Nordea 1 – Heracles Long/Short MI Fund November 2010 Presentation
Nordea 1 – Heracles Long/Short MI Fund
November 2010
Presentation
2
Contents
� Introduction
� Heracles Long/Short strategy
� Investment approach
� Product features
� Summary
� Appendix
2
1
3
4
5
6
1 Introduction
4
0
1
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3
4
5
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7
8
9
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 10/2010
History of quantitative strategies at Metzler
Assets under management in EUR bn
Metzler alternative assets
Launch research process
TORERO-mutual funds
HeraclesLong/Short
TOREROFixed Income/MultiAsset/Risk-Overlay/SDA
5
Alternative investments & quantitative strategies
at Metzler
Nader Purschaker
Head of Alternative Investments & Quantitative Strategies
Portfolio Management
8 people
Applied Research
7 people
Implementation
2 people
Programming
4 people
6
Nordea 1 –Heracles Long/Short MI Fund
Top rankings for Metzler Asset Management
M3
M4
M1 Superior
Good/adequate
Adequate with qualifications
M5 Inadequate
M2 Strong
Fund innovation 2009Rated ”strong“ by Fitch
Heracles Long/Short strategy2
8
Objectives of Heracles Long/Short
� Return
� Money market (Euribor 1 month) + 4% p.a.
� Risk
� Target volatility of average 8% p.a.
� Low draw-downs
� Fast recovery
For all information provided on this page and on the following pages, including model calculations, please see the important note on the last page
9
95
100
105
110
115
3/2008 9/2008 3/2009 9/2009 3/2010 9/2010
Heracles Long/Short 12.59%
1M Euribor 4.89%
Launch date March 12, 2008
Heracles Long/Short strategy since inception
Performance – institutional share class as of October 31, 2010 (EUR)
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. The quoted performance is net of fees (15% outperformance fee; until March 2009 1% manage-ment fee, since April 2009 1.2% management fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load)Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
10/2010
Investment approach3
11
Broad diversification: the investment universe comprises 50 international equity, bond and currency markets
Reduces dependency on single markets' development
Reduces dependency on the direction of markets
Long/Short: declining markets result in short positions. Rising markets generate long positions respectively
Quantitative model: target return is explicitly built into the algorithm. When the target is met, profits are locked in
Maximizes the likeli-hood of achieving the excess return target
Investment approach
1.
2.
3.
12
1. Broad diversification using equity futures, bond
futures and currency forwards
...Reduces the dependency on single markets' development
13
2. Long/Short: up to 50 single strategies
reflect capital market environments at all times
Long
Short ...
Money market return
Combination of up to 50 single Long/Short strategies
DAX
Strategy 1
CAD/USD
Strategy 2
...
+
Reduces the dependency on the direction of markets
Target return:4% return p.a.in excess of
Euribor 1 month
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg. The quoted performance is net of fees (15% outperformance fee; until March 2009 1% management fee, since April 2009 1.2% management fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load)
Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
14
3. Quantitative forecast-free model explicitly takes
target return into account
� Rising market Long positions
� Falling market Short positions
� Coming close to the excess return target, the system reduces exposures
� Having reached the excess return target, the system closes the position to lock in profits
Procyclical element: markets determine the position
Anticyclical element: target return determines the position
Maximizes the likelihood of achieving the target return
15
Single strategy in a bear market environment
DAX futures 2002
50
70
90
110
-15
-10
-5
0
5
Performance DAX futures
Allocation in %
-1
0
1
2
3
Jan Feb March Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Performance DAX strategy
Procyclical
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. Historical simulation, based on market data
Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
16
-1
0
1
2
3
Jan Feb March Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Single strategy in a bear market environment
– continued 1
DAX futures 2002
50
70
90
110
-15
-10
-5
0
5
Performance DAX futures
Allocation in %
Performance DAX strategy
Anticyclical
Target performance contribution
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. Historical simulation, based on market data
Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
17
-1
0
1
2
3
