[email protected]; Twitter: adrianvanzyl Overview of Tech and Venture Ecosystem in SE Asia Dr Adrian Vanzyl Ardent Capital [email protected] @adrianvanzyl
Oct 17, 2014
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Overview of Tech and Venture Ecosystem in SE Asia
Dr Adrian VanzylArdent Capital
[email protected]@adrianvanzyl
[email protected]; Twitter: adrianvanzyl
Who is Ardent? An “Operator VC”
• A successful operating company, focused on capturing a large share of the ecommerce value chain in Southeast Asia
• We do so by operating (majority ownership) or investing (minority ownership)
• Companies are deeply synergistic, and all cooperate with each other for mutual benefit
• Existing bets in B2B (aCommerce), B2C (WhatsNew), Sourcing & E-Retail
• A portfolio of seven companies, 350+ new jobs created
• A track record of significant current success, including aCommerce. ROI in excess of 40%
• Headquartered in Bangkok, investments across all of SEA
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Active Investor, bringing money into the region
Ardent itself has investment from Recruit, GMO and Siemer and has co-invested with these companies
JAPAN
USA
INDONESIA
MALAYSIA
SINGAPORE
AUSTRALIA
THAILAND
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aCommerce.asia – An example web 1.0 investment
Phone Orders
Storage Picking
Packing
Online Orders Order Processing
Order Documentation
Order Checking
Quality Control
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About Me
• Dr Adrian Vanzyl• Based in Bangkok, previously in San Francisco & Australia• Ardent Capital, Bangkok - CEO and Co-Founder
– Operator VC. Investments include aCommerce.asia, WhatsNew.asia, PicoCandy
• Blumberg Capital, San Francisco - multiple roles over 12 years (CTO & CEO of two portfolio companies, LP, Advisor)
– Current fund $150M. Investments include Hootsuite, DoubleVerify, Nutanix
• SLI-Systems, San Francisco - Co-Founder, Board Member– NZX listed. Current Q2 market cap $112M
• LinkExchange, San Francisco - VP Business Development– Sold to Microsoft for $260M
• LookSmart, San Francisco – CTO– IPO NASDAQ. Peak market cap of $3.5B
• Sausage Software, Melbourne AU - CTO and Board Member– First internet IPO in AU. Peak market cap $1.5B
MD degree MB BS Hons I Monash University, Australia
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• Thailand/Indonesia/Malaysia?– Maybe– Some angel money; limited experience– Almost impossible to raise > $2M
• Singapore– Maybe– Lots of money, dozens of funds– Highly competitive– Many strings attached – must incorporate in SG, have key execs in SG
• Japan– Maybe– Lots of money, dozens of funds– Language and cultural barriers– Highly complex due diligence
• So what is the solution?– We need more venture funds in the region, outside of Singapore!
How hard is it to raise venture capital in SEA?
Where does a Thai/Indonesian/Malaysian entrepreneur go for money?
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Total Addressable Market. Why S.E. Asia?
Sustainable GDP per capita growth (Avg. 5-6%)
Rising disposable income
Growing mobile broadband penetration
Accelerating smartphone penetration
Increasing Credit Card penetration
Improving logistics and infrastructure
Social is everything – Facebook, LINE
Over $17B of branded and direct to consumer ecommerce coming into SEA in next 3 years
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SEA Basic Data
Unit ID SG PH VN TH MY China US
Population M 248 5.2 95 88 67.5 28.9 1350 315
# Online M 75 3.9 33 31 32 18 513 246
% Online % 30% 74% 34% 35% 46% 63% 38% 79%
# Social Media Users # 66 3.6 38 24 27 17 NA 167.8
# E-commerce Shoppers # 5.6 1.8 5.8 13.2 14.5 10.5 164 184
E-commerce Shoppers % 7.5% 46% 18% 42% 45% 58% 32% 75%
Retail Sales USD B 134 31 34 108 139 51 2,380 4,700
B2C E-commerce Market USD B 0.9 1.1 1 0.5 1.1 0.7 190 343
E-commerce % of Retail % 0.7% 3.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 8% 9%
Spend Per Spender USD 252 917 172 42 365 68 726 1,864
Source: UBS Research, Nielsen, Comscore, PWC HK, ATKearny, researchandmarkets.com, Dailysocial, smu.edu.sg, E-commerce.org.sg
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Southeast Asia Online Landscape
162 millionActive Social
Network Users
Source: Global Digital Statistics 2014
SOUTHEASTASIA
ONLINESNAPSHOT
155 million Internet
Users
630 millionTotal Population
689 millionActive Mobile Subscriptions
109%Mobile
Penetration
26% Social Network
Penetration
25% Internet
Penetration
45:55 Urban: Rural
93%Mobile
Penetration
26% Social Network
Penetration
35% Internet
Penetration
52:48 Urban: Rural
GLOBALONLINE
SNAPSHOT
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Internet Penetration is Exploding
24M
31M
18M
4M
55M
34M
194MNew internet
users
360MInternet users
Source: We are Social, Accenture
2010 2020
62% Est. internet penetration
25% 2010 internet penetration
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Epicenter Outside US
Structural shift towards internet trend in Asia Pacific (>40%)US is no longer the epicenter of internet usage
1996 20120%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
66%
13%
34%
87%
Internet Usage
US Outside US
Source: UBS, comScore Media Metrix
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NORTH AMERICA
SOUTH AMERICA
EUROPE
OCEANIA
AFRICA
ASIA
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
19%
17%
16%
17%
38%
37%
Mobile Usage, In Terms of Page Views, as % of Web Usage (2014)
Asia is amongst the top mobile device users in the world
Source: Mary Meeker, Code Conference. StatCounter, 5/14.
