JUNE 5th, 2014 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: DAVID FLAHERTY, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES RE: ARIZONA GOVERNOR REPUBLICAN PRIMARY SURVEY ________________________________________________________________________ This memorandum is a summary of an automated voice recorded survey 630n likely Republican primary voters in the state of Arizona. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.90% at the 95% confidence level, the survey was fielded June 3 rd and 4 th . Governor Ballot Test It is clear that Doug Ducey has been successful introducing himself voters in this early stage of the Arizona Governor’s race, and voters like what they see so far in the candidate. The survey finds Doug Ducey maintaining a double digit, 12 point lead over a very crowded field of candidates with 28% support, followed by Scott Smith with 16%, Christine Jones with 12%, and Ken Bennett with 12%. Candidates Al Melvin and Frank Riggs have 2% each and 23% remain undecided. This survey’s ballot test is similar to our last Republican primary survey fielded May 13 th and 14 th that showed Doug Ducey with a 14 point lead over the other candidates with 27% support. The current survey shows Scott Smith moving up by 4 points from 12% to 16% compared to our May survey, gaining a little distance on Ken Bennett and Christine Jones who had 13% and 12% respectively. Governor Ballot Test Among Key Voting Subgroups The most important voting subgroup in an Arizona Republican primary is senior voters aged 65 and older, which make up slightly more than 40% of the total vote. Among the senior subgroup Doug Ducey has 28% support and a 15 point lead over Scott Smith and Christine Jones with 13%each. Among all male voters Doug Ducey’s lead is 19 points, with 32% and 13% for Scott Smith and Christine Jones respectively. Among all female voter the ballot test is much tighter, with Doug Ducey having 24% support, Scott Smith with 18%, and Christine Jones with 11%. Another revealing insight into the race is reviewing the ballot test among voters that consider themselves closer to the Tea Party, and voters that identify themselves as closer to the “traditional Republican Party”. Among voters that consider themselves closer to the Tea Party (46% of all respondents), Doug Ducey has a 23 point lead with 34% of the vote, Christine Jones with 12%, and Scott Smith with 11%.
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! JUNE 5th, 2014 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: DAVID FLAHERTY, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES RE: ARIZONA GOVERNOR REPUBLICAN PRIMARY SURVEY ________________________________________________________________________ This memorandum is a summary of an automated voice recorded survey 630n likely Republican primary voters in the state of Arizona. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.90% at the 95% confidence level, the survey was fielded June 3rd and 4th. Governor Ballot Test It is clear that Doug Ducey has been successful introducing himself voters in this early stage of the Arizona Governor’s race, and voters like what they see so far in the candidate. The survey finds Doug Ducey maintaining a double digit, 12 point lead over a very crowded field of candidates with 28% support, followed by Scott Smith with 16%, Christine Jones with 12%, and Ken Bennett with 12%. Candidates Al Melvin and Frank Riggs have 2% each and 23% remain undecided. This survey’s ballot test is similar to our last Republican primary survey fielded May 13th and 14th that showed Doug Ducey with a 14 point lead over the other candidates with 27% support. The current survey shows Scott Smith moving up by 4 points from 12% to 16% compared to our May survey, gaining a little distance on Ken Bennett and Christine Jones who had 13% and 12% respectively. Governor Ballot Test Among Key Voting Subgroups The most important voting subgroup in an Arizona Republican primary is senior voters aged 65 and older, which make up slightly more than 40% of the total vote. Among the senior subgroup Doug Ducey has 28% support and a 15 point lead over Scott Smith and Christine Jones with 13%each. Among all male voters Doug Ducey’s lead is 19 points, with 32% and 13% for Scott Smith and Christine Jones respectively. Among all female voter the ballot test is much tighter, with Doug Ducey having 24% support, Scott Smith with 18%, and Christine Jones with 11%. Another revealing insight into the race is reviewing the ballot test among voters that consider themselves closer to the Tea Party, and voters that identify themselves as closer to the “traditional Republican Party”. Among voters that consider themselves closer to the Tea Party (46% of all respondents), Doug Ducey has a 23 point lead with 34% of the vote, Christine Jones with 12%, and Scott Smith with 11%.
!!!!!Arizona Republican Primary Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 630n autodial survey of likely Republican primary voters, and independent and unaffiliated voters that are likely to vote in the Republican primary election in the state of Arizona. The interviews were conducted June 3rd and 4th, 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.90% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past Republican primary election voting demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? Republican .............................................................. 86% Independent ............................................................ 14%
T2. As you may know, independent voters can vote in the August primary election. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) Extremely likely ....................................................... 79% Very likely ............................................................... 16% Somewhat likely ........................................................ 5%
T3. And if the primary election were being held today, would you choose to vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked only to respondents who self- identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) Republican primary ............................................... 100%
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
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T4. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as registered Republicans) Extremely likely ....................................................... 92% Very likely ................................................................. 6% Somewhat likely ........................................................ 2%
T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Bennett? Favorable ................................................................ 26% Unfavorable ........................................................... 15% No opinion ............................................................. 34% Never heard of ....................................................... 22% Unsure ...................................................................... 3% Name ID ................................................................ 75% Hard name ID ......................................................... 41%
T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Ducey? Favorable ................................................................ 39% Unfavorable ........................................................... 21% No opinion ............................................................. 31% Never heard of ......................................................... 8% Unsure ...................................................................... 1% Name ID ................................................................ 91% Hard name ID ......................................................... 60%
T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Christine Jones?
Favorable ................................................................ 22% Unfavorable ........................................................... 27% No opinion ............................................................. 29% Never heard of ....................................................... 21% Unsure ...................................................................... 1% Name ID ................................................................ 78% Hard name ID ......................................................... 49%
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
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T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Smith? Favorable ................................................................ 23% Unfavorable ........................................................... 17% No opinion ............................................................. 32% Never heard of ....................................................... 25% Unsure ...................................................................... 3% Name ID ................................................................ 72% Hard name ID ......................................................... 40%
T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Horne? Favorable ................................................................ 20% Unfavorable ........................................................... 60% No opinion ............................................................. 15% Never heard of ......................................................... 2% Unsure ...................................................................... 3% Name ID ................................................................ 95% Hard name ID ......................................................... 80%
T10. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Brnovich? Favorable .................................................................. 7% Unfavorable ........................................................... 13% No opinion ............................................................. 29% Never heard of ....................................................... 49% Unsure ...................................................................... 2% Name ID ................................................................ 49% Hard name ID ......................................................... 20%
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
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T11. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Al Melvin, Frank Riggs, Scott Smith, and Andrew Thomas? Doug Ducey ........................................................... 28% Scott Smith .............................................................. 16% Christine Jones ........................................................ 12% Ken Bennett ............................................................ 12% Andrew Thomas ........................................................ 5% Al Melvin .................................................................. 2% Frank Riggs ............................................................... 2% Undecided .............................................................. 23%
T12. If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Tom Horne and Mark Brnovich? Mark Brnovich ........................................................ 43% Tom Horne ............................................................. 26% Undecided .............................................................. 31%
T13. If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Michele Reagan and Justin Pierce? Michele Reagan ...................................................... 20% Wil Cardon ............................................................. 18% Justin Pierce ............................................................ 15% Undecided ............................................................. 47%
T14. If the Republican primary election for Treasurer were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jeff DeWit, Randy Pullen, and Hugh Hallman? Hugh Hallman ........................................................ 14% Jeff DeWit ............................................................... 13% Randy Pullen ............................................................. 8% Undecided .............................................................. 65%
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
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T15. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to fiscal issues like taxes and government spending? Very conservative .................................................... 45% Conservative ........................................................... 37% Moderate ................................................................ 16% Liberal ....................................................................... 2%
T16. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage? Very conservative .................................................... 41% Conservative ........................................................... 26% Moderate ................................................................ 19% Liberal ..................................................................... 14%
T17. If you had to choose, would you identify yourself more closely with the traditional Republican Party, or would you identify yourself more closely with the Tea Party Movement? Traditional Republican party ................................... 43% Tea Party Movement ............................................... 46% No opinion ............................................................. 11%
And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes only… T18. Are you a man or a woman? Woman ................................................................... 52% Man ........................................................................ 48%
T19. What is your marital status? Married ................................................................... 69% Single and have never been married ......................... 4% Unmarried and living with a partner ......................... 5% Widowed ................................................................ 13% Separated .................................................................. 0% Divorced ................................................................... 7% No opinion ............................................................... 2%
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
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T20. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-34 ........................................................................ 7% 35-44 ...................................................................... 10% 45-54 ...................................................................... 19% 55-64 ...................................................................... 23% 65+ ......................................................................... 41%
T21. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. White ...................................................................... 88% Hispanic or Latino ..................................................... 6% Another ethnic group ................................................ 6%
Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from an Arizona voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past Republican primary election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 3rd and 4th, 2014. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.90% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
Magellan Strategies Arizona 2014 Likely Republican Primary Voter Summary 785n, MoE +/- 3.50%, May 28th to June 1st 2
Magellan Strategies |1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585
Among voters that consider themselves closer to the “traditional Republican Party” (43% of all respondents), Doug Ducey trails Scott Smith by 2 points, 24% to 22% respectively, and Ken Bennett comes in third with 18%. Candidate Image Ratings Looking at the candidate image ratings, we find Doug Ducey having the highest favorability rating among all candidates with 39% having a favorable opinion of him and 21% having an unfavorable opinion of him. 31% of have heard of Doug Ducey but do not have an opinion of him. Scott Smith and Ken Bennett have net-positive image ratings with 23% favorable/17% unfavorable/32% heard of but no opinion, and Ken Bennett with 26% favorable/15% unfavorable/34% heard of but no opinion. Among the leading candidates Christine Jones has a net-negative image rating with 22% having a favorable opinion of her, 27% and unfavorable opinion and 20% have heard of her and have no opinion. Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using an automated voice recorded method interviewing 630n likely 2014 Republican primary voters. The interviews were conducted on June 3rd and 4th, of 2014. The sample for this survey was randomly selected from an Arizona voter file and was selected proportionate to the state’s likely non-Presidential voting population in accordance with a probability sample design that gives all voters an equal chance to be included. The results were slightly weighted to reflect past gender and age demographics of the non-Presidential voting population. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 3.90% at the 95 percent confidence interval. Any questions regarding this survey should be directed to David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies at [email protected] or 303-861-8585. About Magellan Strategies Magellan Strategies is a full-service survey research firm offering quantitative, qualitative, and predictive data modeling services to Republican candidates, campaigns and conservative organizations across the country.