Jan Feb March Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Single strategy in a bear market environment
– continued 2
DAX futures 2002
50
70
90
110
-15
-10
-5
0
5
Performance DAX futures
Allocation in %
Performance DAX strategy
Target performance contribution
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. Historical simulation, based on market data
Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
18
Single strategy in a bull market environment
DAX futures 2005
90
100
110
120
130
-15
-5
5
15 Allocation in %
-1
0
1
2
3
Jan Feb March Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Target performance contribution
Performance DAX futures
Performance DAX strategy
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. Historical simulation, based on market data
Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
19
25
50
75
100
125
11/07 12/07 1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08 1/09 2/09 3/09
125
100
75
50
25
1/200811/2007 3/2008 5/2008 7/2008 9/2008 11/2008 3/20091/2009
Each market strategy is divided into 12 rolling
sub-strategies (DAX future)
DAX future allocation in January 2009DAX performance in January 2008
Cumulated DAX future allocation
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. For the period to March 11, 2008: historical simulation based on market data
Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
DAX strategy January
Product features4
21
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
116
3/2008 9/2008 3/2009 9/2009 3/2010 9/2010
Heracles Long/Short and it‘s peers – performance
since inception
Performance March 2008 to October 2010
* EUR returnSources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. The quoted performance is net of fees (15% outperformance fee; until March 2009 1% manage-ment fee, since April 2009 1.2% management fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load)Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
Heracles Long/Short (AI), return 13.16%
CS Tremont Managed Futures index*, return 12.59%
10/2010
HeraclesLong/Short
CSTremont
Maximum drawdown
Downside deviation p.a.
Longest profitless period (months)
-18.57
8.37
22
-4.50
3.90
12
22
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
2/2008 8/2008 2/2009 8/2009 2/2010 8/2010
HeraclesLong/Short
MSCIWorld
Maximum drawdown
Downside deviation p.a.
Longest profitless period (months)
-39.78
13.32
29
-4.50
3.90
12
Heracles Long/Short
MSCI World
Heracles Long/Short – attractive drawdown
characteristics compared to traditional assets
Profitless periods since March 2008 (drawdown in %, net EUR) as of October 2010
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. The quoted performance is net of fees (1.2% management fee, 15% outperformance fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load). Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
10/2010
23
Nordea 1 – Heracles Long/Short MI Fund – performance
and risk overview
Performance and risk – institutional share class as of October 31, 2010 (EUR)
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. The quoted performance is net of fees (15% outperformance fee; until March 2009 1% manage-ment fee, since April 2009 1.2% management fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load)Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
9.672.77–3.03Drawdown period (m)-44.89-3.56–-6.20Max drawdown***-10.23-1.660.03-2.59Worst month11.443.190.416.38Best month0.031.42–0.36Sharpe ratio24.043.390.157.69Volatility0.715.511.834.62Annualised return
Key figures (since inception*)
-26.367.463.509.282008**26.650.870.910.6120091.8715.154.8912.59Since launch*21.8113.191.923.622 years 19.686.160.504.781 year-1.424.210.29-0.606 months2.321.320.171.763 months1.88-0.430.06-0.461 month9.226.230.432.40Year to date
MSCI Worldin %
JPM GBI (USD hdg) in %
EURIBOR 1min %
Heraclesin %
Cumulative performance Period
* 12/03/2008 ** From 12/03/2008 to 31/12/2008 *** Based on daily return
Summary5
25
Heracles Long/Short – the unique selling propositions
� No return forecasts involved in alpha-generating process
� replication of option strategies
� Target return is explicitly taken into account by the strategy
� maximizes the likelihood of attaining the excess return target
� Daily liquidity, no lock-up period, no redemption fee
� High multi-dimensional diversification along
� asset classes
� regions
� timeline
� The strategy is uncorrelated to common investment strategies
Appendix6
27
-1
0
1
2
3
Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
Single strategy in a bear market environment
ZAR/EUR 2009 (March)
60
80
100
-20
-10
0
Performance ZAR/EUR
Allocation in %
Performance ZAR/EUR
Target performance contribution
