Transcript
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
1/60
in partnership with the
2010
Summaryof Findings
www.balkan-monitor.eu
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
2/60
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
3/60
2010
3
Dejan
abrilo
Intructin: Te Ne Nrmal in te Balkans ....................................5
Main nings ...........................................................................................7
Cuntr erie ..................................................................................10
Material situatin an lie satisactin ..................................................17
Financial iculties persist it a ramatic increase in Ks.....17
Attitues tar te EU ........................................................................21
Satisactin an cnence in te regins institutins .....................26
Perceptins crruptin an rganise crime ..................................34
Migratin an mbilit ..........................................................................39
Balkan callenges: etnic relatins an te uture te regin ........45
Cnclusins ...........................................................................................50
Metlg .........................................................................................52
Abut te Fun......................................................................................55
Abut Gallup Eurpe.............................................................................56
a pctus th cv msc w tk y tvws dug th dwk.
Cprigt 2010 Gallup, Inc. All rigts resere.
Contents
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
4/60
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
5/60
2010
5
at tw dcds ws d pu cmc
tst, bk scts pp mstustu d
pssmstc, d thy hv mgt th md.
Thy wt chg ut scptc ut th -
ty t fuc th utcm. Th pp hv v-
cm sm s ut g hv y uss.
Thy p t tt t th pvt vs th-
th gg wth ptcs. Th vst mty
Ss, Cts, Mcds d ctzs bs
d Hzgv sy tht ptc pty pt-
c xpsss th vws. Wh skd t sy wh
thy tust, mst ctzs hv tt th t
sttuts ust k Smgs css ctzs,
wh vtd y ctg chcs.
T ys t th st w th g, thbks st pst cct usttd p-
tctts d wk stts. bs d Ksv
tppd th yth th ptcs sm--
dpdc; a, Mtg d Mcd
sm d custphc pucs mdd
buscs ity, wh th gvmts ppu-
st d t xtt ppu, d wh th pp-
st s dscugd d dscugg t th sm
tm. S hs shckd t y y th ss
Ksv ut s y th sc puc ut-
g wh th tty t s s sym
S pttsm ws st ( w-kw S
ust td m cty tht puttg Ksv
th cv pg ws th st wy t s ds).
Th w hv Ct, wh ts pp spt
th udgmt s t whth g th eU s ctu-
y gd d thg. Wht my Cts d
Ss g s tht pyg txs s wst
my.1 ad wh t cms t cmc hps,
t s dpssg t d tht th mty um-
pyd, cuts wth th xcpt S,
tht thy w t t d th xt
12 mths.
but w k yd th stkg um pp
wh dstust gvmts d udc systms, -
yd th um ths wh s cupt s-g d sdty dc, yu w s tht pp
td t hpp th xpctd d m dy
t tust stg th yu wud v dd t
hv hpd. Wht yu w s s th ut
w m th bks. Th ctzs th -
g g t v dysuct stts d
1 For Balkan Monitorsurvey results that are not dis-
cussed in the Summary o Findings please consult the whole
dataset at www.balkan-monitor.eu/index.php/dashboard. The
Balkan Monitordata dashboard also allows you to break downresults by geographical and socio-demographic actors.
Introduction: The New Normalin the Balkans
Imagine n a rain electin a, in an unname cuntr tat cul be anere,
almst tree-quarters te ting papers are returne blank. Te gernment e-mans tat te electins are re-el, en te sun is sining: te prtest increases
it 83% te electrate ting itut csing a caniate. Tat is te start Jse Saramags nel Seeing an anti-utpian isin pst-plitical emc-
racies ere peple are angr, te elite are cnspirac-mine an insecure, anere scial lie is parale.
Reaing te results te latest Balkan MonitorPll, te parallel it Saramags
parable is striking: ne as te eeling tat Saramags anere is te Balkans e-erere. In Seeing, peple te b rejecting all cices; in te Balkans, te speak
lul in aur an rganisatin tat is nt linke t teir gernment. Te sure
ss tat citiens te Balkan emcracies beliee in te Curc, te EU an teUN, but eepl istrust te institutins tat gern tem.
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
6/60
2010
6
dy gvd dmccs, d thy s
g th t dsstsct.
Wh th vst mty d t tht th cu-
ts w g ck t w (Mcds th mst
ccd ut th tu mty cfct),
bk scts hv st th hp tht pst-w
cmc gwth d tu t vydy w
sy std.
rdg th suts th Gallup Balkan Monitor,
cud ccud tht th eU hs st ts mgc
ut hs t st ts mptc. it s tu tht cd
wth th chc kpg th csttut m th cuty cmpmsg wth Gc
th t g th U, Mcds
suty stckg t th gus. Ss s sy tht
t s m mptt t ptd tht Ksv s pt
S th t th eU. but dcts
thg d ty s th. it s c tht th
ctzs th g hv y stc hp
tt d ptc stty, th tht hs t
td t th pspct th cuty g th
eU. ad ths s v tu Ct. i th Balkan
Monitorp, Cts u-scptcsm cud s
m s wy th cuty t dc ts pud
eup dtty th s ds t sty ut-
sd th U.
Th ctdcty dymcs th suppt,
a d Ksv, th d Gt
a s th st ustt hw mptt
eU pspctv s th g. Ths y, cm-
ps wth 12 mths g, puc suppt
Gt a hs dmtcy dcd a
d dmtcy csd Ksv. Th xp-
t ths ctdcty tds s qut vus wh as xpct tg th vs stcts
tv th eU t tk pc t th d th
y, y 7% Ksvs s tv cmg
s; 38% thk t w y cm wth th t-
t cgt th cuty.
Hwv, pdxc wy, th bks
m pt eup th y th mst dt
dvcts eU gmt c g t mg.
a th pms tht th g cs eup
ssus d t pdmty bk s.
Th qusts tht pp th g sk thm-
svs t td t th pst, thy td t
th utu. Hw w bk cms gw pst-
css eup? Hw w th mutcutu sttuts,
ut t dcd w d vt t-
sm, sustd t tm wh dg eup
ptcs hd t sy tht mutcutusm s
dd? Hw c sttut gmts, md
d t stp th w, tsmd t c-
tv gut cmm utu?
Th cspcy pst-w gmts, htc
ut cctv ghts, d cmc ud-d-
vpmt hs dd sm th t ptmsmtht swpt th g t th gg ths c-
tuy. but th css th bks s t smpy
th dysuctty th xstg sttuts ut s
th ut th vy mds tht bk sct-
s tyg t mpmt. i th dys th ohd
agmt t ws ppu t t Mcds tht
wht th agmt d thm ws th ps-
pct g th bgum. nw, hs t
sk Mcds wt th cuty t cm
th bgum, g md th wstu d
cmpctd wy whch bgum ucts tdy.
idd, c y pms Mcds tht
th xt 10 20 ys bgum w t mpd?
Fcusd th w pms, eups d
t hv tm t thk ut hw th css th
U mpcts th cu-
ts eups pph-
y. Ths shud chg.
Th bks w -
mty s vy much -
fct eups w
mty.
Ivan Krastev
Chm
Ct l Sttgs, S
d
Mm th advsy bd
eup Fud th bks
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
7/60
2010
7
Main findings
LIFE SATISFACTIoN ANdCoUNTRy dEvELoPMENT
i cuts th Wst
bks, m th h -
spdts ptd dcuts
g t mg th
hushds cm; ths sh
gd m 52% Ct t78% S. Cmpd t
2009, S, Mtg,
a, Ksv d bs d
Hzgv, m pp w -
ptd dcuts mkg ds
mt. i Ksv th ppt
spdts wth c dcu-
ts hs s y 19 pctg
pts t 54%.
bk sdts w s th pssms-
tc gdg th cms utu dvp-
mts. Ct ws th y cuty wh
spdts w m ptmstc th thy
w y g. Hwv, Ct s w
s th bk cuts, spdts -
g tht th stut ws gttg ws c-
y utumd ths g th ppst. i
bs d Hzgv, S d Ct,
ut tw-thds spdts xpctd t
s uth cmc dwtu.
i Mcd d S, pstv sgs wgstd ccg th mkt. Th
shs umpyd spdts wh w
ptmstc ut dg w wth th 12
mths wg th suvy s y ght p-
ctg pts Mcd t 24% d y
sx pts S t 45%.
ATTITUdES TowARd ThE EU
Gtg vs- tv t Mtgs,
Mcds d Ss dd t utmtcy
tst t hgh vs eU suppt
ths cuts. Wh Mtg th
ppt spdts syg tht th eU
ws good thing csd y sx pctg
pts t 73%, Mcd d S th
spctv shs m 62% t 60% d
m 50% t 44%. Suppt th eU s
dppd y v pts Ct t 28%.
as 2009, th cut suvy shwd tht
bk cuts, xcpt Ct, m-
ts spdts wud vt vu
th cuty g th eU; ppts
gd m 63% S t 93% a.i Ct, ths wh wud vt gst th
cutys ccss utumd ths wh
wud vt Ys (43% d 38%, spctvy).
i mst cuts, mts t tht eU ct-
zs wtd th cuts t th U
xcpt S, wh th sh pp
g tht thy wud wcmd th eU
hs dppd m 53% t 41% th pst y.
i cuts xcpt S d Ksv,
csg vs spdts vd tht
Novi Sad, Serbia
Dejan
abrilo
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
8/60
2010
8
eU ctzs wud ppct th cuts
ccss t th U.
rspdts bs d Hzgv hv
cm much m ptmstc gdg th
cutys eU ccss dt. Wh 2009,
th vg dt stmtd y tvws
th cuty ws 2022, bs spdts
w, vg, vd tht th cuty
mght s y s 2018.
SATISFACTIoN ANd TRUST IN
ThE REGIoNS INSTITUTIoNS rtv mts spdts a,
Ksv d Mtg w stsd wth
th cuts gvmt. i S, Ct
d bs d Hzgv, spdts
w t st th tms s ky t dsppv
th cuts gvmt s t st-
sd. a ws xcpt: ts ctzs
ppv th gvmt hs csd
stgy y 17 pctg pts (t 48%)
sc 2006.
Th cut wv th Balkan Monitorshws
tht ctzs th bk stts, xcpt
S, w m pstd y pt-
cs ptc pty th thy dd pvus-
y. a spdts w th mst ky t
pstd ptcy (60%), wd y
Ksvs (54%) d Mtgs (46%). i
th mg cuts, hwv, ut tw-
thds suvy ptcpts st dd t su-
cty pstd y th ptcs.
rg s gg mptc mst th-c gups th Wst bks. Th y
gups tht pcd ss mptc g
w Mcd ts d bsks
bs d Hzgv.
CoRRUPTIoN ANdoRGANISEdCRIME
Mts bk stts vd tht c-
upt gvmt d ussss ws
wdspd. i Ksv, tvws w
mst ky t v tht th v cupt
gvmt ws hgh (91%); Mtgs
w th st ky t sy ths (50%,
chg). Th ggst dc th pst 12
mths ws gstd Ksv, wh th
ppts ths vg tht th gv-
mt ws cupt s y ght pctg
pts.
as w th st cd t v
wdspd cupt th usss wd
(56%, dw m 67% 2009), cmpd
t m th 9 10 Cts (93%, up 1 pt)wh thught tht ths ws cmm pctc
th cuty.
a pstv dvpmt ws ud cc-
g th pcvd vs ptty cupt. i
bk stts, wth th xcpt Ct
(tht, hwv, ctus t hv mg th
wst vs xpcd ptty cupt),
th sh ths spdts wh hd
ctd wth cct xmp cup-
t dcsd cmpd t 2009.
