Study Results Common Case Study This slide deck contains results from the 2011 TEPPC Study Program. This study shows the results of the 2022 Common Case. This study serves as a base case for all 2011 and 2012 studies.
Apr 01, 2015
Study Results
Common Case Study
This slide deck contains results from the 2011 TEPPC Study Program. This study shows the results of the 2022 Common Case. This study serves as a base case for all 2011 and 2012 studies.
2
2022 PC1 – Common Case
• Central Question: What impact will future load growth and generation needs (as defined by the input assumptions) have on transmission congestion in the Western Interconnection?
• These Results will be used as the starting input assumptions for all 2011 and 2012 studies.
• Results follow…2
3
2022 Common Case Results – Annual Generation by Resource Type
Conventional Hydro24%
Steam - Coal26%
Nuclear7%
Combined Cycle15%
Combustion Turbine1%
Cogeneration8%
Other1%
Biomass RPS 1%Geothermal 4%
Small Hydro RPS 1%
Solar 3% Wind 8%
WECC 2022 Energy Generation by Type (2022 Common Case)
Other Annual Generation Results
Dump Energy (aMW) 45
Emergency Energy (aMW) 0.3
CO2 Emissions (MMetricTons) 359
CO2 Adder ($/metric ton) 0.000
Variable Production Cost (thermal units excl DSM)
CO2 Adder (Total M$) 0
Other Variable Costs (M$) 14,851
Total Var. Prod. Cost (M$) 14,851
DRAFT
6
2022 Common Case Results – Region to Region Transfers
Hourly transfers Presented at the end of this presentation.
AZNMNV To Ca_S
Basin To AZNMNV
Basin To Ca_N
Basin To Ca_S
Ca_N To Ca_S
Canada To NWUS
NWUS To Basin
NWUS To Ca_N
NWUS To Ca_S
RMPA To AZNMNV
RMPA To Basin
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Region to Region Transfers - aMW
2020 2022
7
• “Most Heavily Utilized” = A path that meets any one of the following criterion (10-year plan utilization screening):oU75 > 50%oU90 > 20%oU99 > 5%
• Uxx = % of year that flow is greater than xx% of the path limit
2022 Common Case Results – Most Heavily Utilized Paths
8
P45 S
DG&E-CFE
P26 N
orth
ern-
South
ern
Califo
rnia
P08 M
onta
na to
Nor
thwes
t
P03 N
orth
west-B
ritish
Colu
mbia
P29 In
term
ount
ain-G
onde
r 230
kV
P47 S
outh
ern
New M
exico
(NM
1)
P60 In
yo-C
ontro
l 115
kV T
ie
P27 In
term
ount
ain P
ower
Pro
ject D
C Line
P01 A
lberta
-Brit
ish C
olum
bia
P11 W
est o
f Cro
ssov
er
P10 W
est o
f Cols
trip
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
Most Heavily Utilized Paths - 2022 PC1 Common CaseSorted by U90
U75 U90 U99
2022 Common Case Results – Most Heavily Utilized Paths
9
Hourly region-to-region transfersAZNMNV To Ca_S
-8000
-6000
-4000
-2000
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
122
043
965
887
710
9613
1515
3417
5319
7221
9124
1026
2928
4830
6732
8635
0537
2439
4341
6243
8146
0048
1950
3852
5754
7656
9559
1461
3363
5265
7167
9070
0972
2874
4776
6678
8581
0483
2385
42
AZNMNV To Ca_S
10
Hourly region-to-region transfersBasin To AZNMNV
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
122
043
965
887
710
9613
1515
3417
5319
7221
9124
1026
2928
4830
6732
8635
0537
2439
4341
6243
8146
0048
1950
3852
5754
7656
9559
1461
3363
5265
7167
9070
0972
2874
4776
6678
8581
0483
2385
42
Basin To AZNMNV
11
Hourly region-to-region transfersBasin To Ca_N
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
121
542
964
385
710
7112
8514
9917
1319
2721
4123
5525
6927
8329
9732
1134
2536
3938
5340
6742
8144
9547
0949
2351
3753
5155
6557
7959
9362
0764
2166
3568
4970
6372
7774
9177
0579
1981
3383
4785
61
Basin To Ca_N
12
Hourly region-to-region transfersBasin To Ca_S
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
122
043
965
887
710
9613
1515
3417
5319
7221
9124
1026
2928
4830
6732
8635
0537
2439
4341
6243
8146
0048
1950
3852
5754
7656
9559
1461
3363
5265
7167
9070
0972
2874
4776
6678
8581
0483
2385
42
Basin To Ca_S
13
Hourly region-to-region transfersCa_N To Ca_S
-4000
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
122
043
965
887
710
9613
1515
3417
5319
7221
9124
1026
2928
4830
6732
8635
0537
2439
4341
6243
8146
0048
1950
3852
5754
7656
9559
1461
3363
5265
7167
9070
0972
2874
4776
6678
8581
0483
2385
42
Ca_N To Ca_S
14
Hourly region-to-region transfersCanada To NWUS
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
122
043
965
887
710
9613
1515
3417
5319
7221
9124
1026
2928
4830
6732
8635
0537
2439
4341
6243
8146
0048
1950
3852
5754
7656
9559
1461
3363
5265
7167
9070
0972
2874
4776
6678
8581
0483
2385
42
Canada To NWUS
15
Hourly region-to-region transfersNWUS To Basin
-4000
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
122
043
965
887
710
9613
1515
3417
5319
7221
9124
1026
2928
4830
6732
8635
0537
2439
4341
6243
8146
0048
1950
3852
5754
7656
9559
1461
3363
5265
7167
9070
0972
2874
4776
6678
8581
0483
2385
42
NWUS To Basin
16
Hourly region-to-region transfersNWUS To Ca_N
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
122
043
965
887
710
9613
1515
3417
5319
7221
9124
1026
2928
4830
6732
8635
0537
2439
4341
6243
8146
0048
1950
3852
5754
7656
9559
1461
3363
5265
7167
9070
0972
2874
4776
6678
8581
0483
2385
42
NWUS To Ca_N
17
Hourly region-to-region transfersNWUS To Ca_S
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
122
043
965
887
710
9613
1515
3417
5319
7221
9124
1026
2928
4830
6732
8635
0537
2439
4341
6243
8146
0048
1950
3852
5754
7656
9559
1461
3363
5265
7167
9070
0972
2874
4776
6678
8581
0483
2385
42
NWUS To Ca_S
18
Hourly region-to-region transfersRMPA To AZNMNV
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
121
542
964
385
710
7112
8514
9917
1319
2721
4123
5525
6927
8329
9732
1134
2536
3938
5340
6742
8144
9547
0949
2351
3753
5155
6557
7959
9362
0764
2166
3568
4970
6372
7774
9177
0579
1981
3383
4785
61
RMPA To AZNMNV
19
Hourly region-to-region transfersRMPA To Basin
-3000
-2500
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
122
043
965
887
710
9613
1515
3417
5319
7221
9124
1026
2928
4830
6732
8635
0537
2439
4341
6243
8146
0048
1950
3852
5754
7656
9559
1461
3363
5265
7167
9070
0972
2874
4776
6678
8581
0483
2385
42
RMPA To Basin
20
Hourly region-to-region transfersCalifornia Net Export
Hours of net export = 6053 hrs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
-900
-800
-700
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
Net Export from California - Average by Month
aMW
Questions or thoughts on this study?