Transcript
Aviation Safety
Global Update
Michiel Vreedenburgh Chief, Implementation Planning & Support
Air Navigation Bureau, ICAO
COSCAP-NA SC/15, Xiamen, China 13 – 15 May 2015
Regional Implementation – Safety
19 May 2015 2
GASP
Established Regional Priorities, Indicators & Targets
Regional Dashboards
Annual Regional Aviation Safety Report
Annual Global Aviation Safety
Report
Annual ANC/Council Review
Revised RASG Work Programme
Annual RASG Meeting Reports
Next GASP 2016
RSOOs
COSCAPs
Alignment of Regional Bodies
RASGs
RASG-APAC
REGIONAL ACCIDENT RATES REMAIN LOW
Preliminary Figures for the State of Global Aviation SAFETY
3 14 April 2015
SNEAK PEEK
AN UPTICK OF FATALITIES IN THE LAST YEAR
GLOBAL ACCIDENT RATE CONTINUES TO BE STABLE
TOP HIGH-RISK OCCURRENCE CATEGORIES REMAIN TO BE RS, LOC-I, CFIT AN UPTICK OF FATALITIES IN THE LAST YEAR GLOBAL ACCIDENT RATE CONTINUES TO BE STABLE REGIONAL ACCIDENT RATES REMAIN LOW TOP HIGH-RISK OCCURRENCE CATEGORIES REMAIN TO BE RS, LOC-I, CFIT
Risk Distribution for the Top 3 Safety Priorities Scheduled commercial above 5 700kg for 2010 - 2014
19 May 2015 4
RASG-APAC
WORLD RECOMMENDATION
Continue focus
on the Top 3 Safety
Priorities (RS, CFIT, LOCI)
Source: SPACE (iSTARS v2) (https://portal.icao.int/space)
Higher than world average
19 May 2015 5
Regional Progress Against APAC Priorities & Targets for Safety
31/12/2023
SAFETY
RASG-APAC Priorities and Targets
(RASG-APAC/4 – November 2014)
2 February 2015 6
RASG-APAC
Global Plans
SARPs & PANS
Training, Guidance and Tools
Implementation Planning & Support
Measure, Monitor & Report
Compliance & Verification
Needs Analysis & Validation
19 May 2015 7
Existing Implementation Kits (iKITs) – 2012
• Aviation System Block Upgrades (ASBU) Block 0
• Performance-based Navigation (PBN)
– 2013
• Aircraft Operator Certificate (AOC)
• Safety Management
– 2014
• Runway Safety
– 2015
• Remotely Piloted Aircraft Systems (RPAS)
• Performance-based Navigation (PBN) – Updated Version
19 May 2015 8
http://www.icao.int/safety/Implementation/Pages/IKits.aspx
Implementation Kits (iKITs) for 2016 • Initial steps to improve demand/capacity balancing
• Facilitate recognition through the harmonization of airworthiness regulatory
approvals
• Improved Efficiency of Surface Operations
• Enhancing Safety at Aerodromes
• Improved Throughput at Aerodromes
• Early steps towards user-preferred routing
• Optimized aerodrome departure/arrival rates under
all meteorological conditions
• Advanced ATM Procedures for TMA Efficiency
(updated and expanded PBN iKit)
• In-Flight Accident Reduction Tool
19 May 2015 9
RSP Achievements - 2014 • Published RST Handbook
• Launched RS i-Kit
• RRSS (AFI, SAM & MID)
• Runway Safety KPIs WG – IATA coord. – Workout Sessions 7-8 May’14, 27–28 Oct’14 and Teleconf 27 Jan’15
• Regional Dashboards – RS accidents
• RST & SMS implementation & effectiveness – ACI
survey
• Runway Safety Go-Teams – methodology selection
criteria, pilot mission
• RS Go-Team missions
• On-line list of Aerodromes
• ACI APEX Airport Safety Reviews
• IATA Airport Analyses
• US FAA National Runway Safety Plan 2015 – 2017
10
RSP Plans for 2015 and beyond • Revise RST Handbook – early 2015
• Translate RST Handbook into some languages –
after revision
• PANS-Aerodromes 1st edition – Nov 2015
• Annex 14 Vol. I Amendment – Nov 2016
• PANS-Aerodromes 2nd edition (Chapter 5) – 2017/8
• USOAP audit protocol questions on RSTs
• Runway Safety KPIs WG – IATA coord.