MIGRATIoN ANd MoBILITy
as suvy wvs, spdts css
th Wst bks w m p t s
better opportunities abroadth t hm.
nt dvpmts w gstd
a d Ksv, wh th ums s-
g tt pptuts utsd th cuty
hv dmtcy sc 2008: y 25 p-
ctg pts Ksv (t 48%) d y 12
pts a (t 52%). Th ppst wss Ct d Mtg, wh th
shs tvws sg tt chc-
s d hv csd (sc 2008) y 17
pts (t 48%) d y 14 pts (t 52%),
spctvy.
M th 4 10 (42%) a spdts
wud k t mv t th cuty, -
wd y ughy thd Mcds d
Ksvs (31%-34%). Hwv, ust 14%
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
9/60
2010
9
Bijeljina, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Dejan
abrilo
a tvws wth ds t mgt
( 6% th tt um spdts) sd
thy hd cct ps t mv d.
BALKAN ChALLENGES: EThNICRELATIoNS ANd ThEFUTURE oF ThE REGIoN
Mst bk ctzs dd t tc-
pt th md cfct th
g; ppts ths sp-
dts hdg ths vw vd -
tw 62% S d 88%
Ct. a t chg ws g-std bs d Hzgv:
sc 2009, th sh tvw-
s thkg tht th sk w ws
t mmt hs csd shp-
y y 22 pctg pts t 49%.
rspdts Mcd d
S w th mst ky t sy
tht t ws probable certain tht
w wud k ut th g
(28% d 24%, spctvy).
i a d Ksv, th sh sp-
dts dg ghuy ts too strong
hs s sgcty th pst y (m 15%
t 30% cs th m d m 6% t
16% cs th tt cuty). Mwh,
Mcd, Mtg d Ct, p-
p w m cd, th 2009, t thk
tht ts wjust about right d dd t
d stgthg.
as th pvus wv, th hghst shs
spdts dvctg m g cp-
t w ud bs d Hzgv
(69%), S (64%) d Mcd (60%).
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
10/60
2010
10
Country overview
ALBANIA: wITh ThE ECoNoMy INBAd ShAPE, ALBANIANS hAvE FAIThIN ThEIR LEAdERS ANd IN ThE EU
i 2010, sgcty w as sd thy hd
cvd hp m d cmpd t st y
th sh spdts wh sd tht thy cud
y ds my utsd th cuty, wh
thy dd t, hs dcsd y pctg
pts sc 2009 (t 45%). Th g cmccss hs s mpctd th v cmc stu-
t: thd (34%) spdts t tht Ksvs
cmc stut ws gttg ws, sg m
qut (26%) 2009.
a suppt th eU md mg th
hghst th g t 81%, ut tht psts
dp ght pctg pts sc y
g. i th cs eU dum, hwv,
vst mty (93%) as wud dy
t vt Ys t ccss t th eU th hgh-
st such gu th Wst bks. rgdg
ccss dt, as w mg th
mst ptmstc mg ptt w mms
th bks vg, thy vd tht th
cuty wud 2014. nt supsgy th,
thy s t tht thy wud wcmd y eU
ctzs; sg sh a spdts
(69%) vd tht pp th eU wtd th
cuty t .
as suppt th dshp hs -
csg pst ys, 2010, 48% a
spdts sd thy ppvd th ds.
a p dvpmt ws th csg pp-t as tht t pstd y pty
ptc cuty 60% t s sm ws
spkg th h: th hghst t th -
g. naTo d eU md th mst tustd -
sttuts th cuty, wh th udcy cty
xpcd dp ctzs cdc d ws
tustd y 31% spdts (dw y 13 p-
ctg pts). Th sct g pps
t gwg: sc 2006, th sh pp stt-
g tht t pyd mptt pt th vs hs
s m 33% t 44%.
Dspt sght dcs, a st hs th hgh-
st ts, y , pp sttg tht thy hd t
sm th y p t th suvy t-
vw: h spdts (49%) hd ths p-
st. but th hv pstv dvpmts:
sgct sh as (35%, m th
ywh s th g) ud tht th v
gsd cm ws dcsg d pp w
csgy cvcd tht th gvmt ws
ctvy cmtg gsd cm (40%, up 3
pts).
Wh th sh pp sg tt pptu-
ts d hs dppd, m pp th v
xpssd th wsh t v th cuty. i
2010, 42% sd tht thy wud mgt th c-
cumstcs w ght. oy ud 6% a
spdts, hwv, hd cct ps t v
th y t th tvw, whch wud mut
t ughy 135,000 pp (sd th suvy -
suts g xtptd t th tt a pp-
ut). Tw-ths as vd tht vs
Kuks, Albania
anDrzejPYrKa
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
11/60
2010
11
st wud d t stg cs
mgt.
Th suppt th ct Gt a
cuty md up as m a, Ksv
d Mcd hs dcsd wh th sh
pp sttg tht ts wth ghug cuts
w t stg hs s stpy (m 15% t 30%
tw 2009 d 2010). nvthss, s-
ut mty spdts (42%) w cvcd
tht ghuy ts dd uth stgthg.
BoSNIA ANd hERzEGovINA: wIThMoRE BoSNIANS STRUGGLING ANdThE JoBLESS BEING INCREASINGLyPESSIMISTIC, ThERE IS A CALLFoR STRoNGER REGIoNAL TIES
Mt pms sm t csg thughut
th cuty wth m pp sttg tht thy w
hvg pms mgg th hushd
cm (m 58% t 66%, th pst y). Th
ppt spdts thkg tht cmc
cdts th cuty w gttg ws hs -
md m ss st (68%, up 2 pts) d
ss spdts hv gw much m pss-
mstc ut dg th y t th t-
vw: th-quts (74%) w thught tht th
ws sght (up m 42% 2009). Dspt
dsstsct wth th mt stut, th um-
pp wtg t g d ws tvy
w: 20% tvws xpssd wsh t v
th cuty whch 8% (ust ud 2% bs
spdts) hd cct mgt ps.
Th sh pp thkg tht bss ccs-
s t th eU wud gd thg s (cu-ty t 69% th wh bs) wth s-
pcy stg cs th tty rpuk
Spsk: wh 2008 31% spdts
rpuk Spsk hd thught eU ccss s
gd thg, th gu wt up t 56% 2010.
Dug th sm pd, eU suppt th bs
Fdt csd m 59% t 75%. Pp
th tts w m ptmstc ut th c-
css dt: 2009, bs spdts
vg vd tht th cuty wud
2022; tht dt hs w mvd t 2018.
M pp sd thy dsppvd th t
dshp ( chg m 67% t 74% sc 2009),
ut t th sm tm th hs stgy
gwg g g tt pstd y p-
tc pty ptc. Wh 2009, y 17%
hd th mpss tht smdy ws pst-
g th ptc vws, tht sh hs csd
t 32% 2010. rg w pys m mp-
tt th vs bs Cts d bs
Ss th 2006 wh ts mptc hs d-
csd bsk spdts. Wh th v
spdts sttg tht gsd cm ws
ctg th vydy vs hs dppd pst
ys, ut h (47%) st vd tht ts ps-c hs csd th pst v ys (th hgh-
st gu th g) d pp w th st
cvcd th Wst bk g tht th
gvmt ws dg t cud t ght t. Th m-
pct gsd cm sms t t stg
th bs Fdt: 66% spdts tht
tty t ctd y gsd cm dy
ccsy, wh th cspdg gu
rpuk Spsk ws t 41%.
ev m bs sdts w ct tht
th wud t w th g th u-
tu: th ppt s m 27% t 49%, wth -
th 32% thkg tht upcmg md cfct
ws t p. Th sh pp wtg
stg ts wth th ghug cuts ws
th hghst th g bs d Hzgv:
2010, 69% spdts xpssd such s
wsh.
CRoATIA: CRoATS ARE MoRE
SATISFIEd wITh LIFE, dESPITESEEING PERvASIvE CoRRUPTIoNANd LoSING FAITh IN ThE EU
ecmc stmt Ct hs t dtt-
d: th pctg spdts sg th c-
my mpvg hs s y u pts t 8%. ad
wh 2009, th-quts (74%) spdts
vd tht th cmy ws gttg ws, ths
sh dppd t ut tw-thds (64%) 2010.
eU suppt Ct hs chd sut
w, v w th tht s p-ccss
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
12/60
2010
12
cuts gmts.2 Wh1 th sh
ths g tht eU ccss wud -
th gd d th cuty hs md
uchgd t 38% sc 2009, m pp w
thught tht t wud d thg (up 4 p-
ctg pts t 32% 2010). oy 25% -
spdts Ct thught eU ccss s
gd thg d y 38% wud cuty vt
Ys eU dum s ppsd t 43%
tht wud vt n. o pstv dvpmt -
gdg Cts vws th eU ws tht thy w
w much m cdt tht thy wud w-
cmd th eU: cs m 42% t 55%
spdts wh t tht pp wtd Ct th U.
Wh m th tw-thds (70%) Cts dsp-
pvd th ds pmc, Ct ws
th y cuty th g wh cdc th udc systm hs gw sc 2008: 44%
spdts w sttd tht thy hda lot some
tust th udcy (up m 25%). Ct cuty
hs th hghst ts pp syg tht
2 The question Generally speaking, do you think
that [COUNTRY]s membership of the European Union would
be a good thing, a bad thing, or neither good or bad?has
also been asked in Candidate Country Eurobarometer surveys
conducted by Gallup or the European Commission prior to
the 2004 European Union enlargement. To consult the results
o these surveys please visit http://ec.europa.eu/public_opin-ion/archives/cceb2_en.htm
g pys mptt th vs (68%).
Ct hs sm th hghst Wst bks
ts spdts tht sw cupt s g
pvsv gvmt (89%) d usss (93%).
o th th hd, th s-ptd cdts
gvg s t gt thgs d w mg th
wst th g (10% spdts sd tht
thy hd hd t gv th y th
tvw). Sc 2008, th t pp sts-
d wth th gvmts cts gst g-
sd cm hs g up y v pctg pts
t 17%. Tw-thds spdts, hwv, w
st dsstsd.
Th um pp sg tt
pptuts utsd th cu-
ty hs ctud t cs (up 3
pts t 48%). Ths hs t, hw-
v, d t cs pps
wsh t v th cuty whch -
ms th wst th g: 13%
tvws sd tht thy wud
mgt ud d ccumstcs.
KoSovo: wITh CoN-CERNS ABoUT ThE ECoN-oMy ANd wIdESPREAdCoRRUPTIoN, KoSovARSLooK TowARdS ThE EU
Ksv sms t hv wtssd
mst wyg dvpmt th
pst y. i th pst t hs hd th
mst upt Wst bk sdts, ut 2010,
my m pp cmd tht thy w stug-
gg cy: cs m 33% t 54%. Thsdvpmt cud pty xpd y shp
dp th ums Ksv as syg
thy cvd my d gds m d: d-
cs m 23% t 15%. ad wh th sh
pp sg th cutys cmy s mpv-
g ws g wth Mtg th hghst
th g t 30%, m d m pp thught
th ppst tht Ksvs cmy ws gttg
ws: m 23% 2009 t 37% 2010. a stk-
g 59% umpyd spdts dd t -
v tht thy wud d th y wg
th suvy tvw; ths ws spcy dstug
Osijek, Croatia
HelenaUPer
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
13/60
2010
13
Prizren, Kosovo
gv th ptd umpymt
t stmtd 45.4%3 2010.2
Suppt eU ccss md
hgh t 87%, ut Ksv sp-
dts w ss cvcd tht th
pp th U wtd th
cuty t ; th sh pp
g tht Ksv wud w-
cmd hs dppd m 75% t
65% 2010.
