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Page 1: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

Mutual FundReview

October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund

November 19, 2009 | Mutual Fund Mutual Fund Review

October 21, 2015

Page 2: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Note: Whenever, returns for the scheme are shown in the report, they are for the growth option of the scheme.

Mutual Fund Review

Equity Markets ....................................................................................... 2 Debt Markets.......................................................................................... 3 MF industry synopsis ............................................................................ 3 MF Category Analysis............................................................................ 5

Equity funds...................................................................................... 5

Equity diversified funds....................................................................... 6 Equity Infrastructure fund.................................................................... 7 Equity Banking Funds.......................................................................... 8 Equity FMCG........................................................................................ 8 Equity Pharma Funds .......................................................................... 9 Equity Technology Funds.................................................................... 9

Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) ....................................................... 10 Balanced funds ............................................................................... 11 Monthly Income Plans (MIP) .......................................................... 11 Arbitrage Funds .............................................................................. 12 Debt funds ...................................................................................... 13

Liquid Funds ...................................................................................... 13 Income funds..................................................................................... 15 Gilt Funds ........................................................................................ 16 Gold ETFs: Medium term outlook benign......................................... 18 Model Portfolios .................................................................................. 19

Equity funds model portfolio.......................................................... 19 Debt funds model portfolio ............................................................ 20

Top Picks.............................................................................................. 21

October 21, 2015

Page 3: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 2

Equity Markets Update

Indian equity markets staged a smart recovery during September and October 2015 as value buying emerged at lower levels supported by positive global markets

The higher-than-expected 50 bps repo rate cut by the RBI provided the much needed trigger for markets to regain lost ground and revive investor interest

Global markets were also supportive as the US Federal Reserve refrained from hiking the US Fed fund rate and maintained status quo in its September policy meeting

Foreign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555 million in the first half of October after having sold off equities worth US$5 billion in April-September 2015

Industrial production for August was a sharp positive surprise at 6.4% YoY compared to 4.1% YoY in the previous month. This is the highest IIP reading since October 2012, indicating some pick-up in domestic activity. However, trade data indicated that exports declined more than 24%, indicating a slowdown in global growth

Overall inflation remained benign with CPI for September 2015 inching up to 4.4% while WPI came in at -4.5%, in line with expectations. CPI food inflation (CFPI) has marginally gone up to 3.87% given the rise in prices of onions & pulses and waning of the positive base effect. Core CPI is hovering around 4.4% YoY (0.6% MoM). CPI August 2015 was revised upwards to 3.74% from 3.66%. WPI September 2015 was still in the red at -4.54% for the eleventh consecutive month. Core WPI at -1.86 signifies a slack in demand for input commodities

Outlook

The recent up move from around 7500 to 8000 on the CNX Nifty after having witnessed downward pressure since March 2015 highlights waning downward momentum and signals an overall positive turnaround in equity markets

We believe the markets have formed a significant bottom at the September 2015 low of around 25000, 7500 on the Sensex and Nifty, respectively. However, the index may extend the time wise consolidation as it undergoes a base formation in the coming months

We believe the price wise correction has approached maturity and markets will undergo consolidation in the coming month to essentially form a base for the next up move. Therefore, any intermediate throwbacks from here on should be utilised to buy in a staggered manner from a medium-term perspective to ride the larger uptrend

Structurally, the outlook for the Indian equity markets has improved significantly. This is on the back of a steep correction in commodities, especially crude oil & industrial metals, a 125 bps repo rate cut and subsequent transmission of the same to the corporate balance sheets and relatively stable exchange rates

Investors should start accumulating from current levels. Every sharp correction should be used as an incremental buying opportunity from a medium-term perspective

Markets may consolidate post the sharp run up. The recent correction has removed the froth from the markets and made it healthy. Any correction from here on should be used as a buying opportunity

CNX Nifty: Volatility increases in last few months

6500

7000

7500

8000

8500

9000

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

All major indices rebound from previous month’s fall…

7.1

5.1

4.6

4.4 4.1

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

BSE SmallCap

BSESensex

BSE 500 BSE 100 BSEMidcap

Retu

rn (%

)

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research Returns : September 15, 2015– October 15, 2015

All sectors except IT performed well…

15.1

10.9

5.8

5.7

5.4

5.3

5.3

5.2

5.1

4.6

1.5

-0.9

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

Con.

Dura

Real

ity

Heal

thca

re

Met

al

Bank

ing

Auto

PSU

Oil &

Gas

Sens

ex

FMCG

Cap.

Good

s IT

Retu

rn (%

)

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research Returns : September 15, 2015– October 15, 2015

Research Analyst

Sachin Jain [email protected] Sheetal Ashar [email protected] Isha Bansal [email protected]

Page 4: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 3

Debt Markets Update

In a surprise move, the Reserve Bank of India cut the repo rate by 50 basis points to 6.75% from 7.25% against market expectation of 25 bps. The tone of the policy is also dovish indicating it will continue to be accommodative. The policy also mentioned tepid growth across the manufacturing, services and export segment of the economy

The positive sentiment resulted in a rally in government bonds. Consequently, the benchmark 10 year G-Sec yield fell around 20 bps from 7.72% to 7.50%

The RBI mentioned that while its stance will remain accommodative, the focus in the near term will be to ensure transmission of the cumulative 125 bps of rate cuts that had taken place in this cycle

