Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

Exponential Technologies and

Sustainable HumanityFinnsight 2016, Helsinki

Charles@curriculumredesign.org #4DEdu @CurrRedesign

40 years of friendship with Suomi

1970’s:

1980’s:

1990’s:

2000’s:

Low/Medium value-added goods

High value-added goods

High value-added IP/services

Whatshould students learn for the

21st century?

Question

What will the world be like 20 years from now?

Climate change Personal privacy

Financial instability Political partisanship

The road ahead is challenging…

Inequities

Technological disruptions

Religious intolerance

At the mercy of the weakest link

Impact of Migration

50˚ C in MENA

summer 2016

Human Interdependency…

Second Question

What will the world be like 20 years from now?

What will you need to be successful in that world?

The Power of Exponential Technologies

Role of Technology – Leverage, if used well

"Give me a lever, a fulcrum, and place to stand,

and I will move the world." Archimedes of Syracuse (287-212 BC),

quoted by Pappus of Alexandria, Synagoge, c. 340 AD

And if not used well…

"Technological progress is like an axe in the hands of a pathological criminal.“

Albert Einstein

On the road to ExoBrain

Source: Moravec/Kurzweil/SU

One-Two-Three-Four punchesSyNAPSE (chip) + BlueBrain (system) + Watson (software) + Cloud Computing (infrastructure)

SyNAPSE

Augmented Reality - Video

Emotions detected in the body

.Source: Lauri Nummenmaa at al., Bodily maps of emotions, PNAS, 646–651, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1321664111 (open access)

Virtual Reality - Video

Music exercise – Audio

“1950”

Enjoying artistry

Computers can sketch too !

• Seven artists generated about 8,000 pen strokes

• Disney's software analyzed distance between facial features

WikiBots

42% of Wikipedia is edited by 12 bots !

https://x.ai/about/

Artificial Intelligence applied everywhere

Robots learning from each other

• Knowledge and experience shared worldwide

• Computing tasks carried out in the Cloud

Hyperbolic improvement

Our Limited Imagination

Source: Jean-Marc Côté, 1899

Robot Serves Up 360 Hamburgers Per Hour

• Pays for itself in a year

• No cashiers or servers

• Will never forget to ask “do you want fries with your order?”

3-D Printing

Brain Enhancers

Internet of Things

Quantified Self

Nanomaterials

Biotech

MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). Science, 303:540–3, 2004.)

Sequencing costs dropping faster than Moore’s Law

Genome Sequencing

From $1.5B to $1k in 15 years; @10c in another 15?

Genome Editing

STEM Cells

Miniature 'human brain' grown in lab

…will transform the understanding of neurological disorders.

The pea-sized structures reached the same level of

development as in a nine-week-old fetus…

Synthetic Biology

“BioBricks” that produce for instance:

• Arsenic biodetector: to detect arsenic contamination in water.

• BactoBlood: cost-effective red blood cell substitute constructed from engineered E. coli.

FIRST SELF-REPLICATING SYNTHETIC BACTERIAL CELL

Unintentional vs Intentional?

The Beijing Genomics Institute’s Cognitive Genomics

Project is currently doing whole-genome sequencing of

1,000 very-high-IQ people around the world, hunting for

sets of sets of IQ-predicting alleles… Kids produced by

any one couple typically differ by 5 to 15 IQ points. So

this method of "preimplantation embryo selection" might

allow IQ within every Chinese family to increase by 5 to

15 IQ points per generation…Geoffrey Miller, Evolutionary psychologist, NYU in EDGE 2013

A combinatorial explosion of possibilities Accelerating change!

Good news – 2016 Innovation Index

Innovation follows patterns automatableSource: Invention Machine “IM Labs”

Incremental vs Radical Innovation

• Incremental innovation = improving existing “state”

• Radical innovation = inventing completely new “state”

Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical innovation soon

Bad news: Incremental innovation is estimated at 95% of total (Clayton Christensen)

The Race between Technology and Education

Inspired by “The race between technology and education” Pr. Goldin & Katz (Harvard)

Industrial Revolution

Social pain

Prosperity

Technology

Education

Digital Revolution

“Event Horizon”: What if formal education cannot catch up ?

