Q1 2017 Performance Update Investors and analysts presentation Senvion S.A. 11 th May 2017 Picture new turbines/ products/ flagship product
Q1 2017 Performance Update Investors and analysts presentation
Senvion S.A.
11th May 2017
Picture new turbines/ products/ flagship product
1
Disclaimer
This presentation (the “Presentation”) has been prepared by Senvion S.A. (“Senvion” and together with its subsidiaries, “we,” “us” or the “Group”)
solely for informational purposes and has not been independently verified, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given
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underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Senvion, nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any
investment decision with respect to securities of Senvion or any other company.
Certain statements in this Presentation are forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks,
uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking
statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial consequences of the plans and events
described herein. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors (including, but not
limited to, future global economic conditions, changed market conditions affecting the wind industry, intense competition in the markets in which the
Group operates, costs of compliance with applicable laws, regulations and standards, diverse political, legal, economic and other conditions
affecting the Group’s markets, and other factors beyond the control of the Group). Neither Senvion nor any of its respective directors, officers,
employees, advisors, or any other person is under any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak of the date of this
Presentation. Statements contained in this Presentation regarding past trends or events should not be taken as a representation that such trends or
events will continue in the future. In particular, no statements in this Presentation should be construed as concrete guidance as to the results of
operations, cash-flows, balance sheet data or any non-financial metrics as of or for the financial year ending December 31, 2016 or any subsequent
financial period.
Certain financial data included in the presentation consists of “non-IFRS financial measures”. These non-IFRS financial measures may not be
comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies, nor should they be construed as an alternative to financial measures
determined in accordance with IFRS. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any non-IFRS financial measures and ratios included herein.
This Presentation does not constitute or contain any investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice.
Due to rounding, numbers presented through out this and other documents may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not
precisely reflect the absolute figures.
2
Guidance 4
Agenda
Key highlights 1
Orders and installations 2
Financial results 3
Key takeaways 5
Key highlights
Senvion MM turbines in Scotland, UK
1
4
Revenues at €392mn, growth of 7.7% yoy
Adj. EBITDA of €21mn with a margin of 5.5%
Lower opex run rate already visible
Working capital at (0.2%) despite higher inventory in
anticipation of 300 MW Chile order
Firm order intake of €353mn, 31% higher yoy
Two orders from new markets – Czech Republic 26
MW and Ireland 11 MW
In addition, €300mn offshore order closed in May 2017
2MW product portfolio strengthened with 2.3M124 and
2.4M114 launches in India
35% interest savings achieved in recently completed
refinancing – annual savings of €14mn
Q1 2017 – Key highlights at a glance
Financial
highlights
Orders
Product
portfolio
Refinancing
5
Upgraded 2MW modular platform 2.xM – Larger rotors for the low wind low cost model
+4.0%
+3.6%
2MW platform expanded as announced in
strategy update presentation on March 17
Modular platform to deliver cost competitive,
reliable product variants
Climate technology allowing to achieve
constant yield at high temperatures (up to
+50°C)
Aerodynamically optimized rotor blade
design; four rotor sizes available
Towers with hub heights from 90 meters up to
120 meters
More product announcements in Senvion pipeline
Note: Improvement in annual energy production (AEP) at 6.5m/s
AEP improvement
New 2MW platform: significant AEP improvement
6
Issuance of New €400mn Green High Yield
Bond
