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ALADIN Workshop 2004, Inn sbruck 1 Subjective evaluation of different versions of ALADIN/HU Helga Tóth, HMS
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Subjective evaluation of different versions of ALADIN/HU

Feb 07, 2016

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Subjective evaluation of different versions of ALADIN/HU. Helga T óth , HMS. Contents. Motivation Method Results Comparison to objective scores Conclusions. Motivations. Complex view of the models behavior in different synoptic situation - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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  • Subjective evaluation of different versions of ALADIN/HUHelga Tth, HMS

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

  • ContentsMotivationMethodResultsComparison to objective scoresConclusions

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

  • Motivations Complex view of the models behavior in different synoptic situation Grey zone problem is exist on 6.5 km resolution, or is not? 3D-VAR vs. dynamical adaptation comparison not only objectively but also subjectively To have more information about that variables which are not included in the objective verification system

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

  • MethodsFrom 1. Febr. 2004.Subjective verification of the previous day :the Sunday fcst. on Monday the Thursday fcst. on FridayOn the territory of Hungary:Discussion and classification (1 bad 5 excellent) at 11:30 am

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

  • Methods IIComparison of different models Previous 00 runs by:- ALADIN/HU dyn. ad. on 6.5 km res.- ALADIN/HU dyn. ad. on 12 km res.- ALADIN-3D-VAR on 12 km res. 12 UTC run two days before by:- ECMWF

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

  • Methods IIIParticipants: Gabriella Csima, Edit Hgel, Istvn Ihsz, Gabriella Szpsz, Helga Tth, (Regina Szotk)Verified parameters:- 2m Temperature- Precipitation- Total cloudiness- 10m Wind

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

  • ResultsTotal mean and standard deviation3D-VAR got the worst marks, the dyn. ad.-s are better

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

    Diagram1

    4.0603174603

    4.0662698413

    3.9947580645

    4.1130952381

    Tot. average

    Total average

    Munka1

    T2mAL6AL123D-VECMPrecip.AL6AL123D-VECMWindAL6AL123D-VECMCloud.AL6AL123D-VECMNapi atlagAL6AL123D-VECM

    2/1/0444432/1/0455552/1/0444432/1/0444444.254.254.253.75

    2/2/0444442/2/0455542/2/0455552/2/0455554.754.754.754.5

    2/3/0444432/3/043334.52/3/0455552/3/0444454444.375

    2/4/043.53.53.542/4/04333.552/4/0455552/4/0444443.8753.87544.5

    2/5/0422232/5/0455552/5/0433332/5/0444443.53.53.53.75

    2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/8/0444442/8/043.54442/8/044443.52/8/0444443.875443.875

    2/9/0455552/9/0455552/9/044443.52/9/043.53.53.54.54.3754.3754.3754.5

    2/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0444454.754.754.755

    2/11/044.54.54.542/11/044444.52/11/0455552/11/0444444.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/12/0444442/12/0444442/12/0455552/12/043334.54444.375

    2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/15/0455542/15/0433342/15/0444442/15/0444444444

    2/16/043332.52/16/0455552/16/0455552/16/043332.54443.75

    2/17/044432.52/17/0444452/17/044.54.54.552/17/0455534.3754.3754.1253.875

    2/18/04444.54.52/18/0455552/18/0455552/18/0444444.54.54.6254.625

    2/19/04444.542/19/0455442/19/0444452/19/0444444.254.254.1254.25

    2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/22/042212.52/22/04443.542/22/043333.52/22/045554.53.53.53.1253.625

    2/23/04332.52.52/23/043.53.5432/23/044443.52/23/0444443.6253.6253.6253.25

    2/24/044.54.54.542/24/043.53.534.52/24/044.54.54.552/24/0444454.1254.12544.625

    2/25/044443.52/25/044444.52/25/0444442/25/044.54.54.54.54.1254.1254.1254.125

    2/26/0444442/26/0444442/26/044.54.54.54.52/26/0455554.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/29/0444442/29/044.54.54.54.52/29/0444442/29/043.53.53.53.54444

    3/1/043.53.53.533/1/0455553/1/0444443/1/043.53.53.53.54443.875

    3/2/0444443/2/0444453/2/0455553/2/044444.54.254.254.254.625

    3/3/045554.53/3/0455553/3/0455553/3/043.53.53.544.6254.6254.6254.625

    3/4/0444443/4/044.54.54.553/4/044.54.54.54.53/4/0433334444.125

    3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/7/045554.53/7/04554.54.53/7/0455553/7/045555554.8754.75

    3/8/044.54.5miss4.53/8/042.53miss53/8/0455miss53/8/0455miss54.254.375miss4.875

    3/9/0444343/9/0433443/9/044.54.53.53.53/9/0455554.1254.1253.8754.125

    3/10/0444453/10/043.53.53.543/10/0455553/10/044.54.54.54.54.254.254.254.625

    3/11/0433353/11/044.54.54.54.53/11/0444443/11/0433343.6253.6253.6254.375

    3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/15/042.52.523.53/15/0455553/15/044.54.54.54.53/15/044444.5443.8754.375

    3/16/042.72.72.733/16/0455553/16/0433333/16/0433333.4253.4253.4253.5

    3/17/0433243/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/043.53.534.53.8753.8753.54.375

    3/18/0444343/18/0455553/18/0444443/18/0444444.254.2544.25

    3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/21/04443.53.53/21/043.53.53.533/21/044443.53/21/043.53.53.53.53.753.753.6253.375

    3/22/043.53.543.53/22/043.544.553/22/0444443/22/0433343.53.6253.8754.125

    3/23/043.53.53.54.53/23/043.53.54.533/23/043333.53/23/04443.543.53.53.6253.75

    3/24/0443.5333/24/044.542.533/24/044.54.5443/24/0444444.2543.3753.5

    3/25/0444443/25/042.53.53.543/25/044443.53/25/0444443.6253.8753.8753.875

    3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/28/0444443/28/044.54.54.54.53/28/0444443/28/043.53.53.544444.125

    3/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0433333.753.753.753.75

    3/30/043.53.53.53.53/30/044.54.5433/30/044.54.54.54.53/30/0444.543.54.1254.2543.625

    3/31/04332.543/31/044.54.543.53/31/044.54.54.54.53/31/043.53.52.53.53.8753.8753.3753.875

    4/1/04443.54.54/1/04444.54.54/1/0455554/1/0444444.254.254.254.5

    4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/4/0433344/4/0455544/4/0444444/4/04333.543.753.753.8754

    4/5/0444444/5/04444.53.54/5/0444444/5/044443444.1253.625

    4/6/0444444/6/0433334/6/0444444/6/0444433.753.753.753.5

    4/7/0444444/7/042224.54/7/043.53.53.53.54/7/0433353.1253.1253.1254.25

    4/8/0444444/8/044.54.5544/8/044.54.54.54.54/8/044443.54.254.254.3754

    4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/12/0444444/12/044.54.553.54/12/0444444/12/043.53.53.53.5444.1253.75

    4/13/0444344/13/04444.534/13/044.54.54.54.54/13/044444.54.1254.12544

    4/14/044443.54/14/04444.544/14/0444444/14/043.53.5343.8753.8753.8753.875

    4/15/0444444/15/0455554/15/0444444/15/04443.54.54.254.254.1254.375

    4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/18/04554.544/18/043.53.53.53.54/18/0444444/18/04443.534.1254.1253.8753.625

    4/19/044.54.54.54.54/19/043.53.52.544/19/0444444/19/044443.5443.754

    4/20/0444444/20/0444444/20/044.54.54.54.54/20/043.53.534443.8754.125

    4/21/04443.544/21/0444434/21/044444.54/21/042.52.524.53.6253.6253.3754

    4/22/04443.544/22/0454.5444/22/044.54.54.544/22/043.53.53.54.54.254.1253.8754.125

    4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/25/044.54.5444/25/044.54.54.534/25/0455554/25/044444.54.54.54.3754.125

    4/26/0444444/26/04444.54.54/26/0455554/26/043.53.534.54.1254.1254.1254.5

    4/27/0444444/27/044.54.54.554/27/0444444/27/0444444.1254.1254.1254.25

    4/28/043.53.5344/28/04554.54.54/28/0455554/28/044.54.54.53.54.54.54.254.25

    4/29/04443.544/29/044.54.5544/29/044.54.5554/29/04554.544.54.54.54.25

    4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    Atlag:3.88412698413.87619047623.69677419353.880952381Atlag:4.15873015874.18253968254.20967741944.2301587302Atlag:4.31746031754.31746031754.29032258064.2936507937Atlag:3.8809523813.88888888893.78225806454.0476190476

    Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.81276595743.80212765963.64565217393.8404255319Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.15957446814.20212765964.21739130434.3191489362Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.31914893624.31914893624.27173913044.2765957447Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.9148936173.92553191493.85869565224.0425531915

    Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.093754.093753.843754Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.156254.1254.18753.96875Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.31254.31254.343754.34375Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)3.781253.781253.56254.0625

    Teljes atlagokAL6AL123D-VECM

    4.06031746034.06626984133.99475806454.1130952381

    szoras0.66507398450.65163995890.73292488610.6437774037

    apr. 6-ig4.05159574474.06223404263.99836956524.1196808511

    apr.7-tol4.08593754.0781253.9843754.09375

    Atlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szam

    1-k szma00100.251-k szma000000000000000

    2, 1/2-k szma22301.752, 1/2-k szma11100.750000000100.25

    3, 2/3-k szma8812109.53, 2/3-k szma7669744433.75101013810.25

    4, 3/4-k szma4242354240.254, 3/4-k szma2426222223.527272929284241383238.25

    5, 4/5-k szma11111111115, 4/5-k szma3130333231.532322931311112102314

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/333643130rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/300001121

    rate of 3, 3/41314191214141013rate of 3, 3/45561222222416

    rate of 43635263615181618rate of 42626272029282623

    rate of 4/5, 51111111131303332rate of 4/5, 53232293111121023

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    Teljes idoszakT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.88412698414.15873015874.31746031753.880952381