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-1 SUMMARY TABLES GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
BENNETT IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE
164 26.0
81 26.8
61 25.4
19 31.7
83 25.3
44 22.6
32 25.7
4 8.3
12 19.5
33 27.8
50 34.5
64 25.0
23 25.8
6 15.7
70 24.3
65 30.2
152 27.4
5 12.9
7 18.9
71 26.2
74 25.7
UNFAVORABLE
94 14.9
51 16.8
43 17.8
8 12.7
43 13.1
21 10.8
22 17.5
20 45.7
12 19.8
27 22.6
13 9.2
21 8.0
6 7.1
4 9.8
53 18.2
31 14.5
70 12.7
15 36.4
9 25.2
42 15.6
51 17.6
DUCEY IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE
245 39.0
135 44.5
109 45.3
25 41.2
111 33.8
67 34.3
37 29.3
5 10.4
27 43.3
47 39.3
64 44.1
103 39.7
29 32.9
11 29.2
122 42.2
83 38.9
222 39.9
9 22.6
15 42.1
79 29.2
137 47.3
UNFAVORABLE
134 21.3
57 18.7
47 19.4
10 16.5
77 23.6
40 20.4
37 30.0
21 48.0
10 15.7
25 20.6
31 21.1
48 18.5
10 11.9
5 12.0
74 25.6
45 21.0
108 19.5
19 48.5
6 18.5
82 30.4
47 16.1
JONES IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE
141 22.3
77 25.5
62 25.8
15 24.6
63 19.4
39 19.8
25 19.8
2 4.5
17 26.7
36 29.8
28 19.4
58 22.5
21 24.2
10 25.7
70 24.3
39 18.3
123 22.2
10 24.6
8 22.3
54 20.2
78 26.9
UNFAVORABLE
170 27.0
82 27.1
68 28.1
14 22.9
88 26.9
44 22.4
40 32.4
20 45.7
14 21.9
27 22.2
40 27.8
69 26.9
14 15.3
7 19.3
93 32.1
56 26.4
145 26.0
16 40.7
9 27.1
68 25.4
84 29.2
SMITH IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE
145 22.9
73 24.2
50 20.9
23 37.5
72 21.8
49 25.0
23 18.1
14 31.2
14 21.9
25 20.6
38 26.2
54 21.0
11 12.6
2 4.0
54 18.6
78 36.4
132 23.7
4 10.9
9 24.7
83 30.9
53 18.2
UNFAVORABLE
105 16.6
59 19.4
52 21.7
6 9.4
46 14.1
19 9.5
28 22.1
10 22.9
7 10.4
30 24.8
24 16.8
34 13.2
8 9.2
5 12.8
53 18.4
38 17.9
88 15.9
12 29.6
5 13.2
36 13.2
60 20.7
HORNE IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE
127 20.2
79 26.1
63 26.1
15 24.9
49 14.8
32 16.3
17 13.3
3 6.7
11 16.9
20 16.6
30 20.5
64 24.9
23 25.6
14 37.7
48 16.6
42 19.8
112 20.1
12 30.1
4 11.1
40 14.9
77 26.5
UNFAVORABLE
377 59.9
179 59.2
146 60.4
33 55.5
198 60.5
126 64.4
69 55.3
30 68.7
31 49.7
82 68.4
88 60.4
146 56.7
44 49.8
13 35.6
191 65.9
129 60.3
332 59.8
24 60.3
21 61.3
189 70.3
149 51.5
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-2 SUMMARY TABLES FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-3 SUMMARY TABLES GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
GOP ATTORNEY GENERAL BALLOT
MARK BRNOVICH
268 42.6
40 54.8
73 41.8
43 57.5
1 10.1
7 58.6
49 49.1
16 48.2
38 25.9
268 100.0
53 47.1
75 60.0
32 34.4
109 36.2
47 57.8
28 52.6
39 43.7
154 38.0
TOM HORNE
165 26.2
20 26.9
60 34.4
16 21.4
9 62.9
3 21.4
24 24.1
7 20.9
26 17.9
165 100.0
31 28.1
35 28.1
30 32.6
69 22.8
21 26.0
19 35.2
27 30.0
99 24.3
UNDECIDED
196 31.2
13 18.3
42 23.8
16 21.1
4 27.0
2 19.9
27 26.8
10 30.8
82 56.1
196 100.0
28 24.8
15 11.9
30 33.0
123 41.0
13 16.2
6 12.3
24 26.3
153 37.7
GOP SOS BALLOT
MICHELE REAGAN
125 19.8
24 32.2
28 16.2
30 40.1
2 11.1
26 25.6
3 10.5
12 8.2
35 21.2
75 27.9
15 7.6
125 100.0
21 26.0
15 27.9
19 20.9
70 17.3
WIL CARDON
112 17.8
14 18.8
42 24.0
13 17.8
8 54.9
3 21.4
17 16.9
6 17.4
9 6.4
31 19.0
53 19.7
28 14.2
112 100.0
32 39.8
19 35.5
17 19.2
44 10.7
JUSTIN PIERCE
92 14.7
7 8.9
27 15.6
9 11.3
1 10.1
3 23.7
17 17.5
18 54.1
10 7.0
30 18.2
32 11.9
30 15.5
92 100.0
17 21.4
12 22.9
40 44.1
23 5.7
UNDECIDED
301 47.7
29 40.0
78 44.2
23 30.8
4 23.9
7 54.9
40 40.0
6 18.0
114 78.4
69 41.5
109 40.5
123 62.7
301 100.0
10 12.9
7 13.6
14 15.8
269 66.2
GOP TREASURER BALLOT
HUGH HALLMAN
90 14.3
10 13.5
23 12.8
11 14.2
2 15.6
2 12.4
27 27.4
13 38.2
3 2.0
27 16.3
39 14.6
24 12.1
17 15.4
19 15.0
40 42.9
14 4.7
90 100.0
JEFF DEWIT
81 12.9
8 11.4
30 17.1
8 10.9
4 27.2
6 46.2
5 5.0
7 19.9
13 9.1
21 12.8
47 17.5
13 6.7
32 28.9
21 16.9
17 18.8
10 3.5
81 100.0
RANDY PULLEN
53 8.4
9 12.7
19 10.8
11 14.4
10 10.0
1 1.7
3 2.3
19 11.3
28 10.4
6 3.3
19 16.8
15 11.8
12 13.1
7 2.4
53 100.0
UNDECIDED
406 64.4
46 62.4
104 59.3
46 60.6
8 57.3
5 41.4
57 57.6
13 40.2
126 86.5
99 59.6
154 57.5
153 77.9
44 38.9
70 56.2
23 25.2
269 89.4
406 100.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-4 SUMMARY TABLES GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
GOP ATTORNEY GENERAL BALLOT
MARK BRNOVICH
268 42.6
58 25.5
144 59.9
250 44.3
18 28.1
TOM HORNE
165 26.2
86 37.8
44 18.5
138 24.4
27 43.0
UNDECIDED
196 31.2
84 36.7
52 21.6
177 31.3
1 100.0
18 28.9
GOP SOS BALLOT
MICHELE REAGAN
125 19.8
46 20.2
50 21.0
119 21.1
6 9.2
WIL CARDON
112 17.8
52 22.9
44 18.4
98 17.3
14 22.1
JUSTIN PIERCE
92 14.7
39 16.9
36 15.0
89 15.7
1 100.0
2 3.8
UNDECIDED
301 47.7
91 39.9
110 45.6
259 45.9
41 64.8
GOP TREASURER BALLOT
HUGH HALLMAN
90 14.3
34 15.1
46 19.1
88 15.5
2 3.7
JEFF DEWIT
81 12.9
38 16.7
31 12.8
76 13.5
5 8.3
RANDY PULLEN
53 8.4
21 9.2
28 11.6
49 8.6
4 6.4
UNDECIDED
406 64.4
135 59.1
136 56.5
352 62.4
1 100.0
52 81.6
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
REPUBLICAN
541 85.9
257 85.1
201 83.2
57 94.0
284 86.6
176 89.9
100 80.6
41 91.9
52 82.6
103 86.1
129 89.0
217 83.8
79 89.2
31 82.4
248 85.6
183 85.6
482 86.8
32 79.1
28 79.6
230 85.6
257 88.9
INDEPENDENT
89 14.1
45 14.9
40 16.8
4 6.0
44 13.4
20 10.1
24 19.4
4 8.1
11 17.4
17 13.9
16 11.0
42 16.2
10 10.8
7 17.6
42 14.4
31 14.4
73 13.2
8 20.9
7 20.4
39 14.4
32 11.1
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-2 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-3 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
REPUBLICAN
541 85.9
59 81.0
160 91.0
58 77.0
12 79.9
12 100.0
84 84.5
29 87.5
126 86.8
144 87.3
223 83.1
174 88.5
102 90.7
99 79.3
81 88.1
259 86.2
76 93.7
50 94.8
80 89.4
334 82.4
INDEPENDENT
89 14.1
14 19.0
16 9.0
17 23.0
3 20.1
15 15.5
4 12.5
19 13.2
21 12.7
45 16.9
23 11.5
10 9.3
26 20.7
11 11.9
42 13.8
5 6.3
3 5.2
10 10.6
71 17.6
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-4 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
REPUBLICAN
541 85.9
205 90.0
210 87.4
486 86.1
1 100.0
53 83.8
INDEPENDENT
89 14.1
23 10.0
30 12.6
79 13.9
10 16.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T2. As you may know, independent voters can vote in the August primary election. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
89 100.0
45 100.0
40 100.0
4 100.0
44 100.0
20 100.0
24 100.0
4 100.0
11 100.0
17 100.0
16 100.0
42 100.0
10 100.0
7 100.0
42 100.0
31 100.0
73 100.0
8 100.0
7 100.0
39 100.0
32 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
71 79.5
35 78.5
31 77.5
3 84.9
35 80.6
13 68.2
22 90.7
4 100.0
10 87.1
11 64.7
10 59.8
37 89.2
7 78.4
5 81.4
31 75.2
26 85.3
56 76.3
8 100.0
6 88.6
32 83.3
26 80.2
VERY LIKELY
14 15.8
8 16.9
7 18.1
8.3
6 14.6
6 31.8
0.6
6 35.3
6 37.1
2 5.4
2 21.6
1 9.0
9 21.1
3 8.3
13 18.3
1 7.9
6 16.1
6 18.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
4 4.7
2 4.6
2 4.5
6.8
2 4.8
2 8.7
1 12.9
3.1
2 5.4
1 9.6
2 3.7
2 6.4
4 5.3
3.5
0.6
1.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-2 T2. As you may know, independent voters can vote in the August primary election. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-3 T2. As you may know, independent voters can vote in the August primary election. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
89 100.0
14 100.0
16 100.0
17 100.0
3 100.0
15 100.0
4 100.0
19 100.0
21 100.0
45 100.0
23 100.0
10 100.0
26 100.0
11 100.0
42 100.0
5 100.0
3 100.0
10 100.0
71 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
71 79.5
11 77.8
13 82.6
11 63.1
3 100.0
15 100.0
4 100.0
13 69.1
19 89.5
35 77.7
17 74.1
10 100.0
17 64.7
10 93.6
33 79.9
5 100.0
3 100.0
8 82.6
55 76.9
VERY LIKELY
14 15.8
3 22.2
2 13.0
4 25.9
4 22.8
2 10.5
8 17.5
4 17.2
7 27.9
1 6.4
6 14.7
14 19.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
4 4.7
1 4.4
2 11.0
2 8.1
2 4.8
2 8.7
2 7.4
2 5.4
2 17.4
2 3.5
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-4 T2. As you may know, independent voters can vote in the August primary election. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
89 100.0
23 100.0
30 100.0
79 100.0
10 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
71 79.5
16 69.6
30 98.2
64 81.0
7 68.2
VERY LIKELY
14 15.8
6 28.0
1.0
11 14.5
3 25.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
4 4.7
1 2.4
0.8
4 4.5
1 6.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 T3. And if the primary election were being held today, would you choose to vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
89 100.0
45 100.0
40 100.0
4 100.0
44 100.0
20 100.0
24 100.0
4 100.0
11 100.0
17 100.0
16 100.0
42 100.0
10 100.0
7 100.0
42 100.0
31 100.0
73 100.0
8 100.0
7 100.0
39 100.0
32 100.0
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
89 100.0
45 100.0
40 100.0
4 100.0