Th ppv Ksvs d-shp, mg th hghst th g
Balkan Monitorwvs, hs
dppd m 59% t 48% tw
2009 d 2010. Ths ducd sup-
pt th dmstt ws fctd w
cdc th t gvmt d th
udc systm.
bth Ss d as Ksv w d -
g much m mptt th thy dd u ys
g. Th shs spdts csdg t t
mptt pt th vs hv csd m
59% t 81% ( Ss) d m 68% t 89% (
as) th pd sc 2006.
Th pcpt tht gvmt cupt ws
pvsv hs s y ght pctg pts (t
91%). o th th hd, w pp sttd
tht thy hd t gv s (t gt smthg d)
th y th tvw: th t s
g d hs dppd m 20% t 9%. a sm-
dvpmt cud svd th
gsd cm wh th sh spdtssttg tht th cm twks ctd thm
psy hs dppd m 67% t 43%.
Th ws stg dc th um t-
vws wh sw m pptuts d th
th w cuty (m 64% t 48% sc 2009)
dvpmt py kd t th stg dp
3 See the EU Candidate and Pre-Accession Coun-
tries Economic Quarterly at http://ec.europa.eu/economy_f-
nance/db_indicators/cpaceq/documents/cceq_2010_q3_en.pd
mttcs cvd. as sut, wh ut
-thd (31%) spdts xpssd wsh
t v th cuty, y 8% ths (s 2%-3%
tt Ksv spdts) hd cct ps t
v. a y g t hd 16% ths wt-
g t v.
askd wh thy xpctd t cudd th
vs st schm th Schg z,
52% spdts dd t kw d th
38% sttd tht thy dd t xpct t cudd
ut th cuty ws cgsd tty.
rspdts Ksv xpssd wsh t-
t ts wth ghug cuts 55% sttd
tht thy w t stg ugh. a sp-
dts Ksv w s vy supptv th
ccpt Gt a, cuty cmpsg
th tts Ksv, Mcd d awth mty-a pputs. i 2010, 81%
Ksv as supptd such d, up m
54% 2008.
a cmpms sut t th cfct wth S
dd t sm t d y suppt m Ksv -
spdts. Vst mts (90%-93%) th
Ksv as d Ksv Ss dsppvd
ps t th S-pputd s
t xchg th s wth S mty
a-pputd tts th suth S.
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
14/60
2010
14
MACEdoNIA: PEoPLE ARE LESS
SATISFIEd wITh LIFE; vISA-FREE TRAvEL hAS hAd LITTLEEFFECT oN EU SUPPoRT
Wth 72% spdts sttg tht thy cud
y mg th hushds cm wth d-
cuty wth gt dcuty, Mcd hs
th hghst shs pp stuggg c-
y. a smy dmtc stut hd svd
pvus wvs th Balkan Monitor, d ths
hdshp sms t wgh hvy th stsc-
t pp Mcd. askd t t hw st-
sd thy w wth th vs g, scm 0 t 10, pp vg gv th vs
sc 4.2 th wst th Wst bk -
g, d dw 0.3 pts m th sc msud
2006.
Th tduct vs st t 2009
sms t hv hd tt ct Mcds
vw th eU. Sc 2006, Mcds suppt
th eU hs stdy dcsd: 60% sp-
dts thught Mcds eU ccss s
gd thg, dw m 76% 2006. nvthss,
dum ut eU tgt wud st gth
g mty Ys vts: 82% Mcd
sdts sttd tht thy wud vt p eU.
Mcd s th w cuts cvd y
th Balkan Monitorsuvy wh th sh -
spdts g pstd y ptc
ptc pty hs dcsd th pst y. Wh
42% spdts t pstd 2009, th
sh hs dcsd t 33% ust y t.
amg th Mcd d a sp-
dts th cuty, th pps cdc -sttuts hs dcsg css th d.
Wh gus gsts w st mg th
mst tustd sttuts, th sh pp hv-
g cdc thm hs dcsd m 74%
t 69% mg Mcds d m 82% t
69% mg Mcd as. Th udc
systm ws th st tustd sttuts
th cuty: y 31% Mcds d 20%
Mcd as hd th th sttut.
Th sh pp ptg tht thy hd t
sm t gt smthg d th y
th suvy hs dcd m 20% t 13% sc
2009, ut m th tw-thds (70%-74%) st sw
hgh-v cupt s pvsv th gv-
mt d th usss wd.
M spdts Mcd th y th
cuty th g vd tht tt pptu-
ts cud ud d: 58% thught tht wy
(up 4 pts m 2009). Hwv, dspt s
th um pp tht wud dy k t
v th cuty, y 13% th 34% tht t ths
wy (ut 4% spdts) hd cct ps
t v pmty th y t th suvy.
as pvus wvs th Balkan Monitorsuvy,
m Mcds th y th gup t tht
th ws st dg md cfct: 28%
spdts t tht w wud cty
py hpp. Th sh spdts t
vg tht pssty, hwv, hs s:
2006, 55% dd t v th pssty -
th w, ths gu hs csd t 64% 2010.
MoNTENEGRo: MoNTENEGRINSARE MoRE SUPPoRTIvE oF ThEEU, hAPPIER ABoUT LIFE ANdLESS AFFECTEd By CRIME
lk mst th w sdts th Wst
bks, Mtgs st sug m th -
cts th c d cmc css. aut 7
10 (71%) spdts sd thy w hvg d-
cuts mgg th hushds cm.
Tht gu hs hdy chgd sc 2009, ut
t ws much hgh th th css (51%
2008). i sm v, th ppt sp-dts xpctg th ctu cmc stut t
mpv (30%) hs md st d th sm
hds tu th um umpyd tvw-
s wh w ptmstc ut dg w
th xt 12 mths (50%). i 2010, hwv, w
Mtg sdts cud cut ds d
tvs wh w vg d (31%, mus 7 p-
ctg pts); dspt ths, Mtg hus-
hds dd cv m my m d th
thy dd th pvus y (pus 3 pts t 12%).
Ths pstv dvpmt th ctu ts
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
15/60
2010
15
Herceg Novi, Montenegro
MarKo
MiloeVimy/gds ws uqu mg Wst
bk cuts. as cuts, xcpt
a d Ksv, spdts th
cut wv w m ky t v tht
pptuts d w tt th t hm
(pus 7 pts t 52%). agst th ckdp
cmc stgt, t s tstg t
s tht th vg stsct mg
Mtgs hs csd: th sc hs
s t 5.5 (up m 4.8) sc m 0 t
10 ths ws th hghst sc Mtg
sc th uch th Balkan Monitor 2006,
mst qug Cts sc 5.6.
Vs st tv t th Schg
Mtgs sms t hv hd
sustt ct suppt th eU, whch
chd w pk wth 73% spdts
syg tht th cutys eU mmshp wud
good thing (pus 6 pctg pts). at th
sm tm, spdts Mtg w w
m ky t tht th mmshp wud
wcmd y eU ctzs (pus 5 pctg
pts t 59%). Ths ws wth th ct tht
Mtgs, vg, w thught tht eU
ccss wud hpp 2016 d t 2017,
s stmtd dug th pvus wv.
Dspt ths cugg dvpmts eU-
td s, pp Mtg hv cm
m scptc th cutys dshp: 41%
w dsppvd th ds pmc
(pus 12 pctg pts), wh th um
ths gvg th ppv hs md t 48%.
ev s, th t gvmt ws y th
mst tustd th g (70% xpssd a lot or
some tust t). a wyg td, thugh, ws -svd gdg dm xpss: 64%
suvy ptcpts sd tht mst my pp
w d t py xpss th ptc vws
(cmpd t 50% 2006). Ths ws th hghst
gu th Wst bks.
lvs pcvd gvmt cupt w
st Mtg (t 50%), wh w pp
thught tht cupt ws wdspd th us-
ss wd (mus 5 pts t 64%). Th w
s w spdts syg tht thy hd hd
t s t gt smthg d th st 12
mths (mus 6 pts t 13%).
Futhm, Mtgs w w th st k-
y bk sdts t sy th dy vs w -
ctd y gsd cm (mus 3 pts t 7%).
Ths s tstd t hgh um sp-
dts g stsd wth th gvmts ts
t cmt gsd cm (pus 6 pts t 41%).
Puc p Mtg ws tvy sup-
ptv ptt mmshp naTo: 38%
spdts supptd th cutys ccss
t th ac d 24% thught tht t wud a
bad thing.
SERBIA: dESPITE ThE ECoNoMIC
oUTLooK, SERBS do NoT wANTTo EMIGRATE ANd JoBLESSFEEL MoRE oPTIMISTIC
Th md-tm cts th c d cmc
css st gg S: usttg 78%
spdts th cuty sd tht thy hd
dcuts mkg ds mt. Ths t ws th
hghst th g d hs md uchgd
sc 2009. i th cs S, ths cmc
hdshp ds t sm kd t th ducd -
fw mttcs: wvs th bk
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
16/60
2010
16
Mt, tvy w pctg pp th
cuty (cuty 6%) hv sd thy cvd m-
y gds m d th pst 12 mths. i
sm ght, pp S w s th mst
pssmstc gdg th cmc dvpmt
th cuty: 70% spdts (pus 4 pct-
g pts sc 2009) sw cmc cdts
s gttg ws. o spcc dg th Balkan
Monitorc , hwv, tptd s ght t th
d th tu: sg sh umpyd -
spdts (45%, up m 39% 2008 d th
hghst such t th Wst bk g) ws
hpu tht thy wud d wth y t
th suvy tvw.
eU suppt S hs stdy dcs-
g sc th gg Balkan Monitormsu-
mts 2006. F th st tm ths pd, ss
th h spdts (44%) thught eU c-
css s gd thg. it sms, hwv, tht
th cs dum ( th Sudy t
th suvy tvw) mty wud st suppt
Ss eU mmshp ps wth 63% sttg
tht thy wud vt Ys. Ss dcut pth t
eU tgt sms t hv fctd hw p-
p pcvd th eU ctzs stc th mtt
Ss ccss: th sh pp thkg
tht pp th eU wt S t th eU
hs dppd m 53% t 41% tw 2009 d
2010.
oy 22% spdts S sd thy p-
pvd th ds (-5 pts sc 2009) d
tht mt tht tw-thds S sdts ds-
ppv th dshp. a sm sh (68%)
dd t pstd y y pty ptc.
Wh, 2010, m pp dd sy tht thy tpstd ptcy (pus 7 pctg pts
sc 2009), tht gu ws y qut (27%)
th pput.
Wth th Wst bks, S ws th
cuts wh pp w th st wg t sy
tht g pyd mptt th vy-
dy vs ust v h spdts sttd tht
ths ws th cs. Ss vw cupt gv-
mt d usss hs md vy ctc
wth m th 8 10 spdts cmg tht
cupt ws wdspd th dms. at th
sm tm, th ws sgct dp sx p-
ctg pts th s-ptd d t gv
th y p t th tvw; 2010, 12%
sttd tht thy t cd t py th 12
mths th suvy.