The RBI acknowledged that there was broad-based disinflation and core inflation had come down in recent months as capacity utilisation remained low. Better food management by the government and moderate MSP hikes have ensured that food inflation has broadly remained contained. Global commodity prices (including those of crude oil) have remained under pressure and now look likely to remain muted over the medium-term

The RBI highlighted that the more aggressive rate cut was in effect a front-loading of policy action in light of the weak global activity as well as a lack of pick-up in the domestic demand and investment cycle

The RBI has increased the FPI limit in government bonds to 5% of the total outstanding government securities in a staggered manner by March 2018. Currently, the FPI holding was at 3.8%. The change in FPI limits has further opened up room for | 1,20,000 crore in central government securities by March 2018. All these augur well for debt funds, especially duration funds

For the first time, the RBI has clarified on the reference rate for the calculation of the real rate of 150-200 bps. It has mentioned that the one year treasury bill rate is the rate to be used to determine the real rate over CPI. Historically, the spread one year T-bill over repo rate is around 25-50 bps. Effectively, the RBI has upped the spread as earlier the market used to consider repo to be the reference rate

Outlook

An increase in FII limit in a phased manner to 5% of outstanding government securities (that are currently at 3.8%) along with 2% additional limit for state development loans are a structural positive for long term bonds

FIIs have bought more than | 15000 crore in the first half of October after the limit was increased. It indicates the significant interest of foreign investors in Indian debt market

The Indian debt markets remain attractive from a medium-term perspective as the inflation trend remains on a downward trajectory and well within RBI’s target range

Investors may consider both duration as well as accrual funds depending on their risk-return profile

Concerns over below normal monsoons have subsided to a large extent. As the fall in crude and industrial commodities is inflationary and fiscal positive, this will keep the outlook for bond markets upbeat

Indian debt markets remain attractive from a medium-term perspective as the inflation trend remains on a downward trajectory and well within RBI’s target range

G-Sec yields fall following repo rate cut…

7.5

8.0

8.5

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Yiel

d (%

)

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Fiscal roadmap Fiscal Deficit as % of GDP TargetFY15 (Revised Estimates) 4.1FY16 3.9FY17 3.5FY18 3.0

Source: RBI, ICICIdirect.com Research

G-sec yield curve shifts lower

7.2

7.5 7.7

7.67.5

7.8 7.9 7.8

7.17.37.57.77.98.1

1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr

Yiel

d (%

)

14-Oct-15 15-Sep-15

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Corporate bond yield curve becomes steeper

8.2

7.9

8.1 8.3

8.3 8.4 8.48.4

7.47.67.88.08.28.48.6

1yr 3yr 5yr 10 yr

Yiel

d (%

)

14-Oct-15 15-Sep-15

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 5: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 4

MF industry synopsis In September 2015, assets under management (AUM) grew 24% YoY to

| 1187313 crore with the share of equity oriented funds at 33% from 29% in September 2014. Total net outflows in MFs were | 77142 crore in September 2015 due to substantial outflows from income and liquid funds despite the inflow into equity funds

Inflows into equity schemes were | 5444 crore in September 2015 while there were net outflows in income funds of | 26717 crore. Liquid funds also witnessed outflows to the tune of | 60861 crore

Exhibit 1: Equity AUM drives overall AUM

1012

824

9594

15

1095

653

1090

309

1051

343

1181

356

1202

196

1186

364

1173

294

1187

313

1006

452

1082

807

1203

547

1317

267

1254

506

32% 32%29%

31%

23%

27%31% 31% 31%

25%

19% 20%

31%

24% 24%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

| Cr

ore

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

Total AUM (RHS) Growth (YoY)

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 2: AUM share September 2014

Income48%

Gilt1%

Money Market19%

Gold ETFs 1%

Equity29%

Other ETFs0%

FOF(Overseas)0% Balanced

2%

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 3: AUM share September 2015…share of equity AUM increases significantly in past year

Income46%

Gilt1%

Money Market15%

Gold ETFs 1%

Equity33%

Other ETFs1%

FOF(Overseas)0% Balanced

3%

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 4: HDFC AMC maintains top position, Kotak Mahindra records highest YoY growth in AAUM

1708

38

1646

28

1529

19

1334

04

1040

77

8862

8

7732

8

5677

4

5651

1

3733

9

1414

81

1276

63

1220

68

1026

16

8325

0

7285

0

5561

1

4573

8

3744

5

3748

3

25000

50000

75000

100000

125000

150000

175000

200000

HDFC

MF

Ipru

MF

Relia

nce

MF

Birla

Sunl

ife M

F

UTI M

F

SBI M

F

Fran

klin

Tem

pelto

n

IDFC

MF

Kota

kM

ahin

dra

DSP

Blac

kRoc

k

| Cr

Sep-15 Sep-14

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 5: HDFC, Reliance highest contributors to increase in AAUM

HDFC MF, 12%

Reliance MF, 14%

Ipru MF, 12%

Birla Sunlife MF, 12%

UTI MF, 8%SBI MF, 6%

Franklin Tempelton

MF, 9%

Kotak Mahindra MF, 4%

DSP BlackRock

MF, 7%

IDFC MF, 0%Others, 16%

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 6: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 5

MF Category Analysis

Equity funds Midcap funds delivered 23% return in the last year, significantly

outperforming large cap funds, which delivered 9% return Among sector funds, pharma funds delivered highest returns followed

by infra and banking funds Exhibit 6: Pharma, midcap clear winners (returns as on October 15, 2015)

34.7

22.8

17.3

12.8

11.2

10.4

8.8

6.7

34.3

29.1

15.8

19.8

14.8

13.1 16

.2

25.5

24.1

15.9 19

.3

10.1

3.3 4.

