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2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 1 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of Pavements Pavements Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, [email protected] Mehdi Akbarian, [email protected] Sahil Sahni, [email protected] John Ochsendorf jao@mit edu John Ochsendorf, jao@mit.edu Concrete S Sustainability Hub
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Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, [email protected] Mehdi

Sep 21, 2018

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Page 1: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 1 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavementsSensitivity AnalysisSensitivity Analysis

Alex Loijos, [email protected] Akbarian, [email protected]

Sahil Sahni, [email protected] Ochsendorf jao@mit eduJohn Ochsendorf, [email protected]

Concrete

SSustainability

Hub

Page 2: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 2 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Outline:Outline:Outline:Outline:Study Goals

Literature ReviewMethodology

Phases and ComponentsResultsResults

Page 3: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 3 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Why and HowWhy and How

Page 4: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 4 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Problem Statement and Goals

• Concrete:• Most consumed material on earth after water• U S Cement production is the second most GHG intensive industry after steel• U.S. Cement production is the second most GHG intensive industry after steel

• Transportation accounts for 29% of total U.S. GHG emissions. (EPA 2006)• Over 4 million miles of pavement in the US alone

Equal to driving back and forth to the moon 8 times

Problem statement and goals:How do GHG emissions in the pavement life cycle vary under different engineering and policy scenarios and where are the largest opportunities to reduce emissions?

Page 5: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 5 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Literature Review

• Ranges of impact for pavement LCA• Santero, N. J., & Horvath, Arpad (2009). Global warming potential of

pa ements Bristol UK En ironmental Research Letterspavements. Bristol, UK: Environmental Research Letters.

“Because the impact is context-sensitive, there is no single component that can becomponent that can be considered the least or most influential under all circumstances.”

While broader than most studies, does not include:

• Differentiation between asphalt and concrete

• Influence of maintenance• Recycling/End of life

Page 6: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 6 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Methodology

Life Cycle Assessment framework:• System boundary definitiony y• Inventory

• Inputs – energy and materials needs• Outputs – waste and emissions

• Impact Assessment MaintenanceImpact Assessment• Global Warming Potential in CO2e

• Interpretation of the results

F ti l U it

Maintenance

Functional Unit:• 1 m2 of paved surface with 50 year lifetime

Software: GaBi 4 by PE International LCA Boundaries

Use Phase

+ US Construction databaseLCA Boundaries

No capital goods

Page 7: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 7 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Dynamic Model

Identify pavement parameters and life cycle phasesIdentify pavement parameters and life cycle phases

Page 8: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 8 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Phases and ComponentsPhases and Components

Page 9: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 9 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Concrete Pavement

Phases

COMPPONENTS

Page 10: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 10 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Asphalt Pavement

Page 11: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 11 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Materials ProductionMaterials Production

Page 12: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 12 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Binder Extraction and Manufacturing

Raw Material Extraction and Initial

TransformationManufacturing Placement Use and

MaintenanceRemoval,

Recycling, and Disposal

1.6

1.8kg CO2e per kg

Relevant Parameters

• Overlay depth/density

0.8

1

1.2

1.4 • Overlay depth/density• Overlay composition• Facility technology• Fly ash/other substitution

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0

Bitumen Cement

Page 13: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 13 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Other Materials and Mix Manufacturing

Raw Material Extraction and Initial

TransformationManufacturing Placement Use and

MaintenanceRemoval,

Recycling, and Disposal

Other Materials and Mix ManufactureAggregate:

Diesel fuel energy: 21.1 – 74 MJ/ton, Average: 53 MJ/ton1

Steel Production:• ~20 GJ/ton• GHG emissions: 1.45 kg CO2e per kg

Concrete Mixing:Concrete Mixing:Not energy intensive

Hot Mix:Drying aggregate is the most GHG intensive activity of production life cycle

1- NCSA (1997); Stammer and Stodolsky (1995); NCSA (1997)

Page 14: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 14 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Transportation PhaseTransportation Phase

Page 15: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 15 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Cement Transport Average Distance by Mode

