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Use of beat-to-beat ECG restitution for assessment of cardiac stress and arrhythmia vulnerability Anthony Fossa, PhD SPS, Webinar, May 7, 2015 [email protected] www.fossaconsulting.com
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Page 1: Use of beat-to-beat ECG restitution for assessment of cardiac … · 2015-05-13 · Use of beat-to-beat ECG restitution for assessment of cardiac stress and arrhythmia vulnerability

Use of beat-to-beat ECG

restitution for assessment

of cardiac stress and

arrhythmia

vulnerability

Anthony Fossa, PhD

SPS, Webinar, May 7, 2015

[email protected]

www.fossaconsulting.com

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• What is restitution and why is it important?

• How has it been used

– Clinically

–Preclinically

• How can it be used in drug studies?

• How does it translate to risk of arrhythmia?

Outline

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“We” means “Not possible

without”

• Pfizer (or at least used to be)

– Todd Wisialowski

– Kim Crimin

– Craig Trost

• U. Rochester Med. Ctr.

– Jean-Philippe Couderc

– Wojciech Zareba

• iCardiac

– Meijian Zhou

• AMPS

– Fabio Badilini

• VivaQuant

- Brian Brockway

- Marina Brockway

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• Too many false positives keeping good medications off the market

– Tamoxifen, amiodarone, chloroquine, erythromycin, most antipsychotics and antidepressants, quinolones would not be developed in today’s regulatory environment

• FDA now recognizes this by starting CiPA initiative

• FDA also open to new measures of risk assessment using ECG biomarker qualification process.

QTc is a poor predictor of arrhythmia

liability

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• Restitution is the ability of the heart to recover from one beat to the next.

• Assessed through beat-to-beat relationship between the working phase of heart (APD or QT interval) and the preceding resting phase of heart (DI or TQ interval).

• Can be quantified to assess stress on heart at any heart rate (RR interval)

• Takes into consideration abnormal hysteresis and all changes in autonomic states

• Used in tandem with dynamic QT beat-to-beat analysis at usually no added resource expenditure.

Restitution

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Restitution: The ability to recover:

Examples of work vs rest.

• Push-ups:

– One per minute-relatively easy for most people-can sustain for long time

– One per second- not so easy unless you’re a trained athlete.

– The faster you go, the quicker you collapse (arms quivering).

• Heart beats pushing blood

– Slow heart rate with low blood pressure: easy for most hearts

– Faster heart rate with higher blood pressure: not so easy unless heart is trained (quivering heart is fatal arrhythmia)

– QT interval measures work period of the heart while TQ interval measures rest period

– As QT/TQ ratio gets > 1 (more work than rest) the heart gets tired more quickly in unhealthy hearts or drugs that impair restitution.

– ECG restitution can accurately quantify this in over 100,000 heart beats/day.

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< 1 >1 Restitution Breakpoint

Stable State

Proarrhythmic

State

TdP develop?

Restitution in dog papillary muscle

From: Koller et al., (1998) Am J Physiol 275 (Heart Circ Physiol. 44): H1635-1642

Human HR

110 BPM

70 BPM

(normal resting)

180 BPM

DI

113

Restitution Breakpoint 113 ms

DI

Stable Unstable

TdP?

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Why restitution ratio of “1” is so

important to arrhythmia vulnerability

From: Qu et al., Front Physiol 29: 154, 2010

Ratio < 1: Suppresses oscillations to stabilize spiral wave. Ratio> 1: Magnifies oscillations causing spiral wave break and re-entry

Stability of spiral wave reentry

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Heart rate increases in the last minute prior to TdP

From: Locati et al, (1995) JACC 25:1564-1575

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From Roden et al., Annu Rev Physiol 64: 431-475, 2002

S L S L L L

Heart rate increase causes QT oscillations preceding pause and Torsades de Pointes

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Fossa et al., 2007 A.N.E. 12:338-349.

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Restitution Parameters

• Lower TQ 5th quantile: Rest period boundary of lower 5% of beats

• Median QT/TQ ratio: Median stress on the heart over any particular

period.