Global Average
Mobile Device Users
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SEA Mobile Penetration
All major SEA countries are above the global average in mobile penetration
Source: Bain&Company
Higher Mobile
Penetration
Singapore 144%Vietnam 133%Malaysia 122%Thailand 110%
SEA Average
Philippines 92%Indonesia 90%
Global Average
China 63%
Country | Penetration
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Smartphone Penetration in SEA (2013)
Source: TigerMine Research
Credit card usage by country
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
15%
23%
49%
80%
87%
SmartphoneFeature Phone
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Comparative Study: Thailand vs China
Thailand requires 1.5 vs 3 years to reach the same online penetration level as China’s post 3G
20032004
20052006
20072008
20092010
20112012
20132014
20152016
20172018
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
Internet Penetration
Internet penetration in ChinaInternet penetration in Thailand
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Smartphone penetration
Smartphone penetration in China
Smartphone penetration in Thailand
Source: CNNIC, UBS estimates
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Mobile Advertising Opportunities
North America Western Europe Asia-Pacific Worldwide $0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
Mobile Ad Spending per Mobile Internet User
20122016
High discrepancy between Mobile Ad Spending per User and Actual mobile usage in Asia-Pacific, specifically in SEA
Source: eMarketer, WeAreSocial
101% 129% 109% 93% Mobile North America Western Europe Southeast Asia Worldwide Penetration
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Online Advertising
SEA online shoppers are very responsive upon seeing online ads
Source: Google Southeast Asia Online Shopper Study
Thailand
Indonesia
Philippines
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
68%
79%
70%
73%
85%
79%
Used info from ads when researching product Took direct action from ads
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
22000
24000
26000

Furniture & Floor Cover-ings
Sports & Leisure Equipment
Home & Garden Products
Books, News & Stationery
Apparel, Accesories & Luxury Goods
Music, Video & Enter-tainment Software
Food & Grocery
Electrical & Electronics
Year
US$
Bill
ions
7.1
23.5
13.5
3.52.5
Thailand, Philippines, & Indonesia Online Retail is Growing Fast!Online Retail Sales Forecast 2005 – 2015 – Source ICD Research
Ecommerce is Exploding
18.7
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Online Shopping Categories
Apparel has highest purchase frequency but lowest average spend when compared with Mobile Phones and Consumer Electronics
Thailand Indonesia Philippines0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
46%
51%
35%
21%
14%16%17%
19%
14%
% bought last month
Apparel Consumer Electronics Mobile Phones
Thailand Indonesia Philippines 0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Average Purchase Price (USD)
Apparel Consumer Electronics Mobile Phones
Source: Google Southeast Asia Online Shopper Study
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ASEAN Economic Community (AEC)
The ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) represents a tremendous opportunity to do business in Southeast Asia.
Free flow of goods
Free flow of services
Free flow of investment
Free flow of capital
What it means…
Free flow of skilled labor
What it comprised of…
More attractive to foreign direct investment
Easier to obtain/move capital across the region.
Easier to recruit talent from countries in Southeast Asia
Cheaper and easier to sell goods across borders
Easier to provide services and establish companies in the region
In 2015, Southeast Asia will transform into an integrated market, making it easier for businesses in Southeast Asia to expand
Source: ASEAN
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Leading Ecommerce Players in SE Asia
By Country B2C Marketplaces
B2C Multi-brand
Retailers
B2C Private Sales &
Daily deals
C2C Marketplaces & Classifieds
Singapore
Thailand
Indonesia
Philippines
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Biggest player in SEA - Who is Rocket Internet?