New €400mn green senior secured high yield bond
priced at 3.875% on April 27, 2017 – Proceeds
used to repay existing bond
4x oversubscribed
The maturity will be 5.5 years until November 2022
with a 2 year non-call period
Refinancing completed on 5th May
Refinancing successfully completed in May 2017 Annual savings of €14mn
Transaction summary
42% lower interest rate
New interest rate at 3.875% v/s
6.625%
Maturity extended
From 2020 to 2022
Net 35% reduction in cash interest cost achieved
Amendment and extension of existing
bonding lines and credit facility
€825mn non fund based bonding lines and €125m
revolving credit facility extended to 2022
33% over subscription
16 leading international financial institutions
including some new key international relationship
banks such as BNP, Natixis and RBI
50 bps reduction in interest costs
across both LG facility and revolving
credit facility
Maturity extended to 2022
Markets and orders Strengthened international footprint
Senvion turbine installation in Canada
2
8
Recent industry developments Move towards auction continues
Americas
Canada
Alberta launches Renewable
Electricity Program with a target of 5
GW by 2030 through rolling auction
process
In Saskatchewan, SaskPower is
targeting 1.6 GW renewable power
between 2019-2030
Argentina
Government planning new tender in
2017 to reach 20% renewable power
supply by 2025
Chile
Government scales back tender size
as more clients contract power
directly with generators
1
2
3
EMEA
Germany
Results from first offshore tender is out
– 1.5 GW awarded with subsidy free bid
800 MW Onshore tender results to be
announced by 16th May
Spain
2 GW tender on 17th May
Installation by 2019
France
3 GW onshore wind tender with first
auction scheduled in Dec 2017
French wind lobbying for 2 GW floating
tender early next year
Winners of 3rd French Offshore tender
for c.1.2GW to be announced by Q3 17
4
5
6
Recent developments
Mature markets New markets
1
2
3
4
5
6
APAC
India
Government planning new 4 GW tender
after success of earlier 1 GW tender
Australia
ACT Government changed the
renewable energy target to 100% by
2020 to be achieved by reverse
auctions
7
8
7
8
Senvion ready with new and improved portfolio to compete in auctions
9
Note: Figures prior Dec 15 relate to Senvion GmbH
1. Net Firm orders are confirmed orders minus PoC revenues already booked.
2. Conditional orders are signed contracts where either building permit and/or grid connection and/or financing is missing.
1.6
1.8
1.9
1.7
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.5
2.01.7
2.3
2.1
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.5
1.3
1.3
Q1 15 3.7
Q2 15 3.7
Q3 15 3.4
Q4 15 3.4
Q1 16 3.6
Q2 16 3.5
Q3 16 3.4
Q4 16 3.0
Q1 17 2.9
Order book of €5.2bn Solid order book including large international orders
Net firm orders at €1.3bn
Order book (€bn) Q1 2017 split by geography
148
Offshore
Others
France
Canada
UK
Germany
Q1 17
1,318
12
265
356
274
263
1.5
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.3
5.6
5.6
5.4
5.4
5.6
5.2
5.3
Service orders Total order book Net firm orders1 Conditional orders2
5.5
€mn
5.2
Onshore
€1.04bn
10
Order intake Continues to be strong
Further order wins in Q2
Firm WTG order intake (€mn)1
Offshore order of 203 MW, to be installed by 2019
45 MW order in Belgium
Key orders in Q1
3x orders in Germany compared to Q1 CY16
151 MW order in UK with Banks Renewable
Orders in new markets – 37 MW
Czech Republic – 26 MW
Ireland 11 MW
In addition, 216 MW frame agreement signed in Portugal
122147 149
58
112114
73
11336
80
64 96
64
34
169
61
25
3954
459
353
10
+31%
269
21
Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17
16
284 292
Germany UK Others France Canada
Pipeline continues to be strong; forecasted €2bn firm order intake in CY17 on track
11
Business segment with
high growth potential and
attractive margins
Leading service tenor in
the industry with more than
10 years
– GW under service
growing by 12%, while
average contract tenors
growing by 7%
Service renewal rate at
>80%2 in December 2016
12.112.111.911.410.810.2
+12.1%
Mar-17 Dec-16 Sep-16 Jun-16 Mar-16 Dec-15
Continuously improving service business Improving KPIs
GW under service
Average duration of service contracts1 (years)
Note: 1. Only includes active contracts and does not include contracts not yet initiated; 2) Average renewal rate of service contracts for last 3 years based on semi-annual data.