44 100.0
20 100.0
24 100.0
4 100.0
11 100.0
17 100.0
16 100.0
42 100.0
10 100.0
7 100.0
42 100.0
31 100.0
73 100.0
8 100.0
7 100.0
39 100.0
32 100.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-2 T3. And if the primary election were being held today, would you choose to vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-3 T3. And if the primary election were being held today, would you choose to vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
89 100.0
14 100.0
16 100.0
17 100.0
3 100.0
15 100.0
4 100.0
19 100.0
21 100.0
45 100.0
23 100.0
10 100.0
26 100.0
11 100.0
42 100.0
5 100.0
3 100.0
10 100.0
71 100.0
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
89 100.0
14 100.0
16 100.0
17 100.0
3 100.0
15 100.0
4 100.0
19 100.0
21 100.0
45 100.0
23 100.0
10 100.0
26 100.0
11 100.0
42 100.0
5 100.0
3 100.0
10 100.0
71 100.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-4 T3. And if the primary election were being held today, would you choose to vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters) GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
89 100.0
23 100.0
30 100.0
79 100.0
10 100.0
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
89 100.0
23 100.0
30 100.0
79 100.0
10 100.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T4. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as registered Republicans) GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
541 100.0
257 100.0
201 100.0
57 100.0
284 100.0
176 100.0
100 100.0
41 100.0
52 100.0
103 100.0
129 100.0
217 100.0
79 100.0
31 100.0
248 100.0
183 100.0
482 100.0
32 100.0
28 100.0
230 100.0
257 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
500 92.4
246 95.6
192 95.8
54 94.6
254 89.6
163 92.5
84 83.7
41 100.0
49 93.8
93 90.2
122 94.9
196 90.4
73 92.8
28 89.4
228 91.8
172 93.7
441 91.6
31 99.5
28 100.0
203 88.1
245 95.5
VERY LIKELY
31 5.7
9 3.4
7 3.5
2 3.4
22 7.7
11 6.1
11 11.1
3 6.2
9 9.1
6 4.6
12 5.6
3 4.1
1 4.4
17 7.0
9 4.9
31 6.3
0.5
21 9.0
8 3.3
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
10 1.9
3 1.0
1 0.7
1 1.9
8 2.7
2 1.4
5 5.2
1 0.7
1 0.6
9 4.0
2 3.1
2 6.2
3 1.2
3 1.5
10 2.1
7 2.8
3 1.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-2 T4. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as registered Republicans) FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-3 T4. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as registered Republicans) GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
541 100.0
59 100.0
160 100.0
58 100.0
12 100.0
12 100.0
84 100.0
29 100.0
126 100.0
144 100.0
223 100.0
174 100.0
102 100.0
99 100.0
81 100.0
259 100.0
76 100.0
50 100.0
80 100.0
334 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
500 92.4
57 95.6
144 90.2
51 86.8
10 85.1
12 100.0
83 98.3
28 98.1
115 91.1
129 89.7
213 95.7
157 90.6
95 93.9
90 90.7
80 98.7
235 90.6
72 94.7
46 91.8
79 98.3
303 90.6
VERY LIKELY
31 5.7
2 3.2
12 7.4
6 10.2
2 12.9
1 1.7
1 1.9
8 6.0
14 9.6
6 2.6
11 6.4
5 5.3
7 6.6
19 7.3
2 2.9
3 6.0
25 7.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
10 1.9
1 1.2
4 2.4
2 3.0
2.1
4 2.9
1 0.7
4 1.7
5 3.0
1 0.8
3 2.7
1 1.3
6 2.1
2 2.3
1 2.2
1 1.7
6 1.8
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-4 T4. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as registered Republicans) GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
541 100.0
205 100.0
210 100.0
486 100.0
1 100.0
53 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
500 92.4
193 94.3
197 93.6
450 92.4
1 100.0
49 92.3
VERY LIKELY
31 5.7
8 4.0
10 4.9
29 5.9
2 4.1
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
10 1.9
4 1.7
3 1.5
8 1.7
2 3.6
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Bennett? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
70 11.1
30 10.0
18 7.6
11 19.0
40 12.1
23 11.8
10 8.2
-16 -37.4
-0.2
6 5.3
37 25.3
44 17.0
16 18.6
2 5.9
18 6.2
34 15.7
82 14.7
-9 -23.5
-2 -6.4
29 10.6
23 8.1
FAVORABLE
164 26.0
81 26.8
61 25.4
19 31.7
83 25.3
44 22.6
32 25.7
4 8.3
12 19.5
33 27.8
50 34.5
64 25.0
23 25.8
6 15.7
70 24.3
65 30.2
152 27.4
5 12.9
7 18.9
71 26.2
74 25.7
UNFAVORABLE
94 14.9
51 16.8
43 17.8
8 12.7
43 13.1
21 10.8
22 17.5
20 45.7
12 19.8
27 22.6
13 9.2
21 8.0
6 7.1
4 9.8
53 18.2
31 14.5
70 12.7
15 36.4
9 25.2
42 15.6
51 17.6
NO OPINION
217 34.5
101 33.4
83 34.4
18 29.3
116 35.6
79 40.5
37 29.4
17 39.3
18 28.1
25 21.2
49 33.5
108 42.0
32 35.8
15 38.6
94 32.3
78 36.3
186 33.4
16 40.2
16 46.1
94 35.0
96 33.3
NEVER HEARD OF
136 21.6
57 19.0
42 17.3
16 26.2
78 24.0
48 24.5
30 24.4
3 6.7
14 22.7
30 25.2
32 22.0
57 21.9
22 24.7
12 32.3
65 22.3
37 17.5
128 23.1
4 10.5
3 9.8
52 19.4
62 21.4
UNSURE
19 3.1
12 4.1
12 5.1
7 2.1
3 1.6
4 3.0
6 9.9
4 3.2
1 0.8
8 3.1
6 6.6
1 3.6
9 3.0
3 1.6
19 3.5
10 3.8
6 1.9
NAME ID
475 75.4
233 76.9
187 77.6
44 73.8
242 73.9
145 73.9
90 72.6
41 93.3
42 67.4
86 71.7
112 77.3
194 74.9
61 68.7
24 64.1
217 74.7
173 81.0
408 73.4
36 89.5
31 90.2
207 76.8
222 76.7
HARD NAME ID
257 40.9
132 43.5
104 43.3
27 44.5
126 38.4
65 33.4
54 43.2
24 54.1
25 39.3
60 50.4
63 43.7
85 33.0
29 32.9
10 25.5
123 42.5
96 44.7
223 40.0
20 49.4
15 44.1
113 41.8
125 43.3
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-2 T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Bennett? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-3 T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Bennett? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
70 11.1
50 68.4
18 10.5
-7 -8.9
-1 -8.8
2 17.8
-4 -3.5
-2 -6.5
13 8.9
25 15.2
22 8.2
23 11.7
28 25.3
13 10.5
-13 -14.2
42 13.9
15 18.8
17 32.8
-8 -9.1
46 11.2
FAVORABLE
164 26.0
53 72.2
37 21.1
10 12.8
2.0
6 46.0
28 28.0
8 25.7
22 14.9
46 27.8
82 30.5
36 18.3
44 39.4
42 33.5
14 14.6
64 21.4
29 35.4
25 46.6
24 26.2
87 21.4
UNFAVORABLE
94 14.9
3 3.8
19 10.6
16 21.7
2 10.8
3 28.2
31 31.6
11 32.2
9 5.9
21 12.6
60 22.4
13 6.6
16 14.1
29 23.0
27 28.9
22 7.4
14 16.6
7 13.8
32 35.2
41 10.1
NO OPINION
217 34.5
10 13.7
68 38.5
30 39.5
11 74.0
1 8.9
34 34.3
10 30.7
54 36.8
51 30.9
78 29.1
88 45.0
43 38.5
28 22.1
43 46.7
103 34.4
25 30.9
17 31.7
27 29.6
149 36.7
NEVER HEARD OF
136 21.6
3 4.7
45 25.5
19 25.7
2 13.2
2 16.9
6 6.1
4 11.5
54 37.3
40 24.3
45 16.9
51 25.7
6 5.5
25 20.1
6 7.0
98 32.7
14 17.1
3 5.0
8 9.0
111 27.4
UNSURE
19 3.1
4 5.5
8 4.3
0.2
7 5.1
7 4.4
3 1.2
9 4.4
3 2.4
2 1.2
3 2.8
12 4.1
2 2.9
18 4.4
NAME ID
475 75.4
66 89.8
123 70.2
56 74.1
13 86.8
10 83.1
94 93.9
29 88.5
84 57.6
118 71.3
220 82.0
137 69.8
103 92.1
98 78.7
83 90.3
190 63.2
67 82.9
49 92.1
82 91.0
277 68.2
HARD NAME ID
257 40.9
56 76.1
56 31.7
26 34.6
2 12.8
9 74.2
59 59.6
19 57.9
30 20.8
67 40.4
142 52.9
49 24.8
60 53.6
71 56.5
40 43.5
87 28.8
42 52.0
32 60.4
55 61.4
128 31.5
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-4 T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Bennett? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
70 11.1
35 15.4
20 8.4
67 11.8
3 5.1
FAVORABLE
164 26.0
67 29.2
65 27.0
155 27.4
9 14.3
UNFAVORABLE
94 14.9
31 13.8
45 18.6
88 15.5
6 9.2
NO OPINION
217 34.5
74 32.5
73 30.6
189 33.5
28 43.9
NEVER HEARD OF
136 21.6
46 20.3
51 21.3
119 21.1
1 100.0
15 23.8
UNSURE
19 3.1
10 4.2
6 2.5
14 2.4
6 8.7
NAME ID
475 75.4
172 75.5
183 76.1
432 76.5
43 67.5
HARD NAME ID
257 40.9
98 43.0
110 45.6
242 42.9
15 23.5
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Ducey? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
111 17.7
78 25.8
63 25.9
15 24.7
33 10.2
27 13.9
-1 -0.7
-17 -37.6
17 27.6
22 18.7
33 23.1
55 21.2
19 21.0
7 17.2
48 16.6
38 17.9
114 20.4
-10 -25.9
8 23.6
-3 -1.2
90 31.2
FAVORABLE
245 39.0
135 44.5
109 45.3
25 41.2
111 33.8
67 34.3
37 29.3
5 10.4
27 43.3
47 39.3
64 44.1
103 39.7
29 32.9
11 29.2
122 42.2
83 38.9
222 39.9
9 22.6
15 42.1
79 29.2
137 47.3
UNFAVORABLE
134 21.3
57 18.7
47 19.4
10 16.5
77 23.6
40 20.4
37 30.0
21 48.0
10 15.7
25 20.6
31 21.1
48 18.5
10 11.9
5 12.0
74 25.6
45 21.0
108 19.5
19 48.5
6 18.5
82 30.4
47 16.1
NO OPINION
194 30.8
77 25.6
67 27.9
10 16.2
117 35.6
73 37.5
43 34.7
13 28.9
23 36.4
34 28.8
38 26.5
86 33.1
32 36.3
14 37.7
78 27.1
69 32.4
176 31.7
10 24.9
8 23.9
82 30.4
81 27.9
NEVER HEARD OF
50 7.9
31 10.3
15 6.4
16 26.1
19 5.7
14 7.0
5 4.2
6 12.8
3 4.7
10 8.4
12 8.2
19 7.5
15 17.2
7 18.1
15 5.2
13 6.0
44 7.8
2 4.0
5 13.9
25 9.2
21 7.3
UNSURE
7 1.0
3 0.8
3 1.1
4 1.2
2 1.0
2 1.7
3 2.9
0.2
3 1.1
2 1.8
1 3.0
4 1.8
6 1.1
1 1.6
2 0.7
4 1.3
NAME ID
574 91.0
269 88.9
223 92.6
45 73.9
305 93.0
181 92.1
117 94.1
38 87.2
60 95.3
106 88.7
133 91.7
236 91.3
71 81.0
30 78.8
275 94.8
198 92.2
506 91.1
38 96.0
29 84.5
242 90.1
264 91.4
HARD NAME ID
379 60.2
191 63.3
156 64.7
35 57.7
188 57.4
107 54.6
74 59.4
26 58.4
37 59.0
72 59.9
94 65.2