Rocket Internet has built over 100 companies in 50+ Countries
Started in 2007; headquartered in Berlin
75+ active independent portfolio companies
Employing over 27,000 people
Raised over $1B in 2012
30+ exits
$2.5B+ in revenue
7 companies currently in SE Asia
IndonesiaMalaysiaPhilippinesSingapore ThailandVietnam
IndonesiaMalaysiaPhilippinesThailandVietnam
Indonesia
IndonesiaMalaysiaSingaporeVietnam
IndonesiaMalaysiaSingapore ThailandVietnam
IndonesiaMalaysiaPhilippinesSingapore
MalaysiaPhilippines
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Started in Dec 2011
Adaptation of Zappos.com
1,300+ employed across the region
Annualized Gross Run Rate: €115mm
Well over $126M in funding
Spent over $23M in marketing in 2012
Rocket’s SEA bets
Started in Feb 2012
Adaptation of amazon.com and alibaba.com
900+ employed across the region
Annualized Gross Run Rate: €92M
Well over $185M in funding
INVESTORS:
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VC Firms: SEA Outside of SG
PHILIPPINES
Launch Garage: Seed ($30K)Ideaspace: Seed ($25K-$100K)Kickstart Ventures: Seed ($100K)Nest: Seed ($50K)Hatchd Digital: Seed ($100K)Narra Ventures: Seed/Growth ($500K - $1M)IPVI: Later Stage ($1M) ICCP: Later Stage PE firm ($1M and up)
INDONESIA
IDEOSOURCE: Seed ($500K)Mountain Ventures: Seed ( $250K)
Rebright: Seed ($200K)East Ventures: Seed ($50K)Grupara: Seed (Up to $50K)
VIETNAM
Silicon Valley Project: Seed ($10K-$20K) PVNI: Seed (Up to $250K)DFJ Vina Capital: A ($1M-$2M)IDG Ventures: Seed, A, B (Up to $2M)CyberAgent: Seed, A (Up to $1M)
THAILAND
True Incube: Seed ($15K)DTAC Accelerate: Seed ($15K-$50K)Ardent Capital: Seed ($100K-$200K)AIS Invent: Seed/ Series A (Up to $2M)
MALAYSIA
500 Durians: Seed ($50K-$100K)1337 Accelerator: Seed ($15K)The Star Accelerator: Seed (Up to $300K)Asia Venture Group: Seed (Up to $500K)Catcha Group: A, B, C, D (All Range)
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• Singapore’s two sovereign wealth funds (“SWF”s) have more money under management than the entire US venture capital industry ($315B vs 200B).
• SG’s National Research Foundation (“NRF”) provides dedicated Early Stage Venture Fund (ESVF) to support early stage ecosystems (Series A)
• First Round (2008) – Seeded S$50M total funds to five VC firms. VC companies must co-invest on a dollar-to-dollar basis. (Totaling S$100M fund size)
• There is a buy-out option offered to other LPs/GP
• These companies have collectively invested over S$38M in 24 start-ups from various technology sectors to-date.
• Second Round (2013) – S$50M to five VC companies on the same dollar-to-dollar co-invest basis
• NRF will take profit up to 5% ROR (simple interest) and share rest with LPs/GP
Singapore, INC
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• Generous support from the Singaporean government leads to large number of Singapore-based funds, but start-ups need to be based in Singapore to qualify for funding and often need to have key executives in Singapore
• Early Stage ($250K-$500K)
• Growth Stage ($1M up)
VC Firms: Singapore
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VC Firms: Singapore
• There are also bigger funds that are heavily tied to Singapore
• There are also many Japanese investors – both funds and corporates investing in SE Asia, some with offices in Singapore
Corporate venture capital fund of SingTel; investments must be strategically beneficial
Venture arm of Temasek, an investment company owned by the Government of Singapore
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Acquisitions and Exits
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
5
10
15
20
1
2
2
2
1 1 24 5 4
71
3
1
5
3
12
3
111
Vietnam
Thailand
Philippines
Malaysia
Indonesia
Singapore
Num
ber
of E
xits
2% 8%
13%
13%
19%
45%
Exits since 2005
Vietnam
Thailand
Philippines
Malaysia
Indonesia
Singapore
Singapore and Indonesia make
up 64% of the total tech exits since 2005
Source: SGE
Since 2005, there have been 53 tech acquisitions in Southeast Asia
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Running a fund in SEA - Challenges
• Number 1 issue – Talent– For your fund – key ‘on the ground’ staff– Company execs in portfolio
• Dealflow – how to see best deals• Legal – fund structure, investee structure• Tax – where are you liable? USA issues• Exits – who will buy? How do you get your money out?• Lack of transparency – legal/tax/operations• Lack of accurate data – no one knows the exact numbers
for anything!
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Do & Don’t
• Don’t just open a satellite office and fly in fly out.• Cultural nuances
– Six completely different cultures, not just one place
• Local ownership restrictions– BOI in Thailand, Nominee in Indonesia, Licenses in Vietnam
• Location of Holding Company– Either in Singapore or Hong Kong– Importance for legal, fund raising, exits
• Local partners– Tap into local expertise, dealflow, sanity checks
• DO – come into the region, invest, educate, support
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THANK YOU
Thailand Office946 Dusit Thani Building, 4th fl., Rama IV Rd. Bangrak, Bangkok, Thailand 10500
Indonesia OfficeAXA Tower 45th Floor, Jl. Prof. Dr. Satrio Kuningan Kav. 18, Kuningan City, Jakarta 12940
Thailand Distribution Center951/1 Soi Preeyanon, Sathupradit Road, Bangpongpang, Yannawa Bangkok 10120, Thailand
Adrian VanzylCEOArdent
[email protected]@adrianvanzyl
Singapore OfficeOxley Bizhub, 61 Ubi Road 1, #2-13 Oxley Bizhub, Singapore 408727