Portland Streetcar Portland Streetcar Small Starts Project Development Phase Small Starts Project Development Phase And the And the “ “ Trip not taken Trip not taken ” ”
Portland StreetcarPortland StreetcarSmall Starts Project Development PhaseSmall Starts Project Development Phase
And the And the ““Trip not takenTrip not taken””
2040 Growth Concept
• Tight urban growth boundary• Focused growth in centers • Provide high capacity connections between
centers • Streetcar as a circulator of trips, shaper of
land use and an economic development tool• Streetcar has many trips (projected 10,600
rides most of which are short)
Project Development Application
Project Development Application
• TriMet • Metro• City of Portland • Portland Streetcar Inc• URS• Leon Skiles
Initial application Dec 2006Feb 9, 2007 submittal • Land Use - Medium Rating • Economic Development - Medium Rating• Finance - Medium Rating • Cost effectiveness - pass/fail test
Incomplete, but making progress» Asserted constants
Project currently in PEConstruction Grant Agreement application – Dec 2007
Project Evaluation
Overall ProjectRating
Local Financial Commitment
Project Justification
Other Factors –economic development
Land UseCost effectiveness
Cost effectiveness rating
• Transit System User Benefit (TSUB) borrowed from New Starts
• Measures change in transit travel time benefit divided by change in annualized operating andcapital costs
• Difficult to pass with a Streetcar project due to shorter trip length = less travel time to save • This is also an issue for our New Starts
projects due to our compact region
Trip not taken
• The idea that attracting households to areas with good transit service reduces Vehicle Miles Traveled and results in user benefits.
• Hovee study of existing streetcar indicates attractiveness of households to locate near streetcar
• Eastside is expected to attract 3,500 new households that would not be there withoutstreetcar investment
20051995
Survey says…
Transportation Mode Share by Transit and Land Use Characteristics Mode Share
Land Use Type Percent Auto
Percent Walk
Percent Transit
Percent Bike
Percent Other
Vehicle Miles per Capita
Auto Ownership per
Household Good Transit/Mixed Use
58.1% 27.0% 11.5% 1.9% 1.5% 9.80 0.93
Good Transit Only 74.4% 15.2% 7.9% 1.4% 1.1% 12.38 1.50
Remainder of Multnomah County
81.5% 9.7% 3.5% 1.6% 3.7% 17.34 1.74
Remainder of Region 87.3% 6.1% 1.2% 0.8% 4.6% 21.79 1.93
Source: Metro Travel Survey
VMT Savings
Projected VMT reduced by household location due to Streetcar Loop Households
Portland Streetcar Loop: 4,537 Projected No Streetcar Loop: 1,105 Projected Difference in households# 3,432 High Density Environment Suburban EnvironmentNo. of Households 3,432 3,432Total Persons * 7,550 7,550Avg. Vehicle Miles/Day 9.8 21.79Number of Days 313 313Vehicle Miles/Year 23,159,000 51,493,000
Vehicle Miles Savings/Year 28,334,000 Units/Acre 120 12Acres Used 29 286Land Saved 257 *Based on an average regional household size of 2.2 # Based on Hovee Study
Travel Time SavedWith Streetcar - Households located in EastsideHouseholds attracted to Streetcar 3,500$ Average trips per household (from model) 7.96$ Average trip time in Streetcar area (from model) 8.94$ Total time (minutes) 249,068$
No Streetcar - Households throughout the regionHouseholds attracted to Streetcar 3,500$ Average trips per household (from model) 7.96$ Average trip time in Streetcar area (from model) 11.12$ Total time (minutes) 309,803$
difference (minutes) 60,735$ User Benefit Hours 1,012
Real benefits – not captured by TSUB
• Does not reflect that transit investments can change land use and travel patterns resulting real VMT reductions and infrastructure costs
• FTA’s travel forecasting methods require identical land use for all alternatives• Level playing field for comparison• Does not reflect auto travel benefit
FTA•Good partners with the Portland region•Recognize that they have many clients and critics•Like many agencies, varied opinions on how to disperse funds•We would like to see the Small and New Starts grow•Examination of additional measures for streetcar effectiveness
From the north end of the Lloyd District (approximately Broadway) with Rose Garden and Oregon Convention Center mid-photo and the Central Eastside District in the background.
Figure 14-1A Looking South onto the Project Area
Dave [email protected] Metro-region.org