150 58.2
39 44.7
16 41.1
196 67.7
128 59.8
330 59.4
28 71.1
21 60.6
160 59.6
184 63.5
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-2 T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Ducey? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-3 T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Ducey? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
111 17.7
-9 -12.7
149 84.6
-1 -1.2
3 17.6
-5 -40.0
-36 -36.6
-2 -5.3
14 9.3
54 32.6
16 5.8
42 21.4
51 45.2
11 8.5
-2 -2.2
52 17.4
36 44.1
10 18.4
-9 -9.6
74 18.3
FAVORABLE
245 39.0
20 27.5
149 84.6
20 25.8
5 33.8
1 11.6
16 15.6
10 29.6
25 17.5
86 52.0
95 35.3
65 32.9
66 58.6
51 40.7
34 36.8
95 31.6
46 56.6
25 47.2
31 34.9
143 35.3
UNFAVORABLE
134 21.3
29 40.1
20 27.0
2 16.2
6 51.6
52 52.2
12 34.9
12 8.2
32 19.4
79 29.5
23 11.6
15 13.4
40 32.2
36 39.0
43 14.2
10 12.5
15 28.7
40 44.5
69 16.9
NO OPINION
194 30.8
18 24.4
24 13.6
27 35.8
6 37.8
4 32.3
25 24.9
12 35.5
79 54.2
40 24.4
70 26.3
83 42.4
28 24.8
27 21.3
19 20.2
121 40.2
21 25.5
13 24.1
12 13.8
148 36.5
NEVER HEARD OF
50 7.9
6 8.0
2 0.9
8 10.6
2 12.2
1 4.5
7 7.3
25 17.1
7 4.2
22 8.1
21 10.8
4 3.2
7 5.8
3 3.7
36 11.8
4 5.5
5 5.0
41 10.1
UNSURE
7 1.0
2 0.9
1 0.7
4 3.0
2 0.8
4 2.3
0.3
6 2.1
2 1.8
5 1.2
NAME ID
574 91.0
68 92.0
172 98.2
67 88.7
13 87.8
12 95.5
92 92.7
33 100.0
116 79.9
158 95.8
244 91.1
171 87.0
108 96.8
118 94.2
89 96.0
259 86.0
77 94.5
53 100.0
84 93.2
360 88.7
HARD NAME ID
379 60.2
50 67.6
149 84.6
40 52.9
7 50.1
8 63.2
67 67.7
21 64.5
37 25.7
118 71.4
174 64.8
87 44.5
81 72.0
91 72.8
70 75.8
138 45.8
56 69.1
40 75.9
71 79.4
212 52.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-4 T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Ducey? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
111 17.7
68 29.9
12 4.9
103 18.2
9 13.5
FAVORABLE
245 39.0
101 44.3
88 36.5
229 40.5
17 26.4
UNFAVORABLE
134 21.3
33 14.4
76 31.6
126 22.3
8 12.9
NO OPINION
194 30.8
74 32.3
58 23.9
168 29.7
26 41.3
NEVER HEARD OF
50 7.9
17 7.5
18 7.3
37 6.6
1 100.0
11 17.5
UNSURE
7 1.0
3 1.5
2 0.7
5 1.0
1 1.8
NAME ID
574 91.0
208 91.0
221 91.9
522 92.4
51 80.7
HARD NAME ID
379 60.2
134 58.7
163 68.0
354 62.7
25 39.4
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Christine Jones? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
-30 -4.7
-5 -1.6
-5 -2.2
1 1.7
-25 -7.5
-5 -2.5
-16 -12.7
-18 -41.2
3 4.8
9 7.6
-12 -8.4
-11 -4.4
8 8.9
2 6.3
-23 -7.8
-17 -8.0
-22 -3.9
-6 -16.1
-2 -4.8
-14 -5.2
-7 -2.3
FAVORABLE
141 22.3
77 25.5
62 25.8
15 24.6
63 19.4
39 19.8
25 19.8
2 4.5
17 26.7
36 29.8
28 19.4
58 22.5
21 24.2
10 25.7
70 24.3
39 18.3
123 22.2
10 24.6
8 22.3
54 20.2
78 26.9
UNFAVORABLE
170 27.0
82 27.1
68 28.1
14 22.9
88 26.9
44 22.4
40 32.4
20 45.7
14 21.9
27 22.2
40 27.8
69 26.9
14 15.3
7 19.3
93 32.1
56 26.4
145 26.0
16 40.7
9 27.1
68 25.4
84 29.2
NO OPINION
182 28.8
77 25.5
60 24.9
17 28.3
104 31.9
74 37.8
30 24.4
16 37.0
16 25.9
18 15.2
51 35.0
80 31.0
27 30.7
11 28.3
67 23.0
77 35.9
157 28.2
11 26.8
14 41.3
82 30.6
76 26.3
NEVER HEARD OF
131 20.8
61 20.2
46 19.2
14 23.9
70 21.3
39 20.0
28 22.2
6 12.8
16 25.5
36 29.7
26 17.8
48 18.6
23 26.5
9 24.9
60 20.6
38 18.0
125 22.4
3 7.8
3 9.3
63 23.3
46 16.0
UNSURE
7 1.0
5 1.7
5 2.0
0.3
1 0.5
1 1.2
4 3.2
3 1.1
3 3.3
1 1.8
3 1.4
7 1.2
1 0.5
5 1.6
NAME ID
492 78.2
236 78.1
190 78.8
46 75.9
256 78.2
157 80.0
95 76.6
38 87.2
47 74.5
80 67.1
119 82.2
208 80.4
62 70.2
28 73.3
230 79.4
173 80.6
424 76.4
37 92.2
31 90.7
205 76.2
238 82.3
HARD NAME ID
311 49.4
159 52.7
130 53.9
29 47.6
152 46.3
83 42.2
65 52.2
22 50.2
31 48.7
62 51.9
68 47.2
128 49.4
35 39.5
17 45.0
163 56.3
96 44.7
268 48.2
26 65.4
17 49.4
123 45.6
162 56.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-2 T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Christine Jones? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-3 T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Christine Jones? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
-30 -4.7
-16 -22.5
-24 -13.5
52 69.4
2 13.1
-4 -29.0
-29 -28.7
-12 -35.6
0.1
-9 -5.7
-5 -1.7
-16 -7.9
12 10.7
16 12.6
-29 -31.4
-28 -9.4
25 30.4
-7 -13.0
-33 -37.1
-14 -3.5
FAVORABLE
141 22.3
12 16.4
31 17.9
53 70.7
5 30.5
3 22.6
15 14.7
3 9.1
19 13.0
45 27.2
69 25.6
27 13.8
43 38.5
49 38.9
14 14.7
35 11.8
42 51.3
13 24.5
15 16.9
71 17.5
UNFAVORABLE
170 27.0
28 38.8
55 31.4
1 1.2
3 17.3
6 51.6
43 43.4
15 44.7
19 12.9
54 32.8
73 27.3
43 21.8
31 27.8
33 26.3
43 46.1
64 21.2
17 20.9
20 37.4
48 54.0
85 20.9
NO OPINION
182 28.8
17 23.2
52 29.8
10 12.7
4 28.7
3 21.3
32 32.3
11 34.3
52 35.8
33 20.1
79 29.5
69 35.2
28 25.2
27 21.2
31 33.6
96 31.9
20 24.9
18 34.2
18 20.1
125 30.8
NEVER HEARD OF
131 20.8
16 21.6
34 19.4
12 15.3
3 23.4
1 4.5
10 9.6
4 11.9
52 35.6
30 18.3
46 17.3
54 27.6
9 8.0
17 13.5
5 5.5
100 33.3
2 2.9
2 4.0
8 9.1
118 29.2
UNSURE
7 1.0
3 1.5
4 2.7
3 1.6
1 0.3
3 1.6
1 0.5
0.2
6 2.0
7 1.6
NAME ID
492 78.2
57 78.4
139 79.1
64 84.7
11 76.6
12 95.5
90 90.4
29 88.1
90 61.7
132 80.1
221 82.4
139 70.8
102 91.5
108 86.5
87 94.4
195 64.8
79 97.1
51 96.0
82 90.9
281 69.2
HARD NAME ID
311 49.4
40 55.2
87 49.3
54 71.9
7 47.8
9 74.2
58 58.1
18 53.8
38 25.9
99 60.0
142 52.9
70 35.6
74 66.3
81 65.2
56 60.8
99 32.9
59 72.2
33 61.9
64 70.8
156 38.4
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-4 T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Christine Jones? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
-30 -4.7
-3 -1.1
-20 -8.2
-28 -4.9
-2 -2.8
FAVORABLE
141 22.3
60 26.3
55 22.9
130 23.0
11 17.3
UNFAVORABLE
170 27.0
62 27.4
75 31.1
157 27.9
13 20.1
NO OPINION
182 28.8
61 26.9
58 24.1
161 28.5
21 32.2
NEVER HEARD OF
131 20.8
39 17.3
53 21.9
113 20.0
1 100.0
17 26.2
UNSURE
7 1.0
5 2.2
4 0.7
3 4.3
NAME ID
492 78.2
184 80.6
188 78.1
448 79.3
44 69.5
HARD NAME ID
311 49.4
122 53.6
130 54.0
287 50.8
24 37.4
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Smith? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
40 6.3
14 4.8
-2 -0.8
17 28.1
25 7.8
30 15.5
-5 -4.0
4 8.3
7 11.5
-5 -4.2
14 9.4
20 7.9
3 3.4
-3 -8.8
1 0.2
40 18.5
43 7.8
-7 -18.7
4 11.4
48 17.7
-7 -2.5
FAVORABLE
145 22.9
73 24.2
50 20.9
23 37.5
72 21.8
49 25.0
23 18.1
14 31.2
14 21.9
25 20.6
38 26.2
54 21.0
11 12.6
2 4.0
54 18.6
78 36.4
132 23.7
4 10.9
9 24.7
83 30.9
53 18.2
UNFAVORABLE
105 16.6
59 19.4
52 21.7
6 9.4
46 14.1
19 9.5
28 22.1
10 22.9
7 10.4
30 24.8
24 16.8
34 13.2
8 9.2
5 12.8
53 18.4
38 17.9
88 15.9
12 29.6
5 13.2
36 13.2
60 20.7
NO OPINION
200 31.7
103 34.1
88 36.7
15 24.4
97 29.5
65 33.1
31 25.1
14 31.1
24 37.7
24 20.4
44 30.3
94 36.5
33 37.3
13 33.6
99 34.1
55 25.9
170 30.7
19 46.8
11 31.8
68 25.4
107 37.0
NEVER HEARD OF
161 25.5
60 19.7
42 17.4
17 28.7
101 30.8
60 30.8
34 27.5
7 14.8
17 26.6
31 26.0
38 26.4
68 26.3
29 32.3
17 44.2
77 26.5
39 18.0
145 26.1
5 12.7
10 30.3
72 26.8
62 21.4
UNSURE
20 3.2
8 2.6
8 3.3
12 3.7
3 1.7
9 7.3
2 3.4
10 8.1
0.3
8 3.0
7 8.5
2 5.4
7 2.4
4 1.8
20 3.6
10 3.6
8 2.8
NAME ID
449 71.3
235 77.7
191 79.3
43 71.3
214 65.4
133 67.6
81 65.3
38 85.2
44 70.0
79 65.9
106 73.3
183 70.7
52 59.2
19 50.4
206 71.1
172 80.2
390 70.3
35 87.3
24 69.7
187 69.6
219 75.8
HARD NAME ID
249 39.6
132 43.5
103 42.6
28 46.9
118 35.9
68 34.4
50 40.2
24 54.1
20 32.3
54 45.5
62 43.0
88 34.2
19 21.9
6 16.8
107 37.0
116 54.3
220 39.6
16 40.5
13 37.9
119 44.2
112 38.8
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-2 T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Smith? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-3 T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Smith? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
40 6.3
-15 -20.5
-17 -9.5
-3 -3.4
3.1
-9 -69.7
90 90.8
-10 -29.9
2 1.2
18 10.9
2 0.9
20 9.9
6 5.6
11 8.5
-3 -3.3
26 8.7
-17 -20.8
4 7.8
10 11.1
43 10.5
FAVORABLE
145 22.9
10 13.3
17 9.6
8 11.0
2 13.9
1 4.4
91 91.3
3 9.1
13 9.0
40 24.0
69 25.5
36 18.5
34 30.6
42 33.7
18 20.0
50 16.5
12 15.2
18 33.5
34 38.1
80 19.8
UNFAVORABLE
105 16.6
25 33.8
33 19.1
11 14.4
2 10.8
9 74.2
1 0.6
13 39.0
11 7.8
22 13.1
66 24.7
17 8.5
28 25.0
31 25.2
21 23.2
24 7.9
29 36.0
14 25.7
24 27.1
38 9.2
NO OPINION
200 31.7
26 34.9
58 33.2
31 41.2
7 44.5
1 4.5
7 6.7
15 45.3
56 38.6
52 31.5
77 28.8
71 36.0
27 24.1
32 26.0
43 46.4
98 32.5
30 36.8
18 34.4
21 22.9
131 32.4
NEVER HEARD OF
161 25.5
13 18.0
59 33.5
25 33.4
5 30.9
1 4.5
1 1.5
2 6.6
54 37.4
46 27.7
48 18.0
67 33.9
20 17.5
19 15.1
9 10.0
113 37.5
10 12.1
3 6.5
9 10.2
138 34.1
UNSURE
20 3.2
8 4.6
2 12.4
11 7.2
6 3.7
8 3.0
6 3.1
3 2.7
0.4
17 5.6
2 1.8
19 4.6
NAME ID
449 71.3
60 82.0
109 61.8
50 66.6
10 69.1
10 83.1
98 98.5
31 93.4
81 55.4
113 68.6
212 79.0
124 63.0
89 79.7
106 84.9
83 89.6
171 56.9
72 87.9
50 93.5
79 88.0
249 61.4