    AL123.87619047624.18253968254.31746031753.8888888889

    3D-V3.69677419354.20967741944.29032258063.7822580645

    ECM3.8809523814.23015873024.29365079374.0476190476

    apilis 6 -igT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.81276595744.15957446814.31914893623.914893617

    AL123.80212765964.20212765964.31914893623.9255319149

    3D-V3.64565217394.21739130434.27173913043.8586956522

    ECM3.84042553194.31914893624.27659574474.0425531915

    apilis 7 -tolT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL64.093754.156254.31253.78125

    AL124.093754.1254.31253.78125

    3D-V3.843754.18754.343753.5625

    ECM43.968754.343754.0625

    Csapadekos napokALAL123D-VECM

    4-Feb333.55

    15-Feb3334

    22-Feb443.54

    23-Feb3.53.543

    24-Feb3.53.534.5

    26-Feb4444

    3-Mar5555

    7-Mar554.54.5

    8-Mar2.53miss5

    9-Mar3344

    21-Mar3.53.53.53

    23-Mar3.53.54.53

    24-Mar4.542.53

    25-Mar2.53.53.54

    4-Apr5554

    5-Apr444.53.5

    6-Apr3333

    7-Apr2224.5

    13-Apr444.53

    14-Apr444.54

    18-Apr3.53.53.53.5

    19-Apr3.53.52.54

    20-Apr4444

    21-Apr4443

    ATLAG3.64583333333.68753.73913043483.8541666667

    komplex scoreokALAL123D-VECMElrejelz

    1. nap76.5574.6475.483.0280.72

    2. nap73.5271.7568.6177.3779.62

    atlag75.03573.19572.00580.19580.17

    Munka1

    Tot. average

    Total average

    Munka2

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Munka3

    Average qualification for rainy days

    Szl

    Felhzet

    T2m AL-DYN6

    T2m AL-DYN12

    T2m AL-3DV12

    T2m ECMWF

    Precip. AL-DYN6

    Precip. AL-DYN12

    Precip. AL-3DV12

    Precip. ECMWF

    V10m AL-DYN6

    V10m AL-DYN12

    V10m AL-3DV12

    V10m ECMWF

    Cloud. AL-DYN6

    Cloud. AL-DYN12

    Cloud. AL-3DV12

    Cloud. ECMWF

    %

    Els jszakra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14 kztti idszakra

    %

    Msodik napra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14. kztti idszakra

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 1. Febr. - 6. Apr.

    Total standard deviation

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 7. Apr. - 30. Apr.

    Diagram2

    0.6650739845

    0.6516399589

    0.7329248861

    0.6437774037

    Total standard deviation

    Munka1

    T2mAL6AL123D-VECMPrecip.AL6AL123D-VECMWindAL6AL123D-VECMCloud.AL6AL123D-VECMNapi atlagAL6AL123D-VECM

    2/1/0444432/1/0455552/1/0444432/1/0444444.254.254.253.75

    2/2/0444442/2/0455542/2/0455552/2/0455554.754.754.754.5

    2/3/0444432/3/043334.52/3/0455552/3/0444454444.375

    2/4/043.53.53.542/4/04333.552/4/0455552/4/0444443.8753.87544.5

    2/5/0422232/5/0455552/5/0433332/5/0444443.53.53.53.75

    2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/8/0444442/8/043.54442/8/044443.52/8/0444443.875443.875

    2/9/0455552/9/0455552/9/044443.52/9/043.53.53.54.54.3754.3754.3754.5

    2/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0444454.754.754.755

    2/11/044.54.54.542/11/044444.52/11/0455552/11/0444444.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/12/0444442/12/0444442/12/0455552/12/043334.54444.375

    2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/15/0455542/15/0433342/15/0444442/15/0444444444

    2/16/043332.52/16/0455552/16/0455552/16/043332.54443.75

    2/17/044432.52/17/0444452/17/044.54.54.552/17/0455534.3754.3754.1253.875

    2/18/04444.54.52/18/0455552/18/0455552/18/0444444.54.54.6254.625

    2/19/04444.542/19/0455442/19/0444452/19/0444444.254.254.1254.25

    2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/22/042212.52/22/04443.542/22/043333.52/22/045554.53.53.53.1253.625

    2/23/04332.52.52/23/043.53.5432/23/044443.52/23/0444443.6253.6253.6253.25

    2/24/044.54.54.542/24/043.53.534.52/24/044.54.54.552/24/0444454.1254.12544.625

    2/25/044443.52/25/044444.52/25/0444442/25/044.54.54.54.54.1254.1254.1254.125

    2/26/0444442/26/0444442/26/044.54.54.54.52/26/0455554.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/29/0444442/29/044.54.54.54.52/29/0444442/29/043.53.53.53.54444

    3/1/043.53.53.533/1/0455553/1/0444443/1/043.53.53.53.54443.875

    3/2/0444443/2/0444453/2/0455553/2/044444.54.254.254.254.625

    3/3/045554.53/3/0455553/3/0455553/3/043.53.53.544.6254.6254.6254.625

    3/4/0444443/4/044.54.54.553/4/044.54.54.54.53/4/0433334444.125

    3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/7/045554.53/7/04554.54.53/7/0455553/7/045555554.8754.75

    3/8/044.54.5miss4.53/8/042.53miss53/8/0455miss53/8/0455miss54.254.375miss4.875

    3/9/0444343/9/0433443/9/044.54.53.53.53/9/0455554.1254.1253.8754.125

    3/10/0444453/10/043.53.53.543/10/0455553/10/044.54.54.54.54.254.254.254.625

    3/11/0433353/11/044.54.54.54.53/11/0444443/11/0433343.6253.6253.6254.375

    3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/15/042.52.523.53/15/0455553/15/044.54.54.54.53/15/044444.5443.8754.375

    3/16/042.72.72.733/16/0455553/16/0433333/16/0433333.4253.4253.4253.5

    3/17/0433243/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/043.53.534.53.8753.8753.54.375

    3/18/0444343/18/0455553/18/0444443/18/0444444.254.2544.25

    3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/21/04443.53.53/21/043.53.53.533/21/044443.53/21/043.53.53.53.53.753.753.6253.375

    3/22/043.53.543.53/22/043.544.553/22/0444443/22/0433343.53.6253.8754.125

    3/23/043.53.53.54.53/23/043.53.54.533/23/043333.53/23/04443.543.53.53.6253.75

    3/24/0443.5333/24/044.542.533/24/044.54.5443/24/0444444.2543.3753.5

    3/25/0444443/25/042.53.53.543/25/044443.53/25/0444443.6253.8753.8753.875

    3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/28/0444443/28/044.54.54.54.53/28/0444443/28/043.53.53.544444.125

    3/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0433333.753.753.753.75

    3/30/043.53.53.53.53/30/044.54.5433/30/044.54.54.54.53/30/0444.543.54.1254.2543.625

    3/31/04332.543/31/044.54.543.53/31/044.54.54.54.53/31/043.53.52.53.53.8753.8753.3753.875

    4/1/04443.54.54/1/04444.54.54/1/0455554/1/0444444.254.254.254.5

    4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/4/0433344/4/0455544/4/0444444/4/04333.543.753.753.8754

    4/5/0444444/5/04444.53.54/5/0444444/5/044443444.1253.625

    4/6/0444444/6/0433334/6/0444444/6/0444433.753.753.753.5

    4/7/0444444/7/042224.54/7/043.53.53.53.54/7/0433353.1253.1253.1254.25

    4/8/0444444/8/044.54.5544/8/044.54.54.54.54/8/044443.54.254.254.3754

    4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/12/0444444/12/044.54.553.54/12/0444444/12/043.53.53.53.5444.1253.75

    4/13/0444344/13/04444.534/13/044.54.54.54.54/13/044444.54.1254.12544

    4/14/044443.54/14/04444.544/14/0444444/14/043.53.5343.8753.8753.8753.875

    4/15/0444444/15/0455554/15/0444444/15/04443.54.54.254.254.1254.375

    4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/18/04554.544/18/043.53.53.53.54/18/0444444/18/04443.534.1254.1253.8753.625

    4/19/044.54.54.54.54/19/043.53.52.544/19/0444444/19/044443.5443.754

    4/20/0444444/20/0444444/20/044.54.54.54.54/20/043.53.534443.8754.125

    4/21/04443.544/21/0444434/21/044444.54/21/042.52.524.53.6253.6253.3754

    4/22/04443.544/22/0454.5444/22/044.54.54.544/22/043.53.53.54.54.254.1253.8754.125

    4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/25/044.54.5444/25/044.54.54.534/25/0455554/25/044444.54.54.54.3754.125

    4/26/0444444/26/04444.54.54/26/0455554/26/043.53.534.54.1254.1254.1254.5

    4/27/0444444/27/044.54.54.554/27/0444444/27/0444444.1254.1254.1254.25

    4/28/043.53.5344/28/04554.54.54/28/0455554/28/044.54.54.53.54.54.54.254.25

    4/29/04443.544/29/044.54.5544/29/044.54.5554/29/04554.544.54.54.54.25

    4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    Atlag:3.88412698413.87619047623.69677419353.880952381Atlag:4.15873015874.18253968254.20967741944.2301587302Atlag:4.31746031754.31746031754.29032258064.2936507937Atlag:3.8809523813.88888888893.78225806454.0476190476

    Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.81276595743.80212765963.64565217393.8404255319Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.15957446814.20212765964.21739130434.3191489362Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.31914893624.31914893624.27173913044.2765957447Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.9148936173.92553191493.85869565224.0425531915

    Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.093754.093753.843754Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.156254.1254.18753.96875Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.31254.31254.343754.34375Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)3.781253.781253.56254.0625

    Teljes atlagokAL6AL123D-VECM

    4.06031746034.06626984133.99475806454.1130952381

    szoras0.66507398450.65163995890.73292488610.6437774037

    apr. 6-ig4.05159574474.06223404263.99836956524.1196808511

    apr.7-tol4.08593754.0781253.9843754.09375

    Atlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szam

    1-k szma00100.251-k szma000000000000000

    2, 1/2-k szma22301.752, 1/2-k szma11100.750000000100.25

    3, 2/3-k szma8812109.53, 2/3-k szma7669744433.75101013810.25

    4, 3/4-k szma4242354240.254, 3/4-k szma2426222223.527272929284241383238.25

    5, 4/5-k szma11111111115, 4/5-k szma3130333231.532322931311112102314

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/333643130rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/300001121

    rate of 3, 3/41314191214141013rate of 3, 3/45561222222416

    rate of 43635263615181618rate of 42626272029282623

    rate of 4/5, 51111111131303332rate of 4/5, 53232293111121023

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    Teljes idoszakT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.88412698414.15873015874.31746031753.880952381