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. Historical simulation, based on market data
Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
28
-50
0
50
100
150
Single strategy in a bull market environment
Interest rate futures 2009 (April)
99
100
101
102
103 Performance interest rate futures
Allocation in %
-1
0
1
2
3
Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Performance interest rate strategyTarget performance contribution
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. Historical simulation, based on market data
Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results
29
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
1991 1994 1996 1998 2000 2003 2005 2007
Heracles Long/Short strategy – steady, reliable returns
Backtest from January 1992 to March 2008
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. For the period to March 11, 2008: historical simulation based on market data. The hypothetical performance is calculated under the assumption that the fund would have been managed according to the Heracles Long/Short strategy. The quoted performance is net of fees (1.2% management fee, 15% outperformance fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load). The simulation applies to investments in equity and bond futures based on historical exchange rates of the countries, in which the strategy invests
5.3910.87Heracles L/S
0.574.201M Euribor
15.627.27MSCI World
VolatilityReturnin % p.a.
2008
30
Heracles Long/Short improves risk-adjusted returns
Backtest from January 1992 to March 2008 in % (in EUR)
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. For the period to March 11, 2008: historical simulation based on market data. The hypothetical performance is calculated under the assumption that the fund would have been managed according to the Heracles Long/Short strategy. The quoted performance is net of fees (1.2% management fee, 15% outperformance fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load). The simulation applies to investments in equity and bond futures based on historical exchange rates of the countries, in which the strategy invests
10
4545
Liquidity
20
80
Heracles Long/Short
Bonds (global)
Equities (global)
Balanced portfolio
Balanced portfolio Portfolio enhanced by Heracles
Improvement
-183957Longest profitless period in months
9.16
0.23
-1.23
0.80
38.85
-10.95
0.65
5.77
7.96
244.79
-20.11Maximum drawdown in %
0.42Sharpe ratio
7.00Annualized volatility in %
7.16Annualized return in %
205.94Return in total in %
31
Risk/return profile of Heracles Long/Short strategy in
comparison
Backtest from January 1994 to March 2008 (EUR based)
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. For the period to March 11, 2008: historical simulation based on market data. The hypothetical performance is calculated under the assumption that the fund would have been managed according to the Heracles Long/Short strategy. The quoted performance is net of fees (1.2% management fee, 15% outperformance fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load). The simulation applies to investments in equity and bond futures based on historical exchange rates of the countries in which the strategy invests
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Performance in % p.a.Performance over Libor in % p.a.Volatility p.a.Sharpe ratioMaximum drawdown in %Downside deviation in % p.a.Sortino ratioProfitable months in %
Volatility p.a.
MSCIWorld
JPM GBIGlobal
HFRI Fund of Funds
DJ Credit SuisseManaged Futures Index
HeraclesLong/Short
Performance in % p.a.
10.426.885.581.23-5.893.681.87
69.41
6.102.5615.880.16
-53.7511.870.2258.82
5.602.063.080.67-4.442.240.9272.35
7.654.115.730.72
-13.084.140.9967.06
5.982.4511.910.21
-18.578.370.2955.29
MSCI World
JPM GBI Global
DJ Credit Suisse Managed Futures IndexHFRI Fund of Funds
Heracles Long/Short
32
Heracles Long/Short – performance compared
to a managed futures index
Performance December 1993 to March 2008
* EUR denominated
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. For the period to March 11, 2008: historical simulation based on market data. The hypothetical performance is calculated under the assumption that the fund would have been managed according to the Heracles Long/Short strategy. The quoted performance is net of fees (1.2% management fee, 15% outperformance fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load). The simulation applies to investments in equity and bond futures based on historical exchange rates of the countries, in which the strategy invests. After the launch on March 12, 2008, calculations are based on actual data of the fund (net of fees). Past returns are not a guarantee, warranty or a liable indicator for future results.