10.910.710.510.410.210.2
+6.9%
Mar-17 Dec-16 Sep-16 Jun-16 Mar-16 Dec-15
Service revenue (€mn)
72.672.865.565.472.666.1
Mar-16 Mar-17 Dec-16 Sep-16 Jun-16 Dec-15
12
Senvion installations Stable run rate
Installations (MW)
Stable quarterly
installations compared to
last year
Installations mainly driven
by Germany, UK and
Offshore projects
Similar installation cycle
expected in 2017
Q1 is usually the softest
quarter
373 324
275
485
218262
273
666
351
112
154
+1.0%
CY 16
1,762
0
CY 15
1,746
0
16
Annual Installation Quarterly installations
46
12049
7223
31
18
5649
+1.0%
Q1 17 Q1 16
241
4
243
12
Others (combined) Offshore UK France Australia Canada Germany
Financial results
Senvion Bald Hills Wind Farm in Australia
3
14
Key highlights Performance in line with last year
Note: Q1 2016 financials are adjusted for IPO related costs, interest on shareholder loans and PPA, Q1 2017 financials are adjusted for PPA effects
Q1 Revenues grew
by c.8%
Adj. EBITDA in line with
last year without FX
income of €5mn in Q1
CY16
Cash level of €327mn
Net debt level of €86mn,
due to inventory build up
in anticipation of 300 MW
Chile order installation in
H2 2017
Refinancing of high yield
bond complete – Annual
savings of €14mn
(€mn)
Adj.
Q1 CY16
Adj.
Q1 CY17
Revenue 364 392
Gross profits 122 123
Gross margin % 33.4% 31.5%
Adjusted EBITDA 27 21
Adjusted EBITDA % 7.5% 5.5%
Adjusted EBIT 14 5
Adjusted EBIT % 3.8% 1.2%
Adjusted PAT 1 1
Net working capital % (6.4%) (0.2%)
Cash on hand 439 327
Net Debt / (Cash) (25) 86
15
Revenue development
Onshore revenues (€mn)
227263(14%)
Onshore revenues breakdown (€mn)
Service revenues (€mn)
7373
0%
Offshore revenues (€mn)
91
29
+219%
Other revenues at €0.8mn & €1.8mn for Q1 2016 & Q1 2017 respectively
212241 22
10
0
6
Europe (€mn) Americas (€mn) Asia-Pacific (€mn)
Mainly due to lower revenues in
Other markets (Portugal)
Includes revenues from Canada Includes revenues from Australia
Q1 16 Q1 17 Q1 16 Q1 17 Q1 16 Q1 17
Q1 16 Q1 17 Q1 16 Q1 17 Q1 16 Q1 17
16
Additional key performance metrics Opex run rate reduction already visible
Material cost development (€mn)
Cost breakdown (€mn)
Higher gross margin due to higher
service revenues component
391352
1,6181,563
Q1 17
31.5%
Q1 16
33.4%
CY16
28.0%
PF Adj CY15
28.5%
Gross margin Adj. COGS
62 66 64 64 71
47 45 44 53 39
1820127
-6%
Q1 17
135
17
Q4 16 Q3 16
121
13
Q2 16
131
Q1 16
122
14
OPEX D&A Personnel
Note: Financials adjusted for PPA, offshore provisions, IPO related costs.
Senvion MOVE Forward
project is underway, first
effects of opex reduction
already visible
Fixed costs run rate likely to
reduce further by Q4
Employee costs also include
costs from Euros and
Kenersys acquisition
17
Breakup of total Capex and R&D Accretive capex investments to accelerate profitable growth
R&D expenditure (€mn)
3.1% 3.1%
Total intangible and tangible capex1 (€mn)
Higher Capex expected for full year
compared to 2016 due to new market
entries and new product
announcements
2.7% 1.4%
45 45
22 23
1311
6
19
PF adj CY15
67
Q1 17 Q1 16 CY16
68
18
7
Key R&D spending focused on
acceleration of 3.4M140, 3.6M140
development and new product
enhancements
Note: 1. Excluding capitalised R&D.
[%] Capex over sales
[%] R&D over sales Expensed
10
60
30
15
CY16 PF adj CY15 Q1 16 Q1 17
Capitalised
2.8% 3.7%
4.9% 4.9%
18
Net working capital Working capital continues to be in a low range
8.3%
12.1%
NWC1 % of trailing 12 months revenue Net working capital
160
213
(5)
Dec-16
(83)
Sep-16
(119)
Jun-16
(57)
Mar-16
(132)
Dec-15
(101)
Mar-15 Mar-14
12.1%
Mar 17
Net working capital1 evolution (€mn)
Efficient working capital
management
Working capital
consistently within
the guided range
Current working capital
includes ~€100mn of
inventory for Chilean
projects, representing
c.5% of the sales
(6.4%)
8.3%
(4.7%)
Senvion GmbH Senvion S.A.
