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Author: Mark Crowley School of Education Postgraduate Initial Teacher Training Allocation & recruitment
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Postgraduate Initial Teacher Training Allocation & … Initial Teacher Training Allocation & recruitment. ... By including TeachFirst in the overall totals, ... interview time, ...

Jul 02, 2018

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  • Author: Mark Crowley School of Education

    Postgraduate Initial Teacher Training Allocation & recruitment

  • Aims

    Review of recruitment and key changes to the census data.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-model

    Identifying need and the current Teacher Supply model

    Consider UCAS applications predictions and limitations.

  • Part 2

    Part 1

    Sources of data

    Teacher Supply Model total teacher need for state-funded nursery, primary &

    secondary and numbers leaving

    the entrant need to meet this target

    proportion of the entrants whom are likely to be Newly Qualified Teachers

    hence the postgraduate Initial Teacher Training numbers required

    www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-model

    http://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-modelhttp://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-modelhttp://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-modelhttp://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-modelhttp://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-model

  • TSM teacher need: Physics

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

    The model for Physics includes details such as the predicted female:male ratio and age distributions:

    20-24

    25-29

    30-34

    35-39

    40-44

    45-49

    50-54 55-59 60+

    9,977 11,232

    121 female Phys teachers over-60.

  • TSM entrant need: Physics

    Example calculation for 2017-18 Target for 2017-18 10,504 Census estimate 16-17 10,438 Projected wastage -846 Retirements -315 Deaths in service -6 Entrants needed 1,234

    NQT needed 623 611 PG + 12 UG

    How bizarre! To calculate NQT need, statistics based on all secondary subjects are then used. 15% new to state sector 34% returners 51% NQTs

    85% full time 15% part time

  • TSM attrition rates

    The TSM considers the target of trainees needed from the likelihood of these gaining QTS and then moving on to NQT in state schools.

    ITT Target

    x %

    completion

    y %

    employment

    Gaining QTS NQT need

    Department for Education

    611 759 942

  • Biology 1,074 90% 92% 78% 912 78% 84% 85% 743

    Chemistry 879 86% 88% 85% 756 77% 77% 94% 634 Physics 942 82% 87% 78% 759 76% 82% 85% 611 81%

    81% (65%)

    TSM attrition rates: Science

    The DfE's model incorporates slightly different attrition rates:

    2015-16

    Biology 1,178 90% 89% 89% 1,058 72% 79% 81% 803

    Chemistry 1,053 85% 90% 90% 919 70% 75% 77% 669 Physics 1,055 82% 87% 87% 887 71% 73% 75% 646

    2016-17

    84%

    73% (61%)

    HEI SCITT SD HEI SCITT SD

    NQT entrant

    QTS need Subject

    PG ITT Completion Rate

    PG Post-ITT Employment Rate

    PG ITT Trainee need

  • 942

    TSM: issues with the model

    1,055 1,055

    The model of a lower ITT trainee need for 2016-17, compared to 2015-16, has actually been ignored.

    How bizarre! Attrition rates are weighted according to % by route. Global values are used rather than subject specific ones.

    School Direct 42%

    HEI 48%

  • Sources of data

    2015-16 Allocations https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/initial-teacher-training-allocations-for-academic-year-2015-to-2016 Main tables: SFR32/2013

    2015-16 Census* https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/initial-teacher-training-trainee-number-census-2015-to-2016 Main tables: SFR46/2015

    *Provisional recruitment to initial teacher training programmes in England in the academic year 2015 to 2016.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/teacher-supply-model

  • Ministerial comments

    "I'm delighted that for the first time the majority of teachers are being trained on school-led routes in the classroom from day one and learning from the best teachers."

    Nick Gibb MP http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-34866850

    Who is to blame for our education system slipping down the international rankings? The answer is the academics in the education faculties of universities. Nick Gibb MP The Guardian (2014)

    Teaching unions aren't the problem universities are Nick Gibb http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/apr/23/teaching-unions-arent-problem-universities-schools-minister

  • Initial allocation of 2160 places

    HEI 40%

    SCITT 7%

    SD Tuition 37%

    Salaried 15%

    TF 2%

    DfE target 1055 (49%)

    Physics 2015-16

    TeachFirst is now included in data

    HEI and SCITT previously combined into one Provider total

    By including TeachFirst in the overall totals, a key NCTL aim has been met.

    In the 2016-17 academic year, we want more than half of PG-ITT to be led by schools.

  • HEI 31%

    SCITT 11%

    SD Tuition 33%

    Salaried 20%

    TF 4%

    Initial allocation of 1370 places

    DfE target 1055 (77%)

    Chemistry 2015-16

  • HEI 47%

    SCITT 8%

    SD Tuition 23%

    Salaried 9%

    TF 12%

    Initial allocation of 1530 places

    DfE target 1180 (77%)

    Biology 2015-16 Initial allocation of 2170 places

    There is no target for the number of trainee teachers to be recruited to the School Direct scheme. The Department for Education aims to recruit in line with the number of trainees needed across all routes.

    http://www.parliament.uk/business/publications/written-questions-answers-statements/written-question/Commons/2015-05-27/32/

    Nick Gibb MP

  • Pri

    mar

    y n

    eed

    11,489

    0

    When is a target not a target?