HARD NAME ID
249 39.6
35 47.1
50 28.7
19 25.4
4 24.6
10 78.6
92 91.9
16 48.1
24 16.8
61 37.2
135 50.2
53 27.0
62 55.6
74 58.9
40 43.2
73 24.4
42 51.2
31 59.2
59 65.2
118 29.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-4 T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Smith? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
40 6.3
22 9.4
1 0.3
43 7.7
-3 -5.4
FAVORABLE
145 22.9
56 24.7
53 22.1
141 25.0
3 5.1
UNFAVORABLE
105 16.6
35 15.2
52 21.8
98 17.3
7 10.5
NO OPINION
200 31.7
71 31.1
66 27.3
175 30.9
1 100.0
24 37.4
NEVER HEARD OF
161 25.5
56 24.7
62 25.8
137 24.2
24 37.1
UNSURE
20 3.2
10 4.3
7 3.1
14 2.5
6 9.8
NAME ID
449 71.3
162 71.0
171 71.2
414 73.3
1 100.0
34 53.1
HARD NAME ID
249 39.6
91 39.9
105 43.9
239 42.4
10 15.6
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Horne? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
-250 -39.7
-100 -33.1
-83 -34.3
-18 -30.7
-150 -45.7
-94 -48.2
-52 -42.0
-27 -61.9
-21 -32.9
-62 -51.8
-58 -39.9
-82 -31.8
-21 -24.2
1 2.2
-143 -49.2
-87 -40.5
-221 -39.7
-12 -30.2
-17 -50.2
-149 -55.4
-72 -25.0
FAVORABLE
127 20.2
79 26.1
63 26.1
15 24.9
49 14.8
32 16.3
17 13.3
3 6.7
11 16.9
20 16.6
30 20.5
64 24.9
23 25.6
14 37.7
48 16.6
42 19.8
112 20.1
12 30.1
4 11.1
40 14.9
77 26.5
UNFAVORABLE
377 59.9
179 59.2
146 60.4
33 55.5
198 60.5
126 64.4
69 55.3
30 68.7
31 49.7
82 68.4
88 60.4
146 56.7
44 49.8
13 35.6
191 65.9
129 60.3
332 59.8
24 60.3
21 61.3
189 70.3
149 51.5
NO OPINION
97 15.3
31 10.3
26 10.6
6 9.3
65 20.0
31 15.9
30 24.2
11 24.6
21 32.8
14 11.3
17 12.0
34 13.2
15 16.5
8 21.0
36 12.3
39 18.0
85 15.2
4 9.0
8 24.0
36 13.3
45 15.7
NEVER HEARD OF
13 2.1
7 2.3
2 0.9
5 7.7
6 1.9
3 1.5
3 2.6
0.6
4 3.4
5 3.4
4 1.4
7 8.0
1 2.9
2 0.9
3 1.2
12 2.1
0.6
1 3.5
3 1.2
5 1.8
UNSURE
15 2.4
6 2.0
5 1.9
2 2.6
9 2.8
4 1.8
6 4.5
0.3
5 3.6
10 3.8
1 2.8
13 4.4
2 0.8
15 2.8
1 0.3
13 4.5
NAME ID
601 95.5
289 95.7
234 97.2
54 89.7
312 95.3
189 96.7
116 92.8
44 100.0
63 99.4
115 96.3
135 93.0
245 94.8
81 92.0
36 94.3
275 94.8
210 98.1
528 95.1
40 99.4
33 96.5
265 98.5
271 93.7
HARD NAME ID
505 80.1
258 85.4
209 86.5
48 80.4
247 75.3
158 80.7
85 68.6
33 75.4
42 66.6
102 84.9
117 81.0
211 81.6
67 75.5
28 73.3
239 82.5
171 80.0
444 79.9
36 90.4
25 72.5
229 85.2
226 78.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-2 T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Horne? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-3 T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Horne? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
-250 -39.7
-36 -49.0
-57 -32.2
-31 -41.5
1 4.8
-9 -69.6
-68 -67.8
-11 -34.6
-39 -26.9
79 47.7
-247 -92.0
-82 -41.7
-57 -51.1
-45 -36.3
-32 -34.3
-116 -38.5
-35 -43.1
-25 -47.1
-48 -53.3
-142 -35.0
FAVORABLE
127 20.2
17 22.7
42 24.0
18 24.2
5 35.4
1 9.0
10 10.2
5 15.3
29 19.7
103 62.2
5 2.0
19 9.9
24 21.0
32 25.7
17 18.1
55 18.3
17 20.6
13 24.2
13 14.3
85 21.0
UNFAVORABLE
377 59.9
53 71.6
99 56.2
50 65.8
5 30.6
10 78.6
78 78.1
17 49.9
68 46.6
24 14.5
252 94.0
101 51.6
81 72.1
77 61.9
48 52.4
171 56.8
52 63.7
38 71.3
61 67.6
227 55.9
NO OPINION
97 15.3
3 3.8
28 15.9
5 7.1
4 27.5
11 11.2
11 33.1
34 23.7
32 19.5
8 2.9
57 28.8
8 6.7
14 11.2
23 25.2
52 17.2
13 15.7
2 4.5
13 14.6
68 16.8
NEVER HEARD OF
13 2.1
1 2.0
2 2.9
1 5.6
9 6.0
1 0.6
12 6.2
2 2.6
11 3.6
3 2.9
11 2.6
UNSURE
15 2.4
7 3.9
1.0
2 12.4
1 0.5
1 1.6
6 4.0
5 3.3
3 1.1
7 3.5
0.1
2 1.2
2 1.6
12 4.0
1 0.6
15 3.7
NAME ID
601 95.5
72 98.0
169 96.1
73 97.1
14 93.4
11 87.6
99 99.5
33 98.4
131 90.0
159 96.1
265 98.9
177 90.3
112 99.9
123 98.8
89 95.7
278 92.4
81 100.0
53 100.0
87 96.5
380 93.7
HARD NAME ID
505 80.1
69 94.3
141 80.3
68 90.0
10 66.0
11 87.6
88 88.3
22 65.3
97 66.4
127 76.6
257 95.9
121 61.5
104 93.1
109 87.6
65 70.5
226 75.1
69 84.3
51 95.5
74 81.9
312 76.9
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-4 T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Horne? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
-250 -39.7
-47 -20.6
-136 -56.4
-246 -43.5
-4 -6.4
FAVORABLE
127 20.2
58 25.4
44 18.3
105 18.6
23 35.5
UNFAVORABLE
377 59.9
105 46.1
180 74.7
351 62.1
27 41.9
NO OPINION
97 15.3
52 22.9
9 3.7
85 15.1
11 18.0
NEVER HEARD OF
13 2.1
6 2.7
3 1.4
10 1.8
1 100.0
2 3.0
UNSURE
15 2.4
7 2.9
4 1.8
14 2.5
1 1.7
NAME ID
601 95.5
215 94.4
232 96.7
541 95.7
61 95.3
HARD NAME ID
505 80.1
163 71.5
224 93.0
455 80.6
49 77.4
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 T10. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Brnovich? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
-37 -5.9
-11 -3.8
-14 -5.9
3 4.9
-26 -7.8
-6 -3.0
-20 -15.8
-21 -48.0
-9 -14.1
7 5.7
-2 -1.6
-11 -4.4
5 6.2
-3 -9.3
-33 -11.3
-6 -2.9
-23 -4.1
-10 -24.6
-4 -12.3
-16 -6.0
-25 -8.6
FAVORABLE
44 7.0
24 7.9
14 6.0
9 15.7
21 6.3
15 7.7
6 4.5
3 4.6
15 12.6
12 8.6
14 5.4
8 9.6
2 5.5
13 4.4
21 9.9
39 7.1
4 9.6
1 3.3
22 8.3
18 6.1
UNFAVORABLE
81 12.9
35 11.6
29 11.9
7 10.8
46 14.1
21 10.7
25 20.3
21 48.0
12 18.6
8 6.9
15 10.2
25 9.8
3 3.4
6 14.7
46 15.7
27 12.8
62 11.2
14 34.1
5 15.6
39 14.3
43 14.7
NO OPINION
180 28.6
104 34.4
87 36.0
17 27.5
76 23.3
50 25.7
26 20.8
16 37.0
22 35.1
23 19.4
34 23.3
85 32.9
23 25.6
10 26.3
84 29.1
64 29.7
152 27.4
14 36.2
14 39.4
65 24.1
91 31.3
NEVER HEARD OF
309 49.0
127 42.1
100 41.5
27 44.4
182 55.4
108 55.3
66 53.1
7 15.0
24 37.6
69 57.6
80 55.3
129 50.1
48 54.8
18 48.8
143 49.4
99 46.1
286 51.5
8 20.2
14 41.7
136 50.5
134 46.2
UNSURE
15 2.4
12 4.0
11 4.6
1 1.6
3 0.9
1 0.6
2 1.4
3 4.1
4 3.5
4 2.7
4 1.7
6 6.6
2 4.7
4 1.4
3 1.6
15 2.7
7 2.8
5 1.7
NAME ID
306 48.6
163 53.9
130 53.9
33 54.1
143 43.7
86 44.0
57 45.5
37 85.0
37 58.3
47 38.9
61 42.0
124 48.2
34 38.5
18 46.5
142 49.2
112 52.3
254 45.7
32 79.8
20 58.3
126 46.8
151 52.1
HARD NAME ID
126 20.0
59 19.5
43 17.8
16 26.5
67 20.4
36 18.3
31 24.8
21 48.0
15 23.2
23 19.5
27 18.7
39 15.3
11 13.0
8 20.2
58 20.1
48 22.6
102 18.3
17 43.7
7 18.9
61 22.7
60 20.7
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-2 T10. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Brnovich? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-3 T10. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Brnovich? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
-37 -5.9
-1 -2.0
-6 -3.5
2 2.8
-2 -10.8
4 29.3
-25 -25.3
-11 -32.5
3 1.7
-26 -15.8
-7 -2.7
-4 -1.8
-4 -3.9
-13 -10.3
-17 -18.5
-3 -0.8
0.4
-1 -2.7
-20 -22.8
-15 -3.8
FAVORABLE
44 7.0
11 14.3
5 3.0
8 10.0
6 46.2
7 6.8
1 4.4
7 4.9
8 4.8
35 13.0
2 0.8
11 9.6
18 14.6
7 7.8
8 2.7
14 17.8
9 17.8
12 13.4
9 2.1
UNFAVORABLE
81 12.9
12 16.3
12 6.6
5 7.2
2 10.8
2 16.9
32 32.1
12 36.9
5 3.2
34 20.6
42 15.7
5 2.6
15 13.5
31 24.9
24 26.4
11 3.6
14 17.3
11 20.4
32 36.1
24 5.9
NO OPINION
180 28.6
20 26.7
61 34.5
27 35.2
5 36.4
2 19.9
18 18.1
13 38.5
35 23.9
48 29.0
81 30.3
51 26.0
34 29.9
34 26.9
42 45.4
71 23.6
27 33.7
16 30.4
24 26.9
113 27.7
NEVER HEARD OF
309 49.0
30 41.5
93 53.0
35 46.8
8 52.8
2 16.9
40 40.5
7 20.2
93 63.9
69 41.9
105 39.0
135 68.7
50 45.0
39 31.5
18 20.0
201 66.8
25 31.2
17 31.4
21 23.3
246 60.6
UNSURE
15 2.4
1 1.2
5 2.9
1 0.7
3 2.5
6 4.1
6 3.7
5 1.9
4 2.0
2 1.9
3 2.0
0.4
10 3.3
0.3
15 3.7
NAME ID
306 48.6
42 57.3
77 44.1
40 52.5
7 47.2
10 83.1
57 57.0
26 79.8
47 32.0
90 54.4
159 59.1
58 29.3
59 53.1
83 66.5
74 79.6
90 29.9
56 68.8
36 68.6
69 76.4
145 35.8
HARD NAME ID
126 20.0
22 30.7
17 9.6
13 17.2
2 10.8
8 63.2
39 38.9
14 41.3
12 8.1
42 25.4
77 28.8
7 3.4
26 23.2
49 39.5
32 34.2
19 6.3
29 35.1
20 38.2
45 49.5
33 8.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-4 T10. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Brnovich? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
(FAV - UNFAV)
-37 -5.9
-24 -10.3
-14 -5.8
-34 -6.0
-3 -4.9
FAVORABLE
44 7.0
12 5.2
22 9.3
41 7.3
3 5.1
UNFAVORABLE
81 12.9
35 15.5
36 15.1
75 13.3
6 10.0
NO OPINION
180 28.6
73 32.1
57 23.8
161 28.5
19 30.3
NEVER HEARD OF
309 49.0
98 43.2
122 50.7
279 49.3
1 100.0
29 45.3
UNSURE
15 2.4
9 4.0
3 1.2
9 1.6
6 9.4
NAME ID
306 48.6
120 52.8
116 48.1
277 49.1
29 45.4
HARD NAME ID
126 20.0
47 20.7
59 24.4
116 20.6
10 15.1
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-1 T11. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Al Melvin, Frank Riggs, Scott Smith, and Andrew Thomas? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
DOUG DUCEY
176 27.9
96 31.7
82 34.2
14 22.5
80 24.3
52 26.4
27 22.1
5 10.4
15 23.0
41 34.2
45 30.8
71 27.5
18 20.0
9 24.7
98 33.9
51 23.6
160 28.9
9 21.5
7 19.2
60 22.4
97 33.7
SCOTT SMITH
100 15.8
40 13.2
31 12.7
9 15.4
60 18.2
40 20.4
20 15.9
14 31.2
10 15.4
13 11.1
29 20.0
34 13.1
2 2.8
1 1.4
39 13.3
58 27.1
90 16.2
3 6.7
7 19.9
64 23.9
31 10.6
CHRISTINE JONES
76 12.0
40 13.3
29 12.2
11 17.8
35 10.8