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Index CS Tremont Managed Futures* – return p.a. 5.92%
Heracles Long/Short (AI) – return p.a. 10.34%
33
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
HeraclesLong/Short
MSCIWorld
Maximum drawdown
Downside deviation p.a.
Longest profitless period (months)
-53.75
11.73
90
-5.89
3.56
10
Heracles Long/Short
MSCI World
Heracles Long/Short – attractive drawdown
characteristics compared to traditional assets
Drawdowns per backtest from January 1994 to March 2008, in %
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. For the period to March 11, 2008: historical simulation based on market data. The hypothetical performance is calculated under the assumption that the fund would have been managed according to the Heracles Long/Short strategy. The quoted performance is net of fees (1.2% management fee, 15% outperformance fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load). The simulation applies to investments in equity and bond futures based on historical exchange rates of the countries in which the strategy invests.
3/2008
34
-16
-14
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Heracles Long/Short strategy: uncorrelated to global
equity markets
Backtest from January 1994 to March 2008 (versus MSCI World)
MSCI World
Heracles Long/Short
Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Bloomberg, Metzler calculations. For the period to March 11, 2008: historical simulation based on market data. The hypothetical performance is calculated under the assumption that the fund would have been managed according to the Heracles Long/Short strategy. The quoted performance is net of fees (1.2% management fee, 15% outperformance fee) and regardless of other charges (i.e. sales load). The simulation applies to investments in equity and bond futures based on historical exchange rates of the countries in which the strategy invests
Heracles Long/Short
MSCIWorld
JPM GBI Global
HFRI Fund of Funds
DJ Credit SuisseManaged Futures
Index
Heracles Long/ShortMSCI WorldJPM GBI GlobalHFRI Fund of Funds DJ Credit Suisse Managed Futures Index
1.000.020.170.160.47
1.00-0.160.58-0.17
1.00-0.050.26
1.000.10 1.00
35
Nordea 1 – Heracles Long/Short MI Fund:
facts – institutional investors
Medium and long term Recommended holding period
Metzler Asset Management GmbHInvestment manager
Nordea Investment Funds S.A.Custodian
Nordea 1, SICAVUmbrella
15% of annual outperformance versus Euribor ("High Watermark" and "Hurdle Rate")
Performance fee
1.2% p.a.Management fee
DistributingDividend type
March 12, 2008Fund launch (currency)
LU0343921531 (AI-EUR)ISIN code
Absolute returnFund category
36
Important note
The sub-funds mentioned are part of the Nordea 1, SICAV, an open-ended Luxembourg-based investment company (Société d'Investissement à Capital Variable), validly formed and existing in accordance with the laws of Luxembourg and with European Community Directive 85/611/CEE of 20 December 1985.
The custodian of the SICAV’s assets is Nordea Bank S.A., Luxembourg. Investments in the Nordea funds should be made on the basis of the current prospectus, which is available, along with the simplified prospectus, current annual and semi-annual reports, free of charge upon request from Nordea Investment Funds S.A., 562, rue de Neudorf, P.O. Box 782, L-2017 Luxembourg, from the local representatives or information agents, or from our distributors.
A transaction involving a foreign exchange transaction may be subject to fluctuations of currency values which may affect the value of an investment. Investments in Emerging Markets involve a higher element of risk.
Nordea Investment Funds S.A. only publishes product-related information and does not make any investment recommendations.
Published by Nordea Investment Funds S.A., 562, rue de Neudorf, P.O. Box 782, L-2017 Luxembourg.
