CDMA Migration Path to LTECDMA Migration Path to LTEcdg.org/news/events/CDMASeminar/09_lte_asia/LTE Asia_CDG... · 2017-12-08 · •EiflttEconomies of scale matters •A mature ecosystem
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CDMA Migration Path to LTECDMA Migration Path to LTECDMA Migration Path to LTECDMA Migration Path to LTETechnical & Commercial ImplicationsTechnical & Commercial ImplicationsTechnical & Commercial ImplicationsTechnical & Commercial Implications
Tina RadfordTina RadfordCDMA Development GroupCDMA Development Group
Hong KongSeptember 2009
CDG CharterCDG CharterFormed in 1993, a consortium of operator and vendor companies from Formed in 1993, a consortium of operator and vendor companies from around the world, involved in all aspects of CDMA and next generation around the world, involved in all aspects of CDMA and next generation
wireless including advocacy, marketing, regulatory support, devicewireless including advocacy, marketing, regulatory support, device
OperatorsSubscriberEquipment
wireless including advocacy, marketing, regulatory support, device wireless including advocacy, marketing, regulatory support, device availability and roaming availability and roaming
Value-AddedServices
Network Infrastructure
Network Enhancement/ Optimization
Network Interface & Access
To lead the rapid evolution and deployment of 3G and 4G systems, based on open standards andand 4G systems, based on open standards and
encompassing all core architectures, to meet the needs of markets around the world
2www.cdg.org
Information Distribution Technical Service Development Deployment Assistance
Growth of CDMA is StrongGrowth of CDMA is StrongNetworkNetworkGrowthGrowth
SubscriberSubscriberGrowthGrowth
Data RevenueData RevenueGrowthGrowth
2007 200912 more networks12 more networks
being launchedbeing launched
2008 2013Over ½ billionOver ½ billionsubscriberssubscribers
ff
2007 200835 percent35 percent
growth from topgrowth from topC *C *
2www.cdg.org
in 2009in 2009 as of June 2009as of June 2009 3 CDMA carriers*3 CDMA carriers*
* Top 3 CDMA carriers in terms of data revenue: Verizon, KDDI and Sprint
Source: CDG, August 2009 Source: Chetan Sharma, 2009Source: Net growth average of Strategy Analytics (Jun 2008), ABI (Aug 2008), Wireless Intelligence (Jul 2008), WCIS+ (Jul 2008), iGR (Mar 2008) and Yankee Group (Jun 2008) for subscriber forecasts (2008 and beyond) summed with CDG actual numbers of 2008
CDMA2000 has built a strong ecosystem and enormous economies of scaleCDMA2000 has built a strong ecosystem and enormous economies of scaleCDMA: Strong Global PresenceCDMA: Strong Global Presence
More than 315 315 operators in more than 109109 countries/territories have deployed or are planning to deploy CDMA2000
502 million CDMA Subscribers
1X EV-DORel. 0
EV-DORev. A
Commercial 281 109 70
2www.cdg.org
Commercial 281 109 70
In Deployment/Trial 23 36 38
CDMA2000 will continue to be the core business offering for CDMA2000 will continue to be the core business offering for hundreds of operators well into the next decadehundreds of operators well into the next decade
Number of CDMA2000 operators increased by nearly 30% in the past 3 yearsNumber of CDMA2000 operators increased by nearly 30% in the past 3 yearsCDMA Global Operator GrowthCDMA Global Operator Growth
New CDMA2000 Operators per YearNew CDMA2000 Operators per Year(Cumulative)(Cumulative)
2www.cdg.org
Most CDMA2000 operators will deploy EVMost CDMA2000 operators will deploy EV--DODOwireless broadband data serviceswireless broadband data services
Global CDMA2000 Device Shipments Global CDMA2000 Device Shipments CDMA2000 device shipments are expandingCDMA2000 device shipments are expanding
(Millions) Annual CDMA2000 Device ShipmentsAnnual CDMA2000 Device ShipmentsAs of December 2008As of December 2008
nts
evic
e S
hipm
eA
nnua
l De
2www.cdg.org
Sources: Average of ABI (Q4’08), Yankee (Q4’08), Gartner (Dec’08), IDC (Dec’08), IMS (Dec’08), iSuppli (Oct’08)
More than 2,110 CDMA200 devices have been More than 2,110 CDMA200 devices have been commercialized by 120 supplierscommercialized by 120 suppliers
Global CDMA2000 Subscriber ForecastGlobal CDMA2000 Subscriber ForecastCDMA2000 continues to grow at a rapid doubleCDMA2000 continues to grow at a rapid double--digit pacedigit pace
CDMA2000 Subscribers WorldwideCDMA2000 Subscribers Worldwide(Cumulative)(Cumulative)
Subscribers(Millions)
EVEV--DODOEVEV--DODO
1X1X
cdmaOnecdmaOne
2www.cdg.org
*Source: Actual CDMA Development Group**Source: Net growth average of Strategy Analytics (Jun 2008), ABI (Aug 2008), Wireless Intelligence (Jul 2008), WCIS+ (Jul 2008),
iGR (Mar 2008) and Yankee Group (Jun 2008) for subscriber forecasts (2008 and beyond) summed with CDG actual numbers of 2008
CDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 Roadmap
What do operators want?