Dspt th dmtc c stut mst -
spdts d pps gmy utk ut th
cutys utu, sg sh spdts x-
pssd th wsh t m S. Wh 2006,
qut tvws dy wud hv kd
t v th cuty d mst tw-thds (63%)sd thy wtd t sty, u ys t, th-
quts (77%) wshd t m S wh ust
19% sw tt swh. Tgth wth p-
p Mcd, S spdts w th
gup mst ky t s sk w kg ut
th g wth th xt v ys qut
(24%) thught tht such vt ws py
cty gg t hpp. at th sm tm,
spdts S md k ut t-
t ghuy cpt; ust s 2009, ut
tw-thds (64%) sttd tht th ts t ghu-
g cuts shud stg. rgdg vy
tpc ghuhd cfct, th ut dc-
t Ksv, Ss w t cmg m
ccty d w ss ky t ccpt cmp-
ms suts. Wh 2008, h spdts
thught tht th ptt Ksv cud pt
pss utu sut, 2010, y 43% gd
wth such d wh tw-thds (67%) thught
tht S wud v cgs Ksv s
dpdt cuty.
a sm tsgc cud svd cc-g Ss pss utu ccss t naTo: y
13% S thught t wud gd thg,
wh 52% t tht t wud d. lsty, s-
su gt mptc t Ss mts c-
cg eU tgt, 37% spdts th
cuty thught tht w cm t g rtk
Mdc cud t ud y th uthts -
cus h ws hdg d. a sm sh
35%, thugh, w cvcd tht th uthts
kw wh h s, ut d t wt t cptu hm.
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
17/60
2010
17
Financial difculties persist with adramatic increase in Kosovoat th tm th 2010 suvy, mts css
Wst bk cuts sttd tht thy ud t
dcut t mg th hushds cm.
Ths ppt ws th smst Ct, wth
52% sttg tht thy gt y with difficulty with
great difficulty, wh th gtst ppt p-
p stuggg ws s S, wh 78%
tvws ptd dcuts mkg ds
mt. i Wst bk cuts, xcpt
Ct d Mcd, s th ums -
ptg c dcuts ws svd tw
2009 d 2010. Th s ws mst dmtc
Ksv, wh th sh pp stuggg -csd m 33% t 54% wth ust y. 1
A steady decline in people beingable to count on help rom abroad
My studs udtk sc th gg
th cmc css hv shw tht th
4 For a recent study see How are the Balkans
Weathering the Storm o the Economic Crisis by Marin Less-
enski at http://www.iris-bg.org/fles/The%20Western%20Balkans.pd
stgst cts th css bk cms
hs th sht mttcs. Du t c-
mc hdshp d dcut u stut th
tdt tgt cuts Wst bk m-
gt wks such s Gmy, ity d Gc,
my mms wkg x hv hd t th
tu t th bk g duc th mut
my st ck hm.
Th suts th cut Balkan Monitor cy
cm such yss. Sc th qust -
gdg th hp tvs ds vg d
ws skd th st tm (2006), th sh
pp sttg tht tms hdshp thy cud
y cs tv d d hs stdy dcg mst cuts. Th dp ws
spcy stp Ksv d Mtg wh
th ppt spdts g t cut
hp m xs wt m 56% t 36% d
m 51% t 31%, spctvy. a (45%) d
Mcd (41%) hd th mst spdts stt-
g tht thy cud y hp m d; S
(27%) d Ct (26%) hd th wst ums.
Th dc th um Wst bk m-
gts g t hp th my ds t
hm s fctd th ct tht dcg shs
Numerus ecnmists ae cmmente tat western Balkan cuntries ll gen-
eral Eurpean an glbal trens in teir ecnmic eelpment albeit it a certaintime lag.4 Te nancial an ecnmic crisis tat struck western Eurpe in 2008, r
eample, seems t ae a its rst impact n Balkan ecnmies in 2009. Tisears sure results, terere, sul be able t gie a g inicatin n eter
te recer eperience b large Eurpean ecnmies is alrea being elt b west-ern Balkan resients r eter te crisis is still a realit r peple in te regin.
iViCaMaTeji
Material situation and lifesatisfaction
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
18/60
2010
18
spdts mst cuts cv my
gds m ctcts d. i 2010, such d-
vpmt ws vs css tts th
Wst bks, ut msty ctd as v-
g a, Ksv d Mcd tdt-
y th thc gup wth th hghst pctg
mgts th Wst bks. Wh 2009,
sh 23% Ksv as 18% spd-
ts a d 19% Mcd as
sd thy cvd hp m d, 2010 th
pctg hd dcsd t 16% as (
a) d 15% as Mcd d
Ksv. Ths dmtc dcs ght pct-
g pts ws cty th ss th
wsg mt stut Ksv dscd
th gg ths chpt.
Balkans economies still eelingthe eects o the crisis
rgdg th qust s t whth th bk
cms w cvg t th css, th
vws th pp th bks w c: thy
dd t v tht th spctv cms
w gttg hth. btw 2009 d 2010,
cuts xcpt Ct, th ws cs
th pctg pp g tht th c-
mc stut th cuts wsgetting worse;
uthm, cuts, ths g tht th
stut ws gttg ws utumd ths
spdts sttg tht t ws gttg tt. Th
stut ws s s g spcy gmy
bs d Hzgv, S d Ct wh
ud tw-thds spdts t tht th stt
th cms ws wsg. Th dvp-
mt cmc stmt s spccy gtv
S, wh th sh pp g tht th
cmy ws gttg ws s m 24% t 70%
th pd tw 2006 d 2010. Th hghst
sh ptmstc spdts g tht th
cmc stut ws mpvg ws s
Mtg d Ksv (th 30%).
amdst ths gmy stmt gdg th vcmc stut, th 2010 Balkan Monitordt
dd t pvd my dcts tht wud sup-
pt th thy tht th Wst eup cv-
y wud s wd y upwd td
th bks. amg th w pstv sgs ws th
-td ptmsm umpyd spdts
Mcd d S. askd whth thy w
hpg t d wth th 12 mths t th
suvy, hgh ums ss spdts
th cuts t tht t ws very likely tht there
was a good chance tht thy wud d mpy-
mt. i Mcd, ths um s m 16% t
MAJoRITIES STRUGGLING To MAKE ENdS MEET IN
MoST wESTERN BALKAN CoUNTRIES
Can you manage on your households income?
1551511522222222 23323223
16616116 20020220 19919119 14414114 1331311318818118 15515115 13313113 14414114 9999
16616116 14414114 111111115555
14414114 9999 12212112 10010110
52252552
54454554 55555555
47747447
52252552 53353553
46646446 45545445
48848448 5115155146646446
51151551
42242442
53353553 57757557
31131331
28828228
4004044039939339
4554544542242442
'0880' 80''08 '0990' 90''09 '1001' 01''10 '0880' 80''08 '0990' 90''09 '1001' 01''10 '0880' 80''08 '0990' 90''09 '1001' 01''10 '0880' 80''08 '0990' 90''09 '1001' 01''10 '0880' 80''08 '0990' 90''09 '1001' 01''10 '0880' 80''08 '0990' 90''09 '1001' 01''10 '0880' 80''08 '0990' 90''09 '1001' 01''10
With great difficulty With difficulty
SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia Bosnia andBosnia andBosnia andBosnia and
HerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovina
AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania A lban ia MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
19/60
2010
19
24% tw 2008 d 2010 wh S th
sh ptmstc -sks wt up m 25%
t 45% th sm tmm.
Wh th pstv g S fcts th p-
vg cmc stmt tht cuty, t wud
t suct t tu-ud th p mpy-
mt stut th Wst bk g. Wh
th umpymt t S ws tvy
hgh t 17.4% 2009, t ws stgy xcdd
y bs d Hzgv (42.7% 2009) d
Ksv (47.5% 2008). j-td ptmsm
wud th sst ths tw cuts;
hwv, th Balkan Monitorgus suggstd tht
th ss th stts w m g up-t ut th pspcts. i Ksv, th sh
umpyd spdts dg t not likely
not likely at alltht thy wud d wth
y gw y ght pctg pts t 59% (m
2009 t 2010), wh bs d Hzgv th
sm gu skycktd m 42% t 74% ust
y. it sms tht ptcs cmpg pm-
ss p t th oct 2009 g cts
bs d Hzgv hv t std m
cdc th cutys ss.
Money is not everything
amg cmsts d ptc ysts th s
m d m tk t k yd GDP wh
kg t cmys w y puttg ct-
zs wg t th ct yss. Th Balkan
Monitorskd qusts ut wg sc th
gg msumts th Wst bk
g d s w t pvd sght t th
tds ud Wst bk sdts sts-
ct. i 2010, th wg-td qus-
ts md t ssss pps stsct y
skg thm t pc th gs ut th w
sc m 0 t 10.
judgg y th vgs s-ssssmts gv
y spdts th spctv cuts, pp
Ct w mst stsd wth th vs thy
gv thmsvs sc 5.6 vg. Th
st stsd w spdts Mcd wth
vg 4.2 dcs 0.3 pts m
th st suts gthd tht cuty 2006.
lkg t th g, th vs stsct
hv t wd th gtv cmc tds,
ut sm t hv md th st
sc 2006.
LESS MoNEy oR GoodS RECEIvEd FRoM ABRoAd ACRoSS ALMoST ALL
BALKAN EThNIC GRoUPS oR ENTITIES, oNLy MoNTENEGRo SEES A RISE
In the past 12 months, did this household receive help in the form of money or goods from another in-
dividual living abroad?
18181818
16161616
9999 9999
12121212
7777
3333 2222
23232323
15151515
44443333
18181818
15151515
8888
6666
9999
12121212
7777 6666
'09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10
Yes
Albania BiH
Federation
BiH Republika
Srpska
Croatia Kosovo
Albanians
Kosovo Serbs Macedonia
Albanians
Macedonia
Macedonians
Montenegro Serbia
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
20/60
2010
20
JoBLESS ARE PESSIMISTIC, ExCEPT IN MACEdoNIA ANd SERBIA
Do you think you will get a job in the next 12 months? (bs: umpyd spdts)
888820202020
151515159999
19191919 151515158888
2121212114141414
33339999
25252525
8888 5555 5555 8888 9999 10101010 6666
7777
1919191918181818
9999
26262626
1414141415151515
29292929
36363636
8888
3636363629292929
12121212
23232323
8888 11111111 1414141416161616 16161616
29292929 3939393934343434
38383838 51515151
34343434
39393939
45454545
36363636
27272727 30303030
37373737
34343434
49494949
32323232
27272727
56565656
32323232
4242424245454545 45454545
3232323224242424
44444444
111111119999
34343434
444415151515
30303030
17171717 8888
33333333
17171717
10101010
32323232
15151515 18181818
4040404023232323
24242424 22222222 20202020 21212121
666612121212 7777 13131313 11111111 12121212 11111111
666613131313
2121212110101010
4444
23232323
9999 9999 13131313 151515157777 8888 10101010 10101010
'08'08'08'08 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '08'08'08'08 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '08'08'08'08 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '08'08'08'08 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '08'08'08'08 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '08'08'08'08 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '08'08'08'08 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10
Yes very likelyYes very likelyYes very likely Yes very likely Yes there is a good chanceYes there is a good chanceYes there is a good chanceYes there is a good chanceNot likelyNot likelyNot likelyNot likely Not likely at allNot likely at allNot likely at allNot likely at allDK/NADK/NADK/NADK/NA
AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroat ia MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo Bosn ia andBosnia andBosnia andBosnia and
HerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovina
MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia
IN MoST CoUNTRIES, No INCREASE IN LIFE SATISFACTIoN ovER ThE PAST FoUR yEARS
If the top step is 10 and the bottom step is 0, on which step of the ladder would you say you person-
ally feel you stand at this time, assuming that the higher the step the better you feel about your life, and
the lower the step the worse you feel about it? Which step comes closest to the way you feel? (avgs
spss gv)
5.85.85.85.85.45.45.45.4 5.65.65.65.6 5.25.25.25.2
4.84.84.84.8
5.55.55.55.5
4.64.64.64.6
5.55.55.55.5 5.35.35.35.3 5.15.15.15.1
5.95.95.95.9
5.25.25.25.2 5.15.15.15.1 5.25.25.25.24.74.74.74.7 4.64.64.64.6 4.54.54.54.5 4.64.64.64.6
4.84.84.84.84.44.44.44.4 4.54.54.54.5 4.54.54.54.5 4.44.44.44.4 4.24.24.24.2
'06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10
CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroat ia MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSe rbia MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia
Federation Republika
Srpska
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
21/60
2010
21
Ater a lng peri in ic te western Balkan states ere ainl aiting r signals
rm Brussels tat te ul be ming clser t EU accessin, 2009 an 2010 -nall brugt cncrete steps. In december 2009, te EU lite te isa requirements
r tree western Balkan states: Mntenegr, Macenia an Serbia. Tis gae aclear message tat te western Balkans a nt been rgtten b te Eurpean
Unin a timel signal in a pase ere EU supprt as sll aing in man cun-tries te western Balkans, as te Balkan Monitoras bsere in past ears.
