Energy 2030 4 pager 2017bk - Australian Greens

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WesternAustraliaisblessedwithsomeoftheworld’sbestrenewableenergyresourcesandavailablelandonwhichtobuildtheinfrastructure,yetwehaveoneofthelowestmixesofrenewableenergyinthedevelopedworld.Just9%ofWA’spowercomesfromrenewablesources,imuchlowerthantheglobalaverage,whichisnow19%.Meanwhile,WA’stotalannualgreenhousegasemissionshaveincreasedby8%since2010to86milliontonnesofCO2eperyear.Thisincludesincludes49.3MtCO2efromthestationaryenergysector(upby2%since2010ii).ThecommencementofthePlutoandGorgonLNGhubsaddafurther10MtCO2eiii.IncontraventiontotheParisAgreementwhichsetsoutaglobalactionplanlimitglobalwarmingtowellbelow2C,weareheadingtowardsaclimatecatastrophe.Ourplanetiswarming,sealevelsarerising,andwearelivingthroughhottersummers,reducedrainfallinwinterandspringandmoreextremeweatherevents.Notonlydoesclimatechangehavedevastatingimpactsonthenaturalandbuiltenvironments,butimpactsourhealthandoureconomy.Thereamoralimperativeanditmakeseconomicsensetoactnow.Thecoalindustryisinstructuraldeclineandtheworldisshiftingtowardscleanenergy.

> ENERGY 2030 Asoneofthesunniestandwindiestplacesintheworld,WAcanleadthetransitiontoacleanenergypoweredfuture.ThisiswhytheGreensaretheonlypartyprovidingagenuinesolutionbyshowingacrediblepathwayto100%renewablepowerontheWASouthWestgrid.Energy2030buildsonourpreviousEnergy2029reportsaswellasanumberofcrediblestudiesthathaveshown100%renewableenergyistechnicallyachievable,includingonebytheAustralianEnergyMarketOperator(AEMO)iv.Therearenowmanycountriesandcitieswith100%renewableenergyplans,aswellascredibleandcostedroadmapsshowingnotonlyisitpossible,butcheaper,safer,andwillcreatemorejobsthanthefossil-dependentbusinessasusual.

TheGreens’Energy2030Planwill:

1. Introduceatargetof100%renewableenergyby2030andincreaseourenergyefficiencybyatleastonethird;

2. EstablishanewgovernmentauthoritycalledRenewWesternAustraliatodrivethetransition,responsibleforplanningandleveraging$500millionofinvestmentintoconstructionofnewenergygenerationoverthenextfouryearsinWA;

3. Supportworkersaswetransitionawayfromfossilfuelsthrougha$100mCleanEnergyTransitionFundtoensurecoalworkersandcommunitiesarenotleftbehind,with$6.6meachyearfordirecttrainingandre-skillingprogramsandinvestmentfornewbusinesses;

4. IntroduceastagedPhaseoutPlanbasedonnewemissionsandpollutionintensitystandards,toenabletheorderlyandstableclosureofourdirtiestcoalandgas-firedpowerstations,andafairtransitionforall.

> CREDIBLE SCENARIOS Energy2030modelledtwodifferentscenariosfortheSouthWestInterconnectedSystem(SWIS)andshoweditisnotonlytechnicallypossibletoachievea100%renewably-poweredgridbuttheoverallcostwouldbecheaperthanbusinessasusual.

Scenario1:Locationandtypeoftechnology

ENERGY 2030

The Greens’ vision for 100% renewable electricity by 2030

Theworldisrapidlyembracingcleanenergy.Anenergysectordrivenbyrenewabletechnologiesandinnovationisthepathtonewjobsandprosperity.Weneedleadershipfromourgovernmenttosecureafairtransitionforworkersandcommunities,andtoharnessthejobsofthefuture.

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Scenario1:EmphasiseslargescalesolarthermalFoundWAcouldachieve100%renewablypoweredelectricityfrom:

- 12solarthermal(CST)stations- 29windfarms- 4existingBiomassplants- 6utilityscaleSolarPVfarms- Upto700,000householdsandbusinessesinstalling

solarPVandbatterystorageScenario2:Focusedonlowest-costtechnologies(Wind&PV):FoundWAcouldachieve100%renewableelectricityfrom:

- 27windfarms- 2solarthermal(CST)stations- 8SolarPVfarmsand- 4existingbiomassplants- Upto700,000householdsandbusinessesnstalling

solarPVandbatterystorageThegoodnewsisthatwhilebothScenarioswillneed41-51renewablepowerstationsby2030,17alreadyexist.We’realreadywellonourway.

> CLEAN ENERGY JOBS Energy2030isajobsrichplan.Themoveto100%renewablepowercreates151,000–156,000jobsto2030,orabout12,000newjobseachyear.Thisincludes:

- 79,000-87,000jobsinconstructionandinstallation;- 6000-8000jobsinoperationsandmaintenance;and- 49,000-55,000jobsinmanufacturing.

