Overview of Aero-Space Technology Programs Rich Christiansen Director, Programs Office of Aero-Space Technology Phase-out of AST Termination of HSR Institutional.
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Overview of Overview of Aero-Space Technology Programs Aero-Space Technology Programs
Rich Christiansen
Director, Programs
Office of Aero-Space Technology
Phase-out of AST
Termination of HSR
Institutional Implications
Technology Implications
Partnership Implications
Programs Proposed for FY2000
Evolving to an Aero-Space Base
Formulating the FY2001 Program
•
Market and Policy DriversMarket and Policy DriversThe World Since 1990…The World Since 1990…
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U.S. shareof civiltransportsbelow 70%
••Boeing & McDonnell-Douglas announcemerger • US Airline balance
sheets in the black
•Lockheed &Martin- Mariettaannouncemerger
•Space Stationredesignaccepted &commit topartner withRussia
•Airbus Industrieachieves 33%share 1 yearearly
•Operation DesertStormEastern Airlinefiles Chapter 11Bankruptcy
•Pan Am makeslast flight
•Vice Presidentpublishes reporton aviationsafety, security& air trafficmodernization
•AirbusIndustrieachieves50%share7 yearsearly
Phasing Out the AST ProgramPhasing Out the AST Program
Advanced Subsonic Technology (AST)– Early initiation (FY94) with some new money– High technology markets/boost to economy– Aviation industry in downturn
Change in Administration Perspectives– Driven by Balanced Budget Agreement
=>Agency budget caps– Criticism of affordability objectives and benefit
to the public (vis manufacturers)
AST PhaseoutAST Phaseout
AST
- Safety comp. 9/98
- Environment
- General Aviation
- Reduced Seat Cost
AST
- Safety comp. 9/98
- Environment
- General Aviation
- Reduced Seat Cost
AST
- Safety
- Environment
- Capacity
- Economic
Affordability••
AST
- Safety
- Environment
- Capacity
- Economic
Affordability••
AST
- Aging A/C- Noise Reduction- TAP- AATT- Integrated Wing- Propulsion- CTR- Tech Integration- Envir.
Assessment- Composites- General Aviation
AST
- Aging A/C- Noise Reduction- TAP- AATT- Integrated Wing- Propulsion- CTR- Tech Integration- Envir.
Assessment- Composites- General Aviation
* ReCAT - Reduced Cost of Air Travel
FY 99 IAR
FY 98 IAR
FY 97 IAR
AST
- Safety
- Environment
- Reduced Seat Cost
ReCAT••
Aviation Capacity
AST
- Safety
- Environment
- Reduced Seat Cost
ReCAT••
Aviation Capacity
AST
- Safety
- Environment
- General Aviation
- Reduced Seat Cost
AST
- Safety
- Environment
- General Aviation
- Reduced Seat Cost
R&T Base- Noise red.- General
Aviation
UEET- Emissions red.- Envir. Asssmnt
R&T Base- Noise red.- General
Aviation
UEET- Emissions red.- Envir. Asssmnt
FY 00
Termination Of HSR ProgramTermination Of HSR Program
High Speed Research (HSR)– Phase II initiated (FY94) with new money
– High technology markets/boost to economy
– Potential to capture billions in market share
Change in Business Case for HSCT– While significant reductions made in technology risk, projected launch date
extended additional 10 years
– Impetus for Boeing investment at current rate curtailed
– Health of Subsonic Market/No Foreign Competition
Change in Administration Perspectives– Driven by Balanced Budget Agreement =>Agency budget caps
– Shift in long-term investment priorities (Space)
High-Speed Civil TransportHigh-Speed Civil TransportTechnical Development TimelineTechnical Development Timeline
NASA
Industry
Decision Points1. Decision to proceed with the remainder of Phase IIA (technology feasibility)HSR Phase I
HSR Phase II
HSR Phase IIARequirements Phase 2. Decision to proceed with an airframe follow-on
Program (propulsion technology success)HSR Phase IIA
Propulsion Focus
Airframe FocusPropulsion/AirframeTechnology Readiness
Propulsion/AirframeTechnology Readiness
Engineering/ManufacturingReadiness
Product Development
1990 2000 2005 2010 2015 20201995 2025
TERMINATED
Propulsion Focus$500M
Preliminary Design and Industry Technology Development
Institutional ImplicationsInstitutional Implications
Redeployment of workforce– Sustain inhouse workforce -> no RIF
• Shift from traditional aeronautics activities
• Attempt to quell erosion of core competencies
– Significant reduction in contract workforce
Potential loss of key facilities– Worsens serious backlog in maintenance– Threatens additional reduction in operations, potential
closures– Likelihood of rehabilitation/modernization of aging
facilities more remote
Aero-Dollar Expentitures for Research CentersAero-Dollar Expentitures for Research Centers