EU accession still supported but not so ervently
Dspt ths pstv dvpmt twds eU t-
gt, tds bk pputs stc eU
ccss hv t wd ptcu ptt
2010. F xmp, wh eU suppt ctud
t cs Mtg (m 67% 2009 t
73% 2010), t sustd ts dwwd td th
th tw cuts tht w y vs- tv:
th sh pp thkg eU ccss wud
gd thg m 62% t 60% Mcd
d m 50% t 44% S sc 2010.
Th eU yd stg s suppt m pp
bs d Hzgv th pst ys. Wh
2008 48% spdts thught tht ccdgt th eU wud gd thg th cuty, th
gu hd s t 69% 2010. Wh xmd t
tty v, ths s msty stms m stg m-
pvmt th eUs mg rpuk Spsk:
m m 31% tht supptd eU ccss
2008, th gu csd t 59% 2010. ov th
sm pd, eU suppt th bs Fdt
csd m 57% t 73%.
a sm pctu mgd Ct: suppt
th eU dcsd uth ths y wth ughy
thd (32%) spdts thkg tht eU c-
css wud d thg cmpd t 28%
2009. Futhm, th Balkan Monitor th
thd tm w ptd tht tv mty
Cts m dt t eU tgt wth
38% sg t s th gd d thg.
i a, stt tht shwd hgh vs sup-
pt th eU sc 2006, suts w tc-
y dt m th pst y; th sh -
spdts thkg tht eU ccss wud
gd thg dppd m 88% t 81% 2010.
i Ksv, th cuty wth tdty hgh
suppt th eU, th v suppt md
ughy uchgd.
Th spss t th qust vtg tts th vt eU ccss dum w
csstt tw 2009 d 2010: mts
bk stts, xcpt Ct, sd tht thy wud
vt Ys (gg m 63% S t 93%
a). i Ct wth th w v eU
suppt th ppt ths wh wud vt
n md hgh th ths wh wud vt
Ys (43% vs. 38%).
Puc pcpts gdg wht pp th
eU thught ut th cutys pspctv
anDrzejPYrKa
Attitudes toward the EU
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
22/60
2010
22
mmshp shwd tvy m vt cm-
pd t pvus ys. i 2010, spdts
Ksv d a hd th mst cdc tht
eU ctzs w supptv th ccss t
th U: 69% ( a) d 65% ( Ksv)
thught tht wy. Cvsy, Ss hv cm
ss cdt th pp th st th bk
stts wth ut 4 10 (41%) spdts g
tht pp th eU w sympthtc t Ss
eU tgt ( dcs 12 pctg pts
sc 2008).
Dspt th gtv stc twds eU ccs-
s, 2010, csg um Cts t
tht pp th eU ppvd th pspctv
mmshp th ppt spdts wh
sd tht eU ctzs wtd Ct t th eU
hs csd y 13 pctg pts sc 2009.
Ths dvpmt mght dct csquc
th d t Svs ckd Cts eU
tgt ts Sptm 2009, wg -
ts gtts ud th Sv-Ct
d dsput.
Little change in views concerningthe dates or EU accession exceptin Bosnia and Herzegovina
Ths ct dvpmts td t Sv-
Ct ts tht mvd th m
stcs Cts pth twds eU tg-
t hv t, hwv, md Cts xpct th
cuts eU ccss dt v s. Wh
2009, spdts Ct vg vd
tht 2013 wud th y whch thy wudt th U, 2010 th cmm ws
tht ccss wud y tk pc 2014. Th
sm y ws, vg, xpctd y as
s th cutys dt eU tgt; ths s-
sssmt ws t supsg sc a s t
y stg th eU ccss pcss d hs
t chvd th sttus g c cd-
dt cuty yt.
i mst bk cuts, th xpctts ud
th spd eU ccss hv md tv-
y uchgd: Mtg, pp vg
No CoNSISTENT PATTERN IN ThE LEvEL oF EU SUPPoRT
BUT BIG dECREASES IN ALBANIA ANd SERBIA
Generally speaking, do you think that [COUNTRY]s membership of the European Union would be a good
thing, a bad thing, or neither good or bad?
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
23/60
2010
23
vd tht th cuty wud 2016 wh
Ksv, Mcd d S th m x-
pctd ccss dt ws 2017. Th y cu-
ty wh xpctts shtd sgcty v th
pst y ws bs d Hzgv, wh th
vg dt ptt ty t th eU mvd
cs: m 2022 t 2018. it s ky tht pps
csg ptmsm ccg th eU tgt
pcss s kd t th vs st ssu. at
bs d Hzgv hd dd vs -
st th st ud 2009, th cuty md
gt pgss th d mp twds vs-
tv t th Schg z. as th Balkan Monitor
suts shw, ths dd t g utcd wth s-dts th cuty, wh w vd tht eU c-
css ws cmg cs.
Th Balkan Monitors skd spdts whch
eU mm stt thy pcvd s g th g-
gst suppt th cutys eU ccss.
Wh, Ksv d Ct, mts t mst
supptd y Gmy (31% d 27%, spctv-
y), Sv ws csdd t th mst sup-
pt y th pp Mcd d Mtg
(24% d 11%, spctvy). i ddt, ughy 3
10 spdts a vd tht ity
ws th ggst suppt th cutys ccs-
s t eU.
Ss, th th hd, sw Gc s th g-
gst suppt th ccss t th eU (38%
shd ths d). Ths pspctv s py t-
d th g hsty dy ts tw
th tw stts d Gcs ctug us t
cgs Ksv s dpdt stt. ath
cuty wh sgct um Ss (10%)
vd th ws csd suppt th
eU mmshp ws Sp whch hs t cg-
sd Ksv th.
Uk mst th th bk stts, spdts
m bs d Hzgv dd t hv -
vut: sm muts tvws (10%-12%)
mtd aust, Gmy d Sv s th
ggst suppts th eU mmshp. Th
ws sght dc pcpts t tty-v-
: wh th ggst sh pp rpuk
Spsk (9%) sw Gc s th ggst suppt-
eU ccss, spdts th Fdt
mst t mtd aust (18%). i th tts,
SERBIA ANd KoSovo FEELING ThAT FEwER EU CITIzENS wANT ThEM IN ThE UNIoN
Do you think that the people in the European Union want [COUNTRY] to join the European Union?
39393939
55555555
6969696960606060
7575757565656565
53535353 5454545459595959
44444444
57575757 5858585848484848
42424242
55555555 5353535346464646
51515151 52525252 5353535341414141
26262626
22222222
13131313
18181818
777714141414
1111111117171717
2020202044444444
31313131 28282828
23232323 32323232
2828282826262626 36363636
37373737
29292929 3030303036363636
3535353524242424
18181818 22222222 18181818 21212121
3535353530303030
2222222212121212 12121212 14141414
29292929 2626262617171717 21212121 17171717
1111111119191919 18181818 23232323
'06'06'06'06 '08'08'08'08 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '08'08'08'08 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '08'08'08'08 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '08'08'08'08 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '08'08'08'08 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '08'08'08'08 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '08'08'08'08 '10'10'10'10
Mostly yes Mostly not DK/NA
AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia Bosnia andBosnia andBosnia andBosnia and
HerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovina
SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
24/60
2010
24
hwv, Gmy d Sv w mg th
mst quty md suppts bs eU
tgt.
Pps spss t th qust ut whch
eU mm stt ws th m ppt t th
cutys mmshp th U w s sug-
gstv th cut stt ts tw th
spctv stts. F xmp, 4 10 Cts
pcvd Sv, wth whm thy hv g
thugh d dsput tht hs t yt
uy svd, s th m ppt th eU
mmshp. Smy, Ss w th mst ct-
c th nthds pssy cus tht
cutys ct t Ss eU ccss uss
t uy cptd wth th itt Cm
Tu th m Yugsv (iCTY). o th
th hd, spdts Ksv md Sp
(33%), Gc d Cypus (th 11%), whch
hv dd cgt t Ksv, s th ggst
ppts t th tgt t th eU.
Fy, th Balkan Monitor suts shwd tht
stg mty Mcds (86%) t tht
Gc ws gst th mmshp ths cud
sy kd t th usvd m dsput
tw th tw cuts, wh Gc hs
thtd t ht Mcds eU mmshp
gtts.
BoSNIANS BECoMING MoRE oPTIMISTIC ABoUT EU
ACCESSIoN, ALBANIANS PERhAPS Too oPTIMISTIC
When, in which year do you think [COUNTRY] will be a part of the European Union?
2013201320132013
2015201520152015
20172017201720172016201620162016
2017201720172017
2016201620162016
2022202220222022
20142014201420142014201420142014
20162016201620162017201720172017 2017201720172017 2017201720172017
2018201820182018
CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania A lban ia MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia Bosnia andBosnia andBosnia andBosnia and
HerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovina
2009 2010
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
25/60
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
26/60
2010
26
despite te eisting srtalls an material prblems, it can be seen as real prgress
tat te western Balkan regin is sll becming, since te arme cnfict in Mace-nia in 2001, anter bring part Eurpe, as recentl state b analst heater
Grabbe.5 weter tis is a success te EUs stabilising plicies r nt, it is a majrstep rar r te peple te regin, can lie itut imminent ear cn-
fict. Neerteless, te callenges remain great: te Balkan cuntries are still cnsi-ere as eak states an as bsere b te Balkan Monitorin past ears man
te regins natinal institutins ae a lng a t g in rer t earn te trust teir cuntries resients.
