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Gerd LeonhardFuturist, Author, CEO
TheFuturesAgencyBasel, Switzerland
The Future of Creativity and the creative industries
Foresights:)
The Re-Imagination of pretty much everything...
The
futu
re is
already h
ere! The complete and total convergence of
Internet and Television
Leaping into uncertainty becomes standard procedure
Next 3 years: SoLoMo Re-Imagination of...everything:)
Source: Mary Meeker State of the Internet Report 2012 / KPCB
A global trend towards screens and flows
Seriously challenged
Healthy and converging with Internet / Mobile
Will need help soon :)
Explosive growth
The good part and the scary part: empowerment
Disruption ☯ OpportunityWe are entering an era of explosive growth of information and media/content, facing a global data storm, the rise of ultra-smart intelligent agents, of all-pervasive mobile and social connectivity, of widespread ‘wikilikean’ transparency, of ground-breaking revolutions in interface technologies (gestures, voice-control, nano-technologies etc), of hyper-realtime speed, and of abundant choice in pretty much every sector of commerce, business and learning.
Creative Industrie Mindset, pre-SoLoMo
Toxic assumption: controlling distribution is the key to €$£
Message to the content industries: “If you take more out than you put in the ecosystem eventually fails” Tim O’Reilly
Creative Industries Reboot
Media: “Managed Dissatisfaction” is endingReed Hastings, Netflix CEO on Arrested Development, House of Cards, and the Future of Netflix: Movies + TV: GQ via Quartz.com
“Hastings call this managed dissatisfaction. The traditional entertainment ecosystem is built on it, and it’s a totally artificial concept...The point of managed dissatisfaction is waiting. You’re supposed to wait for your show that comes on Wednesday at 8 p.m., wait for the new season, see all the ads everywhere for the new season, talk to your friends at the office about how excited you are...”
The end of Broadcasting as a ‘protected space’
The end of friction as a business model
“Nobody wants to pay for Content online”
Everybody will pay for Content online - but RTP is key, and currencies vary!
Redefinition of Value: Reason to Pay is crucial
The
futu
re is
already h
ere!
Freemium Futures
ContentMedia
Creation
Monetization around the core
The
futu
re is
already h
ere!
Pay-will not Pay-wall:)
The
futu
re is
already h
ere!
“Thanks for your interest. Now, go away”
The distribution strategies of the Major TV & Film Studios
will soon evolve dramatically to fit Digital Consumer Demands
in Emerging Economies
Netflix House of Cards Trailer
Redefining the meaning of Selling - in the future, what will it mean to ‘sell content’?
‘Networked’ will beat (most) Empires
Locked LiquidLoose
Abundance is inevitable- therefore Curation, Context & Interface becomes crucial