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United Bank of Switzerland Presentation on Monsanto Corporation September 12th, 2013

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  • 7/27/2019 United Bank of Switzerland Presentation on Monsanto Corporation September 12th, 2013

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    September 12, 2013

    UBS Best of Americas 2013 Kerry PreeteExecutive Vice President, Global Strategy

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    Forward-Looking Statements

    Certain statements contained in this presentation are "forward-looking statements," such as statements concerning thecompany's anticipated financial results, current and future product performance, regulatory approvals, business andfinancial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are based on current expectations and currentlyavailable information. However, since these statements are based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, thecompany's actual performance and results may differ materially from those described or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: continuedcompetition in seeds, traits and agricultural chemicals; the company's exposure to various contingencies, includingthose related to intellectual property protection, regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are

    received, and public acceptance of biotechnology products; the success of the company's research and developmentactivities; the outcomes of major lawsuits and the previously announced SEC investigation; developments related toforeign currencies and economies; successful operation of recent acquisitions; fluctuations in commodity prices;compliance with regulations affecting our manufacturing; the accuracy of the company's estimates related to distributioninventory levels; the company's ability to fund its short-term financing needs and to obtain payment for the products thatit sells; the effect of weather conditions, natural disasters and accidents on the agriculture business or the company'sfacilities; and other risks and factors detailed in the company's most recent periodic report to the SEC. Undue relianceshould not be placed on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this presentation.The company disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements or any of thefactors that may affect actual results.

    TrademarksTrademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are italicized in this presentation. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

    2013 Monsanto Company

    2

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    CORN DEMAND MOMENTUMEX: GLOBAL CORN DEMAND ESTIMATES (2002 2022F)

    SOY DEMAND MOMENTUMEX: GLOBAL SOY DEMAND ESTIMATES (2002 2022F)

    1. USDA 2. Monsanto internal estimates

    MONSANTOSOPPORTUNITY

    Drivers of global agricul tural growth are real and ongoing strainon future acres illus trates that only by stepping up yields can

    agriculture meet grain demand over the long term

    Agriculture Mega-Trends:Increasing Demand Requires More FromSustainable Yield Gains Globally

    World Corn Demand Estimates 2013F 2022F 2 World Corn Demand 2002 - 2012 1

    3

    C O R N D

    E M A N D

    ( I N B I L L I O N

    B U S H E L S )

    9B BUGROWTH

    9B BUGROWTH

    Trend Line World Soy Demand Estimates 2013F 2022F 2 World Soy Demand 2002 - 2012 1

    S O Y D E M A N D

    ( I N B I L L I O N B U S H E L S )

    2.5B BUGROWTH

    2.5B BUGROWTH

    Trend Line

    Corn and soy demand increased by 9B bu and 2.5B bu respectively over the past decade. Estimatingat least 500M bu per year incr eases in corn and at least 200M bu i ncreases in soy o ver the next decade

    2002 2012 2022F6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13

    F O R E C A S T

    H I S T O R I C A L

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    F O R E C A S T

    H I S T O R I C A L

    2002 2012 2022F

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    On-Farm Productivity Strategy:Unique Technology Toolkit Allows Monsantoto Target Critical Productivity Drivers

    FARMER LENS

    Farmers drive income bymaximizing yield ability t o

    achieve realized on-farmyield in face tcomes at local

    farm level

    GOAL:MAXIMIZE NET

    RETURN PER ACRECRITICAL DECISION

    SETS:

    PLANNING DATA

    Seed SelectionWeed-Control ProgramInsect-Control Program

    PRE-PLANTING DATAFertility ProgramTillage Program

    PLANTING DATAPlant Population DynamicsSeed Depth

    IN-SEASON DATAPost-Emergent Pest ControlCrop Diagnostics

    HARVEST DATAEquipmentCrop Marketing

    Farmers drive income bymaximizing productivity abilityto achieve realized on-farm yieldin face of environmental stress