• % Beats with QT/TQ > 1: Reflects relative time spent in on steep

portion of restitution relationship

• Upper 98% quantile of QT/TQ ratio: reflects magnitude of

steepness and temporal heterogeneity in restitution relationship for

beats that may pose the greatest risk

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Standing (Schellong Test)

0

1

2

3

4

0 300 600 900 1200 1500

RR Interval (ms)

QT

/TQ

Rati

o

Burst Exercise

0

1

2

3

4

0 300 600 900 1200 1500

RR Interval (ms)

QT

/TQ

Rati

o

Isoproterenol Infusion

0

1

2

3

4

0 300 600 900 1200 1500

RR Interval (ms)

QT

/TQ

Rati

o

Acceleration period

Deceleration period

Phenylephrine Bolus

0

1

2

3

4

0 300 600 900 1200 1500

RR Interval (ms)

QT

/TQ

Rati

o

2Hr Awake Resting Baseline Autonomic Challenge Response

QT/TQ= 60% QT/TQ= 350%

QT/TQ= 271% QT/TQ= 4%

Assessing stressed autonomic states

Fossa and Zhou, Cardiol J. 17:230-242 (2010)

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Fossa et al., 2007 A.N.E. 12:338-349.

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Fossa et al., 2007 A.N.E. 12:338-349.

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Also used in several other regulatory facing studies unable to disclose at this time.

Use of beat-to-beat and ECG restitution in

FDA TQT study

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QTc and QTcNi both undercorrect at low heart rate during peak drug concentration of guanfacine

Fossa et al, A.N.E. 19:582-294; 2014

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Restitution stabilized at peak drug concentration of guanfacine

Fossa et al, A.N.E. 19:582-294; 2014

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Restitution changes from baseline at Tmax with guanfacine (T and ST) and moxifloxacin

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Intuniv® QT labeling

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Use of ECG restitution in

preclinical studies

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QT beat-to-beat and ECG restitution analyses in

the same dog from a cross-over design study

QT prolongation with no change in restitution (i.e. drug safe with no increased risk of arrhythmia).

Placebo vs. 24-hour Baseline Drug vs. 24-hour Baseline

24-h reference bounds

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QT beat-to-beat and ECG restitution analyses in

the same dog from a cross-over design study

QT prolongation with impaired restitution (i.e. drug has increased risk of arrhythmia).

Placebo vs. 24-hour Baseline Drug vs. 24-hour Baseline

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Analysis at each time point so that PK/PD

determinations can be made

Placebo Drug

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Translation of baseline values in

humans, dogs and monkeys

MEASURE OUTCOME VALUES REFERENCES

Normals median QT/TQ ratio • humans

• Dogs • Monkeys

10-sec rest strips 1

2-hr sleep 2

24- hour baselines 2-4

24- hour baselines 5

24- hour baselines 6

0.73 0.65

0.73-0.85 0.6 ± 0.1 1.01± 0.1

1. Gross. Am J Physiol 170:121-125; 1952 2. Fossa et al. ANE 12:338-348; 2007 3. Fossa and Zhou. Cardiol J 17:230-243 4. Fossa et al., ANE 19:582-5994; 2014.

1. Unreported dog studies 2. Unreported monkey studies

Normals upper 98% QT/TQ ratio • humans

• Dogs • Monkeys

2-hr sleep 2

24- hour baselines 2-4

24- hour baselines 5

24- hour baselines 6

1.23 1.31`-1.52

1.6 ± 0.1

1.85 ± 0.1

Median QT/TQ • Rheumatic carditis

10-sec rest strips

1.46

Taran and Szilagyi. Am J Med 5:392-401; 1948

% myocarditis patients with QT/TQ > 1

10-sec rest strips 74.5% cases Gittleman et alAm Heart J 41:78-90; 1951.

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QT/TQ ratio in normal subjects vs patients with cardiopulmonary

disease

From: Yu et al. J Clin Invest 29:279-289, 1950

Methods 10 min walk on treadmill N= 25 Normals N = 20 HCVD and ASHD N = 8 CHD N = 24 PD

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Translation to outcomes in humans

From: Nicolson WB, et al Heart 2014; 100:1878-1885.

Methods Programmed electrical stimulation through ICD pacing protocol. R2I2 = SD of QT/TQ slope over 12 leads PERS = Peak ECG restitution (max slope) Results Selectivity = 80% Specificity = 95% Relative Risk = 21.6X

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Next steps

• Qualify restitution through FDA Drug Development Tools Process for use in all preclinical and clinical studies.

– Compare PK/restitution outcomes to historical arrhythmia

incidences for well characterized drugs (dofetilide, moxi, ranolazine, mexelitine)

– Validation requires continuous ECG data from studies with known clinical outcomes • QT prolongation and arrhythmia • Cardiac Stress • Possibly Ischemia

– Independent review of results by CDER

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• ECG restitution analysis may be able to differentiate safe vs dangerous QT prolongation

• Define TI through PKPD analysis

• May quantify cardiac risk during hemodynamic and contractility changes

• Allow direct translation of data from animal studies to humans

• Completely congruent with QT beat-to-beat analysis

SUMMARY

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THANK YOU FOR YOUR

ATTENDANCE!