• Meet the growing demand for voice and data
p
• Offer an unsurpassed user experience
• Reduce the cost of delivering services
• Maximize the return on existing investments• Maximize the return on existing investments
2www.cdg.org
CDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 offers a strong longCDMA2000 offers a strong long--term path forwardterm path forward
CDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 Roadmap 1X Ad d
1XE h t
CDMA2000 1XCDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 Roadmap
4X increasein voice capacity2
DL & UL: 307 kbps
Advanced
New Channel Card1.5X increase
in voice capacity1
DL & UL: 153 kbps
33-40 ErlangsDL & UL: 153 kbps
(1 25 MHz FDD)
EVRC-B + QLIC + QOF
Enhancements1X
DL & UL: 307 kbps
DOH/W
Upgrade1xEV-DO 1xEV-DO
DL & UL: 153 kbps(1.25 MHz, FDD)
Multi-Carrier
DL: 2.4 MbpsUL: 153 kbps
(1 25 MH FDD)
DL: 3.1 MbpsUL: 1.8 Mbps
(1 25 MHz FDD)
DL: 14.7 Mbps4
UL: 5.4 Mbps(5 MH FDD)
DL: 32 Mbps5
UL: 12.4 MbpsDL: 9.3 Mbps3
UL: 5.4 Mbps(5 MHz FDD)
DO Advanced
UpgradeRev BRev. ARel. 0
CarrierEV-DO
(1.25 MHz, FDD) (1.25 MHz, FDD) (5 MHz, FDD) (4x1.25 MHz, FDD)(5 MHz, FDD)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013+
2www.cdg.org
1 Capacity increase is primarily due to new EVRC-B codec, handset interference cancellation (QLIC) and Quasi-Orthogonal Functions (QOF)2 Capacity increase is primarily due to UL and DL interference cancellation, mobile receive diversity and several radio link enhancements.3 Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers with software upgrade. Doubles network capacity or triples peak data speeds. 4 Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers with hardware upgrade supporting 64 QAM in the DL. Standard supports up to 15 aggregated 1.25 MHz carriers5 DO Advanced includes smart network techniques, new device enhancements, 2x2 MIMO support, 64 QAM in the DL and 16 QAM in the UL6 Operators have the option to only implement software upgrades
1X Advanced1X AdvancedQuadruples the voice capacity of today’s industryQuadruples the voice capacity of today’s industry--leading CDMA2000 1X networksleading CDMA2000 1X networks
1X Advanced1X AdvancedNew handset & channel card
Achievable Today
4xVoice users
3xV i
xV i
1.5xVoice users
Voice users
1X Today • EVRC-B vocoder
Voice users
Without MobileRx Diversity
With Mobile Rx Diversity
Radio linkInterference1X Today• EVRC• Single RX
EVRC B vocoder• QLIC (device IC)
New handsetNetwork upgrades
Relative capacity/sector (1.25 MHz)
+Radio linkEnhancements• Efficient power control• Early termination• Smart blanking
Interference Cancellation• BTS Interference Cancellation• Advanced Device IC (QLIC)
2www.cdg.org
p y ( )
CDMA2000 1X Advanced is a natural step for operators looking to CDMA2000 1X Advanced is a natural step for operators looking to lower their cost per call and free up channels for broadband data serviceslower their cost per call and free up channels for broadband data services
1X Advanced Benefits1X Advanced BenefitsCapacity gain enabled by 1X Advanced offers several benefitsCapacity gain enabled by 1X Advanced offers several benefits