    AL123.87619047624.18253968254.31746031753.8888888889

    3D-V3.69677419354.20967741944.29032258063.7822580645

    ECM3.8809523814.23015873024.29365079374.0476190476

    apilis 6 -igT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.81276595744.15957446814.31914893623.914893617

    AL123.80212765964.20212765964.31914893623.9255319149

    3D-V3.64565217394.21739130434.27173913043.8586956522

    ECM3.84042553194.31914893624.27659574474.0425531915

    apilis 7 -tolT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL64.093754.156254.31253.78125

    AL124.093754.1254.31253.78125

    3D-V3.843754.18754.343753.5625

    ECM43.968754.343754.0625

    Csapadekos napokALAL123D-VECM

    4-Feb333.55

    15-Feb3334

    22-Feb443.54

    23-Feb3.53.543

    24-Feb3.53.534.5

    26-Feb4444

    3-Mar5555

    7-Mar554.54.5

    8-Mar2.53miss5

    9-Mar3344

    21-Mar3.53.53.53

    23-Mar3.53.54.53

    24-Mar4.542.53

    25-Mar2.53.53.54

    4-Apr5554

    5-Apr444.53.5

    6-Apr3333

    7-Apr2224.5

    13-Apr444.53

    14-Apr444.54

    18-Apr3.53.53.53.5

    19-Apr3.53.52.54

    20-Apr4444

    21-Apr4443

    ATLAG3.64583333333.68753.73913043483.8541666667

    komplex scoreokALAL123D-VECMElrejelz

    1. nap76.5574.6475.483.0280.72

    2. nap73.5271.7568.6177.3779.62

    atlag75.03573.19572.00580.19580.17

    Munka1

    Tot. average

    Total average

    Munka2

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Munka3

    Average qualification for rainy days

    Szl

    Felhzet

    T2m AL-DYN6

    T2m AL-DYN12

    T2m AL-3DV12

    T2m ECMWF

    Precip. AL-DYN6

    Precip. AL-DYN12

    Precip. AL-3DV12

    Precip. ECMWF

    V10m AL-DYN6

    V10m AL-DYN12

    V10m AL-3DV12

    V10m ECMWF

    Cloud. AL-DYN6

    Cloud. AL-DYN12

    Cloud. AL-3DV12

    Cloud. ECMWF

    %

    Els jszakra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14 kztti idszakra

    %

    Msodik napra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14. kztti idszakra

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 1. Febr. - 6. Apr.

    Total standard deviation

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 7. Apr. - 30. Apr.

  • -weak forecast: - cloudiness: for all ALADINs - T2m: for 3D-VAR-good and similar: Wind and the precipitation

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

    Diagram16

    3.88412698413.87619047623.69677419353.880952381

    4.15873015874.18253968254.20967741944.2301587302

    4.31746031754.31746031754.29032258064.2936507937

    3.8809523813.88888888893.78225806454.0476190476

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Munka1

    T2mAL6AL123D-VECMPrecip.AL6AL123D-VECMWindAL6AL123D-VECMCloud.AL6AL123D-VECMNapi atlagAL6AL123D-VECM

    2/1/0444432/1/0455552/1/0444432/1/0444444.254.254.253.75

    2/2/0444442/2/0455542/2/0455552/2/0455554.754.754.754.5

    2/3/0444432/3/043334.52/3/0455552/3/0444454444.375

    2/4/043.53.53.542/4/04333.552/4/0455552/4/0444443.8753.87544.5

    2/5/0422232/5/0455552/5/0433332/5/0444443.53.53.53.75

    2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/8/0444442/8/043.54442/8/044443.52/8/0444443.875443.875

    2/9/0455552/9/0455552/9/044443.52/9/043.53.53.54.54.3754.3754.3754.5

    2/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0444454.754.754.755

    2/11/044.54.54.542/11/044444.52/11/0455552/11/0444444.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/12/0444442/12/0444442/12/0455552/12/043334.54444.375

    2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/15/0455542/15/0433342/15/0444442/15/0444444444

    2/16/043332.52/16/0455552/16/0455552/16/043332.54443.75

    2/17/044432.52/17/0444452/17/044.54.54.552/17/0455534.3754.3754.1253.875

    2/18/04444.54.52/18/0455552/18/0455552/18/0444444.54.54.6254.625

    2/19/04444.542/19/0455442/19/0444452/19/0444444.254.254.1254.25

    2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/22/042212.52/22/04443.542/22/043333.52/22/045554.53.53.53.1253.625

    2/23/04332.52.52/23/043.53.5432/23/044443.52/23/0444443.6253.6253.6253.25

    2/24/044.54.54.542/24/043.53.534.52/24/044.54.54.552/24/0444454.1254.12544.625

    2/25/044443.52/25/044444.52/25/0444442/25/044.54.54.54.54.1254.1254.1254.125

    2/26/0444442/26/0444442/26/044.54.54.54.52/26/0455554.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/29/0444442/29/044.54.54.54.52/29/0444442/29/043.53.53.53.54444

    3/1/043.53.53.533/1/0455553/1/0444443/1/043.53.53.53.54443.875

    3/2/0444443/2/0444453/2/0455553/2/044444.54.254.254.254.625

    3/3/045554.53/3/0455553/3/0455553/3/043.53.53.544.6254.6254.6254.625

    3/4/0444443/4/044.54.54.553/4/044.54.54.54.53/4/0433334444.125

    3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/7/045554.53/7/04554.54.53/7/0455553/7/045555554.8754.75

    3/8/044.54.5miss4.53/8/042.53miss53/8/0455miss53/8/0455miss54.254.375miss4.875

    3/9/0444343/9/0433443/9/044.54.53.53.53/9/0455554.1254.1253.8754.125

    3/10/0444453/10/043.53.53.543/10/0455553/10/044.54.54.54.54.254.254.254.625

    3/11/0433353/11/044.54.54.54.53/11/0444443/11/0433343.6253.6253.6254.375

    3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/15/042.52.523.53/15/0455553/15/044.54.54.54.53/15/044444.5443.8754.375

    3/16/042.72.72.733/16/0455553/16/0433333/16/0433333.4253.4253.4253.5

    3/17/0433243/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/043.53.534.53.8753.8753.54.375

    3/18/0444343/18/0455553/18/0444443/18/0444444.254.2544.25

    3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/21/04443.53.53/21/043.53.53.533/21/044443.53/21/043.53.53.53.53.753.753.6253.375

    3/22/043.53.543.53/22/043.544.553/22/0444443/22/0433343.53.6253.8754.125

    3/23/043.53.53.54.53/23/043.53.54.533/23/043333.53/23/04443.543.53.53.6253.75

    3/24/0443.5333/24/044.542.533/24/044.54.5443/24/0444444.2543.3753.5

    3/25/0444443/25/042.53.53.543/25/044443.53/25/0444443.6253.8753.8753.875

    3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/28/0444443/28/044.54.54.54.53/28/0444443/28/043.53.53.544444.125

    3/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0433333.753.753.753.75

    3/30/043.53.53.53.53/30/044.54.5433/30/044.54.54.54.53/30/0444.543.54.1254.2543.625

    3/31/04332.543/31/044.54.543.53/31/044.54.54.54.53/31/043.53.52.53.53.8753.8753.3753.875

    4/1/04443.54.54/1/04444.54.54/1/0455554/1/0444444.254.254.254.5

    4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/4/0433344/4/0455544/4/0444444/4/04333.543.753.753.8754

    4/5/0444444/5/04444.53.54/5/0444444/5/044443444.1253.625

    4/6/0444444/6/0433334/6/0444444/6/0444433.753.753.753.5

    4/7/0444444/7/042224.54/7/043.53.53.53.54/7/0433353.1253.1253.1254.25

    4/8/0444444/8/044.54.5544/8/044.54.54.54.54/8/044443.54.254.254.3754

    4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/12/0444444/12/044.54.553.54/12/0444444/12/043.53.53.53.5444.1253.75

    4/13/0444344/13/04444.534/13/044.54.54.54.54/13/044444.54.1254.12544

    4/14/044443.54/14/04444.544/14/0444444/14/043.53.5343.8753.8753.8753.875

    4/15/0444444/15/0455554/15/0444444/15/04443.54.54.254.254.1254.375

    4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/18/04554.544/18/043.53.53.53.54/18/0444444/18/04443.534.1254.1253.8753.625

    4/19/044.54.54.54.54/19/043.53.52.544/19/0444444/19/044443.5443.754

    4/20/0444444/20/0444444/20/044.54.54.54.54/20/043.53.534443.8754.125

    4/21/04443.544/21/0444434/21/044444.54/21/042.52.524.53.6253.6253.3754

    4/22/04443.544/22/0454.5444/22/044.54.54.544/22/043.53.53.54.54.254.1253.8754.125

    4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/25/044.54.5444/25/044.54.54.534/25/0455554/25/044444.54.54.54.3754.125

    4/26/0444444/26/04444.54.54/26/0455554/26/043.53.534.54.1254.1254.1254.5

    4/27/0444444/27/044.54.54.554/27/0444444/27/0444444.1254.1254.1254.25

    4/28/043.53.5344/28/04554.54.54/28/0455554/28/044.54.54.53.54.54.54.254.25

    4/29/04443.544/29/044.54.5544/29/044.54.5554/29/04554.544.54.54.54.25

    4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    Atlag:3.88412698413.87619047623.69677419353.880952381Atlag:4.15873015874.18253968254.20967741944.2301587302Atlag:4.31746031754.31746031754.29032258064.2936507937Atlag:3.8809523813.88888888893.78225806454.0476190476

    Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.81276595743.80212765963.64565217393.8404255319Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.15957446814.20212765964.21739130434.3191489362Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.31914893624.31914893624.27173913044.2765957447Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.9148936173.92553191493.85869565224.0425531915

    Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.093754.093753.843754Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.156254.1254.18753.96875Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.31254.31254.343754.34375Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)3.781253.781253.56254.0625

    Teljes atlagokAL6AL123D-VECM

    4.06031746034.06626984133.99475806454.1130952381

    szoras0.66507398450.65163995890.73292488610.6437774037

    apr. 6-ig4.05159574474.06223404263.99836956524.1196808511

    apr.7-tol4.08593754.0781253.9843754.09375

    Atlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szam

    1-k szma00100.251-k szma000000000000000

    2, 1/2-k szma22301.752, 1/2-k szma11100.750000000100.25

    3, 2/3-k szma8812109.53, 2/3-k szma7669744433.75101013810.25

    4, 3/4-k szma4242354240.254, 3/4-k szma2426222223.527272929284241383238.25

    5, 4/5-k szma11111111115, 4/5-k szma3130333231.532322931311112102314

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/333643130rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/300001121

    rate of 3, 3/41314191214141013rate of 3, 3/45561222222416

    rate of 43635263615181618rate of 42626272029282623

    rate of 4/5, 51111111131303332rate of 4/5, 53232293111121023

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    Teljes idoszakT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.88412698414.15873015874.31746031753.880952381

    AL123.87619047624.18253968254.31746031753.8888888889

    3D-V3.69677419354.20967741944.29032258063.7822580645

    ECM3.8809523814.23015873024.29365079374.0476190476

    apilis 6 -igT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.81276595744.15957446814.31914893623.914893617

    AL123.80212765964.20212765964.31914893623.9255319149

    3D-V3.64565217394.21739130434.27173913043.8586956522

    ECM3.84042553194.31914893624.27659574474.0425531915

    apilis 7 -tolT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL64.093754.156254.31253.78125

    AL124.093754.1254.31253.78125

    3D-V3.843754.18754.343753.5625

    ECM43.968754.343754.0625

    Csapadekos napokALAL123D-VECM

    4-Feb333.55

    15-Feb3334

    22-Feb443.54

    23-Feb3.53.543

    24-Feb3.53.534.5

    26-Feb4444

    3-Mar5555

    7-Mar554.54.5

    8-Mar2.53miss5

    9-Mar3344

    21-Mar3.53.53.53

    23-Mar3.53.54.53

    24-Mar4.542.53

    25-Mar2.53.53.54

    4-Apr5554

    5-Apr444.53.5

    6-Apr3333

    7-Apr2224.5

    13-Apr444.53

    14-Apr444.54

    18-Apr3.53.53.53.5

    19-Apr3.53.52.54

    20-Apr4444

    21-Apr4443

    ATLAG3.64583333333.68753.73913043483.8541666667

    komplex scoreokALAL123D-VECMElrejelz

    1. nap76.5574.6475.483.0280.72

    2. nap73.5271.7568.6177.3779.62

    atlag75.03573.19572.00580.19580.17

    Munka1

    Tot. average

    Total average

    Munka2

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Munka3

    Average qualification for rainy days

    Szl

    Felhzet

    T2m AL-DYN6

    T2m AL-DYN12

    T2m AL-3DV12

    T2m ECMWF

    Precip. AL-DYN6

    Precip. AL-DYN12

    Precip. AL-3DV12

    Precip. ECMWF

    V10m AL-DYN6

    V10m AL-DYN12

    V10m AL-3DV12

    V10m ECMWF

    Cloud. AL-DYN6

    Cloud. AL-DYN12

    Cloud. AL-3DV12

    Cloud. ECMWF

    %

    Els jszakra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14 kztti idszakra

    %

    Msodik napra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14. kztti idszakra

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 1. Febr. - 6. Apr.

    Total standard deviation

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 7. Apr. - 30. Apr.

  • 3D-VAR produced 2 times more middle-class 2mT forecasts than the others

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

    Diagram33

    6

    19

    26

    11

    T2m AL-3DV12

    Munka1

    T2mAL6AL123D-VECMPrecip.AL6AL123D-VECMWindAL6AL123D-VECMCloud.AL6AL123D-VECMNapi atlagAL6AL123D-VECM

    2/1/0444432/1/0455552/1/0444432/1/0444444.254.254.253.75

    2/2/0444442/2/0455542/2/0455552/2/0455554.754.754.754.5

    2/3/0444432/3/043334.52/3/0455552/3/0444454444.375

    2/4/043.53.53.542/4/04333.552/4/0455552/4/0444443.8753.87544.5

    2/5/0422232/5/0455552/5/0433332/5/0444443.53.53.53.75

    2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/8/0444442/8/043.54442/8/044443.52/8/0444443.875443.875

    2/9/0455552/9/0455552/9/044443.52/9/043.53.53.54.54.3754.3754.3754.5

    2/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0444454.754.754.755

    2/11/044.54.54.542/11/044444.52/11/0455552/11/0444444.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/12/0444442/12/0444442/12/0455552/12/043334.54444.375

    2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/15/0455542/15/0433342/15/0444442/15/0444444444

    2/16/043332.52/16/0455552/16/0455552/16/043332.54443.75

    2/17/044432.52/17/0444452/17/044.54.54.552/17/0455534.3754.3754.1253.875

    2/18/04444.54.52/18/0455552/18/0455552/18/0444444.54.54.6254.625

    2/19/04444.542/19/0455442/19/0444452/19/0444444.254.254.1254.25

    2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/22/042212.52/22/04443.542/22/043333.52/22/045554.53.53.53.1253.625

    2/23/04332.52.52/23/043.53.5432/23/044443.52/23/0444443.6253.6253.6253.25

    2/24/044.54.54.542/24/043.53.534.52/24/044.54.54.552/24/0444454.1254.12544.625

    2/25/044443.52/25/044444.52/25/0444442/25/044.54.54.54.54.1254.1254.1254.125

    2/26/0444442/26/0444442/26/044.54.54.54.52/26/0455554.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/29/0444442/29/044.54.54.54.52/29/0444442/29/043.53.53.53.54444

    3/1/043.53.53.533/1/0455553/1/0444443/1/043.53.53.53.54443.875

    3/2/0444443/2/0444453/2/0455553/2/044444.54.254.254.254.625

    3/3/045554.53/3/0455553/3/0455553/3/043.53.53.544.6254.6254.6254.625

    3/4/0444443/4/044.54.54.553/4/044.54.54.54.53/4/0433334444.125

    3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/7/045554.53/7/04554.54.53/7/0455553/7/045555554.8754.75

    3/8/044.54.5miss4.53/8/042.53miss53/8/0455miss53/8/0455miss54.254.375miss4.875

    3/9/0444343/9/0433443/9/044.54.53.53.53/9/0455554.1254.1253.8754.125

    3/10/0444453/10/043.53.53.543/10/0455553/10/044.54.54.54.54.254.254.254.625

    3/11/0433353/11/044.54.54.54.53/11/0444443/11/0433343.6253.6253.6254.375

    3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/15/042.52.523.53/15/0455553/15/044.54.54.54.53/15/044444.5443.8754.375

    3/16/042.72.72.733/16/0455553/16/0433333/16/0433333.4253.4253.4253.5

    3/17/0433243/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/043.53.534.53.8753.8753.54.375

    3/18/0444343/18/0455553/18/0444443/18/0444444.254.2544.25

    3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/21/04443.53.53/21/043.53.53.533/21/044443.53/21/043.53.53.53.53.753.753.6253.375

    3/22/043.53.543.53/22/043.544.553/22/0444443/22/0433343.53.6253.8754.125

    3/23/043.53.53.54.53/23/043.53.54.533/23/043333.53/23/04443.543.53.53.6253.75

    3/24/0443.5333/24/044.542.533/24/044.54.5443/24/0444444.2543.3753.5

    3/25/0444443/25/042.53.53.543/25/044443.53/25/0444443.6253.8753.8753.875

    3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/28/0444443/28/044.54.54.54.53/28/0444443/28/043.53.53.544444.125

    3/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0433333.753.753.753.75

    3/30/043.53.53.53.53/30/044.54.5433/30/044.54.54.54.53/30/0444.543.54.1254.2543.625

    3/31/04332.543/31/044.54.543.53/31/044.54.54.54.53/31/043.53.52.53.53.8753.8753.3753.875

    4/1/04443.54.54/1/04444.54.54/1/0455554/1/0444444.254.254.254.5

    4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/4/0433344/4/0455544/4/0444444/4/04333.543.753.753.8754

    4/5/0444444/5/04444.53.54/5/0444444/5/044443444.1253.625

    4/6/0444444/6/0433334/6/0444444/6/0444433.753.753.753.5

    4/7/0444444/7/042224.54/7/043.53.53.53.54/7/0433353.1253.1253.1254.25

    4/8/0444444/8/044.54.5544/8/044.54.54.54.54/8/044443.54.254.254.3754

    4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/12/0444444/12/044.54.553.54/12/0444444/12/043.53.53.53.5444.1253.75

    4/13/0444344/13/04444.534/13/044.54.54.54.54/13/044444.54.1254.12544

    4/14/044443.54/14/04444.544/14/0444444/14/043.53.5343.8753.8753.8753.875

    4/15/0444444/15/0455554/15/0444444/15/04443.54.54.254.254.1254.375

    4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/18/04554.544/18/043.53.53.53.54/18/0444444/18/04443.534.1254.1253.8753.625

    4/19/044.54.54.54.54/19/043.53.52.544/19/0444444/19/044443.5443.754

    4/20/0444444/20/0444444/20/044.54.54.54.54/20/043.53.534443.8754.125

    4/21/04443.544/21/0444434/21/044444.54/21/042.52.524.53.6253.6253.3754

    4/22/04443.544/22/0454.5444/22/044.54.54.544/22/043.53.53.54.54.254.1253.8754.125

    4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/25/044.54.5444/25/044.54.54.534/25/0455554/25/044444.54.54.54.3754.125