26 13.1
10 7.9
1 2.3
9 14.4
27 22.3
5 3.2
34 13.2
11 12.1
6 16.8
37 12.8
21 10.0
69 12.5
5 13.5
1 2.7
32 11.8
36 12.4
KEN BENNETT
73 11.6
43 14.1
38 15.9
4 7.1
31 9.4
15 7.8
13 10.3
6 8.8
11 8.9
26 17.8
31 12.1
14 15.6
3 8.8
32 11.1
24 11.3
67 12.1
3 7.2
3 9.6
47 17.5
22 7.7
ANDREW THOMAS
33 5.2
13 4.4
9 3.9
4 6.3
20 6.0
4 1.9
16 12.8
17 39.3
5 4.0
2 1.2
9 3.5
3 3.3
0.8
13 4.6
17 7.8
19 3.5
14 34.3
3 1.3
28 9.8
AL MELVIN
15 2.4
7 2.3
7 2.8
8 2.4
5 2.7
3 2.2
1 2.2
3 2.8
2 1.1
9 3.4
8 9.4
2 5.6
3 1.1
1 0.6
10 1.7
1 2.5
4 12.2
4 1.6
9 3.1
FRANK RIGGS
12 1.9
3 1.1
2 0.6
2 2.8
9 2.8
4 2.1
5 4.0
1 2.3
4 3.4
7 2.6
5 1.6
8 3.6
12 2.1
1 1.6
2 0.6
9 3.2
UNDECIDED
146 23.1
60 20.0
43 17.6
17 28.2
85 26.0
50 25.7
31 24.8
6 14.6
23 36.1
16 13.3
37 25.9
63 24.4
33 36.9
16 41.9
63 21.7
34 16.1
128 23.0
6 14.3
12 34.8
56 20.9
56 19.5
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-2 T11. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Al Melvin, Frank Riggs, Scott Smith, and Andrew Thomas? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-3 T11. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Al Melvin, Frank Riggs, Scott Smith, and Andrew Thomas? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
DOUG DUCEY
176 27.9
176 100.0
60 36.5
73 27.3
42 21.3
42 37.6
28 22.7
27 29.6
78 25.9
30 37.0
19 35.7
23 25.1
104 25.6
SCOTT SMITH
100 15.8
100 100.0
24 14.5
49 18.2
27 13.6
17 15.0
26 20.4
17 18.8
40 13.3
5 6.2
10 18.7
27 30.4
57 14.1
CHRISTINE JONES
76 12.0
76 100.0
16 9.8
43 16.2
16 8.1
13 12.0
30 24.2
9 9.3
23 7.7
8 10.1
11 20.5
11 11.9
46 11.3
KEN BENNETT
73 11.6
73 100.0
20 12.0
40 15.0
13 6.8
14 12.3
24 18.9
7 7.1
29 9.8
8 10.3
9 17.6
10 11.0
46 11.3
ANDREW THOMAS
33 5.2
33 100.0
7 4.2
16 5.9
10 5.2
6 5.1
3 2.8
18 19.4
6 2.0
7 8.1
1 1.0
13 14.0
13 3.3
AL MELVIN
15 2.4
15 100.0
9 5.6
1 0.6
4 2.0
8 7.3
2 1.3
1 1.6
4 1.2
4 5.0
2 2.6
8 2.1
FRANK RIGGS
12 1.9
12 100.0
3 1.6
7 2.7
2 1.2
3 2.3
3 3.1
7 2.2
6 7.0
2 1.7
5 1.3
UNDECIDED
146 23.1
146 100.0
26 15.8
38 14.1
82 41.6
9 8.3
12 9.6
10 11.1
114 38.0
13 16.3
3 6.4
3 3.3
126 31.1
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-4 T11. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Al Melvin, Frank Riggs, Scott Smith, and Andrew Thomas? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
DOUG DUCEY
176 27.9
58 25.6
72 30.1
160 28.4
15 24.2
SCOTT SMITH
100 15.8
31 13.5
43 17.7
99 17.5
1 0.8
CHRISTINE JONES
76 12.0
34 15.0
31 12.8
69 12.3
6 9.7
KEN BENNETT
73 11.6
18 8.1
35 14.8
66 11.8
7 10.9
ANDREW THOMAS
33 5.2
12 5.4
15 6.4
33 5.9
AL MELVIN
15 2.4
9 4.1
4 1.6
7 1.2
8 12.9
FRANK RIGGS
12 1.9
4 1.9
3 1.1
12 2.2
UNDECIDED
146 23.1
60 26.4
37 15.5
118 20.9
1 100.0
26 41.4
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 15-1 T12. If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Tom Horne and Mark Brnovich? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
MARK BRNOVICH
268 42.6
136 45.0
115 47.8
21 34.6
132 40.4
70 35.9
60 47.8
23 51.7
18 28.4
61 50.8
60 41.5
107 41.3
30 34.2
9 23.1
134 46.3
95 44.5
229 41.2
22 56.2
17 49.9
139 51.5
106 36.5
TOM HORNE
165 26.2
95 31.3
78 32.3
16 26.5
71 21.5
45 22.9
26 20.6
18 40.0
10 15.1
29 23.9
36 25.0
73 28.4
27 30.3
17 46.0
70 24.1
51 24.0
146 26.3
11 28.2
8 22.2
53 19.6
99 34.1
UNDECIDED
196 31.2
72 23.7
48 20.0
23 38.9
125 38.1
81 41.2
39 31.6
4 8.3
36 56.5
30 25.3
48 33.5
78 30.3
31 35.5
12 30.9
86 29.6
68 31.6
180 32.5
6 15.6
10 27.8
78 28.9
85 29.3
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 15-2 T12. If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Tom Horne and Mark Brnovich? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 15-3 T12. If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Tom Horne and Mark Brnovich? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
MARK BRNOVICH
268 42.6
40 54.8
73 41.8
43 57.5
1 10.1
7 58.6
49 49.1
16 48.2
38 25.9
268 100.0
53 47.1
75 60.0
32 34.4
109 36.2
47 57.8
28 52.6
39 43.7
154 38.0
TOM HORNE
165 26.2
20 26.9
60 34.4
16 21.4
9 62.9
3 21.4
24 24.1
7 20.9
26 17.9
165 100.0
31 28.1
35 28.1
30 32.6
69 22.8
21 26.0
19 35.2
27 30.0
99 24.3
UNDECIDED
196 31.2
13 18.3
42 23.8
16 21.1
4 27.0
2 19.9
27 26.8
10 30.8
82 56.1
196 100.0
28 24.8
15 11.9
30 33.0
123 41.0
13 16.2
6 12.3
24 26.3
153 37.7
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 15-4 T12. If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Tom Horne and Mark Brnovich? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
MARK BRNOVICH
268 42.6
58 25.5
144 59.9
250 44.3
18 28.1
TOM HORNE
165 26.2
86 37.8
44 18.5
138 24.4
27 43.0
UNDECIDED
196 31.2
84 36.7
52 21.6
177 31.3
1 100.0
18 28.9
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 16-1 T13. If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Michele Reagan and Justin Pierce? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
MICHELE REAGAN
125 19.8
67 22.1
53 22.1
14 22.6
58 17.7
26 13.5
32 25.4
1 2.3
17 26.7
24 19.8
30 20.6
54 20.7
10 10.9
6 15.5
77 26.5
33 15.2
114 20.6
5 12.4
6 16.4
73 27.2
40 13.8
WIL CARDON
112 17.8
69 22.8
53 22.0
16 26.4
43 13.1
32 16.4
11 8.7
1 2.2
9 13.9
26 21.8
28 19.0
49 18.9
25 28.4
7 17.4
33 11.4
48 22.2
97 17.4
6 15.3
9 27.1
45 16.8
60 20.8
JUSTIN PIERCE
92 14.7
28 9.4
26 10.7
3 4.4
64 19.6
39 19.9
25 20.1
31 70.4
8 12.6
10 8.4
15 10.5
28 10.9
3 3.9
2 6.4
55 19.1
31 14.5
70 12.6
21 53.0
1 4.3
25 9.1
65 22.4
UNDECIDED
301 47.7
138 45.7
109 45.2
28 46.6
162 49.6
98 50.2
57 45.8
11 25.2
29 46.8
60 50.0
72 50.0
128 49.5
50 56.8
23 60.7
125 43.0
103 48.0
275 49.5
8 19.2
18 52.1
126 46.9
125 43.1
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 16-2 T13. If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Michele Reagan and Justin Pierce? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 16-3 T13. If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Michele Reagan and Justin Pierce? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
MICHELE REAGAN
125 19.8
24 32.2
28 16.2
30 40.1
2 11.1
26 25.6
3 10.5
12 8.2
35 21.2
75 27.9
15 7.6
125 100.0
21 26.0
15 27.9
19 20.9
70 17.3
WIL CARDON
112 17.8
14 18.8
42 24.0
13 17.8
8 54.9
3 21.4
17 16.9
6 17.4
9 6.4
31 19.0
53 19.7
28 14.2
112 100.0
32 39.8
19 35.5
17 19.2
44 10.7
JUSTIN PIERCE
92 14.7
7 8.9
27 15.6
9 11.3
1 10.1
3 23.7
17 17.5
18 54.1
10 7.0
30 18.2
32 11.9
30 15.5
92 100.0
17 21.4
12 22.9
40 44.1
23 5.7
UNDECIDED
301 47.7
29 40.0
78 44.2
23 30.8
4 23.9
7 54.9
40 40.0
6 18.0
114 78.4
69 41.5
109 40.5
123 62.7
301 100.0
10 12.9
7 13.6
14 15.8
269 66.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 16-4 T13. If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Michele Reagan and Justin Pierce? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
MICHELE REAGAN
125 19.8
46 20.2
50 21.0
119 21.1
6 9.2
WIL CARDON
112 17.8
52 22.9
44 18.4
98 17.3
14 22.1
JUSTIN PIERCE
92 14.7
39 16.9
36 15.0
89 15.7
1 100.0
2 3.8
UNDECIDED
301 47.7
91 39.9
110 45.6
259 45.9
41 64.8
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 17-1 T14. If the Republican primary election for Treasurer were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jeff DeWit, Randy Pullen, and Hugh Hallman? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
HUGH HALLMAN
90 14.3
31 10.1
20 8.4
10 17.0
59 18.1
35 18.0
24 19.3
24 53.9
7 10.9
16 13.0
15 10.3
29 11.1
4 5.1
2 4.0
46 16.0
38 17.6
77 13.9
13 31.5
41 15.3
45 15.7
JEFF DEWIT
81 12.9
55 18.2
47 19.3
9 14.3
26 8.0
19 9.5
8 6.0
5 10.5
15 24.2
19 16.3
15 10.6
27 10.3
8 9.6
4 11.9
38 13.0
31 14.3
68 12.2
5 13.3
8 23.2
31 11.5
45 15.4
RANDY PULLEN
53 8.4
31 10.1
24 9.9
7 11.0
22 6.8
15 7.8
7 5.7
1 2.3
0.6
11 9.0
18 12.1
23 9.0
6 7.3
3 8.0
25 8.7
18 8.5
42 7.5
10 25.0
1 3.8
25 9.2
25 8.7
UNDECIDED
406 64.4
186 61.6
150 62.4
35 57.7
220 67.1
127 64.7
86 69.0
15 33.3
40 64.2
74 61.8
97 67.0
180 69.6
69 78.0
29 76.0
181 62.3
128 59.6
369 66.3
12 30.2
25 73.1
172 64.0
174 60.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 17-2 T14. If the Republican primary election for Treasurer were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jeff DeWit, Randy Pullen, and Hugh Hallman? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 17-3 T14. If the Republican primary election for Treasurer were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jeff DeWit, Randy Pullen, and Hugh Hallman? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
HUGH HALLMAN
90 14.3
10 13.5
23 12.8
11 14.2
2 15.6
2 12.4
27 27.4
13 38.2
3 2.0
27 16.3
39 14.6
24 12.1
17 15.4
19 15.0
40 42.9
14 4.7
90 100.0
JEFF DEWIT
81 12.9
8 11.4
30 17.1
8 10.9
4 27.2
6 46.2
5 5.0
7 19.9
13 9.1
21 12.8
47 17.5
13 6.7
32 28.9
21 16.9
17 18.8
10 3.5
81 100.0
RANDY PULLEN
53 8.4
9 12.7
19 10.8
11 14.4