Additional information for investors in Switzerland:The Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) has granted authorisation for Nordea 1, SICAV to be publically distributed within and from Switzerland. The documents listed above, as well as the Articles of Association, are available free of charge from the Swiss Representative and Paying Agent, NordeaBank S.A. Luxemburg, Zweigniederlassung Zürich, Mainaustrasse 21-23, CH-8008 Zürich. Telephone (+41) 44 421 42 42, Fax (+41) 44 421 42 82. Additional information for investors in Germany:The Information and Paying Agent in Germany is Nordea Bank Finland Plc, Niederlassung Deutschland, Grüneburgweg 119, D-60323 Frankfurt am Main. A hard copy of the above-mentioned fund documentation is also available from here. Additional information for investors in Austria: Sub-paying Agent and Representative in Austria is the Erste Bank derÖsterreichischen Sparkassen AG, Graben 21, A-1010 Vienna. Additional information for investors in France: With the authorisation of the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) as per 11 March 2003, 13 December 2005, 03 April 2007, 28 September 2007, 29 February 2008, 29 April 2008, 25 November 2008 and 09 June 2009, Nordea 1, SICAV may be distributed to investors in France, as published in the Bulletin des Annonces Légales Obligatoire dated 19 March 2003, 19 December 2005, 18 April 2007, 10 October 2007, 19 March 2008, 28 May 2008, 15 December 2008 and 26 June 2009. Centralising Correspondent in France is CACEIS Bank, located at 1-3, place Valhubert, 75013 Paris. Investors are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decision. Additional information for investors in Spain: Nordea 1, SICAV is duly registered in the CNMV official registry of foreign collective investment institutions (entry no. 340) as authorised to be marketed to the public in Spain. In Spain, any investment must be made through the authorised distributors and on the basis of the information contained in the mandatory documentation that must be received from the SICAV’s authorised distributor prior to any subscription, or that may be obtained from the CNMV registries. Additional information for investors in Italy:Fund documentation as listed above is also available in Italy from the distributors and on the website www.nordea.it. The updated list of distribution agents in Italy, grouped by homogenous category, is available from the distributors themselves, at State Street Bank S.p.A. branches (located in the main towns of each region), BNP Paribas Securities Services, Banca Sella Holding S.p.A, Allfunds Bank S.A., Societe Generale Securities Services Sp.A. and on the website www.nordea.it. Any requests for additional information should be sent to the distributors. Before investing, please read the prospectus carefully. We recommend that you read the most recent annual financial statement in order to be better informed about the fund's investment policy. For the risk profile of the mentioned sub-funds, please refer to the fund prospectus. Additional information for investors in the United Kingdom: Approved by Nordea Bank Finland Plc, London Branch, which is regulated by the FSA in the United Kingdom. Additional information for investors in Latvia: The Representative and Paying Agent is Nordea Bank Finland Plc, Latvia Branch, 15, Kalku Street, LV-1050 Riga. Additional information for investors in Estonia: The Representative and Paying Agent in Estonia is Nordea Bank Finland Plc, Estonia Branch, Hobujaama 4, 15068 Tallinn. Additional information for investors in Lithuania: The Representative and Paying Agent in Lithuania is Nordea Bank Finland Plc, Lithuania Branch, Didzioji str. 18/2, LT-01128 Vilnius. Shareholders must evaluate possible investment risks and take this into consideration when making investment decisions.
Performance calculated NAV to NAV (net of fees and Luxembourg taxes) gross income reinvested, in EUR, excluding initial and exit charges as per 31.10.2010.
Sources: Metzler AM GmbH unless otherwise stated. The performance represented is historical; past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and investors may not recover the full amount invested. The value of shares can fluctuate and is not guaranteed. Unless otherwise stated, all views expressed are those of Nordea Investment Funds S.A and Metzler AM GmbH. This document may not be reproduced or circulated without prior permission. Reference to companies or other investments mentioned within this document should not be construed as a recommendation to the investor to buy or sell the same, but is included for the purpose of illustration.