• Runway Safety Go-Team missions (incl. follow-up)
• ACI APEX Airport Safety Reviews
• IATA Airport Analyses
• IATA Unstabilised Approach Guidance
• US FAA Focused Airports List
03 March 2014 11
Recommendations
• Runway Safety
– RASGs to analyze regional runway safety data and develop
related Safety Enhancement Initiative & Detailed
Implementation Plan
– Airports to implement Runway Safety Teams (RST) and
SMS
– Airports make use of the ICAO Runway Safety iKit and RST
Handbook
– Airports to request ICAO Runway Safety Go-Team visits
and/or ACI APEX Airport Safety Review
19 May 2015 12
Annex 19 - Implementation
• Third Edition, Doc 9859, was published on 8 May 2013
Restructured according to the SSP and SMS Frameworks (Annex 19)
Contains detailed guidance and tools for SSP and SMS implementation
• ICAO Safety Management Website: http://www.icao.int/Safety/SafetyManagement
• ICAO Safety Management I-Kit http://cfapp.icao.int/tools/SMikit/story.html
• Regional Aviation Safety Groups, RSOOs and COSCAPs
Timeline - Annex 19 Amendment 1 Proposal • ANC Preliminary Review
• Consultation period:
Ref: SL AN 8/1-14/47
• ANC Final Review
• Council Adoption of Amendments
• Applicability as determined by Council
19 May 2015 14
June 2015
July 2015
Sept 2015
Nov 2015
Mar 2016
November 2016 or beyond
Annex 19 – Future Work Items
• Development of guidance material to support SSP provisions
• Development of guidance material to support SMS provisions
• Development of coordinated emergency response plan provisions
• Enhanced provisions for the collection, analysis and exchange of
safety data and safety information
• Further development of SMS and SSP implementation and
assessment tools
• Extension of the applicability of the SMS provisions
• Enhance provisions for the integration of SMS and SSP activities
Safety Management Training Programme • Consistent and cost-effective methodology is necessary
• ICAO started the development of a new approach to teaching safety management – Updated with the latest Standards
– Use of tools and exercises relevant to real-life scenarios and best practices
16
Course Structure • A Standardized Training Package with blended learning approach:
Online + Classroom
• Online enables participants to receive homogeneous instruction on safety management
• Classroom activity safety management concepts applied through a case study similar to the one they will face in the workplace
17
State Safety Briefings
• Launched during the HLSC 2015
• Now Available for States at the secure iSTARS/SPACE portal
• Provides a general overview of the different safety aspects per State
– Shows different indicators to measure aviation safety in a State
– Shows a comparison of the State in the context of any regional grouping
19 May 2015 18
19
Regional Dashboards
Annual Global Reports
Global Plans
Annual Regional Safety Reports
Global, Regional and State Nested Reporting
Information Feed
Safety Status by State
Measuring progress at all levels
14 April 2015
Recommendation 2/1 b) 3)
Implementing SSP
ICAO should improve and harmonize the defined SPIs taking into account those currently in use
Regional Priorities and Targets
19 May 2015 20
Common set of Indicators as a baseline
Using readily available
data
Proposed Safety Performance Indicators (HLSC/15-IP/1 Appendix)
• Effective Implementation of Safety Oversight System
• Progress in SSP Implementation
• Progress in SMS Implementation
• Frequency and Severity of Accidents and Incidents
• Certification of Aerodromes
• Significant Safety Concerns
• Presence of notable hazardous conditions
• Fleet Modernization
• Effectiveness of Foreign Operator Safety Assessment
Programmes
• Industry Certification
• Extent of Environmental Hazards
19 May 2015 21
Expanding the Framework for Performance Measurement
• By the end of 2015, ICAO will establish a framework for:
– States to start measuring against a core set of indicators as a baseline
– States to choose their applicable / related proposed Safety Performance Indicators
– States to validate ICAO information related to the proposed Safety Performance Indicators
– States to report to their respective RASGs and Regional Offices
• Establish a framework for Regional and State performance measurement
19 May 2015 22
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
SSP SPI
• The State should – Establish lower consequence safety and/or quality
indicators with appropriate target and alert monitoring (mature ALoSP).
– Safety indicators development and selection should be congruent to the State‘s safety objectives and safety policy.
– They should be appropriate and relevant to the scope and complexity of the State‘s aviation activities.
– Periodic monitoring of the safety indicators for any undesirable trends, alert level breaches and target achievement should be performed.
