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Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor Ibrahim Abubakar Director, Institute for Global Health University College London London
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Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Sep 12, 2019

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Page 1: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Programmatic options and

challenges for LTBI diagnosis and

treatment in low and high TB

burden settings

Professor Ibrahim Abubakar

Director, Institute for Global Health

University College London

London

Page 2: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Outline

• Programmatic cascade

• Diagnostic options

• Diagnostic issues

• Diagnostic challenges

• Treatment evidence

• Treatment regimen

• Treatment challenges issues

• Programmatic challenges

Page 3: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Programmatic cascade

Supporting adherence

Training Community engagement and supporting patients

Adverse event management

Organise and offer treatment

Which regimen Trained workforce Supply and stock Supporting uptake

Offer testing where relevant

Testing options: TST vs IGRA and if IGRA type

Supply of reagents, training Quality Assurance

Identify and approach the population

Stakeholder buy-in & communication

Who: Risk Groups, HIV, Kids

How: Community engagement, registers

Clear guidance and training of staff

Monito

ring a

nd e

valu

atio

n

Page 4: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Diagnostic test options

Tuberculin Skin Test

What next?

1. Ctb test: soon

2. Other technologies: Trancriptomics, Proteomics, Metabolomics

Still primarily research tools with no programmatic relevance

4th Gen

Page 5: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

5

IGRA

Diel

Harstad

Kik,TSpotTB

Lee

Leung

Mahomed

Shanaube

Yang

TST

Diel

Harstad

Kik

Lee

Leung

Mahomed

Shanaube

Yang

Author

2010

2010

2010

2009

2010

2011

2013

2013

2010

2010

2010

2009

2010

2011

2013

2013

Year

Germany

Norway

Netherlands

Taiwan

China

South Africa

Zambia

Taiwan

Germany

Norway

Netherlands

Taiwan

China

South Africa

Zambia

Taiwan

Country

A

A

A

A

A

B

B

A

A

A

A

A

A

B

B

A

Country_AB

1.00 (1.00, 1.00)

1.00 (0.99, 1.00)

0.98 (0.94, 1.00)

0.88 (0.64, 0.99)

0.99 (0.94, 1.00)

0.99 (0.99, 1.00)

0.97 (0.95, 0.98)

1.00 (1.00, 1.00)

0.99 (0.98, 0.99)

1.00 (0.99, 1.00)

1.00 (0.93, 1.00)

0.92 (0.62, 1.00)

0.96 (0.91, 0.99)

0.99 (0.99, 1.00)

0.97 (0.95, 0.98)

1.00 (0.99, 1.00)

NPV (95% CI)

1.00 (1.00, 1.00)

1.00 (0.99, 1.00)

0.98 (0.94, 1.00)

0.88 (0.64, 0.99)

0.99 (0.94, 1.00)

0.99 (0.99, 1.00)

0.97 (0.95, 0.98)

1.00 (1.00, 1.00)

0.99 (0.98, 0.99)

1.00 (0.99, 1.00)

1.00 (0.93, 1.00)

0.92 (0.62, 1.00)

0.96 (0.91, 0.99)

0.99 (0.99, 1.00)

0.97 (0.95, 0.98)

1.00 (0.99, 1.00)

NPV (95% CI)

0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1

NPV of IGRA and TST in studies that

assessed both tests

TST

IGRA IGRA

Diel

Harstad

Kik,TSpotTB

Lee

Leung

Mahomed

Shanaube

Yang

TST

Diel

Harstad

Kik

Lee

Leung

Mahomed

Shanaube

Yang

Author

2010

2010

2010

2009

2010

2011

2013

2013

2010

2010

2010

2009

2010

2011

2013

2013

Year

Germany

Norway

Netherlands

Taiwan

China

South Africa

Zambia

Taiwan

Germany

Norway

Netherlands

Taiwan

China

South Africa

Zambia

Taiwan

Country

A

A

A

A

A

B

B

A

A

A

A

A

A

B

B

A

Country_AB

0.13 (0.08, 0.19)

0.03 (0.01, 0.05)

0.03 (0.03, 0.03)

0.00 (0.00, 0.22)

0.08 (0.04, 0.13)

0.01 (0.01, 0.02)

