 7.8 5.2 5.2 5.2E(0) - BOTH SEXES 73.63 75.76 78.04 79.50 79.50 79.50TOTAL FERTXLITY 2. 26 2.068 2.061 2.057 2.057 2.057

OTHER EUROPE POPULATION WITH NRR-1 BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

MALES0-4 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12

5-9 8 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 12 12

10-14 9 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 12

15-19 10 10 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 11

20-24 9 it 10 9 10 11 11 12 11 11

25-29 8 10. 11 10 10 11 11 12 12 11

30-34 9 9 10 12 tt 10 11 11 12 12

35-39 8 10 9 11 12 11 10 11 11 12

40-44 7 9 10 9 11 12 11 10 ,11 11

45-49 7 7 9 10 9 11 12 11 10 11

50-54 7 7 , 7 8 10 9 II 12 lt , 10

55-59 7 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 11 10

60-64 6 7 7 6 7 8 9 8 10 11

65-69 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9

70-74 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 6

75+ 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 a 9

TOTAL 125 131 137 143 149 154 159 164 167 169

FEMALES0-4 8 9 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11

5-9 8 9 10 10 11 10 10 11 11 11

10-14 9 8 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 11

15-19 9 10 9 9 10 11 tt 11 11 1120-24 9 10 10 9 9 10 11 11 11 11 o

25-29 8 10 10. 11 10 10 11 11 11 11 0

30-34 8 9 10 11 11 10 10 11 11 11

35-39 8 9 9 11 11 11 10 10 11 11

40-44 7 8 9 9 11 11 11 10 10 11

45-49 6 7 8 9 9 11 Ié fl 10 10

50-54 7 6 7 8 9 9 11 11 11 10

55-59 7 7 6 7 8 9 9 11 11 11

60-64 7 7 7 6 7 8 8 9 10 11

65-69 7 7 7 6 6 7 8 8 8 10

70-74 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 7 7 8

75+ 10 11 11 11 1 11 1 lO 11 12 13

TOTAL 128 133 139 144 149 154 159 165 169 172

TOTAL M+F 253 264 276 287 298 307 318 329 335 341

DEATH RATE 12.3 11.9 11.3 10.7 10.3 9.9 9.6 9.7 10.1

RATE OF NAT. INC. 0.24 0.35 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.40 0.44 0.41 0.34

GROWTH RATE 0.86 0.87 0.81 0.72 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.41 0.34

TOTAL FERTILITY 2.100 2.100 2.095 2.090 2.085 2.079 2.074 2.072 2.071

GRR 1.019 1.019 1.017 1.014 1.012 1.009 1.007 1.006 1.005

NRR 1.006 1.007 1.006 1.005 1.004 1.002 1.000 1.000 1.000

IMR - MALE 18.8 16.3 15.5 14.6 13.8 13.1 12.5 11.4 10.3

IMR - FEMALE 8.2 7.5 6.8 6.0 5.3 4.5 4.3 4.1 3.9

IMR - BOTH SEXES 13.7 12.0 11,3 10.4 '9.7 r 8.9 8.5 7.8 7.2

E(O) - MALE 72.16 72.97 73.24 73.54 73.81 74.08 74.35 74.80 75.25

E(M) - FEMALE 77.96 78.35 78.74 79.14 79.54 79.93 80.33 80.75 81.17

E( - 80TH SEXES 74.97 7l55&7 75.ý9 76.26 7 75.92 77.25 77.68 78.12

9 GA.N TS5 -M ALI E 4. 2.

NET MIGRANTS-FEMALE 4. 4 3. 3. 2. 0. 0.

OTHER EUROPE POPULATION WITH NRR=l BY 2020 (THOUSANDS)

AGE GROUP 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 2150

0-4 11 12 12 12 12 12 125-9 11 12 12 12 12 12 1210-14 10 11 it 12 12 12 1215-19 10 11 11 12 12 12 1220-24 9 11 12 12 12 12 1225-29 10 12 12 12 11 11 1130-34 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 it35-39 11 11 11 11 11 11 11

40-44 9 11 11 11 11 11 1145-49 10 10 11 11 11 11 1150-54 8 11 11 11 11 11 1155-59 7 11 11 11 11 11 1160-64 6 10 10 10 10 10 1065-69 6 8 9 9 9 10 1070-74 5 7 7 8 8 8 875+ 7 8 13 13 13 13 13

TOTAL 143 167 175 177 178 178 178

FEMALES

0-4 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 ¢5-9 10 .11 11 11 11 11 11

10-14 10 11 11 11 11 11 1115-19 9 11 11 11 11 11 1120-24 9 11 11 11 11 11 1125-29 11 11 11 11 1 1130-34 11 11 11 11 11 11 1135-39 11 11 11 11 11 11 1140-44 9 10 11 11 11 11 1145-49 9 10 11 11 11 11 I150-54 8 11 11 I1 Il I1 1155-59 7 11 t1 11 11 1 160-64 6 10 11 10 10 11 1165-69 6 8 10 10 10 10 1070-74 6 7 9 9 10 10 1075* 11 12 19 20 20 20 20

TOTAL 144 169 179 181 181 181 181

TOTAL M+F 287 335 354 358 359 359 359

RELATED INDICATORS

BIRTH RATE 14.0 13.0 12.7 12.6 12.6 12,6DEATH RATE 10.0 10.9 12.2 12.5 12.6 12.6GROWTH RATE 0.62 0.22 0.05, ,, 0.01 0.00 -0.00IMR - BOTH SEXES 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0E(0) BOTH SEXES 76.96 78.95 79.49 79.49 79.49 79.49TOTAL FERTILITY 2.077 2,069 2.968 2.06e 2.06U 29068

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