Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas · Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas Chris Pearson, ... Multi-Carrier/ ... Forecast-Strategy Analytics
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Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas
Chris Pearson, President, 4G Americas
www.4gamericas.org May 14, 2013
www.4gamericas.org
Global Mobile Traffic: Voice & Data 2010-2018
Source: Ericsson (Nov 2012)
Mobile Data Traffic will grow 12 times between 2012 and 2018
www.4gamericas.org
0
5
10
15
20
25
LTE drives 168% higher daily mobile data consumption in North America
Mobile application volume per user per day - in MB * Source: Alcatel-Lucent 9900 Wireless Network Guardian, network analytics
Video Social Networking
Mixed Content Sharing
14.5
21.4
2.8 3.7 1.4
3.3
Volume Per User Per Day in MB
MB
3G LTE
3GPP Mobile Broadband Evolution
Rel 8 HSPA+ DL: 42 Mbps
UL: 11.5 Mbps 10/5 MHz
Evolved EDGE DL: 1.89 Mbps UL: 947 kbps
Rel 8 LTE DL: 300 Mbps UL: 45 Mbps 20/20 MHz
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Rel 9 HSPA+ DL: 84 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 10/10 MHz
Rel 10 HSPA+ DL: 168 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 20/10 MHz
Rel 11 HSPA+ DL: 336 Mbps UL: 46 Mbps 40/10 MHz
EDGE
HSPA-HSPA+
Rel 9 LTE DL: 300 Mbps UL: 45 Mbps 20/20 MHz
Rel 10 LTE DL: 1.2 Gbps
UL: 568 Mbps 40/40 MHz
Rel 11 LTE DL: >1.2 Gbps
LTE & LTE-Advanced
Source: Mobile Broadband Explosion, Rysavy Research, September 2012
www.4gamericas.org
The foundation of the mobile broadband world enabling operators the flexibility to meet the
increasingly advanced wireless needs of customers today and tomorrow.
• Global footprint • International roaming • Robust mobile broadband speeds • Continues to evolve • Smooth transition to LTE
HSPA and HSPA+
www.4gamericas.org
3GPP Rel 9
3GPP Rel 8
3GPP Rel 7
Dual-Carrier/ Combinations
Multi-Carrier/ Combinations
21
28
42
84
168
Mbps
3GPP Rel 10
HSPA+ Downlink Theoretical Peak Rate in Mbps
2x5 MHz 64 QAM
2x10 MHz 64 QAM
2x20 MHz 2x2 MIMO
64 QAM
2x10 MHz 2x2 MIMO
64 QAM
2x5 MHz 2x2 MIMO
MIMO
Dual-Carrier/ Combinations
336
3GPP Rel 11
www.4gamericas.org
Global Deployments
520 networks
in 198 countries
327 networks
in 127 countries
172 networks
in 70 countries
Data as of May 8, 2013
>445 HSPA+ devices
available*
821 LTE devices
available*
Sources: 4G Americas, Informa Telecoms & Media, Public Announcements, *GSA, April 2013
>4,000 HSPA
devices available*
www.4gamericas.org
>250 LTE Networks expected
by YE 2013
Next Generation Global Standard
• Technology platform of choice for GSM-HSPA, Greenfield, WiMAX and EV-DO operators
• Available in both FDD and TDD modes and supported by numerous frequency bands
• Offers capacity and speed to handle a rapid increase in data traffic
172 LTE commercial networks launched in 70 countries
Source: 4G Americas, Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+
88 Million LTE subscriptions
400 operator commitments
worldwide
www.4gamericas.org
0
100
200
300
400
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
0
500
1000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Timeline for Global LTE Deployments
Worldwide Subscriptions
Worldwide Networks
63 M -Informa
9.3 M Informa
633 M -Informa
56 145
250
134 M -Informa
252 M -Informa
406 M -Informa
198 Million -IHS
Source: Public Announcement & 4G Americas Forecasts
947 M -Informa
1 Billion -IHS
322 Million -Strategy Analytics Forecast
1.6 Billion -Strategy Analytics
380
785 M -ABI Research
www.4gamericas.org
0
50
100
150
200
250
Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17
Mill
ion
s LTE in the U.S.
September 2011 December 2010 July 2012
Sources: Public Announcements, Informa WCIS+ Estimates, Jan 2013
March 2013
Currently covers 287 million PoPs
270 million PoPs by YE 2013
200 million PoPs by YE 2013
194 million subscriptions by YE 2017
LTE Subscription Growth in the U.S.