Note: 1. Net working capital defined as current assets (adjusted for liquid funds and assets of disposal Group classified as held for sale) minus total current liabilities (adjusted
for provisions, liabilities of disposal Group classified as held for sale and short-term loans and current portion of long-term loans).
(6.4%) (5.8%)
(0.2%) (2.7%) (3.7%)
19
Net leverage of 0.4x, in line with our medium term target of <1x
Senvion S.A. Cash flow summary
Senvion
S.A.
Senvion
S.A.
Senvion
GmbH
Senvion
S.A.
(€mn, unaudited) Q1 CY16 Q1 CY17 CY15 CY16
Cash flows from operating activities 41 (79) 330 138
Cash flows from investing activities (19) (30) (257) (105)
Free Cash Flow 23 (109) 74 32
Cash flows from financing activities (2) (5) (6) (12)
Total Net Cash Flow 21 (114) 68 20
Guidance
Senvion MM turbine in France
4
21 Note: 1. Potential delays in the conversion of the 300 MW Chile order beyond couple of months may lead to a partial (or full) shift of revenues and corresponding EBITDA to
2018. The exact impact on financials can be ascertained once the order becomes firm.
Senvion 2017 guidance and 2019 targets Achieving profitable growth
2016 2017
2019
2019
Revenue
2019 targets 2016 2017 Guidance
Transition phase Growth phase
2016 2017
€2.21bn €2.0-2.1bn1 €2.6–2.7bn
Firm Order
intake
€1.3bn
€2.0bn+
Min 1.0x
On-shore Book to Bill
Adj. EBITDA
Margin
2016 2017
€206mn
9.3% ~8.0–8.5%1
~9.5%-10.5%
2019
(Absolute adj EBITDA)
2019 2016 2017
2016 2017
2019 2016 2017
Key takeaways
Âncora Wind Farm in Portugal
5
23
Key takeaways
Order intake growing with a very heavy pipeline for 2017
MOVE FORWARD – first effects already visible
Service business continues to excel
2MW platform expanded, more product variants in pipeline 2
Q1 performance in line with guidance 1
5
3
4
Appendix
MM tubines in France
25
Financial Calendar 2017
Event Date
Annual Results 2016 March 16, 2017
Q1 2017 results May 11, 2017
Annual General Meeting May 31, 2017
Q2 2017 results August 11, 2017
Q3 2017 results November 10, 2017
Financial calendar
Your Investor Relations Team:
Dhaval Vakil
Vice President – Capital Markets and M&A
Phone UK: +44 20 7034 7992
Mobile: +44 7788390185
Email: [email protected]
Anja Siehler
Sr. Manager Capital Markets
Phone Lux: +352 26 00 5285
Mobile: +49 152 21817093
Email: [email protected]
For general queries: [email protected]
26
Income statement Q1 2017 Bridge between reported and adjusted earnings
Income Statement
€mn Q1 CY17 Adjustments Adj. Q1 CY17
Revenue 392 392
Total performance 515 515
Material expenses (391) (391)
Gross profit 123 123
Gross margin % 31.5% 31.5%
Other operating income 9 9
Personnel expenses (71) (71)
Other operating expenses (39) (39)
FX gain/loss (0) (0)
EBITDA 21 21
EBITDA % 5.5% 5.5%
Depreciation & Amortisation (42) 26 (17)
EBIT (21) 5
EBIT% (5.3%) 1.2%
Extraordinary expenses (33) 33 0
Net interest (12) (12)
Taxes 16 (8) 8
Net Profit from continued ops (49) 1
PAT % (12.6%) 0.4%
Key adjustments
1
3
includes positive PPA
charge of €7.6mn
Includes provision for
restructuring expenses for
closing factories in
Germany
Includes PPA of €25.6mn
3
1
2
2
27
Income statement Senvion S.A. Senvion S.A. Senvion S.A.