(*Calculationsareinjobyearswhichmeansoneyearofonejob)ThisishigherthanthenumberofpeopleemployedinWA’sentireminingindustryattheheightoftheminingboom.v

JobsfiguresforScenario1by2030

MW(Cap)

C&IJobs

O&MJobs

Manf.Jobs

Total

RooftopPV 1,200 15,730 847 8,107 25,894

Solarthermal

1,200 1,560 720 1,116 4,596

TrackingPV 800 10,400 560 5,360 17,120

Wind 5,480 17,542 1,645 25,765 50,434

Biomass 3,000 42,182 4,520 8,738 58,452

Totaljobs 87,414 8,291 49,086 156,497

Manyofthesejobswillbelocatedinregionalareasandwouldprovideamassiveboosttolocaleconomies,aswellasnewopportunitiesfortrainingandtrades.vi

> CHEAPER THAN BUSINESS AS USUAL Energy2030showswecouldachieve100%renewableenergyforthesamecostorlessthanbusinessasusual.Manystudieshavefound100%renewableenergywouldproduceelectricitypricesatanamountsimilartobusinessasusualifthereisatleastsomeglobalactiononclimatechange,includingreportsbytheindependentanalysisfromtheCentreforEnergyandEnvironmentalMarketsattheUniversityofNSWviiandtheAEMO.viii

Ourstudyfounditwouldinfactbecheaperthanbusinessasusual,whenacarbonpriceof$30/tCo2wasaddedandsurplusgenerationissoldat$30/MWh:

• Scenario1(CSTfocus)LCOE$125.80/MWh• Scenario2(WindandPVfocus)LCOE$121.45/MWh• Scenario3–BusinessasusualLCOE$129/MWh

> NO CHANGE TO YOUR POWER BILLS OurmodellingofthecostofelectricityforeachScenarioby2030showsthatgoingto100%renewableelectricitywillhavenoimpactonpeople’spowerbillsatall,withallscenariosincludingbusinessasusualcostingus27c/kWhrby2030.

Overthelongertermhowevertheaveragehouseholdpowerbillwouldbesignificantlylessgiventherewillbenofuelcosts.Recentstudieshaveshownthatbillionscouldactuallybesavedfromthetransitiontorenewablesoverthelongterm.

Oneofthebiggestmythsisthatrenewableenergydrivesuppricesforeveryoneelse,whentheoppositeistrue.RecentanalysisoftheRenewableEnergyTarget(RET)showedpowerpriceswillbecheaperwiththeRET,andinthelongrunitwillsaveeveryAustralianhouseholdupto$140ontheirelectricitybilleachyearix.

AnationalstudycalledtheHomegrownPowerPlanalsofoundthecostoftransitioningAustralia’senergysystemto100%renewablesby2050wouldpayforitselfinlowerpricesby2025,andsave$90billionby2050,andfuelcostsavingswouldcover110%ofthecapitalinvestmentneededxxi.

> PHASE OUT PLAN Energy2030includesatimetableforastaged,stableclosureoffossil-fueledpowerstations.

Approximately500MWayearinnewrenewablecapacityisaddedtothegridaswepowerdownourmostpollutingandinefficientfossilpowergenerators,basedonnewemissionsintensityandairpollutionstandardstheGreenswillintroduce.

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By2030allcoalgenerationhasbeenphasedout,andsomegas-turbineshavebeenretainedandmodifiedtorunonbio-fuelsduringpotentialshortfallperiodsoflowsolarandwindsupply.

Figure1:Energy2030PhaseOutPlanThetransitionfromourexistingprimarilyfossil-fuelledelectricitygenerationsystemto100%renewablesourceswillensureareliableandeconomicallyaffordablesupplyasalltheexistingcoalplantsareretiredandthegasplantsarereducedandmodifiedtorunonbiomassfuelsupply.OurPlanincludesa20%oversupplyofrenewalblepoweratanyonetime.Therenewablemixwillconsistofwind,solarPV,solarthermalandbiomass.

> SUPPORTING TRANSITION IN COLLIE Theglobalenergymarketisundergoingmassivestructuralshifts,andfossilfuelindustriesfaceuncertaintyastheinevitableshifttorenewablesgatherspace.HereinWAastheminingconstructionalsophasesdown,thousandsofworkersfacetheprospectofunemploymentwithnotransitionplaninplace.

WehavearesponsibilitytoensureWAworkersarelookedafterandthisiswhytheGreensarestronglyadvocatingforajustandstabletransition.Wearecommittedtoensuringnoworkersareleftbehindaswetransitionfromfossilfuels,andthatcommunitiesaresupportedduringtheinevitableclosureofcoalminesandpowerstations.

WA’stwoblackcoalminesarelocatedinCollie,employingalmost900people.InadditionhundredsmoreareemployedatCollie’sMuja,Bluewaters,andCollie1powerstations.