R&PM
CofF
R&D
R&DSupport
NetR&D
BoeingGEPW
Top Ten CompaniesOr AlliancesBy Total ContractObligations
FY99 58% inhouse
Aero-Dollar Expentitures for Research CentersAero-Dollar Expentitures for Research Centers
R&PMR&D
R&DSupport
NetR&D
Boeing,GE,PWTop Ten CompaniesOr AlliancesBy Total ContractObligations
FY00CofF
73% inhouse
Technology ImplicationsTechnology Implications
Vehicle Technologies – Decimates research in traditional performance
disciplines (aerodynamics, structures & materials, propulsion)
– No focus on reduced CO2 emissions
Vehicle Technologies DecimatedVehicle Technologies Decimated
0
100
200
300
400
500
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Fiscal Year
$M
Environmental and Vehicle Technology
HSR II
HSR IIA
> -70%
Technology ImplicationsTechnology Implications
Vehicle Technologies – Decimates research in traditional performance
disciplines (aerodynamics, structures & materials, propulsion)
– No focus on reduced CO2 emissions
Atmospheric Research– Virtually eliminates focus on aviation effects– Marginal influence in on-going science
activities
Atmospheric Research ImpactedAtmospheric Research Impacted
FY00 Budget and Revisions
Planned Budget: Revised Budget: AESA: $ 2.3 M $ 0.5 M (SOLVE
campaign)
SASS:
– ongoing NRA’s $ 4.7 M $ 3.5 M
– field mission $ 2.6 M $ 0
Total: $ 9.6 M $ 4.0 M
Technology ImplicationsTechnology Implications
Vehicle Technologies – Decimates research in traditional performance
disciplines (aerodynamics, structures & materials, propulsion)
– No focus on reduced CO2 emissions
Atmospheric Research– Virtually eliminates focus on aviation effects– Marginal influence in on-going science activities
Noise Reduction– No significant research beyond FY2002
Partnership ImplicationsPartnership Implications
FAA/EPA– Deep concern due to reliance on NASA’s ability to support their
research and analyses– US leadership in International policy at risk
DoD– Loss of available National expertise for problem-solving in
developmental or operational systems– Loss of key long-term, high risk vehicle & propulsion R&D
Industry – Sustaining sufficient engineering expertise for future development
programs– Potential for lengthening gaps in technology transfer
Universities
Programs Proposed for FY2000Programs Proposed for FY2000
Ultra Efficient Engine Technology– New Focused Program
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• Sustains inhouse aeropropulsion core competencies
• Preserves some facilities operations
• Continues research momentum on reduced NOX
• No Noise Reduction
• Falls short on system validation and user involvement
UEET Augments Remaining Vehicle UEET Augments Remaining Vehicle Technology Investment Technology Investment
0
100
200
300
400
500
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Fiscal Year
$M
Environmental and Vehicle Technology UEET
FY99 runout levelW/HSR
FY00 runout levelW/UEET
Programs Proposed for FY2000Programs Proposed for FY2000
Synthetic Vision Project– Augmenting Aviation Safety Program
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• Sustains basic Flight Deck research from HSR
• Increases number of concepts selected under previous NRA
• Accelerates technology validation
• Added research support for certification
Evolving to an Aero-Space BaseEvolving to an Aero-Space Base
Everyone has demanded it– Administrator, Administration (OMB),
Congress…
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• Not just moving money from one pot to another
• Not just more hypersonics
• It’s drawing on the technical and managerial experience from decades of basic and applied research in Aeronautics
• Sustains and augments basic research aimed towards Agency priorities
Integrating Aero & Space R&TIntegrating Aero & Space R&TAdv Space TransVehicle Technology
Airframe & Struct Tech
Ultra light Multi-funct
High-Integrity Sys
Reusability / Aging Sys
Propulsion & Power
Prop Subsys Rsch
RBCC PDE TechHigh Temp Prop Comp
Information Tech
Veh Health Mgt Tech
ASTP Rsch
Prop Tech & Integ
Vehicle Sys Tech
Ops / Range Tech (KSC)
...p1 p2 pn
...p1 p2 pn
...p1 p2 pn
Airframe Systems Base Transition to Aero-SpaceAirframe Systems Base Transition to Aero-Space
Primary Secondary Support
Physics Based
Modeling & Design Tools
Adaptive Aerospace
Vehicle Technologies
SurvivabilityTechnologies ACE
Noise & Structural Acoustics
Technology
Ultra-LiWT& Intg MultiFunctional Systems
High-Integrity Systems
Reusibility/ Aging
Systems
Advanced Vehicle
Concepts & Systems
Noise Reduction Closeout
GA/AGATE Hyper-X
Increase Safety
Reduce Emission