Mode Min Dist Avg Dist Max Dist %Mode Min Dist Avg Dist Max Dist % Share

Trucked

83 km 167 km (1) 322 km 70%

1 Commodity Flow Survey 20072 Imports – Normal: British Columbia SF2 Imports – Extreme: China New Jersey

Barged 0 km 1400 km (2)

5600 km (3)

30%

Page 16: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 16 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Aggregate Transport Average Dist. by Mode

Mode Distance St. Dev. % ShareTruck 50 km 12 km 26%

Extreme Practice

Rail 507 km 25 km 61%Barge 170 km 45 km 13%

From US Commodity Flow Survey 2007

Extreme PracticeCrushed aggregate arriving from British Columbia to San Francisco

From jericoproducts.com

Page 17: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 17 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Barging Efficiency

Barge 1.3 gCO2e per 100 kg-km: Rail 3.4 gCO2e per 100 kg km: Rail 3.4 g

Truck 6.0 g

Page 18: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 18 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Use PhaseUse Phase

Page 19: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 19 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Use Phase Assumptions

Account only for increase or decrease in emissions due to the pavement’s existence

R d hRoad roughness

Fuel consumption

The same attribution goes for albedo and roadway lightingThe same attribution goes for albedo and roadway lighting

Page 20: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 20 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Rolling Resistance

The largest known life cycle GHG contributionTwo effects: Pavement structure and pavement roughnessTwo effects: Pavement structure and pavement roughness

Source: Santero, et al. 2009

ParametersPavement typeTraffic volumeTraffic volumeTraffic compositionBase fuel efficiencyTemperature etc.

Page 21: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 21 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Albedo Effect

Urban heat island effect

Radiative forcing

Trumps heat islandQ: What’s the effect in cold climates?

Trumps heat island effect by ~10 times

• Varies according to:

Source: Santero, et al. 2009

Varies according to:• Pavement type – asphalt or concrete• Pavement age• Specialty whitener chemicals

Page 22: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 22 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Carbonation

• Between 1.4% and 15% of CO2 is reabsorbed, depending on pavement material properties

Source: Santero, et al. 2009

Page 23: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 23 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

MaintenanceMaintenance

Page 24: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 24 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Pavement Service Life

Raw Material Extraction and Initial

TransformationManufacturing Placement Use and

MaintenanceRemoval,

Recycling, and Disposal

Service life is highly variable, and strongly effects energy and resource needs throughout 50 year life

Concrete AsphaltExtreme Low 17.5 7Normal Low1 23 13Normal High2 28.5 16Extreme High 50 20

1- Croney 1997, Gharaibeh 2003, Bentz 2001

Page 25: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 25 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

ResultsResults

Page 26: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 26 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Normal Sensitivity Range

(kg

CO

2e p

er m

2 )ar

min

g Po

tent

ial (

Glo

bal W

a

Production Life Cycle

Use Phase

Totals

Page 27: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 27 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Use Phase Range

g C

O2e

per

m2 )

min

g Po

tent

ial (

kG

loba

l War

m

Page 28: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 28 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Sensitivity to Maintenance

CO

2e p

er m

2 )in

g Po

tent

ial (

kg

Glo

bal W

arm

Production Life Cycle

Use Phase

Totals

Page 29: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 29 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Conclusions

• Results of LCA are highly dependent on the initial assumptions.

• There are many opportunities across the life cycle for improvement.

• The use phase dominates under any initial conditions.

• Maintenance 2nd largest component and a trade-off with rolling resistance.

Page 30: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 30 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Future Work

• Improve Data Quality• Detailed Scenario Analysis

• 1) Decrease surface roughness by increasing preventive and1) Decrease surface roughness by increasing preventive and rehabilitative maintenance

• 2) Leverage albedo effect and include whitening chemicals in LCI• 3) Engineered Cementitious Composite (ECC), etc.

4) M d l fl h i h k h t• 4) Model fly ash, rice husk ash, etc.• Life cycle costing• Create tool for engineers to

estimate their pavement’sestimate their pavement s carbon footprint

Page 31: Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of ... · Life Cycle Assessment of Life Cycle Assessment of PavementsPavements Sensitivity Analysis Alex Loijos, alex@mit.edu Mehdi

2010 Concrete Sustainability Conference 31 © National Ready Mixed Concrete Association

Thank You!Thank You!Questions?