Cyber and influence

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Presentation on the extent to what operations in cyberspace potentially influence people's perception, attitude, or behaviour.

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Cyber and Influence

Computer Network Operations (CNO) affecting people‘s perception, attitude, or

behaviour

(C) 2010-11 by LTC U.M. Janßen, NSO/ISTAR

Cyber SpaceCyber War

Cyber TerrorismCyber Security

Cyber LawCyber – Hype???

Cyber Space• the electronic medium of computer networks, in which

online communication takes place.• the dynamic realization of electromagnetic energy

through the application of communication and control technology.

• a global domain that allows an interdependent network of information technology infrastructures (ITI), telecommunications networks, computer processing systems, integrated sensors, system control networks, embedded processors and controllers common to global control and communications across the electro-magnetic environment.

• a social experience, individuals can interact, exchange ideas, share information, provide social support, conduct business, direct actions, create artistic media, play games, engage in political discussion, and so on …

(Wikipedia)

Understanding the Environment

Internet Continues to Develop• Social Networking – Facebook, Myspace,

Bebo, LinkedIn etc• New Media - uTube, Blogs, Twitter, Wiki• Real Worlds – Google Streetview/Earth• Virtual Worlds – 2nd Life, WoWarcraft• Communications – Skype, Bittorrent• Mobile Devices – Blackberry, iPhone

Hardware (PC, Laptop, Server)

Firmware (Microcode, BIOS)

Operating System (Windows, MacOS)

Application (Explorer, Word, Excel)

Plugins (Java, Active X, Flash, Viewers)

Applets & Objects (Java Code, Images etc)

Content (Web Pages, Email etc)

1.97 Billion Users – more than 1/3 of global pop

Impact on almost every facet of modern life – with growing in importance!

Actors

Cyber War Agencies/Commands

Hacker Community(Individuals / Groups)

Industry

Intelligence

Agencies Research

Labs

Law Enforcement Agencies

CriminalsTerrorists

Cyber Threat

Low High

High

Low

PossibleDamage

Probability of an event

2000

2005

2010

InsiderCriminals

IndustrialEspionage

Terrorists

Governmental

CriticalInfrastructure

Threat is a function of intent

(will) to act, understanding of the situation, and

capabilities to enforce will.

Threat is a function of intent

(will) to act, understanding of the situation, and

capabilities to enforce will.

Current threats - TTP• Caused by increased access• Disclosure of information• Corruption of information• Denial of service• Theft of resources• Loss of credit or reputation• Cyber Crime• Spam• Bulletproof Hosting• Malware• …?

Increased access

Social Engineering

War Driving

Tapping Fibre Optical Cable

Scanning and Sniffing

Disclosure of information

Keylogging

Printer - Copying

„Liechtensteining“

Spying

Denial of Service

DDoS

Buffer Overflow

Cable separation

Bounce Mail

Denial of ServiceSabotage

Loss of Credit or Reputation

Example:Maximilian

Example:Maximilian

Cyber CrimeSpectrum of Options

Phishing Malware

DoS/DDoSSPAM

ChildPorn Games

SPAM-Mail without content

SPAM

Manipulated Security Software

Cyber & Social Media

• Social activity vs. Cyber Ops / CNO– Observe, monitor– Act– Attribution

• Cyber mobbing / bullying– Use connectivity to blame your colleague /

boss … a government– Submit exposing photos, videos– Promulgate private information– Isolate … “De-friend”

Cyber & Military

• Ops affecting INFOSEC– Availability, confidentiality, integrity of information

• IKM– Information gathering, processing, managing,

sharing

• NNEC– Information sharing, exchanging– Data links, sensors, effectors– COP– Enabling rather than Cyber Ops weapon system

NATO & Cyber Ops• Policy & Doctrine

– Neither NATO Policy or Doctrine on CNO, nor allied “body” to deal with the issue

– CNO = CNE x CND x CAN– COMSEC, INFOSEC, X-SEC– Cyber Crime … Law Enforcement Task / legal concerns

• Common Defence– NCIRC– CCOE for Cyber Defence– Protection of EEFI and critical infrastructures

• Capability Development– Some nations have… national caveats– Undesired effects, BDA, loosing control– Cyber INTEL needed!

SummaryCNO affecting people’s perception,

attitude, or behaviour• Perception of the threat = f(W, U, C)• Attitude to be connected• Continue to use cyber• Virtual Battlefield in Cyber War• Cyber Attack against Estonia• Cyber Activities in RUS ./. GEO Conflict 2008• Conclusion

Cyber and Influence

Computer Network Operations (CNO) affecting people‘s perception, attitude, or

behaviour

(C) 2010-11 by LTC U.M. Janßen, NSO/ISTAR

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