Leadership and Technology: Is Your Mental Map Ready?

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This is Part 1 of an eight part series of presentations entitled Leadership in the Interactive Age, originally presented over the National Technological University's satellite network in January and February, 1995 by Paul Schumann, Donna Prestwood and Barbara Benjamin. Some of the topical references are out of date but the concepts are still valid. They're probably more apparently valid now then they were at the time of the original production.

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Leadership in the Interactive AgeLeadership in the Interactive Age

Leadership and Technology: Is Your Mental Map Ready?

Part 1

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Change Is a Constant

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TopicsTopics Organizations at a Crossroads The Interactive Age Ingenuity Redefining Technology and Leadership Preparing Your Mental Map

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A New World of Work

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Blue Collar

White Collar

Year (1900’s)

Per

cen

t of

Wor

k F

orce

Source: Fortune 6/27/94

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Electricity Boosted Productivity

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1879 1889 1899 1909 1919 1929

Year

Manufacturing Productivity

Ave

rage

An

nu

al G

row

th R

ate

%

Source: Fortune 6/27/94

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Innovations in Electricity

1883 Electric Motors Used in Manufacturing 1891 A.C. Power Transmission for Industrial Use 1900 Central Station Steam Turbine and A.C.

Generator 1907 Advent of State Regulated Utilities 1917 Generation of Utilities Exceeds That of

Industrial Establishment

Source: Fortune 6/27/94

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Will Computers Do the Same?

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1993

Year

Ave

rage

Pro

duct

ivit

y G

row

th R

ate

%

Source: Fortune 6/27/94

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Computer Processor Innovations

1952 Univac 1 Commercial Electronic Computer 1969 Memory Chip Intel 1977 Minicomputers DEC (VAX) 1979 Intel 8088 Microcomputer 1985 Intel 386Chip/Microsoft Windows 1989 Intel 486 Chip/Lotus Notes Groupware 1993 Intel Pentium Chip

Source: Fortune 6/27/94

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Organizations at a CrossroadsOrganizations at a Crossroads

Organization

Social

Political

Economic

DemographicScientific

Driving Forces for Change

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Literacy

Source: Where We Stand

Percent of Students Who Leave School Without Basic Reading Skills

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Literacy in the U.S.

Myth: The U.S., With Its High Number of College Graduates, Is the Most Educated Country

Reality: It Also Has the Highest Number of Uneducated Citizens

Source: Where We Stand

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I’m OK, You’re Not OK

75% Said That They Are Living Up To Their Commitments

80% Said That They Are Able To Meet Their Workplace Commitments

But, 90% Said That Others Are Not

But, 35% Said That Their Co-workers Are Not

Source: Austin American Statesman, 11/21/94

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Social Driving ForcesSocial Driving Forces The Gap Between Education and

Preparedness for Today’s Work and Life The Use and Abuse of Drugs What Constitutes a Family? Redefinition of Roles: Woman & Men The Emergence of Alternative Means of

Dealing With Life Issues

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Social Forces & Your Mental Map

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Political Driving ForcesPolitical Driving Forces War & Peace Tribalism & Globalism Nationalism & Regionalism Right & Left One Person & One Vote Checks & Balances Economic States & Governance

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Deficit Projections

($1,600)

($1,400)

($1,200)

($1,000)

($800)

($600)

($400)

($200)

$0

93 0 20

Year

Def

icit

(B

illio

ns)

Source: Office of Management and Budget

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U.S. Income GrowthU

S D

isp

osab

le P

erso

nal

In

com

e G

row

th p

er C

apit

a

Year

Four-Year Moving Average Annual Growth (real 1987 $)

Source: Harvard Business Review, Nov.-Dec. 1994

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Contributions of Exports to GDP