    4/26/0444444/26/04444.54.54/26/0455554/26/043.53.534.54.1254.1254.1254.5

    4/27/0444444/27/044.54.54.554/27/0444444/27/0444444.1254.1254.1254.25

    4/28/043.53.5344/28/04554.54.54/28/0455554/28/044.54.54.53.54.54.54.254.25

    4/29/04443.544/29/044.54.5544/29/044.54.5554/29/04554.544.54.54.54.25

    4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    Atlag:3.88412698413.87619047623.69677419353.880952381Atlag:4.15873015874.18253968254.20967741944.2301587302Atlag:4.31746031754.31746031754.29032258064.2936507937Atlag:3.8809523813.88888888893.78225806454.0476190476

    Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.81276595743.80212765963.64565217393.8404255319Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.15957446814.20212765964.21739130434.3191489362Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.31914893624.31914893624.27173913044.2765957447Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.9148936173.92553191493.85869565224.0425531915

    Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.093754.093753.843754Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.156254.1254.18753.96875Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.31254.31254.343754.34375Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)3.781253.781253.56254.0625

    Teljes atlagokAL6AL123D-VECM

    4.06031746034.06626984133.99475806454.1130952381

    szoras0.66507398450.65163995890.73292488610.6437774037

    apr. 6-ig4.05159574474.06223404263.99836956524.1196808511

    apr.7-tol4.08593754.0781253.9843754.09375

    Atlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szam

    1-k szma00100.251-k szma000000000000000

    2, 1/2-k szma22301.752, 1/2-k szma11100.750000000100.25

    3, 2/3-k szma8812109.53, 2/3-k szma7669744433.75101013810.25

    4, 3/4-k szma4242354240.254, 3/4-k szma2426222223.527272929284241383238.25

    5, 4/5-k szma11111111115, 4/5-k szma3130333231.532322931311112102314

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/333643130rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/300001121

    rate of 3, 3/41314191214141013rate of 3, 3/45561222222416

    rate of 43635263615181618rate of 42626272029282623

    rate of 4/5, 51111111131303332rate of 4/5, 53232293111121023

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    Teljes idoszakT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.88412698414.15873015874.31746031753.880952381

    AL123.87619047624.18253968254.31746031753.8888888889

    3D-V3.69677419354.20967741944.29032258063.7822580645

    ECM3.8809523814.23015873024.29365079374.0476190476

    apilis 6 -igT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.81276595744.15957446814.31914893623.914893617

    AL123.80212765964.20212765964.31914893623.9255319149

    3D-V3.64565217394.21739130434.27173913043.8586956522

    ECM3.84042553194.31914893624.27659574474.0425531915

    apilis 7 -tolT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL64.093754.156254.31253.78125

    AL124.093754.1254.31253.78125

    3D-V3.843754.18754.343753.5625

    ECM43.968754.343754.0625

    Csapadekos napokALAL123D-VECM

    4-Feb333.55

    15-Feb3334

    22-Feb443.54

    23-Feb3.53.543

    24-Feb3.53.534.5

    26-Feb4444

    3-Mar5555

    7-Mar554.54.5

    8-Mar2.53miss5

    9-Mar3344

    21-Mar3.53.53.53

    23-Mar3.53.54.53

    24-Mar4.542.53

    25-Mar2.53.53.54

    4-Apr5554

    5-Apr444.53.5

    6-Apr3333

    7-Apr2224.5

    13-Apr444.53

    14-Apr444.54

    18-Apr3.53.53.53.5

    19-Apr3.53.52.54

    20-Apr4444

    21-Apr4443

    ATLAG3.64583333333.68753.73913043483.8541666667

    komplex scoreokALAL123D-VECMElrejelz

    1. nap76.5574.6475.483.0280.72

    2. nap73.5271.7568.6177.3779.62

    atlag75.03573.19572.00580.19580.17

    Munka1

    Tot. average

    Total average

    Munka2

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Munka3

    Average qualification for rainy days

    T2m AL-DYN6

    T2m AL-DYN12

    T2m AL-3DV12

    T2m ECMWF

    Precip. AL-DYN6

    Precip. AL-DYN12

    Precip. AL-3DV12

    Precip. ECMWF

    V10m AL-DYN6

    V10m AL-DYN12

    V10m AL-3DV12

    V10m ECMWF

    Cloud. AL-DYN6

    Cloud. AL-DYN12

    Cloud. AL-3DV12

    Cloud. ECMWF

    %

    Els jszakra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14 kztti idszakra

    %

    Msodik napra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14. kztti idszakra

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 1. Febr. - 6. Apr.

    Total standard deviation

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 7. Apr. - 30. Apr.

    Diagram31

    3

    13

    36

    11

    T2m AL-DYN6

    Munka1

    T2mAL6AL123D-VECMPrecip.AL6AL123D-VECMWindAL6AL123D-VECMCloud.AL6AL123D-VECMNapi atlagAL6AL123D-VECM

    2/1/0444432/1/0455552/1/0444432/1/0444444.254.254.253.75

    2/2/0444442/2/0455542/2/0455552/2/0455554.754.754.754.5

    2/3/0444432/3/043334.52/3/0455552/3/0444454444.375

    2/4/043.53.53.542/4/04333.552/4/0455552/4/0444443.8753.87544.5

    2/5/0422232/5/0455552/5/0433332/5/0444443.53.53.53.75

    2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/8/0444442/8/043.54442/8/044443.52/8/0444443.875443.875

    2/9/0455552/9/0455552/9/044443.52/9/043.53.53.54.54.3754.3754.3754.5

    2/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0444454.754.754.755

    2/11/044.54.54.542/11/044444.52/11/0455552/11/0444444.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/12/0444442/12/0444442/12/0455552/12/043334.54444.375

    2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/15/0455542/15/0433342/15/0444442/15/0444444444

    2/16/043332.52/16/0455552/16/0455552/16/043332.54443.75

    2/17/044432.52/17/0444452/17/044.54.54.552/17/0455534.3754.3754.1253.875

    2/18/04444.54.52/18/0455552/18/0455552/18/0444444.54.54.6254.625

    2/19/04444.542/19/0455442/19/0444452/19/0444444.254.254.1254.25

    2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/22/042212.52/22/04443.542/22/043333.52/22/045554.53.53.53.1253.625

    2/23/04332.52.52/23/043.53.5432/23/044443.52/23/0444443.6253.6253.6253.25

    2/24/044.54.54.542/24/043.53.534.52/24/044.54.54.552/24/0444454.1254.12544.625

    2/25/044443.52/25/044444.52/25/0444442/25/044.54.54.54.54.1254.1254.1254.125

    2/26/0444442/26/0444442/26/044.54.54.54.52/26/0455554.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/29/0444442/29/044.54.54.54.52/29/0444442/29/043.53.53.53.54444

    3/1/043.53.53.533/1/0455553/1/0444443/1/043.53.53.53.54443.875

    3/2/0444443/2/0444453/2/0455553/2/044444.54.254.254.254.625

    3/3/045554.53/3/0455553/3/0455553/3/043.53.53.544.6254.6254.6254.625

    3/4/0444443/4/044.54.54.553/4/044.54.54.54.53/4/0433334444.125

    3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/7/045554.53/7/04554.54.53/7/0455553/7/045555554.8754.75

    3/8/044.54.5miss4.53/8/042.53miss53/8/0455miss53/8/0455miss54.254.375miss4.875

    3/9/0444343/9/0433443/9/044.54.53.53.53/9/0455554.1254.1253.8754.125

    3/10/0444453/10/043.53.53.543/10/0455553/10/044.54.54.54.54.254.254.254.625

    3/11/0433353/11/044.54.54.54.53/11/0444443/11/0433343.6253.6253.6254.375

    3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/15/042.52.523.53/15/0455553/15/044.54.54.54.53/15/044444.5443.8754.375

    3/16/042.72.72.733/16/0455553/16/0433333/16/0433333.4253.4253.4253.5

    3/17/0433243/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/043.53.534.53.8753.8753.54.375

    3/18/0444343/18/0455553/18/0444443/18/0444444.254.2544.25

    3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/21/04443.53.53/21/043.53.53.533/21/044443.53/21/043.53.53.53.53.753.753.6253.375

    3/22/043.53.543.53/22/043.544.553/22/0444443/22/0433343.53.6253.8754.125

    3/23/043.53.53.54.53/23/043.53.54.533/23/043333.53/23/04443.543.53.53.6253.75

    3/24/0443.5333/24/044.542.533/24/044.54.5443/24/0444444.2543.3753.5

    3/25/0444443/25/042.53.53.543/25/044443.53/25/0444443.6253.8753.8753.875

    3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/28/0444443/28/044.54.54.54.53/28/0444443/28/043.53.53.544444.125

    3/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0433333.753.753.753.75

    3/30/043.53.53.53.53/30/044.54.5433/30/044.54.54.54.53/30/0444.543.54.1254.2543.625

    3/31/04332.543/31/044.54.543.53/31/044.54.54.54.53/31/043.53.52.53.53.8753.8753.3753.875

    4/1/04443.54.54/1/04444.54.54/1/0455554/1/0444444.254.254.254.5

    4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/4/0433344/4/0455544/4/0444444/4/04333.543.753.753.8754

    4/5/0444444/5/04444.53.54/5/0444444/5/044443444.1253.625

    4/6/0444444/6/0433334/6/0444444/6/0444433.753.753.753.5

    4/7/0444444/7/042224.54/7/043.53.53.53.54/7/0433353.1253.1253.1254.25

    4/8/0444444/8/044.54.5544/8/044.54.54.54.54/8/044443.54.254.254.3754

    4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/12/0444444/12/044.54.553.54/12/0444444/12/043.53.53.53.5444.1253.75

    4/13/0444344/13/04444.534/13/044.54.54.54.54/13/044444.54.1254.12544

    4/14/044443.54/14/04444.544/14/0444444/14/043.53.5343.8753.8753.8753.875

    4/15/0444444/15/0455554/15/0444444/15/04443.54.54.254.254.1254.375

    4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/18/04554.544/18/043.53.53.53.54/18/0444444/18/04443.534.1254.1253.8753.625