    and variability

    MONSANTO LENS

    Farmers drive income bymaximizing yield ability t o

    achieve realized on-farm yieldin face tcomes at local farm

    levelThrough innovation, Monsanto hasunique opportunity to create new

    sources of farm value fromimproving yield and overall farm

    productivity within th e value chain

    40+ DECISIONSa farmer makes that influence

    on-farm yields and productivity

    PRODUCTIVITY TOOLS:DRIVING KEY FACTORS TO MAXIMIZE ON-FARM OPERATIONS

    MONSANTOS PRODUCTIVITY TOOLKIT

    MONSANTOBIOTECH

    Platforms lik e IFSand Biologicals offer

    the potential toleverage information

    MONSANTOTECHNOLOGY

    PEST-CONTROLFACTORS

    Focus on insect-and w eed-control

    regimens

    IN-SEASON CROPMANAGEMENT

    FACTORS

    Diseases, nutri ent,etc. approaches

    based on in-fieldenvironment

    Focus on best fieldconfiguration,

    preparation andplanting elements

    Seed is lynchpin

    decisio n key toestablishing

    yield potential

    SEED

    BROADEST ANDDEEPEST PIPELINE

    PLANTINGFACTORS

    Industry-bestgenomics, breedingand biotechnology

    Industry-firstRefuge-In-the-Bag RIB agronomic

    systems

    Industry-firstsystems for weedand insect control

    MONSANTOGENETICS

    MONSANTONEW PLATFORMS

    IN-SEED YIELD

    INSECT CONTROL

    PLANT HEALTH

    DATA-BASEDPRECISION AG

    WEED CONTROL

    4

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    Monsanto Technology Toolkit:Delivering Most Comprehensive System of Technology for On-Farm Yield & Productivity

    With the leading trackrecord of innovation,Monsanto delivers mostcomprehensive productsuite for improving on-farm productivity

    More data is being usedin more ways, andopportunity to leveragedata to improve yieldand productivity is thenext major opportunityin agriculture

    R&D ENGINE DATA INSIGHT STRATEGY

    INNOVATION HUB DATA

    Convergence

    Multiple components come together todrive yield, with more platforms co ming

    together in more ways than ever

    Innovation hub positions Monsanto todrive on-farm productiv ity across moreplatforms than anyone in the industry

    R&DCOLLABORATION

    INDUSTRYSLEADING R&D

    ENGINE

    CENTRAL POINT FORBUILDING TECNOLOGY

    COMBINATIONS

    MONSANTO

    DEPLOYMENT

    PRODUCTS

    D E P L O Y

    D E P L O Y

    YIELD IS A

    ON-FARM YIELD &PRODUCTIVITY

    IN-THE-BAGSeed & traits establish found ation for yield

    +OUTSIDE-THE-BAGChemistry & treatment protect

    & drive productivity+

    INFORMATIONInformed decision-making used

    to maximize system

    +

    +

    INFORMATION

    5

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    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 $2.00

    $3.00

    $4.00

    $5.00

    $6.00

    $7.00

    $8.00

    Aug-03 Aug-05 Aug-07 Aug-09 Aug-11 Aug-13

    Yield Matters Most:Monsantos Consistent Pricing PhilosophyBased on Yield and Conservative Price Bands

    IMPROVED YIELD DRIVES PORTFOLIO VALUEEXAMPLE: COMBINED KEY CORN-GROWING REGIONS (2003-2014F) 1

    1. Combined key countries included U.S., Brazil, LAS (Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay and Bolivia) and EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa).2. CBOT

    B L E N D E D G L O B A L B R A N D E D C O R N

    S E E D N E T S E L L I N G P R I C E ( I N D E X E D )

    2003 2008 2014F

    COMMODITY PRICESEXAMPLE: CORN COMMODITY PRICES (2003 2013) 2

    CBOT Corn Futures 2014F PRICINGLIFT: 5%-10%

    Price growthexpected in FY2014

    from hybrid miximprovements

    Primary driver of price growth is innovation & yieldCommodity prices play a lesser role as conservative pric e bands supportlong term pricing approach and smooth volatilityFY14F global branded corn seed port fol io pri ce expected to l ift by 5%-10%

    Conservative priceband assumptionsaddress volatility

    by not chasingpeaks or valleys

    6

    C B O T D E C E M B E R F U T U R E S

    ( U S D / B U )

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    R&D SpendSeeds-and-Genomics Gross Profit

    U.S.