Thisiswhywehaveproposeda$100mCleanEnergyTransitionFundtoensurecoalworkersandcommunitiesarenotleftbehind,with$7.5meachyearfordirecttrainingandre-skilling

programs,investmentfornewbusinesses,andtoassistnewindustriesmovetoaffectedareas.

TheGreensarealsocommittedtoworkingwiththeColliecommunitytohelpdevelopatransitionplan,andbuildonourworkandoutreachin2013whichidentifiedCollieasafuturerenewableenergyzoneinWA.

Collieisanidealfuturerenewablehubbecauseithashighqualityrenewableenergyresourcesincludingsolar,biomassandwind;it’sideallylocatedtosupplyrenewableenergytotheSouth-WestInterconnectedSystem(SWIS),therearealreadybillionsofdollarsinvestedinpowergenerationandtransmissioninfrastructure,andithasalocalworkforceskilledinelectricitygenerationandmaintenance,withtransferableskillsrelevanttolargescale/utilitysizerenewableenergygeneration.

Draggingusbackwards:Barnett’stotalfailonclimateandenergy

ü CompletelyoverestimatedWA’senergydemand–

costingus$200millionayearinextracapacityü Refurbishedinsteadofretiringageingcoal-fired

powerstationMujaAB,costingtaxpayers$330million

ü Caughttotallyoff-guardbythemassivedemandforrooftopPV

ü Paidoutmodedpowerstationstostayonincasethey’reneeded

ü Forcedhouseholdstosigncontractssayingtheywouldn’tinstallbatterystoragesystemsorlargerooftopsolarpvintheirownhouseLockedinWA’songoingoversupplyofdirtyelectricityfor20or30yearsviasecretcontractsandtheCollieCoaldebacle

ü Activelypreventedentryintothemarketbycleanenergycompaniesorcommunity-ownedrenewableorganisations

ü Noemissionsreductiontargetü NoClimateChangeUnit–heabolishedthisin2013ü Nocommitmenttorenewablesbeyondtheexisting

federaltargetof20%by2020ü Nofeed-intariffforrenewableenergysince2011ü Hardlyanyfundingorpoliciesforstimulatingthe

renewableenergyindustry,withgroundbreakingpilotprojectsbeingfundedmainlybyARENA,andrecentcutstotheLowEmissionsEnergyDevelopmentFundof$3.5million

ü A20-yearenergyplanproposingbothincreasesinenergydemandandrelianceonfossilfuels

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> OUR COMPREHENSIVE PACKAGE FORWADuringthe2016federalelectiontheGreensreleasedanumberofpackagestosupportAustralia’scleanenergyfuture.Thisincluded:

• $2.8billionforBatterystorage,with$280mforWA• $201millionforElectricVehicleinfrastructureand

incentives,withxforWA• $304millionforcommunity-ownedrenewables,with

xforWA• $197millionforhomes,schoolsandbusinesses,withx

forWA• $240millionforrenewablesinpublicandcommunity

housing,withxforWA;and• $474millionforrenewablesandretrofittingrental

propertiess,withxforWA

OurfullEnergy2030Planisavailableathttp://www.energy2030.org.au/

iWesternAustralianGovernmentPublicUtilitiesOffice.Athttp://www.finance.wa.gov.au/cms/content.aspx?id=15108iiQuestiononNotice11October2016byRobinChappleMLC,totheMinisterforEnergy,usingCommonwealthDepartmentofEnvironment2016StateandTerritoryGreenhouseGasInventories2014.Accessed17October2016.iiiWithafurther3projects,theBrowseBasin,PreludeandWheatstoneprojectsduetocomeonlinethiswilladdanother24mtpahttp://www.robinchapple.com/wa-co2e-emissions-estimates-2012ivhttp://www.climatechange.gov.au/reducing-carbon/aemo-report-100-renewable-electricity-scenariosvIncludingconstruction,extraction,exploration,operations,administrationandmaintenance)of127,221ABSCatalogue8415.0‘MiningOperations’employmentfigures2014-15(ReleasedMay2016)andABSMiningconstructionsectoremployment(using2011Censusfigures).viCleanEnergyCouncil,‘CleanEnergyCareerHub’,CleanEnergyCouncilwebsite,2014,accessed11April2016.viiDrJennyRiesz,BenElliston,Assoc.ProfIainMacGill,Assoc.ProfMarkDiesendorf(2013).Submissionon100percentRenewablesStudy–DraftModellingOutcomesReport.CentreforEnergyandEnvironmentalMarketsUniversityofNSW.viiihttp://www.climatechange.gov.au/reducing-carbon/aemo-report-100-renewable-electricity-scenariosixCleanEnergyCouncil(2014)RETPolicyAnalysis.Atfile:///C:/Users/carusoc/Downloads/RET%20policy%20analysis%20-%20full%20report.pdfxhttp://cdn.getup.org.au/1499-Homegrown_Power_Plan_-Full_Report.pdfxiSeealsotheGuardian’ssummaryofreport:http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/apr/19/modelling-shows-move-to-100-renewable-energy-would-save-australia-money