    Presentation given by Greg Burke (NCTL) to explain the methodology for changing 2016-17 allocations. To flexibly increase ITT recruitment, the idea of controlling (ring fencing) is laid out.

    http://www.ucet.ac.uk/downloads/7060-C12-Greg-Burke-(NCTL)-Teacher-education-policy,-including-NCTL-recruitment-controls.pptx

    Teach First allocation = 507

    School Direct (salaried) recruitment

    level = 1,849

    School-led fee minimum recruitment

    level = 4,135

    HEI recruitment

  • Minimum recruitment levels

    ITT subject

    2016/17 academic year

    Estimate of trainee need

    Teach First allocation

    SD (salaried)

    recruit level

    SD+SCITT min recruit

    level

    Biology 1,178 190 80 316

    Chemistry 1,053 60 95 393

    Computing 723 30 51 215

    Physics 1,055 50 86 264

    Effectively ring fenced spaces for 400 school-led trainees = 25% over last years recruitment (322)

  • So how are we doing for the 2016-17 academic year?

    In order to answer this, we need to first look at trends over the last couple of years.

    BUT there have been problems with the data

    Physics applications

  • 0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1,000

    1,100

    1,200

    Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 EoC

    Physics month by month 2014-15 App

    licat

    ions

    DfE Census

    Holding offer

    Conditional

    Placed

    More on census than applied! Unlikely to be

    deferred SKE entry

  • UCAS vs DfE Census

    Gen Science Biology

    Chemistry

    Physics

    Total

    Subject

    835

    638

    756

    2229

    Total new entrants

    750

    730

    560

    2040

    Placed

    Department for Education

    FoI: 2015-0016321 CRM:0810001 for raw data.

    Differences could not be explained by either UCAS or NCTL. We suggested UCAS was being circumvented but were told by the NCTL that this was unlikely.

  • Publication of requested data

    To prevent the identity of any trainee being disclosed cell values less than five have been marked with a "*

    Did not request the identity of providers and suggested this

    could be removed.

  • 0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1,000

    1,100

    1,200

    Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 EoC

    Physics month by month 2015-16 App

    licat

    ions

    DfE Census

    Census now makes sense against

    UCAS data

  • Recruitment controls 2016-17

    3. Use of recruitment controls UCAS requirement We require that all lead schools, SCITTs and HEIs join the UCAS teacher training scheme (UTT) and use this system to record recruitment activity. This is an essential requirement and no exceptions will be considered. 5. Funding The bursary cost and liability for any trainees recruited outside of the UCAS teacher training system will be borne by the lead school, SCITT or HEI

  • Art, or Art and Design 40 430 50 1,410 1,920 Biology 70 760 80 2,440 3,340 Business Education 10 150 20 580 750 Chemistry 40 500 60 1,710 2,310 Chinese 0 20 0 50 60 Citizenship 0 40 20 140 190 Classics 0 40 0 140 180 Communication and Media Studies 0 30 0 100 130 Computer Studies 20 250 40 900 1,200 Dance and Performance 10 120 10 340 480 Design and Technology 20 280 20 770 1,090 Design and Technology (Food) 10 120 10 310 450 Design and Technology (Product Design) 10 100 10 310 420 Design and Technology (Systems and Control) 10 70 10 180 260

    Design and Technology (Textiles) 10 120 10 310 450

    2014-15 Recruitment - March

    www.ucas.com/sites/default/files/utt_publicstats_application_18apr2016_report_b.pdf

    Subject Placed Conditional placed Holding

    offer Other All states

    Single + Combination

    Report B: UCAS Teacher Training Monday 18 April 2016

  • UCAS Physics applicants 2016-17

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16

  • Undergraduate courses

    Seed-funding (up to 10k) was offered by the NCTL to support the rapid development/expansion of undergraduate physics with QTS degree courses commencing in 2016/17 Trainees on such courses will benefit from a new 9,000 bursary in their final (professional) year.

  • Physics UG + QTS 2016-17

    Established courses have been reduced. New opt-in courses

    counted in allocation. Do not need to take Skills

    Test until just before QTS yr

    Physics & Maths with QTS

    ITT 2013-14

  • SKE - numbers

  • Final thoughts

    How has the implementation of UCAS changed recruitment? (application numbers, interview time, conversion to places) How has the bursary impacted on recruitment (quality and quantity) How can we improve completion and employment rates? (why do we have a 63% success rate?)

  • Contact details

    Mark Crowley Lecturer in Science Education Nottingham Trent University mark.crowley@ntu.ac.uk 0115 848 8064

    Postgraduate Initial Teacher TrainingAllocation & recruitmentAimsSources of dataTSM teacher need: PhysicsTSM entrant need: PhysicsTSM attrition ratesTSM attrition rates: ScienceTSM: issues with the modelSources of dataMinisterial commentsSlide Number 12Slide Number 13Slide Number 14When is a target not a target?Minimum recruitment levelsSlide Number 17Slide Number 18UCAS vs DfE CensusPublication of requested dataSlide Number 21Recruitment controls 2016-172014-15 Recruitment - MarchUCAS Physics applicantsUndergraduate coursesSlide Number 26SKE - numbersFinal thoughtsContact details