    4/19/044.54.54.54.54/19/043.53.52.544/19/0444444/19/044443.5443.754

    4/20/0444444/20/0444444/20/044.54.54.54.54/20/043.53.534443.8754.125

    4/21/04443.544/21/0444434/21/044444.54/21/042.52.524.53.6253.6253.3754

    4/22/04443.544/22/0454.5444/22/044.54.54.544/22/043.53.53.54.54.254.1253.8754.125

    4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/25/044.54.5444/25/044.54.54.534/25/0455554/25/044444.54.54.54.3754.125

    4/26/0444444/26/04444.54.54/26/0455554/26/043.53.534.54.1254.1254.1254.5

    4/27/0444444/27/044.54.54.554/27/0444444/27/0444444.1254.1254.1254.25

    4/28/043.53.5344/28/04554.54.54/28/0455554/28/044.54.54.53.54.54.54.254.25

    4/29/04443.544/29/044.54.5544/29/044.54.5554/29/04554.544.54.54.54.25

    4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    Atlag:3.88412698413.87619047623.69677419353.880952381Atlag:4.15873015874.18253968254.20967741944.2301587302Atlag:4.31746031754.31746031754.29032258064.2936507937Atlag:3.8809523813.88888888893.78225806454.0476190476

    Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.81276595743.80212765963.64565217393.8404255319Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.15957446814.20212765964.21739130434.3191489362Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.31914893624.31914893624.27173913044.2765957447Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.9148936173.92553191493.85869565224.0425531915

    Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.093754.093753.843754Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.156254.1254.18753.96875Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.31254.31254.343754.34375Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)3.781253.781253.56254.0625

    Teljes atlagokAL6AL123D-VECM

    4.06031746034.06626984133.99475806454.1130952381

    szoras0.66507398450.65163995890.73292488610.6437774037

    apr. 6-ig4.05159574474.06223404263.99836956524.1196808511

    apr.7-tol4.08593754.0781253.9843754.09375

    Atlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szam

    1-k szma00100.251-k szma000000000000000

    2, 1/2-k szma22301.752, 1/2-k szma11100.750000000100.25

    3, 2/3-k szma8812109.53, 2/3-k szma7669744433.75101013810.25

    4, 3/4-k szma4242354240.254, 3/4-k szma2426222223.527272929284241383238.25

    5, 4/5-k szma11111111115, 4/5-k szma3130333231.532322931311112102314

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/333643130rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/300001121

    rate of 3, 3/41314191214141013rate of 3, 3/45561222222416

    rate of 43635263615181618rate of 42626272029282623

    rate of 4/5, 51111111131303332rate of 4/5, 53232293111121023

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    Teljes idoszakT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.88412698414.15873015874.31746031753.880952381

    AL123.87619047624.18253968254.31746031753.8888888889

    3D-V3.69677419354.20967741944.29032258063.7822580645

    ECM3.8809523814.23015873024.29365079374.0476190476

    apilis 6 -igT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.81276595744.15957446814.31914893623.914893617

    AL123.80212765964.20212765964.31914893623.9255319149

    3D-V3.64565217394.21739130434.27173913043.8586956522

    ECM3.84042553194.31914893624.27659574474.0425531915

    apilis 7 -tolT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL64.093754.156254.31253.78125

    AL124.093754.1254.31253.78125

    3D-V3.843754.18754.343753.5625

    ECM43.968754.343754.0625

    Csapadekos napokALAL123D-VECM

    4-Feb333.55

    15-Feb3334

    22-Feb443.54

    23-Feb3.53.543

    24-Feb3.53.534.5

    26-Feb4444

    3-Mar5555

    7-Mar554.54.5

    8-Mar2.53miss5

    9-Mar3344

    21-Mar3.53.53.53

    23-Mar3.53.54.53

    24-Mar4.542.53

    25-Mar2.53.53.54

    4-Apr5554

    5-Apr444.53.5

    6-Apr3333

    7-Apr2224.5

    13-Apr444.53

    14-Apr444.54

    18-Apr3.53.53.53.5

    19-Apr3.53.52.54

    20-Apr4444

    21-Apr4443

    ATLAG3.64583333333.68753.73913043483.8541666667

    komplex scoreokALAL123D-VECMElrejelz

    1. nap76.5574.6475.483.0280.72

    2. nap73.5271.7568.6177.3779.62

    atlag75.03573.19572.00580.19580.17

    Munka1

    Tot. average

    Total average

    Munka2

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Munka3

    Average qualification for rainy days

    T2m AL-DYN6

    T2m AL-DYN12

    T2m AL-3DV12

    T2m ECMWF

    Precip. AL-DYN6

    Precip. AL-DYN12

    Precip. AL-3DV12

    Precip. ECMWF

    V10m AL-DYN6

    V10m AL-DYN12

    V10m AL-3DV12

    V10m ECMWF

    Cloud. AL-DYN6

    Cloud. AL-DYN12

    Cloud. AL-3DV12

    Cloud. ECMWF

    %

    Els jszakra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14 kztti idszakra

    %

    Msodik napra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14. kztti idszakra

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 1. Febr. - 6. Apr.

    Total standard deviation

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 7. Apr. - 30. Apr.

    Diagram32

    3

    14

    35

    11

    T2m AL-DYN12

    Munka1

    T2mAL6AL123D-VECMPrecip.AL6AL123D-VECMWindAL6AL123D-VECMCloud.AL6AL123D-VECMNapi atlagAL6AL123D-VECM

    2/1/0444432/1/0455552/1/0444432/1/0444444.254.254.253.75

    2/2/0444442/2/0455542/2/0455552/2/0455554.754.754.754.5

    2/3/0444432/3/043334.52/3/0455552/3/0444454444.375

    2/4/043.53.53.542/4/04333.552/4/0455552/4/0444443.8753.87544.5

    2/5/0422232/5/0455552/5/0433332/5/0444443.53.53.53.75

    2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/8/0444442/8/043.54442/8/044443.52/8/0444443.875443.875

    2/9/0455552/9/0455552/9/044443.52/9/043.53.53.54.54.3754.3754.3754.5

    2/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0444454.754.754.755

    2/11/044.54.54.542/11/044444.52/11/0455552/11/0444444.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/12/0444442/12/0444442/12/0455552/12/043334.54444.375

    2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/15/0455542/15/0433342/15/0444442/15/0444444444

    2/16/043332.52/16/0455552/16/0455552/16/043332.54443.75

    2/17/044432.52/17/0444452/17/044.54.54.552/17/0455534.3754.3754.1253.875

    2/18/04444.54.52/18/0455552/18/0455552/18/0444444.54.54.6254.625

    2/19/04444.542/19/0455442/19/0444452/19/0444444.254.254.1254.25

    2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/22/042212.52/22/04443.542/22/043333.52/22/045554.53.53.53.1253.625

    2/23/04332.52.52/23/043.53.5432/23/044443.52/23/0444443.6253.6253.6253.25

    2/24/044.54.54.542/24/043.53.534.52/24/044.54.54.552/24/0444454.1254.12544.625

    2/25/044443.52/25/044444.52/25/0444442/25/044.54.54.54.54.1254.1254.1254.125

    2/26/0444442/26/0444442/26/044.54.54.54.52/26/0455554.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/29/0444442/29/044.54.54.54.52/29/0444442/29/043.53.53.53.54444

    3/1/043.53.53.533/1/0455553/1/0444443/1/043.53.53.53.54443.875

    3/2/0444443/2/0444453/2/0455553/2/044444.54.254.254.254.625

    3/3/045554.53/3/0455553/3/0455553/3/043.53.53.544.6254.6254.6254.625

    3/4/0444443/4/044.54.54.553/4/044.54.54.54.53/4/0433334444.125

    3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/7/045554.53/7/04554.54.53/7/0455553/7/045555554.8754.75

    3/8/044.54.5miss4.53/8/042.53miss53/8/0455miss53/8/0455miss54.254.375miss4.875

    3/9/0444343/9/0433443/9/044.54.53.53.53/9/0455554.1254.1253.8754.125

    3/10/0444453/10/043.53.53.543/10/0455553/10/044.54.54.54.54.254.254.254.625

    3/11/0433353/11/044.54.54.54.53/11/0444443/11/0433343.6253.6253.6254.375

    3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/15/042.52.523.53/15/0455553/15/044.54.54.54.53/15/044444.5443.8754.375

    3/16/042.72.72.733/16/0455553/16/0433333/16/0433333.4253.4253.4253.5

    3/17/0433243/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/043.53.534.53.8753.8753.54.375

    3/18/0444343/18/0455553/18/0444443/18/0444444.254.2544.25

    3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/21/04443.53.53/21/043.53.53.533/21/044443.53/21/043.53.53.53.53.753.753.6253.375

    3/22/043.53.543.53/22/043.544.553/22/0444443/22/0433343.53.6253.8754.125

    3/23/043.53.53.54.53/23/043.53.54.533/23/043333.53/23/04443.543.53.53.6253.75

    3/24/0443.5333/24/044.542.533/24/044.54.5443/24/0444444.2543.3753.5

    3/25/0444443/25/042.53.53.543/25/044443.53/25/0444443.6253.8753.8753.875

    3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/28/0444443/28/044.54.54.54.53/28/0444443/28/043.53.53.544444.125

    3/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0433333.753.753.753.75

    3/30/043.53.53.53.53/30/044.54.5433/30/044.54.54.54.53/30/0444.543.54.1254.2543.625

    3/31/04332.543/31/044.54.543.53/31/044.54.54.54.53/31/043.53.52.53.53.8753.8753.3753.875

    4/1/04443.54.54/1/04444.54.54/1/0455554/1/0444444.254.254.254.5

    4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/4/0433344/4/0455544/4/0444444/4/04333.543.753.753.8754

    4/5/0444444/5/04444.53.54/5/0444444/5/044443444.1253.625

    4/6/0444444/6/0433334/6/0444444/6/0444433.753.753.753.5

    4/7/0444444/7/042224.54/7/043.53.53.53.54/7/0433353.1253.1253.1254.25

    4/8/0444444/8/044.54.5544/8/044.54.54.54.54/8/044443.54.254.254.3754

    4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/12/0444444/12/044.54.553.54/12/0444444/12/043.53.53.53.5444.1253.75