0.05 (0.03, 0.07)

0.05 (0.01, 0.12)

0.05 (0.02, 0.09)

0.02 (0.01, 0.07)

0.03 (0.03, 0.03)

0.05 (0.00, 0.25)

0.07 (0.03, 0.12)

0.01 (0.01, 0.02)

0.06 (0.04, 0.08)

0.03 (0.01, 0.07)

PPV (95% CI)

0.13 (0.08, 0.19)

0.03 (0.01, 0.05)

0.03 (0.03, 0.03)

0.00 (0.00, 0.22)

0.08 (0.04, 0.13)

0.01 (0.01, 0.02)

0.05 (0.03, 0.07)

0.05 (0.01, 0.12)

0.05 (0.02, 0.09)

0.02 (0.01, 0.07)

0.03 (0.03, 0.03)

0.05 (0.00, 0.25)

0.07 (0.03, 0.12)

0.01 (0.01, 0.02)

0.06 (0.04, 0.08)

0.03 (0.01, 0.07)

PPV (95% CI)

0 .02 .04 .06 .08 .1 .12 .14 .16 .18 .2 .22.22 .24 .26

PPV of IGRA and TST in studies that

assessed both tests

TST

IGRA

Low PPV

High and comparable NPV

IGRA has greater specificity

Cant distinguish remote and recent infection

Diagnostic issues: Positive and Negative Predictive Values

Page 6: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Diagnostic issues: variability and

reversions/conversions

Variability of results

• TST – reader etc

• IGRA – range of issues

Reversion & conversions

• Recognised phenomonon

for both IGRA and TST

Pai CMR 2014

Pai IJTLD 2009 Aichelburg et al JID 2014

Page 7: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Diagnostic issues: Immunocompromised

and serial testing

Immunocompromised

• HIV

• Transplant

• Anti TNF alpha

• Silicosis

• Lower sensitivity than in

immunocompetent

Serial testing in HCW

• In low to moderate

incidence countries,

IGRA positivity less

prevalent than TST

• Higher false conversions

with IGRA than TST

• Zwerling et al Thorax 2012

• Ringhausen et al JOMT 2012

Page 8: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Diagnosis: Challenges

• Accuracy and predictive value

• Return to read TST test….and cascade

• Need for a laboratory for IGRAs

• Cost of tests to programmes

• Quality assurance

• Monitoring challenges

Page 9: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Treatment: evidence

• INH: 6 and 12 month

INH regimens are

effective

• Rifamycins as good

as INH; ? Better

adherence

• HIV: INH effective; no

difference by TST

• KIDS: INH works;

some interaction by

age

KIDS HIV

Rifamycins INH

Page 10: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

• Network meta-analysis

approach

• 53 trials

Page 11: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Recommended regimen

High burden

countries

• HIV (36 months

IPT conditional)

Page 12: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Challenges

• Adverse events: Monitoring – limited evidence

• Drug resistance: No difference in resistance

• Adherence: certain factors increase risk

• Ethics

• Cost effectiveness

• Monitoring and evaluation

• Wider programmatic consideration of the full

cascade

Page 13: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Challenges

High burden resource constraint

settings

• Programme management and

collaboration

• Programmatic work load

• HCW workload

• Tuberculin and drug sourcing,

stock management and

distribution

• Algorithms/variation

• Link from national programmes to

regions/provinces and districts

• Competing for limited resources

• Enrolling participants/uptake

• Accessing vulnerable groups

• Confidentiality in contact tracing

• Supporting adherence

• Rifapentine approval

• Monitoring adverse events

• Monitoring TB/HIV and kids LTBI

• Role of TST in screening

• Perception of drug resistance risk

• Provider opinion

• No MDR TB regimen

Low burden resource rich settings

• Predictive value of IGRAs

• Cost effectiveness

• Selection of risk groups: Know

your epidemiology - migrants,

indigenous populations, prisons

Page 14: Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and ... · Programmatic options and challenges for LTBI diagnosis and treatment in low and high TB burden settings Professor

Acknowledgements

UCL Institute for Global Health

• Helen Stagg

• Lele Rangaka

Public Health England

• Dominik Zenner

• Ross Harris

KNCV

• Sandra Kik