10 10.0
1 1.7
3 2.3
19 11.3
28 10.4
6 3.3
19 16.8
15 11.8
12 13.1
7 2.4
53 100.0
UNDECIDED
406 64.4
46 62.4
104 59.3
46 60.6
8 57.3
5 41.4
57 57.6
13 40.2
126 86.5
99 59.6
154 57.5
153 77.9
44 38.9
70 56.2
23 25.2
269 89.4
406 100.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 17-4 T14. If the Republican primary election for Treasurer were being held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jeff DeWit, Randy Pullen, and Hugh Hallman? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
HUGH HALLMAN
90 14.3
34 15.1
46 19.1
88 15.5
2 3.7
JEFF DEWIT
81 12.9
38 16.7
31 12.8
76 13.5
5 8.3
RANDY PULLEN
53 8.4
21 9.2
28 11.6
49 8.6
4 6.4
UNDECIDED
406 64.4
135 59.1
136 56.5
352 62.4
1 100.0
52 81.6
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 18-1 T16. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to fiscal issues like taxes and government spending? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
VERY CONSERVATIVE
284 45.0
157 51.9
125 51.6
32 53.0
127 38.6
86 44.1
36 28.5
9 20.7
23 36.5
61 51.2
63 43.2
127 49.3
53 60.2
21 55.1
113 39.1
96 44.9
243 43.8
19 48.2
21 60.4
62 23.0
194 67.0
CONSERVATIVE
233 37.0
107 35.4
90 37.1
17 28.4
126 38.4
71 36.4
54 43.7
14 31.3
25 40.3
39 32.5
57 39.2
98 37.9
27 30.7
10 27.4
116 40.1
79 36.9
215 38.8
5 12.6
12 35.9
141 52.5
63 21.7
MODERATE
103 16.3
31 10.2
24 9.9
7 11.4
72 21.9
38 19.2
32 25.4
20 45.7
14 22.6
18 15.1
20 13.7
30 11.7
8 9.0
5 12.5
55 19.0
35 16.3
86 15.5
16 39.3
1 3.0
61 22.8
30 10.4
LIBERAL
11 1.8
8 2.5
3 1.3
4 7.2
4 1.1
1 0.3
3 2.4
1 2.3
0.6
1 1.1
6 3.8
3 1.1
2 5.0
5 1.7
4 1.9
11 1.9
0.7
5 1.7
3 1.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 18-2 T16. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to fiscal issues like taxes and government spending? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 18-3 T16. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to fiscal issues like taxes and government spending? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
VERY CONSERVATIVE
284 45.0
34 46.3
100 56.7
36 47.8
8 56.4
7 58.6
19 19.3
12 36.5
67 46.0
95 57.4
94 35.0
95 48.3
49 43.8
49 39.2
42 45.2
144 47.8
36 43.7
25 47.7
26 29.3
197 48.4
CONSERVATIVE
233 37.0
28 38.0
66 37.6
21 27.6
5 34.5
4 32.4
47 47.5
10 31.3
51 35.2
53 31.8
105 39.3
75 38.1
41 36.9
53 42.8
25 27.4
113 37.5
37 45.8
15 28.6
31 34.4
149 36.8
MODERATE
103 16.3
10 13.2
7 3.9
16 21.5
1 9.1
1 8.9
33 32.7
11 32.1
24 16.6
17 10.1
63 23.5
23 11.7
18 16.0
21 16.5
25 27.3
39 12.9
8 9.9
9 17.0
32 35.7
53 13.2
LIBERAL
11 1.8
2 2.6
3 1.8
2 3.1
1 0.5
3 2.2
1 0.8
6 2.3
4 1.8
4 3.2
2 1.4
6 1.9
1 0.7
4 6.7
1 0.6
6 1.6
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 18-4 T16. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to fiscal issues like taxes and government spending? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
VERY CONSERVATIVE
284 45.0
126 55.5
77 32.1
245 43.4
38 60.0
CONSERVATIVE
233 37.0
66 29.0
105 43.7
214 37.9
1 100.0
17 27.1
MODERATE
103 16.3
31 13.7
53 22.0
96 17.0
6 9.9
LIBERAL
11 1.8
4 1.8
5 2.3
9 1.6
2 3.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 19-1 T17. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
VERY CONSERVATIVE
256 40.7
120 39.8
94 38.9
26 42.7
136 41.5
89 45.3
47 37.3
13 29.1
28 44.9
37 31.1
66 45.5
112 43.4
51 58.2
18 46.7
86 29.8
101 47.0
229 41.2
18 46.0
9 26.0
72 26.7
163 56.3
CONSERVATIVE
166 26.3
94 31.1
78 32.4
16 25.8
71 21.8
43 21.7
25 19.9
5 10.5
18 28.4
33 27.9
29 20.1
80 31.2
21 23.3
9 23.5
84 28.9
52 24.5
144 25.9
7 18.7
14 41.0
76 28.1
61 21.0
MODERATE
120 19.1
50 16.5
41 16.9
9 15.2
70 21.5
29 14.6
39 31.6
10 22.9
16 26.2
20 16.4
33 22.5
42 16.1
9 10.4
7 19.5
67 23.2
37 17.1
103 18.5
13 31.7
5 13.8
63 23.5
46 16.0
LIBERAL
88 13.9
38 12.6
28 11.7
10 16.3
50 15.2
36 18.4
14 11.1
17 37.5
0.6
29 24.6
17 11.9
24 9.4
7 8.0
4 10.3
53 18.1
24 11.4
80 14.4
1 3.6
7 19.2
58 21.6
20 6.7
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 19-2 T17. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 19-3 T17. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
VERY CONSERVATIVE
256 40.7
25 33.7
80 45.8
28 36.8
8 51.5
6 45.4
24 24.2
16 48.4
70 48.0
84 50.7
73 27.2
99 50.6
49 44.1
42 33.8
43 46.4
122 40.4
34 41.4
24 46.2
23 25.4
175 43.2
CONSERVATIVE
166 26.3
20 27.7
52 29.6
22 29.4
5 32.9
5 41.1
21 21.4
4 12.6
36 24.4
45 27.5
75 28.0
45 22.9
38 34.1
36 29.2
12 13.2
79 26.2
35 43.2
15 27.8
18 20.3
97 24.0
MODERATE
120 19.1
19 26.1
30 17.0
12 15.8
1 6.4
23 22.7
12 35.7
24 16.6
20 12.0
69 25.9
31 15.9
14 12.5
36 28.6
21 23.0
49 16.4
9 11.5
7 13.4
32 35.5
72 17.8
LIBERAL
88 13.9
9 12.4
13 7.6
14 18.1
1 9.1
2 13.4
32 31.7
1 3.3
16 11.0
16 9.9
51 18.9
21 10.6
10 9.3
10 8.4
16 17.3
51 17.0
3 3.9
7 12.6
17 18.8
61 15.1
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 19-4 T17. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
VERY CONSERVATIVE
256 40.7
160 70.2
33 13.6
224 39.7
32 49.8
CONSERVATIVE
166 26.3
48 20.9
64 26.5
154 27.3
1 100.0
10 16.0
MODERATE
120 19.1
8 3.7
79 32.8
109 19.3
12 18.3
LIBERAL
88 13.9
12 5.2
65 27.1
78 13.8
10 15.9
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 20-1 T18. If you had to choose, would you identify yourself more closely with the traditional Republican Party, or would you identify yourself more closely with the Tea Party Movement? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
REPUBLICAN PARTY
269 42.7
118 39.1
95 39.5
23 38.5
151 46.0
84 42.7
65 51.8
10 22.8
28 44.0
48 40.3
76 52.2
108 41.6
33 37.5
14 37.4
123 42.5
99 46.1
244 43.9
12 30.2
13 38.2
269 100.0
TEA PARTY
289 45.9
154 50.9
122 50.7
31 51.8
135 41.3
87 44.4
48 38.8
34 77.2
23 36.0
64 53.3
57 39.4
112 43.2
48 54.0
20 52.6
128 44.2
94 43.7
245 44.0
28 69.8
17 48.7
289 100.0
NO OPINION
72 11.4
30 9.9
24 9.8
6 9.7
41 12.7
25 12.9
12 9.4
13 20.0
8 6.4
12 8.4
39 15.1
7 8.5
4 10.0
38 13.2
22 10.2
67 12.1
5 13.1
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 20-2 T18. If you had to choose, would you identify yourself more closely with the traditional Republican Party, or would you identify yourself more closely with the Tea Party Movement? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 20-3 T18. If you had to choose, would you identify yourself more closely with the traditional Republican Party, or would you identify yourself more closely with the Tea Party Movement? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
REPUBLICAN PARTY
269 42.7
47 64.2
60 34.3
32 42.0
4 29.6
2 13.4
64 64.5
3 10.2
56 38.7
53 31.9
139 51.6
78 39.7
45 40.4
73 58.5
25 26.6
126 42.0
31 38.1
25 46.8
41 45.7
172 42.5
TEA PARTY
289 45.9
22 30.4
97 55.5
36 47.6
9 59.9
9 75.0
31 30.7
28 86.0
56 38.8
99 59.7
106 39.4
85 43.2
60 53.7
40 31.9
65 70.0
125 41.4
45 54.8
25 47.4
45 50.6
174 42.9
NO OPINION
72 11.4
4 5.4
18 10.3
8 10.4
2 10.5
1 11.6
5 4.7
1 3.8
33 22.5
14 8.4
24 9.0
34 17.1
7 5.9
12 9.6
3 3.4
50 16.6
6 7.1
3 5.8
3 3.8
59 14.6
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 20-4 T18. If you had to choose, would you identify yourself more closely with the traditional Republican Party, or would you identify yourself more closely with the Tea Party Movement? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
REPUBLICAN PARTY
269 42.7
72 31.4
136 56.5
241 42.7
28 43.9
TEA PARTY
289 45.9
133 58.5
82 34.2
256 45.3
1 100.0
32 50.7
NO OPINION
72 11.4
23 10.1
22 9.3
68 12.1
3 5.4
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 21-1 And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes only... T19. Are you a man or a woman? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
WOMAN
328 52.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
30 68.7
32 51.1
52 43.7
80 55.4
133 51.3
39 44.1
19 50.1
160 55.3
110 51.2
288 51.8
26 66.0
13 38.2
151 56.0
135 46.8
MAN
302 48.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
14 31.3
31 48.9
67 56.3
65 44.6
126 48.7
49 55.9
19 49.9
130 44.7
105 48.8
268 48.2
14 34.0
21 61.8
118 44.0
154 53.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 21-2 And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes only... T19. Are you a man or a woman? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 21-3 And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes only... T19. Are you a man or a woman? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
WOMAN
328 52.0
31 41.9
80 45.4
35 46.9
8 53.8
9 73.8
60 60.0
20 59.8
85 58.5
71 42.7
132 49.3
125 63.5
43 38.4
58 46.5
64 69.3
162 54.0
26 32.2
22 42.3
59 65.9
220 54.1
MAN
302 48.0
43 58.1
96 54.6
40 53.1
7 46.2
3 26.2
40 40.0
13 40.2
60 41.5
95 57.3
136 50.7
72 36.5
69 61.6
67 53.5
28 30.7
138 46.0
55 67.8
31 57.7
31 34.1
186 45.9