Trust in politicians and the abilityto express political views openly
rgdg th tds pps stsct
wth th stt gvmt, vy mxd pctu
mgd th Wst bk g: wh
a, Ksv d Mtg tv mts
48% ppvd th spctv ds,
th cuts ths dsppvg th gv-
mts pmc utumd ths wh p-
pvd. Wh, Mcd, ppv ws st qut
hgh (41%) d y sght mty (51%) dsp-
pvd, dshp ssssmt ws much hsh S, Ct d bs d Hzgv: y
ud -th spdts supptd th
ds wh m th tw-thds dsppvd.1
a ws th y cuty th g wh
dshp ppv hs wd pstv td
sc th st Balkan Monitor suvy 2006;
gvmt ppv tht cuty s y 17
5 Consult http://ecr.eu/page/-/audio/Balkanre-
portpod.mp3, an audio podcast by the European Council on
Foreign Relations.
pctg pts v th u ys. i th m-
g cuts, ppv tgs th md -
tvy st (Ksv, Mtg, Mcd d
bs d Hzgv) dcsd (S d
Ct). Th ppv t dshp hs
dcd stgy Ct, wh t hs dppd
y 27 pctg pts sc 2006.
Th w, hwv, pstv sgs tht th -
tshp bk ctzs twds th pt-
c css s cmg m ccty. Fm th
Balkan Monitorpspctv, mst cuts, th
ctt w m pstd y ptcs ptc pty. Wh dug th Monitors st
suvy 2006, th shs spdts tht t
w pstd y ptc ptc pty y
gd m 20% (Ct) t 36% (Mtg)
d tv mts vywh dd t thy
w pstd, m dmctc pctu hs
mgd 2010. i cuts, xcpt S,
m pp w ptcy pstd th
thy dd 2006. Ths g ws spcy p-
ucd a (60% t ptcy pst-
d), Ksv (54%) d Mtg (46%), wh
anDrzejPYrKa
Satisfaction and confidence inthe regions institutions
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
27/60
2010
27
SoME PRoGRESS BUT MANy PEoPLE STILL FEEL ThEy
ARE NoT REPRESENTEd PoLITICALLy
As of today, is there a political party or a politician in [COUNTRY/ENTITY] that represents your political
views?
3333333339393939
64646464 60606060
29292929
4545454555555555 54545454
36363636 4040404041414141 46464646
24242424
38383838 42424242 3333333326262626
14141414 17171717
3232323220202020
31313131 36363636 30303030 3232323224242424 20202020
27272727
4848484849494949
29292929 36363636
47474747
4545454539393939 36363636
4545454549494949
51515151 43434343
70707070
57575757 52525252 64646464
6161616178787878
78787878
65656565
71717171
6363636359595959
62626262 57575757 71717171 7676767668686868
1919191912121212
7777 4444
24242424
10101010 7777 1010101019191919
11111111 7777 121212126666 5555 6666 3333
131313137777 5555 3333 9999 6666 5555 8888 11111111
6666 4444 4444
'06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10
Yes No DK/NA
AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia Bosnia andBosnia andBosnia andBosnia and
HerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovina
CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia
such pstv g mg spdts ut-
wghd ths wh t th ptc vws w -
g gd. i th cuts, hwv, ud
tw-thds st dd t ptcy pstd.
rgdg th ssu ptc xpss, th
dvpmt svd y Gup suvys th -
g pts sg pctu. lg shs -
spdts thughut th g (tw 32%
Ksv d 64% Mtg) t tht many
most th cmptts were afraid to openly ex-
press their political views. i sm cuts, th
g mtd dm xpss pt-c ssus hs v gw cty, s svd
Mtg (m 50% t 64% sc 2006), Ct
(41% t 47%), a (14% t 38%) d Ksv
(17% t 32%). S d bs d Hzgv
w th y cuts wh t ws w s t
xpss ptc vws: th sh pp sttg
tht th vwno one was afraidt vc pt-
c p s, ths tw cuts, m 8% t
16% d m 11% t 16%, spctvy, tw
2006 d 2010.
Trust in internal and external institu-
tions still a mixed picture
o th Wst bks pth twds cmg
uctg mkt dmccs, t s cuc tht
t sttuts st cdc th ctzs
th g. Pst wvs th Balkan Monitor
shwd tht wh, mst cuts, th chuch
d th mty w tustd t y mst sp-
dts, stt sttuts st hd g wy t g
d t th tust ctzs. it c sd
mst sttuts mst cuts tht c-
dc vs hv th st v th pstth ys; th t xt sttuts
such s tt gsts hv t suc-
cdd udg up tust mg th pp th
g.
Th suvy shwd tht th mst tustd sttu-
ts a w xt: mst 8 10 -
spdts sttd tht thy hd a lot some c-
dc naTo. Th md ws s mg th
m tustd sttuts wth 68% a t-
vws shwg tust. i g, cdc vs
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
28/60
2010
28
SERBIA ANd BoSNIA ANd hERzEGovINA REPoRTING
INCREASING FREEdoM oF PoLITICAL ExPRESSIoN
In your opinion, how many people in your country, if any, are afraid to openly express their political views?
27272727 27272727 2828282832323232 29292929
2020202032323232 30303030
19191919 19191919 20202020 2020202026262626
20202020 21212121 19191919 1717171712121212 11111111
171717176666
17171717 19191919 151515158888 9999
1818181811111111
23232323 19191919
26262626
32323232
24242424
20202020
25252525 26262626
35353535 27272727 26262626 24242424
29292929
28282828 28282828 2828282824242424
21212121 21212121
30303030
8888
24242424 2222222223232323
999915151515
21212121
21212121
2929292929292929
27272727
24242424
28282828
29292929
28282828 28282828 31313131
33333333 35353535 3232323223232323
2828282830303030 31313131
3232323238383838 40404040
33333333
30303030
30303030 35353535 38383838
31313131
34343434
33333333
29292929
5555 1717171712121212
888815151515
27272727
13131313 11111111 888814141414 14141414 16161616 11111111 17171717
15151515 1717171718181818 20202020 23232323
17171717
39393939
22222222 17171717 17171717
24242424
3434343417171717
23232323
171717178888 7777 4444 4444 4444 5555 6666 6666 4444 8888 11111111 7777
5555 5555 10101010 9999 66663333
171717176666 7777 7777
28282828
8888 11111111 16161616
'06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10
Most are afraid Many are afraid Some are afraid No one is afraid DK/NA
MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia Bosnia andBosnia andBosnia andBosnia and
HerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovina
CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo
hv md st sc 2008. Th udc sys-
tm ws th y dy wh th pps v
cdc hd dppd: y 13 pctg pts
tw 2009 d 2010.
i bs d Hzgv, th th m thc
gups shwd c dcs th cdc
ps. Dspt stg dp th sh p-
p tht tustd th gus sttuts, thy -
md th mst tustd ds bs Ss
d bs Cts (cdc dppd, spc-
tvy, m 89% 2008 t 67% 2010, d m
85% t 65%). amg bsks, th mty std
mst cdc wth 70% xpssg some alot of confidence tht dy; gus sttuts
w tustd y 53% spdts. Cdc
th t gvmt s m 27% 2008 t
36% 2010 mg bs Ss, whch md
ths gup th bs d Hzgv wth
mst tust th stt gvmt. F bsks
(30% hd cdc th t gvmt)
d bs Cts (19%) th d gvmt
md mg th st tustd sttuts. M
sdts th bs Fdt hd cdc
eU sttuts (49% mg bsks d 43%
mg bs Cts) th pp rpuk
Spsk (31%). it ws t tht mg bs
Cts, g dp sttut cdc
cud svd v th pst th ys, wh
cdc vs mg bsks hv md
ughy th sm.
Sm t mst cuts th g, Cts x-
pssd mst tust twds th mty d -
gus gsts 83% tustd th mty d
64% hd tust th chuch. Ct spdts
w th y Wst bk sdts t shw
gwg v tust th udcy: wh 2008,
25% Cts xpssd cdc th cuts,th gu hs s t 44% 2010. Cts v
cdc th t gvmt ms t
tvy w 26%.
i cmps t th gups th g,
Ksv as shwd uusuy hgh vs
cdc sttuts: 91% tustd th mty,
84% tustd th gus gsts d 79%
hd cdc th eU sttuts. Cdc
vs md th st, wth tw t x-
cpts; sc 2009, cdc th t
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
29/60
2010
29
dEvELoPMENT oF CoNFIdENCE IN INSTITUTIoNS
In [COUNTRY], do you have confidence in each of the following, or not?
ALBANIA
BIh
BoSNIAKS
BIh
CRoATS
BIh SERBS
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
30/60
2010
30
dEvELoPMENT oF CoNFIdENCE IN INSTITUTIoNS (CoNTINUEd)
In [COUNTRY], do you have confidence in each of the following, or not?
CRoATIA
KoSovo
ALBANIANS
KoSovo
SERBS
MoNTE-
NEGRo
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
31/60
2010
31
MACEdoNIA
ALBANIANS
MACEdoNIA
MACEdoNIANS
SERBIA
gvmt d th udc systm hs dppd
sgcty (m 67% t 44% d m 58% t
38% spctvy).
Tust vs mg th S pt th Ksv
pput w stk ctst t th a
pt: th y ds tht hd th cdc
mty spdts w th gus g-
sts wth 76% Ksv Ss xhtg such
tust. a th Ksv sttuts such s th m-
ty, th gvmt d th udc systm y
std cdc sm mty ss th 1
10 th Ksv S pput.
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
32/60
2010
32
IMPoRTANCE oF RELIGIoN
Is religion an important part of your daily life? (% ys)
Mcds d mms th gst m-
ty Mcd, th as, hv sghty ds-
tct ps wh t cms t cdc st-
tuts. Mst Mcd Svs hd cdc
th mty d gus gsts. o th
th hd, naTo ws th mst tustd sttut
Mcd as, ust s t ws th th-
a gups Ksv d a, wth th
eU chg hgh vs cdc mg th-
c as s w. ov cdc vs hv
dcsd th thc gups Mcd:
mg Mcd Svs, th v tust th
gvmt, th md d udc systm hv
dcsd sc 2008 (m 63% 2008 t 41%
2010, m 62% t 46%, d m 40% t 32%,
spctvy). amg Mcd as, wh
cdc th stt sttuts hs tdd t
t s pucd s wth Mcds, th
hs stg dp tust th gvmt
d cuts tw 2009 d 2010. Cdc
th gvmt m 50% t 16% ust
y (tw 2009 d 2010) d tust th ud-
cy dppd m 47% t 17% th sm pd.
i 2010, g wth Ksv as, spdts
Mtg ptd th hghst vs c-
dc sttuts, wth vs mg st
sc 2008. Th t gvmt Mtg
ws y th mst tustd th Wst bks,
26% spdts sttd tht thy tustd ta lot
d 44% xpssdsome cdc. ov c-
dc vs hv csd, thugh th pst
th ys, csgy w pp hv
sttd tht thy hda lot tust y thsttuts mtd d m pp sd
tht thy y hdsome tust.
i S, gus gsts d th m-
ty hv md th mst tustd gs-
ts, d ths vs cdc hv -
md st sc 2008. it s tstg t
t, hwv, tht th pst th ys, th
mty hs pcd th chuch s th cu-
tys mst tustd sttut: tust hs dppd
th tt m 75% t 66% th pst tw
ys, wh tust th m hs s m
63% t 77% tht pd. Tust th md,
th udc systm d th t gv-
mt s w t sgcty w v (-
tw 35% d 41% spdts S
shwd cdc ths sttuts) d
hs dcsg ty. Tust th eU
sttuts hs md th st sc
2008 wth ut 4 10 spdts xpss-
g cdc thm th wh t tt
sups cdc naTo ms th w-
st th g wth pp st mm-g th mty gsts ttcks gst
S th Ksv cfct 1999.