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Indicator Types
• Activities indicators are designed to help identify whether enterprises/organisations are taking actions believed to lower risks – Audit score – Inspection results
• Outcome indicators are designed to help measure whether such actions are, in fact, leading to less likelihood or severity of an accident occurring – Number of fatalities – Accident rate
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
SPI Development Plan
1. Define your Goals (Small sentence and rational) 2. Define your aggregation levels 3. List your data sources and link to aggregation levels 4. Define key indicators, helper metrics and
development needs for each goal
Recommendations for COSCAP-NA States
• States be more active on the OLF, especially completing PQ self-assessments on OLF and CAP implementation progress
• Alignment of RASG and COSCAP regional actions
• States to request ICVM and/or off-site validation once ready to improve EI score by validation of actions
• States to focus on SSP implementation and report progress and results on ICAO gap analysis tool
• States to focus on PBN implementation
• Secretariat commended report by COSCAP-NA to RASG-APAC and recommended all COSCAPs and PASO report on results to every RASG-APAC meeting
26 19 May 2015
Second High-level
Safety Conference
Some of the Major Outcomes during the HLSC
• Global Tracking
– Member States endorsed the GADSS Concept of Operations
– Plans for adoption of a new 15 minute aircraft tracking standard was also
endorsed
• Performance-based, allowing airlines the choice of several available and planned
technologies and procedures
• Proposal was sent to Member States on 25 February
• Expected to be adopted by ICAO Council this fall
• Applicability date of 2016
– ICAO is working with industry on an implementation initiative
• To assist States, ANSPs, and airlines in the implementation of the standard and
respond to abnormal flight behavior in an integrated and multidisciplinary manner
28 19 May 2015
Some of the Major Outcomes during the HLSC
• Conflict Zones
– HLSC supported ICAO’s comprehensive risk mitigation work programme
– Including:
• Online repository hosted by ICAO, which will serve as a single public source for up-to-date risk assessments from States and International Organizations
• Harmonization of terminology used for risk assessments
• Comprehensive review of existing requirements and message formats
• Industry-led initiatives to share operational information and be more transparent with passengers on conflict zone risk methodologies being applied
19 May 2015 29
Conflict Zone Information Repository (CZIR) Public interface
14 April 2015 30
Some of the Major Outcomes during the HLSC
• Effective and Efficient Regional Collaboration
– HLSC agreed on the importance of regional collaboration to improve safety
• Recommended that aviation safety partners, including donor States, international organizations, industry and financial institutions, collaborate with ICAO to assist States to improve aviation safety
– ICAO to lead the alignment and coordination of regional initiatives to improve safety, implement the GASP objectives, and achieve the regional safety targets.
• Recommended that States, International Organizations and industry increase their participation in and contributions to the ICAO and partner regional safety mechanisms, including support to the activities of the RASGs with resources.
– ICAO develop a resource mobilization strategy and implementation plan to increase resources, assistance activities and implementation assistance capacity.
• ICAO to participate in the development of the UN Sustainable Development Goals.
• States, international and regional organizations and industry increase contributions to the ICAO Voluntary Funds including the Safety Fund (SAFE) and Human Resources Development Fund (HRDF).
19 May 2015 31
Ongoing Focus by ICAO
• The integration of remotely piloted aircraft systems (RPAS) into civilian airspace
• Continued adoption of proactive safety management approaches in States
• Provisions on the sharing and protection of safety information
• Full and expedited implementation of Performance-based Navigation (PBN) regulatory oversight
• Sustain the Collaborative Arrangement for the Prevention and Management of Public Health Events in Civil Aviation (CAPSCA) programme to assist States prepare for and respond rapidly to any new public health event
• The need for all ICAO States to be sufficiently assisted so as to reach global minimum levels of effective safety oversight
19 May 2015 32
GLOBAL EVENTS
19 May 2015 33
ICAO / UNOOSA Aerospace Symposium (18 – 20 March 2015)
• Symposium Outcomes:
– General consensus that commercial space transportation will happen • Initially from remote locations with segregated traffic, evolving to full integration
– For the moment, no international regulation is required
– Strategy: Preparation and education of all stakeholders
– How to engage on the subject with ICAO / UNOOSA • Be at the table - join the ICAO / UNOOSA Space Learning Group at www.icao.int/aeroSPACE
• Share your experience and concerns related to integration of airspace
• Commitment is not resource intensive – high value for low cost
– Second ICAO / UNOOSA Aerospace Symposium is scheduled for next year in 2016, hosted by the United Arab Emirates
19 May 2015 34
RPAS Symposium 23 – 25 March 2015
• Comprehensive Picture:
– RPAS and UAS are everywhere
– RPAS must fit into the aerospace
system
– Existing frameworks provide
foundation
– States need guidance for national
regulations
– Harmonization of national
regulations to support international
operations
– Regulations are ahead of SARPs
• Conclusions
– Government / Industry collaboration
(civil and military)
– Terms and Definitions (RPAS Manual,
Annex 2 and Annex 7)
– Operational procedures (civil and
military)
– Spectrum utilization
– Safety oversight methodology
– Safety management at all levels
(Feedback loops)
35 14 April 2015
ICAO-WHO CAPSCA Global Symposium 28 – 30 April 2015, ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada
• Collaborative Arrangement for the Prevention and Management of Public Health Events in Civil Aviation (CAPSCA)
• CAPSCA achievements and lessons learned
• considered public health preparedness planning and response in the aviation sector - How to prepare for an outbreak; latest guidance and plans, Ebola Virus Disease outbreak; etc.