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QT/TQ RATIO IN NORMAL SUBJECTS VS PATIENTS WITH

CARDIOPULMONARY DISEASE

From: Yu et al. J Clin Invest 29:279-289, 1950

Methods 10 min walk on treadmill N= 25 Normals N = 20 HCVD and ASHD N = 8 CHD N = 24 PD

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QT Prolongation and Torsades de

Pointes (TdP)

From: Yong, Tian & Wang. (2003) Molecular Interventions 3:131-136

repolarizing K+ current

sodium current

calcium current

RR

TQ

DI

TQ interval is analogous to DI. When approaching (i.e. R on T beat) EAD can occur leading to reentry and ventricular tachycardia.

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Refractory period decreases with

increasing heart in human restitution

Franz et al., (1983) Circ Res 53:815-822

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300

350

400

450

500

550

-50 150 350 550 750 950

TQ Interval (ms)

QT

Inte

rval (m

s)

normal QT-TQ boundary for all

levels of autonomic tone

Restitution at Rest

0

Reg

ion

of

Arr

hyth

mia

Vu

lnera

bilit

y

Abnormal hysteresis boundary

Assessing beat-to-beat restitution

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150

200

250

300

350

400

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

TQ Interval (ms)

QT

In

terv

al (m

s) Period 2

150

200

250

300

350

400

QT

In

terv

al

(ms

)

Period 1

LL-768,673 (IKs block) LE-4031 (IKr block) LL-768,673 + E-4031

Effect of impaired repolarization on restitution in

the same resting conscious dog

= Timed control vehicle

= Treatment

Effect of impaired repolarization on restitution in

the same resting conscious dog

Fossa et al., (2006) JPET 316:498

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ASSESSMENT OF HETEROGENEITY OF

ACCELERATION AND DECELERATION WITH

ISOPROTERENOL IN NORMAL CONSCIOUS DOGS

Area = 11213 ms2 Area = 18273 ms2 Area = 35436 ms2

Area = 28476 ms2 Area = 20434 ms2

Area = 51711 ms2

Vehicle Baseline vs. Isoproterenol Challenge

L-768,673 + E-4031 Baseline vs. Isoproterenol Challenge

Acceleration Deceleration Total

Fossa et al., (2006) JPET 316:498

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Compound N restitution stabilized at Cmax

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Compound N 24-hour restitution stabilized

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USE OF RESTITUTION

PRECLINICALLY TO QUANTIFY

ARRHYTHMIA RISK: THE GUINEA

PIG ALTERNANS MODEL

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Effect on beat-to-beat alternans of E-4031

(BCL= 150 ms)

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

MA

PD

50 (

msec)

E-4031 Baseline [1.28 nM] [5.34 nM] [25.2 nM]

Discordant alternans?

[97.3 nM]

SBE-CD Baseline

Therapeutic Use Level of E-4031= 3.4 nM

(HERG IC20 = 4.6 nM)

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Alternans in anesthetized guinea pig in

relationship to hemodynamics and

ventricular arrhythmias outcomes

All compounds studied within clinical concentration range:

– Positive and negative controls E-4031, cisapride, verapamil, bepridil,terfenadine, risperidone

– (Eur J Pharmacol 486:209-221, 2004).

Antibacterials: Moxifloxacin, telithromycin, erythromycin – (J Pharmacol Exp Ther 318:352-359, 2006).

Antidepressants: fluoxetine, citalopram, venlafaxine – (J Pharmacol Ther Methods 55:78-85, 2007).

– Reboxetine (manuscript submitted)

Antimalarial: Chloroquine and azithromycin alone and in combination

– (Am J Trop Med Hyg 77:929-938, 2007).

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Mechanism of alternans leading to

arrhythmogenesis

A

B

*

Concordant

Alternans

Discordant

Alternans

S S S

S S

L

L L

L

LL

L

*A

B

A

B

A

B

A

B

A

B

A

B

A

B

A

BBB

A

B

A

B

A

B

*

B

*

B

*

B

*

B

VF

*

S

S

L

L

A

B

A

B

VFVF

*

S

S

L

L

A

B

A

B

A

B

A

B

A

B

A

B

A

B

Adapted from Wilson LE and Rosenbaum DS. Europace 2007; 9:vi77-vi82.