    LATINAMERICA

    EASTERNEUROPE

    SOUTHAFRICA

    $0

    $10

    $20

    $30

    $40

    $50

    $60

    $70$80

    $90

    50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160

    IMPROVED TEHNOLOGY DRIVES VALUECUMULATIVE R&D SPEND VS SEEDS-AND-GENOMICS GROSS PROFIT

    1. Based on 2011 whole bag unit prices.

    Leverage in Increased Yield:Increasing Yield Generates More OpportunityGlobally in Corn Than Any Other Growth Driver

    YIELD IS VALUED IN EVERY KEY GEOGRPAHYBRANDED CORN NET SELLING UNIT PRICE 1

    C U M M U L A T I V E ( I N U S D B I L L I O N S )

    B R A N D E D N E T S E L L I N G

    U N I T P R I C E ( U S D / A C )

    2001 2006 2012

    HYBRID CORN YIELD (BU/AC)

    A V E RA

    GE

    UNI T

    N S P

    / A C

    YIELD DRIVES VALUE the proportional value of yield-to-seed-price is similar across all key geographies

    INCREMENTAL YIELD IS INCREMENTAL VALUE Because yield value is captured proportionally, as new yieldcomes on line in any geography, it boosts the realized valueof that regions portfolio

    EXAMPLE: Emerging Growt h Areas

    In emerging geographi es like Brazil and Eastern Europe theabsolute yield is less than the U.S., however the proportionalvalue of the yield is th e same and, as yields have increased,the increased portfolio value has been demonstrated

    AVERAGE CORN YIELDS

    TECHNOLOGY INCREASES PORTFOLIO VALUE Investments in research and development drives significantbusiness growth

    EXAMPLE: Seeds-and-Genomics GP Growth

    In the last d ecade, Seeds-and-Genomics g rossprofit com pounded annual growth has outpacedR&D spend growt h by a ratio of 2-to-1 for a grossprofit return thats nearly 4-to-1 in this tim e period

    CumulativeSeeds-and-

    Traits GrossProfit >$35B

    7

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    R&DPIPELINE

    NEW GROWTHMODELS

    BREEDING

    BIOTECHBIOLOGICALS

    CHEMISTRY

    COREGROWTH MODELS

    EMERGINGGROWTH MODELS

    Yield Enables Gross Profit Growth:Layers of Growth Come Together to DefineRunway of Opportunity for Monsanto

    PORTFOLIO GROWTH DRIVERSSTRATEGIC SOURCES OF INCREMENTAL GROWTH

    PIPELINEOPPORTUNITYGROWTH LAYERS

    GROWTH DRIVER ROLL OUT OVER TIME

    CORN DRIVERS SOYBEAN DRIVERS

    U.S. CORN

    U.S. SOYU.S. COTTON

    BRAZIL

    ARGENTINAEASTERN EUROPE

    ROUNDUP READY 2 XTEND

    INTACTA RR2 PRO

    FIELDSCRIPTS

    North America

    Geographic Multiplier

    Next-Gen Upgrades

    MULTIPLE CROPSCOTTON DRIVERS

    IFS

    R&D Platforms

    K E Y

    G R O W T H D R I V E R S

    S T R A T E G I C S O U R C E S O F I N C R E M E N T A L G R O W T H

    NEAR-TO-MID TERM MID-TO-LONG TERM

    GROWTH TRENDS

    Global growthcontinuesGlobal corn platformdrives annual mix

    upgrades throughgermplasm and traitacceleration

    New gro wth layersstep upIn the near-to-mid term,new growth driversbecome a contributingfactor with new growthfrom soybean platforms

    Entirely newplatforms emergeIn the mid-to-long term,breakthrough newplatforms like IFS andBiologicals unlock totaltool belt creating newyield opportunities