Lower Cost per Call
y g yy g y
Lower Cost per CallGreater spectral efficiency
M Mi t f UMore Minutes of UsageEnables increased voice offerings
More Efficient Use of SpectrumImportant for spectrum constrained markets
Meets Increased Data DemandFrees up channels that can be used for EV-DO services
2www.cdg.org
EVEV--DO Evolution PathDO Evolution PathEVEV--DO offers a practical solution to satisfy the real demand for broadband dataDO offers a practical solution to satisfy the real demand for broadband data
EV-DO Rev. A
Add i
Rev. A: High sector capacity, very good link budget and user-experience
– DL: 3.1 MbpsUL 1 8 MbAdd carriers
as demand increases
– UL: 1.8 Mbps
Multicarrier EV-DO: A software upgrade that EV-DO Rev AEV-DO Rev A
EV-DO Rev. AMulticarrier EV-DO
(channel aggregation)
aggregates up to three Rev. A channels– Triples peak data rates / Doubles network capacity
Rev. B: New channel card - more capacity(channel aggregation)
Add more carriers or channel cards
as demand increases
– DL: 14.7 Mbps– UL: 5.4 Mbps
DO Advanced: More network capacity and speed
– DL: 32 MbpsUL: 12 4 Mbps
DO Advanced
2www.cdg.org
– UL: 12.4 Mbps
Operators can improve network capacity and user experience with incremental software upgrades and network optimizations
EVEV--DO Evolution BenefitsDO Evolution BenefitsSelective and costSelective and cost--effective software upgrades offer several benefitseffective software upgrades offer several benefits
Improved User ExperienceGreater network capacity
Investment PreservationSoftware upgrades to existing equipmentSo t a e upg ades to e st g equ p e t
Addresses Real-World DemandIncremental upgrades at site specific locationsIncremental upgrades at site-specific locations
Service Continuity
Unified operation of Advanced Topology Networks
Backward compatibility − No service interruptions
2www.cdg.orgNote: 1. Operator demand for each enhancement varies. Some carriers may not adopt the complete set of enhancements.
Smart Network techniques
Preservation of Existing InvestmentsPreservation of Existing InvestmentsExisting 3G CDMA networks are fulfilling the demand for an extensive selection Existing 3G CDMA networks are fulfilling the demand for an extensive selection of desired applications and servicesof desired applications and servicesof desired applications and servicesof desired applications and services
2www.cdg.org
EVEV--DO is Driving Data Revenue GrowthDO is Driving Data Revenue GrowthDemand for EVDemand for EV--DO services is driving substantial data revenue per userDO services is driving substantial data revenue per user
RetailData ARPU
(USD)
Percent ofService Revenue
Verizon WirelessVerizon WirelessRetail Data ARPU and
Data Revenue as a Percent of Service Revenue
ser (
AR
PU) 1
even
ue P
er U
sAv
erag
e R
e
Annual data revenues grew 33 percent over the prior year to $3 9 billion
2www.cdg.org1 Commercial EV-DO market information based on Verizon press releases and other publicly available information, July 24, 2009
Annual data revenues grew 33 percent over the prior year to $3.9 billion.45.5 million of Verizon’s subscribers have 3G broadband EV-DO devices.