Religion just as important or not?
i th ght th dcg tust gus g-
sts my th suvyd cuts y-
ss th Balkan Monitorqusts ut pps
tshp wth msqus d chuchs shud
t thw t ght th vut -
gus th Wst bks.
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
33/60
2010
33
Th hs um dvpmt ud
th th g. rg hs gd mptc
s part of daily life as Ksv (th
sh ths csdg t t an important part
of daily life wt up m 68% 2009 t 89%
2010), Mcd (91% t 97%) d a (m
33% t 44%) d spdts Mtg
(m 46% t 60%). it hs s md ctc
Mcd Svs d Cts, wh m-
ts ud tw-thds spdts sd tht
g ws mptt spct th dy vs.
i bs d Hzgv, tw ppsd tds
cud svd: wh w bsks w c-
sdd g t mptt pt th vs
(49% vs. 63% 2006), m bs Ss d
bs Cts sttd tht g ws mptt
t thm (t 81% vs. 59% 2006 d t 79% m
65% 2006, spctvy)
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
34/60
2010
34
It is state in eer reprt abut te western Balkan regin, be it a prgress assess-
ment b te Eurpean Cmmissin r an analsis b a tink tank: perasie crimean crruptin are keeping te regins cuntries rm eelping int ull unctinal
market emcracies an prgressing quicker tars Eurpean integratin. Strnglinks beteen criminal netrks an plitical actrs get in te a te implementa-
tin ar-reacing anti-crruptin rerms, ile te principles g gernancecannt take rt in a regin ere businesses ten prt rm eak states an s-
unctinal institutins. Against tis backrp, te electin I Jsipic as presi-ent Cratia in Januar 2010, ater a campaign empasiing is anti-crruptin
erts, as an imprtant signal r te western Balkans. It seems like citiens aree up it te lack integrit amng te ruling classes an are beginning t bring
rt cange ia te ballt b. Te Balkan Monitoras been tracking tese latesteelpments peples sentiments an eperiences arun rganise crime an
crruptin.
Levels o perceivedcorruption in government andbusinesses remain high
athugh cuts cvd y th suvy t
st h th ctzs thught tht cupt ws
wdspd thughut th gvmt s w s
wth th usss wd, th shs sp-dts ptg ths dd sustty css th
Wst bks.
Wh Ksv m th 9 10 (91%) sp-
dts thught tht gvmt cupt ws
wdspd th cuty, h tvws
Mtg hd ths vw. Th mst dmt-
c chg hs tk pc Ksv, wh th
sh ths vg tht th gvmt ws
cupt hs csd y ght pctg pts
cmpd t th st wv 2009. Mwh,
Mcd th t spdts dsgg
wth th sttmt tht gvmt cupt
ws cmm phm th cuty hs
y u pctg pts (t 13%). a pp-
st dvpmt ws gstd a, bs
d Hzgv d S, wh th ppt
pp ssumg cupt t wdspd
thughut th gvmt hs sghty (3-4pctg pts). Wth bs d Hzgv
th ws stkg dc th pcpt
gvmt cupt tw th tw bs
tts: wh th Fdt 93% spdts
w cvcd tht cupt ws cmm t
th gvmt v, th cspdg gu
rpuk Spsk ws t 71%. i th cut su-
vy, qut Mtgs sd tht gv-
mt cupt ws t pvt th cuty
cy th hghst pctg th g ( -
cs 8 pctg pts cmpd t 2009).
SloboDan
PHiliPoViC
Perceptions of corruption andorganised crime
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
35/60
2010
35
i Ct, vws ut th v cupt
gvmt hv styd tvy st; 89% sd
t ws wdspd.
a ws th cuty wh usss cupt
ws st t csdd t wdspd (56%),
wd y Mtg (64%). Hwv, sp-
dts ths cuts w s th mst k-
y t sy thy did not know t us t sw
(19% d 18% spctvy). Ct spdts
w th mst ky t v tht cupt ws
cmm pctc wth th cutys ussss
CoRRUPTIoN IN GovERNMENT
Is corruption widespread throughout the government in [COUNTRY], or not?
9090909096969696 93939393
6868686879797979
71717171
84848484 8383838391919191
7777777787878787 89898989
71717171
84848484 8181818174747474 69696969 70707070 73737373 73737373 69696969
49494949 50505050 50505050
'06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10
Yes
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia A lbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro
Federation Republika
Srpska
CoRRUPTIoN IN BUSINESS
Is corruption widespread within businesses located in [COUNTRY], or not?
8383838392929292 93939393
8282828291919191 88888888 86868686 90909090 87878787
7272727282828282 85858585 86868686 79797979 74747474
66666666 69696969 6464646468686868 67676767
56565656
'06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10
Yes
CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia Bosnia andBosnia andBosnia andBosnia andHerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovinaHerzegovina KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro A lbaniaAlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
36/60
2010
36
(93%). Th mst t chg th pst y
ws gstd a: th sh suvy p-
tcpts vg wdspd usss cup-
t hs y 11 pctg pts. Sm d-
vpmts tk pc S d bs d
Hzgv (dw th 3 pctg pts),
Mcd d Mtg (th mus 5 pct-
g pts). Ksv, hwv, sw sght cs
th um spdts vg tht cup-
t ws pvt mg ussss ( cs
3 pts t 85%).
LESS NEEd To oFFER BRIBE IN MoST CoUNTRIES
Sometimes people have to give a bribe or a present in order to solve their problems. In the last 12
months, were you, personally, faced with this kind of situation, or not (regardless of whether you gave a
bribe/present or not)?
52525252 49494949
1212121218181818 16161616 11111111
2020202013131313
1919191913131313
1818181812121212 8888 10101010
202020209999
'09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10
Yes
AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo
RepublikaSrpska
Federation
PEoPLE STILL FEEL ThE EFFECTS oF oRGANISEd CRIME, BUT
wITh ThE ExCEPTIoN oF ALBANIA LESS oFTEN
Does the organised crime in [COUNTRY] affect you personally?
26262626 2222222232323232
22222222 1919191911111111 10101010
17171717 14141414 11111111 10101010 11111111 14141414 9999 10101010 7777
41414141
21212121
48484848
44444444
26262626
3030303022222222
18181818 24242424
1414141427272727 23232323
26262626
17171717
32323232
19191919
28282828
53535353
18181818
33333333
51515151 58585858
5858585860606060 56565656
68686868
58585858 6060606057575757
69696969
54545454
69696969
5555 4444 444410101010 5555 6666 7777
5555 6666 4444 4444 5555
'09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10 '09'09'09'09 '10'10'10'10
Yes, it affects me in daily life Yes, it affects me occasionally
No, it does not affect me DK/NA
KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroat ia MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro
Federation Republika
Srpska
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
37/60
2010
37
A positive trend in sel-reported pet-ty corruption
i cuts suvyd xcpt Ct, th
2010 suvy dtctd dp th sh ths
tvws wh hd ctd wth c-
ct xmp cupt, mg tht thy hd
csdd offering a bribe or present to solve their
problems th pst y. Th mst pstv dv-
pmts tk pc Ksv, wh th pp-
t spdts ptg ths y 11 pct-
g pts (t 9%), Mcd (mus 7 pts t
13%), Mtg d S (th dw 6 ptst 13% d 12%, spctvy). a ws g
th cuty wth th mst spdts wh hd
hd t gv , dspt sghty pstv td:
49% sd tht thy hd cd such stut (m-
us 3 pctg pts) d 48% sttd tht thy
hd t (pus 7 pctg pts). Ct gus
w st. a ppsd dvpmt cud
svd th tw bs tts: rpuk
Spsk, spdts ptd m t tht thy
hd gd t (m 12% t 18% -
spdts tw 2009 d 2010), wh th
bs Fdt ths gu dcsd m 16%
t 11% th sm pd.
Personal lives now less oten aect-ed by organised crime
Wth th xcpt as, spdts
css th Wst bks t ss quty -
ctd y gsd cm th thy hd 2009.
i Ksv, xmp, 21% spdts sd
thy w ctd dy d 22% sd g-
sd cm ctd thm ccsy vs. gus
26% d 41%, spctvy, 2009. i a,th sh spdts syg tht th dy vs
w gtvy ctd s y sv pctg
pts (t 17%), wth th sh ths g c-
csy ctd g y u pts (t 18%).
Organised crime persists and many governments still lack the will tofght
a ws th y cuty suvyd wh
pp w m ky t sy tht th v
MoST CoUNTRIES doNT SEE ovERALL IMPRovEMENT REGARdING oRGANISEd CRIME
Do you think the level of organised crime in this country is lower, about the same, or higher than it was
5 years ago?
3535353524242424
1818181812121212 11111111 11111111
555510101010
31313131
3838383843434343
4040404047474747
56565656
33333333
41414141
16161616 2222222230303030
42424242 27272727
29292929
5858585841414141
18181818 161616169999 7777
151515154444 4444 8888
Level is lower Level is about the same Level is higher DK/NA
AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedonia SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina Croat iaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia
Republika
Srpska
Federation
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
38/60
2010
38
gsd cm ws w w cmpd t th
stut v ys p t th suvy th t cm
th ppst (35% vs.16%). o th th hd, th
hghst sh spdts syg tht th v
gsd cm ws hgh th v ys g ws
ud bs d Hzgv (47%), wd
t sm dstc y S (42%) d Ct
(41%). Wh xmg th bs suts cs,
t c sd tht th dtmt stut ud
gsd cm ws msty ptd th bs
Fdt: wh ths tty 58% sttd tht th
v gsd cm hd s v th v ys
th suvy, rpuk Spsk m 29%
w such p.
Wh ut 4 10 spdts Mtg,
Mcd d a sd tht th gvmt
ws dg vythg ts pws t ght gsd
cm, ss th v tvws Ct
d bs d Hzgv hd ths vw (17%
d 15%, spctvy). imptt pstv dv-
pmts tk pc Mtg, a d
Ct th tt cuty, xmp, th sh
spdts dsstsd wth th gvmts
ts t cmt gsd cm dppd m y
14 pctg pts t 66% sc 2009. Th p-
pst ws tu Mcd: h, m pp
w dsstsd wth th t gvmts
t-cupt ts; th sh ths stsd
dppd 9 pctg pts sc 2008 t 40%
2010.
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
39/60
2010
39
Te great appeal ecnmic (rk-relate) migratin r te ppulatins te
western Balkans bears bt a risk an an pprtunit r te regins eelpment.on te ne an, it is ten te mst-eucate an te brigtest tat leae teir
cuntries t lk r better pprtunities in western Eurpe r te Unite States. Teme cuntries ten miss teir talents at a time scietal transrmatin en te
ul be neee mst. on te ter an, it a limite eucatinal inrastructure inte regin, it can be elpul i Balkan citiens leae t gain knlege an rk e-
perience abra bere returning t teir me cuntries at sme pint t transer teknlege te ae acquire. Since te ecnmic crisis as iminise rk p-
prtunities in sme te traitinal st cuntries Balkan migrants, tis is certaint ae a strng eect n te migratin plans western Balkan resients.