$4.00

$4.20

$4.40

$4.60

$4.80

$5.00

$5.20

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993

GDP

GDP LessExports

Year

Val

ue

in $

198

7 T

rilli

ons

Source: Economic Report of the President, 2/94

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The Impact of NAFTA

From 1986 to 1993– real GDP rose 16.6%, while real exports of goods and services

rose 81.5%

– exports rose from 7.5% of GDP to 11.7%

– the increase in exports is equivalent to 37% of GDP growth

Mexico Is On the Verge of Replacing Japan as the Second Largest Market for U.S. Goods

In 1994 Alone, Increased Exports to Mexico and Canada Could Support 100,000 New Jobs

Great job Losses, Feared by Some, Have Failed to Materialize

Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America

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Exports of Cars to Mexico

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Jan-May, 1993 Jan-May, 1994

Pas

sen

ger

Veh

icle

s E

xpor

ted

in T

hou

san

ds

Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America

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Export Growth

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

NAFTA Partners Rest of World

Per

cen

t E

xpor

t G

row

th

Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America

Jan-June 1993 and 1994

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Economic Driving ForcesEconomic Driving Forces The Deficit & Inflation Trading Alliances The Emergence of the New Economies Redefining Capital The New Business Economy

– The Electronic Cottage– The Growth of Small Businesses– Downsizing & Mergers/Acquisitions

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Demographic Driving ForcesDemographic Driving Forces Immigration Diversity The Graying of America The New Geography Our Neighbors

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Scientific Driving ForcesScientific Driving Forces Reduction in Defense Related Research Reduction in R&D Dual Use Technology & Technology Transfer Diffusion of Scientific Concepts Into Society

– Quantum Theory

– Systems Theory

– Chaos Theory

– Ecology

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Industry/Government Cooperative Research & Development

0100200300400500600700800900

7/87 -12/91

1992 1/93 -7/93

Time Period

Nu

mbe

r of

CR

AD

AS

Source: Management Review, 2/94

Total Estimated Value >$2B

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The Interactive Age: What Defines It?The Interactive Age: What Defines It?

Food Production Transportation Communication Learning Social Structures

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The Interactive Age: An Historical The Interactive Age: An Historical PerspectivePerspective

Hunter/Gatherer

Agricultural

Industrial

Interactive

Information

Time

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The Continuum of Human DevelopmentThe Continuum of Human Development

Industrial InteractiveAgriculturalHunter/Gatherer

Evolutionary Time Line

Time

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The Characteristics of the Interactive AgeThe Characteristics of the Interactive Age

Interconnection Interdependence Any Time Any Place

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The Characteristics of the Interactive AgeThe Characteristics of the Interactive Age

No Matter A Harmony of Contradictions There Are No Spare Parts A Majority of One

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IngenuityIngenuity Back to the Future of America’s Strength In-gen-uity

– Knowing– Being– Creating

The Engine That Drives Technology

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IngenuityIngenuity

Knowing

Creating

Being

Ingenuity

The Interaction of Knowing, Being and Creating

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Ingenuity and TechnologyIngenuity and Technology

BeingKnowing

Creating

Technology

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Redefining Technology and LeadershipRedefining Technology and Leadership

Technology– Direct– Supportive– Enabling

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Redefining Technology and LeadershipRedefining Technology and Leadership

Leadership– Adhocracy– Commitment– Conversation– Ingenuity

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Redefining Technology and LeadershipRedefining Technology and Leadership

Innovation– Cause Change– Exploit Change

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Ingenuity, Leadership and Technology: Ingenuity, Leadership and Technology: Accelerator of InnovationAccelerator of Innovation

Knowing

Being

Creating Technology Innovation Customer

Leadership

SocialPolitical

Economic Demographic

Scientific

Ingenuity

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Preparing Your Mental MapPreparing Your Mental Map Making It Through the Night Beyond Here Dragons Lie The Myths of the Industrial Revolution Living in the Question Creating New Myths

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Glocal Vantage, Inc.Glocal Vantage, Inc. Paul Schumann PO Box 161475, Austin, TX 78716 paul.schumann@glocalvantage.com Glocal vantage: http://www.glocalvantage.com Insights – Intelligence – Innovation Collaborative:

http://incollaboration.ning.com Twitter: innovant2003

Attribution: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

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