I t bilit ithI t bilit ithInteroperability withInteroperability with
LTELTELTELTE
CDMA vs. OFDMACDMA vs. OFDMACDMA and OFDMA are different technologies with different capabilitiesCDMA and OFDMA are different technologies with different capabilities
CDMA2000 1X and EVCDMA2000 1X and EV--DO are more efficient in DO are more efficient in bandwidths up to 5 MHzbandwidths up to 5 MHz
OFDMAOFDMA b d l ti ff i l i l t ti ib d l ti ff i l i l t ti i
2www.cdg.org
OFDMAOFDMA--based solutions offers a simpler implementation inbased solutions offers a simpler implementation inbandwidths greater than 10 MHzbandwidths greater than 10 MHz
CDMA2000 and OFDMCDMA2000 and OFDM--Based SolutionsBased SolutionsCDMA2000 is complemented with several OFDMCDMA2000 is complemented with several OFDM--based solutionsbased solutions
CDMA2000 E l ti P thCDMA2000 E l ti P th
CDMA2000 1X
CDMA2000 Evolution PathCDMA2000 Evolution Path
1X Advanced
1xEV-DO Rel. 0
1xEV-DORev. A
H/\WUpgrade
Rev. BMulticarrier
EV-DODO Advanced
OFDMAOFDMA--based Technologiesbased Technologies
Mobile WiMAX
LTE
oror
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013+
2www.cdg.org
LTE is part of the CDMA2000 technology roadmapLTE is part of the CDMA2000 technology roadmap
Lessons Learned: Migration from 1G to 2G to 3GLessons Learned: Migration from 1G to 2G to 3G
• Takes longer, and is never as simple as it may seem
• Graceful evolutionary change is preferred• Graceful evolutionary change is preferred
• Coverage is king
• Multimode devices are essential
E i f l tt• Economies of scale matters
• A mature ecosystem is desired
To sustain its exponential growth, To sustain its exponential growth, the global mobile industry should continue strengthening and the global mobile industry should continue strengthening and
di itdi it i tii ti t hil it b d i il tt hil it b d i il t
2www.cdg.org
expanding its expanding its existingexisting ecosystem, while it embraces and assimilates ecosystem, while it embraces and assimilates newer technologies and players within its foldnewer technologies and players within its fold
Source: IDC
CDMA Operators with Announced LTE plansCDMA Operators with Announced LTE plans
The following CDMA2000 operators have announced their plansThe following CDMA2000 operators have announced their plansto deploy LTEto deploy LTE
2www.cdg.org
Most other CDMA2000 operators do not have the requisiteMost other CDMA2000 operators do not have the requisitedemand, spectrum or capital to deploy LTEdemand, spectrum or capital to deploy LTE
LTE Interoperability: CDG Areas of FocusLTE Interoperability: CDG Areas of FocusCurrent CDG initiativesCurrent CDG initiatives
Seamless Mobility:To ensure service continuity, inter-standard hand-offs between LTE and yCDMA2000 networks is essential
System Determination:To maximize revenue, the appropriate system determination algorithms must exist in every CDMA2000/LTE device
Device Certification:To ensure full compliance, device certification from an independent third-party is sanctioned
Inter-Standard Global Roaming:To enable global roaming, inter-standard roaming between LTE and CDMA2000
2www.cdg.org
networks is essential
CDMA2000 Manufacturers Working on LTECDMA2000 Manufacturers Working on LTEThe following CDG members are developing LTE devices and equipmentThe following CDG members are developing LTE devices and equipment
Infrastructure Vendors
Chipset and Device Vendors
Test Vendors
2www.cdg.org
CDMA: Efficient and Flexible Spectrum UtilizationCDMA: Efficient and Flexible Spectrum UtilizationCDMA2000’s 1.25 MHz bandwidth facilitates subscriber traffic managementCDMA2000’s 1.25 MHz bandwidth facilitates subscriber traffic management
Minimizes “stranded” spectrum assets required to support embedded user equipment while moving between technologies
1X 1X 1X
CDMA2000 1X
1XAdvanced
EV-DOEV-DO
1X Advanced
LTE1XEV-DO
#2 M l i l
EV-DO Rev. A