9

8.3

12.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Pharma Mid cap FMCG Diversified Infrastructure Banking Large Cap Technology

Retu

rns

(%)

1 year 3 Year 5 year

Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, ICICIdirect.com Research ; Returns over one year are compounded annualised returns

Exhibit 7: Inflow into equity funds remain strong

794656004963

6651

9156

54445364 632458408481

105841007612273

6133

-4500-2500

-50015003500550075009500

1150013500

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Net inflow (Equity + ELSS)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 8: Equity AUM at high levels

2667

42

2803

97

2971

60

3146

84

3194

78

3409

36

3457

39

3451

39

3451

29

3651

66

3723

13

3936

02

3817

23

3865

17

150000200000250000300000350000400000450000

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

| la

kh C

rore

Equity +ELSS

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 9: Deployment of equity funds

Allocation Banks Software Pharma Auto FinanceConsumer

Non-Durables

Construction PetroleumIndustrial

Capital Goods

Industrial Products

| crore 84360 43053 33753 28516 23622 21157 16445 16305 15,692 14951

% of total 20.9 10.7 8.4 7.1 5.8 5.2 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.7

Source: Sebi, ICICIdirect.com Research, Sector Classification (as per Amfi)

Equity AUM increased by | 4794 crore in the last month

whereas the net inflow into the equity fund is | 5444 crore

indicating that an increase in AUM was mainly on the

account of inflows

Exposure to banks and finance stocks together account for

the highest proportion with 27% of equity assets followed

by technology and pharma

Page 7: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 6

Equity diversified funds

Equity diversified funds delivered healthy returns last year. Midcap funds were outperformers with 23% one year average return followed by multicap funds with one year average return of 13% and then large caps with 9% return against the BSE Sensex return of 4% as on October 15, 2015

The higher-than-expected 50 bps repo rate by the RBI provided the much needed trigger for markets to regain lost ground and revive investor interest

Global markets were also supportive as the US Federal Reserve refrained from hiking the US Fed fund rate and maintained status quo in its September policy meeting

Structurally, the outlook for the Indian equity markets has improved significantly. This is on the back of a steep correction in commodities, especially crude oil & industrial metals, a 125 bps repo rate cut and subsequent transmission of the same to corporate balance sheets along with relatively stable exchange rates

Investors should start accumulating from current levels. Every sharp correction should be used as an incremental buying opportunity from a medium-term perspective

The Sensex is currently trading at 17.0x FY16E EPS of | 1608 and 14.4x FY17E EPS of | 1901, which provides comfort. Investors should accumulate multicap funds following a buy on dips or SIP strategy

Caution is required in midcap and small cap mutual funds as they have significantly outperformed large caps in the current market rally since September 2013. Therefore, if overall market volatility increases, midcap and small caps funds in the near term may underperform. Investment in the same should only be over a five year investment horizon

Recommended funds Large cap

Axis Equity Birla Sunlife Frontline Equity ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity SBI Bluechip UTI Opportunities

Diversified

Franklin India Prima Plus Fund Reliance Equity Opportunities ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund

Midcap

HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund SBI Magnum Global Fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Short term: Positive Long-term: Positive

Page 8: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 7

Equity Infrastructure fund The government has been making efforts towards reform process such

as online environment clearance, de-regulating diesel prices, FDI in Defence & Railways, etc. It has also been trying to tap innovative financial avenues, which will not only bring new investments but also revive stalled projects (worth | 8.8 lakh crore)

In terms of vertical, the road sector is likely to be in a sweet spot. The

government has rolled out projects worth $93 billion including the $45 billion flagship road building project NHDP over the next three years. Besides NHDP, opportunities include 'Bharat Mala' project of $12 billion for 6000 km and 'Char Dham' connectivity for 2500 km for $8 billion. This awarding would offer humungous opportunities for EPC players like NCC, KNR & Simplex Infrastructure and BOT players such as Ashoka Buildcon and IRB Infrastructure

Thirdly, the recent RBI action to reduce the repo rate by 50 basis points

(bps) also augurs well for the infrastructure sector as this will not only reduce their borrowing cost but also improve liquidity through better working capital cycle

Fourthly, with the RBI's action allowing banks to issue long term bonds

for infrastructure with benefits such as relaxation of CRR & SLR norms and longer duration of bonds, we believe the pressure on developers to fund infrastructure projects would ease. Hence, cost of funds and strain on cash flow are likely to reduce, going ahead

Going ahead, while we believe there would be opportunities in

infrastructure, we remain selectively positive on the sector Preferred Picks

Franklin Build India Fund L&T Infrastructure Fund ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund

Refer www.icicidirect.com for

details of the fund

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

Page 9: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 8

Equity Banking Funds Industry credit growth remained subdued at 9.6% YoY up to September

18, 2015. Accordingly, we expect credit growth for PSU banks to be subdued (lower than industry traction) and at ~18% for private banks. This would result in muted net interest income growth for PSBs

We believe provisions will continue to stay high as asset quality still

remains under pressure. Slippages i.e. fresh NPAs may stay elevated for most PSU banks. During Q1FY16, a large part of slippages came from the restructured book. The management has indicated that NPA pain may continue for at least the next two quarters. Fresh restructuring under the 5:25 scheme remains to be seen. Windfall MTM gains due to a decline in 10 year G-sec yields led by a 50 bps rate cut may turn out to be a profit saver for PSU banks during Q2FY16E. Private banks, on the other hand, continued with the healthy performance on profitability