• Future for CAPSCA and multi-sector collaboration
36 14 April 2015
www.icao.int/Meetings/CAPSCA2015
• Theme: No Country Left Behind
• Unique symposium focused on implementation, allowing:
– States to highlight their priority needs – ICAO to showcase available assistance and success stories
• Participants:
– States, industry, international and regional organizations, and financial institutions
• Objectives:
– Support ICAO Resource Mobilization Strategy – Secure collaborative support from donors and partners on voluntary contributions and
ICAO coordination role
19 May 2015 37
Global Aviation Development Implementation Symposium (GADIS) 24 – 26 November 2015, ICAO Headquarters, Montréal, Canada
More info. will be available soon at: www.icao.int/Meetings/GADIS
BACKUP
19 May 2015 39
Regional Support Mechanism Strategies
• Objectives and Work Programmes
– Aligned and complementary
• RASGs
– Data driven approach by region
– Regional priorities and targets aligned with the GASP
– Focus mitigation measures on risk areas
– All aviation stakeholders
• States, international organizations and industry
• RSOOs and COSCAPs
– Support improvement of State’s EI levels
Regional Safety Oversight Organizations (RSOO)
• Regional solutions tailored to national challenges
• Faster improvement of safety oversight capabilities
• Increased effectiveness and efficiency by sharing experience and resources
• Achieve higher compliance quicker and with less resources
• Greater international representation and recognition for member States
• Readiness to deploy and implement assistance
• Advice based on other member’s experience
• Supported by ICAO Assembly Resolution and
HLSC Recommendation
19 May 2015 41
2 February 2015 42
RASG-APAC
Asia/Pacific Regional Aviation Safety Team (APRAST)Co-Chaired by State (Singapore) and Industry (IATA)
Asia Pacific Safety Reporting and Programme AWG (AP-SRP)
Vice-Chairs; State (Australia) and Industry (Boeing)
Accident Investigation Group (APAC AIG)
Chairperson (Singapore)Vice-Chair (Australia)
RASG-APACChairperson (Sri Lanka)
Vice-Chair (Hong Kong China)
Information Analysis Team (IAT)(Australia and Boeing)
Secretariat, APAC Office
Safety Enhancement Initiatives WG (SEI WG)
Pending election in April 2015
RASG-APAC Chair: Mr. H. M. C Nimalsiri, DGCA Sri Lanka
Vice-Chair: Capt. Victor Liu, Assistant DG of Civil Aviation Department, Hong Kong, China
2 February 2015 43
• Region’s Priorities and Targets
http://www.icao.int/safety/pages/regional-targets.aspx
RASG-APAC
SAFETY
RASG-APAC Priorities and Targets
(RASG-APAC/4 – November 2014)
2 February 2015 44
RASG-APAC
2 February 2015 45
RASG-APAC
• Outputs and deliverables
– Two Annual Safety Reports (early 2015)
– Development of safety tools for States and industry
• model regulations, model advisory circulars, guidance materials and training material to address CFIT, LOC-I and RS, foreign air operator surveillance database
– Accident/Incident Investigation • Code of Conduct on Cooperation
• Database of APAC investigation bodies
2 February 2015 46
RASG-APAC
• Region’s Challenges
– Level of participation still below expectation
– Very low response to State Letters and surveys
– Extremely low implementation of SEIs by State and industry
– Maintenance of interest and dedication by voluntary facilitators and champions
– 18 our of 36 States (50%) are still below the GASP target of 60% EI
• Web link • http://www.icao.int/APAC/Pages/RASG-APAC.aspx
Recommendations • Runway Safety
– RASG-APAC to analyze regional runway safety data and develop related
Safety Enhancement Initiative & Detailed Implementation Plan
– Airports to implement Runway Safety Teams (RST) and SMS
– Airports make use of the ICAO Runway Safety iKit and RST Handbook
– Airports to request ICAO Runway Safety Go-Team visits and/or ACI APEX
Airport Safety Review
• Controlled Flight Into Terrain
– RASG-APAC to analyze regional CFIT events and develop related
Safety Enhancement Initiative & Detailed Implementation Plan
– Information-sharing and analysis on regional Terrain Avoidance and
Warning System alerts might be beneficial for safety management
19 May 2015 47
Safety Management Training Programme • Consistent and cost-effective methodology is necessary
• ICAO started the development of a new approach to teaching safety management – Updated with the latest Standards
– Use of tools and exercises relevant to real-life scenarios and best practices
48
Course Structure • A Standardized Training Package with blended learning approach:
Online + Classroom
• Online enables participants to receive homogeneous instruction on safety management
• Classroom activity safety management concepts applied through a case study similar to the one they will face in the workplace
49
Course Objectives
• personnel involved in SSP/SMS implementation with the knowledge, skills and attitudes to advocate SMS requirements and guidance material, as well as the acceptance/oversight of service providers’ SMS.