    4/13/0444344/13/04444.534/13/044.54.54.54.54/13/044444.54.1254.12544

    4/14/044443.54/14/04444.544/14/0444444/14/043.53.5343.8753.8753.8753.875

    4/15/0444444/15/0455554/15/0444444/15/04443.54.54.254.254.1254.375

    4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/18/04554.544/18/043.53.53.53.54/18/0444444/18/04443.534.1254.1253.8753.625

    4/19/044.54.54.54.54/19/043.53.52.544/19/0444444/19/044443.5443.754

    4/20/0444444/20/0444444/20/044.54.54.54.54/20/043.53.534443.8754.125

    4/21/04443.544/21/0444434/21/044444.54/21/042.52.524.53.6253.6253.3754

    4/22/04443.544/22/0454.5444/22/044.54.54.544/22/043.53.53.54.54.254.1253.8754.125

    4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/25/044.54.5444/25/044.54.54.534/25/0455554/25/044444.54.54.54.3754.125

    4/26/0444444/26/04444.54.54/26/0455554/26/043.53.534.54.1254.1254.1254.5

    4/27/0444444/27/044.54.54.554/27/0444444/27/0444444.1254.1254.1254.25

    4/28/043.53.5344/28/04554.54.54/28/0455554/28/044.54.54.53.54.54.54.254.25

    4/29/04443.544/29/044.54.5544/29/044.54.5554/29/04554.544.54.54.54.25

    4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    Atlag:3.88412698413.87619047623.69677419353.880952381Atlag:4.15873015874.18253968254.20967741944.2301587302Atlag:4.31746031754.31746031754.29032258064.2936507937Atlag:3.8809523813.88888888893.78225806454.0476190476

    Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.81276595743.80212765963.64565217393.8404255319Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.15957446814.20212765964.21739130434.3191489362Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.31914893624.31914893624.27173913044.2765957447Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.9148936173.92553191493.85869565224.0425531915

    Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.093754.093753.843754Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.156254.1254.18753.96875Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.31254.31254.343754.34375Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)3.781253.781253.56254.0625

    Teljes atlagokAL6AL123D-VECM

    4.06031746034.06626984133.99475806454.1130952381

    szoras0.66507398450.65163995890.73292488610.6437774037

    apr. 6-ig4.05159574474.06223404263.99836956524.1196808511

    apr.7-tol4.08593754.0781253.9843754.09375

    Atlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szam

    1-k szma00100.251-k szma000000000000000

    2, 1/2-k szma22301.752, 1/2-k szma11100.750000000100.25

    3, 2/3-k szma8812109.53, 2/3-k szma7669744433.75101013810.25

    4, 3/4-k szma4242354240.254, 3/4-k szma2426222223.527272929284241383238.25

    5, 4/5-k szma11111111115, 4/5-k szma3130333231.532322931311112102314

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/333643130rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/300001121

    rate of 3, 3/41314191214141013rate of 3, 3/45561222222416

    rate of 43635263615181618rate of 42626272029282623

    rate of 4/5, 51111111131303332rate of 4/5, 53232293111121023

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    Teljes idoszakT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.88412698414.15873015874.31746031753.880952381

    AL123.87619047624.18253968254.31746031753.8888888889

    3D-V3.69677419354.20967741944.29032258063.7822580645

    ECM3.8809523814.23015873024.29365079374.0476190476

    apilis 6 -igT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.81276595744.15957446814.31914893623.914893617

    AL123.80212765964.20212765964.31914893623.9255319149

    3D-V3.64565217394.21739130434.27173913043.8586956522

    ECM3.84042553194.31914893624.27659574474.0425531915

    apilis 7 -tolT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL64.093754.156254.31253.78125

    AL124.093754.1254.31253.78125

    3D-V3.843754.18754.343753.5625

    ECM43.968754.343754.0625

    Csapadekos napokALAL123D-VECM

    4-Feb333.55

    15-Feb3334

    22-Feb443.54

    23-Feb3.53.543

    24-Feb3.53.534.5

    26-Feb4444

    3-Mar5555

    7-Mar554.54.5

    8-Mar2.53miss5

    9-Mar3344

    21-Mar3.53.53.53

    23-Mar3.53.54.53

    24-Mar4.542.53

    25-Mar2.53.53.54

    4-Apr5554

    5-Apr444.53.5

    6-Apr3333

    7-Apr2224.5

    13-Apr444.53

    14-Apr444.54

    18-Apr3.53.53.53.5

    19-Apr3.53.52.54

    20-Apr4444

    21-Apr4443

    ATLAG3.64583333333.68753.73913043483.8541666667

    komplex scoreokALAL123D-VECMElrejelz

    1. nap76.5574.6475.483.0280.72

    2. nap73.5271.7568.6177.3779.62

    atlag75.03573.19572.00580.19580.17

    Munka1

    Tot. average

    Total average

    Munka2

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Munka3

    Average qualification for rainy days

    T2m AL-DYN6

    T2m AL-DYN12

    T2m AL-3DV12

    T2m ECMWF

    Precip. AL-DYN6

    Precip. AL-DYN12

    Precip. AL-3DV12

    Precip. ECMWF

    V10m AL-DYN6

    V10m AL-DYN12

    V10m AL-3DV12

    V10m ECMWF

    Cloud. AL-DYN6

    Cloud. AL-DYN12

    Cloud. AL-3DV12

    Cloud. ECMWF

    %

    Els jszakra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14 kztti idszakra

    %

    Msodik napra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14. kztti idszakra

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 1. Febr. - 6. Apr.

    Total standard deviation

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 7. Apr. - 30. Apr.

    Diagram34

    4

    12

    36

    11

    T2m ECMWF

    Munka1

    T2mAL6AL123D-VECMPrecip.AL6AL123D-VECMWindAL6AL123D-VECMCloud.AL6AL123D-VECMNapi atlagAL6AL123D-VECM

    2/1/0444432/1/0455552/1/0444432/1/0444444.254.254.253.75

    2/2/0444442/2/0455542/2/0455552/2/0455554.754.754.754.5

    2/3/0444432/3/043334.52/3/0455552/3/0444454444.375

    2/4/043.53.53.542/4/04333.552/4/0455552/4/0444443.8753.87544.5

    2/5/0422232/5/0455552/5/0433332/5/0444443.53.53.53.75

    2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/8/0444442/8/043.54442/8/044443.52/8/0444443.875443.875

    2/9/0455552/9/0455552/9/044443.52/9/043.53.53.54.54.3754.3754.3754.5

    2/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0444454.754.754.755

    2/11/044.54.54.542/11/044444.52/11/0455552/11/0444444.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/12/0444442/12/0444442/12/0455552/12/043334.54444.375

    2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/15/0455542/15/0433342/15/0444442/15/0444444444

    2/16/043332.52/16/0455552/16/0455552/16/043332.54443.75

    2/17/044432.52/17/0444452/17/044.54.54.552/17/0455534.3754.3754.1253.875

    2/18/04444.54.52/18/0455552/18/0455552/18/0444444.54.54.6254.625

    2/19/04444.542/19/0455442/19/0444452/19/0444444.254.254.1254.25

    2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/22/042212.52/22/04443.542/22/043333.52/22/045554.53.53.53.1253.625

    2/23/04332.52.52/23/043.53.5432/23/044443.52/23/0444443.6253.6253.6253.25

    2/24/044.54.54.542/24/043.53.534.52/24/044.54.54.552/24/0444454.1254.12544.625

    2/25/044443.52/25/044444.52/25/0444442/25/044.54.54.54.54.1254.1254.1254.125

    2/26/0444442/26/0444442/26/044.54.54.54.52/26/0455554.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/29/0444442/29/044.54.54.54.52/29/0444442/29/043.53.53.53.54444

    3/1/043.53.53.533/1/0455553/1/0444443/1/043.53.53.53.54443.875

    3/2/0444443/2/0444453/2/0455553/2/044444.54.254.254.254.625

    3/3/045554.53/3/0455553/3/0455553/3/043.53.53.544.6254.6254.6254.625

    3/4/0444443/4/044.54.54.553/4/044.54.54.54.53/4/0433334444.125

    3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/7/045554.53/7/04554.54.53/7/0455553/7/045555554.8754.75

    3/8/044.54.5miss4.53/8/042.53miss53/8/0455miss53/8/0455miss54.254.375miss4.875

    3/9/0444343/9/0433443/9/044.54.53.53.53/9/0455554.1254.1253.8754.125

    3/10/0444453/10/043.53.53.543/10/0455553/10/044.54.54.54.54.254.254.254.625

    3/11/0433353/11/044.54.54.54.53/11/0444443/11/0433343.6253.6253.6254.375

    3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmiss3/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmiss3/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/15/042.52.523.53/15/0455553/15/044.54.54.54.53/15/044444.5443.8754.375

    3/16/042.72.72.733/16/0455553/16/0433333/16/0433333.4253.4253.4253.5

    3/17/0433243/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/044.54.54.54.53/17/043.53.534.53.8753.8753.54.375

    3/18/0444343/18/0455553/18/0444443/18/0444444.254.2544.25

    3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmiss3/19/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmiss3/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/21/04443.53.53/21/043.53.53.533/21/044443.53/21/043.53.53.53.53.753.753.6253.375

    3/22/043.53.543.53/22/043.544.553/22/0444443/22/0433343.53.6253.8754.125

    3/23/043.53.53.54.53/23/043.53.54.533/23/043333.53/23/04443.543.53.53.6253.75

    3/24/0443.5333/24/044.542.533/24/044.54.5443/24/0444444.2543.3753.5

    3/25/0444443/25/042.53.53.543/25/044443.53/25/0444443.6253.8753.8753.875

    3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmiss3/26/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmiss3/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/28/0444443/28/044.54.54.54.53/28/0444443/28/043.53.53.544444.125

    3/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0444443/29/0433333.753.753.753.75

    3/30/043.53.53.53.53/30/044.54.5433/30/044.54.54.54.53/30/0444.543.54.1254.2543.625

    3/31/04332.543/31/044.54.543.53/31/044.54.54.54.53/31/043.53.52.53.53.8753.8753.3753.875

    4/1/04443.54.54/1/04444.54.54/1/0455554/1/0444444.254.254.254.5

    4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmiss4/2/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmiss4/3/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/4/0433344/4/0455544/4/0444444/4/04333.543.753.753.8754