The recent reform measures planned under “Indradhanush” for PSU

banks including capitalisation of | 25000 crore for FY16 is positive over the longer term. Appointment of private sector honchos can also be a game changer in the overall management strategy of PSU banks

We believe that, going ahead, asset quality woes and, consequently,

growth concerns for PSU banks will continue for the bulk of FY16E. The expected turnaround in the economy should augur well for the banking sector, as a whole. Hence, we remain positive on the sector over the long term

Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential Banking & Financial Services Reliance Banking Fund UTI Thematic - Banking Sector Fund

Refer to www.icicidirect.com for

details of the fund

Equity FMCG FMCG companies continue to witness muted demand from both rural

and urban India. With the significant correction in commodity prices, the industry has taken price cuts to pass on raw material benefits. This has affected revenue growth, mainly due to the absence of a price hike in sales. However, a decline in commodity prices has resulted in a considerable expansion in operating margins despite companies increasing their advertisement & promotion (A&P) spend

In the last few months, the valuation multiples of FMCG companies have seen some contraction in the wake of concerns over a demand revival. We believe recent events would remain an overhang on FMCG stocks. This may result in a further contraction of premium multiples it commands vis-à-vis the market

Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential FMCG Fund SBI FMCG Fund

Refer www.icicidirect.com

for details of the fund

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Positive

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Neutral

Page 10: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 9

Equity pharma funds Strong visibility on the back of a good product basket and a reasonable

base business growth continue to attract buying interest in the pharma sector despite premium valuations

US and Indian formulations remain main growth drivers for the sector on the back of a strong pipeline and incremental product launches. Healthy operating margins, relatively low leverage and strong return ratios are some of the other attributes for most pharma players

The rupee has weakened vis-à-vis the US$ and is likely to stay at the higher level, which is likely to nullify the currency impact in Europe and rest of the world

We continue to maintain our long term bullish view on the sector despite premium valuations on the back of earning visibility, consistent operating cash flows and strong balance sheets

Preferred Picks

Reliance Pharma Fund SBI Pharma Fund UTI-Pharma & Healthcare

Refer to www.icicidirect.com

for details of the fund

Equity Technology Funds

Tier-I IT companies ex-Wipro (to report on October 21) reported average 3.2% QoQ (3.1% estimate) dollar revenue growth in Q2FY16 vs. 3.1% decline in Q1FY16 and 1.2% decline in Q4FY15. Constant currency revenues grew 4% as dollar growth was negatively impacted (~80 bps) by cross currency headwinds. Infosys reported a stellar revenue beat while TCS and HCL Tech were soft led by company specific reasons. Currency tailwinds and operational efficiency were key margin tailwinds partially offset by wage hikes and business re-investments (S&M, onsite). The FY16E commentary was upbeat led by healthy deal signings and traction in digital technologies

Operationally, discretionary spending remains healthy in the US and led growth while Europe rebounded modestly. Insurance, telecom and oil & gas verticals are structurally challenged and growth continues to be uneven

The average rupee has depreciated ~5.2% in H1FY16 and could aid margins leading to earnings upgrade in FY16E, FY17E. Upsides could be in line with earnings upgrades given blended valuations are at ~16x FY17E. However, sharp sell-offs should be used to accumulate given long-term growth prospects

Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential Technology Fund DSPBR Technology fund

Refer to www.icicidirect.com for

details of the fund

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Positive

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Positive

Page 11: Mutual Fund Reviewcontent.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMFReport_Oct15.pdfForeign institutional investors turned net buyers during October and bought shares worth US$555

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 10

Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) In India, three kinds of ETFs are available: Equity index ETFs, liquid

ETFs and gold ETFs

An equity index ETF tracks a particular equity index such as the BSE Sensex, NSE Nifty, Nifty Junior, etc

An equity index ETF scores higher than index funds on several grounds. The expense of investing in ETFs is relatively less by 0.50-1.00% in comparison to an index fund. The expense ratio for ETFs is in the range of 0.50-0.75%, excluding brokerage, while for index funds the expense ratio varies in the range of 1.0-1.5%. However, brokerage (which varies) is applicable on ETFs while there are no entry loads now on index funds

Tracking error, which explains extent of deviation of returns from the underlying index, is usually low in ETFs as it tracks the equity index on a real time basis whereas it is done only once in a day for index funds

ETFs also provide liquidity as they are traded on stock exchanges and investors may subscribe or redeem them even on an intra-day basis. This is unavailable in index funds, which are subscribed/redeemed only on a closing NAV basis

There are over 400 ETFs traded globally. ETFs are transparent and cost efficient. The decision on which ETF to buy should be largely governed by the decision on getting exposure in that asset class

Volumes are higher only in the Goldman Sachs Benchmark ETFs and tracking error is also lowest at 0.01%. Therefore, it is our top pick for investors wanting Nifty-linked returns

CPSE ETF is a new entry in the Goldman Sachs ETF offering. The ETF invests in select 10 PSU stocks and has been listed on the exchange since April. It has delivered 16% return since its launch

Exhibit 10: CPSE ETF leads high inflows

51

-439

429 492773

128

752 623

-579-334

73

-216

469

1927

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 11: AUM increases sharply

5239

4737 54

65 5997 67

02

7056 77

95

8060

7404

7317

7322

7170

7032

8920

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

| Cr

ore

Other ETFs

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Traded volumes should be the major criterion that is used

while deciding on investment in ETFs. Higher volumes

ensure lower spread and better pricing to investors...