EVDO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. B
#1 Multiple
#2 Multiple Bands, One Antenna Set
#3 Multi- Bands & Technologies, One OA&M Umbrella
pTechnologies, One Backhaul 1X
AdvancedEV-DO LTE
2www.cdg.org
CDMA offers greater flexibility to implement LTESeveral vendors support LTE in existing CDMA2000 base stations,
with common radios & antennas
OFDMA Broadband Overlay TimelineOFDMA Broadband Overlay TimelineOFDMOFDM--based solutions will be builtbased solutions will be built--out over time as demand grows and spectrum out over time as demand grows and spectrum becomes availablebecomes available
3G CDMA 3G CDMA WAN CoverageWAN Coverage
Today
3G CDMA3G CDMA 3G CDMA 3G CDMA
Co e ageCo e age
Next 10 years(Coexistence)
Beyond 10 years
OFDMUrban-zone
OFDMAOFDMA
OFDMUrban-zone
OFDMUrban-zone
3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDM3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDM--based solutions until based solutions until t ti b db d t k f ll bl f d li it ti b db d t k f ll bl f d li i
Beyond 10 years(Migration)
OFDMAOFDMAWAN CoverageWAN Coverage
next generation broadband networks are fully capable of delivering:next generation broadband networks are fully capable of delivering:1)1) Ubiquitous coverageUbiquitous coverage
2)2) CarrierCarrier--grade VoIPgrade VoIP
2www.cdg.org
3)3) LowLow--cost devices *cost devices *4)4) Global roaming *Global roaming *
* Harmonization of spectrum for OFDM-based solutions will be necessary to build economies of scale and enable global roaming
EVEV--DO Evolution PeriodsDO Evolution Periods
Mature VoIP;Concurrent VoIP/Data;High-Definition Multimedia;
SeamlessLTE Handoff
Aditional CapacityFemtocellsVoIP
UbiquitousEV-DO Service
EV-DODO
Advanced
MatureEV-DO
Mar
ket
gIntegration w/LTE
EV-DORev. A
EV DORev. B
Advanced
dres
sabl
e M
LTEFirst Full Scale
LTEFirst Volume
DevicesLTE
First SmallV l
% o
f Add
LTERegional First Full Scale
Deployments Volumes
Today 2010-2011 2012 2015 2017
RegionalDeployments
2www.cdg.org
y
Source: Airvana`
CDMA2000 WorldModeTM DevicesMore than 200 WorldMode devices from more than 57 vendorsMore than 200 WorldMode devices from more than 57 vendors
CDMA2000 1X+
EV DO Re A
CDMA2000 1X+
GSMEV-DO Rev. A
+
RIM BlackBerry
EV-DO Rev. A+
GSM+
GPRSNokia
GSM +
GPRSHSPA
DellPrecision Series
y8830GPRSNokia
2865
CDMA2000 1X+
EV DO Rev A
What ComesNext?
CDMA2000 1X+
EV DO R A/BEV-DO Rev. A+
HSPA
Next?Coming!
EV-DO Rev. A/B+
LTE
2www.cdg.org
LGSH-100
Samples shown, LTE WorldMode is concept only
World’s First 3G/4G WorldModeWorld’s First 3G/4G WorldModeTMTM DeviceDeviceEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EVEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EV--DO Rev A networksDO Rev A networksEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EVEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EV--DO Rev. A networksDO Rev. A networks
EV-DO Rev. A + Mobile WiMAX
FranklinU300
2www.cdg.org
Several CDMA2000/LTE multimode and multiband devicesare being developed
Next Generation Multimode DevicesNext Generation Multimode DevicesNext generation mobile broadband devices will leverage the learning curve of Next generation mobile broadband devices will leverage the learning curve of CDMA2000 W ldM dCDMA2000 W ldM d TMTM d id iCDMA2000 WorldModeCDMA2000 WorldModeTMTM devicesdevices
LTE
LTEWiMAX*EV-DO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. AEV DO R l 0
WiMAX*WCDMAHSPA+EV-DO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. AEV DO Rel 0EV-DO Rel. 0
GPS1X
EV-DO Rel. 0GPS1X
Radio Frequency Links:450 MHz 700 MHz 800 MHz 900 MHz 1500 MHzGPS 1700 MHz 1800 MHz
1900 MHz AWS 2100 MHz 2500 MHz 3500 MHz
2www.cdg.org
Radio frequency selection is carrierRadio frequency selection is carrier--dependentdependent* WiMAX is enabled using a separate chipset ** MDM 9800 and MDM 9600 chipsets will support FDD and TDD duplex modes and different carrier bandwidths.