    8

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    GROWTH

    FACTORSPRICINGOPPORTUNITY

    I N F L U E N C I N G

    F A C T O R 10%-20%

    Ann ualGermplasmTurnover

    P R I C I N G

    F A C T O R 5%-10%

    Ann ual Pri ceImprovements

    MONSANTOS INVESTMENT IN BREEDING DRIVESSUSTAINABLE PRICING OPPORTUNITY

    Ann ual p or tfo lio up gradesDrive consistent mix improvements

    Across key target s eed geographiesOpportunity in k ey geographies represent more than 200M of the the 300M productive corn acres

    On industry leading share positions Monsanto has #1 or #2 positions in every key target seed geography

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F

    I N D E X E D

    B R A N D E D S E E D

    N E T S E L L I N G P R I C E

    KEY CORNGROWING REGIONS

    HIGHLIGHTED 1 :HYBRIDACRES 2

    MONSANTOSSHARE

    POSITION

    U.S. ~97M #1

    BRAZIL ~31M #1

    LAS ~14M #1

    EMEA ~67M #2

    TOTAL ~209M

    GROWTH IN PORTFOLIO VALUE OVER THE PAST DECADE

    BRANDED CORNSEED NET SELLING

    PRICE GROWTH

    Because of the mixbenefit of new hybrids,

    the portfolio valueincreases annually

    MONSANTO 10-YR GLOBAL BRANDED CORN PRICING CAGREXAMPLE: COMBINED KEY CORN-GROWING REGIONS 2003-2014F 1

    1. Combined key countries included U.S., Brazil, LAS (Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay and Bolivia) and EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa).2. USDA, World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, August 12, 2013 report. Ex-U.S. acres represent Monsanto 2012 planted hybrid acres.

    R & D P I P E L I N E

    N E

    W

    G R O W T H

    C O R E

    G R O W T H

    E M E R G I N G

    G R O W T H

    Global Germplasm Refresh:Underlying Blockbuster Generated $2 Billionin Seed Sales Growth Over Last Decade

    9

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    GROWTH

    FACTORS

    Corn in the Americas:Upgrade Opportunity, Strong Technology

    Appetite Fuels Runway Over Next Decade

    1. USDA, WASDE 2012 harvested acres. LAS (Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay and Bolivia). North America figures includes U.S., Canada. L.A. North includes Mexico and Central America countries

    CORN PLANTED ACRES IN THE AMERICAS1

    HIGHLIGHT: HYBRID PLANTED ACRES BY REGION

    R & D P I P E L I N E

    N E

    W

    G R O W T H

    C O R E

    G R O W T H

    E M E R G I N G

    G R O W T H

    GROWTH DRIVERSFACTOR : GERMPLASM PORTFOLIO UPGRADE

    FACTOR: UPGRADEABLE TECHNOLOGY OPPORTUNITY

    HIGHEST VALUELOWEST VALUE

    R

    E L A T I V E M I X I N

    D E K A L B P O R T F O L I O

    10-20%MATURE HYBRIDS

    25-40%PROVENHYBRIDS

    25-40%CORE

    HYBRIDS

    10-20%FIRST-YEAR HYBRIDS

    ANNUAL MIXBENEFIT

    New higher-value seedhybrids replace hybridsthat average 4-6 yearsold, creating acompounding benefit asthe portfolio adds newproducts each year

    CORN TECHNOLOGY PLATFORMS

    FUTURE

    PRODUCTSTECHNOLOGY UPGRADES

    REGION 1 BREEDINGWEED

    CONTROLBIOTECH

    INSECTCONTROLBIOTECH

    IFSRWIII

    (NEXT-GENSMARTSTAX )

    L.A. SOUTH

    U.S./CAN.

