Developing the India smallholder dairy value chain impact pathway(s)
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Developing the India Smallholder Dairy Value Chain Impact Pathway(s)
Michael Kidoido
Workshop on Smallholder Dairy Value Chain Transformation in Bihar – Challenges, Opportunities and the Way Forward
Patna, India, 1-2 August 2014
• The L&F CRP’s objective in India is:
“To sustainably increase the productivity of small holder daily production to increase the supply and affordability of milk and dairy products for poor producers and for poor consumers.”
• However to do this?Develop articulate pathways to impact with partners, Identify how interventions will deliver the benefits, and how actors will have to change to cause the
desired outcome, will need to be clearly defined and mapped out.
Introduction
Rationale• There is an increasing expectation of the CG to
demonstrate that it is making a difference in the welfare of beneficiaries • An increasing need for development programs
to monitor and adjust progress towards achieving impact • Its important to monitor and learn during
program implementation to increase the probability of progress towards impact
• Impact Pathways (IPs) are result chains that represent the steps from outputs to impact at scale, through successive outcomes resulting from adoption and use of program outputs by various stakeholders along the paths.
Development Outcomes
Impact
Research Outputs
Research Outcomes
Impact pathways and Theories of Change (ToC)
Theory of change (TOC)• ToCs extend IPs by describing the causal assumptions and risks
behind these links– Assumptions are supporting factors and risks are confounding factors– If assumptions and risks associated with the arrows are identified and explained, then
have a ToC.
Development Outcomes
Impact
Research Outputs
Research Outcomes
Description of causal mechanism, with evidence
Description of causal mechanism, with evidence
Applications of Impact Pathways and ToCs
• Designing and planning interventions Design interventionsUnderstanding and agreeing on interventions Ex-ante evaluation of interventions
• Managing interventions Designing monitoring and evaluation systems Managing adaptively
• Assessing interventions Designing evaluation questions, methods and tools Making causal claims Reporting performance
• Scaling Generalizing of the theory to other locations
Characteristics of IPs/ToCs • Are time dependent
Reflect understanding up to that point in time Should evolve to reflect current thinking
• Have different purposesHence likely to be different
• Need to recognize uncertaintiesThey are deterministic
• Can be ex-ante or ex-post
So what should IPs/ToCs inlcude?• Research outputs • Capacity change outcomes • Behavioral change outcomes • Enabling environment outcomes • Direct benefits outcomes• Program level impact
Capacity development approaches Professional development courses On the job trainings and activities
Research outputs
These include information, understanding and new approaches of putting research into action
Change in knowledge, awareness and skills Change in capacity of beneficiaries and intermediaries
Capacity change outcomes
Behavioral change outcomes
• Change in actual practices of beneficiaries and “next users” Land use planners using GIS maps Smallholders adopt improved crop varieties NARES approach to soil management adapted to local
conditions
• New policies and policy instruments• New or better functioning institutions
(formal or informal) Functional seed distribution system Increased value chain productivity Policies e.g better use of natural resources
adopted
Enabling environment outcomes
• These are largely the CRP IDOs • Increased productivity for beneficiaries • Improved distribution of opportunities, income,
food security and nutrition benefits to the target group
• Reduced degradation of natural resources• Examples:
Increased income for smallholder farmers from adopting improved varieties
Increased consumption of biofortified foods Reduced loss of biodiversity and genetic resources
Direct benefits outcomes
• Enhanced livelihoods in target domains across the program
Increased food security Reduced rural poverty Reduced under nutrition Enhanced sustainability of natural
resources in target domain across program
Program impacts
Generic program Impact Pathway(s)/TOC
Assumption:Increased and equitable consumption of ASF will improve nutrition and
health.
Nested value chain Impact pathway(s)/Tocs
• L&F is a complex program and needs nested IPs• Nested IPs can be around
By types of strategies being applied By target groups
• In our case they are the value chains • So far we have developed IPs for:
Tanzania, Uganda, Nicaragua, Vietnam, Ethiopia and Egypt.
• These allow closer monitoring, evaluation and learning at the value chain level
“Systems assessment to support value chain transformation ”
An example of a nested IP from Tanzania dairy value chain:
Impact Pathway 3: Systems assessments to support value chain transformation.
Improved household nutrition and health status
Increased household income from dairy production
PRO
GRA
M O
UTP
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CHAN
GE
IN P
RACT
ICE
ATTI
TUD
E A
ND
KN
OW
LED
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IMM
EDIA
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OU
TCO
MES
Evidence of tested best dairy practices
INTE
RMED
IATE
O
UTC
OM
ES
Farmers use best dairy practices
Decreased outbreaks of animal diseases
INTE
RVEN
TIO
NS Provide evidence for scaling out and
scaling up; co-create technologies and do action research; use diagnostic studies to design research
Develop the capacity of traders associations in market information, quality assurance, and business management
Rational milk marketing options
Increased household asset ownership
"Next users" and researchers adapt better mechanisms of communicating evidence of best dairy practices
Unchanged status of natural resources
Improved quality and of dairy products lower incidences of zoonotic diseases
Healthier dairy animals
Build capacity of actors in advocacy and lobbying skills and link farmers’ groups to apex bodies including Tanzania Dairy Forum
Strategies for engaging policy and regulatory bodies
Sustainable farmer groups and organizations
More localized and incentive based regulatory standards
Improved quality and of dairy products lower incidences of zoonotic diseases
Rational milk marketing options
Better environment for pro-poor dairy development
The DDF lobbies for required policy shift
“Dairy practices for farmers and traders Toc”
An example of a sub-ToC from “Innovative strategies to increase consumption of dairy products” impact pathway:
PRA undertaken on best practices
Evidence-based information on tested best
practices
Farmers and traders informed training offered
Farmers and traders KAS increased
Farmers and traders use best practices Assumptions:
• Practices are inexpensive • Actors can see the benefits • Regulations are supportive • Actors are subsidized for
social cost avoidance • There is incentive to adopt
the best practices • Collective action occurs
Examples of research questions from the assumptions:• How to best convince actors to adopt?• What incentives might be used? • How can benefits from new practices be
widely demonstrated?• Which regulatory regime is best suited to
facilitate and support the new best airy practices?
Program M&E/IA next steps • Develop and publish the Bihar Dairy Value
chain ToC/IP narratives • Develop the Bihar Dairy value chain L&F
specific MEL frameworks based on the value chains Impact Pathway(s) and ToCs
• Support ongoing value chain evaluations to continue testing L&F Theory of change
Objectives of the workshop
Communicate and validate the program’s intervention logic,
Question and clarify the program’s potential for achieving impact,
Begin to lay the building blocks for designing a MEL framework,
Refine the theories of change and the underlying assumptions of causality for the four main intervention areas of the Bihar Dairy Value chain,
Sketch the impact pathways of the four components.
CGIAR is a global partnership that unites organizations engaged in research for a food secure future. The CGIAR Research Program on Livestock and Fish aims to increase the productivity of small-scale livestock and fish systems in sustainable ways, making meat, milk and fish more available and affordable across the developing world.
CGIAR Research Program on Livestock and Fish
livestockfish.cgiar.org
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