(€mn, unaudited) Adj. CY16 Adj. Q1 CY16 Adj. Q1 CY17
Revenues 2,210 364 392
Capitalized development expenses 45 11 13
Changes in finished goods and WIP 18 98 110
Total performance 2,237 472 515
Material expenses / services obtained (1,618) (351) (391)
Gross profit 619 122 123
Gross margin % 28.0% 33.4% 31.5%
Other operating income 33 9 9
Personnel expenses (256) (62) (71)
Other operating expenses (189) (47) (39)
Foreign exchange gain/loss (2) 5 (0)
Adj. EBITDA 206 27 21
Adj. EBITDA % 9.3% 7.5% 5.5%
Depreciation & Amortization (64) (14) (17)
Adj. EBIT 142 14 5
Adj. EBIT % 6.4% 3.8% 1.2%
Extraordinary expenses 0 0 0
Net interest (int cost – int income) (56) (14) (12)
Taxes (5) 2 8
Adj Net Profit from cont. operations 81 1 1
PAT % 3.7% 0.3% 0.4%
Senvion S.A. Income statement
28
Assets
(€mn) Mar-16 Dec -16 Mar-17
Liquid Funds 439 441 327
Current Assets (excluding liquid funds) 869 814 865
Receivables 188 257 213
Inventories 543 430 530
Others 138 128 122
Property, plant & equipment 193 222 226
Goodwill and other intangible assets 667 604 585
Other Non current assets 19 19 21
Total 2,188 2,101 2,023
Liabilities
(€mn) Mar-16 Dec-16 Mar-17
Loans (short term and long term) 15 15 12
Current liabilities (excluding provisions and short term loans) 1,001 897 871
Advance payments received 354 189 187
Trade payables 431 431 404
Gross amount due to customers for contract work as a liability 47 122 126
Others 169 155 154
Provisions 222 289 314
Other liabilities 566 566 548
Total equity capital 384 334 278
Total 2,188 2,101 2,023
Senvion S.A. Balance sheet
Note: Other liabilities include high yield bond
29
Senvion S.A. Cash flow summary
Senvion
S.A.
Senvion
S.A.
Senvion
S.A.
(€mn) CY16 Q1 CY16 Q1 CY17
Result before income taxes (89) (42) (65)
Adjustments for
Depreciation on property, plant and equipment, amortization of intangible assets and write-offs on
financial assets 167 39 42
Interest income (1) (1) (1)
Interest expenses 64 23 12
Increase/decrease in provisions 71 5 25
Profit/loss from sales of property, plant and equipment, intangible and other long-term assets 0 0
Change in working capital (23) 22 (86)
Interest received 1 1 1
Interest paid (40) (5) (4)
Income tax paid/received (12) (1) (3)
Cash flow from operating activities 138 41 (79)
Cash receipts from the sale of property, plant and equipment, intangible and other long-term assets 3 2 3
Cash payments for the purchase of intangible assets (50) (11) (14)
Cash payments from purchase of property, plant and equipment and other long-term assets (58) (10) (19)
Cash payments from loans granted to related parties 0 0 0
Loss of control in subsidiary from change in ownership interest 0 0 0
Cash flow from investing activities (105) (19) (30)
Acquisition of treasury shares (7) 0 (4)
Cash repayments of amounts borrowed (5) (2) (1)
Cash flow from financing activities (12) (2) (5)
Increase/decrease in cash and cash equivalents 20 21 (114)
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period 413 413 434
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 434 434 320
Liquid funds 441 439 327
Short-term bank liabilities (8) (6) (7)
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 434 434 320
30
Overview of PPA Adjustments
Expected yearly P&L effects1 (€mn)
Notes:
1. Including deferred tax impacts and is not the complete schedule; assumed group tax rate of 29.935% for calculations.
Source: Company information; Deloitte analysis.
75
65
28
28
27
Net PPA booked in CY17 (€mn)
18
Q1 17
Dec-17e
Dec-18e
Dec-19e
Dec-20e
Dec-16
CY17
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