    L.A. NORTH

    BRAZIL

    NORTH AMERICA (U.S./CAN)

    LATIN AMERICA NORTH

    BRAZILLATIN AMERICA SOUTH

    NORTH AMERICA 100M PLANTED ACRES#1 POSTION

    LATIN AMERICA NORTH7M HYBRID ACRES

    #1 POSTION

    LATIN AMERICASOUTH

    14M PLANTED ACRES#1 POSTION

    BRAZIL31M HYBRID ACRES

    #1 POSTION

    GENUITY REDUCED REFUGE FAMILY

    GENUITY VT TRIPLE PRO (Lead)

    VT PRO 2 (Lead Product)

    #1 GERMPLASM

    With More than 150Mhybrid acres and

    Monsantos footprint inthe region , the Americasrepresent a signifi cant

    runway for upgradeableacres that fuels growt h

    through next decade10

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    GROWTH

    FACTORSINNOVATION DRIVES GROWTH INEASTERN EUROPE

    Higher-yielding corn hybri dsIntroduction of new corn germplasm drivesyield improvements throughout the region

    Yield creates valueHigher yields translate into increased grower

    profitability per acre increasing the preferenceto grow corn

    Monsantos business growthMonsantos share growth significantlyoutpacing market expansion

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    2009 2010 2011 2012

    Eastern Europe Opportunity: Intersection of Mega-Trends and BusinessOpportunity Drive Growth

    R & D P I P E L I N E

    N E

    W

    G R O W T H

    E M E R G I N G

    G R O W T H

    EASTERN EUROPE CORN YIELD IMPROVEMENTEXAMPLE: CORN VS. WHEAT YIELDS ( 1996 2011) 1

    2009 2010 2011 2012PLANTED

    HYBRID ACRES 2 21M 23M 27M 33M

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

    WHEAT CORNLinear (WHEAT) Linear (CORN)

    ~25BU/AC

    C R O P Y I E L D S

    ( I N B U S H L E S / A C R E )

    CORN SUBSTITUTION EFFECT

    Higher relative corn yields driv e animal feed value per acreWheat acres transitioning to corn

    MONSANTOS GROWTH OUTPACES MARKET EXPANSIONEXAMPLE: EASTERN EUROPE CORN MARKET

    M O N S A N T O

    C O R N S E E D S H A R E LONG-TERM GROWTH OPPORTUNITY

    SUPPORTED BY CURRENT INVESTMENTS

    Corn breeding facilities being added toaccelerate germplasm yield g ainsInvestments in new corn seed pro ductionin the region will add sign ificant capacityto support future growth

    1. FAO 2. Monsanto estimated acres. Includes: Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine

    TREND LINES

    BRANDED SHARE

    C O R E

    G R O W T H

    11

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    GROWTH

    FACTORS

    Next-Generation Soybean Platforms:Decade of the Soybean Creates Multi-Billion-Dollar Opportunity as Soybean Platforms Roll Out

    ROUNDUP READY 2 XTEND

    The other 100-millio n acre opportun ity in th e AmericasWith practical fit on more than 100M soybean acres, the RoundupReady Xtend crop system holds potential across the Americas

    INTACTA RR2 PRO

    New 100-millio n acre opportunit y for Latin AmericaNext layer of growth in Latin America, building on step-change in yieldcombined with insect control for first soybean stack

    Brazil launch in FY2014 targeting around 3M acres

    Argentina Ground Br eakers in FY2014 with br oadcommercial launch expected in FY2015Limited but strategically significant opportunity for early sales of INTACTA RR2 PRO in Northern Argentina in FY2014

    GENUITY ROUNDUP READY 2 YIELD On track to reach or exceed the high-end of origin al target

    of 39M-41M Genuity Roun dup Ready 2 Yield acres

    Expanded platform opportunity with multi-year licensingagreement with DuPont Pioneer through 2030. The licenseincludes fixed annual royalty payments totaling $1.75B from 2014-2023

    1. 2012 USDA and Monsanto estimated planted acres.2. USDA 2012 production

    SOYBEAN PLANTED ACRESHIGHLIGHT: OPPORTUNITY IN THE AMERICAS 1

    SOUTHAMERICA

    ~120M A CRES

    NORTHAMERICA

    ~80M A CRES

    ~20%

    Nearly 90 percent of world soybean producti on comes f romthe Americas 2

    MULTI-BILLION-DOLLAR OPPORTUNITY EMERGINGIN SOYBEANS IN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS

    Roundup Ready 2Yield Base PlatformCurrent Penetration

    Opportunity

    ~80%

    NEXT-GENERATION SOYBEAN OPPORTUNITY OPENS UP ~200M-ACRE OPPORTUNITY GLOBALLY

    Expect to realize ~20% of the global opport unity, wi th thetargeted step up in Genuity Roundu p Ready 2 Yield in 2013Over the next five years, expect signifi cant upgrades wil lhave practical fit on the balance of the ~200M global acre