Tracking error, though it should be considered, is not the

deciding factor as variation among funds is not huge...

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Page 11

Balanced funds Balanced funds are hybrid funds. More than 65% of the overall portfolio

is invested in equities. Hence, as per provisions of the Income Tax Act, 1961, any capital gains over one year become tax free. Also, dividends declared by funds are tax free

In case you separately invest 35% of your investible corpus in a debt fund, the same will be subject to higher taxation. However, if the whole corpus is invested in balanced funds, 100% shall have lower taxation applicable as mentioned above

After a sharp rally in equity markets, the funds can be a preferred investment avenue as the debt proportion serves to protect on intermediate relief rallies or the downturn while providing 65% participation on further upsides

Exhibit 12: Moderate inflow…

448732

12351491

1202 1425

2075

879

1789

835 1183

4419

1358

0500

100015002000250030003500400045005000

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 13: Stable AUM…

1729

3

1827

7

2108

0

2276

9

2449

0

2579

2

2650

7

2636

8

2701

5

2874

9

3225

9

3455

0

3466

0

13000

18000

23000

28000

33000

38000

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

| Cr

ore

Balanced

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential Balanced - Advantage Fund

HDFC Balanced Fund

Tata Balanced Fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

Monthly Income Plans (MIP) An MIP offers investors an option to invest in debt with some

participation in equity, ~10-25% of the portfolio. They are suitable for investors who seek higher return from a debt portfolio and are comfortable taking nominal risk. The debt corpus of the portfolio provides regular income while the equity portion of the fund provides alpha. However, returns can also get eroded by a fall in equities

MIPs can be classified into aggressive MIP and conservative MIP based on its equity allocation. Risk averse investors should invest in MIPs with lower equity allocation to avoid capital erosion

The change in taxation announced in the Union Budget 2014, shall be applicable to MIP funds (refer to debt funds section for details)

Preferred Picks

Birla Sun Life MIP II - Savings 5 Plan

ICICI Prudential MIP 25

DSPBR MIP Fund

(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

Investors with a limited investible surplus and a lower risk

appetite but with a willingness to invest in equities can

look to invest in these funds

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Positive

MIP should be a preferred debt investment for funds that need to be parked for over two years

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Page 12

Arbitrage Funds Arbitrage funds seek to exploit market inefficiencies that get manifested

as mispricing in the cash (stock) and derivative markets

Availability of arbitrage positions depends very much on the market scenario. A directional movement in the broader index attracts speculators in the market and cost of funding makes futures positions biased

Arbitrage funds are classified as equity funds as they invest into equity share and equity derivative instruments. Since these are classified as equity funds for taxation, dividends declared by the funds are tax free. No capital gains tax will be applicable if they are sold after a year

These funds can be looked upon as an alternative to liquid funds. However, for these funds, returns totally depend on arbitrage opportunities available at a particular point of time and investors should consider reviewing the same before investing. Returns of arbitrage funds are non-linear and, therefore, unsuitable for investors who want consistent return across time period

Arbitrage funds should be used as a liquid investment and should not be a major part of the investor’s portfolio

Availability of arbitrage positions depends very much on the market scenario. Directional movement in the broader index attracts speculators in the market while cost of funding makes future positions biased

In case of positive movement, long build-up in futures puts pricing in an upward bias and creates a window for direct arbitrage positions

On the other hand, negative bias attracts fresh sellers in the market. Speculators try to sell the stock much cheaper than theoretical prices. In such situations, reverse arbitrage opportunities arise

On the other hand, a range bound market does not give ample room to create arbitrage positions

Currently, there are few arbitrage opportunities available in the market which can lead to better returns

Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential Equity - Arbitrage Fund – Regular IDFC Arbitrage Fund - (Regular) Kotak Equity Arbitrage Fund SBI Arbitrage Opportunities Fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

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Page 13

Debt funds Exhibit 14: Category average returns

7.95

12.0

3

9.11

7.83

11.5

3

8.99

8.01

9.42

8.78

8.10 8.

63 8.86

7.76 8.24 8.66

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

6 months 1 year 3year%

Gilt Funds Income LT Income ST Income UST Liquid

Source: ACE MF, ICICIdirect.com Research Note : Returns as on October 15, 2015; Returns over one year are compounded annualised returns

Exhibit 15: Deployment of funds: September 2015

CP Bank CD

Bank CD

Bank CD

Corporate Debt

-500

00 0

5000

0

1000

00

1500

00

2000

00

2500

00

3000

00

3500

00

Less than 90 days

90 days to 182days

182 days to 1 year

1 year and above

Government Securities

CP

Bank CD

Treasury Bills

CBLO

Other Money Market Investments

Corporate Debt

PSU Bonds

Securitised Debt

Bank FD

Source: SEBI, ICICIdirect.com Research Note : Holding as percentage of total AUM

Exhibit 16: G-sec yield curve

7.5 7.7

7.67.5

7.8 7.9

7.8

7.4

7.5

7.6

7.7

7.8

7.9

8.0

1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr

Yiel

d (%

)

14-Oct-15 15-Sep-15

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 17: Corporate bond curve

8.2

8.38.1

7.9

8.48.48.4

8.3

7.4

7.6

7.8

8.0

8.2

8.4

8.6

1yr 3yr 5yr 10 yr

Yiel

d (%

)