Relative majorities, at least,want to remain in the Balkans
as pst wvs th Balkan Monitor, th cu-
t suvy shwd tht mts spdts
cuts xcpt Ct d Ksv w
cvcd, 2010, tht th w better oppor-
tunities outside th cuts. Futhm, v
ths tw tt cuts, ths pp thkg
tht tt cud ud d utum-
d ths wh sw qu tt pptuts
t hm. it ws stkg, hwv, tht spdts
a d Ksv, tdty th Wstbk cuts wh pp w mst g t
mgt, w w much ss ky t s tt
pptuts d th thy w 2006. i tht
tmm, th spctv sh spdts
m 66% t 52% a d m 72% t 48%
Ksv. a ppst td ws s Ct
d Mtg, wh gwg ppt
pp w w cvcd tht pptuts w
tt d. i ust tw ys, th sh hs s
38% t 52% Mtg d m 31% t 48%
Ct. i th mg cuts Mcd,
bs d Hzgv d S m th
h spdts sw tt chcs d;
hdy chgd (3-4 pctg pts) sc 2009.
Th hgh v spdts sg mtd p-
ptuts th w cuts tsts t
tvy hgh wgss pp wg t mv
d t ty th uck. Th mst pp wth m-
gt wshs c ud a, wh
42% (up m 32% 2006) sttd tht dy, thy
wud k t mv t th cuty. i Mcd
d Ksv, ughy -thd spdts
cud mg mvg t th cuty, wh Mtg, bs d Hzgv d S
ths sh ws ud -th spdts. Th
smst ppt pp tmptd t g d
ws s Ct wth y 13% spdts
wshg t mgt.
it shud, hwv, td tht wh spd-
ts sd tht ideallythy wshd t mv d
(mg tht, xmp, th w ts t
my d ds d th spdt hd ugh
my t c th mv) tht dd t wys
Dejan
abrilo
Migration and mobility
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
40/60
2010
40
d t ths spdts hvg cct mg-
t ps. Ths c usttd y ct Gup
sch udtk th Utd Kgdm, wh
smy hgh 30% spdts sd tht thy
wud dy k t v th cuty wsh tht
ws y sd y mty ths wh sttd
such wsh t mv d.
i d t uth vstgt hw cct pps
dss t v th cuts w, th BalkanMonitor wd up th qusts ut mg-
t wth ss qusts tg t whth
pp hd cct ds d ps ccg
such mv. F xmp, pp wh sd thy
wshd t mgt, d cud m th tdd
dstt w skd whth thy thught thy
wud mvg d pmty th y
wg th suvy. Th spss t ths qus-
t shwd tht much sm ums Wst
bk sdts w ctuy dy t v th
cuts th sht tm. F xmp, th 42%
as syg tht dy thy wud k t
v th cuty, y 14% hd cct ps t
mv d pmty. Th ppts w
v w th Wst bk cuts.61
extptd t th pput gd 15 ys
d (th g gup ddssd y th Balkan
Monitor ) th suvy gus gv d th -
gs mgt ptt. bsd tt Wst
bk pput 18.7 m (gd 15 d
v), ughy 344,000 sdts hv cctps t v th cuty permanently th y
t th tvws (s chts w). a hd
th mst htts dy t v permanent-
ly wth ud 140,000 hvg cct ps t
v a th 12 mths t th tvw
tk pc. F th mg cuts, th vs
6 To consult these and related data please consult
worldview.gallup.com, the dashboard o the Gallup WorldPoll.
The World Poll is a survey undertaken every year by Gallup in
more than 130 countries worldwide in national representative
samples. You can sign up or trial access to the dashboardree o charge.
IN ALBANIA ANd KoSovo, MoRE oPPoRTUNITIES Now SEEN AT hoME
Based on the current conditions in our country, which of the following statements best reflects your opin-
ion? For people like yourself,
66666666
54545454 5555555560606060
6767676758585858
52525252 51515151
6464646455555555 54545454
5858585851515151 50505050 49494949 52525252
56565656
3838383845454545
52525252
66666666 64646464 6161616152525252
3737373731313131
45454545 48484848
72727272 7373737364646464
48484848
24242424
36363636 38383838 2929292923232323
32323232 41414141 4444444423232323
31313131 3131313131313131
37373737 39393939 39393939 33333333 25252525
4949494943434343
3939393920202020 23232323 27272727
32323232
4747474753535353
44444444 36363636
1414141417171717
27272727
40404040
3333 66664444
6666 4444 33333333 3333
7777 11111111 111111118888 6666 8888 7777 10101010 5555 4444
55559999 7777 12121212 7777 11111111 4444
151515153333
3333 77777777 4444 4444 5555 6666 7777 4444 6666 3333 4444 3333 6666 3333 5555 5555
171717178888 7777 4444 12121212
5555 6666 4444 8888 5555 8888 11111111 88886666 5555
'06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 ' 06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10 '06'06'06'06'08'08'08'08'09'09'09'09'10'10'10'10
DK/NA
... there are more opportunities in this country than in any other country
... there are as many opportunities in this country as in any other country
... there are better opportunities outside this country
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina MacedoniaMacedoniaMacedoniaMacedon ia SerbiaSerbiaSerbiaSerbia MontenegroMontenegroMontenegroMontenegro AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Albania CroatiaCroatiaCroatiaCroatia KosovoKosovoKosovoKosovo
Federation Republika
Srpska
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
41/60
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
42/60
2010
42
MoST PoPULAR MIGRATIoN dESTINATIoNS
To which country would you like to move? bs: ths wh wud dy k t mv t th cu-
ty, tp 5 spss
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
43/60
2010
43
Germany leads the way as an in-tended destination but not or all
Th w gt dcs th dstts
tht pp wud ideally k t mgt t. Wh
Gmy ws th mst ppu tgt pp
bs d Hzgv (mtd y 29%
ths wshg t v), Ksv (25%), Mcd
(19%) d Ct (16%), spdts a
w mst ttctd y ity (32%). i Mtg,th Utd Stts ws th mst ppu dst-
t (mtd y 17% pp wth ds t
mgt), csy wd y Gmy d ity.
itvws S hd c vut mg
tgt cuts, ut mst t sttd tht thy t
ttctd y Swd (12%) wth Gmy (11%) s
cs-up scd vut.
Albanians and Bosnians bothdivided over the impact o visa
liberalisation
Th shmt vs qumts
Wst bk ctzs tvg twds
th Schg hs s much pg-
ss sc th puct th 2009
Balkan Monitorsuts. i st ud, vs
st ws tducd ctzs
Mcd, Mtg d S
Dcm 2009. nw, wg m-
stps wd th cssy tv-
-td ms a d bsd Hzgv d pstv vts th
eup Pmt d th eUs Cuc
Msts, vs- tv s xpctd
t cm t ths cuts Dcm
2010. Wh tht stp s gy wtd
th stts, spdts th cuts
w dvdd v th qust whth
s tv twds th Schg z
wud d t mss mgt. i a,
mst 4 10 (39%) spdts vd
tht mgt wud cs stgy wth
th 37% vg tht t wud y -
cs t mtd xtt. a sm pctu
mgd bs d Hzgv, wh
-thd (33%) spdts thught tht th
wud g cs th ums pp
mgtg d. Ths w sghty utumd
y 4 10 spdts xpctg such mgt
wy m bs d Hzgv t y cs
t mtd xtt.
Wth th a d bs d Hzgv -
cty hvg gtd vs- tv th utu, th y Wst bk pp qu-
g vss t t th Schg z wud th
sdts Ksv. Much hs wtt ut
th dtmt cts stg Ksvs -
spct t tv ghts, ut s , th hv
c sttmts y eU cs gdg u-
tu dvpmts ths spct. Th ct tht
mpss ws fctd th spss suvy
No dEFINITE oPINIoN ABoUT ThE
IMPACT oF vISA LIBERALISATIoN IN
EIThER ALBANIA oR BoSNIA
What do you expect will happen after the introduction
of visa-free travel for Albania/Bosnia and Herzegovina?
3939393933333333
3737373740404040
17171717 22222222
6666 6666
AlbaniaAlbaniaAlbaniaAlbania Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
DK/NAEmigration will remain the sameEmigration will increase somewhatEmigration will increase strongly
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
44/60
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
45/60
2010
45
Lcate n a territr nl sligtl larger tan tat te UK an cmpse a
ttal ppulatin abut 25 millin, te western Balkan cuntries cntain a strikingnumber latent cnficts. Etnic tensins itin Bsnia an heregina, gencie
cases beteen Serbia an Cratia bere te Internatinal Curt Justice, te cn-fict arun Kss inepenence, Macenias name ispute it Greece an
man mre: it seems unlikel tat te regin ill be able t erase all its trublespts in te near uture. But prgress is sll becming isible: it te aent a
mre merate class pliticians in man cuntries an te recent rapprcementbeteen te leaers Cratia an Serbia, tere are ig pes tat a ne breee
bringing impre cperatin an interetnic relatins migt be bling acrss tewestern Balkans. Een r te mst prgressie leaers, eer, it ill be icult
t pursue recnciliatr plicies gien te strng sentiments relate t etnicit annatinalit tat are eepl rte in te mins man western Balkan resients.
at st gt stp wd hs md
th g th pst dcd: sc 2001, m
md cfct hs tk pc d pp th
gud sm t g wth ysts tht such
utcm s uky th utu. askd whth-
thy xpctd w t k ut th v ys
t cm, g mts m 62% (S) t88% (Ct) css cuts w certainly
probablycvcd tht md cfct ws
t xpctd ytm s. Th shs sp-
dts g tht w ws t ky hv gw
cuts xcpt S d Ksv sc
2006. i ths tw cuts, th ppt -
spdts thkg tht th wud t w
th utu hs dcsd y ght pct-
g pts t 62% S d y tw pts t
68% Ksv. a mk dvpmt ws
s bs d Hzgv wh ust
y tw 2009 d 2010 th sh -
spdts g certain tht th sk w ws t
mmt wt up m 27% t 49%. Tht ms
tht ut 8 10 (81%) bss d t xpct
md cfct s. Th w ws th hgh-
st Mcd d S wh 28% d 24%
spdts, spctvy, hd tprobable cer-tain tht th wud md cfct.
Wh bk sdts w s ss pss-
ty md cfct, ths hs t ts-
td t ds gt cpt tw
th bk ghus. Wh cuts, x-
cpt Mtg, tv mts sd tht th
cutys ghuy ts wnot strong enough,
ths ppts hv t gwg vy-
wh pst ys. i a d Ksv, th
sh spdts dg ghuy ts
Balkan challenges: ethnicrelations and the future of theregion
8/8/2019 BalkanMonitor-2010 Summary of Findings
46/60
2010
46
LITTLE BELIEF IN ThE PoSSIBILITy oF wAR IN ThE REGIoN
Looking at the next five years, do you think there is a chance that there will be an armed conflict some-
where in the Balkans?
6666 10101010 11111111 9999 3333 6666 7777 7777 3333 4444 6666 5555 4444 6666 4444 3333 3333 3333 4444 3333 4444
28282828 19191919 17171717 19191919
1313131316161616
19191919 17171717
10101010 888813131313 5555 8888 5555 5555
9999 131313139999 8888 6666 9999 8888
12121212 9999
21212121
111111114444 4444
3737373738383838
34343434 3232323248484848 34343434
33333333 34343434
3232323238383838 30303030
2626262639393939
3535353528282828
21212121
34343434 34343434 4343434332323232
43434343 43434343
45454545
32323232
32323232 56565656
45454545 45454545
18181818 2626262627272727 32323232 22222222
2727272727272727 28282828
32323232
37373737 3535353549494949
31313131 44444444 5555555547474747
2727272732323232
3535353550505050 24242424
3333333327272727
49494949 22222222
23232323
3939393943434343
11111111 8888 12121212 8888 13131313 17171717 14141414 1515151526262626
14141414 18181818 14141414 1919191911111111 10101010
1818181825252525
191919191010101
top related