Launch Date:
200 million PoPs by YE 2013
Launch Date: Launch Date: Launch Date:
www.4gamericas.org
9 68
134
252
406
633
947
Global LTE Subscription Growth
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Millions of Subscriptions
2012
Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, Subscription Forecast, February 2013
Global LTE Subscriptions
will surpass 1 billion in 2018
2011
www.4gamericas.org
Key Components of the LTE Evolution to LTE-Advanced
Initial Deployments
2010 to 2012 Higher Capacity/Throughput
and/or Efficiency
2013 to 2016
Enables more users, more applications and a better
experience
Wider Radio Channels: 20 MHz
Carrier Aggregation: up to 100 MHz
Advanced Antenna Configurations
More Advanced MIMO
(Higher Order, Multi-User, Higher Mobility)
Coordinated Multipoint Transmission
HetNets (Macrocells/Picocells/Femtocells)
HetNet Self Optimization/Organization
More Intelligent and Seamless Offload
Greater Capabilities Voice Widely Handled in the Packet Domain
Policy-Based Quality of Service
Typically 5 or 10 MHz Radio Channels
2X2 Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) Antennas
Initial Self-Optimization/
Organization for Auto Configuration
www.4gamericas.org
LTE vs LTE-Advanced Key Performance Indicators
Release 8
LTE
Release 10
LTE-Advanced
Peak Data Rate Downlink: 300 Mbps
Uplink: 75 Mbps
Downlink: 1 Gbps
Uplink: 500 Mbps
Peak Spectrum Efficiency Downlink: 15 [bps/Hz]
Uplink: 3.75 [bps/Hz]
Downlink: 30 [bps/Hz]
Uplink: 15 [bps/Hz]
Latency User plane: 10 Msec
Control Plane: 100 Msec
User plane: 5 Msec
Control Plane: 50 Msec
Scalable Bandwidth
Support Up to 20 MHz
Up to 20 MHz
with band aggregation
up to 100 MHz
MIMO
(Spatial Multiplexing)
Downlink: Up to 4x4 Downlink: Up to 8x8
Uplink: N/A Uplink: Up to 4x4
Source: 4G Americas Member Companies www.4gamericas.org
Spectrum Demand
The dramatic increase in mobile broadband and data traffic drives the need for additional spectrum throughout the Americas region
ITU analysis states that spectrum requirements by 2020 for a single network within a single country will range from 1280-1720 MHz. Countries in the Americas will need an additional 557-997 MHz beyond identified
spectrum allocations by 2020
www.4gamericas.org
Demand vs Spectrum
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Demand Versus Spectrum(Normalized)
No New Spectrum
Partially IncreasedSpectrum
Fully increasedSpectrum
Demand
Rysavy Research 2011
Today’s smartphones use 35 times more spectrum than traditional cell phones, and tablets use 121 times as much spectrum.
www.4gamericas.org
National Broadband Plan 300 MHz by 2015 → 500 MHz by 2020
U.S. FCC Spectrum Allocations Progress & Possibilities Advanced Wireless Services (AWS2, AWS-3,etc.)
1695 MHz, 1755-1780MHz/2155-2180 MHz, 1900 MHz – H&J Block
75-85 MHz?
Mobile Satellite Systems (AWS-4)
2000-2020 MHz/2180-2200 MHz 40 MHz
Wireless Communications Services (WCS)
2305-2315 MHz/2350-2360 MHz 20 MHz
Broadcast (incentive auction) 600 MHz 120 MHz?
3.5 GHz Small Cell 3550-3650 MHz 100 MHz?
www.4gamericas.org
Can the FCC achieve their objective?
The Importance of 1755-1780 MHz Spectrum in the U.S.
www.4gamericas.org
April 24, 2013
…In sum, instead of continuing the current course of contemplating reallocating the entire 1755-1850 MHz band at some point in the distant future we strongly urge that NTIA focus the effort on reallocation of the 1755-1780 MHz sub-band as soon as possible. Sharing or relocation studies for the 1780-1850 MHz band should continue in accordance with federal requirements and should take into account the long-term evolution of available technology. However, near-term action to auction the 1755-1780 MHz band paired with 2155-2180 MHz would help relieve the growing pressure for spectrum. At the same time, federal agencies would continue to have access to 1780-1850 MHz for ten years, based on current technology and potential pairing options.
To: US Dept. of Commerce 4G Americas
AT&T
T-Mobile USA
Verizon
CTIA
From:
Thank you!
www.4gamericas.org May 14, 2013
www.4gamericas.org
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