    4/5/0444444/5/04444.53.54/5/0444444/5/044443444.1253.625

    4/6/0444444/6/0433334/6/0444444/6/0444433.753.753.753.5

    4/7/0444444/7/042224.54/7/043.53.53.53.54/7/0433353.1253.1253.1254.25

    4/8/0444444/8/044.54.5544/8/044.54.54.54.54/8/044443.54.254.254.3754

    4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmiss4/9/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmiss4/10/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmiss4/11/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/12/0444444/12/044.54.553.54/12/0444444/12/043.53.53.53.5444.1253.75

    4/13/0444344/13/04444.534/13/044.54.54.54.54/13/044444.54.1254.12544

    4/14/044443.54/14/04444.544/14/0444444/14/043.53.5343.8753.8753.8753.875

    4/15/0444444/15/0455554/15/0444444/15/04443.54.54.254.254.1254.375

    4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmiss4/16/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmiss4/17/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/18/04554.544/18/043.53.53.53.54/18/0444444/18/04443.534.1254.1253.8753.625

    4/19/044.54.54.54.54/19/043.53.52.544/19/0444444/19/044443.5443.754

    4/20/0444444/20/0444444/20/044.54.54.54.54/20/043.53.534443.8754.125

    4/21/04443.544/21/0444434/21/044444.54/21/042.52.524.53.6253.6253.3754

    4/22/04443.544/22/0454.5444/22/044.54.54.544/22/043.53.53.54.54.254.1253.8754.125

    4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmiss4/23/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmiss4/24/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    4/25/044.54.5444/25/044.54.54.534/25/0455554/25/044444.54.54.54.3754.125

    4/26/0444444/26/04444.54.54/26/0455554/26/043.53.534.54.1254.1254.1254.5

    4/27/0444444/27/044.54.54.554/27/0444444/27/0444444.1254.1254.1254.25

    4/28/043.53.5344/28/04554.54.54/28/0455554/28/044.54.54.53.54.54.54.254.25

    4/29/04443.544/29/044.54.5544/29/044.54.5554/29/04554.544.54.54.54.25

    4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmiss4/30/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    Atlag:3.88412698413.87619047623.69677419353.880952381Atlag:4.15873015874.18253968254.20967741944.2301587302Atlag:4.31746031754.31746031754.29032258064.2936507937Atlag:3.8809523813.88888888893.78225806454.0476190476

    Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.81276595743.80212765963.64565217393.8404255319Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.15957446814.20212765964.21739130434.3191489362Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)4.31914893624.31914893624.27173913044.2765957447Atlag valtozasig (apr.6)3.9148936173.92553191493.85869565224.0425531915

    Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.093754.093753.843754Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.156254.1254.18753.96875Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)4.31254.31254.343754.34375Atlag valtozastol (apr.7)3.781253.781253.56254.0625

    Teljes atlagokAL6AL123D-VECM

    4.06031746034.06626984133.99475806454.1130952381

    szoras0.66507398450.65163995890.73292488610.6437774037

    apr. 6-ig4.05159574474.06223404263.99836956524.1196808511

    apr.7-tol4.08593754.0781253.9843754.09375

    Atlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szamAtlagos osztalyzat szam

    1-k szma00100.251-k szma000000000000000

    2, 1/2-k szma22301.752, 1/2-k szma11100.750000000100.25

    3, 2/3-k szma8812109.53, 2/3-k szma7669744433.75101013810.25

    4, 3/4-k szma4242354240.254, 3/4-k szma2426222223.527272929284241383238.25

    5, 4/5-k szma11111111115, 4/5-k szma3130333231.532322931311112102314

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/333643130rate of 1, 1/2, 2, 2/300001121

    rate of 3, 3/41314191214141013rate of 3, 3/45561222222416

    rate of 43635263615181618rate of 42626272029282623

    rate of 4/5, 51111111131303332rate of 4/5, 53232293111121023

    63636263636362636363626363636263

    Teljes idoszakT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.88412698414.15873015874.31746031753.880952381

    AL123.87619047624.18253968254.31746031753.8888888889

    3D-V3.69677419354.20967741944.29032258063.7822580645

    ECM3.8809523814.23015873024.29365079374.0476190476

    apilis 6 -igT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL63.81276595744.15957446814.31914893623.914893617

    AL123.80212765964.20212765964.31914893623.9255319149

    3D-V3.64565217394.21739130434.27173913043.8586956522

    ECM3.84042553194.31914893624.27659574474.0425531915

    apilis 7 -tolT2mPrecip.WindCloud.

    AL64.093754.156254.31253.78125

    AL124.093754.1254.31253.78125

    3D-V3.843754.18754.343753.5625

    ECM43.968754.343754.0625

    Csapadekos napokALAL123D-VECM

    4-Feb333.55

    15-Feb3334

    22-Feb443.54

    23-Feb3.53.543

    24-Feb3.53.534.5

    26-Feb4444

    3-Mar5555

    7-Mar554.54.5

    8-Mar2.53miss5

    9-Mar3344

    21-Mar3.53.53.53

    23-Mar3.53.54.53

    24-Mar4.542.53

    25-Mar2.53.53.54

    4-Apr5554

    5-Apr444.53.5

    6-Apr3333

    7-Apr2224.5

    13-Apr444.53

    14-Apr444.54

    18-Apr3.53.53.53.5

    19-Apr3.53.52.54

    20-Apr4444

    21-Apr4443

    ATLAG3.64583333333.68753.73913043483.8541666667

    komplex scoreokALAL123D-VECMElrejelz

    1. nap76.5574.6475.483.0280.72

    2. nap73.5271.7568.6177.3779.62

    atlag75.03573.19572.00580.19580.17

    Munka1

    Tot. average

    Total average

    Munka2

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Munka3

    Average qualification for rainy days

    T2m AL-DYN6

    T2m AL-DYN12

    T2m AL-3DV12

    T2m ECMWF

    Precip. AL-DYN6

    Precip. AL-DYN12

    Precip. AL-3DV12

    Precip. ECMWF

    V10m AL-DYN6

    V10m AL-DYN12

    V10m AL-3DV12

    V10m ECMWF

    Cloud. AL-DYN6

    Cloud. AL-DYN12

    Cloud. AL-3DV12

    Cloud. ECMWF

    %

    Els jszakra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14 kztti idszakra

    %

    Msodik napra vonatkoz komplex score-ok pr. 15-mj. 14. kztti idszakra

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 1. Febr. - 6. Apr.

    Total standard deviation

    AL6

    AL12

    3D-V

    ECM

    Means for parameters for the period 7. Apr. - 30. Apr.

  • 3D-VAR got the most excellent marks and the least middle-class

    ALADIN Workshop 2004, Innsbruck

    Diagram23

    3

    14

    15

    31

    Precip. AL-DYN6

    Munka1

    T2mAL6AL123D-VECMPrecip.AL6AL123D-VECMWindAL6AL123D-VECMCloud.AL6AL123D-VECMNapi atlagAL6AL123D-VECM

    2/1/0444432/1/0455552/1/0444432/1/0444444.254.254.253.75

    2/2/0444442/2/0455542/2/0455552/2/0455554.754.754.754.5

    2/3/0444432/3/043334.52/3/0455552/3/0444454444.375

    2/4/043.53.53.542/4/04333.552/4/0455552/4/0444443.8753.87544.5

    2/5/0422232/5/0455552/5/0433332/5/0444443.53.53.53.75

    2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmiss2/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmiss2/7/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/8/0444442/8/043.54442/8/044443.52/8/0444443.875443.875

    2/9/0455552/9/0455552/9/044443.52/9/043.53.53.54.54.3754.3754.3754.5

    2/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0455552/10/0444454.754.754.755

    2/11/044.54.54.542/11/044444.52/11/0455552/11/0444444.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/12/0444442/12/0444442/12/0455552/12/043334.54444.375

    2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmiss2/13/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmiss2/14/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/15/0455542/15/0433342/15/0444442/15/0444444444

    2/16/043332.52/16/0455552/16/0455552/16/043332.54443.75

    2/17/044432.52/17/0444452/17/044.54.54.552/17/0455534.3754.3754.1253.875

    2/18/04444.54.52/18/0455552/18/0455552/18/0444444.54.54.6254.625

    2/19/04444.542/19/0455442/19/0444452/19/0444444.254.254.1254.25

    2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmiss2/20/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmiss2/21/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/22/042212.52/22/04443.542/22/043333.52/22/045554.53.53.53.1253.625

    2/23/04332.52.52/23/043.53.5432/23/044443.52/23/0444443.6253.6253.6253.25

    2/24/044.54.54.542/24/043.53.534.52/24/044.54.54.552/24/0444454.1254.12544.625

    2/25/044443.52/25/044444.52/25/0444442/25/044.54.54.54.54.1254.1254.1254.125

    2/26/0444442/26/0444442/26/044.54.54.54.52/26/0455554.3754.3754.3754.375

    2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmiss2/27/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmiss2/28/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    2/29/0444442/29/044.54.54.54.52/29/0444442/29/043.53.53.53.54444

    3/1/043.53.53.533/1/0455553/1/0444443/1/043.53.53.53.54443.875

    3/2/0444443/2/0444453/2/0455553/2/044444.54.254.254.254.625

    3/3/045554.53/3/0455553/3/0455553/3/043.53.53.544.6254.6254.6254.625

    3/4/0444443/4/044.54.54.553/4/044.54.54.54.53/4/0433334444.125

    3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmiss3/5/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmiss3/6/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/7/045554.53/7/04554.54.53/7/0455553/7/045555554.8754.75

    3/8/044.54.5miss4.53/8/042.53miss53/8/0455miss53/8/0455miss54.254.375miss4.875

    3/9/0444343/9/0433443/9/044.54.53.53.53/9/0455554.1254.1253.8754.125

    3/10/0444453/10/043.53.53.543/10/0455553/10/044.54.54.54.54.254.254.254.625

    3/11/0433353/11/044.54.54.54.53/11/0444443/11/0433343.6253.6253.6254.375

    3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmiss3/12/04missmissmissmissmissmissmissmiss

    3/13/04missmissmis