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 21-4 And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes only... T19. Are you a man or a woman? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
WOMAN
328 52.0
120 52.4
115 47.8
301 53.4
1 100.0
25 38.9
MAN
302 48.0
108 47.6
125 52.2
263 46.6
39 61.1
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 22-1 T20. What is your marital status? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
MARRIED
437 69.4
241 79.8
241 100.0
196 59.8
196 100.0
29 66.7
47 74.1
101 84.5
101 69.4
159 61.7
66 74.3
25 66.5
194 67.1
152 71.0
392 70.6
22 55.4
23 66.1
179 66.5
209 72.4
SINGLE
27 4.2
14 4.6
14 23.3
13 3.8
13 10.1
5 10.4
5 8.1
6 5.2
5 3.3
6 2.3
5 5.6
4 10.4
6 1.9
12 5.7
21 3.7
5 13.5
1.1
11 4.2
13 4.4
UNMARRIED
31 4.9
6 1.9
6 9.5
25 7.6
25 19.9
10 22.9
5 8.6
1 1.2
5 3.4
9 3.4
1 0.9
0.4
25 8.7
4 2.1
16 2.9
10 25.3
5 13.1
8 3.1
21 7.1
WIDOWED
80 12.8
19 6.2
19 31.3
62 18.8
62 49.4
1 2.3
1 1.1
11 7.4
67 25.9
14 16.2
6 16.0
32 11.2
28 12.9
79 14.2
0.4
1 3.5
44 16.3
24 8.4
SEPARATED
2 0.3
2 0.7
2 3.6
1 1.2
0.2
1 0.2
0.7
2 0.9
2 0.4
2 0.8
DIVORCED
45 7.1
19 6.4
19 32.3
26 7.8
26 20.5
8 6.9
21 14.6
16 6.1
3 3.0
2 5.0
26 8.8
15 6.9
42 7.5
2 4.5
2 4.6
24 9.0
20 6.7
NO OPINION
8 1.3
1 0.3
7 2.1
4 7.0
2 1.7
1 0.4
1.0
6 2.2
1 0.5
4 0.6
1.0
4 11.5
2 0.9
0.1
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 22-2 T20. What is your marital status? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 22-3 T20. What is your marital status? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
MARRIED
437 69.4
54 73.3
134 76.3
55 72.8
12 81.3
6 46.2
71 70.8
13 40.1
93 63.7
123 74.2
186 69.1
129 65.7
85 76.1
80 63.8
65 70.1
207 69.0
65 80.2
39 74.0
56 61.9
277 68.3
SINGLE
27 4.2
2 3.2
4 2.0
4 4.8
5 5.1
4 11.8
8 5.5
3 1.6
12 4.5
12 5.9
5 4.3
5 4.0
4 4.1
13 4.3
1 1.1
1 1.9
5 5.1
20 5.0
UNMARRIED
31 4.9
1 0.8
8 4.4
1 1.8
1 4.5
6 5.6
12 35.2
3 2.2
4 2.3
19 6.9
8 4.1
3 3.1
11 8.7
10 10.9
6 2.0
3 3.8
4 7.3
11 11.8
13 3.2
WIDOWED
80 12.8
11 14.7
16 9.0
12 15.4
3 17.7
3 25.8
12 12.4
3 9.6
21 14.3
24 14.2
28 10.3
29 15.0
11 10.0
23 18.5
8 8.2
39 12.8
8 9.5
4 8.1
12 13.7
56 13.8
SEPARATED
2 0.3
2 0.9
1 0.4
0.1
2 1.0
0.2
1 1.5
1 0.2
0.3
1 1.5
1 0.1
DIVORCED
45 7.1
3 4.6
12 7.0
4 5.1
1.0
3 23.4
6 6.2
1 3.3
15 10.5
12 7.0
22 8.1
12 6.0
7 6.4
6 4.9
5 5.3
27 8.9
4 5.1
5 8.7
5 6.0
31 7.6
NO OPINION
8 1.3
2 3.4
1 0.3
5 3.4
1 0.6
2 0.9
5 2.3
8 2.6
8 2.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 22-4 T20. What is your marital status? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
MARRIED
437 69.4
161 70.6
166 69.2
388 68.6
1 100.0
48 75.6
SINGLE
27 4.2
11 4.7
8 3.3
23 4.1
4 5.7
UNMARRIED
31 4.9
5 2.4
19 8.0
30 5.4
0.2
WIDOWED
80 12.8
28 12.1
22 9.3
71 12.6
9 14.5
SEPARATED
2 0.3
1 0.4
1 0.6
2 0.3
0.4
DIVORCED
45 7.1
18 7.8
21 8.6
43 7.6
2 3.0
NO OPINION
8 1.3
5 2.0
2 1.0
8 1.3
0.6
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 23-1 T21. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
18-34
44 7.0
14 4.6
13 5.3
1 1.7
30 9.2
17 8.5
14 11.0
44 100.0
5 6.2
4 10.4
20 7.0
15 6.8
22 4.0
16 39.2
6 18.6
10 3.7
34 11.8
35-44
63 10.0
31 10.2
27 11.1
4 6.1
32 9.8
20 10.2
8 6.6
63 100.0
6 7.3
4 11.4
32 11.1
20 9.4
49 8.8
4 9.2
10 29.5
28 10.3
23 7.8
45-54
120 19.0
67 22.3
59 24.4
9 14.3
52 16.0
42 21.6
10 8.0
120 100.0
14 16.3
6 16.8
50 17.2
49 22.9
104 18.8
9 22.7
6 18.2
48 17.9
64 22.1
55-64
145 23.0
65 21.4
49 20.5
15 25.2
80 24.5
51 26.1
27 21.4
145 100.0
21 24.1
8 20.7
68 23.3
48 22.5
129 23.2
10 24.3
6 17.6
76 28.1
57 19.7
65+
258 41.0
126 41.6
93 38.7
32 52.7
133 40.5
66 33.7
66 53.0
258 100.0
41 46.1
15 40.7
120 41.4
82 38.4
251 45.2
2 4.6
6 16.0
108 40.0
112 38.6
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 23-2 T21. Which of the following age groups applies to you? FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 23-3 T21. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
18-34
44 7.0
5 2.6
1 1.3
1 6.6
14 13.8
17 52.5
6 4.4
18 10.7
23 8.5
4 1.9
1 0.9
1 0.8
31 33.6
11 3.7
5 5.7
1 1.9
24 26.4
15 3.6
35-44
63 10.0
6 7.5
15 8.3
9 12.0
1 11.6
10 9.8
23 15.6
10 5.8
18 6.7
36 18.1
9 7.8
17 13.5
8 8.6
29 9.8
15 18.8
0.7
7 7.6
40 10.0
45-54
120 19.0
11 14.5
41 23.3
27 35.3
3 23.0
4 33.0
13 13.4
5 14.4
16 11.0
29 17.3
61 22.7
30 15.4
26 23.3
24 19.0
10 10.9
60 19.9
19 24.0
11 20.2
16 17.3
74 18.2
55-64
145 23.0
26 35.2
45 25.4
5 6.1
2 10.7
29 29.1
2 5.5
37 25.7
36 21.9
60 22.4
48 24.7
28 24.6
30 23.8
15 16.5
72 24.1
15 18.8
18 33.2
15 16.6
97 23.9
65+
258 41.0
31 42.7
71 40.4
34 45.3
9 59.7
7 55.4
34 34.0
9 27.7
63 43.3
73 44.3
107 39.8
78 39.9
49 43.5
54 42.9
28 30.4
128 42.5
27 32.7
23 43.9
29 32.0
180 44.3
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 23-4 T21. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
18-34
44 7.0
20 8.9
17 6.9
35 6.1
9 14.7
35-44
63 10.0
35 15.3
15 6.2
54 9.6
9 13.5
45-54
120 19.0
34 14.9
59 24.7
109 19.3
10 16.4
55-64
145 23.0
47 20.7
60 24.8
132 23.4
1 100.0
12 18.1
65+
258 41.0
91 40.1
90 37.4
235 41.5
24 37.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 24-1 T22. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
WHITE
556 88.2
268 88.5
211 87.4
56 93.3
288 87.9
182 92.6
103 83.1
22 49.9
49 78.0
104 87.2
129 89.1
251 97.2
72 81.8
30 80.7
258 88.9
195 91.2
556 100.0
244 90.6
245 84.6
HISPANIC LATINO
40 6.3
14 4.5
12 4.9
1 2.1
26 8.0
10 5.2
16 13.0
16 35.5
4 5.8
9 7.6
10 6.7
2 0.7
3 3.9
4 11.0
20 7.1
12 5.6
40 100.0
12 4.5
28 9.6
OTHER
35 5.5
21 7.1
19 7.7
3 4.6
13 4.0
4 2.2
5 4.0
6 14.6
10 16.2
6 5.3
6 4.2
6 2.1
13 14.4
3 8.4
12 4.1
7 3.2
35 100.0
13 4.9
17 5.8
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 24-2 T22. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 24-3 T22. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
BENN ETT
---------
DUC EY
--------
JON ES
---------
MEL VIN
---------
RIG GS
--------
SMI TH
---------
THO MAS
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
HOR NE
---------
BRNO VICH
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
CARD ON
---------
REAG AN
--------
PIE RCE
---------
UNDE CIDE
---------
DE WIT
--------
PULL EN
---------
HALL MAN
---------
UNDE CIDE
--------
TOTAL
630 100.0
73 100.0
176 100.0
76 100.0
15 100.0
12 100.0
100 100.0
33 100.0
146 100.0
165 100.0
268 100.0
196 100.0
112 100.0
125 100.0
92 100.0
301 100.0
81 100.0
53 100.0
90 100.0
406 100.0
WHITE
556 88.2
67 91.6
160 91.3
69 91.6
10 64.9
12 95.5
90 90.4
19 58.6
128 87.8
146 88.6
229 85.2
180 91.9
97 86.2
114 91.5
70 75.5
275 91.5
68 83.6
42 78.7
77 86.0
369 90.8
HISPANIC LATINO
40 6.3
3 3.9
9 4.9
5 7.1
1 6.6
3 2.7
14 41.4
6 3.9
11 6.8
22 8.3
6 3.2
6 5.4
5 4.0
21 22.9
8 2.6
5 6.5
10 18.8
13 14.0
12 3.0
OTHER
35 5.5
3 4.5
7 3.8
1 1.3
4 28.5
1 4.5
7 6.9
12 8.2
8 4.6
17 6.4
10 4.9
9 8.4
6 4.5
1 1.6
18 6.0
8 9.9
1 2.4
25 6.2
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 24-4 T22. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. GOV CAND DMA -------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
PRO FAM
---------
BUS ESTB
--------
PHOE NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC SON
--------
ALBQ STFE
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
228 100.0
240 100.0
565 100.0
1 100.0
64 100.0
WHITE
556 88.2
205 90.1
206 85.8
506 89.6
1 100.0
48 75.5
HISPANIC LATINO
40 6.3
13 5.6
21 8.7
36 6.3
4 6.5
OTHER
35 5.5
10 4.3
13 5.5
23 4.1
12 18.0
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 25-1 REGION GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN TOT
---------
MARR MEN
--------
SING MEN
---------
WOM TOT
---------
MARR WOM
--------
SING WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH CENT
---------
STH CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP PRTY
--------
TEA PRTY
---------
TOTAL
630 100.0
302 100.0
241 100.0
60 100.0
328 100.0
196 100.0
125 100.0
44 100.0
63 100.0
120 100.0
145 100.0
258 100.0
88 100.0
38 100.0
290 100.0
214 100.0
556 100.0
40 100.0
35 100.0
269 100.0
289 100.0
NORTH
88 14.0
49 16.3
41 17.2
8 13.1
39 11.9
24 12.3
15 11.8
5 12.4
6 10.3
14 12.0
21 14.7
41 15.7
88 100.0
72 13.0
3 8.5
13 36.6
33 12.3
48 16.5
SOUTH
38 6.0
19 6.2
13 5.3
6 9.5
19 5.8
12 6.3
7 5.2
4 8.9
4 6.8
6 5.3
8 5.4
15 6.0
38 100.0
30 5.5
4 10.4
3 9.2
14 5.3
20 6.9
NORTH CENTRAL
290 46.0
130 42.9
105 43.7
24 40.0
160 48.9
89 45.4
65 52.0
20 45.7
32 51.0
50 41.7
68 46.7
120 46.4
290 100.0
258 46.4
20 51.3
12 34.3
123 45.8
128 44.3
SOUTH CENTRAL
214 34.0
105 34.6
82 33.8
22 37.3
110 33.5
70 35.9
39 31.0
15 32.9
20 31.9
49 41.0
48 33.2
82 31.9
214 100.0
195 35.2
12 29.8
7 19.9
99 36.7
94 32.3
Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 25-2 REGION FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH