BBWF 2013 Keynote: Ultra-Broadband as the Ubiquitous On-Ramp to the new Virtualized Network Reality
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
ULTRABROADBAND AS THE UBIQUITOUS ON-RAMP TO THE NEW VIRTUALIZED NETWORK REALITY (OR THE FUTURE AND HOW TO GET THERE)
Marcus Weldon October 22nd, 2013
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
THE INDUSTRY CHALLENGE
+
1€ / MACHINE 10€ / USER DEVICE
1 DEVICE / USER 10 DEVICES / USER 1
100X LOWER COST/BIT 100X MORE BYTES
1 BIG CELL/NODE 10 SMALL CELLS/NODES 2
100 CLOSED NETWORKS 1 OPEN NETWORK
10 SEPARATE DOMAINS 1 CONVERGED NETWORK
+ 3
+
1 SYSTEM / SERVICE 10M SERVERS / SERVICE
1B APPS DOWNLOADED 1B CLOUD SERVICES DELIVERED 4
CAN WE R ISE TO THE CHALLENGE ?
+
+
+
100 OSS SYSTEMS 1 CLOUD OSS 5
1 SERVICE / DECADE 1 SERVICE / DAY
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
THE INDUSTRY OPPORTUNITY
PHENOMENAL GROWTH BUT IN CHALLENGING T IMES
1
0
2
4
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Cumulative Units
Years after introduction
Source data: Wearables: ABI Cloud Servers: IHS iSuppli Tablets: Gartner & IDC M2M: Machina Research SDN: company data
1.5B Tablets (2017)
2B Wearables (2018)
2M Wifi APs (2016)
6.5B M2M Connections
(2017)
6.5M Cloud Servers (2015)
0.5 B SDN Investment
(2013)
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
1
10
20
50
75
100
300
500
1000
0.1 0.5 0.5
ADSL2+
Bonded ADSL2+
VSDL2
VDSL2 w/ Vectoring
Bonded VDSL2 w/ Vectoring
GPON/G.Fast
CO-Home Distance (km)
Node-Home Distance (km)
Mbps per subscriber
1000x SCALABIL ITY AT ~100x LOWER COST/B IT
THE WIRELINE ANSWER 2
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10-100x SCALABIL ITY BUT AT WHAT COST ?
THE WIRELESS QUESTION (AND ANSWER) 2
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
0
2
4
6
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Average Usage (GB/Mo/User)
Conservative Growth Model
LTE + SMALL CELLS (+ WIREL INE) = 10x LOWER COST/B IT
THE WIRELESS ECONOMIC ANSWER 2
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
NETWORK OPERATORS
• Assets: Ultrabroadband Access (Fixed + Mobile)
• New Services: Limited own (Walled Garden)
• E/R: Increasing Network spend with flat revenue
• Innovation Speed: Years
• Assets: Massive global compute & storage facilities
• New Services: Limited own, but APIs to Web Services
• E/R: Increasing DC spend, but growing revenue
• Innovation Speed: Days
WEB PLAYERS
THE TENSION AND THE SYNERGY
COMMON TECHNOLOGIES, COMMON ARCHITECTURES, COMM-PETIT ION ?
3
IT TECHNOLOGIES IP TECHNOLOGIES
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
THE COMMONALITY AND CONVERGENCE
CONVERGENCE OF DC AND WAN, IT AND IP, MANY TO ONE, CENTRAL IZED TO DISTRIBUTED
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WEB/IT DC
INTERNET
TELCO DC
MANY ACCESS
NETWORKS
VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS + SDN1.0
DEDICATED PLATFORMS + NETWORKS
NETWORK 1.0
WEB/IT DC
INTERNET
TELCO IT DC
UBB IP ACCESS NETWORK
VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS + SDN2.0
DISTRIBUTED TELCO IT DC
VIRTUALIZED & FEDERATED IP NETWORKS
NETWORK 2.0
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
VIRTUALIZATION IS THE ANSWER
ELASTIC SCAL ING WITHOUT INF IN ITE EFFORT
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
VIRTUALIZATION OF VIRTUALLY EVERYTHING
S IMPL IF IED, SEAMLESSLY SCALED, SOFTWARE NETWORKS
4
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Virtualize
Software Define IP INFRASTRUCTURE
NETWORK APPLICATIONS
NETWORK SERVICES CONTROL
Analyze &
Program
Slic
e &
Mon
etiz
e
THE FUTURE NETWORK
S INGULAR SOFTWARE-DEF INED SOFTWARE NETWORK
5 Enterprise Provider Telecom Provider Webscale Provider
Cl
oud
OS
Lega
cy O
S
Uni
fy
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COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
1-10€ / DEVICE 10 DEVICES / USER
100X MORE BYTES @ 100X LOWER COST
10-100x SMALL CELLS/NODES
1 CONVERGED, OPEN NETWORK
10M SERVERS / SERVICE
1B CLOUD SERVICES DELIVERED
THE ‘ I ’NETWORK: INTEGRATED (DC+WAN), INTUIT IVE, INTELL IGENT, INTERNATIONAL, ALL IP, IT -ENABLED NETWORK
1 CLOUD OSS 1 SERVICE / DAY
PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER
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