Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com2

We are bombarded with depressing news

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

It feels like we are headed for a dire future

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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Dictatorships are on the wane

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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

82% decrease in global poverty in only 40 years

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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

650M people came out of poverty in China in 30 years

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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Shenzen in the 1980’s and 2013

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1980’s

2013

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Increasing oil reserves despite record consumption

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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Fundamental changes in our way of life

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Office work in the 1970’s… and in 2013

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Over the long run recessions barely register

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The Great

Depression

Oil Shocks

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Our lives have been transformed for the better

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Life expectancy 2X Childhood mortality /10Per capita income 3X

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

We have redefined “poverty”

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Americans in poverty have:

• 99% have electricity, water, toilet & refrigerator

• 95% have a television

• 88% have a mobile phone

• 70% have a car and air conditioning

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

The world is more peaceful than ever before

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Africa is rising

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Source:: GSMA AFRICA MOBILE OBSERVATORY 2011

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Estonia is setting an example for other countries to follow

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• 24% of people voted online in 2011

• 93% fill personal tax returns online

• Companies can be setup online

• Online school reports including homework, grades, etc.

• Online medical records

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

3D Printing is revolutionizing manufacturing

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3D Printing has already

revolutionized prototyping…is being increasingly

used to make final parts…

and may revolutionize medicine

with the printing of organs

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Healthcare is finally becoming computerized

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Watson is better at diagnosing certain

cancers than traditional doctors

Star Trek-like medical tricorders

should enter the market within 5 years

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Robots are invading factories and our lives

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Drones will reduce by over

90% the average shipping

time we experience today

The Da Vinci Robot is more

precise than the best surgeon

for non-invasive surgeries.

Atlas Robot is designed to

save lives in disaster zones

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

The Internet of Things will improve our daily lives

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Egg-minder tells us when

eggs are going bad

Nest learns our habits and adjusts

our home’s temperature accordingly

and gets smarter every time we use it

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Education is also finally entering the technology age

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From traditional classrooms… to computerized classrooms… and “global” classrooms

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Transportation will be significantly improved

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Average Driver: 1.8 accidents every 300,000 miles Self driving car: 0 accidents every 300,000 miles

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Communications are headed for a revolution

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Movie reconstruction from brain activity First example of human brain-to-brain communication

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Energy is abundant, the issue is accessibility

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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Aluminum was more expensive than gold in the 1800’s

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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Solar energy is increasingly becoming cost competitive

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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Innovations are happening in water purification…

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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

… and farming

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Fabrice Grinda

www.fabricegrinda.comfabrice@grinda.org

@fabricegrinda