14-Oct-15 15-Sep-15

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Liquid Funds View Neutral

With yields correcting over 80 bps in a year, gilt and duration funds outperformed The RBI has cut its repo rate by 125 bps in the current year, which will push overall interest rates down, thus benefiting duration funds further

Investment into securities with maturity of less than 90 days and more than one year dominate total investments by mutual funds

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Page 14

Liquid fund returns moderated to 8.1-8.7% pre tax from over 9% earned in the previous year. Liquid funds witnessed an outflow of | 60861 crore as a quarter end phenomenon

The Reserve Bank of India’s proactive liquidity management operations ensured that Call rates stayed range bound around the policy rate reducing day-to-day volatility. CBLO rates also hovered just above the repo rate. With an improvement in liquidity conditions, the certificate of deposit and commercial paper rates in the three month bracket also eased over 100 bps to the 7.5-8% range from 9.1-9.3%. The same is likely to moderate returns in liquid funds, going forward

For less than a year, individuals in the higher tax bracket should opt for dividend option as the dividend distribution tax @ 28.325% is marginally lower. Also, though the tax arbitrage has reduced, they still earn better pre-tax returns over bank savings (3-4%) and current accounts (0-3%)

Changes in taxation rules announced in Union Budget 2014 are also applicable to liquid funds, as post tax returns in less than a three-year period get reduced for individuals falling in the higher tax bracket (30% tax slab) and for corporates

Exhibit 18: Call rates near repo rate

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Jul-1

4Au

g-14

Sep-

14Oc

t-14

Nov

-14

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5Ap

r-15

May

-15

Jun-

15Ju

l-15

Aug-

15Se

p-15

Oct-1

5

%

Call rate

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 19: …CP/CD yields decreases

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

10.0

Jul-1

4Au

g-14

Sep-

14Oc

t-14

Nov

-14

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5Ap

r-15

May

-15

Jun-

15Ju

l-15

Aug-

15Se

p-15

Oct-1

5

%

3M CD 3M CP

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 20: Flows into liquid funds remain volatile on institutional activity

-67,

318

100,

611

-52,

460

-50,

786

85,8

48

8,78

4

-112

,810

101,

592

-15,

657

-47,

330

-60,

861-5

,864

89,9

78

-70,

489

-200,000

-160,000

-120,000

-80,000

-40,000

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 21: AUM declines in September due to net outflow

2450

35

1845

25

2788

07

2281

49

1784

91

2653

58

2760

70

1625

62

2667

22

2538

99

2069

79

3007

38

2341

41

1785

07

80000

130000

180000

230000

280000

330000

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

| Cr

ore

Money Market

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Preferred Picks

HDFC Cash Management Fund - Savings Plan SBI Magnum InstaCash Reliance Liquid Fund - Treasury Plan

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

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Page 15

Income funds In the income funds category, long term debt funds outperformed

delivering 11.5% absolute return in the last year (as on October 15, 2015). The recent 50 bps rate cut by RBI has boosted returns of long-term bond funds, including income and gilt medium and long-term funds

Amtek Auto's default on its loan repayment to JP Morgan and worries about the presence of stressed companies in fixed income portfolios triggered outflows from these funds. As a result, income funds witnessed an outflow of | 26717 crore during the month. At this juncture, credit opportunities funds should be avoided due to high credit risk of A rated papers. Instead, funds holding mainly AA and AAA rated papers pose good investment opportunity due to higher returns and low credit risk

Given the sharp rate cuts of 125 basis points this calendar year, it is believed that there may be an extended pause or another 25 basis points till March 2016. Hence, it may make sense to invest in a mix of short-term income funds and dynamic bond funds and avoid long duration gilt funds

Exhibit 22: Income funds witness strong outflows

-12,

696

-10,

567

15,4

46 19,8

44

-1,6

32

12,1

63

-152

-8,9

27 -2,5

10 4,20

5

5,86

1

-26,

717

21,7

13

12,6

71

-30,000

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

Net

Inflo

ws

(| .C

r)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 23: AUM declines

4611

14

4544

95

4759

68

5005

95

5021

54

5202

34

5223

66

5157

73

5146

28

5221

78

5289

00

5558

84

5495

63

5710

89

300000350000400000450000500000550000600000

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

| Cr

ore

Income

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Recommended funds

Ultra Short Term Funds Birla Sun Life Savings Fund ICICI Prudential Flexible income

Short Term Funds Birla Sunlife short term fund HDFC Short Term Fund ICICI Pru Short Term Plan

Short Term Funds – Credit opportunities Birla Sunlife Short Term opportunities term HDFC Corporate debt opportunities ICICI Prudential Regular Savings

Long term/Dynamic Birla Sunlife income plus ICICI Prudential Dynamic Bond Fund IDFC dynamic bond fund

(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Ultra-short term: Positive

Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

Ultra-short-term fund returns are attractive on risk adjusted basis Short-term funds will benefit as the bond curve reverts to an upward slopping curve. Credit opportunities funds earn the highest accrual and are the best in the category Dynamic bond funds are suitable for all types of investors and for longer duration. They can take exposure to all durations as per the interest rate outlook and switch between G secs and corporate bonds

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Page 16

Gilt Funds In September 2015, gilt funds delivered 12.0% absolute return in the

last year, the highest among debt funds. We believe the odds remain in favour of the government securities yield trending down over the next one or two years. In the quarter gone by, 10 year G-sec yields have fallen 28 bps. While the spread between these instruments and repo rate was generally 40-50 bps, it is currently around 75 bps, meaning yields could slide further by 15-20 bps. However, gilt funds will be less attractive due to the longer holding period (more than three years) as lower accrual income will neutralise the impact of moderate capital gains in the near term