Initial Initial WorldModeWorldMode LTE Device AvailabilityLTE Device AvailabilityCDMA industry is developing CDMA2000 / LTE multimode/multiband devicesCDMA industry is developing CDMA2000 / LTE multimode/multiband devices
Multimode LTECommercial Device Availability
Modes: • LTE• CDMA2000 1X
LTE Peak Data Rates (20 MHz):
Commercial Device Availability
• CDMA2000 1X• EV-DO Rev. A• EV-DO Rev. B• UMTS• HSPA+
DL: 50 MbpsUL: 25 Mbps
• HSPA+
HandsetPC Card
Q220112009
Q4 2010
2www.cdg.org
What about LTE voice communicationsWhat about LTE voice communicationsMost CDMA2000 operators will rely on their CDMA2000 1X network to deliver voiceMost CDMA2000 operators will rely on their CDMA2000 1X network to deliver voice
LTE only for voice and data?Or, LTE for data and 1X for traditional voice?
Factors to consider:How important is simultaneous voice & data?
How important is an all-IP service model?Should voice capacity be maximized?Should voice capacity be maximized?
CAPEX spending priorities? Handset complexity?
LTE VoIP?TraditionalC/S 1X Voice? p y
Roaming Partners?Timing?1X Advanced? EV-DO VoIP?
2www.cdg.org
Migration TimelineMigration TimelineWith an increasing number of subscribers the migration process is lengtheningWith an increasing number of subscribers the migration process is lengthening
4G4GMigration of SubscribersMigration of Subscribers
4G4G
Growth of 2G peaks3G3G
2G2G2G2G2G subs exceed 1G subs –
Roughly 15 years after inception of industry.
1G1G
Putting things into perspective.199519901985 2000 2005 20132010
2www.cdg.org
utt g t gs to pe spect eThe generational migration process will take many years.
Voice will remain the most important applicationSource: Net growth average of Strategy Analytics (Jun 2008), ABI (Aug 2008), Wireless Intelligence (Jul 2008), WCIS+ (Jul 2008), iGR (Mar 2008) and Yankee Group (Jun 2008) for subscriber forecasts (2008 and beyond) summed with CDG actual numbers of 2008
For more information…
www.CDG.org
2www.cdg.org
Backup Charts
2www.cdg.org
DO AdvancedDO AdvancedSubstantially improves network capacity and user experience using software Substantially improves network capacity and user experience using software upgrades new devices and an optional hardware upgradeupgrades new devices and an optional hardware upgradeupgrades, new devices and an optional hardware upgradeupgrades, new devices and an optional hardware upgrade
Software Upgrade
OptionalH/W Upgrade
Infra/StandardsIndependent
Software Upgrade
Ad d
Upgrade H/W UpgradeIndependentUpgrade
SmartNetworks
AdvancedTopology Networks
AdvancedDevices
AdvancedAntenna
Techniques
Smart network techniques that optimize network
Smart network techniques applied MIMO
15% i
New device enhancements:p
utilization:Smart interference management and smart load balancing that exploits partial
t k l d
q ppto advanced topology networks:microcells, picocells, femtocells and remote radio heads
~15% improvement in spectral efficiency
Enhanced equalizer, Reverse link transmit diversity, and Higher-order receive diversity
2www.cdg.org
network loads
Improved Performance with Advanced Topology Improved Performance with Advanced Topology NetworksNetworksNetworksNetworks
Smart network techniques applied to pico, femto cell deployments
N t k C it (DL)Network Capacity (DL)(Macro + Pico)
4.5X
Macro(1 Carrier)
X
EV-DO
Pico cell(2 carrier)
DO
2www.cdg.org
Source: Qualcomm simulations. assumes 1 single carrier macro, with 2 double carrier picocells. Pico-cells are placed in high demand areas of the network. Typical loading assumed on the macro BTS. MIMO not considered`
EV DO Rev. A
DOAdvanced
(with smart network techniques)
top related