Reduce Noise
Increase Capacity
Reduce Cost
Reduce Travel Time
Invigorate General Aviation
Design Cycle & X-
Planes
Reduce Cost to Orbit
Reduce Cost to Space
DoD Synergy
Enterprise Goal
Level 2 Projects
GA/SATSCloseout Closeout
Revolutionary Concepts (RevCon)Revolutionary Concepts (RevCon)
Revitalizes advanced concept studies within context of Goals
Office of Aero-Space Techno logy
REVCON Fill in the Gaps • Competitive solicitations drawn from entire community with cost-sharing as a key multiplier
• Identify innovations early
• Accelerate development and inserts reality of flight
• Adds excitement to the overall program
Formulating the FY2001 ProgramFormulating the FY2001 Program
Tactical considerations for gaining ground on strategic goal roadmaps– Noise & Emissions
• Friendly Skies Initiative --> a planning framework for multiple programs/projects
• Success will be highly dependant on Administration’s view of criticality and need for a National Policy (local air quality & noise) and for US Leadership in International Policy (Global Warming)
• Best opportunity to revitalize traditional disciplinary work• Only opportunity to sustain noise reduction or contrails research
beyond FY2001• Substantial involvement of industry, FAA, and others• Also, move closer to DoD for support with propulsion and their
growing noise and NOX issues
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10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80 NOX
CO2
Potential Contributions Toward Emissions Goals Potential Contributions Toward Emissions Goals and Related Programsand Related Programs
Emissions Percent
Reduction
Full-Up Friendly SkiesCurrent AST Emissions Program
(NOX Only)
UEET Program
25 Year NOX Goal
Innovative Airframe CO2 reduction technology development can also improve total NOX reduction
25 Year CO2 Goal
“Mini” Friendly Skies
POTENTIAL REDUCTION IN COPOTENTIAL REDUCTION IN CO22 EMISSIONS EMISSIONS
Fuel Burn = 205,800 lbs1995 EIS Technology
-124,100 lbs (-60%)
SYSTEMS Fuel Burn = - 8%
Fuel Burn = 81,700 lbs
PROPULSION Fuel Burn = - 19%
STRUCTURES Fuel Burn = - 24%
Laminar Flow ControlDesign OptimizationExcrescence Drag Reduction
AERODYNAMICS Fuel Burn = - 9%
Composite Wing & TailsComposite FuselageLight Weight Landing GearAdvanced MetalsAeroelastic Tailoring (AR)
Propulsion Aero-Mechanical DesignPropulsion Hot SectionPropulsion MaterialsPropulsion Secondary Systems
Relaxed Static StabilityAll Flying Control SurfacesFly-By-Light/Power-By-WireHigh Performance NavigationIntelligent Flight Systems
Potential Reduction in NoisePotential Reduction in Noise
2022
ASTNoiseReduction
Engine Systems
AirframeSystems
Engine systems
Airframe noise
Operations
Fan
Core
Exhaust
Liners
PAI WeightAerodynamics
Precision trajectories
Prec. ground tracks
5 dB
8 dB
8 dB
4 dB
1997
3 dB
8 dB total source noise
Impact/Effects Modeling & Metrics
1992
3 dB
20 dB
10 dB
2007
5 dB AST
2 dB Ops
3 dB source
Operations
Airframe Noise
Flap
Slat
Gear
Formulating the FY2001 ProgramFormulating the FY2001 Program Tactical considerations for gaining ground on strategic
goal roadmaps– Safety & General Aviation (Doorstep to destination, safely)
• Safe, Small Aircraft Transportation System (SSATS) Initiative (also, Highway in the Sky (HITS) --> a planning framework for multiple programs/projects
• Recent public attention given to the safety side of General Avaition provides a favorable environment for advocacy
• DOT/FAA and States driven by public accessibility to air travel and economic benefits of improved access
• Builds on AGATE experience, extending advanced vehicle technologies and beginning emphasis on infrastructure
Policy, Technology & Partnership LessonsPolicy, Technology & Partnership Lessons Policy Lessons:
– Long development programs are inherently unstable– The consolidation of Aeronautics industry will remain a challenging counter-
argument against NASA– The more controversial and complex a program is, the more difficult it is to
sustain support Technology Lessons:
– Hard jobs stimulate breakthrough technologies– Technology development benefits from focused requirement– Spin-off technologies (i.e., multiple use) has to be a criteria early in the
requirements phase Partnership Lessons:
– Markets drive business decisions --> expect industry commitments to change over time
– Other government agencies are subject to policy changes, as well as NASA --> and not necessarily uniform
SummarySummary
SafetyShortSnappySynergySupport
Colorado Springs
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