    opportunity with continued build-out of the platforms

    12

    R & D P I P E L I N E

    N E W

    G R O W T H

    E S T A B L I S H E D

    G R O W T H

    E M E R G I N G

    G R O W T H

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    GROWTHFACTORS

    R&D Advantage in Action:Monsantos R&D Pipeline Deepest andMost Successful in Industry

    BIOTECHAGRONOMIC TRAITS

    YIELD & STRESS 1

    BREEDINGANNUAL UPGRADES

    BREEDING TRAITS

    1. Part of the Monsanto-BASF Yield-and-Stress R&D Collaboration

    INFORMATION

    IN-THE-BAG

    YIELD & PRODUCTIVITY OPPORTUNITY

    YIELD IS A SYSTEMMultiple components come together to

    drive yield, with mor e platforms comi ngtogether in more ways than ever

    Innovation hub positions Monsanto todrive on-farm productivity across moreplatforms than anyone in the industry:

    Seed & yield protectionestablish foundation for yield

    ON-FARM YIELD & PRODUCTIVITY

    Chemistry & treatmentprotect and drive productivity

    Informed decision-makingused to m aximize system

    +

    +

    =DATA CONVERGENCE

    AGRONOMICSOLUTIONSINTEGRATED FARMING

    SYSTEMS

    AG BIOLOGICALS

    CHEMISTRY

    APPLYING TECHNOLOGY TO DRIVE PRODUCTIVITY:R&D TECHNOLOGIESR&D ENGINE

    BREEDING

    BIOTECH

    INTEGRATEDYIELD

    PIPELINE

    NEW AND EXPANDING PLATFORMSMore data is being leveraged in more ways

    R & D P I P E L I N E

    N E W

    G R O W T H

    E S T A B L I S H E D

    G R O W T H

    E M E R G I N G

    G R O W T H

    OUTSIDE-THE-BAG

    13

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    GROWTH

    FACTORS

    R & D P I P E L I N E

    N E W

    G R O W T H

    E M E R G I N G

    G R O W T H

    C O R E

    G R O W T H

    New R&D Platforms:Integrated Farming Systems and Ag BiologicalsCreate New Yield Platform Opportunity

    INTEGRATED FARMING SYSTEMS

    FIELDSCRIPTS DRIVES INCREMENTAL YIELD FOR FARMERS

    Optimal hybrid match and variable planting densityprescriptions backed by proprietary algorithms

    Simple and convenient tool f or farmers to r ealizeadditional yield benefits

    FieldScripts on-farm trials across 56 locations sho wed a5-10 bu/ac performance advantage vs. cur rent fixed andvariable rate seeding practices

    AG BIOLOGICALS

    MONSANTOS BIODIRECT TECHNOLOGYNEW TECHNOLOGY FOR AG BIOLOGICALS

    BioDirect expected to be the first pl atformtechnology within biologicals for Monsanto

    Leverages Monsantos core capability ingenomics, using genome sequences toidentify mor e precise, effective tools for pestcontrol

    PRECISION SEEDINGVARIABLE-RATE

    FERTILITY

    FERTILITY &DISEASEMANAGEMENT

    YIELD MONITOR

    USER INTERFACE

    BREEDING

    DATABASE BACKBONE

    UNTREATED TOMATOVIRUS PLANTS

    BIODIRECT APPLICATION

    BIODIRECT TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION

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    Turning Yield Into Growth:Monsantos Business Focus

    Key take-aways:

    Monsanto is in a growth mode - With multip le years of strongperformance, our business has momentum

    Weve taken the business to a global stage - Our growth is moreglobal, with more drivers coming from more geographies thanever before

    Were a yield and product ivity company - We have the best R&Dto deliver yield and w e expect even more differentiation withfuture waves of innovation

    15