• service providers’ staff with the basic knowledge, skills and attitudes to implement, administer or participate in SMS operations.
50
This course will provide :
Expected benefits
• SSP/SMS implementation plans based on the ICAO frameworks
• Resolution of safety-related issues by applying the required skills and knowledge associated with the key SSP/SMS processes, such as: – hazard identification and risk mitigation (HIRM)
– safety data collection and processing systems
– safety performance indicator development, measurement and monitoring
51
Expected benefits
• Improve the level of compliance with SM SARPs
• Facilitate the development of safety management training programmes by and for regulatory and service provider personnel
• Enable States and operators to interact effectively in the resolution of safety-related issues
52
Course Demo
53
Module 1 : Safety Management Fundamentals Module 2 : ICAO Safety Management Provisions Module 3A/B : State Safety Programme Safety Management Systems
Course Demo
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Course Demo
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Course Demo
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Course Demo
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Course Demo
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Course Demo
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Course Demo
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Course Demo
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Course Demo
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Course Demo
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Draft May 2014, for internal use only
SPI Development
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
SSP SPI
• The State should – Establish lower consequence safety and/or quality
indicators with appropriate target and alert monitoring (mature ALoSP).
– Safety indicators development and selection should be congruent to the State‘s safety objectives and safety policy.
– They should be appropriate and relevant to the scope and complexity of the State‘s aviation activities.
– Periodic monitoring of the safety indicators for any undesirable trends, alert level breaches and target achievement should be performed.
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
SPI Pyramid
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Digitization
Event
Airport
Airline
Collect characteristics about entities
Database
Entity records
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Building Metrics
Entity records
Database(s)
Metrics
Count
Sum
Average
Select
Categorization
Sum of y
Number of x
Average of z
Rate of r per t
Percentage of p
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Metrics catalogue
• Keep you metrics in one place
• Publish the metrics for transparency and reusability
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Indicators
Metrics
Sum of y
Number of x
Average of z
Rate of r per t
Percentage of p
GOAL (Improve
Safety, etc.)
Select metrics for which it was
determined that they help achieve
the goal
Number of x
Indicator
Rate of r per t
Indicator
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Indicator Types
• Activities indicators are designed to help identify whether enterprises/organisations are taking actions believed to lower risks – Audit score – Inspection results
• Outcome indicators are designed to help measure whether such actions are, in fact, leading to less likelihood or severity of an accident occurring – Number of fatalities – Accident rate
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Key Indicators
GOAL
Select indicators which 1. can be targeted, and 2. which can be acted
on 3. Mix outcome and
activity
Objective
Goal
Number of x
Key Indicator
Number of x
Indicator
Rate of r per t
Indicator
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Example: Millenium Indicators Objective
Goal Key Indicator
Proportion of x
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Example: Millenium Indicators
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
ICAO Global Aviation Safety Plan
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
ICAO GASP Objectives
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
European Safety Plan
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Belgian Safety Plan
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
CAA UK Objectives (CAP784)
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Dutch Objectives
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
Dutch Vision
What are your
objectives?
82
Draft May 2014, for internal use only
SPI Development Plan
1. Define your Goals (Small sentence and rational) 2. Define your aggregation levels 3. List your data sources and link to aggregation
levels 4. Define key indicators, helper metrics and
development needs for each goal
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