The 125 bps rate cut by the RBI in CY (2015) can push overall interest rates down depending on how soon banks transmit it into the system by repricing their assets and liabilities lower

The RBI has increased the FPI limit in government bonds to 5% of the total outstanding government securities in a staggered manner by March 2018. Currently, the FPI holding is at 3.8%. The change in FPI limits has further opened up room for | 1,20,000 crore in central government securities by March 2018. All these augur well for debt funds, especially duration funds

The central government has signed a memorandum with the RBI setting out a clear inflation objective to bring the inflation rate to the mid-point of the band of 4 +/- 2%. CPI, as per our assessment, should average close to 5% for FY16 (on assumption of normal monsoons and a stable currency). The government’s commitment towards controlling price shocks and steps taken to improve the supply chain are commendable. Also, global prices have corrected sharply and are supportive ranging from crude, metal to food prices. Hence, inflation should likely stay on the intended path. This creates room for the RBI to cut rates by another 100-150 bps in the long term to earn a real return of ~1.5-2%

On the supply front, the Budget has pegged the market borrowing for FY16 at | 6 lakh crore on a gross basis and | 4.56 lakh crore on a net basis (out of this, | 2.34 lakh crore through dated securities and | 15000 through gold bonds have been scheduled for H2FY16). Both gross and net market borrowings were close to market expectations. Borrowing related concern is expected to come down, given the government’s commitment towards reducing the fiscal deficit to 3% of GDP by FY17

Aggressive investors can invest in gilt funds with an investment horizon of one or two years

Recommended funds

Birla Sun Life Gilt Plus - PF Plan - Regular ICICI Prudential LT Gilt Fund - PF Option - Regular

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Neutral

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Page 17

Exhibit 24: Net inflows following recent 50 bps rate cut

-209

132 36

7

814

2090

1813 20

58

1439

164

875

-279

190

143

1183

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

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Page 18

Gold ETFs: Medium-term outlook remains benign Global gold prices traded in a narrow range during September 2015

after an extremely volatile August 2015. Uncertainty surrounding the US Fed rate hike, however, led to some volatility

Global gold prices traded in the range of US$1100 and US$1140 per ounce during September 2015. Indian prices following global prices traded between | 25700 and 26700 per 10 gram

The near term uncertainty surrounding China’s action and deferral of the US Fed rate hike may provide some support to global gold prices in the near term

Investment demand for gold is largely governed by the broader economic climate. One of the major determinants of investment demand is inflationary concerns. With a low global economic growth environment adding to deflationary pressure, inflationary demand factor for gold remains absent in the near term

Another major determinant for global gold prices is real interest rates. With the US Federal Reserve likely to raise interest rates, going forward, the opportunity cost of holding gold will increase while the same is likely to put pressure on gold prices from a medium-term perspective

Exhibit 25: International gold price subdued…

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

1350

1400

Jan-

14Fe

b-14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4M

ay-1

4Ju

n-14

Jul-1

4Au

g-14

Sep-

14Oc

t-14

Nov

-14

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5Ap

r-15

May

-15

Jun-

15Ju

l-15

Aug-

15Se

p-15

Price ($/Ounce)

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 26: …domestic prices follows global trend

24000

26000

28000

30000

32000

34000M

ar-1

4

May

-14

Jul-1

4

Sep-

14

Nov

-14

Jan-

15

Mar

-15

May

-15

Jul-1

5

Sep-

15

|

Price (|/10 grams)

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 27: Outflows for second year….

-112

-47 -3

8 -32

-111

-131

-74

-111

-69

-86 -7

6

-50

-82

-57

-200

0

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr-1

5

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Two years of outflow

Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research

Technically, after the multiyear bull phase during 2004-12, gold prices corrected significantly. The violation of the long term trend line highlights the breach of a decade long trend of outperformance and signals a period of medium-term consolidation

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Page 19

Model Portfolios

Equity funds model portfolio Investors who are wary of investing directly into equities can still get returns almost as good as equity markets through the mutual fund route. We have designed three mutual fund model portfolios, namely, conservative, moderate and aggressive mutual fund portfolios. These portfolios have been designed keeping in mind various key parameters like investment horizon, investment objective, scheme ratings, and fund management. We have changed the mutual funds portfolio in July, to include midcap funds as we believe an improvement in the growth scenario may generate better alpha in midcap stocks over large cap stocks Exhibit 28: Equity model portfolio Particulars Aggressive Moderate ConservativeReview Interval Monthly Monthly QuarterlyRisk Return High Risk- High Return Medium Risk -

Medium ReturnLow Risk - Low Return

Funds Allocation % AllocationFranklin India Prima Plus 20 20 20Birla Sunlife Frontline Equity 20 20 20ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan - - 20UTI Opportunites Fund - 20 20Reliance Long term Equity 20 - -ICICI Prudential Value Discovery 20 20 20HDFC Midcap Opportunities 20 20Grand Total(a+b) 100 100 100

Source: ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 29: Model portfolio performance : One year performance (as on September 30, 2015)

10%

7%

3%

-4%-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Aggressive Moderate Conservative BSE 100

%

Aggressive Moderate Conservative BSE 100

Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, ICICIdirect.com Research Portfolio inception date : April 15, 2009

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Page 20

Debt funds model portfolio We have designed three different mutual fund model portfolios for different investment duration namely less than six months, six months to one year and above one year. These portfolios have been designed keeping in mind various key parameters like investment horizon, interest rate scenarios, credit quality of the portfolio and fund management, etc.