Present/Future world Adaptability Versatility as key strategy

From T-shaped to m-shaped

mTBroad Knowledge

Single Multiple

Deep Expertise

STEM AND Humanities AND ArtsKnowledge AND Competencies

Source: Jim Spohrer, IBM

Goal of Education: Fulfilled Individuals andSustainable Humanity

Employability

10 Jobs that did not exist 10 years ago

Job Pay level

App developer High

Social media manager Medium

Uber driver Low

Driverless car engineer High

Cloud computing specialist High

Big data analyst/data scientist High

Sustainability manager Medium

YouTube content creators Medium

Drone operators Medium

Millennial generational expert MediumSource: World Economic Forum “Future of Jobs”

Fastest-growing in the USFastest growing jobs Pay level

Wind turbine service technicians Medium

Occupational therapy assistants Medium

Physical therapist assistants Medium

Physical therapist aides Low

Home health aides Low

Commercial divers Medium

Nurse practitioners Medium

Physical therapists Medium

Statisticians High

Ambulance drivers LowSource: US Bureau of Labor Statistics: occupations with the highest percent change of employment between 2014-24

Disconnect between youth, employers and educators

“Please, may I ask where you’re going with all this?”

Students beg for Relevance

Source: New Yorker

We agree

Subject Evolution - slow

History

Philosophy & Ethics

Arithmetic

Geometry

Astronomy

Biology, Chemistry, Physics

Algebra, Trigonometry, Calculus ST

Reading, Writing

Literature

Oratory

Rhetoric

Grammar, Handwriting, Spelling

Greek, Latin

Contemporary Languages incl. 2nd language

Ancient Greece & Rome

Early Christianity & Middle Ages

Renaissance & Enlightenment

Modern Industrial

EraToday

Making Education Relevant

A LOT MORE>

Human Potential

Societal Wellbeing

Collective Prosperity

The Benefits of Education

with key global players

International

Organizations

International

OrganizationsInternational

Organizations

Jurisdictions

International

OrganizationsAcademia

International

Organizations

Foundations

& Non-Profits

International

OrganizationsCorporations

Jurisdictions face many “asks”

citizenship/civics… creativity…

entrepreneurship…

robotics…

mathematics… ethics…

global literacy…

courage…

“grit”…

leadership… collaboration…

How does one make sense of it all?

Modern world needs deeper understanding

Introduce Modern Knowledge

and Harness Interdisciplinarity

Robotics

Entrepreneurship

Wellness

and more…

Embed Cross Cutting Themes

Global LiteracyInformation LiteracyEnvironmental LiteracyDigital LiteracySystems ThinkingDesign Thinking

Photo: Radek Szuban

Learn skills

4 C’s

• Creativity

• Critical Thinking

• Communication

• Collaboration

Build Character

• Mindfulness• Curiosity• Courage

• Resilience• Ethics• Leadership

Matrix between Knowledge & other Dimensions

Competencies are expressed through Knowledge domain

Some Competencies will need out-of-school development

“Clear and actionable, first-of-its-kind organizing framework of competencies needed”

Andreas Schleicher,

“Educators worldwide [need] to rapidly operationalize these dimensions”

Todd Rose,

Harvard Universityhttp://bit.ly/4DEdu

What do we remove ?

Deep re-examination of every single discipline’s branches, topics, items…

Will we need to learn a foreign language?

iPhone app: Speech-to-speech translator for 95% of world population (23 languages)http://www.ustar-consortium.com/

Change Management - Inertia

Shaping (globally caring) Leaders

Are we doing so decisively, deliberately, and time-wise?

Brighter Future via Education

• To shape a better world/Finland via its youth

• To export intellectual property

Kiitos !“The future is already here – it's just

not very evenly distributed.”

William Gibson

www.curriculumredesign.org @CurrRedesign

Let’s shape education for the

future we want!

Charles@curriculumredesign.org #4DEdu

Exponential Technologies and Sustainable Humanity · MOLECULAR CARTOGRAPHY: 2,898 proteins (nodes) by 5,460 interactions (edges). ... Good news: Computers unlikely capable of radical

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