Exhibit 30: Debt funds model portfolio

Particulars

0 – 6 months 6months - 1 Year Above 1 Year

Objective LiquidityLiquidity with

moderate return Above FDReview Interval Monthly Monthly Quarterly

Risk ReturnVery Low Risk - Nominal Return

Medium Risk - Medium Return

Low Risk - High Return

Funds AllocationUltra Short term FundsBirla SL Savings Fund 20ICICI Pru Flexible Income Plan 20Short Term Debt FundsBirla Sunlife Short Term Fund 20 20Birla Sunlife Short Term Opportunites Fund 20Reliance Regular Savingfs Fund 20HDFC Short Term Opportunities Fund 20 20ICICI Prudential Regular Savings 20ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund 20IDFC SSI Short Term 20 20UTI Short Term Income Fund 20Long Term/Dynamic Debt FundsBirla SL Income Plus 20IDFC Dynamic Bond fund 20Total 100 100 100

Time Horizon

% Allocation

Source: ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 32: Model portfolio performance

8.619.50 9.84

8.249.48

11.92

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

0-6 Months 6Months - 1Year Above 1yr

%

Portfolio Index

Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, , ICICIdirect.com Research

*Index: 0-6 month’s portfolio – Crisil Liquid Fund Index; 6 months-1 year – Crisil Short term Index Above 1 year: Crisil Composite Bond Index

Exhibit 31: What’s in - What’s Out What’s In What's Out

Franklin India Ultra Short Bond Fund

Reliance Regular Savings Birla SL Medium Term PlanFranklin India Short term Income FundHDFC Medium Term Opportunities FundSundaram Select Debt

Birla SL Income PlusLong Term/Dynamic Debt Funds

Ultra Short term Debt Funds

Short Term Debt Funds

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

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Page 21

Top Picks Exhibit 33: Category wise top picks

Category Top Picks

Largecaps Birla Sunlife Frontline equity Fund

ICICI Pru Focussed Bluechip Equity Fund

UTI Opportunities Fund

SBI Bluechip Fund

Midcaps HDFC Midcap Opportunities Fund

Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund

SBI Magnum Global Fund

Diversified Franklin India Prima Plus

Reliance Equity Opportunities

ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund

ELSS Axis Long Term Equity

ICICI Prudential Tax Plan

Franklin India Tax shield

Category Top Picks

Liquid Funds HDFC Cash Mgmnt Saving Plan

ICIC Pru Liquid Plan

Reliance Liquid Treasury Plan

Ultra Short Term Birla Sunlife Savings Fund

Reliance Medium Term Fund

ICICI Pru Flexible Income Plan

Short Term Birla Sunlife Short Term FundHDFC Short Term Opportunities Fund

ICICI Pru Short Term Plan

Credit Opportunities Fund Birla Sunlife Short Term Opportunities Plan

Reliance Regular Savings Fund

ICICI Prudential Regular Savings

Income Funds ICICI PrudenIncome Fund

Birla Sun Life Income Plus - Regular Plan

UTI Bond Fund

Gilts Funds ICICI Pru Gilt Inv. PF Plan

Birla Sunlife Constant Maturity 10 year

gilt plan

MIP Birla Sunlife Savings 5Aggressive ICICI Prudential MIP 25

Equity

Debt

(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

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ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Page 22

Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]

ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre, Road No. 7, MIDC, Andheri (East) Mumbai – 400 093

[email protected] Disclaimer ANALYST CERTIFICATION We Sachin Jain, CA, Sheetal Ashar, CA and Isha Bansal, MBA (Fin) Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or Funds. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. Terms & conditions and other disclosures: ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) AMFI Regn. No.: ARN-0845. Registered office of I-Sec is at ICICI Securities Ltd. - ICICI Centre, H. T. Parekh Marg, Churchgate, Mumbai – 400020. India ICICI Securities Limited is a Sebi registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000990. ICICI Securities is a full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the business of stock broking and distribution of financial products. ICICI Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, distribution of financial products etc. (“associates”), the details in respect of which are available on www.icicibank.com. ICICI Securities is one of the leading distributors of Mutual Funds and participate in distribution of Mutual Fund Schemes of almost all AMCs in India. The selection of the Mutual Funds for the purpose of including in the indicative portfolio does not in any way constitute any recommendation by ICICI Securities Limited (hereinafter referred to as ICICI Securities) with respect to the prospects or performance of these Mutual Funds. The investor has the discretion to buy all or any of the Mutual Fund units forming part of any of the indicative portfolios on icicidirect.com. 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ICICI Securities and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this indicative portfolio. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. ICICI Securities may be holding all or any of the units included in the indicative portfolio from time to time as part of our treasury management. ICICI Securities Limited is not providing the service of Portfolio Management Services (Discretionary or Non Discretionary) to its clients. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully. Kindly note that such research recommended funds in indicative portfolio are not based on individual risk profile of each customer unless a customer has opted for a paid Investment Advisory Service offered by I-Sec. Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. The information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Securities Limited. The contents of this mail are solely for informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments or any other product. While due care has been taken in preparing this mail, I-Sec and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of any inaccurate, delayed or incomplete information nor for any actions taken in reliance thereon. 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ICICI Securities also provides stock broking services to institutional clients including AMCs. Hence, ICICI Securities may have received brokerage for security transactions done by any of the above AMCs during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report